TY  - RPRT
A1  - Brodeur, Abel
A1  - Mikola, Derek
A1  - Cook, Nikolai
A1  - Brailey, Thomas
A1  - Briggs, Ryan
A1  - Gendre, Alexandra de
A1  - Dupraz, Yannick
A1  - Fiala, Lenka
A1  - Gabani, Jacopo
A1  - Gauriot, Romain
A1  - Haddad, Joanne
A1  - Lima, Goncalo
A1  - Ankel-Peters, Jörg
A1  - Dreber, Anna
A1  - Campbell, Douglas
A1  - Kattan, Lamis
A1  - Fages, Diego Marino
A1  - Mierisch, Fabian
A1  - Sun, Pu
A1  - Wright, Taylor
A1  - Connolly, Marie
A1  - Hoces de la Guardia, Fernando
A1  - Johannesson, Magnus
A1  - Miguel, Edward
A1  - Vilhuber, Lars
A1  - Abarca, Alejandro
A1  - Acharya, Mahesh
A1  - Adjisse, Sossou Simplice
A1  - Akhtar, Ahwaz
A1  - Lizardi, Eduardo Alberto Ramirez
A1  - Albrecht, Sabina
A1  - Andersen, Synve Nygaard
A1  - Andlib, Zubaria
A1  - Arrora, Falak
A1  - Ash, Thomas
A1  - Bacher, Etienne
A1  - Bachler, Sebastian
A1  - Bacon, Félix
A1  - Bagues, Manuel
A1  - Balogh, Timea
A1  - Batmanov, Alisher
A1  - Barschkett, Mara
A1  - Basdil, B. Kaan
A1  - Dower, Jaromneda
A1  - Castek, Ondrej
A1  - Caviglia-Harris, Jill
A1  - Strand, Gabriella Chauca
A1  - Chen, Shi
A1  - Chzhen, Asya
A1  - Chung, Jong
A1  - Collins, Jason
A1  - Coppock, Alexander
A1  - Cordeau, Hugo
A1  - Couillard, Ben
A1  - Crechet, Jonathan
A1  - Crippa, Lorenzo
A1  - Cui, Jeanne
A1  - Czymara, Christian
A1  - Daarstad, Haley
A1  - Dao, Danh Chi
A1  - Dao, Dong
A1  - Schmandt, Marco David
A1  - Linde, Astrid de
A1  - Melo, Lucas De
A1  - Deer, Lachlan
A1  - Vera, Micole De
A1  - Dimitrova, Velichka
A1  - Dollbaum, Jan Fabian
A1  - Dollbaum, Jan Matti
A1  - Donnelly, Michael
A1  - Huynh, Luu Duc Toan
A1  - Dumbalska, Tsvetomira
A1  - Duncan, Jamie
A1  - Duong, Kiet Tuan
A1  - Duprey, Thibaut
A1  - Dworschak, Christoph
A1  - Ellingsrud, Sigmund
A1  - Elminejad, Ali
A1  - Eissa, Yasmine
A1  - Erhart, Andrea
A1  - Etingin-Frati, Giulian
A1  - Fatemi-Pour, Elaheh
A1  - Federice, Alexa
A1  - Feld, Jan
A1  - Fenig, Guidon
A1  - Firouzjaeiangalougah, Mojtaba
A1  - Fleisje, Erlend
A1  - Fortier-Chouinard, Alexandre
A1  - Engel, Julia Francesca
A1  - Fries, Tilman
A1  - Fortier, Reid
A1  - Fréchet, Nadjim
A1  - Galipeau, Thomas
A1  - Gallegos, Sebastián
A1  - Gangji, Areez
A1  - Gao, Xiaoying
A1  - Garnache, Cloé
A1  - Gáspár, Attila
A1  - Gavrilova, Evelina
A1  - Ghosh, Arijit
A1  - Gibney, Garreth
A1  - Gibson, Grant
A1  - Godager, Geir
A1  - Goff, Leonard
A1  - Gong, Da
A1  - González, Javier
A1  - Gretton, Jeremy
A1  - Griffa, Cristina
A1  - Grigoryeva, Idaliya
A1  - Grtting, Maja
A1  - Guntermann, Eric
A1  - Guo, Jiaqi
A1  - Gugushvili, Alexi
A1  - Habibnia, Hooman
A1  - Häffner, Sonja
A1  - Hall, Jonathan D.
A1  - Hammar, Olle
A1  - Kordt, Amund Hanson
A1  - Hashimoto, Barry
A1  - Hartley, Jonathan S.
A1  - Hausladen, Carina I.
A1  - Havránek, Tomáš
A1  - Hazen, Jacob
A1  - He, Harry
A1  - Hepplewhite, Matthew
A1  - Herrera-Rodriguez, Mario
A1  - Heuer, Felix
A1  - Heyes, Anthony
A1  - Ho, Anson T. Y.
A1  - Holmes, Jonathan
A1  - Holzknecht, Armando
A1  - Hsu, Yu-Hsiang Dexter
A1  - Hu, Shiang-Hung
A1  - Huang, Yu-Shiuan
A1  - Huebener, Mathias
A1  - Huber, Christoph
A1  - Huynh, Kim P.
A1  - Irsova, Zuzana
A1  - Isler, Ozan
A1  - Jakobsson, Niklas
A1  - Frith, Michael James
A1  - Jananji, Raphaël
A1  - Jayalath, Tharaka A.
A1  - Jetter, Michael
A1  - John, Jenny
A1  - Forshaw, Rachel Joy
A1  - Juan, Felipe
A1  - Kadriu, Valon
A1  - Karim, Sunny
A1  - Kelly, Edmund
A1  - Dang, Duy Khanh Hoang
A1  - Khushboo, Tazia
A1  - Kim, Jin
A1  - Kjellsson, Gustav
A1  - Kjelsrud, Anders
A1  - Kotsadam, Andreas
A1  - Korpershoek, Jori
A1  - Krashinsky, Lewis
A1  - Kundu, Suranjana
A1  - Kustov, Alexander
A1  - Lalayev, Nurlan
A1  - Langlois, Audrée
A1  - Laufer, Jill
A1  - Lee-Whiting, Blake
A1  - Leibing, Andreas
A1  - Lenz, Gabriel
A1  - Levin, Joel
A1  - Li, Peng
A1  - Li, Tongzhe
A1  - Lin, Yuchen
A1  - Listo, Ariel
A1  - Liu, Dan
A1  - Lu, Xuewen
A1  - Lukmanova, Elvina
A1  - Luscombe, Alex
A1  - Lusher, Lester R.
A1  - Lyu, Ke
A1  - Ma, Hai
A1  - Mäder, Nicolas
A1  - Makate, Clifton
A1  - Malmberg, Alice
A1  - Maitra, Adit
A1  - Mandas, Marco
A1  - Marcus, Jan
A1  - Margaryan, Shushanik
A1  - Márk, Lili
A1  - Martignano, Andres
A1  - Marsh, Abigail
A1  - Masetto, Isabella
A1  - McCanny, Anthony
A1  - McManus, Emma
A1  - McWay, Ryan
A1  - Metson, Lennard
A1  - Kinge, Jonas Minet
A1  - Mishra, Sumit
A1  - Mohnen, Myra
A1  - Möller, Jakob
A1  - Montambeault, Rosalie
A1  - Montpetit, Sébastien
A1  - Morin, Louis-Philippe
A1  - Morris, Todd
A1  - Moser, Scott
A1  - Motoki, Fabio
A1  - Muehlenbachs, Lucija
A1  - Musulan, Andreea
A1  - Musumeci, Marco
A1  - Nabin, Munirul
A1  - Nchare, Karim
A1  - Neubauer, Florian
A1  - Nguyen, Quan M. P.
A1  - Nguyen, Tuan
A1  - Nguyen-Tien, Viet
A1  - Niazi, Ali
A1  - Nikolaishvili, Giorgi
A1  - Nordstrom, Ardyn
A1  - Nü, Patrick
A1  - Odermatt, Angela
A1  - Olson, Matt
A1  - ien, Henning
A1  - Ölkers, Tim
A1  - Vert, Miquel Oliver i.
A1  - Oral, Emre
A1  - Oswald, Christian
A1  - Ousman, Ali
A1  - Özak, Ömer
A1  - Pandey, Shubham
A1  - Pavlov, Alexandre
A1  - Pelli, Martino
A1  - Penheiro, Romeo
A1  - Park, RyuGyung
A1  - Martel, Eva Pérez
A1  - Petrovičová, Tereza
A1  - Phan, Linh
A1  - Prettyman, Alexa
A1  - Procházka, Jakub
A1  - Putri, Aqila
A1  - Quandt, Julian
A1  - Qiu, Kangyu
A1  - Nguyen, Loan Quynh Thi
A1  - Rahman, Andaleeb
A1  - Rea, Carson H.
A1  - Reiremo, Adam
A1  - Renée, Laëtitia
A1  - Richardson, Joseph
A1  - Rivers, Nicholas
A1  - Rodrigues, Bruno
A1  - Roelofs, William
A1  - Roemer, Tobias
A1  - Rogeberg, Ole
A1  - Rose, Julian
A1  - Roskos-Ewoldsen, Andrew
A1  - Rosmer, Paul
A1  - Sabada, Barbara
A1  - Saberian, Soodeh
A1  - Salamanca, Nicolas
A1  - Sator, Georg
A1  - Sawyer, Antoine
A1  - Scates, Daniel
A1  - Schlüter, Elmar
A1  - Sells, Cameron
A1  - Sen, Sharmi
A1  - Sethi, Ritika
A1  - Shcherbiak, Anna
A1  - Sogaolu, Moyosore
A1  - Soosalu, Matt
A1  - Srensen, Erik
A1  - Sovani, Manali
A1  - Spencer, Noah
A1  - Staubli, Stefan
A1  - Stans, Renske
A1  - Stewart, Anya
A1  - Stips, Felix
A1  - Stockley, Kieran
A1  - Strobel, Stephenson
A1  - Struby, Ethan
A1  - Tang, John
A1  - Tanrisever, Idil
A1  - Yang, Thomas Tao
A1  - Tastan, Ipek
A1  - Tatić, Dejan
A1  - Tatlow, Benjamin
A1  - Seuyong, Féraud Tchuisseu
A1  - Thériault, Rémi
A1  - Thivierge, Vincent
A1  - Tian, Wenjie
A1  - Toma, Filip-Mihai
A1  - Totarelli, Maddalena
A1  - Tran, Van-Anh
A1  - Truong, Hung
A1  - Tsoy, Nikita
A1  - Tuzcuoglu, Kerem
A1  - Ubfal, Diego
A1  - Villalobos, Laura
A1  - Walterskirchen, Julian
A1  - Wang, Joseph Taoyi
A1  - Wattal, Vasudha
A1  - Webb, Matthew D.
A1  - Weber, Bryan
A1  - Weisser, Reinhard
A1  - Weng, Wei-Chien
A1  - Westheide, Christian
A1  - White, Kimberly
A1  - Winter, Jacob
A1  - Wochner, Timo
A1  - Woerman, Matt
A1  - Wong, Jared
A1  - Woodard, Ritchie
A1  - Wroński, Marcin
A1  - Yazbeck, Myra
A1  - Yang, Gustav Chung
A1  - Yap, Luther
A1  - Yassin, Kareman
A1  - Ye, Hao
A1  - Yoon, Jin Young
A1  - Yurris, Chris
A1  - Zahra, Tahreen
A1  - Zaneva, Mirela
A1  - Zayat, Aline
A1  - Zhang, Jonathan
A1  - Zhao, Ziwei
A1  - Yaolang, Zhong
T1  - Mass reproducibility and replicability
BT  - a new hope
T2  - I4R discussion paper series
N2  - This study pushes our understanding of research reliability by reproducing and replicating claims from 110 papers in leading economic and political science journals. The analysis involves computational reproducibility checks and robustness assessments. It reveals several patterns. First, we uncover a high rate of fully computationally reproducible results (over 85%). Second, excluding minor issues like missing packages or broken pathways, we uncover coding errors for about 25% of studies, with some studies containing multiple errors. Third, we test the robustness of the results to 5,511 re-analyses. We find a robustness reproducibility of about 70%. Robustness reproducibility rates are relatively higher for re-analyses that introduce new data and lower for re-analyses that change the sample or the definition of the dependent variable. Fourth, 52% of re-analysis effect size estimates are smaller than the original published estimates and the average statistical significance of a re-analysis is 77% of the original. Lastly, we rely on six teams of researchers working independently to answer eight additional research questions on the determinants of robustness reproducibility. Most teams find a negative relationship between replicators' experience and reproducibility, while finding no relationship between reproducibility and the provision of intermediate or even raw data combined with the necessary cleaning codes.
KW  - conomics
KW  - open science
KW  - political science
KW  - replication
KW  - reproduction
KW  - research transparency
Y1  - 2024
SN  - 2752-1931
IS  - 107
PB  - Institute for Replication
CY  - Essen
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Srama, Ralf
A1  - Ahrens, Thomas J.
A1  - Altobelli, Nicolas
A1  - Auer, S.
A1  - Bradley, J. G.
A1  - Burton, M.
A1  - Dikarev, V. V.
A1  - Economou, T.
A1  - Fechtig, Hugo
A1  - Görlich, M.
A1  - Grande, M.
A1  - Graps, Amara
A1  - Grün, Eberhard
A1  - Havnes, Ove
A1  - Helfert, Stefan
A1  - Horanyi, Mihaly
A1  - Igenbergs, E.
A1  - Jessberger, Elmar K.
A1  - Johnson, T. V.
A1  - Kempf, Sascha
A1  - Krivov, Alexander v.
A1  - Krüger, Harald
A1  - Mocker-Ahlreep, Anna
A1  - Moragas-Klostermeyer, Georg
A1  - Lamy, Philippe
A1  - Landgraf, Markus
A1  - Linkert, Dietmar
A1  - Linkert, G.
A1  - Lura, F.
A1  - McDonnell, J. A. M.
A1  - Moehlmann, Dirk
A1  - Morfill, Gregory E.
A1  - Muller, M.
A1  - Roy, M.
A1  - Schafer, G.
A1  - Schlotzhauer, G.
A1  - Schwehm, Gerhard H.
A1  - Spahn, Frank
A1  - Stübig, M.
A1  - Svestka, Jiri
A1  - Tschernjawski, V
T1  - The Cassini Cosmic Dust Analyzer
N2  - The Cassini-Huygens Cosmic Dust Analyzer (CDA) is intended to provide direct observations of dust grains with masses between 10(-19) and 10(-9) kg in interplanetary space and in the jovian and saturnian systems, to investigate their physical, chemical and dynamical properties as functions of the distances to the Sun, to Jupiter and to Saturn and its satellites and rings, to study their interaction with the saturnian rings, satellites and magnetosphere. Chemical composition of interplanetary meteoroids will be compared with asteroidal and cometary dust, as well as with Saturn dust, ejecta from rings and satellites. Ring and satellites phenomena which might be effects of meteoroid impacts will be compared with the interplanetary dust environment. Electrical charges of particulate matter in the magnetosphere and its consequences will be studied, e.g. the effects of the ambient plasma and the magnetic held on the trajectories of dust particles as well as fragmentation of particles due to electrostatic disruption. The investigation will be performed with an instrument that measures the mass, composition, electric charge, speed, and flight direction of individual dust particles. It is a highly reliable and versatile instrument with a mass sensitivity 106 times higher than that of the Pioneer 10 and I I dust detectors which measured dust in the saturnian system. The Cosmic Dust Analyzer has significant inheritance from former space instrumentation developed for the VEGA, Giotto, Galileo, and Ulysses missions. It will reliably measure impacts from as low as I impact per month up to 104 impacts per second. The instrument weighs 17 kg and consumes 12 W, the integrated time-of-flight mass spectrometer has a mass resolution of up to 50. The nominal data transmission rate is 524 bits/s and varies between 50 and 4192 bps
Y1  - 2004
SN  - 0038-6308
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Brzezinka, Krzysztof
A1  - Altmann, Simone
A1  - Czesnick, Hjördis
A1  - Nicolas, Philippe
A1  - Gorka, Michal
A1  - Benke, Eileen
A1  - Kabelitz, Tina
A1  - Jähne, Felix
A1  - Graf, Alexander
A1  - Kappel, Christian
A1  - Bäurle, Isabel
T1  - Arabidopsis FORGETTER1 mediates stress-induced chromatin memory through nucleosome remodeling
JF  - eLife
N2  - Plants as sessile organisms can adapt to environmental stress to mitigate its adverse effects. As part of such adaptation they maintain an active memory of heat stress for several days that promotes a more efficient response to recurring stress. We show that this heat stress memory requires the activity of the FORGETTER1 (FGT1) locus, with fgt1 mutants displaying reduced maintenance of heat-induced gene expression. FGT1 encodes the Arabidopsis thaliana orthologue of Strawberry notch (Sno), and the protein globally associates with the promoter regions of actively expressed genes in a heat-dependent fashion. FGT1 interacts with chromatin remodelers of the SWI/ SNF and ISWI families, which also display reduced heat stress memory. Genomic targets of the BRM remodeler overlap significantly with FGT1 targets. Accordingly, nucleosome dynamics at loci with altered maintenance of heat-induced expression are affected in fgt1. Together, our results suggest that by modulating nucleosome occupancy, FGT1 mediates stress-induced chromatin memory.
Y1  - 2016
U6  - https://doi.org/10.7554/eLife.17061
SN  - 2050-084X
VL  - 5
PB  - eLife Sciences Publications
CY  - Cambridge
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Nicolas, Philippe
A1  - Lecourieux, David
A1  - Kappel, Christian
A1  - Cluzet, Stephanie
A1  - Cramer, Grant
A1  - Delrot, Serge
A1  - Lecourieux, Fatma
T1  - The basic leucine zipper transcription factor abscisic acid responseelement-binding factor 2 is an important transcriptional regulator ofabscisic acid-dependent grape berry ripening processes
JF  - Plant physiology : an international journal devoted to physiology, biochemistry, cellular and molecular biology, biophysics and environmental biology of plants
N2  - In grape (Vitis vinifera), abscisic acid (ABA) accumulates during fruit ripening and is thought to play a pivotal role in this process, but the molecular basis of this control is poorly understood. This work characterizes ABSCISIC ACID RESPONSE ELEMENT-BINDING FACTOR2 (VvABF2), a grape basic leucine zipper transcription factor belonging to a phylogenetic subgroup previously shown to be involved in ABA and abiotic stress signaling in other plant species. VvABF2 transcripts mainly accumulated in the berry, from the onset of ripening to the harvesting stage, and were up-regulated by ABA. Microarray analysis of transgenic grape cells overexpressing VvABF2 showed that this transcription factor up-regulates and/or modifies existing networks related to ABA responses. In addition, grape cells overexpressing VvABF2 exhibited enhanced responses to ABA treatment compared with control cells. Among the VvABF2-mediated responses highlighted in this study, the synthesis of phenolic compounds and cell wall softening were the most strongly affected. VvABF2 overexpression strongly increased the accumulation of stilbenes that play a role in plant defense and human health (resveratrol and piceid). In addition, the firmness of fruits from tomato (Solanum lycopersicum) plants overexpressing VvABF2 was strongly reduced. These data indicate that VvABF2 is an important transcriptional regulator of ABA-dependent grape berry ripening.
Y1  - 2014
U6  - https://doi.org/10.1104/pp.113.231977
SN  - 0032-0889
SN  - 1532-2548
VL  - 164
IS  - 1
SP  - 365
EP  - 383
PB  - American Society of Plant Physiologists
CY  - Rockville
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Leloup, Philippe-Hervé
A1  - Arnaud, Nicolas
A1  - Sobel, Edward
A1  - Lacassin, R.
T1  - Alpine thermal and structural evolution of the highest external crystalline massif : the Mont Blanc
N2  - The alpine structural evolution of the Mont Blanc, highest point of the Alps (4810 m), and of the surrounding area has been reexamined. The Mont Blanc and the Aiguilles Rouges external crystalline massifs are windows of Variscan basement within the Penninic and Helvetic nappes. New structural, Ar-40/Ar-39, and fission track data combined with a compilation of earlier P-T estimates and geochronological data give constraints on the amount and timing of the Mont Blanc and Aiguilles Rouges massifs exhumation. Alpine exhumation of the Aiguilles Rouges was limited to the thickness of the overlying nappes (similar to 10 km), while rocks now outcropping in the Mont Blanc have been exhumed from 15 to 20 km depth. Uplift of the two massifs started similar to 22 Myr ago, probably above an incipient thrust: the Alpine sole thrust. At similar to 12 Ma, the NE-SW trending Mont Blanc shear zone (MBsz) initiated. It is a major steep reverse fault with a dextral component, whose existence has been overlooked by most authors, that brings the Mont Blanc above the Aiguilles Rouges. Total vertical throw on the MBsz is estimated to be between 4 and 8 km. Fission track data suggest that relative motion between the Aiguilles Rouges and the Mont Blanc stopped similar to 4 Myr ago. Since that time, uplift of the Mont Blanc has mostly taken place along the Mont Blanc back thrust, a steep north dipping fault bounding the southern flank of the range. The "European roof'' is located where the back thrust intersects the MBsz. Uplift of the Mont Blanc and Aiguilles Rouges occurred toward the end of motion on the Helvetic basal decollement (HBD) at the base of the Helvetic nappes but is coeval with the Jura thin-skinned belt. Northwestward thrusting and uplift of the external crystalline massifs above the Alpine sole thrust deformed the overlying Helvetic nappes and formed a backstop, inducing the formation of the Jura arc. In that part of the external Alps, similar to NW-SE shortening with minor dextral NE-SW motions appears to have been continuous from similar to 22 Ma until at least similar to 4 Ma but may be still active today. A sequential history of the alpine structural evolution of the units now outcropping NW of the Pennine thrust is proposed
Y1  - 2005
SN  - 0278-7407
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Beauval, Celine
A1  - Tasan, Hilal
A1  - Laurendeau, Aurore
A1  - Delavaud, Elise
A1  - Cotton, Fabrice
A1  - Gueguen, Philippe
A1  - Kühn, Nicolas
T1  - On the testing of ground-motion prediction equations against small-magnitude data
JF  - Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America
N2  - Ground-motion prediction equations (GMPE) are essential in probabilistic seismic hazard studies for estimating the ground motions generated by the seismic sources. In low-seismicity regions, only weak motions are available during the lifetime of accelerometric networks, and the equations selected for the probabilistic studies are usually models established from foreign data. Although most GMPEs have been developed for magnitudes 5 and above, the minimum magnitude often used in probabilistic studies in low-seismicity regions is smaller. Disaggregations have shown that, at return periods of engineering interest, magnitudes less than 5 may be contributing to the hazard. This paper presents the testing of several GMPEs selected in current international and national probabilistic projects against weak motions recorded in France (191 recordings with source-site distances up to 300 km, 3:8 <= M-w <= 4:5). The method is based on the log-likelihood value proposed by Scherbaum et al. (2009). The best-fitting models (approximately 2:5 <= LLH <= 3:5) over the whole frequency range are the Cauzzi and Faccioli (2008), Akkar and Bommer (2010), and Abrahamson and Silva (2008) models. No significant regional variation of ground motions is highlighted, and the magnitude scaling could be the predominant factor in the control of ground-motion amplitudes. Furthermore, we take advantage of a rich Japanese dataset to run tests on randomly selected low-magnitude subsets, and confirm that a dataset of similar to 190 observations, the same size as the French dataset, is large enough to obtain stable LLH estimates. Additionally we perform the tests against larger magnitudes (5-7) from the Japanese dataset. The ranking of models is partially modified, indicating a magnitude scaling effect for some of the models, and showing that extrapolating testing results obtained from low-magnitude ranges to higher magnitude ranges is not straightforward.
Y1  - 2012
U6  - https://doi.org/10.1785/0120110271
SN  - 0037-1106
VL  - 102
IS  - 5
SP  - 1994
EP  - 2007
PB  - Seismological Society of America
CY  - El Cerrito
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Seroussi, Helene
A1  - Nowicki, Sophie
A1  - Payne, Antony J.
A1  - Goelzer, Heiko
A1  - Lipscomb, William H.
A1  - Abe-Ouchi, Ayako
A1  - Agosta, Cecile
A1  - Albrecht, Torsten
A1  - Asay-Davis, Xylar
A1  - Barthel, Alice
A1  - Calov, Reinhard
A1  - Cullather, Richard
A1  - Dumas, Christophe
A1  - Galton-Fenzi, Benjamin K.
A1  - Gladstone, Rupert
A1  - Golledge, Nicholas R.
A1  - Gregory, Jonathan M.
A1  - Greve, Ralf
A1  - Hattermann, Tore
A1  - Hoffman, Matthew J.
A1  - Humbert, Angelika
A1  - Huybrechts, Philippe
A1  - Jourdain, Nicolas C.
A1  - Kleiner, Thomas
A1  - Larour, Eric
A1  - Leguy, Gunter R.
A1  - Lowry, Daniel P.
A1  - Little, Chistopher M.
A1  - Morlighem, Mathieu
A1  - Pattyn, Frank
A1  - Pelle, Tyler
A1  - Price, Stephen F.
A1  - Quiquet, Aurelien
A1  - Reese, Ronja
A1  - Schlegel, Nicole-Jeanne
A1  - Shepherd, Andrew
A1  - Simon, Erika
A1  - Smith, Robin S.
A1  - Straneo, Fiammetta
A1  - Sun, Sainan
A1  - Trusel, Luke D.
A1  - Van Breedam, Jonas
A1  - van de Wal, Roderik S. W.
A1  - Winkelmann, Ricarda
A1  - Zhao, Chen
A1  - Zhang, Tong
A1  - Zwinger, Thomas
T1  - ISMIP6 Antarctica
BT  - a multi-model ensemble of the Antarctic ice sheet evolution over the 21st century
JF  - The Cryosphere : TC ; an interactive open access journal of the European Geosciences Union
N2  - Ice flow models of the Antarctic ice sheet are commonly used to simulate its future evolution in response to different climate scenarios and assess the mass loss that would contribute to future sea level rise. However, there is currently no consensus on estimates of the future mass balance of the ice sheet, primarily because of differences in the representation of physical processes, forcings employed and initial states of ice sheet models. This study presents results from ice flow model simulations from 13 international groups focusing on the evolution of the Antarctic ice sheet during the period 2015-2100 as part of the Ice Sheet Model Intercomparison for CMIP6 (ISMIP6). They are forced with outputs from a subset of models from the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project Phase 5 (CMIP5), representative of the spread in climate model results. Simulations of the Antarctic ice sheet contribution to sea level rise in response to increased warming during this period varies between 7:8 and 30.0 cm of sea level equivalent (SLE) under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 8.5 scenario forcing. These numbers are relative to a control experiment with constant climate conditions and should therefore be added to the mass loss contribution under climate conditions similar to present-day conditions over the same period. The simulated evolution of the West Antarctic ice sheet varies widely among models, with an overall mass loss, up to 18.0 cm SLE, in response to changes in oceanic conditions. East Antarctica mass change varies between 6 :1 and 8.3 cm SLE in the simulations, with a significant increase in surface mass balance outweighing the increased ice discharge under most RCP 8.5 scenario forcings. The inclusion of ice shelf collapse, here assumed to be caused by large amounts of liquid water ponding at the surface of ice shelves, yields an additional simulated mass loss of 28mm compared to simulations without ice shelf collapse. The largest sources of uncertainty come from the climate forcing, the ocean-induced melt rates, the calibration of these melt rates based on oceanic conditions taken outside of ice shelf cavities and the ice sheet dynamic response to these oceanic changes. Results under RCP 2.6 scenario based on two CMIP5 climate models show an additional mass loss of 0 and 3 cm of SLE on average compared to simulations done under present-day conditions for the two CMIP5 forcings used and display limited mass gain in East Antarctica.
Y1  - 2020
U6  - https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3033-2020
SN  - 1994-0416
SN  - 1994-0424
VL  - 14
IS  - 9
SP  - 3033
EP  - 3070
PB  - Copernicus
CY  - Göttingen
ER  -