TY - JOUR A1 - Warrington, Nicole A1 - Beaumont, Robin A1 - Horikoshi, Momoko A1 - Day, Felix R. A1 - Helgeland, Øyvind A1 - Laurin, Charles A1 - Bacelis, Jonas A1 - Peng, Shouneng A1 - Hao, Ke A1 - Feenstra, Bjarke A1 - Wood, Andrew R. A1 - Mahajan, Anubha A1 - Tyrrell, Jessica A1 - Robertson, Neil R. A1 - Rayner, N. William A1 - Qiao, Zhen A1 - Moen, Gunn-Helen A1 - Vaudel, Marc A1 - Marsit, Carmen A1 - Chen, Jia A1 - Nodzenski, Michael A1 - Schnurr, Theresia M. A1 - Zafarmand, Mohammad Hadi A1 - Bradfield, Jonathan P. A1 - Grarup, Niels A1 - Kooijman, Marjolein N. A1 - Li-Gao, Ruifang A1 - Geller, Frank A1 - Ahluwalia, Tarunveer Singh A1 - Paternoster, Lavinia A1 - Rueedi, Rico A1 - Huikari, Ville A1 - Hottenga, Jouke-Jan A1 - Lyytikäinen, Leo-Pekka A1 - Cavadino, Alana A1 - Metrustry, Sarah A1 - Cousminer, Diana L. A1 - Wu, Ying A1 - Thiering, Elisabeth Paula A1 - Wang, Carol A. A1 - Have, Christian Theil A1 - Vilor-Tejedor, Natalia A1 - Joshi, Peter K. A1 - Painter, Jodie N. A1 - Ntalla, Ioanna A1 - Myhre, Ronny A1 - Pitkänen, Niina A1 - van Leeuwen, Elisabeth M. A1 - Joro, Raimo A1 - Lagou, Vasiliki A1 - Richmond, Rebecca C. A1 - Espinosa, Ana A1 - Barton, Sheila J. A1 - Inskip, Hazel M. A1 - Holloway, John W. A1 - Santa-Marina, Loreto A1 - Estivill, Xavier A1 - Ang, Wei A1 - Marsh, Julie A. A1 - Reichetzeder, Christoph A1 - Marullo, Letizia A1 - Hocher, Berthold A1 - Lunetta, Kathryn L. A1 - Murabito, Joanne M. A1 - Relton, Caroline L. A1 - Kogevinas, Manolis A1 - Chatzi, Leda A1 - Allard, Catherine A1 - Bouchard, Luigi A1 - Hivert, Marie-France A1 - Zhang, Ge A1 - Muglia, Louis J. A1 - Heikkinen, Jani A1 - Morgen, Camilla S. A1 - van Kampen, Antoine H. C. A1 - van Schaik, Barbera D. C. A1 - Mentch, Frank D. A1 - Langenberg, Claudia A1 - Scott, Robert A. A1 - Zhao, Jing Hua A1 - Hemani, Gibran A1 - Ring, Susan M. A1 - Bennett, Amanda J. A1 - Gaulton, Kyle J. A1 - Fernandez-Tajes, Juan A1 - van Zuydam, Natalie R. A1 - Medina-Gomez, Carolina A1 - de Haan, Hugoline G. A1 - Rosendaal, Frits R. A1 - Kutalik, Zoltán A1 - Marques-Vidal, Pedro A1 - Das, Shikta A1 - Willemsen, Gonneke A1 - Mbarek, Hamdi A1 - Müller-Nurasyid, Martina A1 - Standl, Marie A1 - Appel, Emil V. R. A1 - Fonvig, Cilius Esmann A1 - Trier, Caecilie A1 - van Beijsterveldt, Catharina E. M. A1 - Murcia, Mario A1 - Bustamante, Mariona A1 - Bonàs-Guarch, Sílvia A1 - Hougaard, David M. A1 - Mercader, Josep M. A1 - Linneberg, Allan A1 - Schraut, Katharina E. A1 - Lind, Penelope A. A1 - Medland, Sarah Elizabeth A1 - Shields, Beverley M. A1 - Knight, Bridget A. A1 - Chai, Jin-Fang A1 - Panoutsopoulou, Kalliope A1 - Bartels, Meike A1 - Sánchez, Friman A1 - Stokholm, Jakob A1 - Torrents, David A1 - Vinding, Rebecca K. A1 - Willems, Sara M. A1 - Atalay, Mustafa A1 - Chawes, Bo L. A1 - Kovacs, Peter A1 - Prokopenko, Inga A1 - Tuke, Marcus A. A1 - Yaghootkar, Hanieh A1 - Ruth, Katherine S. A1 - Jones, Samuel E. A1 - Loh, Po-Ru A1 - Murray, Anna A1 - Weedon, Michael N. A1 - Tönjes, Anke A1 - Stumvoll, Michael A1 - Michaelsen, Kim Fleischer A1 - Eloranta, Aino-Maija A1 - Lakka, Timo A. A1 - van Duijn, Cornelia M. A1 - Kiess, Wieland A1 - Koerner, Antje A1 - Niinikoski, Harri A1 - Pahkala, Katja A1 - Raitakari, Olli T. A1 - Jacobsson, Bo A1 - Zeggini, Eleftheria A1 - Dedoussis, George V. A1 - Teo, Yik-Ying A1 - Saw, Seang-Mei A1 - Montgomery, Grant W. A1 - Campbell, Harry A1 - Wilson, James F. A1 - Vrijkotte, Tanja G. M. A1 - Vrijheid, Martine A1 - de Geus, Eco J. C. N. A1 - Hayes, M. Geoffrey A1 - Kadarmideen, Haja N. A1 - Holm, Jens-Christian A1 - Beilin, Lawrence J. A1 - Pennell, Craig E. A1 - Heinrich, Joachim A1 - Adair, Linda S. A1 - Borja, Judith B. A1 - Mohlke, Karen L. A1 - Eriksson, Johan G. A1 - Widen, Elisabeth E. A1 - Hattersley, Andrew T. A1 - Spector, Tim D. A1 - Kaehoenen, Mika A1 - Viikari, Jorma S. A1 - Lehtimaeki, Terho A1 - Boomsma, Dorret I. A1 - Sebert, Sylvain A1 - Vollenweider, Peter A1 - Sorensen, Thorkild I. A. A1 - Bisgaard, Hans A1 - Bonnelykke, Klaus A1 - Murray, Jeffrey C. A1 - Melbye, Mads A1 - Nohr, Ellen A. A1 - Mook-Kanamori, Dennis O. A1 - Rivadeneira, Fernando A1 - Hofman, Albert A1 - Felix, Janine F. A1 - Jaddoe, Vincent W. V. A1 - Hansen, Torben A1 - Pisinger, Charlotta A1 - Vaag, Allan A. A1 - Pedersen, Oluf A1 - Uitterlinden, Andre G. A1 - Jarvelin, Marjo-Riitta A1 - Power, Christine A1 - Hypponen, Elina A1 - Scholtens, Denise M. A1 - Lowe, William L. A1 - Smith, George Davey A1 - Timpson, Nicholas J. A1 - Morris, Andrew P. A1 - Wareham, Nicholas J. A1 - Hakonarson, Hakon A1 - Grant, Struan F. A. A1 - Frayling, Timothy M. A1 - Lawlor, Debbie A. A1 - Njolstad, Pal R. A1 - Johansson, Stefan A1 - Ong, Ken K. A1 - McCarthy, Mark I. A1 - Perry, John R. B. A1 - Evans, David M. A1 - Freathy, Rachel M. T1 - Maternal and fetal genetic effects on birth weight and their relevance to cardio-metabolic risk factors JF - Nature genetics N2 - Birth weight variation is influenced by fetal and maternal genetic and non-genetic factors, and has been reproducibly associated with future cardio-metabolic health outcomes. In expanded genome-wide association analyses of own birth weight (n = 321,223) and offspring birth weight (n = 230,069 mothers), we identified 190 independent association signals (129 of which are novel). We used structural equation modeling to decompose the contributions of direct fetal and indirect maternal genetic effects, then applied Mendelian randomization to illuminate causal pathways. For example, both indirect maternal and direct fetal genetic effects drive the observational relationship between lower birth weight and higher later blood pressure: maternal blood pressure-raising alleles reduce offspring birth weight, but only direct fetal effects of these alleles, once inherited, increase later offspring blood pressure. Using maternal birth weight-lowering genotypes to proxy for an adverse intrauterine environment provided no evidence that it causally raises offspring blood pressure, indicating that the inverse birth weight-blood pressure association is attributable to genetic effects, and not to intrauterine programming. Y1 - 2019 SN - 1061-4036 SN - 1546-1718 VL - 51 IS - 5 SP - 804 EP - + PB - Nature Publ. Group CY - New York ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Middeldorp, Christel M. A1 - Mahajan, Anubha A1 - Horikoshi, Momoko A1 - Robertson, Neil R. A1 - Beaumont, Robin N. A1 - Bradfield, Jonathan P. A1 - Bustamante, Mariona A1 - Cousminer, Diana L. A1 - Day, Felix R. A1 - De Silva, N. Maneka A1 - Guxens, Monica A1 - Mook-Kanamori, Dennis O. A1 - St Pourcain, Beate A1 - Warrington, Nicole M. A1 - Adair, Linda S. A1 - Ahlqvist, Emma A1 - Ahluwalia, Tarunveer Singh A1 - Almgren, Peter A1 - Ang, Wei A1 - Atalay, Mustafa A1 - Auvinen, Juha A1 - Bartels, Meike A1 - Beckmann, Jacques S. A1 - Bilbao, Jose Ramon A1 - Bond, Tom A1 - Borja, Judith B. A1 - Cavadino, Alana A1 - Charoen, Pimphen A1 - Chen, Zhanghua A1 - Coin, Lachlan A1 - Cooper, Cyrus A1 - Curtin, John A. A1 - Custovic, Adnan A1 - Das, Shikta A1 - Davies, Gareth E. A1 - Dedoussis, George V. A1 - Duijts, Liesbeth A1 - Eastwood, Peter R. A1 - Eliasen, Anders U. A1 - Elliott, Paul A1 - Eriksson, Johan G. A1 - Estivill, Xavier A1 - Fadista, Joao A1 - Fedko, Iryna O. A1 - Frayling, Timothy M. A1 - Gaillard, Romy A1 - Gauderman, W. James A1 - Geller, Frank A1 - Gilliland, Frank A1 - Gilsanz, Vincente A1 - Granell, Raquel A1 - Grarup, Niels A1 - Groop, Leif A1 - Hadley, Dexter A1 - Hakonarson, Hakon A1 - Hansen, Torben A1 - Hartman, Catharina A. A1 - Hattersley, Andrew T. A1 - Hayes, M. Geoffrey A1 - Hebebrand, Johannes A1 - Heinrich, Joachim A1 - Helgeland, Oyvind A1 - Henders, Anjali K. A1 - Henderson, John A1 - Henriksen, Tine B. A1 - Hirschhorn, Joel N. A1 - Hivert, Marie-France A1 - Hocher, Berthold A1 - Holloway, John W. A1 - Holt, Patrick A1 - Hottenga, Jouke-Jan A1 - Hypponen, Elina A1 - Iniguez, Carmen A1 - Johansson, Stefan A1 - Jugessur, Astanand A1 - Kahonen, Mika A1 - Kalkwarf, Heidi J. A1 - Kaprio, Jaakko A1 - Karhunen, Ville A1 - Kemp, John P. A1 - Kerkhof, Marjan A1 - Koppelman, Gerard H. A1 - Korner, Antje A1 - Kotecha, Sailesh A1 - Kreiner-Moller, Eskil A1 - Kulohoma, Benard A1 - Kumar, Ashish A1 - Kutalik, Zoltan A1 - Lahti, Jari A1 - Lappe, Joan M. A1 - Larsson, Henrik A1 - Lehtimaki, Terho A1 - Lewin, Alexandra M. A1 - Li, Jin A1 - Lichtenstein, Paul A1 - Lindgren, Cecilia M. A1 - Lindi, Virpi A1 - Linneberg, Allan A1 - Liu, Xueping A1 - Liu, Jun A1 - Lowe, William L. A1 - Lundstrom, Sebastian A1 - Lyytikainen, Leo-Pekka A1 - Ma, Ronald C. W. A1 - Mace, Aurelien A1 - Magi, Reedik A1 - Magnus, Per A1 - Mamun, Abdullah A. A1 - Mannikko, Minna A1 - Martin, Nicholas G. A1 - Mbarek, Hamdi A1 - McCarthy, Nina S. A1 - Medland, Sarah E. A1 - Melbye, Mads A1 - Melen, Erik A1 - Mohlke, Karen L. A1 - Monnereau, Claire A1 - Morgen, Camilla S. A1 - Morris, Andrew P. A1 - Murray, Jeffrey C. A1 - Myhre, Ronny A1 - Najman, Jackob M. A1 - Nivard, Michel G. A1 - Nohr, Ellen A. A1 - Nolte, Ilja M. A1 - Ntalla, Ioanna A1 - Oberfield, Sharon E. A1 - Oken, Emily A1 - Oldehinkel, Albertine J. A1 - Pahkala, Katja A1 - Palviainen, Teemu A1 - Panoutsopoulou, Kalliope A1 - Pedersen, Oluf A1 - Pennell, Craig E. A1 - Pershagen, Goran A1 - Pitkanen, Niina A1 - Plomin, Robert A1 - Power, Christine A1 - Prasad, Rashmi B. A1 - Prokopenko, Inga A1 - Pulkkinen, Lea A1 - Raikkonen, Katri A1 - Raitakari, Olli T. A1 - Reynolds, Rebecca M. A1 - Richmond, Rebecca C. A1 - Rivadeneira, Fernando A1 - Rodriguez, Alina A1 - Rose, Richard J. A1 - Salem, Rany A1 - Santa-Marina, Loreto A1 - Saw, Seang-Mei A1 - Schnurr, Theresia M. A1 - Scott, James G. A1 - Selzam, Saskia A1 - Shepherd, John A. A1 - Simpson, Angela A1 - Skotte, Line A1 - Sleiman, Patrick M. A. A1 - Snieder, Harold A1 - Sorensen, Thorkild I. A. A1 - Standl, Marie A1 - Steegers, Eric A. P. A1 - Strachan, David P. A1 - Straker, Leon A1 - Strandberg, Timo A1 - Taylor, Michelle A1 - Teo, Yik-Ying A1 - Thiering, Elisabeth A1 - Torrent, Maties A1 - Tyrrell, Jessica A1 - Uitterlinden, Andre G. A1 - van Beijsterveldt, Toos A1 - van der Most, Peter J. A1 - van Duijn, Cornelia M. A1 - Viikari, Jorma A1 - Vilor-Tejedor, Natalia A1 - Vogelezang, Suzanne A1 - Vonk, Judith M. A1 - Vrijkotte, Tanja G. M. A1 - Vuoksimaa, Eero A1 - Wang, Carol A. A1 - Watkins, William J. A1 - Wichmann, H-Erich A1 - Willemsen, Gonneke A1 - Williams, Gail M. A1 - Wilson, James F. A1 - Wray, Naomi R. A1 - Xu, Shujing A1 - Xu, Cheng-Jian A1 - Yaghootkar, Hanieh A1 - Yi, Lu A1 - Zafarmand, Mohammad Hadi A1 - Zeggini, Eleftheria A1 - Zemel, Babette S. A1 - Hinney, Anke A1 - Lakka, Timo A. A1 - Whitehouse, Andrew J. O. A1 - Sunyer, Jordi A1 - Widen, Elisabeth E. A1 - Feenstra, Bjarke A1 - Sebert, Sylvain A1 - Jacobsson, Bo A1 - Njolstad, Pal R. A1 - Stoltenberg, Camilla A1 - Smith, George Davey A1 - Lawlor, Debbie A. A1 - Paternoster, Lavinia A1 - Timpson, Nicholas J. A1 - Ong, Ken K. A1 - Bisgaard, Hans A1 - Bonnelykke, Klaus A1 - Jaddoe, Vincent W. V. A1 - Tiemeier, Henning A1 - Jarvelin, Marjo-Riitta A1 - Evans, David M. A1 - Perry, John R. B. A1 - Grant, Struan F. A. A1 - Boomsma, Dorret I. A1 - Freathy, Rachel M. A1 - McCarthy, Mark I. A1 - Felix, Janine F. T1 - The Early Growth Genetics (EGG) and EArly Genetics and Lifecourse Epidemiology (EAGLE) consortia BT - design, results and future prospects JF - European journal of epidemiology N2 - The impact of many unfavorable childhood traits or diseases, such as low birth weight and mental disorders, is not limited to childhood and adolescence, as they are also associated with poor outcomes in adulthood, such as cardiovascular disease. Insight into the genetic etiology of childhood and adolescent traits and disorders may therefore provide new perspectives, not only on how to improve wellbeing during childhood, but also how to prevent later adverse outcomes. To achieve the sample sizes required for genetic research, the Early Growth Genetics (EGG) and EArly Genetics and Lifecourse Epidemiology (EAGLE) consortia were established. The majority of the participating cohorts are longitudinal population-based samples, but other cohorts with data on early childhood phenotypes are also involved. Cohorts often have a broad focus and collect(ed) data on various somatic and psychiatric traits as well as environmental factors. Genetic variants have been successfully identified for multiple traits, for example, birth weight, atopic dermatitis, childhood BMI, allergic sensitization, and pubertal growth. Furthermore, the results have shown that genetic factors also partly underlie the association with adult traits. As sample sizes are still increasing, it is expected that future analyses will identify additional variants. This, in combination with the development of innovative statistical methods, will provide detailed insight on the mechanisms underlying the transition from childhood to adult disorders. Both consortia welcome new collaborations. Policies and contact details are available from the corresponding authors of this manuscript and/or the consortium websites. KW - Genetics KW - Consortium KW - Childhood traits and disorders KW - Longitudinal Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s10654-019-00502-9 SN - 0393-2990 SN - 1573-7284 VL - 34 IS - 3 SP - 279 EP - 300 PB - Springer CY - Dordrecht ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Mieth, Bettina A1 - Kloft, Marius A1 - Rodriguez, Juan Antonio A1 - Sonnenburg, Soren A1 - Vobruba, Robin A1 - Morcillo-Suarez, Carlos A1 - Farre, Xavier A1 - Marigorta, Urko M. A1 - Fehr, Ernst A1 - Dickhaus, Thorsten A1 - Blanchard, Gilles A1 - Schunk, Daniel A1 - Navarro, Arcadi A1 - Müller, Klaus-Robert T1 - Combining Multiple Hypothesis Testing with Machine Learning Increases the Statistical Power of Genome-wide Association Studies JF - Scientific reports N2 - The standard approach to the analysis of genome-wide association studies (GWAS) is based on testing each position in the genome individually for statistical significance of its association with the phenotype under investigation. To improve the analysis of GWAS, we propose a combination of machine learning and statistical testing that takes correlation structures within the set of SNPs under investigation in a mathematically well-controlled manner into account. The novel two-step algorithm, COMBI, first trains a support vector machine to determine a subset of candidate SNPs and then performs hypothesis tests for these SNPs together with an adequate threshold correction. Applying COMBI to data from a WTCCC study (2007) and measuring performance as replication by independent GWAS published within the 2008-2015 period, we show that our method outperforms ordinary raw p-value thresholding as well as other state-of-the-art methods. COMBI presents higher power and precision than the examined alternatives while yielding fewer false (i.e. non-replicated) and more true (i.e. replicated) discoveries when its results are validated on later GWAS studies. More than 80% of the discoveries made by COMBI upon WTCCC data have been validated by independent studies. Implementations of the COMBI method are available as a part of the GWASpi toolbox 2.0. Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1038/srep36671 SN - 2045-2322 VL - 6 PB - Nature Publ. Group CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Dejonghe, Wim A1 - Kuenen, Sabine A1 - Mylle, Evelien A1 - Vasileva, Mina A1 - Keech, Olivier A1 - Viotti, Corrado A1 - Swerts, Jef A1 - Fendrych, Matyas A1 - Ortiz-Morea, Fausto Andres A1 - Mishev, Kiril A1 - Delang, Simon A1 - Scholl, Stefan A1 - Zarza, Xavier A1 - Heilmann, Mareike A1 - Kourelis, Jiorgos A1 - Kasprowicz, Jaroslaw A1 - Nguyen, Le Son Long A1 - Drozdzecki, Andrzej A1 - Van Houtte, Isabelle A1 - Szatmari, Anna-Maria A1 - Majda, Mateusz A1 - Baisa, Gary A1 - Bednarek, Sebastian York A1 - Robert, Stephanie A1 - Audenaert, Dominique A1 - Testerink, Christa A1 - Munnik, Teun A1 - Van Damme, Daniel A1 - Heilmann, Ingo A1 - Schumacher, Karin A1 - Winne, Johan A1 - Friml, Jiri A1 - Verstreken, Patrik A1 - Russinova, Eugenia T1 - Mitochondrial uncouplers inhibit clathrin-mediated endocytosis largely through cytoplasmic acidification JF - Nature Communications N2 - ATP production requires the establishment of an electrochemical proton gradient across the inner mitochondrial membrane. Mitochondrial uncouplers dissipate this proton gradient and disrupt numerous cellular processes, including vesicular trafficking, mainly through energy depletion. Here we show that Endosidin9 (ES9), a novel mitochondrial uncoupler, is a potent inhibitor of clathrin-mediated endocytosis (CME) in different systems and that ES9 induces inhibition of CME not because of its effect on cellular ATP, but rather due to its protonophore activity that leads to cytoplasm acidification. We show that the known tyrosine kinase inhibitor tyrphostinA23, which is routinely used to block CME, displays similar properties, thus questioning its use as a specific inhibitor of cargo recognition by the AP-2 adaptor complex via tyrosine motif-based endocytosis signals. Furthermore, we show that cytoplasm acidification dramatically affects the dynamics and recruitment of clathrin and associated adaptors, and leads to reduction of phosphatidylinositol 4,5-biphosphate from the plasma membrane. Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1038/ncomms11710 SN - 2041-1723 VL - 7 SP - 1959 EP - 1968 PB - Nature Publ. Group CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Thiede, Rasmus Christoph A1 - Robert, Xavier A1 - Stuebner, Konstanze A1 - Dey, Saptarshi A1 - Faruhn, Johannes T1 - Sustained out-of-sequence shortening along a tectonically active segment of the Main Boundary thrust: The Dhauladhar Range in the northwestern Himalaya JF - Lithosphere N2 - Competing hypotheses suggest that Himalayan topography is sustained and the plate convergence is accommodated either solely along the basal decollement, the Main Himalayan thrust (MHT), or more broadly, across multiple thrust faults. In the past, structural, geomorphic, and geodetic data of the Nepalese Himalaya have been used to constrain the geometry of the MHT and its shallow frontal thrust fault, known as Main Frontal thrust (MFT). The MHT flattens at depth and connects to a hinterland mid-crustal, steeper thrust ramp, located similar to 100 km north of the deformation front. There, the present-day convergence across the Himalaya is mostly accommodated by slip along the MFT. Despite a general agreement that in Nepal most of the shortening is accommodated along the MHT, some researchers have suggested the occurrence of persistent out-of-sequence shortening on interior faults near the Main Central thrust (MCT). Along the northwest Himalaya, in contrast, some of these characteristics of central Nepal are missing, suggesting along-strike variation of wedge deformation and MHT fault geometry. Here we present new field observations and seven zircon (U-Th)/He (ZHe) cooling ages combined with existing low-temperature data sets. In agreement with our previous findings, we suggest that the transect of cooling age patterns across the frontal Dhauladhar Range reveals that the Main Boundary thrust (MBT) is a primary fault, which has uplifted and sustained this spectacular mountain front since at least the late Miocene. Our results suggest that the MBT forms an similar to 40-km-long fault ramp before it soles into the MHT, and motion along it has exhumed rocks from depth of similar to 8-10 km. New three-dimensional thermokinematic modeling (using Pecube finite-element code) reveals that the observed ZHe and apatite fission track cooling ages can only be explained by sustained mean MBT slip rates between similar to 2.6 and 3.5 mm a(-1) since at least 8 Ma, which corresponds to a horizontal shortening rate of similar to 1.7-2.4 mm a(-1). We propose that the MBT is active today, despite a lack of definitive field or seismogenic evidence, and continues to accommodate crustal shorting by out-of-sequence faulting. Assuming that present-day geodetic shorting rates (similar to 14 +/- 2 mm a(-1)) across the northwest Himalaya have been sustained over geologic time scales, this implies that the MBT accommodated similar to 15% of the total Himalayan convergence since its onset. Furthermore, our modeling results imply that the MHT is missing a hinterland mid-crustal ramp further north. Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1130/L630.1 SN - 1941-8264 SN - 1947-4253 VL - 9 SP - 715 EP - 725 PB - American Institute of Physics CY - Boulder ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Hinkel, Jochen A1 - Lincke, Daniel A1 - Vafeidis, Athanasios T. A1 - Perrette, Mahé A1 - Nicholls, Robert James A1 - Tol, Richard S. J. A1 - Marzeion, Ben A1 - Fettweis, Xavier A1 - Ionescu, Cezar A1 - Levermann, Anders T1 - Coastal flood damage and adaptation costs under 21st century sea-level rise JF - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America N2 - Coastal flood damage and adaptation costs under 21st century sea-level rise are assessed on a global scale taking into account a wide range of uncertainties in continental topography data, population data, protection strategies, socioeconomic development and sea-level rise. Uncertainty in global mean and regional sea level was derived from four different climate models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5, each combined with three land-ice scenarios based on the published range of contributions from ice sheets and glaciers. Without adaptation, 0.2-4.6% of global population is expected to be flooded annually in 2100 under 25-123 cm of global mean sea-level rise, with expected annual losses of 0.3-9.3% of global gross domestic product. Damages of this magnitude are very unlikely to be tolerated by society and adaptation will be widespread. The global costs of protecting the coast with dikes are significant with annual investment and maintenance costs of US$ 12-71 billion in 2100, but much smaller than the global cost of avoided damages even without accounting for indirect costs of damage to regional production supply. Flood damages by the end of this century are much more sensitive to the applied protection strategy than to variations in climate and socioeconomic scenarios as well as in physical data sources (topography and climate model). Our results emphasize the central role of long-term coastal adaptation strategies. These should also take into account that protecting large parts of the developed coast increases the risk of catastrophic consequences in the case of defense failure. KW - coastal flooding KW - climate change impact KW - loss and damage Y1 - 2014 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1222469111 SN - 0027-8424 VL - 111 IS - 9 SP - 3292 EP - 3297 PB - National Acad. of Sciences CY - Washington ER -