TY - GEN A1 - Melnick, Daniel A1 - Li, Shaoyang A1 - Moreno, Marcos A1 - Cisternas, Marco A1 - Jara-Muñoz, Julius A1 - Wesson, Robert A1 - Nelson, Alan A1 - Báez, Juan Carlos A1 - Deng, Zhiguo T1 - Back to full interseismic plate locking decades after the giant 1960 Chile earthquake T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - Great megathrust earthquakes arise from the sudden release of energy accumulated during centuries of interseismic plate convergence. The moment deficit (energy available for future earthquakes) is commonly inferred by integrating the rate of interseismic plate locking over the time since the previous great earthquake. But accurate integration requires knowledge of how interseismic plate locking changes decades after earthquakes, measurements not available for most great earthquakes. Here we reconstruct the post-earthquake history of plate locking at Guafo Island, above the seismogenic zone of the giant 1960 (M-w = 9.5) Chile earthquake, through forward modeling of land-level changes inferred from aerial imagery (since 1974) and measured by GPS (since 1994). We find that interseismic locking increased to similar to 70% in the decade following the 1960 earthquake and then gradually to 100% by 2005. Our findings illustrate the transient evolution of plate locking in Chile, and suggest a similarly complex evolution elsewhere, with implications for the time- and magnitude-dependent probability of future events. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 678 KW - south-central Chile KW - continuous GPS measurements KW - andean subduction zone KW - finite-element model KW - 2010 M8.8 maule KW - postseismic deformation KW - megathrust earthquake KW - afterslip KW - slip KW - resolution Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-425723 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 678 ER -