TY - JOUR A1 - Suresh, R. A1 - Senthilkumar, Dharmapuri Vijayan A1 - Lakshmanan, Muthusamy A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Global phase synchronization in an array of time-delay systems N2 - We report the identification of global phase synchronization (GPS) in a linear array of unidirectionally coupled Mackey-Glass time-delay systems exhibiting highly non-phase-coherent chaotic attractors with complex topological structure. In particular, we show that the dynamical organization of all the coupled time-delay systems in the array to form GPS is achieved by sequential synchronization as a function of the coupling strength. Further, the asynchronous ones in the array with respect to the main sequentially synchronized cluster organize themselves to form clusters before they achieve synchronization with the main cluster. We have confirmed these results by estimating instantaneous phases including phase difference, average phase, average frequency, frequency ratio, and their differences from suitably transformed phase coherent attractors after using a nonlinear transformation of the original non-phase-coherent attractors. The results are further corroborated using two other independent approaches based on recurrence analysis and the concept of localized sets from the original non-phase-coherent attractors directly without explicitly introducing the measure of phase. Y1 - 2010 UR - http://pre.aps.org/ U6 - https://doi.org/10.1103/Physreve.82.016215 SN - 1539-3755 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zamora-Lopez, Gorka A1 - Zhou, Changsong A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Graph analysis of cortical networks reveals complex anatomical communication substrate N2 - Sensory information entering the nervous system follows independent paths of processing such that specific features are individually detected. However, sensory perception, awareness, and cognition emerge from the combination of information. Here we have analyzed the corticocortical network of the cat, looking for the anatomical substrate which permits the simultaneous segregation and integration of information in the brain. We find that cortical communications are mainly governed by three topological factors of the underlying network: (i) a large density of connections, (ii) segregation of cortical areas into clusters, and (iii) the presence of highly connected hubs aiding the multisensory processing and integration. Statistical analysis of the shortest paths reveals that, while information is highly accessible to all cortical areas, the complexity of cortical information processing may arise from the rich and intricate alternative paths in which areas can influence each other. Y1 - 2009 UR - http://ojps.aip.org/chaos/ U6 - https://doi.org/10.1063/1.3089559 SN - 1054-1500 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rosenblum, Michael A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Schäfer, Carsten A1 - Abel, Hans-Henning T1 - Heartbeat synchronized with ventilation Y1 - 1998 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zhou, Changsong A1 - Zemanova, Lucia A1 - Zamora, Gorka A1 - Hilgetag, Claus C. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Hierarchical organization unveiled by functional connectivity in complex brain networks JF - Physical review letters N2 - How do diverse dynamical patterns arise from the topology of complex networks? We study synchronization dynamics in the cortical brain network of the cat, which displays a hierarchically clustered organization, by modeling each node (cortical area) with a subnetwork of interacting excitable neurons. We find that in the biologically plausible regime the dynamics exhibits a hierarchical modular organization, in particular, revealing functional clusters coinciding with the anatomical communities at different scales. Our results provide insights into the relationship between network topology and functional organization of complex brain networks. Y1 - 2006 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.97.238103 SN - 0031-9007 SN - 1079-7114 VL - 97 PB - American Physical Society CY - College Park ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zhou, Changsong A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Hierarchical synchronization in complex networks with heterogeneous degrees N2 - We study synchronization behavior in networks of coupled chaotic oscillators with heterogeneous connection degrees. Our focus is on regimes away from the complete synchronization state, when the coupling is not strong enough, when the oscillators are under the influence of noise or when the oscillators are nonidentical. We have found a hierarchical organization of the synchronization behavior with respect to the collective dynamics of the network. Oscillators with more connections (hubs) are synchronized more closely by the collective dynamics and constitute the dynamical core of the network. The numerical observation of this hierarchical synchronization is supported with an analysis based on a mean field approximation and the master stability function. (C) 2006 American Institute of Physics Y1 - 2006 UR - http://scitation.aip.org/getpdf/servlet/ GetPDFServlet?filetype=pdf&id=CHAOEH000016000001015104000001&idtype=cvips&doi=10.1063/1.2150381&prog=normal U6 - https://doi.org/10.1063/1.2150381 SN - 1054-1500 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ciemer, Catrin A1 - Boers, Niklas A1 - Hirota, Marina A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Müller-Hansen, Finn A1 - Oliveira, Rafael S. A1 - Winkelmann, Ricarda T1 - Higher resilience to climatic disturbances in tropical vegetation exposed to more variable rainfall JF - Nature geoscience N2 - With ongoing global warming, the amount and frequency of precipitation in the tropics is projected to change substantially. While it has been shown that tropical forests and savannahs are sustained within the same intermediate mean annual precipitation range, the mechanisms that lead to the resilience of these ecosystems are still not fully understood. In particular, the long-term impact of rainfall variability on resilience is as yet unclear. Here we present observational evidence that both tropical forest and savannah exposed to a higher rainfall variability-in particular on interannual scales-during their long-term past are overall more resilient against climatic disturbances. Based on precipitation and tree cover data in the Brazilian Amazon basin, we constructed potential landscapes that enable us to systematically measure the resilience of the different ecosystems. Additionally, we infer that shifts from forest to savannah due to decreasing precipitation in the future are more likely to occur in regions with a precursory lower rainfall variability. Long-term rainfall variability thus needs to be taken into account in resilience analyses and projections of vegetation response to climate change. Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-019-0312-z SN - 1752-0894 SN - 1752-0908 VL - 12 IS - 3 SP - 174 EP - 179 PB - Nature Publ. Group CY - New York ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Goswami, Bedartha A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Feulner, Georg A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - How do global temperature drivers influence each other? JF - European physical journal special topics N2 - We investigate a network of influences connected to global mean temperature. Considering various climatic factors known to influence global mean temperature, we evaluate not only the impacts of these factors on temperature but also the directed dependencies among the factors themselves. Based on an existing recurrence-based connectivity measure, we propose a new and more general measure that quantifies the level of dependence between two time series based on joint recurrences at a chosen time delay. The measures estimated in the analysis are tested for statistical significance using twin surrogates. We find, in accordance with earlier studies, the major drivers for global mean temperature to be greenhouse gases, ENSO, volcanic activity, and solar irradiance. We further uncover a feedback between temperature and ENSO. Our results demonstrate the need to involve multiple, delayed interactions within the drivers of temperature in order to develop a more thorough picture of global temperature variations. Y1 - 2013 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1140/epjst/e2013-01889-8 SN - 1951-6355 VL - 222 IS - 3-4 SP - 861 EP - 873 PB - Springer CY - Heidelberg ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Thiel, M. A1 - Romano, Maria Carmen A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - How much information is contained in a recurrence plot? N2 - Recurrence plots have recently been recognized as a powerful tool for the analysis of data. Not only the visualization of structures of the time series but also the possibility to estimate invariants from them and the possibility to analyze non-stationary data sets are remarkable. However, the question of how much information is encoded in such a two-dimensional and binary representation has not been discussed so far. In this Letter we show that-under some conditions-it is possible to reconstruct an attractor from the recurrence plot, at least topologically. This means that all relevant dynamical information is contained in the plot. (C) 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved Y1 - 2004 SN - 0375-9601 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wu, Ye A1 - Zhou, Changsong A1 - Chen, Maoyin A1 - Xiao, Jinghua A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Human comment dynamics in on-line social systems N2 - Human comment is studied using data from 'tianya' which is one of the most popular on-line social systems in China. We found that the time interval between two consecutive comments on the same topic, called inter-event time, follows a power-law distribution. This result shows that there is no characteristic decay time on a topic. It allows for very long periods without comments that separate bursts of intensive comments. Furthermore, the frequency of a different ID commenting on a topic also follows a power-law distribution. It indicates that there are some "hubs" in the topic who lead the direction of the public opinion. Based on the personal comments habit, a model is introduced to explain these phenomena. The numerical simulations of the model fit well with the empirical results. Our findings are helpful for discovering regular patterns of human behavior in on-line society and the evolution of the public opinion on the virtual as well as real society. Y1 - 2010 UR - http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/03784371 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2010.08.049 SN - 0378-4371 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Romano, Maria Carmen A1 - Thiel, Marco A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Mergenthaler, Konstantin A1 - Engbert, Ralf T1 - Hypothesis test for synchronization : twin surrogates revisited N2 - The method of twin surrogates has been introduced to test for phase synchronization of complex systems in the case of passive experiments. In this paper we derive new analytical expressions for the number of twins depending on the size of the neighborhood, as well as on the length of the trajectory. This allows us to determine the optimal parameters for the generation of twin surrogates. Furthermore, we determine the quality of the twin surrogates with respect to several linear and nonlinear statistics depending on the parameters of the method. In the second part of the paper we perform a hypothesis test for phase synchronization in the case of experimental data from fixational eye movements. These miniature eye movements have been shown to play a central role in neural information processing underlying the perception of static visual scenes. The high number of data sets (21 subjects and 30 trials per person) allows us to compare the generated twin surrogates with the "natural" surrogates that correspond to the different trials. We show that the generated twin surrogates reproduce very well all linear and nonlinear characteristics of the underlying experimental system. The synchronization analysis of fixational eye movements by means of twin surrogates reveals that the synchronization between the left and right eye is significant, indicating that either the centers in the brain stem generating fixational eye movements are closely linked, or, alternatively that there is only one center controlling both eyes. Y1 - 2009 UR - http://ojps.aip.org/chaos/ U6 - https://doi.org/10.1063/1.3072784 SN - 1054-1500 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Donges, Jonathan A1 - Donner, Reik Volker A1 - Rehfeld, Kira A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Trauth, Martin H. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Identification of dynamical transitions in marine palaeoclimate records by recurrence network analysis JF - Nonlinear processes in geophysics N2 - The analysis of palaeoclimate time series is usually affected by severe methodological problems, resulting primarily from non-equidistant sampling and uncertain age models. As an alternative to existing methods of time series analysis, in this paper we argue that the statistical properties of recurrence networks - a recently developed approach - are promising candidates for characterising the system's nonlinear dynamics and quantifying structural changes in its reconstructed phase space as time evolves. In a first order approximation, the results of recurrence network analysis are invariant to changes in the age model and are not directly affected by non-equidistant sampling of the data. Specifically, we investigate the behaviour of recurrence network measures for both paradigmatic model systems with non-stationary parameters and four marine records of long-term palaeoclimate variations. We show that the obtained results are qualitatively robust under changes of the relevant parameters of our method, including detrending, size of the running window used for analysis, and embedding delay. We demonstrate that recurrence network analysis is able to detect relevant regime shifts in synthetic data as well as in problematic geoscientific time series. This suggests its application as a general exploratory tool of time series analysis complementing existing methods. Y1 - 2011 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-18-545-2011 SN - 1023-5809 VL - 18 IS - 5 SP - 545 EP - 562 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Landa, Polina S. A1 - Zaikin, Alexei A. A1 - Ushakov, V. G. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Influence of additive noise on transitions in nonlinear systems N2 - The effect of additive noise on transitions in nonlinear systems far from equilibrium is studied. It is shown that additive noise in itself can induce a hidden phase transition, which is similar to the transition induced by multiplicative noise in a nonlinear oscillator [P. Landa and A. Zaikin, Phys. Rev. E 54, 3535 (1996)]. Investigation of different nonlinear models that demonstrate phase transitions induced by multiplicative noise shows that the influence of additive noise upon such phase transitions can be crucial: additive noise can either blur such a transition or stabilize noise-induced oscillations. Y1 - 2000 UR - http://link.aps.org/abstract/PRE/v61/p4809 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Orgis, Thomas A1 - Brand, Sascha A1 - Schwarz, Udo A1 - Handorf, Dörthe A1 - Dethloff, Klaus A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Influence of interactive stratospheric chemistry on large-scale air mass exchange in a global circulation model N2 - A new globally uniform Lagrangian transport scheme for large ensembles of passive tracer particles is presented and applied to wind data from a coupled atmosphere-ocean climate model that includes interactive dynamical feedback with stratospheric chemistry. This feedback from the chemistry is found to enhance large-scale meridional air mass exchange in the northern winter stratosphere as well as intrusion of stratospheric air into the troposphere, where both effects are due to a weakened polar vortex. Y1 - 2009 UR - http://www.springerlink.com/content/1951-6355 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1140/epjst/e2009-01105-8 SN - 1951-6355 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Baptista, Murilo da Silva A1 - Zhou, Changsong A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Information transmission in phase synchronous chaotic arrays N2 - We show many versatile phase synchronous configurations that emerge in an array of coupled chaotic elements due to the presence of a periodic stimulus. Then, we explain the relevance of these configurations to the understanding of how information about such a. stimulus is transmitted from one side to the other in this array. The stimulus actively creates the ways to be transmitted, by making the chaotic elements to phase synchronize Y1 - 2006 UR - http://iopscience.iop.org/0256-307X/ U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/0256-307X/23/3/010 SN - 0256-307X ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Hempel, Stefan A1 - Koseska, Aneta A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Nikoloski, Zoran T1 - Inner composition alignment for inferring directed networks from short time series JF - Physical review letters N2 - Identifying causal links (couplings) is a fundamental problem that facilitates the understanding of emerging structures in complex networks. We propose and analyze inner composition alignment-a novel, permutation-based asymmetric association measure to detect regulatory links from very short time series, currently applied to gene expression. The measure can be used to infer the direction of couplings, detect indirect (superfluous) links, and account for autoregulation. Applications to the gene regulatory network of E. coli are presented. Y1 - 2011 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.107.054101 SN - 0031-9007 VL - 107 IS - 5 PB - American Physical Society CY - College Park ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rusconi, Marco A1 - Valleriani, Angelo A1 - Dunlop, John William Chapman A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Weinkamer, Richard T1 - Insights into the control of trabecular bone remodelling obtained by a Markov model Y1 - 2009 UR - http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/87563282 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bone.2009.03.467 SN - 8756-3282 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Steuer, Ralf A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Fiehn, Oliver A1 - Weckwerth, Wolfram T1 - Interpreting correlations in metabolomic networks N2 - Correlations, as observed between the concentrations of metabolites in a biological sample, may be used to gain additional information about the physiological state of a given tissue. in this mini-review, we discuss the integration of these observed correlations into metabolomic networks and their relationships with the underlying biochemical pathways Y1 - 2003 SN - 0300-5127 ER - TY - BOOK A1 - Rosenblum, Michael A1 - Schäfer, Carsten A1 - Abel, Hans-Henning A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Interrelationship of Parasympathetic Innervation of the Sinoatrial Node and the Atrioventricular Node of Human Heart Y1 - 1997 SN - 1120-1797 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Feudel, Fred A1 - Witt, Annette A1 - Gellert, Marcus A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Grebogi, Celso A1 - Sanjuan, Miguel Angel Fernandez T1 - Intersections of stable and unstable manifolds : the skeleton of Lagrangian chaos N2 - We study Hamiltonian chaos generated by the dynamics of passive tracers moving in a two-dimensional fluid flow and describe the complex structure formed in a chaotic layer that separates a vortex region from the shear flow. The stable and unstable manifolds of unstable periodic orbits are computed. It is shown that their intersections in the Poincare map as an invariant set of homoclinic points constitute the backbone of the chaotic layer. Special attention is paid to the finite time properties of the chaotic layer. In particular, finite time Lyapunov exponents are computed and a scaling law of the variance of their distribution is derived. Additionally, the box counting dimension as an effective dimension to characterize the fractal properties of the layer is estimated for different duration times of simulation. Its behavior in the asymptotic time limit is discussed. By computing the Lyapunov exponents and by applying methods of symbolic dynamics, the formation of the layer as a function of the external forcing strength, which in turn represents the perturbation of the originally integrable system, is characterized. In particular, it is shown that the capture of KAM tori by the layer has a remarkable influence on the averaged Lyapunov exponents. (C) 2004 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved Y1 - 2005 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Helland, Vanessa Carolina Figuera A1 - Gapelyuk, Andrej A1 - Suhrbier, Alexander A1 - Riedl, Maik A1 - Penzel, Thomas A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Wessel, Niels T1 - Investigation of an automatic sleep stage classification by means of multiscorer hypnogram N2 - Objectives: Scoring sleep visually based on polysomnography is an important but time-consuming element of sleep medicine. Where-as computer software assists human experts in the assignment of sleep stages to polysomnogram epochs, their performance is usually insufficient. This study evaluates the possibility to fully automatize sleep staging considering the reliability of the sleep stages available from human expert sleep scorers. Methods: We obtain features from EEG, ECG and respiratory signals of polysomnograms from ten healthy subjects. Using the sleep stages provided by three human experts, we evaluate the performance of linear discriminant analysis on the entire polysomnogram and:only on epochs where the three experts agree in their-sleep stage scoring. Results: We show that in polysomnogram intervals, to which all three scorers assign the same sleep stage, our algorithm achieves 90% accuracy. This high rate of agreement with the human experts is accomplished with only a small set of three frequency features from the EEG. We increase-the performance to 93% by including ECG and respiration features. In contrast, on intervals of ambiguous sleep stage, the sleep stage classification obtained from our algorithm, agrees with the human consensus scorer in approximately 61%. Conclusions: These findings suggest that machine classification is highly consistent with human sleep staging and that error in the algorithm's assignments is rather a problem of lack of well-defined criteria for human experts to judge certain polysomnogram epochs than an insufficiency of computational procedures Y1 - 2010 UR - http://www.schattauer.de/index.php?id=103&L=1 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3414/Me09-02-0052 SN - 0026-1270 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wessel, Niels A1 - Riedl, Maik A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Is the normal heart rate "chaotic" due to respiration? N2 - The incidence of cardiovascular diseases increases with the growth of the human population and an aging society, leading to very high expenses in the public health system. Therefore, it is challenging to develop sophisticated methods in order to improve medical diagnostics. The question whether the normal heart rate is chaotic or not is an attempt to elucidate the underlying mechanisms of cardiovascular dynamics and therefore a highly controversial topical challenge. In this contribution we demonstrate that linear and nonlinear parameters allow us to separate completely the data sets of the three groups provided for this controversial topic in nonlinear dynamics. The question whether these time series are chaotic or not cannot be answered satisfactorily without investigating the underlying mechanisms leading to them. We give an example of the dominant influence of respiration on heart beat dynamics, which shows that observed fluctuations can be mostly explained by respiratory modulations of heart rate and blood pressure (coefficient of determination: 96%). Therefore, we recommend reformulating the following initial question: "Is the normal heart rate chaotic?" We rather ask the following: " Is the normal heart rate 'chaotic' due to respiration?" Y1 - 2009 UR - http://ojps.aip.org/chaos/ U6 - https://doi.org/10.1063/1.3133128 SN - 1054-1500 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Palus, Milan A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Schwarz, Udo A1 - Novotná, Dagmar A1 - Charvátová, Ivanka T1 - Is the solar activity cycle synchronized with the solar inertial motion? N2 - The 300 year record of the yearly sunspot numbers and numerically generated trajectory of the solar inertial motion (SIM) were subjects of a synchronization analysis. Phase synchronization of the sunspot cycle and a fast component of the SIM have been found and confirmed with statistical significance in three epochs (1727-1757, 1802-1832 and 1863-1922) of the entire 1700-1997 record. This result can be considered as a quantitative support for the hypothesis that there is a weak interaction of gravity and solar activity. Y1 - 2001 UR - http://ejournals.wspc.com.sg/ijbc/10/1011/S0218127400001766.html ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Krampe, Ralf-Thomas A1 - Engbert, Ralf A1 - Kliegl, Reinhold A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Koordination und Synchronisation der Hände beim rhythmischen Timing Y1 - 2000 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Raab, Corinna A1 - Wessel, Niels A1 - Schirdewan, Alexander A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Large-scale dimension densities for heart rate variability analysis N2 - In this work, we reanalyze the heart rate variability (HRV) data from the 2002 Computers in Cardiology (CiC) Challenge using the concept of large-scale dimension densities and additionally apply this technique to data of healthy persons and of patients with cardiac diseases. The large-scale dimension density (LASDID) is estimated from the time series using a normalized Grassberger-Procaccia algorithm, which leads to a suitable correction of systematic errors produced by boundary effects in the rather large scales of a system. This way, it is possible to analyze rather short, nonstationary, and unfiltered data, such as HRV. Moreover, this method allows us to analyze short parts of the data and to look for differences between day and night. The circadian changes in the dimension density enable us to distinguish almost completely between real data and computer-generated data from the CiC 2002 challenge using only one parameter. In the second part we analyzed the data of 15 patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), 15 patients with congestive heart failure (CHF), 15 elderly healthy subjects (EH), as well as 18 young and healthy persons (YH). With our method we are able to separate completely the AF (rho(mu)(ls)=0.97 +/- 0.02) group from the others and, especially during daytime, the CHF patients show significant differences from the young and elderly healthy volunteers (CHF, 0.65 +/- 0.13; EH, 0.54 +/- 0.05; YH, 0.57 +/- 0.05; p < 0.05 for both comparisons). Moreover, for the CHF patients we find no circadian changes in rho(mu)(ls) (day, 0.65 +/- 0.13; night, 0.66 +/- 0.12; n.s.) in contrast to healthy controls (day, 0.54 +/- 0.05; night, 0.61 +/- 0.05; p=0.002). Correlation analysis showed no statistical significant relation between standard HRV and circadian LASDID, demonstrating a possibly independent application of our method for clinical risk stratification Y1 - 2006 UR - http://pre.aps.org/ U6 - https://doi.org/10.1103/Physreve.73.041907 SN - 1539-3755 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Tokuda, I. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Rosa, Epaminondas T1 - Learning phase synchronization from nonsynchronized chaotic regimes Y1 - 2002 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schwarz, Udo A1 - Spahn, Frank A1 - Grebogi, Celso A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Petzschmann, Olaf T1 - Length scales of clustering in granular gases Y1 - 1999 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Braun, Holger A1 - Ditlevsen, Peter D. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Mudelsee, Manfred T1 - Limitations of red noise in analysing Dansgaard-Oeschger events N2 - During the last glacial period, climate records from the North Atlantic region exhibit a pronounced spectral component corresponding to a period of about 1470 years, which has attracted much attention. This spectral peak is closely related to the recurrence pattern of Dansgaard-Oeschger (DO) events. In previous studies a red noise random process, more precisely a first-order autoregressive (AR1) process, was used to evaluate the statistical significance of this peak, with a reported significance of more than 99%. Here we use a simple mechanistic two-state model of DO events, which itself was derived from a much more sophisticated ocean-atmosphere model of intermediate complexity, to numerically evaluate the spectral properties of random (i.e., solely noise-driven) events. This way we find that the power spectral density of random DO events differs fundamentally from a simple red noise random process. These results question the applicability of linear spectral analysis for estimating the statistical significance of highly non-linear processes such as DO events. More precisely, to enhance our scientific understanding about the trigger of DO events, we must not consider simple "straw men" as, for example, the AR1 random process, but rather test against realistic alternative descriptions. Y1 - 2010 UR - http://www.clim-past.net/volumes_and_issues.html U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-6-85-2010 SN - 1814-9324 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Line structures in recurrence plots N2 - Recurrence plots exhibit line structures which represent typical behaviour of the investigated system. The local slope of these line structures is connected with a specific transformation of the time scales of different segments of the phase-space trajectory. This provides us a better understanding of the structures occurring in recurrence plots. The relationship between the time-scales and line structures are of practical importance in cross recurrence plots. Using this relationship within cross recurrence plots, the time-scales of differently sampled or time- transformed measurements can be adjusted. An application to geophysical measurements illustrates the capability of this method for the adjustment of time-scales in different measurements. (C) 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved Y1 - 2005 SN - 0375-9601 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Timmer, Jens A1 - Schwarz, Udo A1 - Voss, Henning U. A1 - Wardinski, Ingo A1 - Belloni, Tomaso A1 - Hasinger, Günther A1 - VanDerKlis, Michael A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Linear and Nonlinear Time Series Analysis of the Black Hole Candidate Cygnus X-1 N2 - We analyze the variability in the x-ray lightcurves of the black hole candidate Cygnus X-1 by linear and nonlinear time series analysis methods. While a linear model describes the overall second order properties of the observed data well, surrogate data analysis reveals a significant deviation from linearity. We discuss the relation between shot noise models usually applied to analyze these data and linear stochastic autoregressive models. We debate statistical and interpretational issues of surrogate data testing for the present context. Finally, we suggest a combination of tools from linear and nonlinear time series analysis methods as a procedure to test the predictions of astrophysical models on observed data. Y1 - 2000 UR - http://pre.aps.org/ ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ziehmann, Christine A1 - Smith, Leonard A. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Localized Lyapunov exponents and the prediction of predictability Y1 - 2000 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rosenblum, Michael A1 - Pikovskij, Arkadij A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Osipov, Grigory V. A1 - Kiss, Istvan Z. A1 - Hudson, J. L. T1 - Locking-based frequency measurement and synchronization of chaotic oscillators with complex dynamics Y1 - 2002 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zolotova, Nadezhda V. A1 - Ponyavin, Dmitri I. A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Long-term asymmetry in the wings of the butterfly diagram N2 - Aims. Sunspot distribution in the northern and southern solar hemispheres exibit striking synchronous behaviour on the scale of a Schwabe cycle. However, sometimes the bilateral symmetry of the Butterfly diagram relative to the solar equatorial plane breaks down. The investigation of this phenomenon is important to explaining the almost-periodic behaviour of solar cycles. Methods. We use cross-recurrence plots for the study of the time-varying phase asymmetry of the northern and southern hemisphere and compare our results with the latitudinal distribution of the sunspots. Results. We observe a long-term persistence of phase leading in one of the hemispheres, which lasts almost 4 solar cycles and probably corresponds to the Gleissberg cycle. Long-term variations in the hemispheric-leading do not demonstrate clear periodicity but are strongly anti-correlated with the long-term variations in the magnetic equator. Y1 - 2009 UR - http://www.aanda.org/ U6 - https://doi.org/10.1051/0004-6361/200811430 SN - 0004-6361 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Li, Ping A1 - Chen, Maoyin A1 - Wu, Ye A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Matrix-measure criterion for synchronization in coupled-map networks N2 - We present conditions for the local and global synchronizations in coupled-map networks using the matrix measure approach. In contrast to many existing synchronization conditions, the proposed synchronization criteria do not depend on the solution of the synchronous state and give less limitation on the network connections. Numerical simulations of the coupled quadratic maps demonstrate the potentials of our main results. Y1 - 2009 UR - http://pre.aps.org/ U6 - https://doi.org/10.1103/Physreve.79.067102 SN - 1539-3755 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Gowin, W. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Saparin, Peter A1 - Felsenberg, D. T1 - Measures of complexity and processing of vertebral CT-images Y1 - 1997 SN - 0-7803-4262-3 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Meinecke, Frank C. A1 - Ziehe, Andreas A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Müller, Klaus-Robert T1 - Measuring phase synchronization of superimposed signals N2 - Phase synchronization is an important phenomenon that occurs in a wide variety of complex oscillatory processes. Measuring phase synchronization can therefore help to gain fundamental insight into nature. In this Letter we point out that synchronization analysis techniques can detect spurious synchronization, if they are fed with a superposition of signals such as in electroencephalography or magnetoencephalography data. We show how techniques from blind source separation can help to nevertheless measure the true synchronization and avoid such pitfalls Y1 - 2005 SN - 0031-9007 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Voss, Henning U. A1 - Timmer, Jens A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Modeling and identification of nonlinear systems Y1 - 2004 SN - 0218-1274 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zaikin, Alexei A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Saparin, Peter A1 - Gowin, W. A1 - Prohaska, Steffen T1 - Modeling bone resorption in 2D CT and 3D mu CT images N2 - We study several algorithms to simulate bone mass loss in two-dimensional and three-dimensional computed tomography bone images. The aim is to extrapolate and predict the bone loss, to provide test objects for newly developed structural measures, and to understand the physical mechanisms behind the bone alteration. Our bone model approach differs from those already reported in the literature by two features. First, we work with original bone images, obtained by computed tomography (CT); second, we use structural measures of complexity to evaluate bone resorption and to compare it with the data provided by CT. This gives us the possibility to test algorithms of bone resorption by comparing their results with experimentally found dependencies of structural measures of complexity, as well as to show efficiency of the complexity measures in the analysis of bone models. For two-dimensional images we suggest two algorithms, a threshold algorithm and a virtual slicing algorithm. The threshold algorithm simulates bone resorption on a boundary between bone and marrow, representing an activity of osteoclasts. The virtual slicing algorithm uses a distribution of the bone material between several virtually created slices to achieve statistically correct results, when the bone-marrow transition is not clearly defined. These algorithms have been tested for original CT 10 mm thick vertebral slices and for simulated 10 mm thick slices constructed from ten I mm thick slices. For three-dimensional data, we suggest a variation of the threshold algorithm and apply it to bone images. The results of modeling have been compared with CT images using structural measures of complexity in two- and three-dimensions. This comparison has confirmed credibility of a virtual slicing modeling algorithm for two-dimensional data and a threshold algorithm for three-dimensional data Y1 - 2005 SN - 0218-1274 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zaikin, Alexei A. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Modeling Cognitive Control in Simple Movements Y1 - 1999 SN - 1-563-96863-0 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Lai, Ying Cheng A1 - Grebogi, Celso A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Modeling of deterministic chaotic systems Y1 - 1999 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zaikin, Alexei A. A1 - Rosenblum, Michael A1 - Scheffczyk, Christian A1 - Engbert, Ralf A1 - Krampe, Ralf-Thomas A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Modeling qualitative changes in bimanual movements Y1 - 1997 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wessel, Niels A1 - Aßmus, Joerg A1 - Weidermann, Frank A1 - Konvicka, Jan A1 - Nestmann, S. A1 - Neugebauer, R. A1 - Schwarz, Udo A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Modeling thermal displacements in modular tool systems N2 - In the last decade, there has been an increasing interest in compensating thermally induced errors to improve the manufacturing accuracy of modular tool systems. These modular tool systems are interfaces between spindle and workpiece and consist of several complicatedly formed parts. Their thermal behavior is dominated by nonlinearities, delay and hysteresis effects even in tools with simpler geometry and it is difficult to describe it theoretically. Due to the dominant nonlinear nature of this behavior the so far used linear regression between the temperatures and the displacements is insufficient. Therefore, in this study we test the hypothesis whether we can reliably predict such thermal displacements via nonlinear temperature-displacement regression functions. These functions are estimated firstly from learning measurements using the alternating conditional expectation (ACE) algorithm and then tested on independent data sets. First, we analyze data that were generated by a finite element spindle model. We find that our approach is a powerful tool to describe the relation between temperatures and displacements for simulated data. Next, we analyze the temperature-displacement relationship in a silent real experimental setup, where the tool system is thermally forced. Again, the ACE-algorithm is powerful to estimate the deformation with high precision. The corresponding errors obtained by using the nonlinear regression approach are 10-fold lower in comparison to multiple linear regression analysis. Finally, we investigate the thermal behavior of a modular tool system in a working milling machine and get again promising results. The thermally induced errors can be estimated with 1-2${mu m}$ accuracy using this nonlinear regression analysis. Therefore, this approach seems to be very useful for the development of new modular tool systems. Y1 - 2004 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Agarwal, Ankit A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Maheswaran, Rathinasamy A1 - Merz, Bruno A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Multi-scale event synchronization analysis for unravelling climate processes BT - a wavelet-based approach T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - The temporal dynamics of climate processes are spread across different timescales and, as such, the study of these processes at only one selected timescale might not reveal the complete mechanisms and interactions within and between the (sub-) processes. To capture the non-linear interactions between climatic events, the method of event synchronization has found increasing attention recently. The main drawback with the present estimation of event synchronization is its restriction to analysing the time series at one reference timescale only. The study of event synchronization at multiple scales would be of great interest to comprehend the dynamics of the investigated climate processes. In this paper, the wavelet-based multi-scale event synchronization (MSES) method is proposed by combining the wavelet transform and event synchronization. Wavelets are used extensively to comprehend multi-scale processes and the dynamics of processes across various timescales. The proposed method allows the study of spatio-temporal patterns across different timescales. The method is tested on synthetic and real-world time series in order to check its replicability and applicability. The results indicate that MSES is able to capture relationships that exist between processes at different timescales. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 661 KW - precipitation KW - phase KW - EEG KW - desynchronization KW - interdependences KW - coherence KW - networks KW - monsoon KW - models KW - time Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-418274 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 661 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Agarwal, Ankit A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Maheswaran, Rathinasamy A1 - Merz, Bruno A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Multi-scale event synchronization analysis for unravelling climate processes: a wavelet-based approach JF - Nonlinear processes in geophysics N2 - The temporal dynamics of climate processes are spread across different timescales and, as such, the study of these processes at only one selected timescale might not reveal the complete mechanisms and interactions within and between the (sub-) processes. To capture the non-linear interactions between climatic events, the method of event synchronization has found increasing attention recently. The main drawback with the present estimation of event synchronization is its restriction to analysing the time series at one reference timescale only. The study of event synchronization at multiple scales would be of great interest to comprehend the dynamics of the investigated climate processes. In this paper, the wavelet-based multi-scale event synchronization (MSES) method is proposed by combining the wavelet transform and event synchronization. Wavelets are used extensively to comprehend multi-scale processes and the dynamics of processes across various timescales. The proposed method allows the study of spatio-temporal patterns across different timescales. The method is tested on synthetic and real-world time series in order to check its replicability and applicability. The results indicate that MSES is able to capture relationships that exist between processes at different timescales. Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-24-599-2017 SN - 1023-5809 VL - 24 SP - 599 EP - 611 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Hnatkova, Katarina A1 - Vessel, N. A1 - Voss, Andreas A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Sander, A. A1 - Schirdewan, Alexander A1 - Camm, A. J. A1 - Malik, Marek T1 - Multiparametric analysis of heart rate variability used for risk stratification among survivors of acute myocardial infarction Y1 - 1998 SN - 0895-2795 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Kliem, Bernhard A1 - Schwarz, Udo A1 - Krüger, Albrecht A1 - Urpo, S. T1 - Multiresolution analysis of solar mm-wave bursts Y1 - 1998 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Romano, Maria Carmen A1 - Thiel, Marco A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - von Bloh, Werner T1 - Multivariate recurrence plots N2 - We propose a new approach to calculate recurrence plots of multivariate time series, based on joint recurrences in phase space. This new method allows to estimate dynamical invariants of the whole system, like the joint Renyi entropy of second order. We use this entropy measure to quantitatively study in detail the phase synchronization of two bidirectionally coupled chaotic systems and identify different types of transitions to chaotic phase synchronization in dependence on the coupling strength and the frequency mismatch. By means of this analysis we find several new phenomena, such a chaos-period-chaos transition to phase synchronization for rather large coupling strengths. (C) 2004 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved Y1 - 2004 SN - 0375-9601 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Motter, Adilson E. A1 - Zhou, Changsong A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Network synchronization, diffusion, and the paradox of heterogeneity N2 - Many complex networks display strong heterogeneity in the degree (connectivity) distribution. Heterogeneity in the degree distribution often reduces the average distance between nodes but, paradoxically, may suppress synchronization in networks of oscillators coupled symmetrically with uniform coupling strength. Here we offer a solution to this apparent paradox. Our analysis is partially based on the identification of a diffusive process underlying the communication between oscillators and reveals a striking relation between this process and the condition for the linear stability of the synchronized states. We show that, for a given degree distribution, the maximum synchronizability is achieved when the network of couplings is weighted and directed and the overall cost involved in the couplings is minimum. This enhanced synchronizability is solely determined by the mean degree and does not depend on the degree distribution and system size. Numerical verification of the main results is provided for representative classes of small-world and scale-free networks Y1 - 2005 SN - 1063-651X ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Seehafer, Norbert A1 - Spahn, Frank T1 - Nichtlineare Dynamik in der Physik : Forschungsbeispiele und Forschungstrends Y1 - 1999 UR - http://www.phil.uni-augsburg.de/dgksnd SN - 3-540-65329- 5 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Schwarz, Udo T1 - Nichtlineare Wissenschaften - neue Paradigmen und Konzepte N2 - In den letzten 2 Jahrzehnten des 20. Jahrhunderts hat sich mit der rasanten Entwicklung der Nichtlinearen Wissenschaften ein weiterer Umbruch vollzogen, der eine ausgepraegte Nachhaltigkeit in Wissenschaft und Technik ebenso wie in der Gesellschaft erwarten laesst. Die Nichtlinearen Wissenschaften werden auch als Nichtlineare Dynamik, Wissenschaft Komplexer Systeme oder etwas eingegrenzt Chaostheorie bezeichnet. Y1 - 2001 UR - http://www.agnld.uni-potsdam.de/~shw/Paper/2001ArtChaos.pdf SN - 0177- 3674 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zaikin, Alexei A. A1 - García-Ojalvo, Jordi A1 - Schimansky-Geier, Lutz A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Noise induced propagation in monostable media N2 - We show that external fluctuations are able to induce propagation of harmonic signals through monostable media. This property is based on the phenomenon of doubly stochastic resonance, where the joint action of multiplicative noise and spatial coupling induces bistability in an otherwise monostable extended medium, and additive noise resonantly enhances the response of the system to a harmonic forcing. Under these conditions, propagation of the harmonic signal through the unforced medium i observed for optimal intensities of the two noises. This noise-induced propagation is studied and quantified in a simple model of coupled nonlinear electronic circuits. Y1 - 2002 UR - http://link.aps.org/abstract/PRL/v88/e010601 ER -