TY - JOUR A1 - Kolodner, P. A1 - Abel, Markus A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Voss, Henning U. T1 - Amplitude equations from spatiotemporal binary-fluid convection data Y1 - 1999 UR - http://www.stat.physik.uni-potsdam.de/~markus/papers/PRL83-3422.pdf ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Allefeld, Carsten A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - An approach to multivariate phase synchronization analysis and its application to event-related potentials N2 - A method for the multivariate analysis of statistical phase synchronization phenomena in empirical data is presented. A first statistical approach is complemented by a stochastic dynamic model, to result in a data analysis algorithm which can in a specific sense be shown to be a generic multivariate statistical phase synchronization analysis. The method is applied to EEG data from a psychological experiment, obtaining results which indicate the relevance of this method in the context of cognitive science as well as in other fields Y1 - 2004 SN - 0218-1274 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Allefeld, Carsten A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - An approach to multivariate phase synchronization analysis and its application to event-related potentials N2 - A method for the multivariate analysis of statistical phase synchronization phenomena in empirical data is presented. A first statistical approach is complemented by a stochastic dynamic model, to result in a data analysis algorithm which can in a specific sense be shown to be a generic multivariate statistical phase synchronization analysis. The method is applied to EEG data from a psychological experiment, obtaining results which indicate the relevance of this method in the context of cognitive science as well as in other fields. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - paper 069 Y1 - 2004 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-20106 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Ciemer, Catrin A1 - Rehm, Lars A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Donner, Reik Volker A1 - Winkelmann, Ricarda A1 - Boers, Niklas T1 - An early-warning indicator for Amazon droughts exclusively based on tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - Droughts in tropical South America have an imminent and severe impact on the Amazon rainforest and affect the livelihoods of millions of people. Extremely dry conditions in Amazonia have been previously linked to sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the adjacent tropical oceans. Although the sources and impacts of such droughts have been widely studied, establishing reliable multi-year lead statistical forecasts of their occurrence is still an ongoing challenge. Here, we further investigate the relationship between SST and rainfall anomalies using a complex network approach. We identify four ocean regions which exhibit the strongest overall SST correlations with central Amazon rainfall, including two particularly prominent regions in the northern and southern tropical Atlantic. Based on the time-dependent correlation between SST anomalies in these two regions alone, we establish a new early-warning method for droughts in the central Amazon basin and demonstrate its robustness in hindcasting past major drought events with lead-times up to 18 months. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 1207 KW - complex networks KW - droughts KW - prediction KW - Amazon rainforest Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-525863 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 9 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ciemer, Catrin A1 - Rehm, Lars A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Donner, Reik Volker A1 - Winkelmann, Ricarda A1 - Boers, Niklas T1 - An early-warning indicator for Amazon droughts exclusively based on tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures JF - Environmental Research Letters N2 - Droughts in tropical South America have an imminent and severe impact on the Amazon rainforest and affect the livelihoods of millions of people. Extremely dry conditions in Amazonia have been previously linked to sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the adjacent tropical oceans. Although the sources and impacts of such droughts have been widely studied, establishing reliable multi-year lead statistical forecasts of their occurrence is still an ongoing challenge. Here, we further investigate the relationship between SST and rainfall anomalies using a complex network approach. We identify four ocean regions which exhibit the strongest overall SST correlations with central Amazon rainfall, including two particularly prominent regions in the northern and southern tropical Atlantic. Based on the time-dependent correlation between SST anomalies in these two regions alone, we establish a new early-warning method for droughts in the central Amazon basin and demonstrate its robustness in hindcasting past major drought events with lead-times up to 18 months. KW - complex networks KW - droughts KW - prediction KW - Amazon rainforest Y1 - 2019 VL - 15 IS - 9 PB - IOP - Institute of Physics Publishing CY - Bristol ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zakharova, Anna A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Vadivasova, Tatyana A1 - Koseska, Aneta T1 - Analysing dynamical behavior of cellular networks via stochastic bifurcations JF - PLoS one N2 - The dynamical structure of genetic networks determines the occurrence of various biological mechanisms, such as cellular differentiation. However, the question of how cellular diversity evolves in relation to the inherent stochasticity and intercellular communication remains still to be understood. Here, we define a concept of stochastic bifurcations suitable to investigate the dynamical structure of genetic networks, and show that under stochastic influence, the expression of given proteins of interest is defined via the probability distribution of the phase variable, representing one of the genes constituting the system. Moreover, we show that under changing stochastic conditions, the probabilities of expressing certain concentration values are different, leading to different functionality of the cells, and thus to differentiation of the cells in the various types. Y1 - 2011 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0019696 SN - 1932-6203 VL - 6 IS - 5 PB - PLoS CY - San Fransisco ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Pavlov, Alexey N. A1 - Anisimov, A. A. A1 - Semyachkina-Glushkovskaya, Oxana V. A1 - Matasova, E. G. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Analysis of blood pressure dynamics in male and female rats using the continuous wavelet transform N2 - We study gender-related particularities in cardiovascular responses to stress and nitric oxide (NO) deficiency in rats using HR, mean arterial pressure (MAP) and a proposed wavelet-based approach. Blood pressure dynamics is analyzed: (1) under control conditions, (2) during immobilization stress and recovery and (3) during nitric oxide blockade by N-G-nitro-L-arginine-methyl ester (L-NAME). We show that cardiovascular sensitivity to stress and NO deficiency depends upon gender. Actually, in females the chronotropic effect of stress is more pronounced, while the pressor effect is weakened compared with males. We conclude that females demonstrate more favorable patterns of cardiovascular responses to stress and more effective NO control of cardiovascular activity than males. Y1 - 2009 UR - http://iopscience.iop.org/0967-3334/ U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/0967-3334/30/7/013 SN - 0967-3334 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Komalapriya, Chandrasekaran A1 - Romano Blasco, Maria Carmen A1 - Thiel, Marco A1 - Schwarz, Udo A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Simonotto, Jennifer A1 - Furman, Michael A1 - Ditto, William L. A1 - Carney, Paul R. T1 - Analysis of high-resulution microelectrode EEG recordings in an animal model of spontaneous limbic seizures Y1 - 2009 UR - http://www.worldscinet.com/ijbc/ijbc.shtml U6 - https://doi.org/10.1142/S0218127409023226 SN - 0218-1274 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schwarz, udo A1 - Benz, Arnold O. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Witt, Annette T1 - Analysis of solar spike events by means of symbolic dynamics methods N2 - Using quantities of symbolic dynamics, such as mutual information, Shannon information and algorithmic complexity, we have searched for interrelations of spikes emitted simultaneously at different frequencies during the impulsive phase of a flare event. As the spikes are related to the flare energy release and are interpreted as emissions originating at different sites having different magnetic field strengths, any relation in frequency is interpretated as a relation in space. This approach is appropriate to characterize such spatio-temporal patterns, whereas the popular estimate of fractal dimensions can be applied to low-dimensional systems only. Depending on the energy release and emission processes, two types of fragmentation are possible: a scenario of global organization (spikes are emitted in a succession of similar events by the same system) or a scenario of local organization (many systems triggered by an initial event). Mutual information which is a generalization of correlation indicates a relation in frequency beyond the bandwidth of individual spikes. The scans in the spectrograms with large mutual information also show a low level of Shannon information and algorithmic complexity, indicating that the simultaneous appearance of spikes at other frequencies is not a completely stochastic phenomenon (white noise). It may be caused by a nonlinear deterministic system or by a Markov process. By means of mutual information we find a memory over frequency intervals up to 60 MHz. Shannon information and algorithmic complexity concern the mbox{whole} frequency region, i.e. the global source region. A global organization is also apparent in quasi-periodic changes of the Shannon information and algorithmic complexity in the range of 2 - 8 seconds. The finding is compatible with a scenario of local organization in which the information of one event spreads spatially and triggers further events at different places. The region is not an ensemble of independently flashing sources, each representing a system that cascades in energy after an initial trigger. On the contrary, there is a causal connection between the sources at any time. The analysis of the four spike events suggests that the structure in frequency is not stochastic but a process in which spikes at nearby locations are simultaneously triggered by a common exciter. Y1 - 1993 UR - http://www.astro.phys.ethz.ch/papers/benz/schwarz/schwarz/schwarz.html SN - 004-6361 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Malik, Nishant A1 - Bookhagen, Bodo A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Analysis of spatial and temporal extreme monsoonal rainfall over South Asia using complex networks JF - Climate dynamics : observational, theoretical and computational research on the climate system N2 - We present a detailed analysis of summer monsoon rainfall over the Indian peninsular using nonlinear spatial correlations. This analysis is carried out employing the tools of complex networks and a measure of nonlinear correlation for point processes such as rainfall, called event synchronization. This study provides valuable insights into the spatial organization, scales, and structure of the 90th and 94th percentile rainfall events during the Indian summer monsoon (June-September). We furthermore analyse the influence of different critical synoptic atmospheric systems and the impact of the steep Himalayan topography on rainfall patterns. The presented method not only helps us in visualising the structure of the extreme-event rainfall fields, but also identifies the water vapor pathways and decadal-scale moisture sinks over the region. Furthermore a simple scheme based on complex networks is presented to decipher the spatial intricacies and temporal evolution of monsoonal rainfall patterns over the last 6 decades. KW - Indian summer monsoon KW - Event synchronization KW - Complex networks KW - Rainfall patterns Y1 - 2012 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1156-4 SN - 0930-7575 VL - 39 IS - 3-4 SP - 971 EP - 987 PB - Springer CY - New York ER -