TY - JOUR A1 - Strohe, Hans Gerhard T1 - A dynamical partial least sqares approach to macroeconometric modelling Y1 - 1996 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Strohe, Hans Gerhard T1 - A heuristic partial-least-squares approach to estimating dynamic path models JF - Classification, Data Analysis, and Data Highways T2 - Proceedings of the 21st Annual Conference of the Gesellschaft für Klassifikation e.V., University of Potsdam, March 12-14, 1997 Y1 - 1998 SN - 3-540-63909-8 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-642-72087-1 PB - Springer CY - Berlin, Heidelberg ER - TY - BOOK A1 - Nastansky, Andreas A1 - Mehnert, Alexander A1 - Strohe, Hans Gerhard T1 - A vector error correction model for the relationship between public debt and inflation in Germany N2 - In the paper, the interaction between public debt and inflation including mutual impulse response will be analysed. The European sovereign debt crisis brought once again the focus on the consequences of public debt in combination with an expansive monetary policy for the development of consumer prices. Public deficits can lead to inflation if the money supply is expansive. The high level of national debt, not only in the Euro-crisis countries, and the strong increase in total assets of the European Central Bank, as a result of the unconventional monetary policy, caused fears on inflating national debt. The transmission from public debt to inflation through money supply and long-term interest rate will be shown in the paper. Based on these theoretical thoughts, the variables public debt, consumer price index, money supply m3 and long-term interest rate will be analysed within a vector error correction model estimated by Johansen approach. In the empirical part of the article, quarterly data for Germany from 1991 by 2010 are to be examined. T3 - Statistische Diskussionsbeiträge - 51 KW - Beveridge-Nelson Decomposition KW - Public Debt KW - Inflation KW - Money Supply KW - Vector Error Correction Model Y1 - 2014 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-50246 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rambert, Laurence A1 - Strohe, Hans Gerhard T1 - Analyse der Beschäftigungsentwicklung in brandenburgischen Betrieben anhand Paneldaten der amtlichen Statistik Y1 - 2001 ER - TY - BOOK A1 - Ruge, Marcus A1 - Strohe, Hans Gerhard T1 - Analyse von Erwartungen in der Volkswirtschaft mit Partial-Least-Squares-Modellen T1 - Analysis of expectations in the economy with Partial Least Squares Models N2 - Der statistische Diskussionbeitrag untersucht, ob und wie sich Erwartungen und Stimmungen in der Wirtschaft bilden bzw. von welchen volkswirtschaftlichen Größen sie abhängen. Als Methodik werden Partial Least Squares (PLS) Modelle genutzt, eine Modellklasse der Pfadanalyse mit latenten Variablen. Die verwendeten Daten wurden vom Ifo-Institut und aus der amtlichen Statistik entnommen. N2 - This paper analyses the development of sentiments and expectations in the German economy. The issue is how these expectatons are influenced by major macroeconomic variables like investments or unemployment. Several Partial Least Squares models (PLS) are used to estimate the relations. The data is derived from the German Ifo Institut and the official statistic. T3 - Statistische Diskussionsbeiträge - 29 KW - PLS KW - LISREL KW - Erwartungen KW - Ifo KW - Wirtschaft KW - expectations KW - PLS KW - economy KW - Germany Y1 - 2008 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-27010 ER - TY - BOOK A1 - Kunze, Karl-Kuno A1 - Strohe, Hans Gerhard T1 - Antipersistence in German stock returns N2 - Persistence of stock returns is an extensively studied and discussed theme in the analysis of financial markets. Antipersistence is usually attributed to volatilities. However, not only volatilities but also stock returns can exhibit antipersistence. Antipersistent noise has a somewhat rougher appearance than Gaussian noise. Heuristically spoken, price movements are more likely followed by movements in the opposite direction than in the same direction. The pertaining integrated process exhibits a smaller range – prices seem to stay in the vicinity of the initial value. We apply a widely used test based upon the modified R/S-Method by Lo [1991] to daily returns of 21 German stocks from 1960 to 2008. Combining this test with the concept of moving windows by Carbone et al. [2004], we are able to determine periods of antipersistence for some of the series under examination. Our results suggest that antipersistence can be found for stocks and periods where extraordinary corporate actions such as mergers & acquisitions or financial distress are present. These effects should be properly accounted for when choosing and designing models for inference. T3 - Statistische Diskussionsbeiträge - 39 KW - Antipersistence KW - capital and ownership structure KW - efficient market hypothesis KW - long memory KW - mergers and acquisitions KW - stock returns Y1 - 2010 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-45582 ER - TY - BOOK A1 - Kunze, Karl-Kuno A1 - Strohe, Hans Gerhard T1 - Antipersistence in German Stock Returns T3 - Statistische Diskussionsbeiträge Y1 - 2010 SN - 0949-068x VL - 39 PB - Univ. CY - Potsdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rambert, Laurence A1 - Strohe, Hans Gerhard T1 - Beschäftigungsentwicklung in der brandenburgischen Industrie anhand von Betriebs-Panel-Daten der regionalen Statistik Y1 - 2002 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Faber, Cathleen A1 - Strohe, Hans Gerhard T1 - Consumer prices in russia and transforming official statistics Y1 - 2000 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Strohe, Hans Gerhard A1 - Faber, Cathleen T1 - Core inflation in Russia : different approaches for the period from january 1997 to april 2003 Y1 - 2005 ER -