TY - JOUR A1 - Cecchini, Gloria A1 - Thiel, Marco A1 - Schelter, Björn A1 - Sommerlade, Linda T1 - Improving network inference BT - the impact of false positive and false negative conclusions about the presence or absence of links JF - Journal of neuroscience methods N2 - Background: A reliable inference of networks from data is of key interest in the Neurosciences. Several methods have been suggested in the literature to reliably determine links in a network. To decide about the presence of links, these techniques rely on statistical inference, typically controlling the number of false positives, paying little attention to false negatives. New method: In this paper, by means of a comprehensive simulation study, we analyse the influence of false positive and false negative conclusions about the presence or absence of links in a network on the network topology. We show that different values to balance false positive and false negative conclusions about links should be used in order to reliably estimate network characteristics. We propose to run careful simulation studies prior to making potentially erroneous conclusion about the network topology. Results: Our analysis shows that optimal values to balance false positive and false negative conclusions about links depend on the network topology and characteristic of interest. Comparison with existing methods: Existing methods rely on a choice of the rate for false positive conclusions. They aim to be sure about individual links rather than the entire network. The rate of false negative conclusions is typically not investigated. Conclusions: Our investigation shows that the balance of false positive and false negative conclusions about links in a network has to be tuned for any network topology that is to be estimated. Moreover, within the same network topology, the results are qualitatively the same for each network characteristic, but the actual values leading to reliable estimates of the characteristics are different. KW - Network inference KW - Node degree distribution KW - False positive KW - False negative KW - Statistical inference Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jneumeth.2018.06.011 SN - 0165-0270 SN - 1872-678X VL - 307 SP - 31 EP - 36 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Assmann, Birte A1 - Thiel, Marco A1 - Romano, Maria Carmen A1 - Niemitz, Carsten T1 - Recurrence plot analyses suggest a novel reference system involved in newborn spontaneous movements JF - Behavior research methods : a journal of the Psychonomic Society N2 - The movements of newborns have been thoroughly studied in terms of reflexes, muscle synergies, leg coordination, and target-directed arm/hand movements. Since these approaches have concentrated mainly on separate accomplishments, there has remained a clear need for more integrated investigations. Here, we report an inquiry in which we explicitly concentrated on taking such a perspective and, additionally, were guided by the methodological concept of home base behavior, which Ilan Golard developed for studies of exploratory behavior in animals. Methods from nonlinear dynamics, such as symbolic dynamics and recurrence plot analyses of kinematic data received from audiovisual newborn recordings, yielded new insights into the spatial and temporal organization of limb movements. In the framework of home base behavior, our approach uncovered a novel reference system of spontaneous newborn movements. Y1 - 2006 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3758/BF03192793 SN - 1554-351X SN - 1554-3528 VL - 38 IS - 3 SP - 400 EP - 406 PB - Springer CY - New York ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Romano, Maria Carmen A1 - Thiel, Marco A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Rolfs, Martin A1 - Engbert, Ralf A1 - Kliegl, Reinhold T1 - Synchronization Analysis and Recurrence in Complex Systems Y1 - 2006 SN - 978-3-527-40623-4 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Thiel, Marco A1 - Romano, Maria Carmen A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Rolfs, Martin A1 - Kliegl, Reinhold T1 - Twin surrogates to test for complex synchronisation N2 - We present an approach to generate (multivariate) twin surrogates (TS) based on recurrence properties. This technique generates surrogates which correspond to an independent copy of the underlying system, i.e. they induce a trajectory of the underlying system starting at different initial conditions. We show that these surrogates are well suited to test for complex synchronisation and exemplify this for the paradigmatic system of Rossler oscillators. The proposed test enables to assess the statistical relevance of a synchronisation analysis from passive experiments which are typical in natural systems Y1 - 2006 UR - http://www.mendeley.com/research/twin-surrogates-to-test-for-complex-synchronisation/#page-1 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1209/epl/i2006-10147-0 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Romano, Maria Carmen A1 - Thiel, Marco A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Mergenthaler, Konstantin A1 - Engbert, Ralf T1 - Hypothesis test for synchronization : twin surrogates revisited N2 - The method of twin surrogates has been introduced to test for phase synchronization of complex systems in the case of passive experiments. In this paper we derive new analytical expressions for the number of twins depending on the size of the neighborhood, as well as on the length of the trajectory. This allows us to determine the optimal parameters for the generation of twin surrogates. Furthermore, we determine the quality of the twin surrogates with respect to several linear and nonlinear statistics depending on the parameters of the method. In the second part of the paper we perform a hypothesis test for phase synchronization in the case of experimental data from fixational eye movements. These miniature eye movements have been shown to play a central role in neural information processing underlying the perception of static visual scenes. The high number of data sets (21 subjects and 30 trials per person) allows us to compare the generated twin surrogates with the "natural" surrogates that correspond to the different trials. We show that the generated twin surrogates reproduce very well all linear and nonlinear characteristics of the underlying experimental system. The synchronization analysis of fixational eye movements by means of twin surrogates reveals that the synchronization between the left and right eye is significant, indicating that either the centers in the brain stem generating fixational eye movements are closely linked, or, alternatively that there is only one center controlling both eyes. Y1 - 2009 UR - http://ojps.aip.org/chaos/ U6 - https://doi.org/10.1063/1.3072784 SN - 1054-1500 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Komalapriya, Chandrasekaran A1 - Romano Blasco, Maria Carmen A1 - Thiel, Marco A1 - Schwarz, Udo A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Simonotto, Jennifer A1 - Furman, Michael A1 - Ditto, William L. A1 - Carney, Paul R. T1 - Analysis of high-resulution microelectrode EEG recordings in an animal model of spontaneous limbic seizures Y1 - 2009 UR - http://www.worldscinet.com/ijbc/ijbc.shtml U6 - https://doi.org/10.1142/S0218127409023226 SN - 0218-1274 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Thiel, Marco A1 - Romano, Maria Carmen A1 - Schwarz, Udo A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Hasinger, Günther A1 - Belloni, Tomaso T1 - Nonlinear Time series analysis of the X-ray flux of compact objects N2 - We analyse the X-ray light curves of compact objects using linear and nonlinear time series analysis methods. A Power Density Spectrum (PDS) describes the overall second order properties of the observed data well. To look beyond we propose the nonlinear Q-statistic to detect an asymmetry of the time series. This allows us to find relevant time scales. This method even grants a subclassification of the known states of X-ray sources. Y1 - 2001 SN - 0004-640x ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Romano, Maria Carmen A1 - Thiel, Marco A1 - Schwarz, Udo A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Lange, Holger A1 - Hauhs, M. T1 - Conceptual model of runoff from a forested catchment N2 - We investigate the relationship between precipitation and runoff data from a small forested catchment in the Harz mountains (Germany). For this purpose, we develop a conceptual model including memory effects to predict the runoff signal using the precipitation data as input. An enhanced variant of the model also includes air temperature as input variable. We show in terms of correlation functions that this model describes main dynamical properties of the runoff, especially the delay between rain event and runoff response as the annual persistence in the runoff data. Y1 - 2001 UR - http://journals.worldscientific.com.sg/ijbc/11/1110/S0218127401003619.html ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Nowaczyk, Norbert R. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Thiel, Marco T1 - Cross recurrence plot based rescaling of geological time series N2 - The rescaling of geological data series to a geological reference time series is of major interest in many investigations. For example, geophysical borehole data should be correlated to a given data series whose time scale is known in order to achieve an age-depth function or the sedimentation rate for the borehole data. Usually this synchronization is performed visually and by hand. Instead of using this wiggle matching by eye, we present the application of cross recurrence plots for such tasks. Using this method, the synchronization and rescaling of geological data to a given time scale is much easier and faster than by hand. Y1 - 2001 SN - 1029-7006 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Thiel, Marco A1 - Nowaczyk, Norbert R. T1 - Cross recurrence plot based synchronization of time series N2 - The method of recurrence plots is extended to the cross recurrence plots (CRP), which among others enables the study of synchronization or time differences in two time series. This is emphasized in a distorted main diagonal in the cross recurrence plot, the line of synchronization (LOS). A non-parametrical fit of this LOS can be used to rescale the time axis of the two data series (whereby one of it is e.g. compressed or stretched) so that they are synchronized. An application of this method to geophysical sediment core data illustrates its suitability for real data. The rock magnetic data of two different sediment cores from the Makarov Basin can be adjusted to each other by using this method, so that they are comparable. Y1 - 2002 UR - http://arxiv.org/abs/physics/0201062 ER -