TY - JOUR A1 - Gutt, Julian A1 - Zurell, Damaris A1 - Bracegridle, Thomas J. A1 - Cheung, William A1 - Clark, Melody S. A1 - Convey, Peter A1 - Danis, Bruno A1 - David, Bruno A1 - De Broyer, Claude A1 - di Prisco, Guido A1 - Griffiths, Huw A1 - Laffont, Remi A1 - Peck, Lloyd S. A1 - Pierrat, Benjamin A1 - Riddle, Martin J. A1 - Saucede, Thomas A1 - Turner, John A1 - Verde, Cinzia A1 - Wang, Zhaomin A1 - Grimm, Volker T1 - Correlative and dynamic species distribution modelling for ecological predictions in the Antarctic a cross-disciplinary concept JF - Polar research : a Norwegian journal of Polar research N2 - Developments of future scenarios of Antarctic ecosystems are still in their infancy, whilst predictions of the physical environment are recognized as being of global relevance and corresponding models are under continuous development. However, in the context of environmental change simulations of the future of the Antarctic biosphere are increasingly demanded by decision makers and the public, and are of fundamental scientific interest. This paper briefly reviews existing predictive models applied to Antarctic ecosystems before providing a conceptual framework for the further development of spatially and temporally explicit ecosystem models. The concept suggests how to improve approaches to relating species' habitat description to the physical environment, for which a case study on sea urchins is presented. In addition, the concept integrates existing and new ideas to consider dynamic components, particularly information on the natural history of key species, from physiological experiments and biomolecular analyses. Thereby, we identify and critically discuss gaps in knowledge and methodological limitations. These refer to process understanding of biological complexity, the need for high spatial resolution oceanographic data from the entire water column, and the use of data from biomolecular analyses in support of such ecological approaches. Our goal is to motivate the research community to contribute data and knowledge to a holistic, Antarctic-specific, macroecological framework. Such a framework will facilitate the integration of theoretical and empirical work in Antarctica, improving our mechanistic understanding of this globally influential ecoregion, and supporting actions to secure this biodiversity hotspot and its ecosystem services. KW - Environmental change KW - integrative modelling framework KW - spatially and temporally explicit modelling macroecology KW - biodiversity KW - habitat suitability models Y1 - 2012 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3402/polar.v31i0.11091 SN - 0800-0395 VL - 31 IS - 6 PB - Co-Action Publ. CY - Jarfalla ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ziege, Madlen A1 - Hennige-Schulz, Carmen A1 - Muecksch, Frauke A1 - Bierbach, David A1 - Tiedemann, Ralph A1 - Streit, Bruno A1 - Plath, Martin T1 - A comparison of two methods to assess audience-induced changes in male mate choice JF - Current zoology N2 - Multidirectional communicative interactions in social networks can have a profound effect on mate choice behavior. Male Atlantic molly Poecilia mexicana exhibit weaker mating preferences when an audience male is presented. This could be a male strategy to reduce sperm competition risk: interacting more equally with different females may be advantageous because rivals might copy mate choice decisions. In line with this hypothesis, a previous study found males to show a strong audience effect when being observed while exercising mate choice, but not when the rival was presented only before the choice tests. Audience effects on mate choice decisions have been quantified in poeciliid fishes using association preference designs, but it remains unknown if patterns found from measuring association times translate into actual mating behavior. Thus, we created five audience treatments simulating different forms of perceived sperm competition risk and determined focal males' mating preferences by scoring pre-mating (nipping) and mating behavior (gonopodial thrusting). Nipping did not reflect the pattern that was found when association preferences were measured, while a very similar pattern was uncovered in thrusting behavior. The strongest response was observed when the audience could eavesdrop on the focal male's behavior. A reduction in the strength of focal males' preferences was also seen after the rival male had an opportunity to mate with the focal male's preferred mate. In comparison, the reduction of mating preferences in response to an audience was greater when measuring association times than actual mating behavior. While measuring direct sexual interactions between the focal male and both stimulus females not only the male's motivational state is reflected but also females' behavior such as avoidance of male sexual harassment. KW - Communication networks KW - Male mate choice KW - Non-independent mate choice KW - Sexual selection KW - Sperm competition risk KW - Audience effect Y1 - 2012 SN - 1674-5507 VL - 58 IS - 1 SP - 84 EP - 94 PB - Current Zoology CY - Beijing ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Lim, Sze Chern A1 - Friemel, Martin A1 - Marum, Justine E. A1 - Tucker, Elena J. A1 - Bruno, Damien L. A1 - Riley, Lisa G. A1 - Christodoulou, John A1 - Kirk, Edwin P. A1 - Boneh, Avihu A1 - DeGennaro, Christine M. A1 - Springer, Michael A1 - Mootha, Vamsi K. A1 - Rouault, Tracey A. A1 - Leimkühler, Silke A1 - Thorburn, David R. A1 - Compton, Alison G. T1 - Mutations in LYRM4, encoding ironsulfur cluster biogenesis factor ISD11, cause deficiency of multiple respiratory chain complexes JF - Human molecular genetics N2 - Ironsulfur clusters (ISCs) are important prosthetic groups that define the functions of many proteins. Proteins with ISCs (called ironsulfur or FeS proteins) are present in mitochondria, the cytosol, the endoplasmic reticulum and the nucleus. They participate in various biological pathways including oxidative phosphorylation (OXPHOS), the citric acid cycle, iron homeostasis, heme biosynthesis and DNA repair. Here, we report a homozygous mutation in LYRM4 in two patients with combined OXPHOS deficiency. LYRM4 encodes the ISD11 protein, which forms a complex with, and stabilizes, the sulfur donor NFS1. The homozygous mutation (c.203GT, p.R68L) was identified via massively parallel sequencing of 1000 mitochondrial genes (MitoExome sequencing) in a patient with deficiency of complexes I, II and III in muscle and liver. These three complexes contain ISCs. Sanger sequencing identified the same mutation in his similarly affected cousin, who had a more severe phenotype and died while a neonate. Complex IV was also deficient in her skeletal muscle. Several other FeS proteins were also affected in both patients, including the aconitases and ferrochelatase. Mutant ISD11 only partially complemented for an ISD11 deletion in yeast. Our in vitro studies showed that the l-cysteine desulfurase activity of NFS1 was barely present when co-expressed with mutant ISD11. Our findings are consistent with a defect in the early step of ISC assembly affecting a broad variety of FeS proteins. The differences in biochemical and clinical features between the two patients may relate to limited availability of cysteine in the newborn period and suggest a potential approach to therapy. Y1 - 2013 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1093/hmg/ddt295 SN - 0964-6906 SN - 1460-2083 VL - 22 IS - 22 SP - 4460 EP - 4473 PB - Oxford Univ. Press CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Duethmann, Doris A1 - Bolch, Tobias A1 - Farinotti, Daniel A1 - Kriegel, David A1 - Vorogushyn, Sergiy A1 - Merz, Bruno A1 - Pieczonka, Tino A1 - Jiang, Tong A1 - Su, Buda A1 - Güntner, Andreas T1 - Attribution of streamflow trends in snow and glacier melt-dominated catchments of the Tarim River, Central Asia JF - Water resources research N2 - Observed streamflow of headwater catchments of the Tarim River (Central Asia) increased by about 30% over the period 1957-2004. This study aims at assessing to which extent these streamflow trends can be attributed to changes in air temperature or precipitation. The analysis includes a data-based approach using multiple linear regression and a simulation-based approach using a hydrological model. The hydrological model considers changes in both glacier area and surface elevation. It was calibrated using a multiobjective optimization algorithm with calibration criteria based on glacier mass balance and daily and interannual variations of discharge. The individual contributions to the overall streamflow trends from changes in glacier geometry, temperature, and precipitation were assessed using simulation experiments with a constant glacier geometry and with detrended temperature and precipitation time series. The results showed that the observed changes in streamflow were consistent with the changes in temperature and precipitation. In the Sari-Djaz catchment, increasing temperatures and related increase of glacier melt were identified as the dominant driver, while in the Kakshaal catchment, both increasing temperatures and increasing precipitation played a major role. Comparing the two approaches, an advantage of the simulation-based approach is the fact that it is based on process-based relationships implemented in the hydrological model instead of statistical links in the regression model. However, data-based approaches are less affected by model parameter and structural uncertainties and typically fast to apply. A complementary application of both approaches is recommended. KW - trend analysis KW - data-based KW - simulation-based KW - multiobjective calibration KW - hydrological modeling KW - glacier melt Y1 - 2015 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/2014WR016716 SN - 0043-1397 SN - 1944-7973 VL - 51 IS - 6 SP - 4727 EP - 4750 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Tarasova, Larisa A1 - Merz, Ralf A1 - Kiss, Andrea A1 - Basso, Stefano A1 - Blöchl, Günter A1 - Merz, Bruno A1 - Viglione, Alberto A1 - Plötner, Stefan A1 - Guse, Björn A1 - Schumann, Andreas A1 - Fischer, Svenja A1 - Ahrens, Bodo A1 - Anwar, Faizan A1 - Bárdossy, András A1 - Bühler, Philipp A1 - Haberlandt, Uwe A1 - Kreibich, Heidi A1 - Krug, Amelie A1 - Lun, David A1 - Müller-Thomy, Hannes A1 - Pidoto, Ross A1 - Primo, Cristina A1 - Seidel, Jochen A1 - Vorogushyn, Sergiy A1 - Wietzke, Luzie T1 - Causative classification of river flood events JF - Wiley Interdisciplinary Reviews : Water N2 - A wide variety of processes controls the time of occurrence, duration, extent, and severity of river floods. Classifying flood events by their causative processes may assist in enhancing the accuracy of local and regional flood frequency estimates and support the detection and interpretation of any changes in flood occurrence and magnitudes. This paper provides a critical review of existing causative classifications of instrumental and preinstrumental series of flood events, discusses their validity and applications, and identifies opportunities for moving toward more comprehensive approaches. So far no unified definition of causative mechanisms of flood events exists. Existing frameworks for classification of instrumental and preinstrumental series of flood events adopt different perspectives: hydroclimatic (large-scale circulation patterns and atmospheric state at the time of the event), hydrological (catchment scale precipitation patterns and antecedent catchment state), and hydrograph-based (indirectly considering generating mechanisms through their effects on hydrograph characteristics). All of these approaches intend to capture the flood generating mechanisms and are useful for characterizing the flood processes at various spatial and temporal scales. However, uncertainty analyses with respect to indicators, classification methods, and data to assess the robustness of the classification are rarely performed which limits the transferability across different geographic regions. It is argued that more rigorous testing is needed. There are opportunities for extending classification methods to include indicators of space-time dynamics of rainfall, antecedent wetness, and routing effects, which will make the classification schemes even more useful for understanding and estimating floods. This article is categorized under: Science of Water > Water Extremes Science of Water > Hydrological Processes Science of Water > Methods KW - flood genesis KW - flood mechanisms KW - flood typology KW - historical floods KW - hydroclimatology of floods Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/wat2.1353 SN - 2049-1948 VL - 6 IS - 4 PB - Wiley CY - Hoboken ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Merz, Bruno A1 - Basso, Stefano A1 - Fischer, Svenja A1 - Lun, David A1 - Bloeschl, Guenter A1 - Merz, Ralf A1 - Guse, Bjorn A1 - Viglione, Alberto A1 - Vorogushyn, Sergiy A1 - Macdonald, Elena A1 - Wietzke, Luzie A1 - Schumann, Andreas T1 - Understanding heavy tails of flood peak distributions JF - Water resources research N2 - Statistical distributions of flood peak discharge often show heavy tail behavior, that is, extreme floods are more likely to occur than would be predicted by commonly used distributions that have exponential asymptotic behavior. This heavy tail behavior may surprise flood managers and citizens, as human intuition tends to expect light tail behavior, and the heaviness of the tails is very difficult to predict, which may lead to unnecessarily high flood damage. Despite its high importance, the literature on the heavy tail behavior of flood distributions is rather fragmented. In this review, we provide a coherent overview of the processes causing heavy flood tails and the implications for science and practice. Specifically, we propose nine hypotheses on the mechanisms causing heavy tails in flood peak distributions related to processes in the atmosphere, the catchment, and the river system. We then discuss to which extent the current knowledge supports or contradicts these hypotheses. We also discuss the statistical conditions for the emergence of heavy tail behavior based on derived distribution theory and relate them to the hypotheses and flood generation mechanisms. We review the degree to which the heaviness of the tails can be predicted from process knowledge and data. Finally, we recommend further research toward testing the hypotheses and improving the prediction of heavy tails. KW - extreme events KW - flood frequency KW - flood risk KW - upper tail Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2021WR030506 SN - 0043-1397 SN - 1944-7973 VL - 58 IS - 6 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Merz, Bruno A1 - Kuhlicke, Christian A1 - Kunz, Michael A1 - Pittore, Massimiliano A1 - Babeyko, Andrey A1 - Bresch, David N. A1 - Domeisen, Daniela I. A1 - Feser, Frauke A1 - Koszalka, Inga A1 - Kreibich, Heidi A1 - Pantillon, Florian A1 - Parolai, Stefano A1 - Pinto, Joaquim G. A1 - Punge, Heinz Jürgen A1 - Rivalta, Eleonora A1 - Schröter, Kai A1 - Strehlow, Karen A1 - Weisse, Ralf A1 - Wurpts, Andreas T1 - Impact forecasting to support emergency management of natural hazards JF - Reviews of geophysics N2 - Forecasting and early warning systems are important investments to protect lives, properties, and livelihood. While early warning systems are frequently used to predict the magnitude, location, and timing of potentially damaging events, these systems rarely provide impact estimates, such as the expected amount and distribution of physical damage, human consequences, disruption of services, or financial loss. Complementing early warning systems with impact forecasts has a twofold advantage: It would provide decision makers with richer information to take informed decisions about emergency measures and focus the attention of different disciplines on a common target. This would allow capitalizing on synergies between different disciplines and boosting the development of multihazard early warning systems. This review discusses the state of the art in impact forecasting for a wide range of natural hazards. We outline the added value of impact-based warnings compared to hazard forecasting for the emergency phase, indicate challenges and pitfalls, and synthesize the review results across hazard types most relevant for Europe. KW - impact forecasting KW - natural hazards KW - early warning Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2020RG000704 SN - 8755-1209 SN - 1944-9208 VL - 58 IS - 4 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Brodeur, Abel A1 - Mikola, Derek A1 - Cook, Nikolai A1 - Brailey, Thomas A1 - Briggs, Ryan A1 - Gendre, Alexandra de A1 - Dupraz, Yannick A1 - Fiala, Lenka A1 - Gabani, Jacopo A1 - Gauriot, Romain A1 - Haddad, Joanne A1 - Lima, Goncalo A1 - Ankel-Peters, Jörg A1 - Dreber, Anna A1 - Campbell, Douglas A1 - Kattan, Lamis A1 - Fages, Diego Marino A1 - Mierisch, Fabian A1 - Sun, Pu A1 - Wright, Taylor A1 - Connolly, Marie A1 - Hoces de la Guardia, Fernando A1 - Johannesson, Magnus A1 - Miguel, Edward A1 - Vilhuber, Lars A1 - Abarca, Alejandro A1 - Acharya, Mahesh A1 - Adjisse, Sossou Simplice A1 - Akhtar, Ahwaz A1 - Lizardi, Eduardo Alberto Ramirez A1 - Albrecht, Sabina A1 - Andersen, Synve Nygaard A1 - Andlib, Zubaria A1 - Arrora, Falak A1 - Ash, Thomas A1 - Bacher, Etienne A1 - Bachler, Sebastian A1 - Bacon, Félix A1 - Bagues, Manuel A1 - Balogh, Timea A1 - Batmanov, Alisher A1 - Barschkett, Mara A1 - Basdil, B. Kaan A1 - Dower, Jaromneda A1 - Castek, Ondrej A1 - Caviglia-Harris, Jill A1 - Strand, Gabriella Chauca A1 - Chen, Shi A1 - Chzhen, Asya A1 - Chung, Jong A1 - Collins, Jason A1 - Coppock, Alexander A1 - Cordeau, Hugo A1 - Couillard, Ben A1 - Crechet, Jonathan A1 - Crippa, Lorenzo A1 - Cui, Jeanne A1 - Czymara, Christian A1 - Daarstad, Haley A1 - Dao, Danh Chi A1 - Dao, Dong A1 - Schmandt, Marco David A1 - Linde, Astrid de A1 - Melo, Lucas De A1 - Deer, Lachlan A1 - Vera, Micole De A1 - Dimitrova, Velichka A1 - Dollbaum, Jan Fabian A1 - Dollbaum, Jan Matti A1 - Donnelly, Michael A1 - Huynh, Luu Duc Toan A1 - Dumbalska, Tsvetomira A1 - Duncan, Jamie A1 - Duong, Kiet Tuan A1 - Duprey, Thibaut A1 - Dworschak, Christoph A1 - Ellingsrud, Sigmund A1 - Elminejad, Ali A1 - Eissa, Yasmine A1 - Erhart, Andrea A1 - Etingin-Frati, Giulian A1 - Fatemi-Pour, Elaheh A1 - Federice, Alexa A1 - Feld, Jan A1 - Fenig, Guidon A1 - Firouzjaeiangalougah, Mojtaba A1 - Fleisje, Erlend A1 - Fortier-Chouinard, Alexandre A1 - Engel, Julia Francesca A1 - Fries, Tilman A1 - Fortier, Reid A1 - Fréchet, Nadjim A1 - Galipeau, Thomas A1 - Gallegos, Sebastián A1 - Gangji, Areez A1 - Gao, Xiaoying A1 - Garnache, Cloé A1 - Gáspár, Attila A1 - Gavrilova, Evelina A1 - Ghosh, Arijit A1 - Gibney, Garreth A1 - Gibson, Grant A1 - Godager, Geir A1 - Goff, Leonard A1 - Gong, Da A1 - González, Javier A1 - Gretton, Jeremy A1 - Griffa, Cristina A1 - Grigoryeva, Idaliya A1 - Grtting, Maja A1 - Guntermann, Eric A1 - Guo, Jiaqi A1 - Gugushvili, Alexi A1 - Habibnia, Hooman A1 - Häffner, Sonja A1 - Hall, Jonathan D. A1 - Hammar, Olle A1 - Kordt, Amund Hanson A1 - Hashimoto, Barry A1 - Hartley, Jonathan S. A1 - Hausladen, Carina I. A1 - Havránek, Tomáš A1 - Hazen, Jacob A1 - He, Harry A1 - Hepplewhite, Matthew A1 - Herrera-Rodriguez, Mario A1 - Heuer, Felix A1 - Heyes, Anthony A1 - Ho, Anson T. Y. A1 - Holmes, Jonathan A1 - Holzknecht, Armando A1 - Hsu, Yu-Hsiang Dexter A1 - Hu, Shiang-Hung A1 - Huang, Yu-Shiuan A1 - Huebener, Mathias A1 - Huber, Christoph A1 - Huynh, Kim P. A1 - Irsova, Zuzana A1 - Isler, Ozan A1 - Jakobsson, Niklas A1 - Frith, Michael James A1 - Jananji, Raphaël A1 - Jayalath, Tharaka A. A1 - Jetter, Michael A1 - John, Jenny A1 - Forshaw, Rachel Joy A1 - Juan, Felipe A1 - Kadriu, Valon A1 - Karim, Sunny A1 - Kelly, Edmund A1 - Dang, Duy Khanh Hoang A1 - Khushboo, Tazia A1 - Kim, Jin A1 - Kjellsson, Gustav A1 - Kjelsrud, Anders A1 - Kotsadam, Andreas A1 - Korpershoek, Jori A1 - Krashinsky, Lewis A1 - Kundu, Suranjana A1 - Kustov, Alexander A1 - Lalayev, Nurlan A1 - Langlois, Audrée A1 - Laufer, Jill A1 - Lee-Whiting, Blake A1 - Leibing, Andreas A1 - Lenz, Gabriel A1 - Levin, Joel A1 - Li, Peng A1 - Li, Tongzhe A1 - Lin, Yuchen A1 - Listo, Ariel A1 - Liu, Dan A1 - Lu, Xuewen A1 - Lukmanova, Elvina A1 - Luscombe, Alex A1 - Lusher, Lester R. A1 - Lyu, Ke A1 - Ma, Hai A1 - Mäder, Nicolas A1 - Makate, Clifton A1 - Malmberg, Alice A1 - Maitra, Adit A1 - Mandas, Marco A1 - Marcus, Jan A1 - Margaryan, Shushanik A1 - Márk, Lili A1 - Martignano, Andres A1 - Marsh, Abigail A1 - Masetto, Isabella A1 - McCanny, Anthony A1 - McManus, Emma A1 - McWay, Ryan A1 - Metson, Lennard A1 - Kinge, Jonas Minet A1 - Mishra, Sumit A1 - Mohnen, Myra A1 - Möller, Jakob A1 - Montambeault, Rosalie A1 - Montpetit, Sébastien A1 - Morin, Louis-Philippe A1 - Morris, Todd A1 - Moser, Scott A1 - Motoki, Fabio A1 - Muehlenbachs, Lucija A1 - Musulan, Andreea A1 - Musumeci, Marco A1 - Nabin, Munirul A1 - Nchare, Karim A1 - Neubauer, Florian A1 - Nguyen, Quan M. P. A1 - Nguyen, Tuan A1 - Nguyen-Tien, Viet A1 - Niazi, Ali A1 - Nikolaishvili, Giorgi A1 - Nordstrom, Ardyn A1 - Nü, Patrick A1 - Odermatt, Angela A1 - Olson, Matt A1 - ien, Henning A1 - Ölkers, Tim A1 - Vert, Miquel Oliver i. A1 - Oral, Emre A1 - Oswald, Christian A1 - Ousman, Ali A1 - Özak, Ömer A1 - Pandey, Shubham A1 - Pavlov, Alexandre A1 - Pelli, Martino A1 - Penheiro, Romeo A1 - Park, RyuGyung A1 - Martel, Eva Pérez A1 - Petrovičová, Tereza A1 - Phan, Linh A1 - Prettyman, Alexa A1 - Procházka, Jakub A1 - Putri, Aqila A1 - Quandt, Julian A1 - Qiu, Kangyu A1 - Nguyen, Loan Quynh Thi A1 - Rahman, Andaleeb A1 - Rea, Carson H. A1 - Reiremo, Adam A1 - Renée, Laëtitia A1 - Richardson, Joseph A1 - Rivers, Nicholas A1 - Rodrigues, Bruno A1 - Roelofs, William A1 - Roemer, Tobias A1 - Rogeberg, Ole A1 - Rose, Julian A1 - Roskos-Ewoldsen, Andrew A1 - Rosmer, Paul A1 - Sabada, Barbara A1 - Saberian, Soodeh A1 - Salamanca, Nicolas A1 - Sator, Georg A1 - Sawyer, Antoine A1 - Scates, Daniel A1 - Schlüter, Elmar A1 - Sells, Cameron A1 - Sen, Sharmi A1 - Sethi, Ritika A1 - Shcherbiak, Anna A1 - Sogaolu, Moyosore A1 - Soosalu, Matt A1 - Srensen, Erik A1 - Sovani, Manali A1 - Spencer, Noah A1 - Staubli, Stefan A1 - Stans, Renske A1 - Stewart, Anya A1 - Stips, Felix A1 - Stockley, Kieran A1 - Strobel, Stephenson A1 - Struby, Ethan A1 - Tang, John A1 - Tanrisever, Idil A1 - Yang, Thomas Tao A1 - Tastan, Ipek A1 - Tatić, Dejan A1 - Tatlow, Benjamin A1 - Seuyong, Féraud Tchuisseu A1 - Thériault, Rémi A1 - Thivierge, Vincent A1 - Tian, Wenjie A1 - Toma, Filip-Mihai A1 - Totarelli, Maddalena A1 - Tran, Van-Anh A1 - Truong, Hung A1 - Tsoy, Nikita A1 - Tuzcuoglu, Kerem A1 - Ubfal, Diego A1 - Villalobos, Laura A1 - Walterskirchen, Julian A1 - Wang, Joseph Taoyi A1 - Wattal, Vasudha A1 - Webb, Matthew D. A1 - Weber, Bryan A1 - Weisser, Reinhard A1 - Weng, Wei-Chien A1 - Westheide, Christian A1 - White, Kimberly A1 - Winter, Jacob A1 - Wochner, Timo A1 - Woerman, Matt A1 - Wong, Jared A1 - Woodard, Ritchie A1 - Wroński, Marcin A1 - Yazbeck, Myra A1 - Yang, Gustav Chung A1 - Yap, Luther A1 - Yassin, Kareman A1 - Ye, Hao A1 - Yoon, Jin Young A1 - Yurris, Chris A1 - Zahra, Tahreen A1 - Zaneva, Mirela A1 - Zayat, Aline A1 - Zhang, Jonathan A1 - Zhao, Ziwei A1 - Yaolang, Zhong T1 - Mass reproducibility and replicability BT - a new hope T2 - I4R discussion paper series N2 - This study pushes our understanding of research reliability by reproducing and replicating claims from 110 papers in leading economic and political science journals. The analysis involves computational reproducibility checks and robustness assessments. It reveals several patterns. First, we uncover a high rate of fully computationally reproducible results (over 85%). Second, excluding minor issues like missing packages or broken pathways, we uncover coding errors for about 25% of studies, with some studies containing multiple errors. Third, we test the robustness of the results to 5,511 re-analyses. We find a robustness reproducibility of about 70%. Robustness reproducibility rates are relatively higher for re-analyses that introduce new data and lower for re-analyses that change the sample or the definition of the dependent variable. Fourth, 52% of re-analysis effect size estimates are smaller than the original published estimates and the average statistical significance of a re-analysis is 77% of the original. Lastly, we rely on six teams of researchers working independently to answer eight additional research questions on the determinants of robustness reproducibility. Most teams find a negative relationship between replicators' experience and reproducibility, while finding no relationship between reproducibility and the provision of intermediate or even raw data combined with the necessary cleaning codes. KW - conomics KW - open science KW - political science KW - replication KW - reproduction KW - research transparency Y1 - 2024 SN - 2752-1931 IS - 107 PB - Institute for Replication CY - Essen ER -