TY - JOUR A1 - Taal, H. Rob A1 - St Pourcain, Beate A1 - Thiering, Elisabeth A1 - Das, Shikta A1 - Mook-Kanamori, Dennis O. A1 - Warrington, Nicole M. A1 - Kaakinen, Marika A1 - Kreiner-Moller, Eskil A1 - Bradfield, Jonathan P. A1 - Freathy, Rachel M. A1 - Geller, Frank A1 - Guxens, Monica A1 - Cousminer, Diana L. A1 - Kerkhof, Marjan A1 - Timpson, Nicholas J. A1 - Ikram, M. Arfan A1 - Beilin, Lawrence J. A1 - Bonnelykke, Klaus A1 - Buxton, Jessica L. A1 - Charoen, Pimphen A1 - Chawes, Bo Lund Krogsgaard A1 - Eriksson, Johan A1 - Evans, David M. A1 - Hofman, Albert A1 - Kemp, John P. A1 - Kim, Cecilia E. A1 - Klopp, Norman A1 - Lahti, Jari A1 - Lye, Stephen J. A1 - McMahon, George A1 - Mentch, Frank D. A1 - Mueller-Nurasyid, Martina A1 - O'Reilly, Paul F. A1 - Prokopenko, Inga A1 - Rivadeneira, Fernando A1 - Steegers, Eric A. P. A1 - Sunyer, Jordi A1 - Tiesler, Carla A1 - Yaghootkar, Hanieh A1 - Breteler, Monique M. B. A1 - Debette, Stephanie A1 - Fornage, Myriam A1 - Gudnason, Vilmundur A1 - Launer, Lenore J. A1 - van der Lugt, Aad A1 - Mosley, Thomas H. A1 - Seshadri, Sudha A1 - Smith, Albert V. A1 - Vernooij, Meike W. A1 - Blakemore, Alexandra I. F. A1 - Chiavacci, Rosetta M. A1 - Feenstra, Bjarke A1 - Fernandez-Banet, Julio A1 - Grant, Struan F. A. A1 - Hartikainen, Anna-Liisa A1 - van der Heijden, Albert J. A1 - Iniguez, Carmen A1 - Lathrop, Mark A1 - McArdle, Wendy L. A1 - Molgaard, Anne A1 - Newnham, John P. A1 - Palmer, Lyle J. A1 - Palotie, Aarno A1 - Pouta, Annneli A1 - Ring, Susan M. A1 - Sovio, Ulla A1 - Standl, Marie A1 - Uitterlinden, Andre G. A1 - Wichmann, H-Erich A1 - Vissing, Nadja Hawwa A1 - DeCarli, Charles A1 - van Duijn, Cornelia M. A1 - McCarthy, Mark I. A1 - Koppelman, Gerard H. A1 - Estivill, Xavier A1 - Hattersley, Andrew T. A1 - Melbye, Mads A1 - Bisgaard, Hans A1 - Pennell, Craig E. A1 - Widen, Elisabeth A1 - Hakonarson, Hakon A1 - Smith, George Davey A1 - Heinrich, Joachim A1 - Jarvelin, Marjo-Riitta A1 - Jaddoe, Vincent W. V. A1 - Adair, Linda S. A1 - Ang, Wei A1 - Atalay, Mustafa A1 - van Beijsterveldt, Toos A1 - Bergen, Nienke A1 - Benke, Kelly A1 - Berry, Diane J. A1 - Bradfield, Jonathan P. A1 - Charoen, Pimphen A1 - Coin, Lachlan A1 - Cousminer, Diana L. A1 - Das, Shikta A1 - Davis, Oliver S. P. A1 - Elliott, Paul A1 - Evans, David M. A1 - Feenstra, Bjarke A1 - Flexeder, Claudia A1 - Frayling, Tim A1 - Freathy, Rachel M. A1 - Gaillard, Romy A1 - Geller, Frank A1 - Groen-Blokhuis, Maria A1 - Goh, Liang-Kee A1 - Guxens, Monica A1 - Haworth, Claire M. A. A1 - Hadley, Dexter A1 - Hebebrand, Johannes A1 - Hinney, Anke A1 - Hirschhorn, Joel N. A1 - Holloway, John W. A1 - Holst, Claus A1 - Hottenga, Jouke Jan A1 - Horikoshi, Momoko A1 - Huikari, Ville A1 - Hypponen, Elina A1 - Iniguez, Carmen A1 - Kaakinen, Marika A1 - Kilpelainen, Tuomas O. A1 - Kirin, Mirna A1 - Kowgier, Matthew A1 - Lakka, Hanna-Maaria A1 - Lange, Leslie A. A1 - Lawlor, Debbie A. A1 - Lehtimaki, Terho A1 - Lewin, Alex A1 - Lindgren, Cecilia A1 - Lindi, Virpi A1 - Maggi, Reedik A1 - Marsh, Julie A1 - Middeldorp, Christel A1 - Millwood, Iona A1 - Mook-Kanamori, Dennis O. A1 - Murray, Jeffrey C. A1 - Nivard, Michel A1 - Nohr, Ellen Aagaard A1 - Ntalla, Ioanna A1 - Oken, Emily A1 - O'Reilly, Paul F. A1 - Palmer, Lyle J. A1 - Panoutsopoulou, Kalliope A1 - Pararajasingham, Jennifer A1 - Prokopenko, Inga A1 - Rodriguez, Alina A1 - Salem, Rany M. A1 - Sebert, Sylvain A1 - Siitonen, Niina A1 - Sovio, Ulla A1 - St Pourcain, Beate A1 - Strachan, David P. A1 - Sunyer, Jordi A1 - Taal, H. Rob A1 - Teo, Yik-Ying A1 - Thiering, Elisabeth A1 - Tiesler, Carla A1 - Uitterlinden, Andre G. A1 - Valcarcel, Beatriz A1 - Warrington, Nicole M. A1 - White, Scott A1 - Willemsen, Gonneke A1 - Yaghootkar, Hanieh A1 - Zeggini, Eleftheria A1 - Boomsma, Dorret I. A1 - Cooper, Cyrus A1 - Estivill, Xavier A1 - Gillman, Matthew A1 - Grant, Struan F. A. A1 - Hakonarson, Hakon A1 - Hattersley, Andrew T. A1 - Heinrich, Joachim A1 - Hocher, Berthold A1 - Jaddoe, Vincent W. V. A1 - Jarvelin, Marjo-Riitta A1 - Lakka, Timo A. A1 - McCarthy, Mark I. A1 - Melbye, Mads A1 - Mohlke, Karen L. A1 - Dedoussis, George V. A1 - Ong, Ken K. A1 - Pearson, Ewan R. A1 - Pennell, Craig E. A1 - Price, Thomas S. A1 - Power, Chris A1 - Raitakari, Olli T. A1 - Saw, Seang-Mei A1 - Scherag, Andre A1 - Simell, Olli A1 - Sorensen, Thorkild I. A. A1 - Timpson, Nicholas J. A1 - Widen, Elisabeth A1 - Wilson, James F. A1 - Ang, Wei A1 - van Beijsterveldt, Toos A1 - Bergen, Nienke A1 - Benke, Kelly A1 - Berry, Diane J. A1 - Bradfield, Jonathan P. A1 - Charoen, Pimphen A1 - Coin, Lachlan A1 - Cousminer, Diana L. A1 - Das, Shikta A1 - Elliott, Paul A1 - Evans, David M. A1 - Frayling, Tim A1 - Freathy, Rachel M. A1 - Gaillard, Romy A1 - Groen-Blokhuis, Maria A1 - Guxens, Monica A1 - Hadley, Dexter A1 - Hottenga, Jouke Jan A1 - Huikari, Ville A1 - Hypponen, Elina A1 - Kaakinen, Marika A1 - Kowgier, Matthew A1 - Lawlor, Debbie A. A1 - Lewin, Alex A1 - Lindgren, Cecilia A1 - Marsh, Julie A1 - Middeldorp, Christel A1 - Millwood, Iona A1 - Mook-Kanamori, Dennis O. A1 - Nivard, Michel A1 - O'Reilly, Paul F. A1 - Palmer, Lyle J. A1 - Prokopenko, Inga A1 - Rodriguez, Alina A1 - Sebert, Sylvain A1 - Sovio, Ulla A1 - St Pourcain, Beate A1 - Standl, Marie A1 - Strachan, David P. A1 - Sunyer, Jordi A1 - Taal, H. Rob A1 - Thiering, Elisabeth A1 - Tiesler, Carla A1 - Uitterlinden, Andre G. A1 - Valcarcel, Beatriz A1 - Warrington, Nicole M. A1 - White, Scott A1 - Willemsen, Gonneke A1 - Yaghootkar, Hanieh A1 - Boomsma, Dorret I. A1 - Estivill, Xavier A1 - Grant, Struan F. A. A1 - Hakonarson, Hakon A1 - Hattersley, Andrew T. A1 - Heinrich, Joachim A1 - Jaddoe, Vincent W. V. A1 - Jarvelin, Marjo-Riitta A1 - McCarthy, Mark I. A1 - Pennell, Craig E. A1 - Power, Chris A1 - Timpson, Nicholas J. A1 - Widen, Elisabeth A1 - Ikram, M. Arfan A1 - Fornage, Myriam A1 - Smith, Albert V. A1 - Seshadri, Sudha A1 - Schmidt, Reinhold A1 - Debette, Stephanie A1 - Vrooman, Henri A. A1 - Sigurdsson, Sigurdur A1 - Ropele, Stefan A1 - Coker, Laura H. A1 - Longstreth, W. T. A1 - Niessen, Wiro J. A1 - DeStefano, Anita L. A1 - Beiser, Alexa A1 - Zijdenbos, Alex P. A1 - Struchalin, Maksim A1 - Jack, Clifford R. A1 - Nalls, Mike A. A1 - Au, Rhoda A1 - Hofman, Albert A1 - Gudnason, Haukur A1 - van der Lugt, Aad A1 - Harris, Tamara B. A1 - Meeks, William M. A1 - Vernooij, Meike W. A1 - van Buchem, Mark A. A1 - Catellier, Diane A1 - Gudnason, Vilmundur A1 - Windham, B. Gwen A1 - Wolf, Philip A. A1 - van Duijn, Cornelia M. A1 - Mosley, Thomas H. A1 - Schmidt, Helena A1 - Launer, Lenore J. A1 - Breteler, Monique M. B. A1 - DeCarli, Charles T1 - Common variants at 12q15 and 12q24 are associated with infant head circumference JF - Nature genetics N2 - To identify genetic variants associated with head circumference in infancy, we performed a meta-analysis of seven genome-wide association studies (GWAS) (N = 10,768 individuals of European ancestry enrolled in pregnancy and/or birth cohorts) and followed up three lead signals in six replication studies (combined N = 19,089). rs7980687 on chromosome 12q24 (P = 8.1 x 10(-9)) and rs1042725 on chromosome 12q15 (P = 2.8 x 10(-10)) were robustly associated with head circumference in infancy. Although these loci have previously been associated with adult height(1), their effects on infant head circumference were largely independent of height (P = 3.8 x 10(-7) for rs7980687 and P = 1.3 x 10(-7) for rs1042725 after adjustment for infant height). A third signal, rs11655470 on chromosome 17q21, showed suggestive evidence of association with head circumference (P = 3.9 x 10(-6)). SNPs correlated to the 17q21 signal have shown genome-wide association with adult intracranial volume(2), Parkinson's disease and other neurodegenerative diseases(3-5), indicating that a common genetic variant in this region might link early brain growth with neurological disease in later life. Y1 - 2012 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1038/ng.2238 SN - 1061-4036 VL - 44 IS - 5 SP - 532 EP - + PB - Nature Publ. Group CY - New York ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Middeldorp, Christel M. A1 - Mahajan, Anubha A1 - Horikoshi, Momoko A1 - Robertson, Neil R. A1 - Beaumont, Robin N. A1 - Bradfield, Jonathan P. A1 - Bustamante, Mariona A1 - Cousminer, Diana L. A1 - Day, Felix R. A1 - De Silva, N. Maneka A1 - Guxens, Monica A1 - Mook-Kanamori, Dennis O. A1 - St Pourcain, Beate A1 - Warrington, Nicole M. A1 - Adair, Linda S. A1 - Ahlqvist, Emma A1 - Ahluwalia, Tarunveer Singh A1 - Almgren, Peter A1 - Ang, Wei A1 - Atalay, Mustafa A1 - Auvinen, Juha A1 - Bartels, Meike A1 - Beckmann, Jacques S. A1 - Bilbao, Jose Ramon A1 - Bond, Tom A1 - Borja, Judith B. A1 - Cavadino, Alana A1 - Charoen, Pimphen A1 - Chen, Zhanghua A1 - Coin, Lachlan A1 - Cooper, Cyrus A1 - Curtin, John A. A1 - Custovic, Adnan A1 - Das, Shikta A1 - Davies, Gareth E. A1 - Dedoussis, George V. A1 - Duijts, Liesbeth A1 - Eastwood, Peter R. A1 - Eliasen, Anders U. A1 - Elliott, Paul A1 - Eriksson, Johan G. A1 - Estivill, Xavier A1 - Fadista, Joao A1 - Fedko, Iryna O. A1 - Frayling, Timothy M. A1 - Gaillard, Romy A1 - Gauderman, W. James A1 - Geller, Frank A1 - Gilliland, Frank A1 - Gilsanz, Vincente A1 - Granell, Raquel A1 - Grarup, Niels A1 - Groop, Leif A1 - Hadley, Dexter A1 - Hakonarson, Hakon A1 - Hansen, Torben A1 - Hartman, Catharina A. A1 - Hattersley, Andrew T. A1 - Hayes, M. Geoffrey A1 - Hebebrand, Johannes A1 - Heinrich, Joachim A1 - Helgeland, Oyvind A1 - Henders, Anjali K. A1 - Henderson, John A1 - Henriksen, Tine B. A1 - Hirschhorn, Joel N. A1 - Hivert, Marie-France A1 - Hocher, Berthold A1 - Holloway, John W. A1 - Holt, Patrick A1 - Hottenga, Jouke-Jan A1 - Hypponen, Elina A1 - Iniguez, Carmen A1 - Johansson, Stefan A1 - Jugessur, Astanand A1 - Kahonen, Mika A1 - Kalkwarf, Heidi J. A1 - Kaprio, Jaakko A1 - Karhunen, Ville A1 - Kemp, John P. A1 - Kerkhof, Marjan A1 - Koppelman, Gerard H. A1 - Korner, Antje A1 - Kotecha, Sailesh A1 - Kreiner-Moller, Eskil A1 - Kulohoma, Benard A1 - Kumar, Ashish A1 - Kutalik, Zoltan A1 - Lahti, Jari A1 - Lappe, Joan M. A1 - Larsson, Henrik A1 - Lehtimaki, Terho A1 - Lewin, Alexandra M. A1 - Li, Jin A1 - Lichtenstein, Paul A1 - Lindgren, Cecilia M. A1 - Lindi, Virpi A1 - Linneberg, Allan A1 - Liu, Xueping A1 - Liu, Jun A1 - Lowe, William L. A1 - Lundstrom, Sebastian A1 - Lyytikainen, Leo-Pekka A1 - Ma, Ronald C. W. A1 - Mace, Aurelien A1 - Magi, Reedik A1 - Magnus, Per A1 - Mamun, Abdullah A. A1 - Mannikko, Minna A1 - Martin, Nicholas G. A1 - Mbarek, Hamdi A1 - McCarthy, Nina S. A1 - Medland, Sarah E. A1 - Melbye, Mads A1 - Melen, Erik A1 - Mohlke, Karen L. A1 - Monnereau, Claire A1 - Morgen, Camilla S. A1 - Morris, Andrew P. A1 - Murray, Jeffrey C. A1 - Myhre, Ronny A1 - Najman, Jackob M. A1 - Nivard, Michel G. A1 - Nohr, Ellen A. A1 - Nolte, Ilja M. A1 - Ntalla, Ioanna A1 - Oberfield, Sharon E. A1 - Oken, Emily A1 - Oldehinkel, Albertine J. A1 - Pahkala, Katja A1 - Palviainen, Teemu A1 - Panoutsopoulou, Kalliope A1 - Pedersen, Oluf A1 - Pennell, Craig E. A1 - Pershagen, Goran A1 - Pitkanen, Niina A1 - Plomin, Robert A1 - Power, Christine A1 - Prasad, Rashmi B. A1 - Prokopenko, Inga A1 - Pulkkinen, Lea A1 - Raikkonen, Katri A1 - Raitakari, Olli T. A1 - Reynolds, Rebecca M. A1 - Richmond, Rebecca C. A1 - Rivadeneira, Fernando A1 - Rodriguez, Alina A1 - Rose, Richard J. A1 - Salem, Rany A1 - Santa-Marina, Loreto A1 - Saw, Seang-Mei A1 - Schnurr, Theresia M. A1 - Scott, James G. A1 - Selzam, Saskia A1 - Shepherd, John A. A1 - Simpson, Angela A1 - Skotte, Line A1 - Sleiman, Patrick M. A. A1 - Snieder, Harold A1 - Sorensen, Thorkild I. A. A1 - Standl, Marie A1 - Steegers, Eric A. P. A1 - Strachan, David P. A1 - Straker, Leon A1 - Strandberg, Timo A1 - Taylor, Michelle A1 - Teo, Yik-Ying A1 - Thiering, Elisabeth A1 - Torrent, Maties A1 - Tyrrell, Jessica A1 - Uitterlinden, Andre G. A1 - van Beijsterveldt, Toos A1 - van der Most, Peter J. A1 - van Duijn, Cornelia M. A1 - Viikari, Jorma A1 - Vilor-Tejedor, Natalia A1 - Vogelezang, Suzanne A1 - Vonk, Judith M. A1 - Vrijkotte, Tanja G. M. A1 - Vuoksimaa, Eero A1 - Wang, Carol A. A1 - Watkins, William J. A1 - Wichmann, H-Erich A1 - Willemsen, Gonneke A1 - Williams, Gail M. A1 - Wilson, James F. A1 - Wray, Naomi R. A1 - Xu, Shujing A1 - Xu, Cheng-Jian A1 - Yaghootkar, Hanieh A1 - Yi, Lu A1 - Zafarmand, Mohammad Hadi A1 - Zeggini, Eleftheria A1 - Zemel, Babette S. A1 - Hinney, Anke A1 - Lakka, Timo A. A1 - Whitehouse, Andrew J. O. A1 - Sunyer, Jordi A1 - Widen, Elisabeth E. A1 - Feenstra, Bjarke A1 - Sebert, Sylvain A1 - Jacobsson, Bo A1 - Njolstad, Pal R. A1 - Stoltenberg, Camilla A1 - Smith, George Davey A1 - Lawlor, Debbie A. A1 - Paternoster, Lavinia A1 - Timpson, Nicholas J. A1 - Ong, Ken K. A1 - Bisgaard, Hans A1 - Bonnelykke, Klaus A1 - Jaddoe, Vincent W. V. A1 - Tiemeier, Henning A1 - Jarvelin, Marjo-Riitta A1 - Evans, David M. A1 - Perry, John R. B. A1 - Grant, Struan F. A. A1 - Boomsma, Dorret I. A1 - Freathy, Rachel M. A1 - McCarthy, Mark I. A1 - Felix, Janine F. T1 - The Early Growth Genetics (EGG) and EArly Genetics and Lifecourse Epidemiology (EAGLE) consortia BT - design, results and future prospects JF - European journal of epidemiology N2 - The impact of many unfavorable childhood traits or diseases, such as low birth weight and mental disorders, is not limited to childhood and adolescence, as they are also associated with poor outcomes in adulthood, such as cardiovascular disease. Insight into the genetic etiology of childhood and adolescent traits and disorders may therefore provide new perspectives, not only on how to improve wellbeing during childhood, but also how to prevent later adverse outcomes. To achieve the sample sizes required for genetic research, the Early Growth Genetics (EGG) and EArly Genetics and Lifecourse Epidemiology (EAGLE) consortia were established. The majority of the participating cohorts are longitudinal population-based samples, but other cohorts with data on early childhood phenotypes are also involved. Cohorts often have a broad focus and collect(ed) data on various somatic and psychiatric traits as well as environmental factors. Genetic variants have been successfully identified for multiple traits, for example, birth weight, atopic dermatitis, childhood BMI, allergic sensitization, and pubertal growth. Furthermore, the results have shown that genetic factors also partly underlie the association with adult traits. As sample sizes are still increasing, it is expected that future analyses will identify additional variants. This, in combination with the development of innovative statistical methods, will provide detailed insight on the mechanisms underlying the transition from childhood to adult disorders. Both consortia welcome new collaborations. Policies and contact details are available from the corresponding authors of this manuscript and/or the consortium websites. KW - Genetics KW - Consortium KW - Childhood traits and disorders KW - Longitudinal Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s10654-019-00502-9 SN - 0393-2990 SN - 1573-7284 VL - 34 IS - 3 SP - 279 EP - 300 PB - Springer CY - Dordrecht ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ikram, M. Arfan A1 - Fornage, Myriam A1 - Smith, Albert V. A1 - Seshadri, Sudha A1 - Schmidt, Reinhold A1 - Debette, Stephanie A1 - Vrooman, Henri A. A1 - Sigurdsson, Sigurdur A1 - Ropele, Stefan A1 - Taal, H. Rob A1 - Mook-Kanamori, Dennis O. A1 - Coker, Laura H. A1 - Longstreth, W. T. A1 - Niessen, Wiro J. A1 - DeStefano, Anita L. A1 - Beiser, Alexa A1 - Zijdenbos, Alex P. A1 - Struchalin, Maksim A1 - Jack, Clifford R. A1 - Rivadeneira, Fernando A1 - Uitterlinden, Andre G. A1 - Knopman, David S. A1 - Hartikainen, Anna-Liisa A1 - Pennell, Craig E. A1 - Thiering, Elisabeth A1 - Steegers, Eric A. P. A1 - Hakonarson, Hakon A1 - Heinrich, Joachim A1 - Palmer, Lyle J. A1 - Jarvelin, Marjo-Riitta A1 - McCarthy, Mark I. A1 - Grant, Struan F. A. A1 - St Pourcain, Beate A1 - Timpson, Nicholas J. A1 - Smith, George Davey A1 - Sovio, Ulla A1 - Nalls, Mike A. A1 - Au, Rhoda A1 - Hofman, Albert A1 - Gudnason, Haukur A1 - van der Lugt, Aad A1 - Harris, Tamara B. A1 - Meeks, William M. A1 - Vernooij, Meike W. A1 - van Buchem, Mark A. A1 - Catellier, Diane A1 - Jaddoe, Vincent W. V. A1 - Gudnason, Vilmundur A1 - Windham, B. Gwen A1 - Wolf, Philip A. A1 - van Duijn, Cornelia M. A1 - Mosley, Thomas H. A1 - Schmidt, Helena A1 - Launer, Lenore J. A1 - Breteler, Monique M. B. A1 - DeCarli, Charles A1 - Adair, Linda S. A1 - Ang, Wei A1 - Atalay, Mustafa A1 - vanBeijsterveldt, Toos A1 - Bergen, Nienke A1 - Benke, Kelly A1 - Berry, Diane J. A1 - Coin, Lachlan A1 - Davis, Oliver S. P. A1 - Elliott, Paul A1 - Flexeder, Claudia A1 - Frayling, Tim A1 - Gaillard, Romy A1 - Groen-Blokhuis, Maria A1 - Goh, Liang-Kee A1 - Haworth, Claire M. A. A1 - Hadley, Dexter A1 - Hebebrand, Johannes A1 - Hinney, Anke A1 - Hirschhorn, Joel N. A1 - Holloway, John W. A1 - Holst, Claus A1 - Hottenga, Jouke Jan A1 - Horikoshi, Momoko A1 - Huikari, Ville A1 - Hypponen, Elina A1 - Kilpelainen, Tuomas O. A1 - Kirin, Mirna A1 - Kowgier, Matthew A1 - Lakka, Hanna-Maaria A1 - Lange, Leslie A. A1 - Lawlor, Debbie A. A1 - Lehtimaki, Terho A1 - Lewin, Alex A1 - Lindgren, Cecilia A1 - Lindi, Virpi A1 - Maggi, Reedik A1 - Marsh, Julie A1 - Middeldorp, Christel A1 - Millwood, Iona A1 - Murray, Jeffrey C. A1 - Nivard, Michel A1 - Nohr, Ellen Aagaard A1 - Ntalla, Ioanna A1 - Oken, Emily A1 - Panoutsopoulou, Kalliope A1 - Pararajasingham, Jennifer A1 - Rodriguez, Alina A1 - Salem, Rany M. A1 - Sebert, Sylvain A1 - Siitonen, Niina A1 - Strachan, David P. A1 - Teo, Yik-Ying A1 - Valcarcel, Beatriz A1 - Willemsen, Gonneke A1 - Zeggini, Eleftheria A1 - Boomsma, Dorret I. A1 - Cooper, Cyrus A1 - Gillman, Matthew A1 - Hocher, Berthold A1 - Lakka, Timo A. A1 - Mohlke, Karen L. A1 - Dedoussis, George V. A1 - Ong, Ken K. A1 - Pearson, Ewan R. A1 - Price, Thomas S. A1 - Power, Chris A1 - Raitakari, Olli T. A1 - Saw, Seang-Mei A1 - Scherag, Andre A1 - Simell, Olli A1 - Sorensen, Thorkild I. A. A1 - Wilson, James F. T1 - Common variants at 6q22 and 17q21 are associated with intracranial volume JF - Nature genetics N2 - During aging, intracranial volume remains unchanged and represents maximally attained brain size, while various interacting biological phenomena lead to brain volume loss. Consequently, intracranial volume and brain volume in late life reflect different genetic influences. Our genome-wide association study (GWAS) in 8,175 community-dwelling elderly persons did not reveal any associations at genome-wide significance (P < 5 x 10(-8)) for brain volume. In contrast, intracranial volume was significantly associated with two loci: rs4273712 (P = 3.4 x 10(-11)), a known height-associated locus on chromosome 6q22, and rs9915547 (P = 1.5 x 10(-12)), localized to the inversion on chromosome 17q21. We replicated the associations of these loci with intracranial volume in a separate sample of 1,752 elderly persons (P = 1.1 x 10(-3) for 6q22 and 1.2 x 10(-3) for 17q21). Furthermore, we also found suggestive associations of the 17q21 locus with head circumference in 10,768 children (mean age of 14.5 months). Our data identify two loci associated with head size, with the inversion at 17q21 also likely to be involved in attaining maximal brain size. Y1 - 2012 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1038/ng.2245 SN - 1061-4036 VL - 44 IS - 5 SP - 539 EP - + PB - Nature Publ. Group CY - New York ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wuttke, Matthias A1 - Li, Yong A1 - Li, Man A1 - Sieber, Karsten B. A1 - Feitosa, Mary F. A1 - Gorski, Mathias A1 - Tin, Adrienne A1 - Wang, Lihua A1 - Chu, Audrey Y. A1 - Hoppmann, Anselm A1 - Kirsten, Holger A1 - Giri, Ayush A1 - Chai, Jin-Fang A1 - Sveinbjornsson, Gardar A1 - Tayo, Bamidele O. A1 - Nutile, Teresa A1 - Fuchsberger, Christian A1 - Marten, Jonathan A1 - Cocca, Massimiliano A1 - Ghasemi, Sahar A1 - Xu, Yizhe A1 - Horn, Katrin A1 - Noce, Damia A1 - Van der Most, Peter J. A1 - Sedaghat, Sanaz A1 - Yu, Zhi A1 - Akiyama, Masato A1 - Afaq, Saima A1 - Ahluwalia, Tarunveer Singh A1 - Almgren, Peter A1 - Amin, Najaf A1 - Arnlov, Johan A1 - Bakker, Stephan J. L. A1 - Bansal, Nisha A1 - Baptista, Daniela A1 - Bergmann, Sven A1 - Biggs, Mary L. A1 - Biino, Ginevra A1 - Boehnke, Michael A1 - Boerwinkle, Eric A1 - Boissel, Mathilde A1 - Böttinger, Erwin A1 - Boutin, Thibaud S. A1 - Brenner, Hermann A1 - Brumat, Marco A1 - Burkhardt, Ralph A1 - Butterworth, Adam S. A1 - Campana, Eric A1 - Campbell, Archie A1 - Campbell, Harry A1 - Canouil, Mickael A1 - Carroll, Robert J. A1 - Catamo, Eulalia A1 - Chambers, John C. A1 - Chee, Miao-Ling A1 - Chee, Miao-Li A1 - Chen, Xu A1 - Cheng, Ching-Yu A1 - Cheng, Yurong A1 - Christensen, Kaare A1 - Cifkova, Renata A1 - Ciullo, Marina A1 - Concas, Maria Pina A1 - Cook, James P. A1 - Coresh, Josef A1 - Corre, Tanguy A1 - Sala, Cinzia Felicita A1 - Cusi, Daniele A1 - Danesh, John A1 - Daw, E. Warwick A1 - De Borst, Martin H. A1 - De Grandi, Alessandro A1 - De Mutsert, Renee A1 - De Vries, Aiko P. J. A1 - Degenhardt, Frauke A1 - Delgado, Graciela A1 - Demirkan, Ayse A1 - Di Angelantonio, Emanuele A1 - Dittrich, Katalin A1 - Divers, Jasmin A1 - Dorajoo, Rajkumar A1 - Eckardt, Kai-Uwe A1 - Ehret, Georg A1 - Elliott, Paul A1 - Endlich, Karlhans A1 - Evans, Michele K. A1 - Felix, Janine F. A1 - Foo, Valencia Hui Xian A1 - Franco, Oscar H. A1 - Franke, Andre A1 - Freedman, Barry I. A1 - Freitag-Wolf, Sandra A1 - Friedlander, Yechiel A1 - Froguel, Philippe A1 - Gansevoort, Ron T. A1 - Gao, He A1 - Gasparini, Paolo A1 - Gaziano, J. Michael A1 - Giedraitis, Vilmantas A1 - Gieger, Christian A1 - Girotto, Giorgia A1 - Giulianini, Franco A1 - Gogele, Martin A1 - Gordon, Scott D. A1 - Gudbjartsson, Daniel F. A1 - Gudnason, Vilmundur A1 - Haller, Toomas A1 - Hamet, Pavel A1 - Harris, Tamara B. A1 - Hartman, Catharina A. A1 - Hayward, Caroline A1 - Hellwege, Jacklyn N. A1 - Heng, Chew-Kiat A1 - Hicks, Andrew A. A1 - Hofer, Edith A1 - Huang, Wei A1 - Hutri-Kahonen, Nina A1 - Hwang, Shih-Jen A1 - Ikram, M. Arfan A1 - Indridason, Olafur S. A1 - Ingelsson, Erik A1 - Ising, Marcus A1 - Jaddoe, Vincent W. V. A1 - Jakobsdottir, Johanna A1 - Jonas, Jost B. A1 - Joshi, Peter K. A1 - Josyula, Navya Shilpa A1 - Jung, Bettina A1 - Kahonen, Mika A1 - Kamatani, Yoichiro A1 - Kammerer, Candace M. A1 - Kanai, Masahiro A1 - Kastarinen, Mika A1 - Kerr, Shona M. A1 - Khor, Chiea-Chuen A1 - Kiess, Wieland A1 - Kleber, Marcus E. A1 - Koenig, Wolfgang A1 - Kooner, Jaspal S. A1 - Korner, Antje A1 - Kovacs, Peter A1 - Kraja, Aldi T. A1 - Krajcoviechova, Alena A1 - Kramer, Holly A1 - Kramer, Bernhard K. A1 - Kronenberg, Florian A1 - Kubo, Michiaki A1 - Kuhnel, Brigitte A1 - Kuokkanen, Mikko A1 - Kuusisto, Johanna A1 - La Bianca, Martina A1 - Laakso, Markku A1 - Lange, Leslie A. A1 - Langefeld, Carl D. A1 - Lee, Jeannette Jen-Mai A1 - Lehne, Benjamin A1 - Lehtimaki, Terho A1 - Lieb, Wolfgang A1 - Lim, Su-Chi A1 - Lind, Lars A1 - Lindgren, Cecilia M. A1 - Liu, Jun A1 - Liu, Jianjun A1 - Loeffler, Markus A1 - Loos, Ruth J. F. A1 - Lucae, Susanne A1 - Lukas, Mary Ann A1 - Lyytikainen, Leo-Pekka A1 - Magi, Reedik A1 - Magnusson, Patrik K. E. A1 - Mahajan, Anubha A1 - Martin, Nicholas G. A1 - Martins, Jade A1 - Marz, Winfried A1 - Mascalzoni, Deborah A1 - Matsuda, Koichi A1 - Meisinger, Christa A1 - Meitinger, Thomas A1 - Melander, Olle A1 - Metspalu, Andres A1 - Mikaelsdottir, Evgenia K. A1 - Milaneschi, Yuri A1 - Miliku, Kozeta A1 - Mishra, Pashupati P. A1 - Program, V. A. Million Veteran A1 - Mohlke, Karen L. A1 - Mononen, Nina A1 - Montgomery, Grant W. A1 - Mook-Kanamori, Dennis O. A1 - Mychaleckyj, Josyf C. A1 - Nadkarni, Girish N. A1 - Nalls, Mike A. A1 - Nauck, Matthias A1 - Nikus, Kjell A1 - Ning, Boting A1 - Nolte, Ilja M. A1 - Noordam, Raymond A1 - Olafsson, Isleifur A1 - Oldehinkel, Albertine J. A1 - Orho-Melander, Marju A1 - Ouwehand, Willem H. A1 - Padmanabhan, Sandosh A1 - Palmer, Nicholette D. A1 - Palsson, Runolfur A1 - Penninx, Brenda W. J. H. A1 - Perls, Thomas A1 - Perola, Markus A1 - Pirastu, Mario A1 - Pirastu, Nicola A1 - Pistis, Giorgio A1 - Podgornaia, Anna I. A1 - Polasek, Ozren A1 - Ponte, Belen A1 - Porteous, David J. A1 - Poulain, Tanja A1 - Pramstaller, Peter P. A1 - Preuss, Michael H. A1 - Prins, Bram P. A1 - Province, Michael A. A1 - Rabelink, Ton J. A1 - Raffield, Laura M. A1 - Raitakari, Olli T. A1 - Reilly, Dermot F. A1 - Rettig, Rainer A1 - Rheinberger, Myriam A1 - Rice, Kenneth M. A1 - Ridker, Paul M. A1 - Rivadeneira, Fernando A1 - Rizzi, Federica A1 - Roberts, David J. A1 - Robino, Antonietta A1 - Rossing, Peter A1 - Rudan, Igor A1 - Rueedi, Rico A1 - Ruggiero, Daniela A1 - Ryan, Kathleen A. A1 - Saba, Yasaman A1 - Sabanayagam, Charumathi A1 - Salomaa, Veikko A1 - Salvi, Erika A1 - Saum, Kai-Uwe A1 - Schmidt, Helena A1 - Schmidt, Reinhold A1 - Ben Schottker, A1 - Schulz, Christina-Alexandra A1 - Schupf, Nicole A1 - Shaffer, Christian M. A1 - Shi, Yuan A1 - Smith, Albert V. A1 - Smith, Blair H. A1 - Soranzo, Nicole A1 - Spracklen, Cassandra N. A1 - Strauch, Konstantin A1 - Stringham, Heather M. A1 - Stumvoll, Michael A1 - Svensson, Per O. A1 - Szymczak, Silke A1 - Tai, E-Shyong A1 - Tajuddin, Salman M. A1 - Tan, Nicholas Y. Q. A1 - Taylor, Kent D. A1 - Teren, Andrej A1 - Tham, Yih-Chung A1 - Thiery, Joachim A1 - Thio, Chris H. L. A1 - Thomsen, Hauke A1 - Thorleifsson, Gudmar A1 - Toniolo, Daniela A1 - Tonjes, Anke A1 - Tremblay, Johanne A1 - Tzoulaki, Ioanna A1 - Uitterlinden, Andre G. A1 - Vaccargiu, Simona A1 - Van Dam, Rob M. A1 - Van der Harst, Pim A1 - Van Duijn, Cornelia M. A1 - Edward, Digna R. Velez A1 - Verweij, Niek A1 - Vogelezang, Suzanne A1 - Volker, Uwe A1 - Vollenweider, Peter A1 - Waeber, Gerard A1 - Waldenberger, Melanie A1 - Wallentin, Lars A1 - Wang, Ya Xing A1 - Wang, Chaolong A1 - Waterworth, Dawn M. A1 - Bin Wei, Wen A1 - White, Harvey A1 - Whitfield, John B. A1 - Wild, Sarah H. A1 - Wilson, James F. A1 - Wojczynski, Mary K. A1 - Wong, Charlene A1 - Wong, Tien-Yin A1 - Xu, Liang A1 - Yang, Qiong A1 - Yasuda, Masayuki A1 - Yerges-Armstrong, Laura M. A1 - Zhang, Weihua A1 - Zonderman, Alan B. A1 - Rotter, Jerome I. A1 - Bochud, Murielle A1 - Psaty, Bruce M. A1 - Vitart, Veronique A1 - Wilson, James G. A1 - Dehghan, Abbas A1 - Parsa, Afshin A1 - Chasman, Daniel I. A1 - Ho, Kevin A1 - Morris, Andrew P. A1 - Devuyst, Olivier A1 - Akilesh, Shreeram A1 - Pendergrass, Sarah A. A1 - Sim, Xueling A1 - Boger, Carsten A. A1 - Okada, Yukinori A1 - Edwards, Todd L. A1 - Snieder, Harold A1 - Stefansson, Kari A1 - Hung, Adriana M. A1 - Heid, Iris M. A1 - Scholz, Markus A1 - Teumer, Alexander A1 - Kottgen, Anna A1 - Pattaro, Cristian T1 - A catalog of genetic loci associated with kidney function from analyses of a million individuals JF - Nature genetics N2 - Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is responsible for a public health burden with multi-systemic complications. Through transancestry meta-analysis of genome-wide association studies of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and independent replication (n = 1,046,070), we identified 264 associated loci (166 new). Of these,147 were likely to be relevant for kidney function on the basis of associations with the alternative kidney function marker blood urea nitrogen (n = 416,178). Pathway and enrichment analyses, including mouse models with renal phenotypes, support the kidney as the main target organ. A genetic risk score for lower eGFR was associated with clinically diagnosed CKD in 452,264 independent individuals. Colocalization analyses of associations with eGFR among 783,978 European-ancestry individuals and gene expression across 46 human tissues, including tubulo-interstitial and glomerular kidney compartments, identified 17 genes differentially expressed in kidney. Fine-mapping highlighted missense driver variants in 11 genes and kidney-specific regulatory variants. These results provide a comprehensive priority list of molecular targets for translational research. Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1038/s41588-019-0407-x SN - 1061-4036 SN - 1546-1718 VL - 51 IS - 6 SP - 957 EP - + PB - Nature Publ. Group CY - New York ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Janssen, Annette B. G. A1 - Arhonditsis, George B. A1 - Beusen, Arthur A1 - Bolding, Karsten A1 - Bruce, Louise A1 - Bruggeman, Jorn A1 - Couture, Raoul-Marie A1 - Downing, Andrea S. A1 - Elliott, J. Alex A1 - Frassl, Marieke A. A1 - Gal, Gideon A1 - Gerla, Daan J. A1 - Hipsey, Matthew R. A1 - Hu, Fenjuan A1 - Ives, Stephen C. A1 - Janse, Jan H. A1 - Jeppesen, Erik A1 - Joehnk, Klaus D. A1 - Kneis, David A1 - Kong, Xiangzhen A1 - Kuiper, Jan J. A1 - Lehmann, Moritz K. A1 - Lemmen, Carsten A1 - Oezkundakci, Deniz A1 - Petzoldt, Thomas A1 - Rinke, Karsten A1 - Robson, Barbara J. A1 - Sachse, Rene A1 - Schep, Sebastiaan A. A1 - Schmid, Martin A1 - Scholten, Huub A1 - Teurlincx, Sven A1 - Trolle, Dennis A1 - Troost, Tineke A. A1 - Van Dam, Anne A. A1 - Van Gerven, Luuk P. A. A1 - Weijerman, Mariska A1 - Wells, Scott A. A1 - Mooij, Wolf M. T1 - Exploring, exploiting and evolving diversity of aquatic ecosystem models: a community perspective JF - Aquatic ecology : the international forum covering research in freshwater and marine environments N2 - Here, we present a community perspective on how to explore, exploit and evolve the diversity in aquatic ecosystem models. These models play an important role in understanding the functioning of aquatic ecosystems, filling in observation gaps and developing effective strategies for water quality management. In this spirit, numerous models have been developed since the 1970s. We set off to explore model diversity by making an inventory among 42 aquatic ecosystem modellers, by categorizing the resulting set of models and by analysing them for diversity. We then focus on how to exploit model diversity by comparing and combining different aspects of existing models. Finally, we discuss how model diversity came about in the past and could evolve in the future. Throughout our study, we use analogies from biodiversity research to analyse and interpret model diversity. We recommend to make models publicly available through open-source policies, to standardize documentation and technical implementation of models, and to compare models through ensemble modelling and interdisciplinary approaches. We end with our perspective on how the field of aquatic ecosystem modelling might develop in the next 5-10 years. To strive for clarity and to improve readability for non-modellers, we include a glossary. KW - Water quality KW - Ecology KW - Geochemistry KW - Hydrology KW - Hydraulics KW - Hydrodynamics KW - Physical environment KW - Socio-economics KW - Model availability KW - Standardization KW - Linking Y1 - 2015 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s10452-015-9544-1 SN - 1386-2588 SN - 1573-5125 VL - 49 IS - 4 SP - 513 EP - 548 PB - Springer CY - Dordrecht ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Abdrakhmatov, Kanatbek E. A1 - Walker, R. T. A1 - Campbell, G. E. A1 - Carr, A. S. A1 - Elliott, A. A1 - Hillemann, Christian A1 - Hollingsworth, J. A1 - Landgraf, Angela A1 - Mackenzie, D. A1 - Mukambayev, A. A1 - Rizza, M. A1 - Sloan, R. A. T1 - Multisegment rupture in the 11 July 1889 Chilik earthquake (M-w 8.0-8.3), Kazakh Tien Shan, interpreted from remote sensing, field survey, and paleoseismic trenching JF - Journal of geophysical research : Solid earth N2 - The 11 July 1889 Chilik earthquake (M-w 8.0-8.3) forms part of a remarkable sequence of large earthquakes in the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries in the northern Tien Shan. Despite its importance, the source of the 1889 earthquake remains unknown, though the macroseismic epicenter is sited in the Chilik valley, similar to 100 km southeast of Almaty, Kazakhstan (similar to 2 million population). Several short fault segments that have been inferred to have ruptured in 1889 are too short on their own to account for the estimated magnitude. In this paper we perform detailed surveying and trenching of the similar to 30 km long Saty fault, one of the previously inferred sources, and find that it was formed in a single earthquake within the last 700 years, involving surface slip of up to 10 m. The scarp-forming event, likely to be the 1889 earthquake, was the only surface-rupturing event for at least 5000 years and potentially for much longer. From satellite imagery we extend the mapped length of fresh scarps within the 1889 epicentral zone to a total of similar to 175 km, which we also suggest as candidate ruptures from the 1889 earthquake. The 175 km of rupture involves conjugate oblique left-lateral and right-lateral slip on three separate faults, with step overs of several kilometers between them. All three faults were essentially invisible in the Holocene geomorphology prior to the last slip. The recurrence interval between large earthquakes on any of these faults, and presumably on other faults of the Tien Shan, may be longer than the timescale over which the landscape is reset, providing a challenge for delineating sources of future hazard. Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JB012763 SN - 2169-9313 SN - 2169-9356 VL - 121 SP - 4615 EP - 4640 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - GEN A1 - Mooij, Wolf M. A1 - Trolle, Dennis A1 - Jeppesen, Erik A1 - Arhonditsis, George B. A1 - Belolipetsky, Pavel V. A1 - Chitamwebwa, Deonatus B. R. A1 - Degermendzhy, Andrey G. A1 - DeAngelis, Donald L. A1 - Domis, Lisette Nicole de Senerpont A1 - Downing, Andrea S. A1 - Elliott, J. Alex A1 - Fragoso Jr., Carlos Ruberto A1 - Gaedke, Ursula A1 - Genova, Svetlana N. A1 - Gulati, Ramesh D. A1 - Håkanson, Lars A1 - Hamilton, David P. A1 - Hipsey, Matthew R. A1 - ‘t Hoen, Jochem A1 - Hülsmann, Stephan A1 - Los, F. Hans A1 - Makler-Pick, Vardit A1 - Petzoldt, Thomas A1 - Prokopkin, Igor G. A1 - Rinke, Karsten A1 - Schep, Sebastiaan A. A1 - Tominaga, Koji A1 - Van Dam, Anne A. A1 - Van Nes, Egbert H. A1 - Wells, Scott A. A1 - Janse, Jan H. T1 - Challenges and opportunities for integrating lake ecosystem modelling approaches T2 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - A large number and wide variety of lake ecosystem models have been developed and published during the past four decades. We identify two challenges for making further progress in this field. One such challenge is to avoid developing more models largely following the concept of others ('reinventing the wheel'). The other challenge is to avoid focusing on only one type of model, while ignoring new and diverse approaches that have become available ('having tunnel vision'). In this paper, we aim at improving the awareness of existing models and knowledge of concurrent approaches in lake ecosystem modelling, without covering all possible model tools and avenues. First, we present a broad variety of modelling approaches. To illustrate these approaches, we give brief descriptions of rather arbitrarily selected sets of specific models. We deal with static models (steady state and regression models), complex dynamic models (CAEDYM, CE-QUAL-W2, Delft 3D-ECO, LakeMab, LakeWeb, MyLake, PCLake, PROTECH, SALMO), structurally dynamic models and minimal dynamic models. We also discuss a group of approaches that could all be classified as individual based: super-individual models (Piscator, Charisma), physiologically structured models, stage-structured models and traitbased models. We briefly mention genetic algorithms, neural networks, Kalman filters and fuzzy logic. Thereafter, we zoom in, as an in-depth example, on the multi-decadal development and application of the lake ecosystem model PCLake and related models (PCLake Metamodel, Lake Shira Model, IPH-TRIM3D-PCLake). In the discussion, we argue that while the historical development of each approach and model is understandable given its 'leading principle', there are many opportunities for combining approaches. We take the point of view that a single 'right' approach does not exist and should not be strived for. Instead, multiple modelling approaches, applied concurrently to a given problem, can help develop an integrative view on the functioning of lake ecosystems. We end with a set of specific recommendations that may be of help in the further development of lake ecosystem models. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 1326 KW - aquatic KW - food web dynamics KW - plankton KW - nutrients KW - spatial KW - lake KW - freshwater KW - marine KW - community KW - population KW - hydrology KW - eutrophication KW - global change KW - climate warming KW - fisheries KW - biodiversity KW - management KW - mitigation KW - adaptive processes KW - non-linear dynamics KW - analysis KW - bifurcation KW - understanding KW - prediction KW - model limitations KW - model integration Y1 - 2010 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-429839 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 1326 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Mooij, Wolf M. A1 - Trolle, Dennis A1 - Jeppesen, Erik A1 - Arhonditsis, George B. A1 - Belolipetsky, Pavel V. A1 - Chitamwebwa, Deonatus B. R. A1 - Degermendzhy, Andrey G. A1 - DeAngelis, Donald L. A1 - Domis, Lisette Nicole de Senerpont A1 - Downing, Andrea S. A1 - Elliott, J. Alex A1 - Fragoso Jr, Carlos Ruberto A1 - Gaedke, Ursula A1 - Genova, Svetlana N. A1 - Gulati, Ramesh D. A1 - Håkanson, Lars A1 - Hamilton, David P. A1 - Hipsey, Matthew R. A1 - ‘t Hoen, Jochem A1 - Hülsmann, Stephan A1 - Los, F. Hans A1 - Makler-Pick, Vardit A1 - Petzoldt, Thomas A1 - Prokopkin, Igor G. A1 - Rinke, Karsten A1 - Schep, Sebastiaan A. A1 - Tominaga, Koji A1 - Van Dam, Anne A. A1 - Van Nes, Egbert H. A1 - Wells, Scott A. A1 - Janse, Jan H. T1 - Challenges and opportunities for integrating lake ecosystem modelling approaches JF - Aquatic ecology N2 - A large number and wide variety of lake ecosystem models have been developed and published during the past four decades. We identify two challenges for making further progress in this field. One such challenge is to avoid developing more models largely following the concept of others ('reinventing the wheel'). The other challenge is to avoid focusing on only one type of model, while ignoring new and diverse approaches that have become available ('having tunnel vision'). In this paper, we aim at improving the awareness of existing models and knowledge of concurrent approaches in lake ecosystem modelling, without covering all possible model tools and avenues. First, we present a broad variety of modelling approaches. To illustrate these approaches, we give brief descriptions of rather arbitrarily selected sets of specific models. We deal with static models (steady state and regression models), complex dynamic models (CAEDYM, CE-QUAL-W2, Delft 3D-ECO, LakeMab, LakeWeb, MyLake, PCLake, PROTECH, SALMO), structurally dynamic models and minimal dynamic models. We also discuss a group of approaches that could all be classified as individual based: super-individual models (Piscator, Charisma), physiologically structured models, stage-structured models and traitbased models. We briefly mention genetic algorithms, neural networks, Kalman filters and fuzzy logic. Thereafter, we zoom in, as an in-depth example, on the multi-decadal development and application of the lake ecosystem model PCLake and related models (PCLake Metamodel, Lake Shira Model, IPH-TRIM3D-PCLake). In the discussion, we argue that while the historical development of each approach and model is understandable given its 'leading principle', there are many opportunities for combining approaches. We take the point of view that a single 'right' approach does not exist and should not be strived for. Instead, multiple modelling approaches, applied concurrently to a given problem, can help develop an integrative view on the functioning of lake ecosystems. We end with a set of specific recommendations that may be of help in the further development of lake ecosystem models. KW - aquatic KW - food web dynamics KW - plankton KW - nutrients KW - spatial KW - lake KW - freshwater KW - marine KW - community KW - population KW - hydrology KW - eutrophication KW - global change KW - climate warming KW - fisheries KW - biodiversity KW - management KW - mitigation KW - adaptive processes KW - non-linear dynamics KW - analysis KW - bifurcation KW - understanding KW - prediction KW - model limitations KW - model integration Y1 - 2010 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s10452-010-9339-3 SN - 1573-5125 SN - 1386-2588 VL - 44 SP - 633 EP - 667 PB - Springer Science + Business Media B.V. CY - Dordrecht ER - TY - GEN A1 - Frieler, Katja A1 - Levermann, Anders A1 - Elliott, J. A1 - Heinke, J. A1 - Arneth, A. A1 - Bierkens, M. F. P. A1 - Ciais, Philippe A1 - Clark, D. B. A1 - Deryng, D. A1 - Doell, P. A1 - Falloon, P. A1 - Fekete, B. A1 - Folberth, Christian A1 - Friend, A. D. A1 - Gellhorn, C. A1 - Gosling, S. N. A1 - Haddeland, I. A1 - Khabarov, N. A1 - Lomas, M. A1 - Masaki, Y. A1 - Nishina, K. A1 - Neumann, K. A1 - Oki, T. A1 - Pavlick, R. A1 - Ruane, A. C. A1 - Schmid, E. A1 - Schmitz, C. A1 - Stacke, T. A1 - Stehfest, E. A1 - Tang, Q. A1 - Wisser, D. A1 - Huber, V. A1 - Piontek, Franziska A1 - Warszawski, L. A1 - Schewe, Jacob A1 - Lotze-Campen, Hermann A1 - Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim T1 - A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections BT - land use decisions under climate impacts uncertainties T2 - Earth system dynamics N2 - Climate change and its impacts already pose considerable challenges for societies that will further increase with global warming (IPCC, 2014a, b). Uncertainties of the climatic response to greenhouse gas emissions include the potential passing of large-scale tipping points (e.g. Lenton et al., 2008; Levermann et al., 2012; Schellnhuber, 2010) and changes in extreme meteorological events (Field et al., 2012) with complex impacts on societies (Hallegatte et al., 2013). Thus climate change mitigation is considered a necessary societal response for avoiding uncontrollable impacts (Conference of the Parties, 2010). On the other hand, large-scale climate change mitigation itself implies fundamental changes in, for example, the global energy system. The associated challenges come on top of others that derive from equally important ethical imperatives like the fulfilment of increasing food demand that may draw on the same resources. For example, ensuring food security for a growing population may require an expansion of cropland, thereby reducing natural carbon sinks or the area available for bio-energy production. So far, available studies addressing this problem have relied on individual impact models, ignoring uncertainty in crop model and biome model projections. Here, we propose a probabilistic decision framework that allows for an evaluation of agricultural management and mitigation options in a multi-impact-model setting. Based on simulations generated within the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI-MIP), we outline how cross-sectorally consistent multi-model impact simulations could be used to generate the information required for robust decision making. Using an illustrative future land use pattern, we discuss the trade-off between potential gains in crop production and associated losses in natural carbon sinks in the new multiple crop-and biome-model setting. In addition, crop and water model simulations are combined to explore irrigation increases as one possible measure of agricultural intensification that could limit the expansion of cropland required in response to climate change and growing food demand. This example shows that current impact model uncertainties pose an important challenge to long-term mitigation planning and must not be ignored in long-term strategic decision making. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 457 KW - global food demand KW - water availability KW - elevated CO2 KW - future KW - carbon KW - system KW - productivity KW - agriculture KW - emissions KW - scarcity Y1 - 2018 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-407968 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Frieler, Katja A1 - Levermann, Anders A1 - Elliott, J. A1 - Heinke, Jens A1 - Arneth, A. A1 - Bierkens, M. F. P. A1 - Ciais, Philippe A1 - Clark, D. B. A1 - Deryng, D. A1 - Doell, P. A1 - Falloon, P. A1 - Fekete, B. A1 - Folberth, Christian A1 - Friend, A. D. A1 - Gellhorn, C. A1 - Gosling, S. N. A1 - Haddeland, I. A1 - Khabarov, N. A1 - Lomas, M. A1 - Masaki, Y. A1 - Nishina, K. A1 - Neumann, K. A1 - Oki, T. A1 - Pavlick, R. A1 - Ruane, A. C. A1 - Schmid, E. A1 - Schmitz, C. A1 - Stacke, T. A1 - Stehfest, E. A1 - Tang, Q. A1 - Wisser, D. A1 - Huber, Veronika A1 - Piontek, Franziska A1 - Warszawski, Lila A1 - Schewe, Jacob A1 - Lotze-Campen, Hermann A1 - Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim T1 - A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections BT - land use decisions under climate impacts uncertainties JF - Earth system dynamics N2 - Climate change and its impacts already pose considerable challenges for societies that will further increase with global warming (IPCC, 2014a, b). Uncertainties of the climatic response to greenhouse gas emissions include the potential passing of large-scale tipping points (e.g. Lenton et al., 2008; Levermann et al., 2012; Schellnhuber, 2010) and changes in extreme meteorological events (Field et al., 2012) with complex impacts on societies (Hallegatte et al., 2013). Thus climate change mitigation is considered a necessary societal response for avoiding uncontrollable impacts (Conference of the Parties, 2010). On the other hand, large-scale climate change mitigation itself implies fundamental changes in, for example, the global energy system. The associated challenges come on top of others that derive from equally important ethical imperatives like the fulfilment of increasing food demand that may draw on the same resources. For example, ensuring food security for a growing population may require an expansion of cropland, thereby reducing natural carbon sinks or the area available for bio-energy production. So far, available studies addressing this problem have relied on individual impact models, ignoring uncertainty in crop model and biome model projections. Here, we propose a probabilistic decision framework that allows for an evaluation of agricultural management and mitigation options in a multi-impact-model setting. Based on simulations generated within the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI-MIP), we outline how cross-sectorally consistent multi-model impact simulations could be used to generate the information required for robust decision making. Using an illustrative future land use pattern, we discuss the trade-off between potential gains in crop production and associated losses in natural carbon sinks in the new multiple crop-and biome-model setting. In addition, crop and water model simulations are combined to explore irrigation increases as one possible measure of agricultural intensification that could limit the expansion of cropland required in response to climate change and growing food demand. This example shows that current impact model uncertainties pose an important challenge to long-term mitigation planning and must not be ignored in long-term strategic decision making. Y1 - 2015 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/esd-6-447-2015 SN - 2190-4979 SN - 2190-4987 VL - 6 IS - 2 SP - 447 EP - 460 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Frieler, Katja A1 - Schauberger, Bernhard A1 - Arneth, Almut A1 - Balkovic, Juraj A1 - Chryssanthacopoulos, James A1 - Deryng, Delphine A1 - Elliott, Joshua A1 - Folberth, Christian A1 - Khabarov, Nikolay A1 - Müller, Christoph A1 - Olin, Stefan A1 - Pugh, Thomas A. M. A1 - Schaphoff, Sibyll A1 - Schewe, Jacob A1 - Schmid, Erwin A1 - Warszawski, Lila A1 - Levermann, Anders T1 - Understanding the weather signal in national crop-yield variability JF - Earths future N2 - Year-to-year variations in crop yields can have major impacts on the livelihoods of subsistence farmers and may trigger significant global price fluctuations, with severe consequences for people in developing countries. Fluctuations can be induced by weather conditions, management decisions, weeds, diseases, and pests. Although an explicit quantification and deeper understanding of weather-induced crop-yield variability is essential for adaptation strategies, so far it has only been addressed by empirical models. Here, we provide conservative estimates of the fraction of reported national yield variabilities that can be attributed to weather by state-of-the-art, process-based crop model simulations. We find that observed weather variations can explain more than 50% of the variability in wheat yields in Australia, Canada, Spain, Hungary, and Romania. For maize, weather sensitivities exceed 50% in seven countries, including the United States. The explained variance exceeds 50% for rice in Japan and South Korea and for soy in Argentina. Avoiding water stress by simulating yields assuming full irrigation shows that water limitation is a major driver of the observed variations in most of these countries. Identifying the mechanisms leading to crop-yield fluctuations is not only fundamental for dampening fluctuations, but is also important in the context of the debate on the attribution of loss and damage to climate change. Since process-based crop models not only account for weather influences on crop yields, but also provide options to represent human-management measures, they could become essential tools for differentiating these drivers, and for exploring options to reduce future yield fluctuations. Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/2016EF000525 SN - 2328-4277 VL - 5 SP - 605 EP - 616 PB - Wiley CY - Hoboken ER -