TY - JOUR A1 - Wang, Wei-shi A1 - Oswald, Sascha A1 - Gräff, Thomas A1 - Lensing, Hermann Josef A1 - Liu, Tie A1 - Strasser, Daniel A1 - Munz, Matthias T1 - Impact of river reconstruction on groundwater flow during bank filtration assessed by transient three-dimensional modelling of flow and heat transport JF - Hydrogeology journal : official journal of the International Association of Hydrogeologists N2 - Bank filtration (BF) is an established indirect water-treatment technology. The quality of water gained via BF depends on the subsurface capture zone, the mixing ratio (river water versus ambient groundwater), spatial and temporal distribution of subsurface travel times, and subsurface temperature patterns. Surface-water infiltration into the adjacent aquifer is determined by the local hydraulic gradient and riverbed permeability, which could be altered by natural clogging, scouring and artificial decolmation processes. The seasonal behaviour of a BF system in Germany, and its development during and about 6 months after decolmation (canal reconstruction), was observed with a long-term monitoring programme. To quantify the spatial and temporal variation in the BF system, a transient flow and heat transport model was implemented and two model scenarios, 'with' and 'without' canal reconstruction, were generated. Overall, the simulated water heads and temperatures matched those observed. Increased hydraulic connection between the canal and aquifer caused by the canal reconstruction led to an increase of similar to 23% in the already high share of BF water abstracted by the nearby waterworks. Subsurface travel-time distribution substantially shifted towards shorter travel times. Flow paths with travel times <200 days increased by similar to 10% and those with <300 days by 15%. Generally, the periodic temperature signal, and the summer and winter temperature extrema, increased and penetrated deeper into the aquifer. The joint hydrological and thermal effects caused by the canal reconstruction might increase the potential of biodegradable compounds to further penetrate into the aquifer, also by potentially affecting the redox zonation in the aquifer. KW - bank filtration KW - groundwater KW - surface-water relations KW - groundwater modelling Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s10040-019-02063-3 SN - 1431-2174 SN - 1435-0157 VL - 28 IS - 2 SP - 723 EP - 743 PB - Springer CY - Berlin ; Heidelberg [u.a.] ER - TY - CHAP A1 - Brendel, Nina ED - Chang, Chew-Hung ED - Kidman, Gillian ED - Wi, Andy T1 - (How) do students reflect on sustainability? BT - a model to diagnose and foster reflective thinking about sustainability T2 - Issues in Teaching and Learning of Education for Sustainability N2 - The ability to reflect is considered an essential element of Education for Sustainable Development (ESD) and a key competence for learners and educators in ESD (UNECE Strategy for ESD, 2012). In contrast to its high importance, little is known about how reflective thinking can be identified, influenced or increased in the classroom. Therefore, the objective of this study is to address this need by developing an empirical multi-stage model designed to help educators diagnose different levels of reflective thinking and to identify factors that influence students’ reflective thinking about sustainability. Based on a 4–8-week project with grade 10 and 11 students studying sustainability, reflective thinking performance using weblogs as reflective journals was analysed. In addition, qualitative semi-structured interviews were conducted with the teachers to comprehend the learning environment and the personal value they assigned to ESD in their geography class. To determine the levels of reflective thinking achieved by the students, the study built on the work of Dewey (1933) and pre-existing multi-stage models of reflective thinking (Bain, Ballantyne, & Packer, 1999; Chen, Wei, Wu, & Uden, 2009). Using a qualitative, iterative data analysis, the study adapted the stage models to be applicable in ESD and found great differences in the students’ reflection levels. Furthermore, the study identified eight factors that influence students’ reflective thinking about sustainability. The outcomes of this study may be valuable for educators in high school and higher education, who seek to diagnose their students’ reflective thinking performance and facilitate reflection about sustainability. Y1 - 2019 SN - 978-0-429-45043-3 U6 - https://doi.org/10.4324/9780429450433 SP - 117 EP - 126 PB - Routledge CY - Abingdon ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Veh, Georg A1 - Korup, Oliver A1 - Walz, Ariane T1 - Hazard from Himalayan glacier lake outburst floods JF - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America : PNAS N2 - Sustained glacier melt in the Himalayas has gradually spawned more than 5,000 glacier lakes that are dammed by potentially unstable moraines. When such dams break, glacier lake outburst floods (GLOFs) can cause catastrophic societal and geomorphic impacts. We present a robust probabilistic estimate of average GLOFs return periods in the Himalayan region, drawing on 5.4 billion simulations. We find that the 100-y outburst flood has an average volume of 33.5(+3.7)/(-3.7) x 10(6) m(3) (posterior mean and 95% highest density interval [HDI]) with a peak discharge of 15,600(+2.000)/(-1,800) m(3).S-1. Our estimated GLOF hazard is tied to the rate of historic lake outbursts and the number of present lakes, which both are highest in the Eastern Himalayas. There, the estimated 100-y GLOF discharge (similar to 14,500 m(3).s(-1)) is more than 3 times that of the adjacent Nyainqentanglha Mountains, and at least an order of magnitude higher than in the Hindu Kush, Karakoram, and Western Himalayas. The GLOF hazard may increase in these regions that currently have large glaciers, but few lakes, if future projected ice loss generates more unstable moraine-dammed lakes than we recognize today. Flood peaks from GLOFs mostly attenuate within Himalayan headwaters, but can rival monsoon-fed discharges in major rivers hundreds to thousands of kilometers downstream. Projections of future hazard from meteorological floods need to account for the extreme runoffs during lake outbursts, given the increasing trends in population, infrastructure, and hydropower projects in Himalayan headwaters. KW - atmospheric warming KW - meltwater lakes KW - GLOF KW - extreme-value statistics KW - Bayesian modeling Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1914898117 SN - 0027-8424 VL - 117 IS - 2 SP - 907 EP - 912 PB - National Academy of Sciences CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Bürger, Gerd T1 - A seamless filter for daily to seasonal forecasts, with applications to Iran and Brazil JF - Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society N2 - A digital filter is introduced which treats the problem of predictability versus time averaging in a continuous, seamless manner. This seamless filter (SF) is characterized by a unique smoothing rule that determines the strength of smoothing in dependence on lead time. The rule needs to be specified beforehand, either by expert knowledge or by user demand. As a result, skill curves are obtained that allow a predictability assessment across a whole range of time-scales, from daily to seasonal, in a uniform manner. The SF is applied to downscaled SEAS5 ensemble forecasts for two focus regions in or near the tropical belt, the river basins of the Karun in Iran and the Sao Francisco in Brazil. Both are characterized by strong seasonality and semi-aridity, so that predictability across various time-scales is in high demand. Among other things, it is found that from the start of the water year (autumn), areal precipitation is predictable with good skill for the Karun basin two and a half months ahead; for the Sao Francisco it is only one month, longer-term prediction skill is just above the critical level. KW - climate drift KW - ensemble prediction KW - seamless prediction KW - seasonal forecast skill Y1 - 2019 VL - 146 IS - 726 PB - WILEY-VCH CY - Weinheim ER - TY - GEN A1 - Bürger, Gerd T1 - A seamless filter for daily to seasonal forecasts, with applications to Iran and Brazil T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - A digital filter is introduced which treats the problem of predictability versus time averaging in a continuous, seamless manner. This seamless filter (SF) is characterized by a unique smoothing rule that determines the strength of smoothing in dependence on lead time. The rule needs to be specified beforehand, either by expert knowledge or by user demand. As a result, skill curves are obtained that allow a predictability assessment across a whole range of time-scales, from daily to seasonal, in a uniform manner. The SF is applied to downscaled SEAS5 ensemble forecasts for two focus regions in or near the tropical belt, the river basins of the Karun in Iran and the Sao Francisco in Brazil. Both are characterized by strong seasonality and semi-aridity, so that predictability across various time-scales is in high demand. Among other things, it is found that from the start of the water year (autumn), areal precipitation is predictable with good skill for the Karun basin two and a half months ahead; for the Sao Francisco it is only one month, longer-term prediction skill is just above the critical level. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 1214 KW - climate drift KW - ensemble prediction KW - seamless prediction KW - seasonal forecast skill Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-523835 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 726 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Foster, William J. A1 - Heindel, Katrin A1 - Richoz, Sylvain A1 - Gliwa, Jana A1 - Lehrmann, Daniel J. A1 - Baud, Aymon A1 - Kolar-Jurkovsek, Tea A1 - Aljinovic, Dunja A1 - Jurkovsek, Bogdan A1 - Korn, Dieter A1 - Martindale, Rowan C. A1 - Peckmann, Jörn T1 - Suppressed competitive exclusion enabled the proliferation of Permian/Triassic boundary microbialites JF - The Depositional Record : the open access journal of the International Association of Sedimentologists N2 - During the earliest Triassic microbial mats flourished in the photic zones of marginal seas, generating widespread microbialites. It has been suggested that anoxic conditions in shallow marine environments, linked to the end-Permian mass extinction, limited mat-inhibiting metazoans allowing for this microbialite expansion. The presence of a diverse suite of proxies indicating oxygenated shallow sea-water conditions (metazoan fossils, biomarkers and redox proxies) from microbialite successions have, however, challenged the inference of anoxic conditions. Here, the distribution and faunal composition of Griesbachian microbialites from China, Iran, Turkey, Armenia, Slovenia and Hungary are investigated to determine the factors that allowed microbialite-forming microbial mats to flourish following the end-Permian crisis. The results presented here show that Neotethyan microbial buildups record a unique faunal association due to the presence of keratose sponges, while the Palaeotethyan buildups have a higher proportion of molluscs and the foraminifera Earlandia. The distribution of the faunal components within the microbial fabrics suggests that, except for the keratose sponges and some microconchids, most of the metazoans were transported into the microbial framework via wave currents. The presence of both microbialites and metazoan associations were limited to oxygenated settings, suggesting that a factor other than anoxia resulted in a relaxation of ecological constraints following the mass extinction event. It is inferred that the end-Permian mass extinction event decreased the diversity and abundance of metazoans to the point of significantly reducing competition, allowing photosynthesis-based microbial mats to flourish in shallow water settings and resulting in the formation of widespread microbialites. KW - Competitive exclusion KW - Permian KW - Triassic KW - mass extinction KW - microbialites KW - palaeoecology Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/dep2.97 SN - 2055-4877 VL - 6 IS - 1 SP - 62 EP - 74 PB - Wiley CY - Hoboken ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Reinhard, Johanna E. A1 - Geissler, Katja A1 - Blaum, Niels T1 - Short-term responses of darkling beetles (Coleoptera:Tenebrionidae) to the effects of fire and grazing in savannah rangeland JF - Insect Conservation and Diversity N2 - Fire and grazing shape biodiversity in savannah landscapes. In land use management, knowing the effects of fire and grazing on biodiversity are important in order to ensure environmental sustainability. Beetles specifically are indicators of the biodiversity response to fire and grazing. A grazing exclusion and burning experiment in a split-plot design was used in order to investigate the interacting effects of fire and wildlife grazing on biomass, diversity, and species composition of darkling beetles (Coleoptera, Tenebrionidae) over time after fire. Darkling beetle species richness and diversity were responding in a three-way-interaction to fire, grazing, and time after fire, whereby biomass of darkling beetles remained unaffected and species compositional changes were attributed to seasonal changes of time only. Fire on ungrazed plots had a negative effect on species diversity and richness 2 weeks and 6 months post fire, whereas fire on grazed plots had no impact on species diversity and richness. Grazing only lowered species diversity and richness 6 months after fire treatments. Results suggest that grazing overrides the effects of fire and that the similar effects caused by fire and grazing are due to niche and assemblage simplification of the habitat. KW - Arid ecosystems KW - arid rangeland KW - beetles KW - herbivory KW - insect diversity KW - land use KW - management Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1111/icad.12324 SN - 1752-458X SN - 1752-4598 VL - 12 IS - 1 SP - 39 EP - 48 PB - Wiley CY - Hoboken ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schmidt, Martin A1 - Nendel, Claas A1 - Funk, Roger A1 - Mitchell, Matthew G. E. A1 - Lischeid, Gunnar T1 - Modeling Yields Response to Shading in the Field-to-Forest Transition Zones in Heterogeneous Landscapes JF - Agriculture N2 - In crop modeling and yield predictions, the heterogeneity of agricultural landscapes is usually not accounted for. This heterogeneity often arises from landscape elements like forests, hedges, or single trees and shrubs that cast shadows. Shading from forested areas or shrubs has effects on transpiration, temperature, and soil moisture, all of which affect the crop yield in the adjacent arable land. Transitional gradients of solar irradiance can be described as a function of the distance to the zero line (edge), the cardinal direction, and the height of trees. The magnitude of yield reduction in transition zones is highly influenced by solar irradiance-a factor that is not yet implemented in crop growth models on a landscape level. We present a spatially explicit model for shading caused by forested areas, in agricultural landscapes. With increasing distance to forest, solar irradiance and yield increase. Our model predicts that the shading effect from the forested areas occurs up to 15 m from the forest edge, for the simulated wheat yields, and up to 30 m, for simulated maize. Moreover, we estimated the spatial extent of transition zones, to calculate the regional yield reduction caused by shading of the forest edges, which amounted to 5% to 8% in an exemplary region. KW - edge effect KW - transition zone KW - solar irradiance KW - crop growth KW - maize KW - wheat Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/agriculture9010006 SN - 2077-0472 VL - 9 IS - 1 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Freymark, Jessica A1 - Bott, Judith A1 - Cacace, Mauro A1 - Ziegler, Moritz 0. A1 - Scheck-Wenderoth, Magdalena T1 - Influence of the Main Border Faults on the 3D Hydraulic Field of the Central Upper Rhine Graben JF - Geofluids N2 - The Upper Rhine Graben (URG) is an active rift with a high geothermal potential. Despite being a well-studied area, the three-dimensional interaction of the main controlling factors of the thermal and hydraulic regime is still not fully understood. Therefore, we have used a data-based 3D structural model of the lithological configuration of the central URG for some conceptual numerical experiments of 3D coupled simulations of fluid and heat transport. To assess the influence of the main faults bordering the graben on the hydraulic and the deep thermal field, we carried out a sensitivity analysis on fault width and permeability. Depending on the assigned width and permeability of the main border faults, fluid velocity and temperatures are affected only in the direct proximity of the respective border faults. Hence, the hydraulic characteristics of these major faults do not significantly influence the graben-wide groundwater flow patterns. Instead, the different scenarios tested provide a consistent image of the main characteristics of fluid and heat transport as they have in common: (1) a topography-driven basin-wide fluid flow perpendicular to the rift axis from the graben shoulders to the rift center, (2) a N/NE-directed flow parallel to the rift axis in the center of the rift and, (3) a pronounced upflow of hot fluids along the rift central axis, where the streams from both sides of the rift merge. This upflow axis is predicted to occur predominantly in the center of the URG (northern and southern model area) and shifted towards the eastern boundary fault (central model area). Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1155/2019/7520714 SN - 1468-8115 SN - 1468-8123 PB - Wiley-Hindawi CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Barbosa, Luis Romero A1 - de Lira, Nicholas Borges A1 - Rabelo Coelho, Victor Hugo A1 - Bernard Passerat de Silans, Alain Marie A1 - Gadelha, Andre Nobrega A1 - Almeida, Cristiano das Neves T1 - Stability of Soil Moisture Patterns Retrieved at Different Temporal Resolutions in a Tropical Watershed JF - Revista brasileira de ciencias do solo N2 - Above and underground hydrological processes depend on soil moisture (SM) variability, driven by different environmental factors that seldom are well-monitored, leading to a misunderstanding of soil water temporal patterns. This study investigated the stability of the SM temporal dynamics to different monitoring temporal resolutions around the border between two soil types in a tropical watershed. Four locations were instrumented in a small-scale watershed (5.84 km(2)) within the tropical coast of Northeast Brazil, encompassing different soil types (Espodossolo Humiluvico or Carbic Podzol, and Argissolo Vermelho-Amarelo or Haplic Acrisol), land covers (Atlantic Forest, bush vegetation, and grassland) and topographies (flat and moderate slope). The SM was monitored at a temporal resolution of one hour along the 2013-2014 hydrological year and then resampled a resolutions of 6 h, 12 h, 1 day, 2 days, 4 days, 7 days, and 15 days. Descriptive statistics, temporal variability, time-stability ranking, and hierarchical clustering revealed uneven associations among SM time components. The results show that the time-invariant component ruled SM temporal variability over the time-varying parcel, either at high or low temporal resolutions. Time-steps longer than 2 days affected the mean statistical metrics of the SM time-variant parcel. Additionally, SM at downstream and upstream sites behaved differently, suggesting that the temporal mean was regulated by steady soil properties (slope, restrictive layer, and soil texture), whereas their temporal anomalies were driven by climate (rainfall) and hydrogeological (groundwater level) factors. Therefore, it is concluded that around the border between tropical soil types, the distinct behaviour of time-variant and time-invariant components of SM time series reflects different combinations of their soil properties. KW - soil moisture variability KW - time-domain reflectometry KW - temporal resolution KW - Carbic Podzol KW - Haplic Acrisol Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1590/18069657rbcs20180236 SN - 0100-0683 VL - 43 PB - Sociedade Brasileira de Ciencia do Solo CY - Vicosa ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Jing, Miao A1 - Hesse, Falk A1 - Kumar, Rohini A1 - Kolditz, Olaf A1 - Kalbacher, Thomas A1 - Attinger, Sabine T1 - Influence of input and parameter uncertainty on the prediction of catchment-scale groundwater travel time distributions JF - Hydrology and earth system sciences : HESS N2 - Groundwater travel time distributions (TTDs) provide a robust description of the subsurface mixing behavior and hydrological response of a subsurface system. Lagrangian particle tracking is often used to derive the groundwater TTDs. The reliability of this approach is subjected to the uncertainty of external forcings, internal hydraulic properties, and the interplay between them. Here, we evaluate the uncertainty of catchment groundwater TTDs in an agricultural catchment using a 3-D groundwater model with an overall focus on revealing the relationship between external forcing, internal hydraulic properties, and TTD predictions. Eight recharge realizations are sampled from a high-resolution dataset of land surface fluxes and states. Calibration-constrained hydraulic conductivity fields (Ks fields) are stochastically generated using the null-space Monte Carlo (NSMC) method for each recharge realization. The random walk particle tracking (RWPT) method is used to track the pathways of particles and compute travel times. Moreover, an analytical model under the random sampling (RS) assumption is fit against the numerical solutions, serving as a reference for the mixing behavior of the model domain. The StorAge Selection (SAS) function is used to interpret the results in terms of quantifying the systematic preference for discharging young/old water. The simulation results reveal the primary effect of recharge on the predicted mean travel time (MTT). The different realizations of calibration-constrained Ks fields moderately magnify or attenuate the predicted MTTs. The analytical model does not properly replicate the numerical solution, and it underestimates the mean travel time. Simulated SAS functions indicate an overall preference for young water for all realizations. The spatial pattern of recharge controls the shape and breadth of simulated TTDs and SAS functions by changing the spatial distribution of particles' pathways. In conclusion, overlooking the spatial nonuniformity and uncertainty of input (forcing) will result in biased travel time predictions. We also highlight the worth of reliable observations in reducing predictive uncertainty and the good interpretability of SAS functions in terms of understanding catchment transport processes. Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-171-2019 SN - 1027-5606 SN - 1607-7938 VL - 23 IS - 1 SP - 171 EP - 190 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Muster, Sina A1 - Riley, William J. A1 - Roth, Kurt A1 - Langer, Moritz A1 - Aleina, Fabio Cresto A1 - Koven, Charles D. A1 - Lange, Stephan A1 - Bartsch, Annett A1 - Grosse, Guido A1 - Wilson, Cathy J. A1 - Jones, Benjamin M. A1 - Boike, Julia T1 - Size distributions of arctic waterbodies reveal consistent relations in their statistical moments in space and time JF - Frontiers in Earth Science N2 - Arctic lowlands are characterized by large numbers of small waterbodies, which are known to affect surface energy budgets and the global carbon cycle. Statistical analysis of their size distributions has been hindered by the shortage of observations at sufficiently high spatial resolutions. This situation has now changed with the high-resolution (<5 m) circum-Arctic Permafrost Region Pond and Lake (PeRL) database recently becoming available. We have used this database to make the first consistent, high-resolution estimation of Arctic waterbody size distributions, with surface areas ranging from 0.0001 km(2) (100 m(2)) to 1 km(2). We found that the size distributions varied greatly across the thirty study regions investigated and that there was no single universal size distribution function (including power-law distribution functions) appropriate across all of the study regions. We did, however, find close relationships between the statistical moments (mean, variance, and skewness) of the waterbody size distributions from different study regions. Specifically, we found that the spatial variance increased linearly with mean waterbody size (R-2 = 0.97, p < 2.2e-16) and that the skewness decreased approximately hyperbolically. We have demonstrated that these relationships (1) hold across the 30 Arctic study regions covering a variety of (bio)climatic and permafrost zones, (2) hold over time in two of these study regions for which multi-decadal satellite imagery is available, and (3) can be reproduced by simulating rising water levels in a high-resolution digital elevation model. The consistent spatial and temporal relationships between the statistical moments of the waterbody size distributions underscore the dominance of topographic controls in lowland permafrost areas. These results provide motivation for further analyses of the factors involved in waterbody development and spatial distribution and for investigations into the possibility of using statistical moments to predict future hydrologic dynamics in the Arctic. KW - permafrost KW - hydrology KW - waterbodies KW - size distribution KW - thermokarst KW - statistical moments KW - ponds KW - lakes Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2019.00005 SN - 2296-6463 VL - 7 PB - Frontiers Research Foundation CY - Lausanne ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Baroni, Gabriele A1 - Schalge, Bernd A1 - Rakovec, Oldrich A1 - Kumar, Rohini A1 - Schüler, Lennart A1 - Samaniego, Luis A1 - Simmer, Clemens A1 - Attinger, Sabine T1 - A Comprehensive Distributed Hydrological Modeling Intercomparison to Support Process Representation and Data Collection Strategies JF - Water resources research N2 - The improvement of process representations in hydrological models is often only driven by the modelers' knowledge and data availability. We present a comprehensive comparison between two hydrological models of different complexity that is developed to support (1) the understanding of the differences between model structures and (2) the identification of the observations needed for model assessment and improvement. The comparison is conducted on both space and time and by aggregating the outputs at different spatiotemporal scales. In the present study, mHM, a process‐based hydrological model, and ParFlow‐CLM, an integrated subsurface‐surface hydrological model, are used. The models are applied in a mesoscale catchment in Germany. Both models agree in the simulated river discharge at the outlet and the surface soil moisture dynamics, lending their supports for some model applications (drought monitoring). Different model sensitivities are, however, found when comparing evapotranspiration and soil moisture at different soil depths. The analysis supports the need of observations within the catchment for model assessment, but it indicates that different strategies should be considered for the different variables. Evapotranspiration measurements are needed at daily resolution across several locations, while highly resolved spatially distributed observations with lower temporal frequency are required for soil moisture. Finally, the results show the impact of the shallow groundwater system simulated by ParFlow‐CLM and the need to account for the related soil moisture redistribution. Our comparison strategy can be applied to other models types and environmental conditions to strengthen the dialog between modelers and experimentalists for improving process representations in Earth system models. KW - hydrological models KW - assessments KW - monitoring strategies KW - improvements Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2018WR023941 SN - 0043-1397 SN - 1944-7973 VL - 55 IS - 2 SP - 990 EP - 1010 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Barendrecht, Marlies H. A1 - Viglione, Alberto A1 - Kreibich, Heidi A1 - Merz, Bruno A1 - Vorogushyn, Sergiy A1 - Blöschl, G. T1 - The Value of Empirical Data for Estimating the Parameters of a Sociohydrological Flood Risk Model JF - Water resources research N2 - In this paper, empirical data are used to estimate the parameters of a sociohydrological flood risk model. The proposed model, which describes the interactions between floods, settlement density, awareness, preparedness, and flood loss, is based on the literature. Data for the case study of Dresden, Germany, over a period of 200years, are used to estimate the model parameters through Bayesian inference. The credibility bounds of their estimates are small, even though the data are rather uncertain. A sensitivity analysis is performed to examine the value of the different data sources in estimating the model parameters. In general, the estimated parameters are less biased when using data at the end of the modeled period. Data about flood awareness are the most important to correctly estimate the parameters of this model and to correctly model the system dynamics. Using more data for other variables cannot compensate for the absence of awareness data. More generally, the absence of data mostly affects the estimation of the parameters that are directly related to the variable for which data are missing. This paper demonstrates that combining sociohydrological modeling and empirical data gives additional insights into the sociohydrological system, such as quantifying the forgetfulness of the society, which would otherwise not be easily achieved by sociohydrological models without data or by standard statistical analysis of empirical data. Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2018WR024128 SN - 0043-1397 SN - 1944-7973 VL - 55 IS - 2 SP - 1312 EP - 1336 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Brell, Maximilian A1 - Segl, Karl A1 - Guanter, Luis A1 - Bookhagen, Bodo T1 - 3D hyperspectral point cloud generation BT - Fusing airborne laser scanning and hyperspectral imaging sensors for improved object-based information extraction JF - ISPRS journal of photogrammetry and remote sensing : official publication of the International Society for Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing N2 - Remote Sensing technologies allow to map biophysical, biochemical, and earth surface parameters of the land surface. Of especial interest for various applications in environmental and urban sciences is the combination of spectral and 3D elevation information. However, those two data streams are provided separately by different instruments, namely airborne laser scanner (ALS) for elevation and a hyperspectral imager (HSI) for high spectral resolution data. The fusion of ALS and HSI data can thus lead to a single data entity consistently featuring rich structural and spectral information. In this study, we present the application of fusing the first pulse return information from ALS data at a sub-decimeter spatial resolution with the lower-spatial resolution hyperspectral information available from the HSI into a hyperspectral point cloud (HSPC). During the processing, a plausible hyperspectral spectrum is assigned to every first-return ALS point. We show that the complementary implementation of spectral and 3D information at the point-cloud scale improves object-based classification and information extraction schemes. This improvements have great potential for numerous land cover mapping and environmental applications. KW - Lidar KW - Multispectral point cloud KW - Laser return intensity KW - Unmixing KW - Sharpening KW - Imaging spectroscopy KW - In-flight KW - Pixel level KW - Sensor fusion KW - Data fusion KW - Preprocessing KW - Point cloud segmentation KW - Semantic labeling Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isprsjprs.2019.01.022 SN - 0924-2716 SN - 1872-8235 VL - 149 SP - 200 EP - 214 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Sairam, Nivedita A1 - Schröter, Kai A1 - Lüdtke, Stefan A1 - Merz, Bruno A1 - Kreibich, Heidi T1 - Quantifying Flood Vulnerability Reduction via Private Precaution JF - Earth future N2 - Private precaution is an important component in contemporary flood risk management and climate adaptation. However, quantitative knowledge about vulnerability reduction via private precautionary measures is scarce and their effects are hardly considered in loss modeling and risk assessments. However, this is a prerequisite to enable temporally dynamic flood damage and risk modeling, and thus the evaluation of risk management and adaptation strategies. To quantify the average reduction in vulnerability of residential buildings via private precaution empirical vulnerability data (n = 948) is used. Households with and without precautionary measures undertaken before the flood event are classified into treatment and nontreatment groups and matched. Postmatching regression is used to quantify the treatment effect. Additionally, we test state-of-the-art flood loss models regarding their capability to capture this difference in vulnerability. The estimated average treatment effect of implementing private precaution is between 11 and 15 thousand EUR per household, confirming the significant effectiveness of private precautionary measures in reducing flood vulnerability. From all tested flood loss models, the expert Bayesian network-based model BN-FLEMOps and the rule-based loss model FLEMOps perform best in capturing the difference in vulnerability due to private precaution. Thus, the use of such loss models is suggested for flood risk assessments to effectively support evaluations and decision making for adaptable flood risk management. KW - flood loss KW - average treatment effect KW - matching methods KW - loss models KW - risk analysis KW - adaptation Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2018EF000994 SN - 2328-4277 VL - 7 IS - 3 SP - 235 EP - 249 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schoonover, Heather A. A1 - Gret-Regamey, Adrienne A1 - Metzger, Marc J. A1 - Ruiz-Frau, Ana A1 - Santos-Reis, Margarida A1 - Scholte, Samantha S. K. A1 - Walz, Ariane A1 - Nicholas, Kimberly A. T1 - Creating space, aligning motivations, and building trust BT - a practical framework for stakeholder engagement based on experience in 12 ecosystem services case studies JF - Ecology and society : a journal of integrative science for resilience and sustainability N2 - Ecosystem services inherently involve people, whose values help define the benefits of nature's services. It is thus important for researchers to involve stakeholders in ecosystem services research. However, a simple and practicable framework to guide such engagement, and in particular to help researchers anticipate and consider key issues and challenges, has not been well explored. Here, we use experience from the 12 case studies in the European Operational Potential of Ecosystem Research Applications (OPERAs) project to propose a stakeholder engagement framework comprising three key elements: creating space, aligning motivations, and building trust. We argue that involving stakeholders in research demands thoughtful reflection from the researchers about what kind of space they want to create, including if and how they want to bring different interests together, how much space they want to allow for critical discussion, and whether there is a role for particular stakeholders to serve as conduits between others. In addition, understanding their own motivations—including values, knowledge, goals, and desired benefits—will help researchers decide when and how to involve stakeholders, identify areas of common ground and potential disagreement, frame the project appropriately, set expectations, and ensure each party is able to see benefits of engaging with each other. Finally, building relationships with stakeholders can be difficult but considering the roles of existing relationships, time, approach, reputation, and belonging can help build mutual trust. Although the three key elements and the paths between them can play out differently depending on the particular research project, we suggest that a research design that considers how to create the space in which researchers and stakeholders will meet, align motivations between researchers and stakeholders, and build mutual trust will help foster productive researcher–stakeholder relationships. KW - cocreated knowledge KW - ecosystem services KW - participatory research KW - research design KW - stakeholder engagement KW - transdisciplinary research Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-10061-240111 SN - 1708-3087 VL - 24 IS - 1 PB - Resilience Alliance CY - Wolfville ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Steirou, Eva A1 - Gerlitz, Lars A1 - Apel, Heiko A1 - Sun, Xun A1 - Merz, Bruno T1 - Climate influences on flood probabilities across Europe JF - Hydrology and earth system sciences : HESS N2 - The link between streamflow extremes and climatology has been widely studied in recent decades. However, a study investigating the effect of large-scale circulation variations on the distribution of seasonal discharge extremes at the European level is missing. Here we fit a climate-informed generalized extreme value (GEV) distribution to about 600 streamflow records in Europe for each of the standard seasons, i.e., to winter, spring, summer and autumn maxima, and compare it with the classical GEV distribution with parameters invariant in time. The study adopts a Bayesian framework and covers the period 1950 to 2016. Five indices with proven influence on the European climate are examined independently as covariates, namely the North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO), the east Atlantic pattern (EA), the east Atlantic-western Russian pattern (EA/WR), the Scandinavia pattern (SCA) and the polar-Eurasian pattern (POL). It is found that for a high percentage of stations the climate-informed model is preferred to the classical model. Particularly for NAO during winter, a strong influence on streamflow extremes is detected for large parts of Europe (preferred to the classical GEV distribution for 46% of the stations). Climate-informed fits are characterized by spatial coherence and form patterns that resemble relations between the climate indices and seasonal precipitation, suggesting a prominent role of the considered circulation modes for flood generation. For certain regions, such as northwestern Scandinavia and the British Isles, yearly variations of the mean seasonal climate indices result in considerably different extreme value distributions and thus in highly different flood estimates for individual years that can also persist for longer time periods. Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-23-1305-2019 SN - 1027-5606 SN - 1607-7938 VL - 23 IS - 3 SP - 1305 EP - 1322 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Corti, Giacomo A1 - Cioni, Raffaello A1 - Franceschini, Zara A1 - Sani, Federico A1 - Scaillet, Stephane A1 - Molin, Paola A1 - Isola, Ilaria A1 - Mazzarini, Francesco A1 - Brune, Sascha A1 - Keir, Derek A1 - Erbello Doelesso, Asfaw A1 - Muluneh, Ameha A1 - Illsley-Kemp, Finnigan A1 - Glerum, Anne T1 - Aborted propagation of the Ethiopian rift caused by linkage with the Kenyan rift JF - Nature Communications N2 - Continental rift systems form by propagation of isolated rift segments that interact, and eventually evolve into continuous zones of deformation. This process impacts many aspects of rifting including rift morphology at breakup, and eventual ocean-ridge segmentation. Yet, rift segment growth and interaction remain enigmatic. Here we present geological data from the poorly documented Ririba rift (South Ethiopia) that reveals how two major sectors of the East African rift, the Kenyan and Ethiopian rifts, interact. We show that the Ririba rift formed from the southward propagation of the Ethiopian rift during the Pliocene but this propagation was short-lived and aborted close to the Pliocene-Pleistocene boundary. Seismicity data support the abandonment of laterally offset, overlapping tips of the Ethiopian and Kenyan rifts. Integration with new numerical models indicates that rift abandonment resulted from progressive focusing of the tectonic and magmatic activity into an oblique, throughgoing rift zone of near pure extension directly connecting the rift sectors. Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-09335-2 SN - 2041-1723 VL - 10 PB - Nature Publ. Group CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Georgieva, Viktoria A1 - Gallagher, Kerry A1 - Sobczyk, Artur A1 - Sobel, Edward A1 - Schildgen, Taylor F. A1 - Ehlers, Todd A1 - Strecker, Manfred T1 - Effects of slab-window, alkaline volcanism, and glaciation on thermochronometer cooling histories, Patagonian Andes JF - Earth & planetary science letters N2 - Southern Patagonia is a prime example of ongoing oceanic ridge collision and slab-window formation sustained over several million years. The impact of these phenomena on the thermal structure and exhumation of the crust have been mainly assessed with low-temperature thermochronology of bedrock samples. Here, we infer thermal histories from new and existing thermochronological data from the region of most recent ridge collision. In particular, we evaluate the potential far-reaching thermal effects of the evolving slab window, which have previously been considered responsible for patterns of late Miocene reheating associated with back-arc alkaline volcanism. Our model results define protracted cooling since similar to 15 Ma and stepwise exhumation since the late Miocene. The pattern of stepwise exhumation closely matches the onset of Patagonian glaciation at 7 Ma and the successive pulse of glacial incision coeval with neotectonic activity since 3-4 Ma that are also documented by independent geological and geomorphological evidence in the region. Importantly, our findings challenge the recently suggested lack of glacial erosion and incision since 5 Ma in this region. Furthermore, in contrast to previous modelling studies, we find that the available data do not evidence a previously proposed northward-propagating heating event associated with alkaline volcanism. We hypothesize that the anomalous alkaline volcanism in the Patagonian back-arc might be related to trench-orthogonal tears aligned with transform faults in the subducting plate. The substantial differences from the previous modelling procedure on some of the same samples is demonstrated to result from an important lack of convergence in model runs. (C) 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. KW - inverse thermal modelling KW - thermochronology KW - apatite (U-Th)/He KW - apatite fission track KW - Patagonian Andes KW - slab window Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2019.01.030 SN - 0012-821X SN - 1385-013X VL - 511 SP - 164 EP - 176 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Pena-Angulo, D. A1 - Nadal-Romero, E. A1 - Gonzalez-Hidalgo, J. C. A1 - Albaladejo, J. A1 - Andreu, V A1 - Bagarello, V A1 - Barhi, H. A1 - Batalla, R. J. A1 - Bernal, S. A1 - Bienes, R. A1 - Campo, J. A1 - Campo-Bescos, M. A. A1 - Canatario-Duarte, A. A1 - Canton, Y. A1 - Casali, J. A1 - Castillo, V A1 - Cerda, Artemi A1 - Cheggour, A. A1 - Cid, Patricio A1 - Cortesi, N. A1 - Desir, G. A1 - Diaz-Pereira, E. A1 - Espigares, T. A1 - Estrany, Joan A1 - Fernandez-Raga, M. A1 - Ferreira, Carla S. S. A1 - Ferro, Vito A1 - Gallart, Francesc A1 - Gimenez, R. A1 - Gimeno, E. A1 - Gomez, J. A. A1 - Gomez-Gutierrez, A. A1 - Gomez-Macpherson, H. A1 - Gonzalez-Pelayo, O. A1 - Hueso-Gonzalez, P. A1 - Kairis, O. A1 - Karatzas, G. P. A1 - Klotz, S. A1 - Kosmas, C. A1 - Lana-Renault, Noemi A1 - Lasanta, T. A1 - Latron, J. A1 - Lazaro, R. A1 - Le Bissonnais, Y. A1 - Le Bouteiller, C. A1 - Licciardello, F. A1 - Lopez-Tarazon, José Andrés A1 - Lucia, A. A1 - Marin, C. A1 - Marques, M. J. A1 - Martinez-Fernandez, J. A1 - Martinez-Mena, M. A1 - Martinez-Murillo, J. F. A1 - Mateos, L. A1 - Mathys, N. A1 - Merino-Martin, L. A1 - Moreno-de las Heras, M. A1 - Moustakas, N. A1 - Nicolau, J. M. A1 - Novara, A. A1 - Pampalone, V A1 - Raclot, D. A1 - Rodriguez-Blanco, M. L. A1 - Rodrigo-Comino, Jesús A1 - Romero-Diaz, A. A1 - Roose, E. A1 - Rubio, J. L. A1 - Ruiz-Sinoga, J. D. A1 - Schnabel, S. A1 - Senciales-Gonzalez, J. M. A1 - Simonneaux, V A1 - Sole-Benet, A. A1 - Taguas, E. A1 - Taboada-Castro, M. M. A1 - Taboada-Castro, M. T. A1 - Todisco, Francesca A1 - Ubeda, X. A1 - Varouchakis, E. A. A1 - Vericat, Damia A1 - Wittenberg, L. A1 - Zabaleta, A. A1 - Zorn, M. T1 - Spatial variability of the relationships of runoff and sediment yield with weather types throughout the Mediterranean basin JF - Journal of hydrology N2 - Soil degradation by water is a serious environmental problem worldwide, with specific climatic factors being the major causes. We investigated the relationships between synoptic atmospheric patterns (i.e. weather types, WTs) and runoff, erosion and sediment yield throughout the Mediterranean basin by analyzing a large database of natural rainfall events at 68 research sites in 9 countries. Principal Component Analysis (PCA) was used to identify spatial relationships of the different WTs including three hydro-sedimentary variables: rainfall, runoff, and sediment yield (SY, used to refer to both soil erosion measured at plot scale and sediment yield registered at catchment scale). The results indicated 4 spatial classes of rainfall and runoff: (a) northern sites dependent on North (N) and North West (NW) flows; (b) eastern sites dependent on E and NE flows; (c) southern sites dependent on S and SE flows; and, finally, (d) western sites dependent on W and SW flows. Conversely, three spatial classes are identified for SY characterized by: (a) N and NE flows in northern sites (b) E flows in eastern sites, and (c) W and SW flows in western sites. Most of the rainfall, runoff and SY occurred during a small number of daily events, and just a few WTs accounted for large percentages of the total. Our results confirm that characterization by WT improves understanding of the general conditions under which runoff and SY occur, and provides useful information for understanding the spatial variability of runoff, and SY throughout the Mediterranean basin. The approach used here could be useful to aid of the design of regional water management and soil conservation measures. KW - Synoptic weather types KW - Erosion KW - Sediment yield KW - Runoff KW - Mediterranean basin Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2019.01.059 SN - 0022-1694 SN - 1879-2707 VL - 571 SP - 390 EP - 405 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Fohlmeister, Jens Bernd A1 - Lechleitner, Franziska A. T1 - STAlagmite dating by radiocarbon (star) BT - a software tool for reliable and fast age depth modelling JF - Quaternary geochronology : the international research and review journal on advances in quaternary dating techniques N2 - Speleothems, secondary cave carbonates, are important tools for climate reconstruction, especially as they often can be very precisely dated with the UTh method. If the U-Th method fails, dating becomes difficult, and often results in abandonment of samples and study sites. Radiocarbon dating is the only other radiometric dating technique applicable to the last similar to 50 ka, but presents complexities related to temporal variability of the reservoir effect in speleothems. Thus, radiocarbon dating of speleothems is not straightforward, and there are currently no publicly available tools to define proper age-depth relationships with this method. Here, we present an improved version of a previously published radiocarbon based age-depth modelling approach (star, Lechleitner et al., 2016b), which is now made freely available. The software is easy to use and provides the possibility to obtain reliable age-depth relationships, without prior knowledge of reservoir effects and their variability. In addition, star is able to detect and handle growth stops and phases with different growth rates. We test star on artificially constructed data sets and illustrate steps to improve the model performance. Furthermore, we apply the new approach to published radiocarbon data of U-Th dated stalagmites. This offers the possibility to investigate the strengths and weaknesses of the new approach with respect to potentially significant long term trends in the radiocarbon reservoir effect, which might otherwise remain undetected. In summary, we have produced a valuable software, which easily enables to construct age-depth relationships on the basis of reservoir effect disturbed radiocarbon measurements. Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quageo.2019.02.008 SN - 1871-1014 SN - 1878-0350 VL - 51 SP - 120 EP - 129 PB - Elsevier CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rözer, Viktor A1 - Kreibich, Heidi A1 - Schröter, Kai A1 - Müller, Meike A1 - Sairam, Nivedita A1 - Doss-Gollin, James A1 - Lall, Upmanu A1 - Merz, Bruno T1 - Probabilistic Models Significantly Reduce Uncertainty in Hurricane Harvey Pluvial Flood Loss Estimates JF - Earths future N2 - Pluvial flood risk is mostly excluded in urban flood risk assessment. However, the risk of pluvial flooding is a growing challenge with a projected increase of extreme rainstorms compounding with an ongoing global urbanization. Considered as a flood type with minimal impacts when rainfall rates exceed the capacity of urban drainage systems, the aftermath of rainfall-triggered flooding during Hurricane Harvey and other events show the urgent need to assess the risk of pluvial flooding. Due to the local extent and small-scale variations, the quantification of pluvial flood risk requires risk assessments on high spatial resolutions. While flood hazard and exposure information is becoming increasingly accurate, the estimation of losses is still a poorly understood component of pluvial flood risk quantification. We use a new probabilistic multivariable modeling approach to estimate pluvial flood losses of individual buildings, explicitly accounting for the associated uncertainties. Except for the water depth as the common most important predictor, we identified the drivers for having loss or not and for the degree of loss to be different. Applying this approach to estimate and validate building structure losses during Hurricane Harvey using a property level data set, we find that the reliability and dispersion of predictive loss distributions vary widely depending on the model and aggregation level of property level loss estimates. Our results show that the use of multivariable zero-inflated beta models reduce the 90% prediction intervalsfor Hurricane Harvey building structure loss estimates on average by 78% (totalling U.S.$3.8 billion) compared to commonly used models. KW - pluvial flooding KW - loss modeling KW - urban flooding KW - probabilistic KW - Hurricane Harvey KW - climate change adaptation Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2018EF001074 SN - 2328-4277 VL - 7 IS - 4 SP - 384 EP - 394 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Didovets, Iulii A1 - Krysanova, Valentina A1 - Bürger, Gerd A1 - Snizhko, Sergiy A1 - Balabukh, Vira A1 - Bronstert, Axel T1 - Climate change impact on regional floods in the Carpathian region JF - Journal of hydrology : Regional studies N2 - Study region: Tisza and Prut catchments, originating on the slopes of the Carpathian mountains. Study focus: The study reported here investigates (i) climate change impacts on flood risk in the region, and (ii) uncertainty related to hydrological modelling, downscaling techniques and climate projections. The climate projections used in the study were derived from five GCMs, downscaled either dynamically with RCMs or with the statistical downscaling model XDS. The resulting climate change scenarios were applied to drive the eco-hydrological model SWIM, which was calibrated and validated for the catchments in advance using observed climate and hydrological data. The changes in the 30-year flood hazards and 98 and 95 percentiles of discharge were evaluated for the far future period (2071-2100) in comparison with the reference period (1981-2010). New hydrological insights for the region: The majority of model outputs under RCP 4.5 show a small to strong increase of the 30-year flood level in the Tisza ranging from 4.5% to 62%, and moderate increase in the Prut ranging from 11% to 22%. The impact results under RCP 8.5 are more uncertain with changes in both directions due to high uncertainties in GCM-RCM climate projections, downscaling methods and the low density of available climate stations. KW - Climate change impact KW - Floods KW - Hydrological modelling KW - SWIM KW - Tisza KW - Prut KW - Carpathians KW - Ukraine Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2019.01.002 SN - 2214-5818 VL - 22 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - von Specht, Sebastian A1 - Öztürk, Ugur A1 - Veh, Georg A1 - Cotton, Fabrice A1 - Korup, Oliver T1 - Effects of finite source rupture on landslide triggering BT - the 2016 M-w 7.1 Kumamoto earthquake JF - Solid earth N2 - The propagation of a seismic rupture on a fault introduces spatial variations in the seismic wave field surrounding the fault. This directivity effect results in larger shaking amplitudes in the rupture propagation direction. Its seismic radiation pattern also causes amplitude variations between the strike-normal and strike-parallel components of horizontal ground motion. We investigated the landslide response to these effects during the 2016 Kumamoto earthquake (M-w 7.1) in central Kyushu (Japan). Although the distribution of some 1500 earthquake-triggered landslides as a function of rupture distance is consistent with the observed Arias intensity, the landslides were more concentrated to the northeast of the southwest-northeast striking rupture. We examined several landslide susceptibility factors: hillslope inclination, the median amplification factor (MAF) of ground shaking, lithology, land cover, and topographic wetness. None of these factors sufficiently explains the landslide distribution or orientation (aspect), although the landslide head scarps have an elevated hillslope inclination and MAF. We propose a new physics-based ground-motion model (GMM) that accounts for the seismic rupture effects, and we demonstrate that the low-frequency seismic radiation pattern is consistent with the overall landslide distribution. Its spatial pattern is influenced by the rupture directivity effect, whereas landslide aspect is influenced by amplitude variations between the fault-normal and fault-parallel motion at frequencies < 2 Hz. This azimuth dependence implies that comparable landslide concentrations can occur at different distances from the rupture. This quantitative link between the prevalent landslide aspect and the low-frequency seismic radiation pattern can improve coseismic landslide hazard assessment. Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/se-10-463-2019 SN - 1869-9510 SN - 1869-9529 VL - 10 IS - 2 SP - 463 EP - 486 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Haber-Pohlmeier, Sabina A1 - Tötzke, Christian A1 - Lehmann, E. A1 - Kardjilov, Nikolay A1 - Pohlmeier, A. A1 - Oswald, Sascha T1 - Combination of magnetic resonance imaging and neutron computed tomography for three-dimensional rhizosphere imaging JF - Vadose zone journal N2 - Core Ideas 3D MRI relaxation time maps reflect water mobility in root, rhizosphere, and soil. 3D NCT water content maps of the same plant complement relaxation time maps. The relaxation time T1 decreases from soil to root, whereas water content increases. Parameters together indicate modification of rhizosphere pore space by gel phase. The zone of reduced T1 corresponds to the zone remaining dry after rewetting. In situ investigations of the rhizosphere require high‐resolution imaging techniques, which allow a look into the optically opaque soil compartment. We present the novel combination of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and neutron computed tomography (NCT) to achieve synergistic information such as water mobility in terms of three‐dimensional (3D) relaxation time maps and total water content maps. Besides a stationary MRI scanner for relaxation time mapping, we used a transportable MRI system on site in the NCT facility to capture rhizosphere properties before desiccation and after subsequent rewetting. First, we addressed two questions using water‐filled test capillaries between 0.1 and 5 mm: which root diameters can still be detected by both methods, and to what extent are defined interfaces blurred by these imaging techniques? Going to real root system architecture, we demonstrated the sensitivity of the transportable MRI device by co‐registration with NCT and additional validation using X‐ray computed tomography. Under saturated conditions, we observed for the rhizosphere in situ a zone with shorter T1 relaxation time across a distance of about 1 mm that was not caused by reduced water content, as proven by successive NCT measurements. We conclude that the effective pore size in the pore network had changed, induced by a gel phase. After rewetting, NCT images showed a dry zone persisting while the MRI intensity inside the root increased considerably, indicating water uptake from the surrounding bulk soil through the still hydrophobic rhizosphere. Overall, combining NCT and MRI allows a more detailed analysis of the rhizosphere's functioning. Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.2136/vzj2018.09.0166 SN - 1539-1663 VL - 18 IS - 1 PB - Soil Science Society of America CY - Madison ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schmidt, Martin A1 - Lischeid, Gunnar A1 - Nendel, Claas T1 - Microclimate and matter dynamics in transition zones of forest to arable land JF - Agricultural and forest meteorology N2 - Human-driven fragmentation of landscapes leads to the formation of transition zones between ecosystems that are characterised by fluxes of matter, energy and information. These transition zones may offer rather inhospitable habitats that could jeopardise biodiversity. On the other hand, transition zones are also reported to be hotspots for biodiversity and even evolutionary processes. The general mechanisms and influence of processes in transition zones are poorly understood. Although heterogeneity and diversity of land use of fragments and the transition zones between them play an important role, most studies only refer to forested transition zones. Often, only an extrapolation of measurements in the different fragments themselves is reported to determine gradients in transition zones. This paper contributes to a quantitative understanding of agricultural landscapes beyond individual ecotopes, and towards connected ecosystem mosaics that may be beneficial for the provision of ecosystem services. KW - Edge effects KW - Environmental gradients KW - Fragmentation KW - Ecosystem services KW - Carbon KW - Nitrogen Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agrformet.2019.01.001 SN - 0168-1923 SN - 1873-2240 VL - 268 SP - 1 EP - 10 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Erdal, Daniel A1 - Baroni, Gabriele A1 - Sánchez León, Eduardo Emilio A1 - Cirpka, Olaf A. T1 - The value of simplified models for spin up of complex models with an application to subsurface hydrology JF - Computers & geosciences : an international journal devoted to the publication of papers on all aspects of geocomputation and to the distribution of computer programs and test data sets ; an official journal of the International Association for Mathematical Geology N2 - Spinning up large-scale coupled surface-subsurface numerical models can be a time and resource consuming task. If an uninformed initial condition is chosen, the spin-up can easily require 20 years of repeated simulations on high-performance computing machines. In this paper we compare the classical approach of starting from a fixed shallow depth to groundwater (here 3 m) with three more informed approaches for the definition of initial conditions in the spin up. In the first of these three approaches, we start from a known-steady state groundwater table, calculated with a 2-D groundwater model and the yearly net recharge, and combine it with an unsaturated zone that assumes hydrostatic conditions. In the second approach, we start from the same groundwater table combined with vertical profiles in the unsaturated zone with uniform vertical flow identical to the groundwater recharge. In the third approach we calculate a dynamic steady state from a simplified subsurface model combining a transient 2-D groundwater model with a limited number of 1-D transient unsaturated zone columns on top. Results for spinning-up a 3-D Parflow-CLM model using the different initial conditions show that large gains can be made by considering states in groundwater and the vadose zone that are consistent, i.e. where groundwater recharge and the vertical flux in the vadose zone agree. By this, the spin-up time was reduced from about 10 years to about 3 years of simulated time. In the light of seasonal fluctuations of net recharge, using the transient approach showed more stable results. KW - Model spin-up KW - Groundwater-model KW - Unsaturated zone KW - 2.5-D model KW - Computation time Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cageo.2019.01.014 SN - 0098-3004 SN - 1873-7803 VL - 126 SP - 62 EP - 72 PB - Elsevier CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Herppich, Werner B. A1 - Martin, Craig E. A1 - Tötzke, Christian A1 - Manke, Ingo A1 - Kardjilov, Nikolay T1 - External water transport is more important than vascular transport in the extreme atmospheric epiphyte Tillandsia usneoides (Spanish moss) JF - Plant, cell & environment : cell physiology, whole-plant physiology, community physiology N2 - Most epiphytic bromeliads, especially those in the genus Tillandsia, lack functional roots and rely on the absorption of water and nutrients by large, multicellular trichomes on the epidermal surfaces of leaves and stems. Another important function of these structures is the spread of water over the epidermal surface by capillary action between trichome "wings" and epidermal surface. Although critical for the ultimate absorption by these plants, understanding of this function of trichomes is primarily based on light microscope observations. To better understand this phenomenon, the distribution of water was followed by its attenuation of cold neutrons following application of H2O to the cut end of Tillandsia usneoides shoots. Experiments confirmed the spread of added water on the external surfaces of this "atmospheric" epiphyte. In a morphologically and physiologically similar plant lacking epidermal trichomes, water added to the cut end of a shoot clearly moved via its internal xylem and not on its epidermis. Thus, in T. usneoides, water moves primarily by capillarity among the overlapping trichomes forming a dense indumentum on shoot surfaces, while internal vascular water movement is less likely. T. usneoides, occupying xeric microhabitats, benefits from reduction of water losses by low-shoot xylem hydraulic conductivities. KW - bromeliads KW - capillarity KW - cold neutrons KW - epidermis KW - epiphytes KW - trichomes KW - water movement Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1111/pce.13496 SN - 0140-7791 SN - 1365-3040 VL - 42 IS - 5 SP - 1645 EP - 1656 PB - Wiley CY - Hoboken ER - TY - GEN A1 - Hellwig, Niels A1 - Tatti, Dylan A1 - Sartori, Giacomo A1 - Anschlag, Kerstin A1 - Graefe, Ulfert A1 - Egli, Markus A1 - Gobat, Jean-Michel A1 - Broll, Gabriele T1 - Modeling spatial patterns of humus forms in montane and subalpine forests BT - implications of local variability for upscaling T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - Humus forms are a distinctive morphological indicator of soil organic matter decomposition. The spatial distribution of humus forms depends on environmental factors such as topography, climate and vegetation. In montane and subalpine forests, environmental influences show a high spatial heterogeneity, which is reflected by a high spatial variability of humus forms. This study aims at examining spatial patterns of humus forms and their dependence on the spatial scale in a high mountain forest environment (Val di Sole/Val di Rabbi, Trentino, Italian Alps). On the basis of the distributions of environmental covariates across the study area, we described humus forms at the local scale (six sampling sites), slope scale (60 sampling sites) and landscape scale (30 additional sampling sites). The local variability of humus forms was analyzed with regard to the ground cover type. At the slope and landscape scale, spatial patterns of humus forms were modeled applying random forests and ordinary kriging of the model residuals. The results indicate that the occurrence of the humus form classes Mull, Mullmoder, Moder, Amphi and Eroded Moder generally depends on the topographical position. Local-scale patterns are mostly related to micro-topography (local accumulation and erosion sites) and ground cover, whereas slope-scale patterns are mainly connected with slope exposure and elevation. Patterns at the landscape scale show a rather irregular distribution, as spatial models at this scale do not account for local to slope-scale variations of humus forms. Moreover, models at the slope scale perform distinctly better than at the landscape scale. In conclusion, the results of this study highlight that landscape-scale predictions of humus forms should be accompanied by local- and slope-scale studies in order to enhance the general understanding of humus form patterns. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 1128 KW - soil organic matter decomposition KW - spatial modeling KW - random forest KW - multi-scale analysis KW - forest soils KW - Italian Alps Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-472265 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 1128 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Landholm, David M. A1 - Pradhan, Prajal A1 - Kropp, Jürgen T1 - Diverging forest land use dynamics induced by armed conflict across the tropics JF - Global environmental change : human and policy dimensions N2 - Armed conflicts trigger region-specific mechanisms that affect land use change. Deforestation is presented as one of the most common negative environmental impacts resulting from armed conflicts, with relevant consequences in terms of greenhouse gas emissions and loss of ecosystem services. However, the impact of armed conflict on forests is complex and may simultaneously lead to positive and negative environmental outcomes, i.e. forest regrowth and deforestation, in different regions even within a country. We investigate the impact that armed conflict exerted over forest dynamics at different spatial scales in Colombia and for the global tropics during the period 1992–2015. Through the analysis of its internally displaced population (departures) our results suggest that, albeit finding forest regrowth in some municipalities, the Colombian conflict predominantly exerted a negative impact on its forests. A further examination of georeferenced fighting locations in Colombia and across the globe shows that conflict areas were 8 and 4 times more likely to undergo deforestation, respectively, in the following years in relation to average deforestation rates. This study represents a municipality level, long-term spatial analysis of the diverging effects the Colombian conflict exerted over its forest dynamics over two distinct periods of increasing and decreasing conflict intensity. Moreover, it presents the first quantified estimate of conflict's negative impact on forest ecosystems across the globe. The relationship between armed conflict and land use change is of global relevance given the recent increase of armed conflicts across the world and the importance of a possible exacerbation of armed conflicts and migration as climate change impacts increase. KW - Armed conflict KW - Deforestation KW - Internally displaced persons KW - Migration KW - Land use change drivers KW - Colombian conflict Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2019.03.006 SN - 0959-3780 SN - 1872-9495 VL - 56 SP - 86 EP - 94 PB - Elsevier CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Weldeab, Syee A1 - Rühlemann, Carsten A1 - Bookhagen, Bodo A1 - Pausata, Francesco S. R. A1 - Perez-Lua, Fabiola M. T1 - Enhanced Himalayan glacial melting during YD and H1 recorded in the Northern Bay of Bengal JF - Geochemistry, geophysics, geosystems N2 - Ocean-land thermal feedback mechanisms in the Indian Summer Monsoon (ISM) domain are an important but not well understood component of regional climate dynamics. Here we present a O-18 record analyzed in the mixed-layer dwelling planktonic foraminifer Globigerinoides ruber (sensu stricto) from the northernmost Bay of Bengal (BoB). The O-18 time series provides a spatially integrated measure of monsoonal precipitation and Himalayan meltwater runoff into the northern BoB and reveals two brief episodes of anomalously low O-18 values between 16.30.4 and 160.5 and 12.60.4 and 12.30.4 thousand years before present. The timing of these events is centered at Heinrich event 1 and the Younger Dryas, well-known phases of weak northern hemisphere monsoon systems. Numerical climate model experiments, simulating Heinrich event-like conditions, suggest a surface warming over the monsoon-dominated Himalaya and foreland in response to ISM weakening. Corroborating the simulation results, our analysis of published moraine exposure ages in the monsoon-dominated Himalaya indicates enhanced glacier retreats that, considering age model uncertainties, coincide and overlap with the episodes of anomalously low O-18 values in the northernmost BoB. Our climate proxy and simulation results provide insights into past regional climate dynamics, suggesting reduced cloud cover, increased solar radiation, and air warming of the Himalaya and foreland areas and, as a result, glacier mass losses in response to weakened ISM. Plain Language Summary Indian Summer Monsoon rainfall and Himalayan glacier/snow melts constitute the main water source for the densely populated Indian subcontinent. Better understanding of how future climate changes will affect the monsoon rainfall and Himalayan glaciers requires a long climate record. In this study, we create a 13,000-year-long climate record that allows us to better understand the response of Indian Summer Monsoon rainfall and Himalayan glaciers to past climate changes. The focus of our study is the time window between 9,000 and 22,000 years ago, an episode where the global climate experienced large and rapid changes. Our sediment record from the northern Bay of Bengal and climate change simulation indicate that during episodes of weak monsoon, the melting of the Himalayan glaciers increases substantially significantly. This is because the weakening of the monsoon results in less cloud cover and, as a result, the surface receives more sunlight and causes glacier melting. KW - Bay of Bengal KW - Indian Summer Monsoon KW - Himalayan glacier meltwater KW - runoff KW - Younger Dryas KW - Heinrich event 1 Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2018GC008065 SN - 1525-2027 VL - 20 IS - 5 SP - 2449 EP - 2461 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Park, Jungsu A1 - Batalla, Ramon J. A1 - Birgand, Francois A1 - Esteves, Michel A1 - Gentile, Francesco A1 - Harrington, Joseph R. A1 - Navratil, Oldrich A1 - Lopez-Tarazon, José Andrés A1 - Vericat, Damia T1 - Influences of Catchment and River Channel Characteristics on the Magnitude and Dynamics of Storage and Re-Suspension of Fine Sediments in River Beds JF - Water N2 - Fine particles or sediments are one of the important variables that should be considered for the proper management of water quality and aquatic ecosystems. In the present study, the effect of catchment characteristics on the performance of an already developed model for the estimation of fine sediments dynamics between the water column and sediment bed was tested, using 13 catchments distributed worldwide. The model was calibrated to determine two optimal model parameters. The first is the filtration parameter, which represents the filtration of fine sediments through pores of the stream bed during the recession period of a flood event. The second parameter is the bed erosion parameter that represents the active layer, directly related to the re-suspension of fine sediments during a flood event. A dependency of the filtration parameter with the catchment area was observed in catchments smaller than 100 km(2), whereas no particular relationship was observed for larger catchments (>100 km(2)). In contrast, the bed erosion parameter does not show a noticeable dependency with the area or other environmental characteristics. The model estimated the mass of fine sediments released from the sediment bed to the water column during flood events in the 13 catchments within 23% bias. KW - bed erosion KW - catchment area KW - filtration KW - sediment accumulation KW - sediment bed fluidization KW - sediment re-suspension Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/w11050878 SN - 2073-4441 VL - 11 IS - 5 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Helber, Bernd A1 - Dias, Bruno A1 - Bariselli, Federico A1 - Zavalan, Luiza F. A1 - Pittarello, Lidia A1 - Goderis, Steven A1 - Soens, Bastien A1 - McKibbin, Seann J. A1 - Claeys, Philippe A1 - Magin, Thierry E. T1 - Analysis of meteoroid ablation based on plasma wind-tunnel experiments, surface characterization, and numerical simulations JF - The astrophysical journal : an international review of spectroscopy and astronomical physics N2 - Meteoroids largely disintegrate during their entry into the atmosphere, contributing significantly to the input of cosmic material to Earth. Yet, their atmospheric entry is not well understood. Experimental studies on meteoroid material degradation in high-enthalpy facilities are scarce and when the material is recovered after testing, it rarely provides sufficient quantitative data for the validation of simulation tools. In this work, we investigate the thermochemical degradation mechanism of a meteorite in a high-enthalpy ground facility able to reproduce atmospheric entry conditions. A testing methodology involving measurement techniques previously used for the characterization of thermal protection systems for spacecraft is adapted for the investigation of ablation of alkali basalt (employed here as meteorite analog) and ordinary chondrite samples. Both materials are exposed to a cold-wall stagnation point heat flux of 1.2 MW m(-2). Numerous local pockets that formed on the surface of the samples by the emergence of gas bubbles reveal the frothing phenomenon characteristic of material degradation. Time-resolved optical emission spectroscopy data of ablated species allow us to identify the main radiating atoms and ions of potassium, calcium, magnesium, and iron. Surface temperature measurements provide maximum values of 2280 K for the basalt and 2360 K for the chondrite samples. We also develop a material response model by solving the heat conduction equation and accounting for evaporation and oxidation reaction processes in a 1D Cartesian domain. The simulation results are in good agreement with the data collected during the experiments, highlighting the importance of iron oxidation to the material degradation. KW - meteorites, meteors, meteoroids KW - plasmas KW - techniques: spectroscopic Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3847/1538-4357/ab16f0 SN - 0004-637X SN - 1538-4357 VL - 876 IS - 2 PB - IOP Publ. Ltd. CY - Bristol ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Herzschuh, Ulrike A1 - Cao, Xianyong A1 - Laepple, Thomas A1 - Dallmeyer, Anne A1 - Telford, Richard J. A1 - Ni, Jian A1 - Chen, Fahu A1 - Kong, Zhaochen A1 - Liu, Guangxiu A1 - Liu, Kam-Biu A1 - Liu, Xingqi A1 - Stebich, Martina A1 - Tang, Lingyu A1 - Tian, Fang A1 - Wang, Yongbo A1 - Wischnewski, Juliane A1 - Xu, Qinghai A1 - Yan, Shun A1 - Yang, Zhenjing A1 - Yu, Ge A1 - Zhang, Yun A1 - Zhao, Yan A1 - Zheng, Zhuo T1 - Position and orientation of the westerly jet determined Holocene rainfall patterns in China JF - Nature Communications N2 - Proxy-based reconstructions and modeling of Holocene spatiotemporal precipitation patterns for China and Mongolia have hitherto yielded contradictory results indicating that the basic mechanisms behind the East Asian Summer Monsoon and its interaction with the westerly jet stream remain poorly understood. We present quantitative reconstructions of Holocene precipitation derived from 101 fossil pollen records and analyse them with the help of a minimal empirical model. We show that the westerly jet-stream axis shifted gradually southward and became less tilted since the middle Holocene. This was tracked by the summer monsoon rain band resulting in an early-Holocene precipitation maximum over most of western China, a mid-Holocene maximum in north-central and northeastern China, and a late-Holocene maximum in southeastern China. Our results suggest that a correct simulation of the orientation and position of the westerly jet stream is crucial to the reliable prediction of precipitation patterns in China and Mongolia. Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-09866-8 SN - 2041-1723 VL - 10 PB - Nature Publ. Group CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Lawrence, Mark A1 - Schäfer, Stefan T1 - Promises and perils of the Paris Agreement JF - Science Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aaw4602 SN - 0036-8075 SN - 1095-9203 VL - 364 IS - 6443 SP - 829 EP - 830 PB - American Association for the Advancement of Science CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Irrgang, Anna Maria A1 - Lantuit, Hugues A1 - Gordon, Richard R. A1 - Piskor, Ashley A1 - Manson, Gavin K. T1 - Impacts of past and future coastal changes on the Yukon coast - threats for cultural sites, infrastructure, and travel routes JF - Arctic Science N2 - Yukon’s Beaufort coast, Canada, is a highly dynamic landscape. Cultural sites, infrastructure, and travel routes used by the local population are particularly vulnerable to coastal erosion. To assess threats to these phenomena, rates of shoreline change for a 210 km length of the coast were analyzed and combined with socioeconomic and cultural information. Rates of shoreline change were derived from aerial and satellite imagery from the 1950s, 1970s, 1990s, and 2011. Using these data, conservative (S1) and dynamic (S2) shoreline projections were constructed to predict shoreline positions for the year 2100. The locations of cultural features in the archives of a Parks Canada database, the Yukon Archaeological Program, and as reported in other literature were combined with projected shoreline position changes. Between 2011 and 2100, approximately 850 ha (S1) and 2660 ha (S2) may erode, resulting in a loss of 45% (S1) to 61% (S2) of all cultural features by 2100. The last large, actively used camp area and two nearshore landing strips will likely be threatened by future coastal processes. Future coastal erosion and sedimentation processes are expected to increasingly threaten cultural sites and influence travelling and living along the Yukon coast. KW - Arctic coastal dynamics KW - permafrost coast KW - shoreline projection KW - Inuvialuit cultural features Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1139/as-2017-0041 SN - 2368-7460 VL - 5 IS - 2 SP - 107 EP - 126 PB - Canadian Science Publishing CY - Ottawa ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wendi, Dadiyorto A1 - Merz, Bruno A1 - Marwan, Norbert T1 - Assessing hydrograph similarity and rare runoff dynamics by cross recurrence plots JF - Water resources research N2 - This paper introduces a novel measure to assess similarity between event hydrographs. It is based on cross recurrence plots (CRP) and recurrence quantification analysis (RQA), which have recently gained attention in a range of disciplines when dealing with complex systems. The method attempts to quantify the event runoff dynamics and is based on the time delay embedded phase space representation of discharge hydrographs. A phase space trajectory is reconstructed from the event hydrograph, and pairs of hydrographs are compared to each other based on the distance of their phase space trajectories. Time delay embedding allows considering the multidimensional relationships between different points in time within the event. Hence, the temporal succession of discharge values is taken into account, such as the impact of the initial conditions on the runoff event. We provide an introduction to cross recurrence plots and discuss their parameterization. An application example based on flood time series demonstrates how the method can be used to measure the similarity or dissimilarity of events, and how it can be used to detect events with rare runoff dynamics. It is argued that this methods provides a more comprehensive approach to quantify hydrograph similarity compared to conventional hydrological signatures. KW - runoff dynamics KW - cross recurrence plot in hydrology KW - rare flood dynamics KW - hydrograph similarity KW - time delay embedding for runoff series Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2018WR024111 SN - 0043-1397 SN - 1944-7973 VL - 55 IS - 6 SP - 4704 EP - 4726 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Fan, Xuanmei A1 - Scaringi, Gianvito A1 - Korup, Oliver A1 - West, A. Joshua A1 - van Westen, Cees J. A1 - Tanyas, Hakan A1 - Hovius, Niels A1 - Hales, Tristram C. A1 - Jibson, Randall W. A1 - Allstadt, Kate E. A1 - Zhang, Limin A1 - Evans, Stephen G. A1 - Xu, Chong A1 - Li, Gen A1 - Pei, Xiangjun A1 - Xu, Qiang A1 - Huang, Runqiu T1 - Earthquake-Induced Chains of Geologic Hazards BT - Patterns, Mechanisms, and Impacts JF - Reviews of geophysics N2 - Large earthquakes initiate chains of surface processes that last much longer than the brief moments of strong shaking. Most moderate‐ and large‐magnitude earthquakes trigger landslides, ranging from small failures in the soil cover to massive, devastating rock avalanches. Some landslides dam rivers and impound lakes, which can collapse days to centuries later, and flood mountain valleys for hundreds of kilometers downstream. Landslide deposits on slopes can remobilize during heavy rainfall and evolve into debris flows. Cracks and fractures can form and widen on mountain crests and flanks, promoting increased frequency of landslides that lasts for decades. More gradual impacts involve the flushing of excess debris downstream by rivers, which can generate bank erosion and floodplain accretion as well as channel avulsions that affect flooding frequency, settlements, ecosystems, and infrastructure. Ultimately, earthquake sequences and their geomorphic consequences alter mountain landscapes over both human and geologic time scales. Two recent events have attracted intense research into earthquake‐induced landslides and their consequences: the magnitude M 7.6 Chi‐Chi, Taiwan earthquake of 1999, and the M 7.9 Wenchuan, China earthquake of 2008. Using data and insights from these and several other earthquakes, we analyze how such events initiate processes that change mountain landscapes, highlight research gaps, and suggest pathways toward a more complete understanding of the seismic effects on the Earth's surface. KW - earthquake-induced landslides KW - debris flows KW - geohazards KW - landscape evolution KW - sediment cascade KW - continental earthquakes Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2018RG000626 SN - 8755-1209 SN - 1944-9208 VL - 57 IS - 2 SP - 421 EP - 503 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Yuan, Xiaoping P. A1 - Braun, Jean A1 - Guerit, Laure A1 - Rouby, D. A1 - Cordonnier, G. T1 - A New Efficient Method to Solve the Stream Power Law Model Taking Into Account Sediment Deposition JF - Journal of geophysical research : Earth surface N2 - The stream power law model has been widely used to represent erosion by rivers but does not take into account the role played by sediment in modulating erosion and deposition rates. Davy and Lague (2009, ) provide an approach to address this issue, but it is computationally demanding because the local balance between erosion and deposition depends on sediment flux resulting from net upstream erosion. Here, we propose an efficient (i.e., O(N) and implicit) method to solve their equation. This means that, unlike other methods used to study the complete dynamics of fluvial systems (e.g., including the transition from detachment-limited to transport-limited behavior), our method is unconditionally stable even when large time steps are used. We demonstrate its applicability by performing a range of simulations based on a simple setup composed of an uplifting region adjacent to a stable foreland basin. As uplift and erosion progress, the mean elevations of the uplifting relief and the foreland increase, together with the average slope in the foreland. Sediments aggrade in the foreland and prograde to reach the base level where sediments are allowed to leave the system. We show how the topography of the uplifting relief and the stratigraphy of the foreland basin are controlled by the efficiency of river erosion and the efficiency of sediment transport by rivers. We observe the formation of a steady-state geometry in the uplifting region, and a dynamic steady state (i.e., autocyclic aggradation and incision) in the foreland, with aggradation and incision thicknesses up to tens of meters. KW - stream power law model KW - efficient method KW - sediment transport and deposition KW - river erosion KW - dynamic steady state KW - aggradation and incision cycles Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JF004867 SN - 2169-9003 SN - 2169-9011 VL - 124 IS - 6 SP - 1346 EP - 1365 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Martin-Lopez, Berta A1 - Leister, Ines A1 - Cruz, Pedro Lorenzo A1 - Palomo, Ignacio A1 - Gret-Regamey, Adrienne A1 - Harrison, Paula A. A1 - Lavorel, Sandra A1 - Locatelli, Bruno A1 - Luque, Sandra A1 - Walz, Ariane T1 - Nature’s contributions to people in mountains BT - a review JF - PLoS one N2 - Mountains play a key role in the provision of nature’s contributions to people (NCP) worldwide that support societies’ quality of life. Simultaneously, mountains are threatened by multiple drivers of change. Due to the complex interlinkages between biodiversity, quality of life and drivers of change, research on NCP in mountains requires interdisciplinary approaches. In this study, we used the conceptual framework of the Intergovernmental Science-Policy Platform on Biodiversity and Ecosystem Services (IPBES) and the notion of NCP to determine to what extent previous research on ecosystem services in mountains has explored the different components of the IPBES conceptual framework. We conducted a systematic review of articles on ecosystem services in mountains published up to 2016 using the Web of Science and Scopus databases. Descriptive statistical and network analyses were conducted to explore the level of research on the components of the IPBES framework and their interactions. Our results show that research has gradually become more interdisciplinary by studying higher number of NCP, dimensions of quality of life, and indirect drivers of change. Yet, research focusing on biodiversity, regulating NCP and direct drivers has decreased over time. Furthermore, despite the fact that research on NCP in mountains becoming more policy-oriented over time, mainly in relation to payments for ecosystem services, institutional responses remained underexplored in the reviewed studies. Finally, we discuss the relevant knowledge gaps that should be addressed in future research in order to contribute to IPBES. Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0217847 SN - 1932-6203 VL - 14 IS - 6 PB - PLoS CY - San Fransisco ER - TY - GEN A1 - Lopez Tarazon, José Andrés A1 - Bronstert, Axel A1 - Thieken, Annegret A1 - Petrow, Theresia T1 - The effects of global change on floods, fluvial geomorphology and related hazards in mountainous rivers T2 - The science of the total environment : an international journal for scientific research into the environment and its relationship with man Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.03.026 SN - 0048-9697 SN - 1879-1026 VL - 669 SP - 7 EP - 10 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Braga, Brennda A1 - Anchieta de Carvalho, Thayslan Renato A1 - Brosinsky, Arlena A1 - Förster, Saskia A1 - Medeiros, Pedro Henrique Augusto T1 - From waste to resource BT - Cost-benefit analysis of reservoir sediment reuse for soil fertilization in a semiarid catchment JF - The science of the total environment : an international journal for scientific research into the environment and its relationship with man N2 - Reservoir networks have been established worldwide to ensure water supply, but water availability is endangered quantitatively and qualitatively by sedimentation. Reuse of sediment silted in reservoirs as fertilizer has been proposed, thus transforming nutrient-enriched sediments from waste into resource. The aim of this study is to assess the potential of reusing sediment as a nutrient source for agriculture a semiarid basin in Brazil. where 1029 reservoirs were identified. Sedimentation was modelled for the entire reservoir network, accounting for 7 x 10(5) tons of y(-1)sediment deposition. Nutrients contents in reservoir sediments was analysed and com- pared to nutrients contents of agricultural soils in the catchment. The potential of reusing sediment as fertilizer was assessed for maize crops (Zea mays L) and the sediment mass required to fertilize the soil was computed considering that the crop nitrogen requirement would be fully provided by the sediment. Economic feasibility was analysed by comparing the costs of the proposed practice to those obtained if the area was fertilized by traditional means. Results showed that, where reservoirs fall dry frequently and sediments can be removed by excavation, soil fertilization with sediment presents lower costs than those observed for application of commercial chemical fertilizers. Compared to conventional fertilization, when using sediments with high nutrient content, 25% of costs could be saved, while when using sediments with low nutrient content costs are 9% higher. According to the local conditions, sediments with nitrogen content above 1.5 g kg(-1) are cost efficient as nitrogen source. However, physical and chemical analyses are recommended to define the sediment mass to be used and to identify any constraint to the application of the practice, like the high sodium adsorption ratio observed in one of the studied reservoirs, which can contribute to soil salinization. (C) 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. KW - Reservoir sedimentation KW - Sediment reuse KW - Fertilizer KW - Agriculture KW - Semiarid KW - Cost-benefit analysis Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.03.083 SN - 0048-9697 SN - 1879-1026 VL - 670 SP - 158 EP - 169 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zech, Alraune A1 - Attinger, Sabine A1 - Bellin, Alberto A1 - Cvetkovic, Vladimir A1 - Dietrich, Peter A1 - Fiori, Aldo A1 - Teutsch, Georg A1 - Dagan, Gedeon T1 - A Critical Analysis of Transverse Dispersivity Field Data JF - Groundwater : journal of the Association of Ground-Water Scientists and Engineers, a division of the National Ground Water Association N2 - Transverse dispersion, or tracer spreading orthogonal to the mean flow direction, which is relevant e.g, for quantifying bio-degradation of contaminant plumes or mixing of reactive solutes, has been studied in the literature less than the longitudinal one. Inferring transverse dispersion coefficients from field experiments is a difficult and error-prone task, requiring a spatial resolution of solute plumes which is not easily achievable in applications. In absence of field data, it is a questionable common practice to set transverse dispersivities as a fraction of the longitudinal one, with the ratio 1/10 being the most prevalent. We collected estimates of field-scale transverse dispersivities from existing publications and explored possible scale relationships as guidance criteria for applications. Our investigation showed that a large number of estimates available in the literature are of low reliability and should be discarded from further analysis. The remaining reliable estimates are formation-specific, span three orders of magnitude and do not show any clear scale-dependence on the plume traveled distance. The ratios with the longitudinal dispersivity are also site specific and vary widely. The reliability of transverse dispersivities depends significantly on the type of field experiment and method of data analysis. In applications where transverse dispersion plays a significant role, inference of transverse dispersivities should be part of site characterization with the transverse dispersivity estimated as an independent parameter rather than related heuristically to longitudinal dispersivity. Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1111/gwat.12838 SN - 0017-467X SN - 1745-6584 VL - 57 IS - 4 SP - 632 EP - 639 PB - Wiley CY - Hoboken ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Bubeck, Philip A1 - Dillenardt, Lisa A1 - Alfieri, Lorenzo A1 - Feyen, Luc A1 - Thieken, Annegret A1 - Kellermann, Patric T1 - Global warming to increase flood risk on European railways JF - Climatic change : an interdisciplinary, intern. journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change N2 - For effective disaster risk management and adaptation planning, a good understanding of current and projected flood risk is required. Recent advances in quantifying flood risk at the regional and global scale have largely neglected critical infrastructure, or addressed this important sector with insufficient detail. Here, we present the first European-wide assessment of current and future flood risk to railway tracks for different global warming scenarios using an infrastructure-specific damage model. We find that the present risk, measured as expected annual damage, to railway networks in Europe is approx. (sic)581 million per year, with the highest risk relative to the length of the network in North Macedonia, Croatia, Norway, Portugal, and Germany. Based on an ensemble of climate projections for RCP8.5, we show that current risk to railway networks is projected to increase by 255% under a 1.5 degrees C, by 281% under a 2 degrees C, and by 310% under a 3 degrees C warming scenario. The largest increases in risk under a 3 degrees C scenario are projected for Slovakia, Austria, Slovenia, and Belgium. Our advances in the projection of flood risk to railway infrastructure are important given their criticality, and because losses to public infrastructure are usually not insured or even uninsurable in the private market. To cover the risk increase due to climate change, European member states would need to increase expenditure in transport by (sic)1.22 billion annually under a 3 degrees C warming scenario without further adaptation. Limiting global warming to the 1.5 degrees C goal of the Paris Agreement would result in avoided losses of (sic)317 million annually. Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02434-5 SN - 0165-0009 SN - 1573-1480 VL - 155 IS - 1 SP - 19 EP - 36 PB - Springer CY - Dordrecht ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Savoy, Heather A1 - Heße, Falk T1 - Dimension reduction for integrating data series in Bayesian inversion of geostatistical models JF - Stochastic environmental research and risk assessment N2 - This study explores methods with which multidimensional data, e.g. time series, can be effectively incorporated into a Bayesian framework for inferring geostatistical parameters. Such series are difficult to use directly in the likelihood estimation procedure due to their high dimensionality; thus, a dimension reduction approach is taken to utilize these measurements in the inference. Two synthetic scenarios from hydrology are explored in which pumping drawdown and concentration breakthrough curves are used to infer the global mean of a log-normally distributed hydraulic conductivity field. Both cases pursue the use of a parametric model to represent the shape of the observed time series with physically-interpretable parameters (e.g. the time and magnitude of a concentration peak), which is compared to subsets of the observations with similar dimensionality. The results from both scenarios highlight the effectiveness for the shape-matching models to reduce dimensionality from 100+ dimensions down to less than five. The models outperform the alternative subset method, especially when the observations are noisy. This approach to incorporating time series observations in the Bayesian framework for inferring geostatistical parameters allows for high-dimensional observations to be faithfully represented in lower-dimensional space for the non-parametric likelihood estimation procedure, which increases the applicability of the framework to more observation types. Although the scenarios are both from hydrogeology, the methodology is general in that no assumptions are made about the subject domain. Any application that requires the inference of geostatistical parameters using series in either time of space can use the approach described in this paper. KW - Geostatistics KW - Stochastic hydrogeology KW - Dimension reduction KW - Bayesian inference Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-019-01697-9 SN - 1436-3240 SN - 1436-3259 VL - 33 IS - 7 SP - 1327 EP - 1344 PB - Springer CY - New York ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Fairey, Brenton J. A1 - Timmerman, Martin Jan A1 - Sudo, Masafumi A1 - Tsikos, Harilaos T1 - The role of hydrothermal activity in the formation of Karst-hosted manganese deposits of the Postmasburg Mn Field, Northern Cape Province, South Africa JF - Minerals N2 - The Postmasburg Manganese Field (PMF), Northern Cape Province, South Africa, once represented one of the largest sources of manganese ore worldwide. Two belts of manganese ore deposits have been distinguished in the PMF, namely the Western Belt of ferruginous manganese ores and the Eastern Belt of siliceous manganese ores. Prevailing models of ore formation in these two belts invoke karstification of manganese-rich dolomites and residual accumulation of manganese wad which later underwent diagenetic and low-grade metamorphic processes. For the most part, the role of hydrothermal processes and metasomatic alteration towards ore formation has not been adequately discussed. Here we report an abundance of common and some rare Al-, Na-, K- and Ba-bearing minerals, particularly aegirine, albite, microcline, banalsite, serandite-pectolite, paragonite and natrolite in Mn ores of the PMF, indicative of hydrothermal influence. Enrichments in Na, K and/or Ba in the ores are generally on a percentage level for most samples analysed through bulk-rock techniques. The presence of As-rich tokyoite also suggests the presence of As and V in the hydrothermal fluid. The fluid was likely oxidized and alkaline in nature, akin to a mature basinal brine. Various replacement textures, particularly of Na- and K- rich minerals by Ba-bearing phases, suggest sequential deposition of gangue as well as ore-minerals from the hydrothermal fluid, with Ba phases being deposited at a later stage. The stratigraphic variability of the studied ores and their deviation from the strict classification of ferruginous and siliceous ores in the literature, suggests that a re-evaluation of genetic models is warranted. New Ar-Ar ages for K-feldspars suggest a late Neoproterozoic timing for hydrothermal activity. This corroborates previous geochronological evidence for regional hydrothermal activity that affected Mn ores at the PMF but also, possibly, the high-grade Mn ores of the Kalahari Manganese Field to the north. A revised, all-encompassing model for the development of the manganese deposits of the PMF is then proposed, whereby the source of metals is attributed to underlying carbonate rocks beyond the Reivilo Formation of the Campbellrand Subgroup. The main process by which metals are primarily accumulated is attributed to karstification of the dolomitic substrate. The overlying Asbestos Hills Subgroup banded iron formation (BIF) is suggested as a potential source of alkali metals, which also provides a mechanism for leaching of these BIFs to form high-grade residual iron ore deposits. KW - manganese ore KW - Postmasburg manganese field KW - hydrothermal KW - karst KW - South Africa Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/min9070408 SN - 2075-163X VL - 9 IS - 7 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zoll, Felix A1 - Diehl, Katharina A1 - Siebert, Rosemarie T1 - Integrating sustainability goals in innovation processes BT - applying a decision support tool in a dual-purpose chicken case study JF - Sustainability N2 - The innovative dual-purpose chicken approach aims at contributing to the transition towards sustainable poultry production by avoiding the culling of male chickens. To successfully integrate sustainability aspects into innovation, goal congruency among actors and clearly communicating the added value within the actor network and to consumers is needed. The challenge of identifying common sustainability goals calls for decision support tools. The objectives of our research were to investigate whether the tool could assist in improving communication and marketing with respect to sustainability and optimizing the value chain organization. Three actor groups participated in the tool application, in which quantitative and qualitative data were collected. The results showed that there were manifold sustainability goals within the innovation network, but only some goals overlapped, and the perception of their implementation also diverged. While easily marketable goals such as ‘animal welfare’ were perceived as being largely implemented, economic goals were prioritized less often, and the implementation was perceived as being rather low. By visualizing congruencies and differences in the goals, the tool helped identify fields of action, such as improved information flows and prompted thinking processes. We conclude that the tool is useful for managing complex decision processes with several actors involved. KW - value-based sustainability assessment KW - stakeholder participation KW - niche level KW - culling of male chickens KW - mixed methods Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/su11143761 SN - 2071-1050 VL - 11 IS - 14 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Tanski, George A1 - Bergstedt, Helena A1 - Bevington, Alexandre A1 - Bonnaventure, Philip A1 - Bouchard, Frederic A1 - Coch, Caroline A1 - Dumais, Simon A1 - Evgrafova, Alevtina A1 - Frauenfeld, Oliver W. A1 - Frederick, Jennifer A1 - Fritz, Michael A1 - Frolov, Denis A1 - Harder, Silvie A1 - Hartmeyer, Ingo A1 - Heslop, Joanne A1 - Hoegstroem, Elin A1 - Johansson, Margareta A1 - Kraev, Gleb A1 - Kuznetsova, Elena A1 - Lenz, Josefine A1 - Lupachev, Alexey A1 - Magnin, Florence A1 - Martens, Jannik A1 - Maslakov, Alexey A1 - Morgenstern, Anne A1 - Nieuwendam, Alexandre A1 - Oliva, Marc A1 - Radosavljevi, Boris A1 - Ramage, Justine Lucille A1 - Schneider, Andrea A1 - Stanilovskaya, Julia A1 - Strauss, Jens A1 - Trochim, Erin A1 - Vecellio, Daniel J. A1 - Weber, Samuel A1 - Lantuit, Hugues T1 - The Permafrost Young Researchers Network (PYRN) is getting older BT - The past, present, and future of our evolving community JF - Polar record N2 - A lasting legacy of the International Polar Year (IPY) 2007–2008 was the promotion of the Permafrost Young Researchers Network (PYRN), initially an IPY outreach and education activity by the International Permafrost Association (IPA). With the momentum of IPY, PYRN developed into a thriving network that still connects young permafrost scientists, engineers, and researchers from other disciplines. This research note summarises (1) PYRN’s development since 2005 and the IPY’s role, (2) the first 2015 PYRN census and survey results, and (3) PYRN’s future plans to improve international and interdisciplinary exchange between young researchers. The review concludes that PYRN is an established network within the polar research community that has continually developed since 2005. PYRN’s successful activities were largely fostered by IPY. With >200 of the 1200 registered members active and engaged, PYRN is capitalising on the availability of social media tools and rising to meet environmental challenges while maintaining its role as a successful network honouring the legacy of IPY. KW - Early-career scientists KW - Education KW - IPY KW - International Polar Year KW - Outreach KW - Permafrost Young Researchers Network KW - PYRN KW - Science communication Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1017/S0032247418000645 SN - 0032-2474 SN - 1475-3057 VL - 55 IS - 4 SP - 216 EP - 219 PB - Cambridge Univ. Press CY - New York ER - TY - GEN A1 - Ayzel, Georgy A1 - Izhitskiy, Alexander T1 - Climate change impact assessment on freshwater inflow into the Small Aral Sea T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - During the last few decades, the rapid separation of the Small Aral Sea from the isolated basin has changed its hydrological and ecological conditions tremendously. In the present study, we developed and validated the hybrid model for the Syr Darya River basin based on a combination of state-of-the-art hydrological and machine learning models. Climate change impact on freshwater inflow into the Small Aral Sea for the projection period 2007–2099 has been quantified based on the developed hybrid model and bias corrected and downscaled meteorological projections simulated by four General Circulation Models (GCM) for each of three Representative Concentration Pathway scenarios (RCP). The developed hybrid model reliably simulates freshwater inflow for the historical period with a Nash–Sutcliffe efficiency of 0.72 and a Kling–Gupta efficiency of 0.77. Results of the climate change impact assessment showed that the freshwater inflow projections produced by different GCMs are misleading by providing contradictory results for the projection period. However, we identified that the relative runoff changes are expected to be more pronounced in the case of more aggressive RCP scenarios. The simulated projections of freshwater inflow provide a basis for further assessment of climate change impacts on hydrological and ecological conditions of the Small Aral Sea in the 21st Century. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 1071 KW - Small Aral Sea KW - hydrology KW - climate change KW - modeling KW - machine learning Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-472794 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 1071 ER -