TY - JOUR A1 - Zöller, Gert A1 - Holschneider, Matthias T1 - The Maximum Possible and the Maximum Expected Earthquake Magnitude for Production-Induced Earthquakes at the Gas Field in Groningen, The Netherlands JF - Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America N2 - The Groningen gas field serves as a natural laboratory for production-induced earthquakes, because no earthquakes were observed before the beginning of gas production. Increasing gas production rates resulted in growing earthquake activity and eventually in the occurrence of the 2012M(w) 3.6 Huizinge earthquake. At least since this event, a detailed seismic hazard and risk assessment including estimation of the maximum earthquake magnitude is considered to be necessary to decide on the future gas production. In this short note, we first apply state-of-the-art methods of mathematical statistics to derive confidence intervals for the maximum possible earthquake magnitude m(max). Second, we calculate the maximum expected magnitude M-T in the time between 2016 and 2024 for three assumed gas-production scenarios. Using broadly accepted physical assumptions and 90% confidence level, we suggest a value of m(max) 4.4, whereas M-T varies between 3.9 and 4.3, depending on the production scenario. Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1785/0120160220 SN - 0037-1106 SN - 1943-3573 VL - 106 SP - 2917 EP - 2921 PB - Seismological Society of America CY - Albany ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zöller, Gert A1 - Holschneider, Matthias T1 - The Earthquake History in a Fault Zone Tells Us Almost Nothing about m(max) JF - Seismological research letters N2 - In the present study, we summarize and evaluate the endeavors from recent years to estimate the maximum possible earthquake magnitude m(max) from observed data. In particular, we use basic and physically motivated assumptions to identify best cases and worst cases in terms of lowest and highest degree of uncertainty of m(max). In a general framework, we demonstrate that earthquake data and earthquake proxy data recorded in a fault zone provide almost no information about m(max) unless reliable and homogeneous data of a long time interval, including several earthquakes with magnitude close to m(max), are available. Even if detailed earthquake information from some centuries including historic and paleoearthquakes are given, only very few, namely the largest events, will contribute at all to the estimation of m(max), and this results in unacceptably high uncertainties. As a consequence, estimators of m(max) in a fault zone, which are based solely on earthquake-related information from this region, have to be dismissed. Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1785/0220150176 SN - 0895-0695 SN - 1938-2057 VL - 87 SP - 132 EP - 137 PB - Seismological Society of America CY - Albany ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wichitsa-Nguan, Korakot A1 - Läuter, Henning A1 - Liero, Hannelore T1 - Estimability in Cox models JF - Statistical Papers N2 - Our procedure of estimating is the maximum partial likelihood estimate (MPLE) which is the appropriate estimate in the Cox model with a general censoring distribution, covariates and an unknown baseline hazard rate . We find conditions for estimability and asymptotic estimability. The asymptotic variance matrix of the MPLE is represented and properties are discussed. KW - Cox model KW - Estimability KW - Asymptotic variance of maximum partial likelihood estimate Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s00362-016-0755-x SN - 0932-5026 SN - 1613-9798 VL - 57 SP - 1121 EP - 1140 PB - Springer CY - New York ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Tinpun, Kittisak A1 - Koppitz, Jörg T1 - Generating sets of infinite full transformation semigroups with restricted range JF - Acta scientiarum mathematicarum N2 - In the present paper, we consider minimal generating sets of infinite full transformation semigroups with restricted range modulo specific subsets. In particular, we determine relative ranks. KW - generating sets KW - transformation semigroups KW - restricted range KW - relative ranks Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.14232/actasm-015-502-4 SN - 0001-6969 VL - 82 SP - 55 EP - 63 PB - Institutum Bolyaianum Universitatis Szegediensis CY - Szeged ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Tarkhanov, Nikolai Nikolaevich T1 - Deformation quantization and boundary value problems JF - International journal of geometric methods in modern physics : differential geometery, algebraic geometery, global analysis & topology N2 - We describe a natural construction of deformation quantization on a compact symplectic manifold with boundary. On the algebra of quantum observables a trace functional is defined which as usual annihilates the commutators. This gives rise to an index as the trace of the unity element. We formulate the index theorem as a conjecture and examine it by the classical harmonic oscillator. KW - Symplectic manifold KW - star product KW - trace KW - index Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1142/S0219887816500079 SN - 0219-8878 SN - 1793-6977 VL - 13 SP - 176 EP - 195 PB - World Scientific CY - Singapore ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Stolle, Claudia A1 - Michaelis, Ingo A1 - Rauberg, Jan T1 - The role of high-resolution geomagnetic field models for investigating ionospheric currents at low Earth orbit satellites JF - Earth, planets and space N2 - Low Earth orbiting geomagnetic satellite missions, such as the Swarm satellite mission, are the only means to monitor and investigate ionospheric currents on a global scale and to make in situ measurements of F region currents. High-precision geomagnetic satellite missions are also able to detect ionospheric currents during quiet-time geomagnetic conditions that only have few nanotesla amplitudes in the magnetic field. An efficient method to isolate the ionospheric signals from satellite magnetic field measurements has been the use of residuals between the observations and predictions from empirical geomagnetic models for other geomagnetic sources, such as the core and lithospheric field or signals from the quiet-time magnetospheric currents. This study aims at highlighting the importance of high-resolution magnetic field models that are able to predict the lithospheric field and that consider the quiet-time magnetosphere for reliably isolating signatures from ionospheric currents during geomagnetically quiet times. The effects on the detection of ionospheric currents arising from neglecting the lithospheric and magnetospheric sources are discussed on the example of four Swarm orbits during very quiet times. The respective orbits show a broad range of typical scenarios, such as strong and weak ionospheric signal (during day- and nighttime, respectively) superimposed over strong and weak lithospheric signals. If predictions from the lithosphere or magnetosphere are not properly considered, the amplitude of the ionospheric currents, such as the midlatitude Sq currents or the equatorial electrojet (EEJ), is modulated by 10-15 % in the examples shown. An analysis from several orbits above the African sector, where the lithospheric field is significant, showed that the peak value of the signatures of the EEJ is in error by 5 % in average when lithospheric contributions are not considered, which is in the range of uncertainties of present empirical models of the EEJ. KW - Geomagnetic field KW - Ionospheric current KW - Geomagnetic models Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1186/s40623-016-0494-1 SN - 1880-5981 VL - 68 PB - Springer CY - Heidelberg ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Sinclair, Nathalie A1 - Bussi, Maria G. Bartolini A1 - de Villiers, Michael A1 - Jones, Keith A1 - Kortenkamp, Ulrich A1 - Leung, Allen A1 - Owens, Kay T1 - Recent research on geometry education: an ICME-13 survey team report JF - ZDM : The International Journal on Mathematics Education N2 - This survey on the theme of Geometry Education (including new technologies) focuses chiefly on the time span since 2008. Based on our review of the research literature published during this time span (in refereed journal articles, conference proceedings and edited books), we have jointly identified seven major threads of contributions that span from the early years of learning (pre-school and primary school) through to post-compulsory education and to the issue of mathematics teacher education for geometry. These threads are as follows: developments and trends in the use of theories; advances in the understanding of visuo spatial reasoning; the use and role of diagrams and gestures; advances in the understanding of the role of digital technologies; advances in the understanding of the teaching and learning of definitions; advances in the understanding of the teaching and learning of the proving process; and, moving beyond traditional Euclidean approaches. Within each theme, we identify relevant research and also offer commentary on future directions. KW - Geometry KW - Technology KW - Diagrams KW - Definitions KW - Gestures KW - Proving KW - Digital technology KW - Visuospatial reasoning Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s11858-016-0796-6 SN - 1863-9690 SN - 1863-9704 VL - 48 SP - 691 EP - 719 PB - Springer CY - Heidelberg ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Shtrakov, Slavcho A1 - Koppitz, Jörg T1 - Stable varieties of semigroups and groupoids JF - Algebra universalis N2 - The paper deals with Sigma-composition and Sigma-essential composition of terms which lead to stable and s-stable varieties of algebras. A full description of all stable varieties of semigroups, commutative and idempotent groupoids is obtained. We use an abstract reduction system which simplifies the presentations of terms of type tau - (2) to study the variety of idempotent groupoids and s-stable varieties of groupoids. S-stable varieties are a variation of stable varieties, used to highlight replacement of subterms of a term in a deductive system instead of the usual replacement of variables by terms. KW - composition of terms KW - essential position in terms KW - stable variety Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s00012-015-0359-7 SN - 0002-5240 SN - 1420-8911 VL - 75 SP - 85 EP - 106 PB - Springer CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schroeter, M-A A1 - Ritter, M. A1 - Holschneider, Matthias A1 - Sturm, H. T1 - Enhanced DySEM imaging of cantilever motion using artificial structures patterned by focused ion beam techniques JF - Journal of micromechanics and microengineering N2 - We use a dynamic scanning electron microscope (DySEM) to map the spatial distribution of the vibration of a cantilever beam. The DySEM measurements are based on variations of the local secondary electron signal within the imaging electron beam diameter during an oscillation period of the cantilever. For this reason, the surface of a cantilever without topography or material variation does not allow any conclusions about the spatial distribution of vibration due to a lack of dynamic contrast. In order to overcome this limitation, artificial structures were added at defined positions on the cantilever surface using focused ion beam lithography patterning. The DySEM signal of such high-contrast structures is strongly improved, hence information about the surface vibration becomes accessible. Simulations of images of the vibrating cantilever have also been performed. The results of the simulation are in good agreement with the experimental images. KW - FIB patterning KW - structured cantilever KW - AFM KW - modal analysis KW - DySEM Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/0960-1317/26/3/035010 SN - 0960-1317 SN - 1361-6439 VL - 26 PB - IOP Publ. Ltd. CY - Bristol ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Pornsawad, Pornsarp A1 - Böckmann, Christine T1 - Modified Iterative Runge-Kutta-Type Methods for Nonlinear Ill-Posed Problems JF - Numerical functional analysis and optimization : an international journal of rapid publication N2 - This work is devoted to the convergence analysis of a modified Runge-Kutta-type iterative regularization method for solving nonlinear ill-posed problems under a priori and a posteriori stopping rules. The convergence rate results of the proposed method can be obtained under a Holder-type sourcewise condition if the Frechet derivative is properly scaled and locally Lipschitz continuous. Numerical results are achieved by using the Levenberg-Marquardt, Lobatto, and Radau methods. KW - Nonlinear ill-posed problems KW - Runge-Kutta methods KW - regularization methods KW - Holder-type source condition KW - stopping rules Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1080/01630563.2016.1219744 SN - 0163-0563 SN - 1532-2467 VL - 37 SP - 1562 EP - 1589 PB - Wiley-VCH CY - Philadelphia ER -