TY - THES A1 - Zhou, Xiangqian T1 - Modeling of spatially distributed nitrate transport to investigate the effects of drought and river restoration in the Bode catchment, Central Germany N2 - The European Water Framework Directive (WFD) has identified river morphological alteration and diffuse pollution as the two main pressures affecting water bodies in Europe at the catchment scale. Consequently, river restoration has become a priority to achieve the WFD's objective of good ecological status. However, little is known about the effects of stream morphological changes, such as re-meandering, on in-stream nitrate retention at the river network scale. Therefore, catchment nitrate modeling is necessary to guide the implementation of spatially targeted and cost-effective mitigation measures. Meanwhile, Germany, like many other regions in central Europe, has experienced consecutive summer droughts from 2015-2018, resulting in significant changes in river nitrate concentrations in various catchments. However, the mechanistic exploration of catchment nitrate responses to changing weather conditions is still lacking. Firstly, a fully distributed, process-based catchment Nitrate model (mHM-Nitrate) was used, which was properly calibrated and comprehensively evaluated at numerous spatially distributed nitrate sampling locations. Three calibration schemes were designed, taking into account land use, stream order, and mean nitrate concentrations, and they varied in spatial coverage but used data from the same period (2011–2019). The model performance for discharge was similar among the three schemes, with Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency (NSE) scores ranging from 0.88 to 0.92. However, for nitrate concentrations, scheme 2 outperformed schemes 1 and 3 when compared to observed data from eight gauging stations. This was likely because scheme 2 incorporated a diverse range of data, including low discharge values and nitrate concentrations, and thus provided a better representation of within-catchment heterogenous. Therefore, the study suggests that strategically selecting gauging stations that reflect the full range of within-catchment heterogeneity is more important for calibration than simply increasing the number of stations. Secondly, the mHM-Nitrate model was used to reveal the causal relations between sequential droughts and nitrate concentration in the Bode catchment (3200 km2) in central Germany, where stream nitrate concentrations exhibited contrasting trends from upstream to downstream reaches. The model was evaluated using data from six gauging stations, reflecting different levels of runoff components and their associated nitrate-mixing from upstream to downstream. Results indicated that the mHM-Nitrate model reproduced dynamics of daily discharge and nitrate concentration well, with Nash-Sutcliffe Efficiency ≥ 0.73 for discharge and Kling-Gupta Efficiency ≥ 0.50 for nitrate concentration at most stations. Particularly, the spatially contrasting trends of nitrate concentration were successfully captured by the model. The decrease of nitrate concentration in the lowland area in drought years (2015-2018) was presumably due to (1) limited terrestrial export loading (ca. 40% lower than that of normal years 2004-2014), and (2) increased in-stream retention efficiency (20% higher in summer within the whole river network). From a mechanistic modelling perspective, this study provided insights into spatially heterogeneous flow and nitrate dynamics and effects of sequential droughts, which shed light on water-quality responses to future climate change, as droughts are projected to be more frequent. Thirdly, this study investigated the effects of stream restoration via re-meandering on in-stream nitrate retention at network-scale in the well-monitored Bode catchment. The mHM-Nitrate model showed good performance in reproducing daily discharge and nitrate concentrations, with median Kling-Gupta values of 0.78 and 0.74, respectively. The mean and standard deviation of gross nitrate retention efficiency, which accounted for both denitrification and assimilatory uptake, were 5.1 ± 0.61% and 74.7 ± 23.2% in winter and summer, respectively, within the stream network. The study found that in the summer, denitrification rates were about two times higher in lowland sub-catchments dominated by agricultural lands than in mountainous sub-catchments dominated by forested areas, with median ± SD of 204 ± 22.6 and 102 ± 22.1 mg N m-2 d-1, respectively. Similarly, assimilatory uptake rates were approximately five times higher in streams surrounded by lowland agricultural areas than in those in higher-elevation, forested areas, with median ± SD of 200 ± 27.1 and 39.1 ± 8.7 mg N m-2 d-1, respectively. Therefore, restoration strategies targeting lowland agricultural areas may have greater potential for increasing nitrate retention. The study also found that restoring stream sinuosity could increase net nitrate retention efficiency by up to 25.4 ± 5.3%, with greater effects seen in small streams. These results suggest that restoration efforts should consider augmenting stream sinuosity to increase nitrate retention and decrease nitrate concentrations at the catchment scale. N2 - Die Europäische Wasserrahmenrichtlinie hat die morphologischen Veränderungen der Flüsse und die diffuse Verschmutzung als die Hauptprobleme der Gewässer in Europa identifiziert. Um diese Probleme anzugehen, hat die Renaturierung von Fließgewässern hohe Priorität. Es ist jedoch nur wenig darüber bekannt, wie sich Veränderungen der Flussform, wie z. B. die Re-Mäanderung, auf die Nitratrückhaltung im Fließgewässer auswirken. Deutschland hat in den letzten Jahren Dürreperioden erlebt, die zu Veränderungen der Nitratkonzentration in den Fließgewässern geführt haben. Es gibt jedoch nur wenig Erkenntnisse darüber, wie sich diese Dürreperioden auf die Nitratkonzentration auswirken. Zur Untersuchung dieser Einflüsse kann eine Modellierung des Nitrat-Transports und -Rückhalts in Einzugsgebieten wichtige Hinweise zu wirksamen Reduzierungsmaßnahmen liefern. In dieser Studie wurde ein prozessbasiertes hydrologisches Wasserqualitätsmodell (mHM-Nitrate) verwendet, um die Nitratdynamik im Einzugsgebiet der Bode (3200 km2) zu simulieren. Das Modell wurde anhand von Daten aus verschiedenen Teileinzugsgebieten kalibriert und bewertet. Es wurden drei Kalibrierungsvarianten entwickelt, die die Flächennutzung, die Ordnung der Fließgewässer und die mittleren Nitratkonzentrationen mit unterschiedlichem Detaillierungsgrad berücksichtigten. Die Modellierungsgüte für den Abfluss war bei allen drei Kalibrierungsvarianten ähnlich, während sich bei den Nitratkonzentrationen deutliche Unterschiede ergaben. Die Studie zeigte, dass die Auswahl von Messstationen, die die charakteristischen Gebietseigenschaften widerspiegeln, für die Nitrat-Kalibrierung wichtiger ist als die reine Anzahl der Messstationen. Das Modell wurde auch verwendet, um die Beziehung zwischen Dürreperioden und der Nitratdynamik im Bodegebiet zu untersuchen. Das Modell gab die Dynamik von Abfluss und Nitrat sehr gut wider und erfasste hierbei auch die räumlichen Unterschiede in den Nitratkonzentrationen sehr gut. Die Studie ergab, dass Dürreperioden zu niedrigeren Nitratkonzentrationen in den landwirtschaftlich genutzten Gebieten im Tiefland führten, was auf einen geringeren terrestrischen Export und einen erhöhten Rückhalt in den Fließgewässern zurückzuführen war. Die Untersuchung liefert Erkenntnisse über die Auswirkungen von Dürren auf den Nitrataustrag, was für das Verständnis der Auswirkungen des künftigen Klimawandels wichtig ist. Darüber hinaus untersuchte die Studie die Auswirkungen der Renaturierung von Fließgewässern, insbesondere der Re-Mäanderung, auf die Nitratrückhaltung im Fließgewässernetz. Die Untersuchung zeigte, dass der gewässerinterne Nitratrückhalt in landwirtschaftlichen Tieflandgebieten höher war als in bewaldeten Gebieten. Die Wiederherstellung natürlich meandrierender Fließgewässer erhöhte die Nitratretention und verringerte die Nitratkonzentration im Fließgewässer, insbesondere in kleinen Bächen in landwirtschaftlichen Gebieten. Dies deutet darauf hin, dass bei Sanierungsmaßnahmen die Erhöhung der Gewässersinuosität berücksichtigt werden sollte, um den Nitratrückhalt und die Wasserqualität insbesondere in den Teiflandgebieten zu erhöhen. KW - multi-site calibration KW - spatiotemporal validation KW - uncertainty KW - parameter transferability KW - drought KW - catchment hydrology Water quality model KW - river restoration KW - stream sinuosity KW - mHM-Nitrate model KW - stream denitrification KW - assimilatory uptake KW - Kalibrierung an mehreren Standorten KW - räumlich-zeitliche Validierung KW - Ungewissheit KW - Übertragbarkeit der Parameter KW - Dürre KW - Einzugsgebietshydrologie Wasserqualitätsmodell KW - Restaurierung von Flüssen KW - Strömungsneigung KW - mHM-Nitrat-Modell KW - Bachdenitrifikation KW - assimilatorische Aufnahme Y1 - 2024 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-621059 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ben Nsir, Siwar A1 - Jomaa, Seifeddine A1 - Yildirim, Umit A1 - Zhou, Xiangqian A1 - D'Oria, Marco A1 - Rode, Michael A1 - Khlifi, Slaheddine T1 - Assessment of climate change impact on discharge of the lakhmass catchment (Northwest Tunisia) JF - Water N2 - The Mediterranean region is increasingly recognized as a climate change hotspot but is highly underrepresented in hydrological climate change studies. This study aims to investigate the climate change effects on the hydrology of Lakhmass catchment in Tunisia. Lakhmass catchment is a part of the Medium Valley of Medjerda in northwestern Tunisia that drains an area of 126 km(2). First, the Hydrologiska Byrans Vattenbalansavdelning light (HBV-light) model was calibrated and validated successfully at a daily time step to simulate discharge during the 1981-1986 period. The Nash Sutcliffe Efficiency and Percent bias (NSE, PBIAS) were (0.80, +2.0%) and (0.53, -9.5%) for calibration (September 1982-August 1984) and validation (September 1984-August 1986) periods, respectively. Second, HBV-light model was considered as a predictive tool to simulate discharge in a baseline period (1981-2009) and future projections using data (precipitation and temperature) from thirteen combinations of General Circulation Models (GCMs) and Regional Climatic Models (RCMs). We used two trajectories of Representative Concentration Pathways, RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, suggested by the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC). Each RCP is divided into three projection periods: near-term (2010-2039), mid-term (2040-2069) and long-term (2070-2099). For both scenarios, a decrease in precipitation and discharge will be expected with an increase in air temperature and a reduction in precipitation with almost 5% for every +1 degrees C of global warming. By long-term (2070-2099) projection period, results suggested an increase in temperature with about 2.7 degrees C and 4 degrees C, and a decrease in precipitation of approximately 7.5% and 15% under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively. This will likely result in a reduction of discharge of 12.5% and 36.6% under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively. This situation calls for early climate change adaptation measures under a participatory approach, including multiple stakeholders and water users. KW - hydrological modeling KW - HBV-light model KW - Mediterranean KW - discharge KW - climate change KW - RCP4,5 and 8,5 Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/w14142242 SN - 2073-4441 VL - 14 IS - 14 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER -