TY - GEN A1 - Gholamrezaie, Ershad A1 - Scheck-Wenderoth, Magdalena A1 - Bott, Judith A1 - Heidbach, Oliver A1 - Strecker, Manfred T1 - 3-D crustal density model of the Sea of Marmara T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - Abstract. The Sea of Marmara, in northwestern Turkey, is a transition zone where the dextral North Anatolian Fault zone (NAFZ) propagates westward from the Anatolian Plate to the Aegean Sea Plate. The area is of interest in the context of seismic hazard of Istanbul, a metropolitan area with about 15 million inhabitants. Geophysical observations indicate that the crust is heterogeneous beneath the Marmara basin, but a detailed characterization of the crustal heterogeneities is still missing. To assess if and how crustal heterogeneities are related to the NAFZ segmentation below the Sea of Marmara, we develop new crustal-scale 3-D density models which integrate geological and seismological data and that are additionally constrained by 3-D gravity modeling. For the latter, we use two different gravity datasets including global satellite data and local marine gravity observation. Considering the two different datasets and the general non-uniqueness in potential field modeling, we suggest three possible “end-member” solutions that are all consistent with the observed gravity field and illustrate the spectrum of possible solutions. These models indicate that the observed gravitational anomalies originate from significant density heterogeneities within the crust. Two layers of sediments, one syn-kinematic and one pre-kinematic with respect to the Sea of Marmara formation are underlain by a heterogeneous crystalline crust. A felsic upper crystalline crust (average density of 2720 kgm⁻³) and an intermediate to mafic lower crystalline crust (average density of 2890 kgm⁻³) appear to be cross-cut by two large, dome-shaped mafic highdensity bodies (density of 2890 to 3150 kgm⁻³) of considerable thickness above a rather uniform lithospheric mantle (3300 kgm⁻³). The spatial correlation between two major bends of the main Marmara fault and the location of the highdensity bodies suggests that the distribution of lithological heterogeneities within the crust controls the rheological behavior along the NAFZ and, consequently, maybe influences fault segmentation and thus the seismic hazard assessment in the region. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 737 KW - North Anatolian Fault KW - Shear Zone KW - Northwestern Anatolia KW - Geomechanical Model KW - Tectonic Evolution KW - Slip Distribution KW - Middle Strand KW - Pull-Apart KW - Long-Term KW - NW Turkey Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-434661 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 737 SP - 785 EP - 807 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Gholamrezaie, Ershad A1 - Scheck-Wenderoth, Magdalena A1 - Bott, Judith A1 - Heidbach, Oliver A1 - Strecker, Manfred T1 - 3-D crustal density model of the Sea of Marmara JF - Solid Earth N2 - Abstract. The Sea of Marmara, in northwestern Turkey, is a transition zone where the dextral North Anatolian Fault zone (NAFZ) propagates westward from the Anatolian Plate to the Aegean Sea Plate. The area is of interest in the context of seismic hazard of Istanbul, a metropolitan area with about 15 million inhabitants. Geophysical observations indicate that the crust is heterogeneous beneath the Marmara basin, but a detailed characterization of the crustal heterogeneities is still missing. To assess if and how crustal heterogeneities are related to the NAFZ segmentation below the Sea of Marmara, we develop new crustal-scale 3-D density models which integrate geological and seismological data and that are additionally constrained by 3-D gravity modeling. For the latter, we use two different gravity datasets including global satellite data and local marine gravity observation. Considering the two different datasets and the general non-uniqueness in potential field modeling, we suggest three possible “end-member” solutions that are all consistent with the observed gravity field and illustrate the spectrum of possible solutions. These models indicate that the observed gravitational anomalies originate from significant density heterogeneities within the crust. Two layers of sediments, one syn-kinematic and one pre-kinematic with respect to the Sea of Marmara formation are underlain by a heterogeneous crystalline crust. A felsic upper crystalline crust (average density of 2720 kgm⁻³) and an intermediate to mafic lower crystalline crust (average density of 2890 kgm⁻³) appear to be cross-cut by two large, dome-shaped mafic highdensity bodies (density of 2890 to 3150 kgm⁻³) of considerable thickness above a rather uniform lithospheric mantle (3300 kgm⁻³). The spatial correlation between two major bends of the main Marmara fault and the location of the highdensity bodies suggests that the distribution of lithological heterogeneities within the crust controls the rheological behavior along the NAFZ and, consequently, maybe influences fault segmentation and thus the seismic hazard assessment in the region. KW - North Anatolian Fault KW - Shear Zone KW - Northwestern Anatolia KW - Geomechanical Model KW - Tectonic Evolution KW - Slip Distribution KW - Middle Strand KW - Pull-Apart KW - Long-Term KW - NW Turkey Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/se-10-785-2019 SN - 1869-9510 SN - 1869-9529 VL - 10 SP - 785 EP - 807 PB - Copernicus Publ. CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Reiter, Karsten A1 - Heidbach, Oliver T1 - 3-D geomechanical-numerical model of the contemporary crustal stress state in the Alberta Basin (Canada) JF - Solid earth N2 - In the context of examining the potential usage of safe and sustainable geothermal energy in the Alberta Basin, whether in deep sediments or crystalline rock, the understanding of the in situ stress state is crucial. It is a key challenge to estimate the 3-D stress state at an arbitrarily chosen point in the crust, based on sparsely distributed in situ stress data. To address this challenge, we present a large-scale 3-D geomechanical-numerical model (700 km x 1200 km x 80 km) from a large portion of the Alberta Basin, to provide a 3-D continuous quantification of the contemporary stress orientations and stress magnitudes. To calibrate the model, we use a large database of in situ stress orientation (321 S-Hmax) as well as stress magnitude data (981 S-V, 1720 S-hmin and 2 (+11) S-Hmax) from the Alberta Basin. To find the best-fit model, we vary the material properties and primarily the displacement boundary conditions of the model. This study focusses in detail on the statistical calibration procedure, because of the large amount of available data, the diversity of data types, and the importance of the order of data tests. The best-fit model provides the total 3-D stress tensor for nearly the whole Alberta Basin, and allows estimation of stress orientation and stress magnitudes in advance of any well. First-order implications for the well design and configuration of enhanced geothermal systems are revealed. Systematic deviations of the modelled stress from the in situ data are found for stress orientations in the Peace River and the Bow Island Arch as well as for leak-off test magnitudes. Y1 - 2014 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/se-5-1123-2014 SN - 1869-9510 SN - 1869-9529 VL - 5 IS - 2 SP - 1123 EP - 1149 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - GEN A1 - Ziegler, Moritz O. A1 - Heidbach, Oliver A1 - Reinecker, John A1 - Przybycin, Anna M. A1 - Scheck-Wenderoth, Magdalena T1 - A multi-stage 3-D stress field modelling approach exemplified in the Bavarian Molasse Basin T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - The knowledge of the contemporary in situ stress state is a key issue for safe and sustainable subsurface engineering. However, information on the orientation and magnitudes of the stress state is limited and often not available for the areas of interest. Therefore 3-D geomechanical-numerical modelling is used to estimate the in situ stress state and the distance of faults from failure for application in subsurface engineering. The main challenge in this approach is to bridge the gap in scale between the widely scattered data used for calibration of the model and the high resolution in the target area required for the application. We present a multi-stage 3-D geomechanical-numerical approach which provides a state-of-the-art model of the stress field for a reservoir-scale area from widely scattered data records. Therefore, we first use a large-scale regional model which is calibrated by available stress data and provides the full 3-D stress tensor at discrete points in the entire model volume. The modelled stress state is used subsequently for the calibration of a smaller-scale model located within the large-scale model in an area without any observed stress data records. We exemplify this approach with two-stages for the area around Munich in the German Molasse Basin. As an example of application, we estimate the scalar values for slip tendency and fracture potential from the model results as measures for the criticality of fault reactivation in the reservoir-scale model. The modelling results show that variations due to uncertainties in the input data are mainly introduced by the uncertain material properties and missing S-Hmax magnitude estimates needed for a more reliable model calibration. This leads to the conclusion that at this stage the model's reliability depends only on the amount and quality of available stress information rather than on the modelling technique itself or on local details of the model geometry. Any improvements in modelling and increases in model reliability can only be achieved using more high-quality data for calibration. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 556 KW - in-situ stress KW - induced seismicity KW - geothermal-reservoirs KW - geomechanical model KW - fault reactivation KW - alpine foreland KW - map project KW - km depth KW - orientation KW - system Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-409806 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 556 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ziegler, Moritz O. A1 - Heidbach, Oliver A1 - Reinecker, John A1 - Przybycin, Anna M. A1 - Scheck-Wenderoth, Magdalena T1 - A multi-stage 3-D stress field modelling approach exemplified in the Bavarian Molasse Basin JF - Solid earth Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/se-7-1365-2016 SN - 1869-9510 SN - 1869-9529 VL - 7 SP - 1365 EP - 1382 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Reiter, Karsten A1 - Heidbach, Oliver A1 - Schmitt, Douglas A1 - Haug, Kristine A1 - Ziegler, Moritz O. A1 - Moeck, Inga T1 - A revised crustal stress orientation database for Canada JF - Tectonophysics : international journal of geotectonics and the geology and physics of the interior of the earth N2 - The Canadian database on contemporary crustal stress has not been revised systematically in the past two decades. Here we present the results of our new compilation that contains 514 new data records for the orientation data of maximum compressive horizontal stress and 188 data records that were re-assessed. In total the Canadian stress database has now 1667 data records, which is an increase of about 45%. From these data, a new Canadian Stress map as well as one for the Province of Alberta is presented. To analyse the stress pattern, we use the quasi median on the circle as a smoothing algorithm that generates a smoothed stress map of the maximum compressive horizontal stress orientation on a regular grid. The newly introduced quasi interquartile range on the circle estimates the spreading of the data and is used as a measure for the wave-length of the stress pattern. The result of the hybrid wavelength analysis confirms that long spatial wavelength stress patterns (>= 1000 km) exist in large areas in Canada. The observed stress pattern is transmitted through the intra-plate regions. The results reveal that shorter spatial wave length variation of the maximum compressive horizontal stress orientation of less than 200 km, prevails particularly in south-eastern and western Canada. Regional stress sources such as density contrasts, active fault systems, crustal structures, etc. might have a significant impact in these regions. In contrast to these variations, the observed stress pattern in the Alberta Basin is very homogeneous and mainly controlled by plate boundary forces and body forces. The influence of curvature of the Rocky Mountains salient in southern Alberta is minimal. The present-day horizontal stress orientations determined herein have important implications for the production of hydrocarbons and geothermal energy in the Alberta Basin. (C) 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. KW - Stress pattern KW - Tectonic stress KW - Canada KW - Alberta KW - Database KW - Circular statistics Y1 - 2014 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2014.08.006 SN - 0040-1951 SN - 1879-3266 VL - 636 SP - 111 EP - 124 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Durand, Virginie A1 - Bentz, Stephan A1 - Kwiatek, Grzegorz A1 - Dresen, Georg A1 - Wollin, Christopher A1 - Heidbach, Oliver A1 - Martinez-Garzon, Patricia A1 - Cotton, Fabrice A1 - Nurlu, Murat A1 - Bohnhoff, Marco T1 - A two-scale preparation phase preceded an M-w 5.8 earthquake in the sea of marmara offshore Istanbul, Turkey JF - Seismological research letters N2 - We analyze the spatiotemporal evolution of seismicity during a sequence of moderate (an M-w 4.7 foreshock and M-w 5.8 mainshock) earthquakes occurring in September 2019 at the transition between a creeping and a locked segment of the North Anatolian fault in the central Sea of Marmara, northwest Turkey. To investigate in detail the seismicity evolution, we apply a matched-filter technique to continuous waveforms, thus reducing the magnitude threshold for detection. Sequences of foreshocks preceding the two largest events are clearly seen, exhibiting two different behaviors: a long-term activation of the seismicity along the entire fault segment and a short-term concentration around the epicenters of the large events. We suggest a two-scale preparation phase, with aseismic slip preparing the mainshock final rupture a few days before, and a cascade mechanism leading to the nucleation of the mainshock. Thus, our study shows a combination of seismic and aseismic slip during the foreshock sequence changing the strength of the fault, bringing it closer to failure. Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1785/0220200110 SN - 0895-0695 SN - 1938-2057 VL - 91 IS - 6 SP - 3139 EP - 3147 CY - Boulder ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ziebarth, Malte J. A1 - von Specht, Sebastian A1 - Heidbach, Oliver A1 - Cotton, Fabrice A1 - Anderson, John G. T1 - Applying conservation of energy to estimate earthquake frequencies from strain rates and stresses JF - Journal of geophysical research : Solid earth N2 - Estimating earthquake occurrence rates from the accumulation rate of seismic moment is an established tool of seismic hazard analysis. We propose an alternative, fault-agnostic approach based on the conservation of energy: the Energy-Conserving Seismicity Framework (ENCOS). Working in energy space has the advantage that the radiated energy is a better predictor of the damage potential of earthquake waves than the seismic moment release. In a region, ENCOS balances the stationary power available to cause earthquakes with the long-term seismic energy release represented by the energy-frequency distribution's first moment. Accumulation and release are connected through the average seismic efficiency, by which we mean the fraction of released energy that is converted into seismic waves. Besides measuring earthquakes in energy, ENCOS differs from moment balance essentially in that the energy accumulation rate depends on the total stress in addition to the strain rate tensor. To validate ENCOS, we exemplarily model the energy-frequency distribution around Southern California. We estimate the energy accumulation rate due to tectonic loading assuming poroelasticity and hydrostasis. Using data from the World Stress Map and assuming the frictional limit to estimate the stress tensor, we obtain a power of 0.8 GW. The uncertainty range, 0.3-2.0GW, originates mainly from the thickness of the seismogenic crust, the friction coefficient on preexisting faults, and models of Global Positioning System (GPS) derived strain rates. Based on a Gutenberg-Richter magnitude-frequency distribution, this power can be distributed over a range of energies consistent with historical earthquake rates and reasonable bounds on the seismic efficiency. Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JB020186 SN - 2169-9313 SN - 2169-9356 VL - 125 IS - 8 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rajabi, Mojtaba A1 - Ziegler, Moritz O. A1 - Tingay, Mark A1 - Heidbach, Oliver A1 - Reynolds, Scott T1 - Contemporary tectonic stress pattern of the Taranaki Basin, New Zealand JF - Journal of geophysical research : Solid earth N2 - The present-day stress state is a key parameter in numerous geoscientific research fields including geodynamics, seismic hazard assessment, and geomechanics of georeservoirs. The Taranaki Basin of New Zealand is located on the Australian Plate and forms the western boundary of tectonic deformation due to Pacific Plate subduction along the Hikurangi margin. This paper presents the first comprehensive wellbore-derived basin-scale in situ stress analysis in New Zealand. We analyze borehole image and oriented caliper data from 129 petroleum wells in the Taranaki Basin to interpret the shape of boreholes and determine the orientation of maximum horizontal stress (S-Hmax). We combine these data (151 S-Hmax data records) with 40 stress data records derived from individual earthquake focal mechanism solutions, 6 from stress inversions of focal mechanisms, and 1 data record using the average of several focal mechanism solutions. The resulting data set has 198 data records for the Taranaki Basin and suggests a regional S-Hmax orientation of N068 degrees E (22 degrees), which is in agreement with NW-SE extension suggested by geological data. Furthermore, this ENE-WSW average S-Hmax orientation is subparallel to the subduction trench and strike of the subducting slab (N50 degrees E) beneath the central western North Island. Hence, we suggest that the slab geometry and the associated forces due to slab rollback are the key control of crustal stress in the Taranaki Basin. In addition, we find stress perturbations with depth in the vicinity of faults in some of the studied wells, which highlight the impact of local stress sources on the present-day stress rotation. KW - in situ stress KW - Taranaki Basin KW - New Zealand KW - plate tectonics KW - subduction zone Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/2016JB013178 SN - 2169-9313 SN - 2169-9356 VL - 121 SP - 6053 EP - 6070 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ziegler, Moritz O. A1 - Heidbach, Oliver A1 - Zang, Arno A1 - Martinez-Garzon, Patricia A1 - Bohnhoff, Marco T1 - Estimation of the differential stress from the stress rotation angle in low permeable rock JF - Geophysical research letters N2 - Rotations of the principal stress axes are observed as a result of fluid injection into reservoirs. We use a generic, fully coupled 3-D thermo-hydro-mechanical model to investigate systematically the dependence of this stress rotation on different reservoir properties and injection scenarios. We find that permeability, injection rate, and initial differential stress are the key factors, while other reservoir properties only play a negligible role. In particular, we find that thermal effects do not significantly contribute to stress rotations. For reservoir types with usual differential stress and reservoir treatment the occurrence of significant stress rotations is limited to reservoirs with a permeability of less than approximately 10(-12)m(2). Higher permeability effectively prevents stress rotations to occur. Thus, according to these general findings, the observed principal stress axes rotation can be used as a proxy of the initial differential stress provided that rock permeability and fluid injection rate are known a priori. Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL073598 SN - 0094-8276 SN - 1944-8007 VL - 44 SP - 6761 EP - 6770 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER -