TY - JOUR A1 - Houlahan, Jeff E. A1 - Currie, David J. A1 - Cottenie, Karl A1 - Cumming, Graeme S. A1 - Ernest, S. K. Morgan A1 - Findlay, C. Scott A1 - Fuhlendorf, Samuel D. A1 - Gaedke, Ursula A1 - Legendre, Pierre A1 - Magnuson, John J. A1 - McArdle, Brian H. A1 - Muldavin, Esteban H. A1 - Noble, David A1 - Russell, Robert A1 - Stevens, Richard D. A1 - Willis, Trevor J. A1 - Woiwod, Ian P. A1 - Wondzell, Steve M. T1 - Compensatory dynamics are rare in natural ecological communities N2 - In population ecology, there has been a fundamental controversy about the relative importance of competition- driven (density-dependent) population regulation vs. abiotic influences such as temperature and precipitation. The same issue arises at the community level; are population sizes driven primarily by changes in the abundances of cooccurring competitors (i.e., compensatory dynamics), or do most species have a common response to environmental factors? Competitive interactions have had a central place in ecological theory, dating back to Gleason, Volterra, Hutchison and MacArthur, and, more recently, Hubbell's influential unified neutral theory of biodiversity and biogeography. If competitive interactions are important in driving year-to-year fluctuations in abundance, then changes in the abundance of one species should generally be accompanied by compensatory changes in the abundances of others. Thus, one necessary consequence of strong compensatory forces is that, on average, species within communities will covary negatively. Here we use measures of community covariance to assess the prevalence of negative covariance in 41 natural communities comprising different taxa at a range of spatial scales. We found that species in natural communities tended to covary positively rather than negatively, the opposite of what would be expected if compensatory dynamics were important. These findings suggest that abiotic factors such as temperature and precipitation are more important than competitive interactions in driving year-to-year fluctuations in species abundance within communities. Y1 - 2007 UR - http://www.pnas.org/ U6 - https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.0603798104 SN - 0027-8424 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Heneghan, Carl A1 - Ward, Alison A1 - Perera, Rafael A1 - Bankhead, Clare A1 - Fuller, Alice A1 - Stevens, Richard A1 - Bradford, Kairen A1 - Tyndel, Sally A1 - Alonso-Coello, Pablo A1 - Ansell, Jack A1 - Beyth, Rebecca A1 - Bernardo, Artur A1 - Christensen, Thomas Decker A1 - Cromheecke, Manon A1 - Edson, Robert G A1 - Fitzmaurice, David A1 - Gadisseur, Alain PA A1 - Garcia-Alamino, Josep M A1 - Gardiner, Chris A1 - Hasenkam, Michael A1 - Jacobson, Alan A1 - Kaatz, Scott A1 - Kamali, Farhad A1 - Khan, Tayyaba Irfan A1 - Knight, Eve A1 - Kortke, Heinrich A1 - Levi, Marcel A1 - Matchar, David Bruce A1 - Menendez-Jandula, Barbara A1 - Rakovac, Ivo A1 - Schaefer, Christian A1 - Siebenhofer, Andrea A1 - Souto, Juan Carlos A1 - Sunderji, Rubina A1 - Gin, Kenneth A1 - Shalansky, Karen A1 - Völler, Heinz A1 - Wagner, Otto A1 - Zittermann, Armin T1 - Self-monitoring of oral anticoagulation systematic review and meta-analysis of individual patient data JF - The lancet N2 - Background Uptake of self-testing and self-management of oral coagulation has remained inconsistent, despite good evidence of their effectiveness. To clarify the value of self-monitoring of oral anticoagulation, we did a meta-analysis of individual patient data addressing several important gaps in the evidence, including an estimate of the effect on time to death, first major haemorrhage, and thromboembolism. Methods We searched Ovid versions of Embase (1980-2009) and Medline (1966-2009), limiting searches to randomised trials with a maximally sensitive strategy. We approached all authors of included trials and requested individual patient data: primary outcomes were time to death, first major haemorrhage, and first thromboembolic event. We did prespecified subgroup analyses according to age, type of control-group care (anticoagulation-clinic care vs primary care), self-testing alone versus self-management, and sex. We analysed patients with mechanical heart valves or atrial fibrillation separately. We used a random-effect model method to calculate pooled hazard ratios and did tests for interaction and heterogeneity, and calculated a time-specific number needed to treat. Findings Of 1357 abstracts, we included 11 trials with data for 6417 participants and 12 800 person-years of follow-up. We reported a significant reduction in thromboembolic events in the self-monitoring group (hazard ratio 0.51; 95% CI 0.31-0.85) but not for major haemorrhagic events (0.88, 0.74-1.06) or death (0.82, 0.62-1.09). Participants younger than 55 years showed a striking reduction in thrombotic events (hazard ratio 0.33, 95% CI 0.17-0.66), as did participants with mechanical heart valve (0.52, 0.35-0.77). Analysis of major outcomes in the very elderly (age >= 85 years, n=99) showed no significant adverse effects of the intervention for all outcomes. Interpretation Our analysis showed that self-monitoring and self-management of oral coagulation is a safe option for suitable patients of all ages. Patients should also be offered the option to self-manage their disease with suitable health-care support as back-up. Y1 - 2012 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/S0140-6736(11)61294-4 SN - 0140-6736 VL - 379 IS - 9813 SP - 322 EP - 334 PB - Elsevier CY - New York ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Sporbert, Maria A1 - Jakubka, Desiree A1 - Bucher, Solveig Franziska A1 - Hensen, Isabell A1 - Freiberg, Martin A1 - Heubach, Katja A1 - König, Andreas A1 - Nordt, Birgit A1 - Plos, Carolin A1 - Blinova, Ilona A1 - Bonn, Aletta A1 - Knickmann, Barbara A1 - Koubek, Tomáš A1 - Linstädter, Anja A1 - Mašková, Tereza A1 - Primack, Richard B. A1 - Rosche, Christoph A1 - Shah, Manzoor A. A1 - Stevens, Albert-Dieter A1 - Tielbörger, Katja A1 - Träger, Sabrina A1 - Wirth, Christian A1 - Römermann, Christine T1 - Functional traits influence patterns in vegetative and reproductive plant phenology - a multi-botanical garden study JF - New phytologist N2 - Phenology has emerged as key indicator of the biological impacts of climate change, yet the role of functional traits constraining variation in herbaceous species' phenology has received little attention. Botanical gardens are ideal places in which to investigate large numbers of species growing under common climate conditions. We ask whether interspecific variation in plant phenology is influenced by differences in functional traits. We recorded onset, end, duration and intensity of initial growth, leafing out, leaf senescence, flowering and fruiting for 212 species across five botanical gardens in Germany. We measured functional traits, including plant height, absolute and specific leaf area, leaf dry matter content, leaf carbon and nitrogen content and seed mass and accounted for species' relatedness. Closely related species showed greater similarities in timing of phenological events than expected by chance, but species' traits had a high degree of explanatory power, pointing to paramount importance of species' life-history strategies. Taller plants showed later timing of initial growth, and flowered, fruited and underwent leaf senescence later. Large-leaved species had shorter flowering and fruiting durations. Taller, large-leaved species differ in their phenology and are more competitive than smaller, small-leaved species. We assume climate warming will change plant communities' competitive hierarchies with consequences for biodiversity. KW - botanical gardens KW - first flowering day KW - growing season length KW - leaf KW - traits KW - PhenObs phenological network KW - phylogeny Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1111/nph.18345 SN - 0028-646X SN - 1469-8137 VL - 235 IS - 6 SP - 2199 EP - 2210 PB - Wiley CY - Hoboken ER -