TY  - JOUR
A1  - Malik, Nishant
A1  - Bookhagen, Bodo
A1  - Mucha, Peter J.
T1  - Spatiotemporal patterns and trends of Indian monsoonal rainfall extremes
JF  - Geophysical research letters
N2  - In this study, we provide a comprehensive analysis of trends in the extremes during the Indian summer monsoon (ISM) months (June to September) at different temporal and spatial scales. Our goal is to identify and quantify spatiotemporal patterns and trends that have emerged during the recent decades and may be associated with changing climatic conditions. Our analysis primarily relies on quantile regression that avoids making any subjective choices on spatial, temporal, or intensity pattern of extreme rainfall events. Our analysis divides the Indian monsoon region into climatic compartments that show different and partly opposing trends. These include strong trends toward intensified droughts in Northwest India, parts of Peninsular India, and Myanmar; in contrast, parts of Pakistan, Northwest Himalaya, and Central India show increased extreme daily rain intensity leading to higher flood vulnerability. Our analysis helps explain previously contradicting results of trends in average ISM rainfall.
Y1  - 2016
U6  - https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL067841
SN  - 0094-8276
SN  - 1944-8007
VL  - 43
SP  - 1710
EP  - 1717
PB  - American Geophysical Union
CY  - Washington
ER  -