TY - JOUR A1 - Aarts, Alexander A. A1 - Anderson, Joanna E. A1 - Anderson, Christopher J. A1 - Attridge, Peter R. A1 - Attwood, Angela A1 - Axt, Jordan A1 - Babel, Molly A1 - Bahnik, Stepan A1 - Baranski, Erica A1 - Barnett-Cowan, Michael A1 - Bartmess, Elizabeth A1 - Beer, Jennifer A1 - Bell, Raoul A1 - Bentley, Heather A1 - Beyan, Leah A1 - Binion, Grace A1 - Borsboom, Denny A1 - Bosch, Annick A1 - Bosco, Frank A. A1 - Bowman, Sara D. A1 - Brandt, Mark J. A1 - Braswell, Erin A1 - Brohmer, Hilmar A1 - Brown, Benjamin T. A1 - Brown, Kristina A1 - Bruening, Jovita A1 - Calhoun-Sauls, Ann A1 - Callahan, Shannon P. A1 - Chagnon, Elizabeth A1 - Chandler, Jesse A1 - Chartier, Christopher R. A1 - Cheung, Felix A1 - Christopherson, Cody D. A1 - Cillessen, Linda A1 - Clay, Russ A1 - Cleary, Hayley A1 - Cloud, Mark D. A1 - Cohn, Michael A1 - Cohoon, Johanna A1 - Columbus, Simon A1 - Cordes, Andreas A1 - Costantini, Giulio A1 - Alvarez, Leslie D. Cramblet A1 - Cremata, Ed A1 - Crusius, Jan A1 - DeCoster, Jamie A1 - DeGaetano, Michelle A. A1 - Della Penna, Nicolas A1 - den Bezemer, Bobby A1 - Deserno, Marie K. A1 - Devitt, Olivia A1 - Dewitte, Laura A1 - Dobolyi, David G. A1 - Dodson, Geneva T. A1 - Donnellan, M. Brent A1 - Donohue, Ryan A1 - Dore, Rebecca A. A1 - Dorrough, Angela A1 - Dreber, Anna A1 - Dugas, Michelle A1 - Dunn, Elizabeth W. A1 - Easey, Kayleigh A1 - Eboigbe, Sylvia A1 - Eggleston, Casey A1 - Embley, Jo A1 - Epskamp, Sacha A1 - Errington, Timothy M. A1 - Estel, Vivien A1 - Farach, Frank J. A1 - Feather, Jenelle A1 - Fedor, Anna A1 - Fernandez-Castilla, Belen A1 - Fiedler, Susann A1 - Field, James G. A1 - Fitneva, Stanka A. A1 - Flagan, Taru A1 - Forest, Amanda L. A1 - Forsell, Eskil A1 - Foster, Joshua D. A1 - Frank, Michael C. A1 - Frazier, Rebecca S. A1 - Fuchs, Heather A1 - Gable, Philip A1 - Galak, Jeff A1 - Galliani, Elisa Maria A1 - Gampa, Anup A1 - Garcia, Sara A1 - Gazarian, Douglas A1 - Gilbert, Elizabeth A1 - Giner-Sorolla, Roger A1 - Glöckner, Andreas A1 - Göllner, Lars A1 - Goh, Jin X. A1 - Goldberg, Rebecca A1 - Goodbourn, Patrick T. A1 - Gordon-McKeon, Shauna A1 - Gorges, Bryan A1 - Gorges, Jessie A1 - Goss, Justin A1 - Graham, Jesse A1 - Grange, James A. A1 - Gray, Jeremy A1 - Hartgerink, Chris A1 - Hartshorne, Joshua A1 - Hasselman, Fred A1 - Hayes, Timothy A1 - Heikensten, Emma A1 - Henninger, Felix A1 - Hodsoll, John A1 - Holubar, Taylor A1 - Hoogendoorn, Gea A1 - Humphries, Denise J. A1 - Hung, Cathy O. -Y. A1 - Immelman, Nathali A1 - Irsik, Vanessa C. A1 - Jahn, Georg A1 - Jaekel, Frank A1 - Jekel, Marc A1 - Johannesson, Magnus A1 - Johnson, Larissa G. A1 - Johnson, David J. A1 - Johnson, Kate M. A1 - Johnston, William J. A1 - Jonas, Kai A1 - Joy-Gaba, Jennifer A. A1 - Kappes, Heather Barry A1 - Kelso, Kim A1 - Kidwell, Mallory C. A1 - Kim, Seung Kyung A1 - Kirkhart, Matthew A1 - Kleinberg, Bennett A1 - Knezevic, Goran A1 - Kolorz, Franziska Maria A1 - Kossakowski, Jolanda J. A1 - Krause, Robert Wilhelm A1 - Krijnen, Job A1 - Kuhlmann, Tim A1 - Kunkels, Yoram K. A1 - Kyc, Megan M. A1 - Lai, Calvin K. A1 - Laique, Aamir A1 - Lakens, Daniel A1 - Lane, Kristin A. A1 - Lassetter, Bethany A1 - Lazarevic, Ljiljana B. A1 - LeBel, Etienne P. A1 - Lee, Key Jung A1 - Lee, Minha A1 - Lemm, Kristi A1 - Levitan, Carmel A. A1 - Lewis, Melissa A1 - Lin, Lin A1 - Lin, Stephanie A1 - Lippold, Matthias A1 - Loureiro, Darren A1 - Luteijn, Ilse A1 - Mackinnon, Sean A1 - Mainard, Heather N. A1 - Marigold, Denise C. A1 - Martin, Daniel P. A1 - Martinez, Tylar A1 - Masicampo, E. J. A1 - Matacotta, Josh A1 - Mathur, Maya A1 - May, Michael A1 - Mechin, Nicole A1 - Mehta, Pranjal A1 - Meixner, Johannes A1 - Melinger, Alissa A1 - Miller, Jeremy K. A1 - Miller, Mallorie A1 - Moore, Katherine A1 - Möschl, Marcus A1 - Motyl, Matt A1 - Müller, Stephanie M. A1 - Munafo, Marcus A1 - Neijenhuijs, Koen I. A1 - Nervi, Taylor A1 - Nicolas, Gandalf A1 - Nilsonne, Gustav A1 - Nosek, Brian A. A1 - Nuijten, Michele B. A1 - Olsson, Catherine A1 - Osborne, Colleen A1 - Ostkamp, Lutz A1 - Pavel, Misha A1 - Penton-Voak, Ian S. A1 - Perna, Olivia A1 - Pernet, Cyril A1 - Perugini, Marco A1 - Pipitone, R. Nathan A1 - Pitts, Michael A1 - Plessow, Franziska A1 - Prenoveau, Jason M. A1 - Rahal, Rima-Maria A1 - Ratliff, Kate A. A1 - Reinhard, David A1 - Renkewitz, Frank A1 - Ricker, Ashley A. A1 - Rigney, Anastasia A1 - Rivers, Andrew M. A1 - Roebke, Mark A1 - Rutchick, Abraham M. A1 - Ryan, Robert S. A1 - Sahin, Onur A1 - Saide, Anondah A1 - Sandstrom, Gillian M. A1 - Santos, David A1 - Saxe, Rebecca A1 - Schlegelmilch, Rene A1 - Schmidt, Kathleen A1 - Scholz, Sabine A1 - Seibel, Larissa A1 - Selterman, Dylan Faulkner A1 - Shaki, Samuel A1 - Simpson, William B. A1 - Sinclair, H. Colleen A1 - Skorinko, Jeanine L. M. A1 - Slowik, Agnieszka A1 - Snyder, Joel S. A1 - Soderberg, Courtney A1 - Sonnleitner, Carina A1 - Spencer, Nick A1 - Spies, Jeffrey R. A1 - Steegen, Sara A1 - Stieger, Stefan A1 - Strohminger, Nina A1 - Sullivan, Gavin B. A1 - Talhelm, Thomas A1 - Tapia, Megan A1 - te Dorsthorst, Anniek A1 - Thomae, Manuela A1 - Thomas, Sarah L. A1 - Tio, Pia A1 - Traets, Frits A1 - Tsang, Steve A1 - Tuerlinckx, Francis A1 - Turchan, Paul A1 - Valasek, Milan A1 - Van Aert, Robbie A1 - van Assen, Marcel A1 - van Bork, Riet A1 - van de Ven, Mathijs A1 - van den Bergh, Don A1 - van der Hulst, Marije A1 - van Dooren, Roel A1 - van Doorn, Johnny A1 - van Renswoude, Daan R. A1 - van Rijn, Hedderik A1 - Vanpaemel, Wolf A1 - Echeverria, Alejandro Vasquez A1 - Vazquez, Melissa A1 - Velez, Natalia A1 - Vermue, Marieke A1 - Verschoor, Mark A1 - Vianello, Michelangelo A1 - Voracek, Martin A1 - Vuu, Gina A1 - Wagenmakers, Eric-Jan A1 - Weerdmeester, Joanneke A1 - Welsh, Ashlee A1 - Westgate, Erin C. A1 - Wissink, Joeri A1 - Wood, Michael A1 - Woods, Andy A1 - Wright, Emily A1 - Wu, Sining A1 - Zeelenberg, Marcel A1 - Zuni, Kellylynn T1 - Estimating the reproducibility of psychological science JF - Science N2 - Reproducibility is a defining feature of science, but the extent to which it characterizes current research is unknown. We conducted replications of 100 experimental and correlational studies published in three psychology journals using high-powered designs and original materials when available. Replication effects were half the magnitude of original effects, representing a substantial decline. Ninety-seven percent of original studies had statistically significant results. Thirty-six percent of replications had statistically significant results; 47% of original effect sizes were in the 95% confidence interval of the replication effect size; 39% of effects were subjectively rated to have replicated the original result; and if no bias in original results is assumed, combining original and replication results left 68% with statistically significant effects. Correlational tests suggest that replication success was better predicted by the strength of original evidence than by characteristics of the original and replication teams. Y1 - 2015 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aac4716 SN - 1095-9203 SN - 0036-8075 VL - 349 IS - 6251 PB - American Assoc. for the Advancement of Science CY - Washington ER -