TY - JOUR A1 - Ramos, Antonio M. T. A1 - Builes-Jaramillo, Alejandro A1 - Poveda, German A1 - Goswami, Bedartha A1 - Macau, Elbert E. N. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Marwan, Norbert T1 - Recurrence measure of conditional dependence and applications JF - Physical review : E, Statistical, nonlinear and soft matter physics N2 - Identifying causal relations from observational data sets has posed great challenges in data-driven causality inference studies. One of the successful approaches to detect direct coupling in the information theory framework is transfer entropy. However, the core of entropy-based tools lies on the probability estimation of the underlying variables. Herewe propose a data-driven approach for causality inference that incorporates recurrence plot features into the framework of information theory. We define it as the recurrence measure of conditional dependence (RMCD), and we present some applications. The RMCD quantifies the causal dependence between two processes based on joint recurrence patterns between the past of the possible driver and present of the potentially driven, excepting the contribution of the contemporaneous past of the driven variable. Finally, it can unveil the time scale of the influence of the sea-surface temperature of the Pacific Ocean on the precipitation in the Amazonia during recent major droughts. Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.95.052206 SN - 2470-0045 SN - 2470-0053 VL - 95 PB - American Physical Society CY - College Park ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ciemer, Catrin A1 - Rehm, Lars A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Donner, Reik Volker A1 - Winkelmann, Ricarda A1 - Boers, Niklas T1 - An early-warning indicator for Amazon droughts exclusively based on tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures JF - Environmental Research Letters N2 - Droughts in tropical South America have an imminent and severe impact on the Amazon rainforest and affect the livelihoods of millions of people. Extremely dry conditions in Amazonia have been previously linked to sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the adjacent tropical oceans. Although the sources and impacts of such droughts have been widely studied, establishing reliable multi-year lead statistical forecasts of their occurrence is still an ongoing challenge. Here, we further investigate the relationship between SST and rainfall anomalies using a complex network approach. We identify four ocean regions which exhibit the strongest overall SST correlations with central Amazon rainfall, including two particularly prominent regions in the northern and southern tropical Atlantic. Based on the time-dependent correlation between SST anomalies in these two regions alone, we establish a new early-warning method for droughts in the central Amazon basin and demonstrate its robustness in hindcasting past major drought events with lead-times up to 18 months. KW - complex networks KW - droughts KW - prediction KW - Amazon rainforest Y1 - 2019 VL - 15 IS - 9 PB - IOP - Institute of Physics Publishing CY - Bristol ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ozturk, Ugur A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Korup, Oliver A1 - Saito, H. A1 - Agarwa, Ankit A1 - Grossman, M. J. A1 - Zaiki, M. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Complex networks for tracking extreme rainfall during typhoons JF - Chaos : an interdisciplinary journal of nonlinear science N2 - Reconciling the paths of extreme rainfall with those of typhoons remains difficult despite advanced forecasting techniques. We use complex networks defined by a nonlinear synchronization measure termed event synchronization to track extreme rainfall over the Japanese islands. Directed networks objectively record patterns of heavy rain brought by frontal storms and typhoons but mask out contributions of local convective storms. We propose a radial rank method to show that paths of extreme rainfall in the typhoon season (August-November, ASON) follow the overall southwest-northeast motion of typhoons and mean rainfall gradient of Japan. The associated eye-of-the-typhoon tracks deviate notably and may thus distort estimates of heavy typhoon rainfall. We mainly found that the lower spread of rainfall tracks in ASON may enable better hindcasting than for westerly-fed frontal storms in June and July. Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1063/1.5004480 SN - 1054-1500 SN - 1089-7682 VL - 28 IS - 7 PB - American Institute of Physics CY - Melville ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Agarwal, Ankit A1 - Maheswaran, Rathinasamy A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Caesar, Levke A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Wavelet-based multiscale similarity measure for complex networks JF - The European physical journal : B, Condensed matter and complex systems N2 - In recent years, complex network analysis facilitated the identification of universal and unexpected patterns in complex climate systems. However, the analysis and representation of a multiscale complex relationship that exists in the global climate system are limited. A logical first step in addressing this issue is to construct multiple networks over different timescales. Therefore, we propose to apply the wavelet multiscale correlation (WMC) similarity measure, which is a combination of two state-of-the-art methods, viz. wavelet and Pearson’s correlation, for investigating multiscale processes through complex networks. Firstly we decompose the data over different timescales using the wavelet approach and subsequently construct a corresponding network by Pearson’s correlation. The proposed approach is illustrated and tested on two synthetics and one real-world example. The first synthetic case study shows the efficacy of the proposed approach to unravel scale-specific connections, which are often undiscovered at a single scale. The second synthetic case study illustrates that by dividing and constructing a separate network for each time window we can detect significant changes in the signal structure. The real-world example investigates the behavior of the global sea surface temperature (SST) network at different timescales. Intriguingly, we notice that spatial dependent structure in SST evolves temporally. Overall, the proposed measure has an immense potential to provide essential insights on understanding and extending complex multivariate process studies at multiple scales. KW - Statistical and Nonlinear Physics Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1140/epjb/e2018-90460-6 SN - 1434-6028 SN - 1434-6036 VL - 91 IS - 11 PB - Springer CY - New York ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ciemer, Catrin A1 - Boers, Niklas A1 - Hirota, Marina A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Müller-Hansen, Finn A1 - Oliveira, Rafael S. A1 - Winkelmann, Ricarda T1 - Higher resilience to climatic disturbances in tropical vegetation exposed to more variable rainfall JF - Nature geoscience N2 - With ongoing global warming, the amount and frequency of precipitation in the tropics is projected to change substantially. While it has been shown that tropical forests and savannahs are sustained within the same intermediate mean annual precipitation range, the mechanisms that lead to the resilience of these ecosystems are still not fully understood. In particular, the long-term impact of rainfall variability on resilience is as yet unclear. Here we present observational evidence that both tropical forest and savannah exposed to a higher rainfall variability-in particular on interannual scales-during their long-term past are overall more resilient against climatic disturbances. Based on precipitation and tree cover data in the Brazilian Amazon basin, we constructed potential landscapes that enable us to systematically measure the resilience of the different ecosystems. Additionally, we infer that shifts from forest to savannah due to decreasing precipitation in the future are more likely to occur in regions with a precursory lower rainfall variability. Long-term rainfall variability thus needs to be taken into account in resilience analyses and projections of vegetation response to climate change. Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-019-0312-z SN - 1752-0894 SN - 1752-0908 VL - 12 IS - 3 SP - 174 EP - 179 PB - Nature Publ. Group CY - New York ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Agarwal, Ankit A1 - Shukla, Roopam A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Maheswaran, Rathinasamy A1 - Caesar, Levke A1 - Krishnan, Raghavan A1 - Merz, Bruno T1 - Unravelling the spatial diversity of Indian precipitation teleconnections via a non-linear multi-scale approach JF - Nonlinear processes in geophysics N2 - A better understanding of precipitation dynamics in the Indian subcontinent is required since India's society depends heavily on reliable monsoon forecasts. We introduce a non-linear, multiscale approach, based on wavelets and event synchronization, for unravelling teleconnection influences on precipitation. We consider those climate patterns with the highest relevance for Indian precipitation. Our results suggest significant influences which are not well captured by only the wavelet coherence analysis, the state-of-the-art method in understanding linkages at multiple timescales. We find substantial variation across India and across timescales. In particular, El Niño–Southern Oscillation (ENSO) and the Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD) mainly influence precipitation in the south-east at interannual and decadal scales, respectively, whereas the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) has a strong connection to precipitation, particularly in the northern regions. The effect of the Pacific Decadal Oscillation (PDO) stretches across the whole country, whereas the Atlantic Multidecadal Oscillation (AMO) influences precipitation particularly in the central arid and semi-arid regions. The proposed method provides a powerful approach for capturing the dynamics of precipitation and, hence, helps improve precipitation forecasting. Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-26-251-2019 SN - 1023-5809 SN - 1607-7946 VL - 26 IS - 3 SP - 251 EP - 266 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Maheswaran, Rathinasamy A1 - Agarwal, Ankit A1 - Sivakumar, Bellie A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Wavelet analysis of precipitation extremes over India and teleconnections to climate indices JF - Stochastic Environmental Research and Risk Assessment N2 - Precipitation patterns and extremes are significantly influenced by various climatic factors and large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns. This study uses wavelet coherence analysis to detect significant interannual and interdecadal oscillations in monthly precipitation extremes across India and their teleconnections to three prominent climate indices, namely, Nino 3.4, Pacific Decadal Oscillation, and Indian Ocean Dipole (IOD). Further, partial wavelet coherence analysis is used to estimate the standalone relationship between the climate indices and precipitation after removing the effect of interdependency. The wavelet analysis of monthly precipitation extremes at 30 different locations across India reveals that (a) interannual (2-8 years) and interdecadal (8-32 years) oscillations are statistically significant, and (b) the oscillations vary in both time and space. The results from the partial wavelet coherence analysis reveal that Nino 3.4 and IOD are the significant drivers of Indian precipitation at interannual and interdecadal scales. Intriguingly, the study also confirms that the strength of influence of large-scale atmospheric circulation patterns on Indian precipitation extremes varies with spatial physiography of the region. KW - Extreme precipitation KW - Teleconnection patterns KW - Wavelets KW - Partial wavelet coherence KW - India Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-019-01738-3 SN - 1436-3240 SN - 1436-3259 VL - 33 IS - 11-12 SP - 2053 EP - 2069 PB - Springer CY - New York ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Li, Yongge A1 - Mei, Ruoxing A1 - Xu, Yong A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Duan, Jinqiao A1 - Metzler, Ralf T1 - Particle dynamics and transport enhancement in a confined channel with position-dependent diffusivity JF - New Journal of Physics N2 - This work focuses on the dynamics of particles in a confined geometry with position-dependent diffusivity, where the confinement is modelled by a periodic channel consisting of unit cells connected by narrow passage ways. We consider three functional forms for the diffusivity, corresponding to the scenarios of a constant (D ₀), as well as a low (D ₘ) and a high (D d) mobility diffusion in cell centre of the longitudinally symmetric cells. Due to the interaction among the diffusivity, channel shape and external force, the system exhibits complex and interesting phenomena. By calculating the probability density function, mean velocity and mean first exit time with the Itô calculus form, we find that in the absence of external forces the diffusivity D d will redistribute particles near the channel wall, while the diffusivity D ₘ will trap them near the cell centre. The superposition of external forces will break their static distributions. Besides, our results demonstrate that for the diffusivity D d, a high dependence on the x coordinate (parallel with the central channel line) will improve the mean velocity of the particles. In contrast, for the diffusivity D ₘ, a weak dependence on the x coordinate will dramatically accelerate the moving speed. In addition, it shows that a large external force can weaken the influences of different diffusivities; inversely, for a small external force, the types of diffusivity affect significantly the particle dynamics. In practice, one can apply these results to achieve a prominent enhancement of the particle transport in two- or three-dimensional channels by modulating the local tracer diffusivity via an engineered gel of varying porosity or by adding a cold tube to cool down the diffusivity along the central line, which may be a relevant effect in engineering applications. Effects of different stochastic calculi in the evaluation of the underlying multiplicative stochastic equation for different physical scenarios are discussed. KW - diffusion KW - channel KW - space-dependent diffusivity Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/1367-2630/ab81b9 SN - 1367-2630 VL - 22 PB - Dt. Physikalische Ges. CY - Bad Honnef ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zaikin, Alexey A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Optimal length transportation hypothesis to model proteasome product size distribution JF - Journal of biological physics : emphasizing physical principles in biological research ; an international journal for the formulation and application of mathematical models in the biological sciences N2 - This paper discusses translocation features of the 20S proteasome in order to explain typical proteasome length distributions. We assume that the protein transport depends significantly on the fragment length with some optimal length which is transported most efficiently. By means of a simple one-channel model, we show that this hypothesis can explain both the one- and the three-peak length distributions found in experiments. A possible mechanism of such translocation is provided by so-called fluctuation-driven transport. KW - proteasome KW - protein translocation KW - stochastic process KW - ratchets Y1 - 2006 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s10867-006-9014-z SN - 0092-0606 VL - 32 IS - 3-4 SP - 231 EP - 243 PB - Springer CY - Dordrecht ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Meucci, Riccardo A1 - Salvadori, Francesco A1 - Ivanchenko, Mikhail V. A1 - Al Naimee, Kais A1 - Zhou, Chansong A1 - Arecchi, Fortunato Tito A1 - Boccaletti, Stefano A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Synchronization of spontaneous bursting in a CO2 laser JF - Physical review : E, Statistical, nonlinear and soft matter physics N2 - We present experimental and numerical evidence of synchronization of burst events in two different modulated CO2 lasers. Bursts appear randomly in each laser as trains of large amplitude spikes intercalated by a small amplitude chaotic regime. Experimental data and model show the frequency locking of bursts in a suitable interval of coupling strength. We explain the mechanism of this phenomenon and demonstrate the inhibitory properties of the implemented coupling. Y1 - 2006 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.74.066207 SN - 2470-0045 SN - 2470-0053 VL - 74 PB - American Physical Society CY - College Park ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zemanova, Lucia A1 - Zhou, Changsong A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Structural and functional clusters of complex brain networks JF - Physica, D, Nonlinear phenomena N2 - Recent research using the complex network approach has revealed a rich and complicated network topology in the cortical connectivity of mammalian brains. It is of importance to understand the implications of such complex network structures in the functional organization of the brain activities. Here we study this problem from the viewpoint of dynamical complex networks. We investigate synchronization dynamics on the corticocortical network of the cat by modeling each node (cortical area) of the network with a sub-network of interacting excitable neurons. We find that the network displays clustered synchronization behavior, and the dynamical clusters coincide with the topological community structures observed in the anatomical network. Our results provide insights into the relationship between the global organization and the functional specialization of the brain cortex. KW - cortical network KW - anatomical connectivity KW - functional connectivity KW - topological community KW - dynamical cluster Y1 - 2006 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physd.2006.09.008 SN - 0167-2789 SN - 1872-8022 VL - 224 IS - 1-2 SP - 202 EP - 212 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zou, Yong A1 - Thiel, M. A1 - Romano, Maria Carmen A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Bi, Q. T1 - Shrimp structure and associated dynamics in parametrically excited oscillators JF - International journal of bifurcation and chaos : in applied sciences and engineering N2 - We investigate the bifurcation structures in a two-dimensional parameter space (PS) of a parametrically excited system with two degrees of freedom both analytically and numerically. By means of the Renyi entropy of second order K-2, which is estimated from recurrence plots, we uncover that regions of chaotic behavior are intermingled with many complex periodic windows, such as shrimp structures in the PS. A detailed numerical analysis shows that, the stable solutions lose stability either via period doubling, or via intermittency when the parameters leave these shrimps in different directions, indicating different bifurcation properties of the boundaries. The shrimps of different sizes offer promising ways to control the dynamics of such a complex system. KW - bifurcation analysis KW - recurrence plot KW - period doubling KW - intermittency Y1 - 2006 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1142/S0218127406016987 SN - 0218-1274 VL - 16 IS - 12 SP - 3567 EP - 3579 PB - World Scientific Publ. Co CY - Singapore ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zhou, Changsong A1 - Zemanova, Lucia A1 - Zamora, Gorka A1 - Hilgetag, Claus C. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Hierarchical organization unveiled by functional connectivity in complex brain networks JF - Physical review letters N2 - How do diverse dynamical patterns arise from the topology of complex networks? We study synchronization dynamics in the cortical brain network of the cat, which displays a hierarchically clustered organization, by modeling each node (cortical area) with a subnetwork of interacting excitable neurons. We find that in the biologically plausible regime the dynamics exhibits a hierarchical modular organization, in particular, revealing functional clusters coinciding with the anatomical communities at different scales. Our results provide insights into the relationship between network topology and functional organization of complex brain networks. Y1 - 2006 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevLett.97.238103 SN - 0031-9007 SN - 1079-7114 VL - 97 PB - American Physical Society CY - College Park ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Gandhimathi, V. M. A1 - Rajasekar, S. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Vibrational and stochastic resonances in two coupled overdamped anharmonic oscillators JF - Modern physics letters : A, Particles and fields, gravitation, cosmology, nuclear physics N2 - We study the overdamped version of two coupled anharmonic oscillators under the influence of both low- and high-frequency forces respectively and a Gaussian noise term added to one of the two state variables of the system. The dynamics of the system is first studied in the presence of both forces separately without noise. In the presence of only one of the forces, no resonance behaviour is observed, however, hysteresis happens there. Then the influence of the high-frequency force in the presence of a low-frequency, i.e. biharmonic forcing, is studied. Vibrational resonance is found to occur when the amplitude of the high-frequency force is varied. The resonance curve resembles a stochastic resonance-like curve. It is maximum at the value of g at which the orbit lies in one well during one half of the drive cycle of the low-frequency force and in the other for the remaining half cycle. Vibrational resonance is characterized using the response amplitude and mean residence time. We show the occurrence of stochastic resonance behaviour in the overdamped system by replacing the high-frequency force by Gaussian noise. Similarities and differences between both types of resonance are presented. (c) 2006 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. KW - vibrational resonance KW - low-frequency force KW - high-frequency force KW - stochastic resonance KW - noise KW - mean residence time Y1 - 2006 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physleta.2006.08.051 SN - 0375-9601 VL - 360 IS - 2 SP - 279 EP - 286 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Stolbova, Veronika A1 - Surovyatkina, Elena A1 - Bookhagen, Bodo A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Tipping elements of the Indian monsoon: Prediction of onset and withdrawal JF - Geophysical research letters N2 - Forecasting the onset and withdrawal of the Indian summer monsoon is crucial for the life and prosperity of more than one billion inhabitants of the Indian subcontinent. However, accurate prediction of monsoon timing remains a challenge, despite numerous efforts. Here we present a method for prediction of monsoon timing based on a critical transition precursor. We identify geographic regions-tipping elements of the monsoon-and use them as observation locations for predicting onset and withdrawal dates. Unlike most predictability methods, our approach does not rely on precipitation analysis but on air temperature and relative humidity, which are well represented both in models and observations. The proposed method allows to predict onset 2 weeks earlier and withdrawal dates 1.5 months earlier than existing methods. In addition, it enables to correctly forecast monsoon duration for some anomalous years, often associated with El Nino-Southern Oscillation. Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/2016GL068392 SN - 0094-8276 SN - 1944-8007 VL - 43 SP - 3982 EP - 3990 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zakharova, Anna A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Vadivasova, Tatyana A1 - Koseska, Aneta T1 - Analysing dynamical behavior of cellular networks via stochastic bifurcations JF - PLoS one N2 - The dynamical structure of genetic networks determines the occurrence of various biological mechanisms, such as cellular differentiation. However, the question of how cellular diversity evolves in relation to the inherent stochasticity and intercellular communication remains still to be understood. Here, we define a concept of stochastic bifurcations suitable to investigate the dynamical structure of genetic networks, and show that under stochastic influence, the expression of given proteins of interest is defined via the probability distribution of the phase variable, representing one of the genes constituting the system. Moreover, we show that under changing stochastic conditions, the probabilities of expressing certain concentration values are different, leading to different functionality of the cells, and thus to differentiation of the cells in the various types. Y1 - 2011 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0019696 SN - 1932-6203 VL - 6 IS - 5 PB - PLoS CY - San Fransisco ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Koseska, Aneta A1 - Volkov, Evgenii A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Synthetic multicellular oscillatory systems controlling protein dynamics with genetic circuits JF - Physica scripta : an international journal for experimental and theoretical physics N2 - Synthetic biology is a relatively new research discipline that combines standard biology approaches with the constructive nature of engineering. Thus, recent efforts in the field of synthetic biology have given a perspective to consider cells as 'programmable matter'. Here, we address the possibility of using synthetic circuits to control protein dynamics. In particular, we show how intercellular communication and stochasticity can be used to manipulate the dynamical behavior of a population of coupled synthetic units and, in this manner, finely tune the expression of specific proteins of interest, e.g. in large bioreactors. Y1 - 2011 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/0031-8949/84/04/045007 SN - 0031-8949 VL - 84 IS - 4 PB - IOP Publ. Ltd. CY - Bristol ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Huang, Tingwen A1 - Chen, Guanrong A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Synchronization of chaotic of chaotic systems with time-varying coupöing delays JF - Discrete and continuous dynamical systems : a journal bridging mathematics and sciences ; Series B, Mathematical modelling, analysis and computations N2 - In this paper, we study the complete synchronization of a class of time-varying delayed coupled chaotic systems using feedback control. In terms of Linear Matrix Inequalities, a sufficient condition is obtained through using a Lyapunov-Krasovskii functional and differential equation in equalities. The conditions can be easily verified and implemented. We present two simulation examples to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed method. KW - Synchronization KW - Chaotic System KW - Time-varying Delay Y1 - 2011 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3934/dcdsb.2011.16.1071 SN - 1531-3492 VL - 16 IS - 4 SP - 1071 EP - 1082 PB - American Institute of Mathematical Sciences CY - Springfield ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Donges, Jonathan A1 - Donner, Reik Volker A1 - Trauth, Martin H. A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Nonlinear detection of paleoclimate-variability transitions possibly related to human evolution JF - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America N2 - Potential paleoclimatic driving mechanisms acting on human evolution present an open problem of cross-disciplinary scientific interest. The analysis of paleoclimate archives encoding the environmental variability in East Africa during the past 5 Ma has triggered an ongoing debate about possible candidate processes and evolutionary mechanisms. In this work, we apply a nonlinear statistical technique, recurrence network analysis, to three distinct marine records of terrigenous dust flux. Our method enables us to identify three epochs with transitions between qualitatively different types of environmental variability in North and East Africa during the (i) Middle Pliocene (3.35-3.15 Ma B. P.), (ii) Early Pleistocene (2.25-1.6 Ma B. P.), and (iii) Middle Pleistocene (1.1-0.7 Ma B. P.). A deeper examination of these transition periods reveals potential climatic drivers, including (i) large-scale changes in ocean currents due to a spatial shift of the Indonesian throughflow in combination with an intensification of Northern Hemisphere glaciation, (ii) a global reorganization of the atmospheric Walker circulation induced in the tropical Pacific and Indian Ocean, and (iii) shifts in the dominating temporal variability pattern of glacial activity during the Middle Pleistocene, respectively. A reexamination of the available fossil record demonstrates statistically significant coincidences between the detected transition periods and major steps in hominin evolution. This result suggests that the observed shifts between more regular and more erratic environmental variability may have acted as a trigger for rapid change in the development of humankind in Africa. KW - African climate KW - Plio-Pleistocene KW - climate-driven evolution KW - dynamical transitions KW - nonlinear time series analysis Y1 - 2011 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1117052108 SN - 0027-8424 VL - 108 IS - 51 SP - 20422 EP - 20427 PB - National Acad. of Sciences CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rusconi, Marco A1 - Valleriani, Angelo A1 - Dunlop, John William Chapman A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Weinkamer, Richard T1 - Quantitative approach to the stochastics of bone remodeling JF - epl : a letters journal exploring the frontiers of physics N2 - During life bones constantly adapt their structure to their mechanical environment via a mechanically controlled process called bone remodeling. For trabecular bone, this process modifies the thickness of each trabecula leading occasionally to full resorption. We describe the irreversible dynamics of the trabecular thickness distribution (TTD) by means of a Markov chain discrete in space and time. By using thickness data from adult patients, we derive the transition probabilities in the chain. This allows a quantification, in terms of geometrical quantities, of the control of bone remodeling and thus to determine the evolution of the TTD with age. Y1 - 2012 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1209/0295-5075/97/28009 SN - 0295-5075 VL - 97 IS - 2 PB - EDP Sciences CY - Mulhouse ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Malik, Nishant A1 - Zou, Y. A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Dynamical regimes and transitions in plio-pleistocene Asian monsoon JF - epl : a letters journal exploring the frontiers of physics N2 - We propose a novel approach based on the fluctuation of similarity to identify regimes of distinct dynamical complexity in short time series. A statistical test is developed to estimate the significance of the identified transitions. Our method is verified by uncovering bifurcation structures in several paradigmatic models, providing more complex transitions compared with traditional Lyapunov exponents. In a real-world situation, we apply this method to identify millennial-scale dynamical transitions in Plio-Pleistocene proxy records of the South Asian summer monsoon system. We infer that many of these transitions are induced by the external forcing of the solar insolation and are also affected by internal forcing on Monsoonal dynamics, i.e., the glaciation cycles of the Northern Hemisphere and the onset of the Walker circulation. Y1 - 2012 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1209/0295-5075/97/40009 SN - 0295-5075 VL - 97 IS - 4 PB - EDP Sciences CY - Mulhouse ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Beller, Gise A1 - Felsenberg, Dieter A1 - Saparin, Peter A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - quantifying changes in the spatial structure of trabecular bone JF - International journal of bifurcation and chaos : in applied sciences and engineering N2 - We apply recently introduced measures of complexity for the structural quantification of distal tibial bone. For the first time, we are able to investigate the temporal structural alteration of trabecular bone. Based on four patients, we show how the bone may alter due to temporal immobilization. KW - 3D medical image analysis KW - pQCT KW - trabecular bone KW - patient immobilization Y1 - 2012 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1142/S0218127412500277 SN - 0218-1274 VL - 22 IS - 2 PB - World Scientific CY - Singapore ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Bergner, Andre A1 - Frasca, M. A1 - Sciuto, G. A1 - Buscarino, A. A1 - Ngamga, Eulalie Joelle A1 - Fortuna, L. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Remote synchronization in star networks JF - Physical review : E, Statistical, nonlinear and soft matter physics N2 - We study phase synchronization in a network motif with a starlike structure in which the central node's (the hub's) frequency is strongly detuned against the other peripheral nodes. We find numerically and experimentally a regime of remote synchronization (RS), where the peripheral nodes form a phase synchronized cluster, while the hub remains free with its own dynamics and serves just as a transmitter for the other nodes. We explain the mechanism for this RS by the existence of a free amplitude and also show that systems with a fixed or constant amplitude, such as the classic Kuramoto phase oscillator, are not able to generate this phenomenon. Further, we derive an analytic expression which supports our explanation of the mechanism. Y1 - 2012 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.85.026208 SN - 1539-3755 VL - 85 IS - 2 PB - American Physical Society CY - College Park ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Frasca, Mattia A1 - Bergner, Andre A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Fortuna, Luigi T1 - Bifurcations in a star-like network of Stuart-Landau oscillators JF - International journal of bifurcation and chaos : in applied sciences and engineering N2 - In this paper, we analytically study a star motif of Stuart-Landau oscillators, derive the bifurcation diagram and discuss the different forms of synchronization arising in such a system. Despite the parameter mismatch between the central node and the peripheral ones, an analytical approach independent of the number of units in the system has been proposed. The approach allows to calculate the separatrices between the regions with distinct dynamical behavior and to determine the nature of the different transitions to synchronization appearing in the system. The theoretical analysis is supported by numerical results. KW - Complex networks KW - synchronization KW - bifurcations Y1 - 2012 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1142/S0218127412501738 SN - 0218-1274 VL - 22 IS - 7 PB - World Scientific CY - Singapore ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Malik, Nishant A1 - Bookhagen, Bodo A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Analysis of spatial and temporal extreme monsoonal rainfall over South Asia using complex networks JF - Climate dynamics : observational, theoretical and computational research on the climate system N2 - We present a detailed analysis of summer monsoon rainfall over the Indian peninsular using nonlinear spatial correlations. This analysis is carried out employing the tools of complex networks and a measure of nonlinear correlation for point processes such as rainfall, called event synchronization. This study provides valuable insights into the spatial organization, scales, and structure of the 90th and 94th percentile rainfall events during the Indian summer monsoon (June-September). We furthermore analyse the influence of different critical synoptic atmospheric systems and the impact of the steep Himalayan topography on rainfall patterns. The presented method not only helps us in visualising the structure of the extreme-event rainfall fields, but also identifies the water vapor pathways and decadal-scale moisture sinks over the region. Furthermore a simple scheme based on complex networks is presented to decipher the spatial intricacies and temporal evolution of monsoonal rainfall patterns over the last 6 decades. KW - Indian summer monsoon KW - Event synchronization KW - Complex networks KW - Rainfall patterns Y1 - 2012 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-011-1156-4 SN - 0930-7575 VL - 39 IS - 3-4 SP - 971 EP - 987 PB - Springer CY - New York ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Schinkel, Stefan A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Recurrence plots 25 years later -Gaining confidence in dynamical transitions JF - epl : a letters journal exploring the frontiers of physics N2 - Recurrence-plot-based time series analysis is widely used to study changes and transitions in the dynamics of a system or temporal deviations from its overall dynamical regime. However, most studies do not discuss the significance of the detected variations in the recurrence quantification measures. In this letter we propose a novel method to add a confidence measure to the recurrence quantification analysis. We show how this approach can be used to study significant changes in dynamical systems due to a change in control parameters, chaos-order as well as chaos-chaos transitions. Finally we study and discuss climate transitions by analysing a marine proxy record for past sea surface temperature. This paper is dedicated to the 25th anniversary of the introduction of recurrence plots. Y1 - 2013 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1209/0295-5075/101/20007 SN - 0295-5075 VL - 101 IS - 2 PB - EDP Sciences CY - Mulhouse ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Goswami, Bedartha A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Feulner, Georg A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - How do global temperature drivers influence each other? JF - European physical journal special topics N2 - We investigate a network of influences connected to global mean temperature. Considering various climatic factors known to influence global mean temperature, we evaluate not only the impacts of these factors on temperature but also the directed dependencies among the factors themselves. Based on an existing recurrence-based connectivity measure, we propose a new and more general measure that quantifies the level of dependence between two time series based on joint recurrences at a chosen time delay. The measures estimated in the analysis are tested for statistical significance using twin surrogates. We find, in accordance with earlier studies, the major drivers for global mean temperature to be greenhouse gases, ENSO, volcanic activity, and solar irradiance. We further uncover a feedback between temperature and ENSO. Our results demonstrate the need to involve multiple, delayed interactions within the drivers of temperature in order to develop a more thorough picture of global temperature variations. Y1 - 2013 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1140/epjst/e2013-01889-8 SN - 1951-6355 VL - 222 IS - 3-4 SP - 861 EP - 873 PB - Springer CY - Heidelberg ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zhou, Changsong A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Hierarchical synchronization in complex networks with heterogeneous degrees N2 - We study synchronization behavior in networks of coupled chaotic oscillators with heterogeneous connection degrees. Our focus is on regimes away from the complete synchronization state, when the coupling is not strong enough, when the oscillators are under the influence of noise or when the oscillators are nonidentical. We have found a hierarchical organization of the synchronization behavior with respect to the collective dynamics of the network. Oscillators with more connections (hubs) are synchronized more closely by the collective dynamics and constitute the dynamical core of the network. The numerical observation of this hierarchical synchronization is supported with an analysis based on a mean field approximation and the master stability function. (C) 2006 American Institute of Physics Y1 - 2006 UR - http://scitation.aip.org/getpdf/servlet/ GetPDFServlet?filetype=pdf&id=CHAOEH000016000001015104000001&idtype=cvips&doi=10.1063/1.2150381&prog=normal U6 - https://doi.org/10.1063/1.2150381 SN - 1054-1500 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zhou, Changsong A1 - Motter, Adilson E. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Universality in the synchronization of weighted random networks N2 - Realistic networks display not only a complex topological structure, but also a heterogeneous distribution of weights in the connection strengths. Here we study synchronization in weighted complex networks and show that the synchronizability of random networks with a large minimum degree is determined by two leading parameters: the mean degree and the heterogeneity of the distribution of node's intensity, where the intensity of a node, defined as the total strength of input connections, is a natural combination of topology and weights. Our results provide a possibility for the control of synchronization in complex networks by the manipulation of a few parameters Y1 - 2006 UR - http://prl.aps.org/pdf/PRL/v96/i3/e034101 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1103/Physrevlett.96.034101 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zhou, Changsong A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Dynamical weights and enhanced synchronization in adaptive complex networks N2 - Dynamical organization of connection weights is studied in scale-free networks of chaotic oscillators, where the coupling strength of a node from its neighbors develops adaptively according to the local synchronization property between the node and its neighbors. We find that when complete synchronization is achieved, the coupling strength becomes weighted and correlated with the topology due to a hierarchical transition to synchronization in heterogeneous networks. Importantly, such an adaptive process enhances significantly the synchronizability of the networks, which could have meaningful implications in the manipulation of dynamical networks Y1 - 2006 UR - http://link.aps.org/doi/10.1103/PhysRevLett.96.164102 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1103/Physrevlett.96.164102 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schelter, Björn A1 - Winterhalder, Matthias A1 - Dahlhaus, Rainer A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Timmer, Jens T1 - Partial phase synchronization for multivariate synchronizing systems N2 - Graphical models applying partial coherence to multivariate time series are a powerful tool to distinguish direct and indirect interdependencies in multivariate linear systems. We carry over the concept of graphical models and partialization analysis to phase signals of nonlinear synchronizing systems. This procedure leads to the partial phase synchronization index which generalizes a bivariate phase synchronization index to the multivariate case and reveals the coupling structure in multivariate synchronizing systems by differentiating direct and indirect interactions. This ensures that no false positive conclusions are drawn concerning the interaction structure in multivariate synchronizing systems. By application to the paradigmatic model of a coupled chaotic Roessler system, the power of the partial phase synchronization index is demonstrated Y1 - 2006 UR - http://prl.aps.org/abstract/PRL/v96/i20/e208103 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1103/Physrevlett.96.208103 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Landa, Polina S. A1 - Ushakov, Vladimir A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Rigorous theory of stochastic resonance in overdamped bistable oscillators for weak signals JF - Chaos, solitons & fractals : applications in science and engineering N2 - The results of the theoretical consideration of stochastic resonance in overdamped bistable oscillators are given. These results are founded not on the model of two states as in [McNamara B, Wiesenfeld K. Theory of stochastic resonance. Phys Rev A 1989;39:4854-69], but on splitting of motion into regular and random and the rigorous solution of the Fokker-Planck equation for the random component. We show that this resonance is caused by a change, under the influence of noise, of the system's effective stiffness and damping factor contained in the equation for the regular component. For a certain value of the noise intensity the effective stiffness is minimal, and this fact causes non-monotonic change of the output signal amplitude as the noise intensity changes. It is important that the location of the minimum and its value depend essentially on the signal frequency. Y1 - 2006 UR - http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/09600779 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2005.08.116 SN - 0960-0779 VL - 30 IS - 3 SP - 574 EP - 578 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Senthilkumar, Dharmapuri Vijayan A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Characteristics and synchronization of time-delay systems driven by a common noise N2 - We investigate the characteristics of time-delay systems in the presence of Gaussian noise. We show that the delay time embedded in the time series of time-delay system with constant delay cannot be estimated in the presence noise for appropriate values of noise intensity thereby forbidding any possibility of phase space reconstruction. We also demonstrate the existence of complete synchronization between two independent identical time-delay systems driven by a common noise without explicitly establishing any external coupling between them. Y1 - 2010 UR - http://www.springerlink.com/content/1951-6355 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1140/epjst/e2010-01273-4 SN - 1951-6355 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Chen, Jin-Long A1 - Shiau, Yuo-Hsien A1 - Tseng, Yin-Jiun A1 - Chiu, Hung-Wen A1 - Hsiao, Tzu-Chien A1 - Wessel, Niels A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Chu, Woei-Chyn T1 - Concurrent sympathetic activation and vagal withdrawal in hyperthyroidism : evidence from detrended fluctuation analysis of heart rate variability N2 - Despite many previous Studies on the association between hyperthyroidism and the hyperadrenergic state, controversies still exist. Detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) is a well recognized method in the nonlinear analysis of heart rate variability (HRV), and it has physiological significance related to the autonomic nervous system. In particular, an increased short-term scaling exponent alpha 1 calculated from DFA is associated with both increased sympathetic activity and decreased vagal activity. No study has investigated the DFA of HRV in hyperthyroidism. This study was designed to assess the sympathovagal balance in hyperthyroidism. We performed the DFA along with the linear analysis of HRV in 36 hyperthyroid Graves' disease patients (32 females and 4 males; age 30 +/- 1 years, means +/- SE) and 36 normal controls matched by sex, age and body mass index. Compared with the normal controls, the hyperthyroid patients revealed a significant increase (P < 0.001) in alpha 1 (hyperthyroid 1.28 +/- 0.04 versus control 0.91 +/- 0.02), long-term scaling exponent alpha 2 (1.05 +/- 0.02 versus 0.90 +/- 0.01), overall scaling exponent alpha (1.11 +/- 0.02 versus 0.89 +/- 0.01), low frequency power in normalized units (LF%) and the ratio of low frequency power to high frequency power (LF/HF); and a significant decrease (P < 0.001) in the standard deviation of the R-R intervals (SDNN) and high frequency power (HF). In conclusion, hyperthyroidism is characterized by concurrent sympathetic activation and vagal withdrawal. This sympathovagal imbalance state in hyperthyroidism helps to explain the higher prevalence of atrial fibrillation and exercise intolerance among hyperthyroid patients. Y1 - 2010 UR - http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/03784371 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2009.12.062 SN - 0378-4371 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Sun, Xiaojuan A1 - Lu, Qishao A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Wang, Qingyun T1 - Spatiotemporal coherence resonance in a map lattice N2 - We study the effects of parametric noise on a lattice network, which is locally modeled by a two-dimensional Rulkov map. We conclude that at some intermediate noise intensity, parametric noise can induce ordered circular patterns, which indicates the appearance of spatiotemporal coherence resonance in the studied lattice. With the observation of coherence-like manner in linear spatial cross-correlation, the coherence phenomena can be analyzed quantitatively. Y1 - 2009 UR - http://www.worldscinet.com/ijbc/ijbc.shtml U6 - https://doi.org/10.1142/S021812740902310X SN - 0218-1274 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rusconi, Marco A1 - Valleriani, Angelo A1 - Dunlop, John William Chapman A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Weinkamer, Richard T1 - Insights into the control of trabecular bone remodelling obtained by a Markov model Y1 - 2009 UR - http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/87563282 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.bone.2009.03.467 SN - 8756-3282 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Pereira, Tiago A1 - Baptista, Murilo da Silva A1 - Reyes, Marcelo B. A1 - Caldas, Ibere Luiz A1 - Sartorelli, José Carlos A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - A scenario for torus T-2 destruction via a global bifurcation N2 - We show a scenario of a two-frequeney torus breakdown, in which a global bifurcation occurs due to the collision of a quasi-periodic torus T-2 with saddle points, creating a heteroclinic saddle connection. We analyze the geometry of this torus-saddle collision by showing the local dynamics and the invariant manifolds (global dynamics) of the saddle points. Moreover, we present detailed evidences of a heteroclinic saddle-focus orbit responsible for the type- if intermittency induced by this global bifurcation. We also characterize this transition to chaos by measuring the Lyapunov exponents and the scaling laws. Y1 - 2009 UR - http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/09600779 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2007.06.115 SN - 0960-0779 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Li, Ping A1 - Chen, Maoyin A1 - Wu, Ye A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Matrix-measure criterion for synchronization in coupled-map networks N2 - We present conditions for the local and global synchronizations in coupled-map networks using the matrix measure approach. In contrast to many existing synchronization conditions, the proposed synchronization criteria do not depend on the solution of the synchronous state and give less limitation on the network connections. Numerical simulations of the coupled quadratic maps demonstrate the potentials of our main results. Y1 - 2009 UR - http://pre.aps.org/ U6 - https://doi.org/10.1103/Physreve.79.067102 SN - 1539-3755 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Koseska, Aneta A1 - Volkov, Evgenij A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Detuning-dependent dominance of oscillation death in globally coupled synthetic genetic oscillators N2 - We study dynamical regimes of globally coupled genetic relaxation oscillators in the presence of small detuning. Using bifurcation analysis, we find that under strong coupling via the slow variable, the detuning can eliminate standard oscillatory solutions in a large region of the parameter space, providing the dominance of oscillation death. This result is substantially different from previous results on oscillation quenching, where for homogeneous populations, the coexistence of oscillation death and limit cycle oscillations is always present. We propose further that this effect of detuning-dependent dominance could be a powerful regulator of genetic network's dynamics. Y1 - 2009 UR - http://iopscience.iop.org/0295-5075/ U6 - https://doi.org/10.1209/0295-5075/85/28002 SN - 0295-5075 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Donges, Jonathan A1 - Zou, Yong A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Complex networks in climate dynamics : comparing linear and nonlinear network construction methods N2 - Complex network theory provides a powerful framework to statistically investigate the topology of local and non- local statistical interrelationships, i.e. teleconnections, in the climate system. Climate networks constructed from the same global climatological data set using the linear Pearson correlation coefficient or the nonlinear mutual information as a measure of dynamical similarity between regions, are compared systematically on local, mesoscopic and global topological scales. A high degree of similarity is observed on the local and mesoscopic topological scales for surface air temperature fields taken from AOGCM and reanalysis data sets. We find larger differences on the global scale, particularly in the betweenness centrality field. The global scale view on climate networks obtained using mutual information offers promising new perspectives for detecting network structures based on nonlinear physical processes in the climate system. Y1 - 2009 UR - http://www.springerlink.com/content/1951-6355 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1140/epjst/e2009-01098-2 SN - 1951-6355 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Suresh, R. A1 - Senthilkumar, Dharmapuri Vijayan A1 - Lakshmanan, Muthusamy A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Global phase synchronization in an array of time-delay systems N2 - We report the identification of global phase synchronization (GPS) in a linear array of unidirectionally coupled Mackey-Glass time-delay systems exhibiting highly non-phase-coherent chaotic attractors with complex topological structure. In particular, we show that the dynamical organization of all the coupled time-delay systems in the array to form GPS is achieved by sequential synchronization as a function of the coupling strength. Further, the asynchronous ones in the array with respect to the main sequentially synchronized cluster organize themselves to form clusters before they achieve synchronization with the main cluster. We have confirmed these results by estimating instantaneous phases including phase difference, average phase, average frequency, frequency ratio, and their differences from suitably transformed phase coherent attractors after using a nonlinear transformation of the original non-phase-coherent attractors. The results are further corroborated using two other independent approaches based on recurrence analysis and the concept of localized sets from the original non-phase-coherent attractors directly without explicitly introducing the measure of phase. Y1 - 2010 UR - http://pre.aps.org/ U6 - https://doi.org/10.1103/Physreve.82.016215 SN - 1539-3755 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zakharova, Anna A1 - Vadivasova, Tatjana A1 - Anishchenko, Vadim S. A1 - Koseska, Aneta A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Stochastic bifurcations and coherencelike resonance in a self-sustained bistable noisy oscillator N2 - We investigate the influence of additive Gaussian white noise on two different bistable self-sustained oscillators: Duffing-Van der Pol oscillator with hard excitation and a model of a synthetic genetic oscillator. In the deterministic case, both oscillators are characterized with a coexistence of a stable limit cycle and a stable equilibrium state. We find that under the influence of noise, their dynamics can be well characterized through the concept of stochastic bifurcation, consisting in a qualitative change of the stationary amplitude distribution. For the Duffing-Van der Pol oscillator analytical results, obtained for a quasiharmonic approach, are compared with the result of direct computer simulations. In particular, we show that the dynamics is different for isochronous and anisochronous systems. Moreover, we find that the increase of noise intensity in the isochronous regime leads to a narrowing of the spectral line. This effect is similar to coherence resonance. However, in the case of anisochronous systems, this effect breaks down and a new phenomenon, anisochronous-based stochastic bifurcation occurs. Y1 - 2010 UR - http://pre.aps.org/ U6 - https://doi.org/10.1103/Physreve.81.011106 SN - 1539-3755 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wu, Ye Wu A1 - Zhou, Changsong A1 - Xiao, Jinghua A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim T1 - Evidence for a bimodal distribution in human communication N2 - Interacting human activities underlie the patterns of many social, technological, and economic phenomena. Here we present clear empirical evidence from Short Message correspondence that observed human actions are the result of the interplay of three basic ingredients: Poisson initiation of tasks and decision making for task execution in individual humans as well as interaction among individuals. This interplay leads to new types of interevent time distribution, neither completely Poisson nor power-law, but a bimodal combination of them. We show that the events can be separated into independent bursts which are generated by frequent mutual interactions in short times following random initiations of communications in longer times by the individuals. We introduce a minimal model of two interacting priority queues incorporating the three basic ingredients which fits well the distributions using the parameters extracted from the empirical data. The model can also embrace a range of realistic social interacting systems such as e-mail and letter communications when taking the time scale of processing into account. Our findings provide insight into various human activities both at the individual and network level. Our analysis and modeling of bimodal activity in human communication from the viewpoint of the interplay between processes of different time scales is likely to shed light on bimodal phenomena in other complex systems, such as interevent times in earthquakes, rainfall, forest fire, and economic systems, etc. Y1 - 2010 UR - http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/03784371 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1013140107 SN - 0027-8424 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Gozolchiani, Avi A1 - Moshel, Shay A1 - Hausdorff, Jeffrey M. A1 - Simon, Ely A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Havlin, Shlomo T1 - Decaying of phase synchronization in parkinsonian tremor N2 - We describe effects of the asymmetry of cycles and non-stationarity in time series on the phase synchronization method which may lead to artifacts. We develop a modified method that overcomes these effects and apply it to study parkinsonian tremor. Our results indicate that there is synchronization between two different hands and provide information about the time delay separating their dynamics. These findings suggest that this method may be useful for detecting and quantifying weak synchronization between two non-stationary signals. Y1 - 2006 UR - http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/03784371 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2005.10.033 SN - 0378-4371 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Baptista, Murilo da Silva A1 - Zhou, Changsong A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Information transmission in phase synchronous chaotic arrays N2 - We show many versatile phase synchronous configurations that emerge in an array of coupled chaotic elements due to the presence of a periodic stimulus. Then, we explain the relevance of these configurations to the understanding of how information about such a. stimulus is transmitted from one side to the other in this array. The stimulus actively creates the ways to be transmitted, by making the chaotic elements to phase synchronize Y1 - 2006 UR - http://iopscience.iop.org/0256-307X/ U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/0256-307X/23/3/010 SN - 0256-307X ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Komalapriya, Chandrasekaran A1 - Romano Blasco, Maria Carmen A1 - Thiel, Marco A1 - Schwarz, Udo A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Simonotto, Jennifer A1 - Furman, Michael A1 - Ditto, William L. A1 - Carney, Paul R. T1 - Analysis of high-resulution microelectrode EEG recordings in an animal model of spontaneous limbic seizures Y1 - 2009 UR - http://www.worldscinet.com/ijbc/ijbc.shtml U6 - https://doi.org/10.1142/S0218127409023226 SN - 0218-1274 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Chen, Maoyin A1 - Shang, Yun A1 - Zhou, Changsong A1 - Wu, Ye A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Enhanced synchronizability in scale-free networks N2 - We introduce a modified dynamical optimization coupling scheme to enhance the synchronizability in the scale- free networks as well as to keep uniform and converging intensities during the transition to synchronization. Further, the size of networks that can be synchronizable exceeds by several orders of magnitude the size of unweighted networks. Y1 - 2009 UR - http://chaos.aip.org/ U6 - https://doi.org/10.1063/1.3062864 SN - 1054-1500 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Pereira, Tiago A1 - Baptista, Murilo da Silva A1 - Reyes, Marcelo Bussotti A1 - Caldas, Ibere Luiz A1 - Sartorelli, José Carlos A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Global bifurcation destroying the experimental torus T-2 N2 - We show experimentally the scenario of a two-frequency torus T-2 breakdown, in which a global bifurcation occurs due to the collision of a torus with an unstable periodic orbit, creating a heteroclinic saddle connection, followed by an intermittent behavior Y1 - 2006 UR - http://pre.aps.org/ U6 - https://doi.org/10.1103/Physreve.73.017201 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Scheffczyk, Christian A1 - Engbert, Ralf A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Krampe, Ralf-Thomas A1 - Kliegl, Reinhold T1 - Nonlinear Phenomena in Polyrhythmic Hand Movements N2 - In this paper we apply symbolic transformations as a visualisation technique for analysing rhythm production. It is shown that qualitative information can be extracted from the experimental data. This approach may provide new insights into the organisation of temporal order by the brain on different levels of description. A simple phenomenological model for the explanation of the observed phenomena is proposed. Y1 - 1995 SN - 981-02-2689-6 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Scheffczyk, Christian A1 - Engbert, Ralf A1 - Krampe, Ralf-Thomas A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Rosenblum, Michael A1 - Zaikin, Alexei A. T1 - Nonlinear Modelling of Polyrhythmic Hand Movements Y1 - 1996 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Osipov, Grigory V. A1 - Rosenblum, Michael A1 - Pikovskij, Arkadij A1 - Zaks, Michael A. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Attractor-repeller collision and eyelet intermittency at the transition to phase synchronization N2 - The chaotically driven circle map is considered as the simplest model ofphase synchronization of a chaotic continuous-time oscillator by external periodic force. The phase dynamics is analyzed via phase-locking regions of the periodic cycles embedded in the strange attractor. It is shown that full synchronization, where all the periodic cycles are phase locked, disappears via the attractor-repeller collision. Beyond the transition an intermittent regime with exponentially rare phase slips, resulting from the trajectory's hits on an eyelet, is observed. Y1 - 1997 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Gowin, W. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Saparin, Peter A1 - Felsenberg, D. T1 - Measures of complexity and processing of vertebral CT-images Y1 - 1997 SN - 0-7803-4262-3 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Pikovskij, Arkadij A1 - Rosenblum, Michael A1 - Osipov, Grigory V. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Phase synchronization effects in a lattice of nonidentical Rössler oscillators Y1 - 1997 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rosenblum, Michael A1 - Osipov, Grigory V. A1 - Pikovskij, Arkadij A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Phase synchronization of chaotic oscillators by external driving Y1 - 1997 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Feudel, Ulrike A1 - Jansen, Wolfgang A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Schwarz, Udo A1 - Voss, Henning U. T1 - Solar variability : simple models and proxy data Y1 - 1997 SN - 4-274-90187-4 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zaikin, Alexei A. A1 - Rosenblum, Michael A1 - Scheffczyk, Christian A1 - Engbert, Ralf A1 - Krampe, Ralf-Thomas A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Modeling qualitative changes in bimanual movements Y1 - 1997 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schiek, Michael A1 - Scheffczyk, Christian A1 - Engbert, Ralf A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Krampe, Ralf-Thomas A1 - Kliegl, Reinhold A1 - Drepper, Friedhelm R. T1 - Symbolic dynamics of physiological synchronisation : examples from bimanual movements and cardiorespiratory interaction N2 - Key words: Nonlinear time series analysis, symbolic dynamics, phase transitions, physiological data, biological synchronization, production of polyrhythms, cardiorespiratory interaction, variation of control parameter Y1 - 1997 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Scheffczyk, Christian A1 - Krampe, Ralf-Thomas A1 - Engbert, Ralf A1 - Rosenblum, Michael A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Kliegl, Reinhold T1 - Tempo-induced transitions in polyrhythmic hand movements N2 - We investigate the cognitive control in polyrhythmic hand movements as a model paradigm for bimanual coordination. Using a symbolic coding of the recorded time series, we demonstrate the existence of qualitative transitions induced by experimental manipulation of the tempo. A nonlinear model with delayed feedback control is proposed, which accounts for these dynamical transitions in terms of bifurcations resulting from variation of the external control parameter. Furthermore, it is shown that transitions can also be observed due to fluctuations in the timing control level. We conclude that the complexity of coordinated bimanual movements results from interactions between nonlinear control mechanisms with delayed feedback and stochastic timing components. Y1 - 1997 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wessel, Niels A1 - Kleiner, H. J. A1 - Voss, Andreas A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Dietz, R. T1 - Nonlinear dynamics in cardiovasscular diseases Y1 - 1997 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zaks, Michael A. A1 - Rosenblum, Michael A1 - Pikovskij, Arkadij A1 - Osipov, Grigory V. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Phase synchronization of chaotic oscillations in terms of periodic orbits Y1 - 1997 SN - 1054-1500 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zaikin, Alexei A. A1 - Rosenblum, Michael A1 - Landa, Polina S. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Control of noise-induced oscillations of a pendulum with a rondomly vibrating suspension axis Y1 - 1997 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Saparin, Peter A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Gowin, P. A1 - Felsenberg, D. T1 - Die quantitative Beurteilung trabeculärer Knochenstrukturen der Lendenwirbelkörper durch Meßmethoden der nicht-linearen Dynamik Y1 - 1997 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rosenblum, Michael A1 - Pikovskij, Arkadij A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Phase synchronization in noisy and chaotic oscillators Y1 - 1997 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rosenblum, Michael A1 - Pikovskij, Arkadij A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Effect of phase synchronization in driven chaotic oscillators Y1 - 1997 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zaks, Michael A. A1 - Pikovskij, Arkadij A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - On the correlation dimension of the spectral measure for the Thue-Morse sequence Y1 - 1997 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Witt, Annette A1 - Neiman, Alexander A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Charakterizing the dynamics of stochastic bistable systems by measures of complexity Y1 - 1997 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Voss, Henning U. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Reconstruction of nonlinear time delay models from data by the use of optimal transformations Y1 - 1997 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rosenblum, Michael A1 - Pikovskij, Arkadij A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Phase synchronization in driven and coupled chaotic oscillators Y1 - 1997 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Pikovskij, Arkadij A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Coherence resonance in a noise-driven excitable system Y1 - 1997 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Spahn, Frank A1 - Schwarz, Udo A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Clustering of granular assemblies with temperature dependent restitution under Keplerian differential rotation Y1 - 1997 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Spahn, Frank A1 - Katzorke, Ines A1 - Petzschmann, Olaf A1 - Schwarz, Udo A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Cluster instabiliy of granular assemblies Y1 - 1997 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Pikovskij, Arkadij A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Coherence Resonance in a Noise-Driven Excitable System N2 - We study the dynamics of the excitable Fitz Hugh-Nagumo system under external noisy driving. Noise activates the system producing a sequence of pulses. The coherence of these noise-induced oscillations is shown to be maximal for a certain noise amplitude. This new effect of coherence resonance is explained by different noise dependencies of the activation and the excursion times. A simple one-dimensional model based on the Langevin dynamics is proposed for the quantitative description of this phenomenon. Y1 - 1997 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rosenblum, Michael A1 - Pikovskij, Arkadij A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - From Phase to Lag Synchronization in Coupled Chaotic Oscillators N2 - We study synchronization transitions in a system of two coupled self-sustained chaotic oscillators. We demonstrate that with the increase of coupling strength the system first undergoes the transition to phase synchronization. With a further increase of coupling, a new synchronous regime is observed, where the states of two oscillators are nearly identical, but one system lags in time to the other. We describe thisregime as a state with correlated amplitudes and a constant phase shift. These transitions are traced in the Lyapunov spectrum. Y1 - 1997 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ruzick, Oliver A1 - Scheffczyk, Christian A1 - Pikovskij, Arkadij A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Dynamics of chaos-order interface in coupled map lattices Y1 - 1997 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zaikin, Alexei A. A1 - Rosenblum, Michael A1 - Landa, Polina S. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - On-off itermittency phenomena in a pendulum with a randomly vibrating suspension axis Y1 - 1998 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Hnatkova, Katarina A1 - Vessel, N. A1 - Voss, Andreas A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Sander, A. A1 - Schirdewan, Alexander A1 - Camm, A. J. A1 - Malik, Marek T1 - Multiparametric analysis of heart rate variability used for risk stratification among survivors of acute myocardial infarction Y1 - 1998 SN - 0895-2795 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rosenblum, Michael A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Schäfer, Carsten A1 - Abel, Hans-Henning T1 - Heartbeat synchronized with ventilation Y1 - 1998 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Kim, G. G. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Kim, S. A1 - Cao, L. Y. T1 - Detecting determinism in human posture control data Y1 - 1998 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Kliem, Bernhard A1 - Schwarz, Udo A1 - Krüger, Albrecht A1 - Urpo, S. T1 - Multiresolution analysis of solar mm-wave bursts Y1 - 1998 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schwarz, Udo A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Spahn, Frank A1 - Petzschmann, Olaf T1 - Reply on the comment of "Clustering of granular assemblies with temperature dependent restitution and under differential rotation" Y1 - 1998 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Engbert, Ralf A1 - Hainzl, Sebastian A1 - Zöller, Gert A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Testing for unstable periodic orbits to characterize spatiotemporal dynamics Y1 - 1998 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Kliem, Bernhard A1 - Schwarz, Udo A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Dennis, Brian A1 - Schwartz, Richard A1 - Aschwanden, Markus J. T1 - Wavelet analysis of solar flare hard X-ray Y1 - 1998 SN - 0004-637x ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Tass, Peter A1 - Rosenblum, Michael A1 - Weule, J. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Pikovskij, Arkadij A1 - Volkmann, J. A1 - Schnitzler, A. A1 - Freund, H.-J. T1 - Detection of n:m phase locking from noisy data : application to magnetoencephalography N2 - We use the concept of phase synchronization for the analysis of noisy nonstationary bivariate data. Phase synchronization is understood in a statistical sense as an existence of preferred values of the phase difference, and two techniques are proposed for a reliable detection of synchronous epochs. These methods are applied to magnetoencephalograms and records of muscle activity of a Parkinsonian patient. We reveal that Y1 - 1998 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zaks, Michael A. A1 - Pikovskij, Arkadij A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Symbolic dynamics behind the singular continuous power spectra of continuous flows Y1 - 1998 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Witt, Annette A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Pikovskij, Arkadij T1 - Testing stationarity in time series Y1 - 1998 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Voss, Henning U. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Test for nonlinear dynamical behavior in symbol sequences Y1 - 1998 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rosenblum, Michael A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Pikovskij, Arkadij A1 - Schafer, C. A1 - Tass, Peter A1 - Abel, Hans-Henning T1 - Synchronization in Noisy Systems and Cardiorespiratory Interaction Y1 - 1998 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rosenblum, Michael A1 - Abel, Hans-Henning A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Schäfer, Carsten T1 - Synchronization in the human cardiorespiratory system Y1 - 1999 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Braun, Robert A1 - Feudel, Fred A1 - Gebogi, C. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Witt, Annette T1 - Tracer dynamics in a flow of driven vortices Y1 - 1999 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schwache, A. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Mitschke, F. A1 - Voss, Henning U. T1 - Equations of motion from chaotic data : a driven optical fiber ring resonator Y1 - 1999 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Kolodner, P. A1 - Abel, Markus A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Voss, Henning U. T1 - Amplitude equations from spatiotemporal binary-fluid convection data Y1 - 1999 UR - http://www.stat.physik.uni-potsdam.de/~markus/papers/PRL83-3422.pdf ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schwarz, Udo A1 - Spahn, Frank A1 - Grebogi, Celso A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Petzschmann, Olaf T1 - Length scales of clustering in granular gases Y1 - 1999 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Heuer, Axel A1 - Schultheiss, J. A1 - Hodgson, N. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Menzel, Ralf A1 - Raab, Volker T1 - Transverse effects in phase conjugate laser mirrors based on stimulated brillouin scattering Y1 - 1999 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Park, Eun Hyoung A1 - Rosenblum, Michael A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Zaks, Michael A. T1 - Alternating locking ratios in imperfect phase synchronization Y1 - 1999 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zaikin, Alexei A. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Modeling Cognitive Control in Simple Movements Y1 - 1999 SN - 1-563-96863-0 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Pikovskij, Arkadij A1 - Rosenblum, Michael A1 - Zaks, Michael A. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Phase synchronization of regular and chaotic oscillators Y1 - 1999 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Seehafer, Norbert A1 - Spahn, Frank T1 - Nichtlineare Dynamik in der Physik : Forschungsbeispiele und Forschungstrends Y1 - 1999 UR - http://www.phil.uni-augsburg.de/dgksnd SN - 3-540-65329- 5 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ziehmann, Christine A1 - Smith, L. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - The bootstrap and lyapunov exponents in deterministic chaos Y1 - 1999 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Voss, Henning U. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Reconstruction of nonlinear time-delayed feedback models from optical data Y1 - 1999 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Park, Eun Hyoung A1 - Zaks, Michael A. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Phase synchronization in the forced lorenz system Y1 - 1999 ER -