TY - JOUR A1 - Eibl, Eva P. S. A1 - Müller, Daniel A1 - Walter, Thomas R. A1 - Allahbakhshi, Masoud A1 - Jousset, Philippe A1 - Hersir, Gylfi Páll A1 - Dahm, Torsten T1 - Eruptive cycle and bubble trap of Strokkur Geyser, Iceland JF - Journal of geophysical research : JGR. B: Solid earth N2 - The eruption frequency of geysers can be studied easily on the surface. However, details of the internal structure including possible water and gas filled chambers feeding eruptions and the driving mechanisms often remain elusive. We used a multidisciplinary network of seismometers, video cameras, water pressure sensors and one tiltmeter to study the eruptive cycle, internal structure, and mechanisms driving the eruptive cycle of Strokkur geyser in June 2018. An eruptive cycle at Strokkur always consists of four phases: (1) Eruption, (2) post-eruptive conduit refilling, (3) gas filling of the bubble trap, and (4) regular bubble collapse at shallow depth in the conduit. For a typical single eruption 19 +/- 4 bubble collapses occur in Phase 3 and 8 +/- 2 collapses in Phase 4 at a mean spacing of 1.52 +/- 0.29 and 24.5 +/- 5.9 s, respectively. These collapses release latent heat to the fluid in the bubble trap (Phase 3) and later to the fluid in the conduit (Phase 4). The latter eventually reaches thermodynamic conditions for an eruption. Single to sextuple eruptions have similar spacings between bubble collapses and are likely fed from the same bubble trap at 23.7 +/- 4.4 m depth, 13-23 m west of the conduit. However, the duration of the eruption and recharging phase linearly increases likely due to a larger water, gas and heat loss from the system. Our tremor data provides documented evidence for a bubble trap beneath a pool geyser. KW - bubble trap KW - eruptive cycle KW - geyser KW - hydrothermal systems KW - source KW - location KW - tremor Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2020JB020769 SN - 2169-9313 SN - 2169-9356 VL - 126 IS - 4 PB - Wiley CY - Hoboken, NJ ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Sudibyo, Maria R. P. A1 - Eibl, Eva P. S. A1 - Hainzl, Sebastian A1 - Hersir, Gylfi Páll T1 - Eruption Forecasting of Strokkur Geyser, Iceland, Using Permutation Entropy JF - Journal of geophysical research : Solid earth N2 - A volcanic eruption is usually preceded by seismic precursors, but their interpretation and use for forecasting the eruption onset time remain a challenge. A part of the eruptive processes in open conduits of volcanoes may be similar to those encountered in geysers. Since geysers erupt more often, they are useful sites for testing new forecasting methods. We tested the application of Permutation Entropy (PE) as a robust method to assess the complexity in seismic recordings of the Strokkur geyser, Iceland. Strokkur features several minute-long eruptive cycles, enabling us to verify in 63 recorded cycles whether PE behaves consistently from one eruption to the next one. We performed synthetic tests to understand the effect of different parameter settings in the PE calculation. Our application to Strokkur shows a distinct, repeating PE pattern consistent with previously identified phases in the eruptive cycle. We find a systematic increase in PE within the last 15 s before the eruption, indicating that an eruption will occur. We quantified the predictive power of PE, showing that PE performs better than seismic signal strength or quiescence when it comes to forecasting eruptions. KW - permutation entropy KW - forecasting KW - geyser KW - eruption KW - hydrothermal system; KW - volcano-seismology Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JB024840 SN - 2169-9313 SN - 2169-9356 VL - 127 IS - 10 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER -