TY - JOUR A1 - Lohmann, Dirk A1 - Tietjen, Britta A1 - Blaum, Niels A1 - Joubert, David F. A1 - Jeltsch, Florian T1 - Shifting thresholds and changing degradation patterns: climate change effects on the simulated long-term response of a semi-arid savanna to grazing JF - Journal of applied ecology : an official journal of the British Ecological Society N2 - 1. The complex, nonlinear response of dryland systems to grazing and climatic variations is a challenge to management of these lands. Predicted climatic changes will impact the desertification of drylands under domestic livestock production. Consequently, there is an urgent need to understand the response of drylands to grazing under climate change. 2. We enhanced and parameterized an ecohydrological savanna model to assess the impacts of a range of climate change scenarios on the response of a semi-arid African savanna to grazing. We focused on the effects of temperature and CO2 level increase in combination with changes in inter- and intra-annual precipitation patterns on the long-term dynamics of three major plant functional types. 3. We found that the capacity of the savanna to sustain livestock grazing was strongly influenced by climate change. Increased mean annual precipitation and changes in intra-annual precipitation pattern have the potential to slightly increase carrying capacities of the system. In contrast, decreased precipitation, higher interannual variation and temperature increase are leading to a severe decline of carrying capacities owing to losses of the perennial grass biomass. 4. Semi-arid rangelands will be at lower risk of shrub encroachment and encroachment will be less intense under future climatic conditions. This finding holds in spite of elevated levels of atmospheric CO2 and irrespective of changes in precipitation pattern, because of the drought sensitivity of germination and establishment of encroaching species. 5. Synthesis and applications. Changes in livestock carrying capacities, both positive and negative, mainly depend on the highly uncertain future rainfall conditions. However, independent of the specific changes, shrub encroachment becomes less likely and in many cases less severe. Thus, managers of semi-arid rangelands should shift their focus from woody vegetation towards perennial grass species as indicators for rangeland degradation. Furthermore, the resulting reduced competition from woody vegetation has the potential to facilitate ecosystem restoration measures such as re-introduction of desirable plant species that are only little promising or infeasible under current climatic conditions. On a global scale, the reductions in standing biomass resulting from altered degradation dynamics of semi-arid rangelands can have negative impacts on carbon sequestration. KW - CO2 increase KW - demographic bottleneck KW - ecohydrology KW - grid-based simulation model KW - livestock KW - precipitation pattern KW - savanna resilience KW - shrub encroachment KW - soil moisture KW - sustainable rangeland management Y1 - 2012 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2664.2012.02157.x SN - 0021-8901 VL - 49 IS - 4 SP - 814 EP - 823 PB - Wiley-Blackwell CY - Hoboken ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Lohmann, Dirk A1 - Tietjen, Britta A1 - Blaum, Niels A1 - Joubert, David Francois A1 - Jeltsch, Florian T1 - Prescribed fire as a tool for managing shrub encroachment in semi-arid savanna rangelands JF - Journal of arid environments N2 - Savanna rangelands worldwide are threatened by shrub encroachment, i.e. the increase of woody plant species at the cost of perennial grasses, causing a strong decline in the productivity of domestic livestock production. Although recent studies indicate that fire might be of great importance for semi-arid and arid savanna dynamics, it is largely not applied in the management of semi-arid rangelands especially with regard to woody plant control. We used the eco-hydrological savanna model EcoHyD to simulate the effects of different fire management strategies on semi-arid savanna vegetation and to assess their longterm suitability for semi-arid rangeland management. Simulation results show that prescribed fires, timed to kill tree seedlings prevented shrub encroachment for a broad range of livestock densities while the possible maximum long-term cattle densities on the simulated semi-arid rangeland in Namibia increased by more than 30%. However, when grazing intensity was too high, fire management failed in preventing shrub encroachment. Our findings indicate that with regard to fire management a clear distinction between mesic and more arid savannas is necessary: While the frequency of fires is of relevance for mesic savannas, we recommend a fire management focussing on the timing of fire for semi-arid and arid savannas. (C) 2014 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. KW - Acacia mellifera KW - Bush encroachment KW - Dry land degradation KW - Rangeland management KW - Simulation model KW - Southern Africa Y1 - 2014 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jaridenv.2014.04.003 SN - 0140-1963 SN - 1095-922X VL - 107 SP - 49 EP - 56 PB - Elsevier CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Geißler, Katja A1 - Hahn, Claudia A1 - Joubert, David A1 - Blaum, Niels T1 - Functional responses of the herbaceous plant community explain ecohydrological impacts of savanna shrub encroachment JF - Perspectives in plant ecology, evolution and systematics N2 - Major drivers of savanna shrub encroachment are climatic conditions, CO2 and unsustainable grazing management including fire prevention. Although all drivers affect ecohydrological processes, and given that water is a seasonally scarce resource in savannas, it remains largely unclear how shrub encroachment itself affects hydrological conditions that feed back into water use and community assembly of the remaining plant community. Hence, understanding direct ecohydrological effects of shrubs that may limit the recovery of the perennial herbaceous vegetation in grazed areas and promote the establishment of shrub seedlings facilitates the identification of areas that are most sensitive to further encroachment. In our trait-based approach, we determined relationships among shrub cover, soil and plant trait characteristics sensitive to water limitation in 120 plots along a shrub cover gradient. We focused on two functional response traits indicating immediate drought stress and subsequent water use for drought stress recovery with associated competition for water (midday leaf/xylem water potential and diurnally recovery rate of leaf water potential), and three functional response traits indicating long-term stress adaptation and related resource use strategies (SLA, plant height and seed release height). To understand species assembly and the associated mechanisms of resource use, we calculated community weighted mean traits, intraspecific trait variability as a proxy for the mechanism of coexistence, and mean traits at plant functional type level including 2-year-old Acacia mellifera-saplings. We found a low intraspecific trait variability in drought stress recovery rate and height suggesting that competitive exclusion via active resource acquisition (i.e. water exploitation) played a minor role for community assembly in a shrub encroaching savanna. The dominant community assembly process was passive stress avoidance via resource conservation up to stress tolerance indicated by the high variability in SLA and midday leaf water potential. Correlations of traits with soil moisture suggest a rooting niche differentiation between annual and perennial grasses and that Acacia-shrub saplings within the first 50 cm of soil already escaped the highest drought stress. Interestingly, immediate drought stress for the herbaceous community was lowest on moderately shrub encroached sites and not on grass dominated sites. Since passive stress avoidance accompanied by a distinct stress tolerance in semi-arid savannas is more important than active competition, and assuming that the low drought stress of the herbaceous community at intermediate levels of shrub cover also applies to newly emerging shrub seedlings, these areas are likely to be most sensitive to further encroachment. As such, they should be considered as focal areas for prevention management. KW - Community-weighted means KW - Drought stress KW - Intraspecific variation KW - Soil moisture KW - Stress recovery KW - Plant functional traits Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ppees.2019.125458 SN - 1433-8319 VL - 39 PB - Elsevier CY - München ER -