TY - JOUR A1 - Witt, Annette A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Pikovskij, Arkadij T1 - Testing stationarity in time series Y1 - 1998 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rosenblum, Michael A1 - Pikovskij, Arkadij A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Phase synchronization in noisy and chaotic oscillators Y1 - 1997 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zaks, Michael A. A1 - Pikovskij, Arkadij A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - On the correlation dimension of the spectral measure for the Thue-Morse sequence Y1 - 1997 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rosenblum, Michael A1 - Pikovskij, Arkadij A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Phase synchronization in driven and coupled chaotic oscillators Y1 - 1997 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rosenblum, Michael A1 - Pikovskij, Arkadij A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Effect of phase synchronization in driven chaotic oscillators Y1 - 1997 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Pikovskij, Arkadij A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Coherence resonance in a noise-driven excitable system Y1 - 1997 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Ciemer, Catrin A1 - Rehm, Lars A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Donner, Reik Volker A1 - Winkelmann, Hilke Ricarda A1 - Boers, Niklas T1 - An early-warning indicator for Amazon droughts exclusively based on tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - Droughts in tropical South America have an imminent and severe impact on the Amazon rainforest and affect the livelihoods of millions of people. Extremely dry conditions in Amazonia have been previously linked to sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the adjacent tropical oceans. Although the sources and impacts of such droughts have been widely studied, establishing reliable multi-year lead statistical forecasts of their occurrence is still an ongoing challenge. Here, we further investigate the relationship between SST and rainfall anomalies using a complex network approach. We identify four ocean regions which exhibit the strongest overall SST correlations with central Amazon rainfall, including two particularly prominent regions in the northern and southern tropical Atlantic. Based on the time-dependent correlation between SST anomalies in these two regions alone, we establish a new early-warning method for droughts in the central Amazon basin and demonstrate its robustness in hindcasting past major drought events with lead-times up to 18 months. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 1207 KW - complex networks KW - droughts KW - prediction KW - Amazon rainforest Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-525863 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 9 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Romano, Maria Carmen A1 - Thiel, M. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Kiss, Istvan Z. A1 - Hudson, J. L. T1 - Detection of synchronization for non-phase-coherent and non-stationary data N2 - We present a new method to detect phase as well as generalized synchronization in a wide class of complex systems. It is based on the recurrences of the system's trajectory to the neighborhood of a former state in phase space. We illustrate the applicability of the algorithm for the paradigmatic chaotic Rossler system in the funnel regime and for noisy data, where other methods to detect phase synchronization fail. Furthermore, we demonstrate for electrochemical experiments that the method can easily detect phase and generalized synchronization in non-phase- coherent and even non-stationary time series Y1 - 2005 SN - 0295-5075 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zhou, Changsong A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Kiss, Istvan Z. A1 - Hudson, J. L. T1 - Noise-enhanced phase synchronization of chaotic oscillators Y1 - 2002 ER - TY - INPR A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Pikovskij, Arkadij A1 - Scheffczyk, Christian T1 - Roughening interfaces in deterministic dynamics N2 - Two deterministic processes leading to roughening interfaces are considered. It is shown that the dynamics of linear perturbations of turbulent regimes in coupled map lattices is governed by a discrete version of the Kardar-Parisi-Zhang equation. The asymptotic scaling behavior of the perturbation field is investigated in the case of large lattices. Secondly, the dynamics of an order-disorder interface is modelled with a simple two-dimensional coupled map lattice, possesing a turbulent and a laminar state. It is demonstrated, that in some range of parameters the spreading of the turbulent state is accompanied by kinetic roughening of the interface. T3 - NLD Preprints - 3 Y1 - 1994 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-13447 ER -