TY  - JOUR
A1  - Jones, Benjamin M.
A1  - Arp, Christopher D.
A1  - Grosse, Guido
A1  - Nitze, Ingmar
A1  - Lara, Mark J.
A1  - Whitman, Matthew S.
A1  - Farquharson, Louise M.
A1  - Kanevskiy, Mikhail
A1  - Parsekian, Andrew D.
A1  - Breen, Amy L.
A1  - Ohara, Nori
A1  - Rangel, Rodrigo Correa
A1  - Hinkel, Kenneth M.
T1  - Identifying historical and future potential lake drainage events on the western Arctic coastal plain of Alaska
JF  - Permafrost and Periglacial Processes
N2  - Arctic lakes located in permafrost regions are susceptible to catastrophic drainage. In this study, we reconstructed historical lake drainage events on the western Arctic Coastal Plain of Alaska between 1955 and 2017 using USGS topographic maps, historical aerial photography (1955), and Landsat Imagery (ca. 1975, ca. 2000, and annually since 2000). We identified 98 lakes larger than 10 ha that partially (>25% of area) or completely drained during the 62-year period. Decadal-scale lake drainage rates progressively declined from 2.0 lakes/yr (1955-1975), to 1.6 lakes/yr (1975-2000), and to 1.2 lakes/yr (2000-2017) in the ~30,000-km(2) study area. Detailed Landsat trend analysis between 2000 and 2017 identified two years, 2004 and 2006, with a cluster (five or more) of lake drainages probably associated with bank overtopping or headward erosion. To identify future potential lake drainages, we combined the historical lake drainage observations with a geospatial dataset describing lake elevation, hydrologic connectivity, and adjacent lake margin topographic gradients developed with a 5-m-resolution digital surface model. We identified ~1900 lakes likely to be prone to drainage in the future. Of the 20 lakes that drained in the most recent study period, 85% were identified in this future lake drainage potential dataset. Our assessment of historical lake drainage magnitude, mechanisms and pathways, and identification of potential future lake drainages provides insights into how arctic lowland landscapes may change and evolve in the coming decades to centuries.
KW  - Arctic lakes
KW  - drained lake basins
KW  - lake drainage
KW  - permafrost regions
KW  - thermokarst lakes
Y1  - 2020
U6  - https://doi.org/10.1002/ppp.2038
VL  - 31
IS  - 1
SP  - 110
EP  - 127
PB  - Wiley
CY  - New York
ER  - 
TY  - GEN
A1  - Jones, Benjamin M.
A1  - Arp, Christopher D.
A1  - Grosse, Guido
A1  - Nitze, Ingmar
A1  - Lara, Mark J.
A1  - Whitman, Matthew S.
A1  - Farquharson, Louise M.
A1  - Kanevskiy, Mikhail
A1  - Parsekian, Andrew D.
A1  - Breen, Amy L.
A1  - Ohara, Nori
A1  - Rangel, Rodrigo Correa
A1  - Hinkel, Kenneth M.
T1  - Identifying historical and future potential lake drainage events on the western Arctic coastal plain of Alaska
T2  - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe
N2  - Arctic lakes located in permafrost regions are susceptible to catastrophic drainage. In this study, we reconstructed historical lake drainage events on the western Arctic Coastal Plain of Alaska between 1955 and 2017 using USGS topographic maps, historical aerial photography (1955), and Landsat Imagery (ca. 1975, ca. 2000, and annually since 2000). We identified 98 lakes larger than 10 ha that partially (>25% of area) or completely drained during the 62-year period. Decadal-scale lake drainage rates progressively declined from 2.0 lakes/yr (1955-1975), to 1.6 lakes/yr (1975-2000), and to 1.2 lakes/yr (2000-2017) in the ~30,000-km(2) study area. Detailed Landsat trend analysis between 2000 and 2017 identified two years, 2004 and 2006, with a cluster (five or more) of lake drainages probably associated with bank overtopping or headward erosion. To identify future potential lake drainages, we combined the historical lake drainage observations with a geospatial dataset describing lake elevation, hydrologic connectivity, and adjacent lake margin topographic gradients developed with a 5-m-resolution digital surface model. We identified ~1900 lakes likely to be prone to drainage in the future. Of the 20 lakes that drained in the most recent study period, 85% were identified in this future lake drainage potential dataset. Our assessment of historical lake drainage magnitude, mechanisms and pathways, and identification of potential future lake drainages provides insights into how arctic lowland landscapes may change and evolve in the coming decades to centuries.
T3  - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 1376 
KW  - Arctic lakes
KW  - drained lake basins
KW  - lake drainage
KW  - permafrost regions
KW  - thermokarst lakes
Y1  - 2020
U6  - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-610435
SN  - 1866-8372
IS  - 1
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Jones, Benjamin M.
A1  - Grosse, Guido
A1  - Farquharson, Louise M.
A1  - Roy-Léveillée, Pascale
A1  - Veremeeva, Alexandra
A1  - Kanevskiy, Mikhail Z.
A1  - Gaglioti, Benjamin
A1  - Breen, Amy L.
A1  - Parsekian, Andrew D.
A1  - Ulrich, Mathias
A1  - Hinkel, Kenneth M.
T1  - Lake and drained lake basin systems in lowland permafrost regions
JF  - Nature reviews earth and environment
N2  - The formation, growth and drainage of lakes in Arctic and boreal lowland permafrost regions influence landscape and ecosystem processes. These lake and drained lake basin (L-DLB) systems occupy >20% of the circumpolar Northern Hemisphere permafrost region and similar to 50% of the area below 300 m above sea level. Climate change is causing drastic impacts to L-DLB systems, with implications for permafrost dynamics, ecosystem functioning, biogeochemical processes and human livelihoods in lowland permafrost regions. In this Review, we discuss how an increase in the number of lakes as a result of permafrost thaw and an intensifying hydrologic regime are not currently offsetting the land area gained through lake drainage, enhancing the dominance of drained lake basins (DLBs).The contemporary transition from lakes to DLBs decreases hydrologic storage, leads to permafrost aggradation, increases carbon sequestration and diversifies the shifting habitat mosaic in Arctic and boreal regions. However, further warming could inhibit permafrost aggradation in DLBs, disrupting the trajectory of important microtopographic controls on carbon fluxes and ecosystem processes in permafrost-region L-DLB systems. Further research is needed to understand the future dynamics of L-DLB systems to improve Earth system models, permafrost carbon feedback assessments, permafrost hydrology linkages, infrastructure development in permafrost regions and the well-being of northern socio-ecological systems.
Y1  - 2022
U6  - https://doi.org/10.1038/s43017-021-00238-9
SN  - 2662-138X
VL  - 3
IS  - 1
SP  - 85
EP  - 98
PB  - Springer Nature
CY  - London
ER  -