TY - THES A1 - Šustr, David T1 - Molecular diffusion in polyelectrolyte multilayers N2 - Research on novel and advanced biomaterials is an indispensable step towards their applications in desirable fields such as tissue engineering, regenerative medicine, cell culture, or biotechnology. The work presented here focuses on such a promising material: polyelectrolyte multilayer (PEM) composed of hyaluronic acid (HA) and poly(L-lysine) (PLL). This gel-like polymer surface coating is able to accumulate (bio-)molecules such as proteins or drugs and release them in a controlled manner. It serves as a mimic of the extracellular matrix (ECM) in composition and intrinsic properties. These qualities make the HA/PLL multilayers a promising candidate for multiple bio-applications such as those mentioned above. The work presented aims at the development of a straightforward approach for assessment of multi-fractional diffusion in multilayers (first part) and at control of local molecular transport into or from the multilayers by laser light trigger (second part). The mechanism of the loading and release is governed by the interaction of bioactives with the multilayer constituents and by the diffusion phenomenon overall. The diffusion of a molecule in HA/PLL multilayers shows multiple fractions of different diffusion rate. Approaches, that are able to assess the mobility of molecules in such a complex system, are limited. This shortcoming motivated the design of a novel evaluation tool presented here. The tool employs a simulation-based approach for evaluation of the data acquired by fluorescence recovery after photobleaching (FRAP) method. In this approach, possible fluorescence recovery scenarios are primarily simulated and afterwards compared with the data acquired while optimizing parameters of a model until a sufficient match is achieved. Fluorescent latex particles of different sizes and fluorescein in an aqueous medium are utilized as test samples validating the analysis results. The diffusion of protein cytochrome c in HA/PLL multilayers is evaluated as well. This tool significantly broadens the possibilities of analysis of spatiotemporal FRAP data, which originate from multi-fractional diffusion, while striving to be widely applicable. This tool has the potential to elucidate the mechanisms of molecular transport and empower rational engineering of the drug release systems. The second part of the work focuses on the fabrication of such a spatiotemporarily-controlled drug release system employing the HA/PLL multilayer. This release system comprises different layers of various functionalities that together form a sandwich structure. The bottom layer, which serves as a reservoir, is formed by HA/PLL PEM deposited on a planar glass substrate. On top of the PEM, a layer of so-called hybrids is deposited. The hybrids consist of thermoresponsive poly(N-isopropylacrylamide) (PNIPAM) -based hydrogel microparticles with surface-attached gold nanorods. The layer of hybrids is intended to serve as a gate that controls the local molecular transport through the PEM–solution-interface. The possibility of stimulating the molecular transport by near-infrared (NIR) laser irradiation is being explored. From several tested approaches for the deposition of hybrids onto the PEM surface, the drying-based approach was identified as optimal. Experiments, that examine the functionality of the fabricated sandwich at elevated temperature, document the reversible volume phase transition of the PEM-attached hybrids while sustaining the sandwich stability. Further, the gold nanorods were shown to effectively absorb light radiation in the tissue- and cell-friendly NIR spectral region while transducing the energy of light into heat. The rapid and reversible shrinkage of the PEM-attached hybrids was thereby achieved. Finally, dextran was employed as a model transport molecule. It loads into the PEM reservoir in a few seconds with the partition constant of 2.4, while it spontaneously releases in a slower, sustained manner. The local laser irradiation of the sandwich, which contains the fluorescein isothiocyanate tagged dextran, leads to a gradual reduction of fluorescence intensity in the irradiated region. The release system fabricated employs renowned photoresponsivity of the hybrids in an innovative setting. The results of the research are a step towards a spatially-controlled on-demand drug release system that paves the way to spatiotemporally controlled drug release. The approaches developed in this work have the potential to elucidate the molecular dynamics in ECM and to foster engineering of multilayers with properties tuned to mimic the ECM. The work aims at spatiotemporal control over the diffusion of bioactives and their presentation to the cells. N2 - Die Forschung an neuartigen und komplexen Biomaterialien ist unabdingbar für deren Einsatz in begehrten Bereichen wie der Gewebezüchtung, regenerativen Medizin, Zellkultivierung und Biotechnologie. Die hier vorgelegte Arbeit beschäftigt sich eingehend mit einem dieser vielversprechenden Materialien: Polyelektrolytische Multilayers (PEM), die aus Hyaluronsäure (Hyaluronic Acid, HA) und Poly-L-Lysin (PLL) zusammengesetzt sind. Diese gelartige Polymerbeschichtung ermöglicht es, (Bio-) Moleküle wie z.B. Proteine oder Medikamente zu akkumulieren und diese kontrolliert wieder abzugeben. Durch ihre Zusammensetzung und intrinsischen Merkmale können die PEM der Imitation einer Extrazellulären Matrix (ECM) dienen. Diese Eigenschaften machen die HA/PLL-PEM zu einem Anwärter auf verschiedene Bio-Anwendungen, wie den oben genannten. Die vorliegende Arbeit zielt auf die Entwicklung eines Ansatzes zur Einschätzung der multi-fraktionellen Diffusion in Multilayers (1. Teil), und auf die Kontrolle des lokalen molekularen Transports in und aus den Multilayers durch Laser-Stimulation (2. Teil). Der Aufnahme- und Freisetzungsmechanismus wird bestimmt von der Wechselwirkung zwischen Bioaktiva und den Bestandteilen der Multilayers, sowie allgemein vom Diffusionsprozess. Der Diffusion eines Molekül in HA/PLL-PEM weist unterschiedliche Diffusionsraten einzelner Molekülbestandteile auf. Derzeit existieren nur wenige Ansätze zur Einschätzung der Mobilität von Molekülen in derart komplexen Systemen. Diesem Mangel will die vorliegende Arbeit durch das Design eines neuartigen Evaluations-Instruments abhelfen. Dieses Instrument bedient sich eines simulationsbasierten Ansatzes zur Evaluation von Daten, die durch die fluorescence recovery after photobleaching (FRAP) -Methode erfasst wurden. Der Ansatz simuliert zunächst mögliche Szenarien der Fluoreszenz-Rückbildung, um diese anschließend mit Messdaten zu vergleichen; dazu werden Modell-Parameter angepasst, um suffiziente Vergleichswerte zu erzielen. Fluoreszierende Latex-Partikel verschiedener Größe und eine Fluoresceinlösung wurden als Kontroll- und Vergleichs-Proben verwendet, um die Ergebnisse zu überprüfen. Zusätzlich wurde die Diffusion des Proteins Cytochrom C in eine HA/PLL-PEM ausgewertet. Dieses Instrument weitet die Möglichkeiten der Analyse von spatiotemporären FRAP-Daten, die aus der multi-fraktionellen Diffusion stammen, erheblich und gleichzeitig ist es vielseitig einsetzbar. Das Instrument hat das Potential, die Mechanismen des Molekültransports weiter zu erhellen, und eine gezielte Steuerung der Freisetzung medikamentöser Wirkstoffe zu ermöglichen. Der zweite Teil der Arbeit widmet sich der Erstellung eines Systems zur spatiotemporären Wirkstofffreisetzung, das sich die HA/PLL-PEM zunutze macht. Dieses Freisetzungssystem umfasst verschiedene Lagen mit jeweils unterschiedlichen Funktionsweisen, die zusammen ein „Sandwich“ bilden. Die zugrundeliegende Schicht aus HA/PLL-PEM auf einem planaren Glassubstrat dient als Reservoir. Auf diese PEM ist eine Schicht sogenannter Hybride aufgebracht. Die Hybride bestehen aus thermoresponsiven Poly-N-Isopropylacrylamid (PNIPAM) -basierten Hydrogel-Mikropartikeln auf deren Gold-Nanostäbchen gebunden sind. Die Hybridschicht dient in der räumlichen Kontrolle des lokalen Molekültransports als „Schlupfloch“ an der Schnittstelle von PEM und Lösung. Die Möglichkeit der Stimulation des molekülaren Transports durch Bestrahlung mit einem Nah-Infrarot-Laser (NIR) wird hier untersucht. Von den mehreren getesteten Ansätzen zur Aufbringung von Hybriden auf die PEM-Oberfläche stellte sich die Trocknung als beste Möglichkeit heraus. Funktionalitätskontrollen des hergestellten Sandwiches bei erhöhter Temperatur ergaben eine reversible Volumenphasenübergang der PEM-gebundenen Hybride, wobei die Sandwich-Struktur erhalten blieb. Weiterhin wurde eine effektive Lichtabsorption durch die Gold-Nanostäbchen in den gewebe- und zellschonenden NIR-Spektrumsbereich gezeigt, wobei die aufgenommene Lichtenergie in Wärme umgewandelt wurde. Dadurch wurde eine schnelle und reversible Schrumpfung der PEM-gebundenen Hybride erreicht. Zuguterletzt wird Dextran als Modellmolekül für den Transport eingesetzt. Dieses wird in wenigen Sekunden – mit einem Verteilungskoeffizient von 2,4 – in das PEM-Reservoir aufgenommen, während es auf langsamere, anhaltende Weise freigesetzt wird. Die lokale Laser-Bestrahlung des Dextran-FITC-haltigen Sandwiches bewirkte eine schrittweise Reduktion der Fluoreszenz-Intensität in der bestrahlten Region. Das hier vorgestellte Molekül-Freisetzungssystem verwendet die vielzitierte Photoresponsivität von Hybriden auf neuartige Weise. Die Ergebnisse der Untersuchung bedeuten einen Fortschritt in Richtung eines räumlich kontrollierten, nach Bedarf steuerbaren Freisetzungs-Systems, das wiederum den Weg zu einer spatiotemporären Kontrollierbarkeit der Wirkstoff-Freisetzung bereiten könnte. Die in dieser Arbeit entwickelten Ansätze ermöglichen ein besseres Verständnis der Dynamik in der ECM, sowie die Entwicklung ECM-ähnlicher Multilayers. Die Arbeit hat die spatiotemporäre Kontrolle der Diffusion von bioaktiven Stoffen und deren Präsentation gegenüber Zellen zum Ziel. T2 - Molekulare Diffusion in Polyelektrolyt-Multischichten KW - polyelectrolyte multilayers KW - diffusion KW - simulation KW - FRAP KW - microgel KW - drug release KW - PNIPAM KW - IR laser KW - assessment of the diffusion KW - mulifractional diffusion KW - spatially and temporally controlled drug release KW - ordering of particles on the surface KW - close packing KW - dichteste Packung KW - Diffusion KW - Einschätzung der Diffusion KW - Wirkstoff-Freisetzun KW - Mikrogel KW - multi-fraktionelle Diffusion KW - Ordnung der Partikel auf der Oberfläche KW - Polyelektrolyt-Multischichten KW - Simulation KW - räumlich und zeitlich kontrollierte Wirkstoff-Freisetzung KW - FRAP KW - IR laser KW - PNIPAM Y1 - 2020 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-489038 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Šimík, Radek T1 - On doubling unconditionals JF - Of trees and birds. A Festschrift for Gisbert Fanselow KW - Festschrift KW - Informationsstruktur KW - Linguistik KW - Morphologie KW - Syntax KW - festschrift KW - information structure KW - linguistics KW - morphology KW - syntax Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-432267 SN - 978-3-86956-457-9 SP - 155 EP - 169 PB - Universitätsverlag Potsdam CY - Potsdam ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Šedová, Barbora A1 - Čizmaziová, Lucia A1 - Cook, Athene T1 - A meta-analysis of climate migration literature T2 - CEPA Discussion Papers N2 - The large literature that aims to find evidence of climate migration delivers mixed findings. This meta-regression analysis i) summarizes direct links between adverse climatic events and migration, ii) maps patterns of climate migration, and iii) explains the variation in outcomes. Using a set of limited dependent variable models, we meta-analyze thus-far the most comprehensive sample of 3,625 estimates from 116 original studies and produce novel insights on climate migration. We find that extremely high temperatures and drying conditions increase migration. We do not find a significant effect of sudden-onset events. Climate migration is most likely to emerge due to contemporaneous events, to originate in rural areas and to take place in middle-income countries, internally, to cities. The likelihood to become trapped in affected areas is higher for women and in low-income countries, particularly in Africa. We uniquely quantify how pitfalls typical for the broader empirical climate impact literature affect climate migration findings. We also find evidence of different publication biases. T3 - CEPA Discussion Papers - 29 KW - migration KW - climate change KW - meta-analysis Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-499827 SN - 2628-653X IS - 29 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Šedová, Barbora A1 - Kalkuhl, Matthias T1 - Who are the climate migrants and where do they go? BT - Evidence from rural India JF - World development N2 - In this paper, we move from the large strand of research that looks at evidence of climate migration to the questions: who are the climate migrants? and where do they go? These questions are crucial to design policies that mitigate welfare losses of migration choices due to climate change. We study the direct and heterogeneous associations between weather extremes and migration in rural India. We combine ERAS reanalysis data with the India Human Development Survey household panel and conduct regression analyses by applying linear probability and multinomial logit models. This enables us to establish a causal relationship between temperature and precipitation anomalies and overall migration as well as migration by destination. We show that adverse weather shocks decrease rural-rural and international migration and push people into cities in different, presumably more prosperous states. A series of positive weather shocks, however, facilitates international migration and migration to cities within the same state. Further, our results indicate that in contrast to other migrants, climate migrants are likely to be from the lower end of the skill distribution and from households strongly dependent on agricultural production. We estimate that approximately 8% of all rural-urban moves between 2005 and 2012 can be attributed to weather. This figure might increase as a consequence of climate change. Thus, a key policy recommendation is to take steps to facilitate integration of less educated migrants into the urban labor market. KW - climate change KW - migration KW - household analysis KW - India KW - econometrics Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2019.104848 SN - 0305-750X SN - 1873-5991 VL - 129 PB - Elsevier Science CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - THES A1 - Šedová, Barbora T1 - Heterogeneous effects of weather and climate change on human migration T1 - Heterogene Auswirkungen von Wetter und Klimawandel auf menschliche Migration N2 - While estimated numbers of past and future climate migrants are alarming, the growing empirical evidence suggests that the association between adverse climate-related events and migration is not universally positive. This dissertation seeks to advance our understanding of when and how climate migration emerges by analyzing heterogeneous climatic influences on migration in low- and middle-income countries. To this end, it draws on established economic theories of migration, datasets from physical and social sciences, causal inference techniques and approaches from systematic literature review. In three of its five chapters, I estimate causal effects of processes of climate change on inequality and migration in India and Sub-Saharan Africa. By employing interaction terms and by analyzing sub-samples of data, I explore how these relationships differ for various segments of the population. In the remaining two chapters, I present two systematic literature reviews. First, I undertake a comprehensive meta-regression analysis of the econometric climate migration literature to summarize general climate migration patterns and explain the conflicting findings. Second, motivated by the broad range of approaches in the field, I examine the literature from a methodological perspective to provide best practice guidelines for studying climate migration empirically. Overall, the evidence from this dissertation shows that climatic influences on human migration are highly heterogeneous. Whether adverse climate-related impacts materialize in migration depends on the socio-economic characteristics of the individual households, such as wealth, level of education, agricultural dependence or access to adaptation technologies and insurance. For instance, I show that while adverse climatic shocks are generally associated with an increase in migration in rural India, they reduce migration in the agricultural context of Sub-Saharan Africa, where the average wealth levels are much lower so that households largely cannot afford the upfront costs of moving. I find that unlike local climatic shocks which primarily enhance internal migration to cities and hence accelerate urbanization, shocks transmitted via agricultural producer prices increase migration to neighboring countries, likely due to the simultaneous decrease in real income in nearby urban areas. These findings advance our current understanding by showing when and how economic agents respond to climatic events, thus providing explicit contexts and mechanisms of climate change effects on migration in the future. The resulting collection of findings can guide policy interventions to avoid or mitigate any present and future welfare losses from climate change-related migration choices. N2 - Während die geschätzten Zahlen zukünftiger Klimamigranten alarmierend sind, deuten die wachsenden empirischen Belege darauf hin, dass der Klimawandel nicht automatisch zu mehr Migration führt. Denn auch wenn klimabezogene Einflüsse die Entscheidung zur Migration zunehmend beeinflussen, wird diese durch eine Vielzahl von Faktoren, wie beispielsweise den sozioökonomischen und politischen Bedingungen, beeinflusst. Der Zusammenhang zwischen Klimawandel und Migration ist also stark kontextabhängig. Diese Dissertation besteht aus fünf Artikeln und zeigt, wann und wie Klimamigration entsteht, indem sie die heterogenen klimatischen Einflüsse in Entwicklungsländern untersucht. Gestützt auf ökonomische Migrationstheorien analysiere ich Datensätze aus den Natur- und Sozialwissenschaften mithilfe von Methodiken der ökonometrischen Kausalanalyse, der Geoinformationssysteme und der systematischen Literatursynthese. In drei von fünf Kapiteln schätze ich die kausalen Auswirkungen des Klimawandels auf Ungleichheit und Migration in Indien und Subsahara Afrika. Durch die Verwendung von Interaktionstermen und die Analyse von Teilstichproben untersuche ich in Regressionsmodellen, wie sich diese Beziehungen für verschiedene Bevölkerungsgruppen unterscheiden. In den verbleibenden zwei Kapiteln fasse ich die ökonometrische Literatur zur Klimamigration systematisch zusammen. Zunächst führe ich eine umfassende Meta-Regressionsanalyse durch, um die allgemeine Klimamigrationsmuster zusammenzufassen und die widersprüchliche Evidenz zu erklären. In einem zweiten Schritt untersuche ich die ökonometrische Klimamigrationsliteratur aus einer methodologischen Perspektive, um Best-Practice-Leitlinien für künftige empirische Analysen von Klimamigration bereitzustellen. Insgesamt bestätigen die Ergebnisse dieser Dissertation, dass die klimatischen Einflüsse auf menschliche Migration heterogen sind und von den sozioökonomischen Merkmalen der einzelnen Haushalte wie dem Wohlstand und Bildungsniveau, der Abhängigkeit von der Landwirtschaft oder dem Zugang zu Anpassungstechnologien und Versicherungen, mitbestimmt werden. Ich finde beispielsweise, dass ungünstige klimatische Schocks zu einem Migrationsanstieg im ländlichen Indien führen, sie aber die Migration im landwirtschaftlichen Subsahara Afrika, wo das durchschnittliche Einkommensniveau viel niedriger ist, verhindern. Ich habe zudem herausgefunden, dass im Gegensatz zu lokalen klimatischen Schocks, die in erster Linie die Binnenmigration in die Städte verstärken und damit die Urbanisierung beschleunigen, globale Schocks über landwirtschaftliche Erzeugerpreise die Abwanderung in benachbarte Länder antreiben. Diese Ergebnisse erweitern unser derzeitiges Verständnis, indem sie verdeutlichen, wann und wie Akteure auf unterschiedliche Klimaereignisse mit der Entscheidung zur Migration reagieren. Die daraus resultierenden Erkenntnisse können helfen, Entscheidungsträger auf drei wichtige Arten zu informieren. Erstens, wenn man weiß, wer die Klimamigranten sind und welche Destinationsziele sie wählen, wird Klimamigration vorhersehbarer und damit kontrollierbarer. Dies kann verhindern, dass sie zu einer humanitären Krise wird. Zweitens hilft die Identifizierung von Bevölkerungsgruppen, die nicht in der Lage sind, sich durch Migration an die veränderten klimatischen Bedingungen anzupassen, dabei, unfreiwillige Immobilität zu vermeiden, was wiederum auch eine potenzielle humanitären Krise verhindert. Drittens können all diese Informationen helfen, Kosten und Nutzen der Klima(im)mobilität genauer zu bewerten und so die Social Cost of Carbon genauer einzuschätzen. KW - migration KW - weather KW - climate change KW - agriculture KW - food prices KW - inequality KW - econometrics KW - Landwirtschaft KW - Klimawandel KW - Ökonometrie KW - Lebensmittelpreise KW - Ungleichheit KW - Migration KW - Wetter Y1 - 2022 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-536733 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Şener, Ulaş T1 - Rodrik, Dani (2015): Economics Rules: The Rights and Wrongs of the Dismal Science / rezensiert von Ulaş Şener JF - European journal of economics and economic policies : intervention ; EJEEP Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.4337/ejeep.2017.03.08 SN - 2052-7764 SN - 2195-3376 VL - 14 SP - 375 EP - 377 PB - Elgar CY - Cheltenham ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Şahin, Muhittin A1 - Egloffstein, Marc A1 - Bothe, Max A1 - Rohloff, Tobias A1 - Schenk, Nathanael A1 - Schwerer, Florian A1 - Ifenthaler, Dirk T1 - Behavioral Patterns in Enterprise MOOCs at openSAP JF - EMOOCs 2021 Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-517350 SN - 978-3-86956-512-5 VL - 2021 SP - 281 EP - 288 PB - Universitätsverlag Potsdam CY - Potsdam ER - TY - GEN A1 - Ślęzak, Jakub A1 - Metzler, Ralf A1 - Magdziarz, Marcin T1 - Codifference can detect ergodicity breaking and non-Gaussianity T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - We show that the codifference is a useful tool in studying the ergodicity breaking and non-Gaussianity properties of stochastic time series. While the codifference is a measure of dependence that was previously studied mainly in the context of stable processes, we here extend its range of applicability to random-parameter and diffusing-diffusivity models which are important in contemporary physics, biology and financial engineering. We prove that the codifference detects forms of dependence and ergodicity breaking which are not visible from analysing the covariance and correlation functions. We also discuss a related measure of dispersion, which is a nonlinear analogue of the mean squared displacement. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 748 KW - diffusion KW - anomalous diffusion KW - stochastic time series Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-436178 IS - 748 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Ślęzak, Jakub A1 - Metzler, Ralf A1 - Magdziarz, Marcin T1 - Superstatistical generalised Langevin equation BT - non-Gaussian viscoelastic anomalous diffusion N2 - Recent advances in single particle tracking and supercomputing techniques demonstrate the emergence of normal or anomalous, viscoelastic diffusion in conjunction with non-Gaussian distributions in soft, biological, and active matter systems. We here formulate a stochastic model based on a generalised Langevin equation in which non-Gaussian shapes of the probability density function and normal or anomalous diffusion have a common origin, namely a random parametrisation of the stochastic force. We perform a detailed analysis demonstrating how various types of parameter distributions for the memory kernel result in exponential, power law, or power-log law tails of the memory functions. The studied system is also shown to exhibit a further unusual property: the velocity has a Gaussian one point probability density but non-Gaussian joint distributions. This behaviour is reflected in the relaxation from a Gaussian to a non-Gaussian distribution observed for the position variable. We show that our theoretical results are in excellent agreement with stochastic simulations. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 413 KW - anomalous diffusion KW - generalised langevin equation KW - superstatistics KW - non-Gaussian diffusion Y1 - 2018 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-409315 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ślęzak, Jakub A1 - Metzler, Ralf A1 - Magdziarz, Marcin T1 - Superstatistical generalised Langevin equation BT - non-Gaussian viscoelastic anomalous diffusion JF - New Journal of Physics N2 - Recent advances in single particle tracking and supercomputing techniques demonstrate the emergence of normal or anomalous, viscoelastic diffusion in conjunction with non-Gaussian distributions in soft, biological, and active matter systems. We here formulate a stochastic model based on a generalised Langevin equation in which non-Gaussian shapes of the probability density function and normal or anomalous diffusion have a common origin, namely a random parametrisation of the stochastic force. We perform a detailed analysis demonstrating how various types of parameter distributions for the memory kernel result in exponential, power law, or power-log law tails of the memory functions. The studied system is also shown to exhibit a further unusual property: the velocity has a Gaussian one point probability density but non-Gaussian joint distributions. This behaviour is reflected in the relaxation from a Gaussian to a non-Gaussian distribution observed for the position variable. We show that our theoretical results are in excellent agreement with stochastic simulations. KW - anomalous diffusion KW - generalised langevin equation KW - superstatistics KW - non-Gaussian diffusion Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/1367-2630/aaa3d4 SN - 1367-2630 VL - 20 IS - 023026 SP - 1 EP - 25 PB - Deutsche Physikalische Gesellschaft / Institute of Physics CY - Bad Honnef und London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ślęzak, Jakub A1 - Metzler, Ralf A1 - Magdziarz, Marcin T1 - Codifference can detect ergodicity breaking and non-Gaussianity JF - New Journal of Physics N2 - We show that the codifference is a useful tool in studying the ergodicity breaking and non-Gaussianity properties of stochastic time series. While the codifference is a measure of dependence that was previously studied mainly in the context of stable processes, we here extend its range of applicability to random-parameter and diffusing-diffusivity models which are important in contemporary physics, biology and financial engineering. We prove that the codifference detects forms of dependence and ergodicity breaking which are not visible from analysing the covariance and correlation functions. We also discuss a related measure of dispersion, which is a nonlinear analogue of the mean squared displacement. KW - diffusion KW - stochastic time series KW - anomalous diffusion Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/1367-2630/ab13f3 SN - 1367-2630 VL - 21 PB - Deutsche Physikalische Gesellschaft CY - Bad Honnef ER - TY - GEN A1 - Ślęzak, Jakub A1 - Burnecki, Krzysztof A1 - Metzler, Ralf T1 - Random coefficient autoregressive processes describe Brownian yet non-Gaussian diffusion in heterogeneous systems T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - Many studies on biological and soft matter systems report the joint presence of a linear mean-squared displacement and a non-Gaussian probability density exhibiting, for instance, exponential or stretched-Gaussian tails. This phenomenon is ascribed to the heterogeneity of the medium and is captured by random parameter models such as ‘superstatistics’ or ‘diffusing diffusivity’. Independently, scientists working in the area of time series analysis and statistics have studied a class of discrete-time processes with similar properties, namely, random coefficient autoregressive models. In this work we try to reconcile these two approaches and thus provide a bridge between physical stochastic processes and autoregressive models.Westart from the basic Langevin equation of motion with time-varying damping or diffusion coefficients and establish the link to random coefficient autoregressive processes. By exploring that link we gain access to efficient statistical methods which can help to identify data exhibiting Brownian yet non-Gaussian diffusion. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 765 KW - diffusion KW - Langevin equation KW - Brownian yet non-Gaussian diffusion KW - diffusing diffusivity KW - superstatistics KW - autoregressive models KW - time series analysis KW - codifference Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-437923 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 765 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ślęzak, Jakub A1 - Burnecki, Krzysztof A1 - Metzler, Ralf T1 - Random coefficient autoregressive processes describe Brownian yet non-Gaussian diffusion in heterogeneous systems JF - New Journal of Physics N2 - Many studies on biological and soft matter systems report the joint presence of a linear mean-squared displacement and a non-Gaussian probability density exhibiting, for instance, exponential or stretched-Gaussian tails. This phenomenon is ascribed to the heterogeneity of the medium and is captured by random parameter models such as ‘superstatistics’ or ‘diffusing diffusivity’. Independently, scientists working in the area of time series analysis and statistics have studied a class of discrete-time processes with similar properties, namely, random coefficient autoregressive models. In this work we try to reconcile these two approaches and thus provide a bridge between physical stochastic processes and autoregressive models.Westart from the basic Langevin equation of motion with time-varying damping or diffusion coefficients and establish the link to random coefficient autoregressive processes. By exploring that link we gain access to efficient statistical methods which can help to identify data exhibiting Brownian yet non-Gaussian diffusion. KW - diffusion KW - Langevin equation KW - Brownian yet non-Gaussian diffusion KW - diffusing diffusivity KW - superstatistics KW - autoregressive models KW - time series analysis KW - codifference Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/1367-2630/ab3366 SN - 1367-2630 VL - 21 PB - Deutsche Physikalische Gesellschaft ; IOP, Institute of Physics CY - Bad Honnef und London ER - TY - GEN A1 - Ćwiek-Kupczyńska, Hanna A1 - Altmann, Thomas A1 - Arend, Daniel A1 - Arnaud, Elizabeth A1 - Chen, Dijun A1 - Cornut, Guillaume A1 - Fiorani, Fabio A1 - Frohmberg, Wojciech A1 - Junker, Astrid A1 - Klukas, Christian A1 - Lange, Matthias A1 - Mazurek, Cezary A1 - Nafissi, Anahita A1 - Neveu, Pascal A1 - van Oeveren, Jan A1 - Pommier, Cyril A1 - Poorter, Hendrik A1 - Rocca-Serra, Philippe A1 - Sansone, Susanna-Assunta A1 - Scholz, Uwe A1 - van Schriek, Marco A1 - Seren, Ümit A1 - Usadel, Björn A1 - Weise, Stephan A1 - Kersey, Paul A1 - Krajewski, Paweł T1 - Measures for interoperability of phenotypic data BT - minimum information requirements and formatting T2 - Plant methods N2 - Background: Plant phenotypic data shrouds a wealth of information which, when accurately analysed and linked to other data types, brings to light the knowledge about the mechanisms of life. As phenotyping is a field of research comprising manifold, diverse and time ‑consuming experiments, the findings can be fostered by reusing and combin‑ ing existing datasets. Their correct interpretation, and thus replicability, comparability and interoperability, is possible provided that the collected observations are equipped with an adequate set of metadata. So far there have been no common standards governing phenotypic data description, which hampered data exchange and reuse. Results: In this paper we propose the guidelines for proper handling of the information about plant phenotyping experiments, in terms of both the recommended content of the description and its formatting. We provide a docu‑ ment called “Minimum Information About a Plant Phenotyping Experiment”, which specifies what information about each experiment should be given, and a Phenotyping Configuration for the ISA ‑Tab format, which allows to practically organise this information within a dataset. We provide examples of ISA ‑Tab ‑formatted phenotypic data, and a general description of a few systems where the recommendations have been implemented. Conclusions: Acceptance of the rules described in this paper by the plant phenotyping community will help to achieve findable, accessible, interoperable and reusable data. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 450 KW - data standardisation and formatting KW - experimental metadata KW - minimum information recommendations KW - plant phenotyping KW - experiment description Y1 - 2018 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-407299 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Üstün, Suayib A1 - Sheikh, Arsheed A1 - Gimenez-Ibanez, Selena A1 - Jones, Alexandra A1 - Ntoukakis, Vardis A1 - Börnke, Frederik T1 - The Proteasome Acts as a Hub for Plant Immunity and Is Targeted by Pseudomonas Type III Effectors JF - Plant physiology : an international journal devoted to physiology, biochemistry, cellular and molecular biology, biophysics and environmental biology of plants N2 - Recent evidence suggests that the ubiquitin-proteasome system is involved in several aspects of plant immunity and that a range of plant pathogens subvert the ubiquitin-proteasome system to enhance their virulence. Here, we show that proteasome activity is strongly induced during basal defense in Arabidopsis (Arabidopsis thaliana). Mutant lines of the proteasome subunits RPT2a and RPN12a support increased bacterial growth of virulent Pseudomonas syringae pv tomato DC3000 (Pst) and Pseudomonas syringae pv maculicola ES4326. Both proteasome subunits are required for pathogen-associated molecular pattern-triggered immunity responses. Analysis of bacterial growth after a secondary infection of systemic leaves revealed that the establishment of systemic acquired resistance (SAR) is impaired in proteasome mutants, suggesting that the proteasome also plays an important role in defense priming and SAR. In addition, we show that Pst inhibits proteasome activity in a type III secretion-dependent manner. A screen for type III effector proteins from Pst for their ability to interfere with proteasome activity revealed HopM1, HopAO1, HopA1, and HopG1 as putative proteasome inhibitors. Biochemical characterization of HopM1 by mass spectrometry indicates that HopM1 interacts with several E3 ubiquitin ligases and proteasome subunits. This supports the hypothesis that HopM1 associates with the proteasome, leading to its inhibition. Thus, the proteasome is an essential component of pathogen-associated molecular pattern-triggered immunity and SAR, which is targeted by multiple bacterial effectors. Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1104/pp.16.00808 SN - 0032-0889 SN - 1532-2548 VL - 172 SP - 1941 EP - 1958 PB - American Society of Plant Physiologists CY - Rockville ER - TY - GEN A1 - Üstün, Suayib A1 - Bartetzko, Verena A1 - Börnke, Frederik T1 - The Xanthomonas effector XopJ triggers a conditional hypersensitive response upon treatment of N. benthamiana leaves with salicylic acid T2 - Frontiers in plant science N2 - XopJ is a Xanthomonas type III effector protein that promotes bacterial virulence on susceptible pepper plants through the inhibition of the host cell proteasome and a resultant suppression of salicylic acid (SA) - dependent defense responses. We show here that Nicotiana benthamiana leaves transiently expressing XopJ display hypersensitive response (HR) -like symptoms when exogenously treated with SA. This apparent avirulence function of XopJ was further dependent on effector myristoylation as well as on an intact catalytic triad, suggesting a requirement of its enzymatic activity for HR-like symptom elicitation. The ability of XopJ to cause a HR-like symptom development upon SA treatment was lost upon silencing of SGT1 and NDR1, respectively, but was independent of EDS1 silencing, suggesting that XopJ is recognized by an R protein of the CC-NBS-LRR class. Furthermore, silencing of NPR1 abolished the elicitation of HR-like symptoms in XopJ expressing leaves after SA application. Measurement of the proteasome activity indicated that proteasome inhibition by XopJ was alleviated in the presence of SA, an effect that was not observed in NPR1 silenced plants. Our results suggest that XopJ - triggered HR-like symptoms are closely related to the virulence function of the effector and that XopJ follows a two-signal model in order to elicit a response in the non-host plant N. benthamiana. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 432 KW - Xanthomonas KW - type-III effector KW - XopJ KW - avirulence KW - salicylic acid Y1 - 2018 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-406537 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Üstün, Suayib A1 - Bartetzko, Verena A1 - Börnke, Frederik T1 - The Xanthomonas effector XopJ triggers a conditional hypersensitive response upon treatment of N. benthamiana leaves with salicylic acid JF - Frontiers in plant science N2 - XopJ is a Xanthomonas type III effector protein that promotes bacterial virulence on susceptible pepper plants through the inhibition of the host cell proteasome and a resultant suppression of salicylic acid (SA) - dependent defense responses. We show here that Nicotiana benthamiana leaves transiently expressing XopJ display hypersensitive response (HR) -like symptoms when exogenously treated with SA. This apparent avirulence function of XopJ was further dependent on effector myristoylation as well as on an intact catalytic triad, suggesting a requirement of its enzymatic activity for HR-like symptom elicitation. The ability of XopJ to cause a HR-like symptom development upon SA treatment was lost upon silencing of SGT1 and NDR1, respectively, but was independent of EDS1 silencing, suggesting that XopJ is recognized by an R protein of the CC-NBS-LRR class. Furthermore, silencing of NPR1 abolished the elicitation of HR-like symptoms in XopJ expressing leaves after SA application. Measurement of the proteasome activity indicated that proteasome inhibition by XopJ was alleviated in the presence of SA, an effect that was not observed in NPR1 silenced plants. Our results suggest that XopJ - triggered HR-like symptoms are closely related to the virulence function of the effector and that XopJ follows a two-signal model in order to elicit a response in the non-host plant N. benthamiana. KW - Xanthomonas KW - type-III effector KW - XopJ KW - avirulence KW - salicylic acid Y1 - 2015 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3389/fpls.2015.00599 SN - 1664-462X VL - 6 PB - Frontiers Research Foundation CY - Lausanne ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Öztürk, Ugur A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - von Specht, Sebastian A1 - Korup, Oliver A1 - Jensen, J. T1 - A new centennial sea-level record for Antalya, Eastern Mediterranean JF - Journal of geophysical research-oceans N2 - Quantitative estimates of sea-level rise in the Mediterranean Basin become increasingly accurate thanks to detailed satellite monitoring. However, such measuring campaigns cover several years to decades, while longer-term sea-level records are rare for the Mediterranean. We used a data archeological approach to reanalyze monthly mean sea-level data of the Antalya-I (1935–1977) tide gauge to fill this gap. We checked the accuracy and reliability of these data before merging them with the more recent records of the Antalya-II (1985–2009) tide gauge, accounting for an eight-year hiatus. We obtain a composite time series of monthly and annual mean sea levels spanning some 75 years, providing the longest record for the eastern Mediterranean Basin, and thus an essential tool for studying the region's recent sea-level trends. We estimate a relative mean sea-level rise of 2.2 ± 0.5 mm/year between 1935 and 2008, with an annual variability (expressed here as the standard deviation of the residuals, σresiduals = 41.4 mm) above that at the closest tide gauges (e.g., Thessaloniki, Greece, σresiduals = 29.0 mm). Relative sea-level rise accelerated to 6.0 ± 1.5 mm/year at Antalya-II; we attribute roughly half of this rate (~3.6 mm/year) to tectonic crustal motion and anthropogenic land subsidence. Our study highlights the value of data archeology for recovering and integrating historic tide gauge data for long-term sea-level and climate studies. KW - sea level KW - tide gauge KW - data archeology KW - Mediterranean Sea Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JC013906 SN - 2169-9275 SN - 2169-9291 VL - 123 IS - 7 SP - 4503 EP - 4517 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Öztürk, Ugur A1 - Bozzolan, Elisa A1 - Holcombe, Elizabeth A. A1 - Shukla, Roopam A1 - Pianosi, Francesca A1 - Wagener, Thorsten T1 - How climate change and unplanned urban sprawl bring more landslides JF - Nature : the international weekly journal of science N2 - More settlements will suffer as heavy rains and unregulated construction destabilize slopes in the tropics, models show. KW - Geophysics KW - Engineering KW - Climate change KW - Policy Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1038/d41586-022-02141-9 SN - 0028-0836 SN - 1476-4687 VL - 608 IS - 7922 SP - 262 EP - 265 PB - Nature portfolio CY - Berlin ER - TY - THES A1 - Öztürk, Ugur T1 - Learning more to predict landslides T1 - Ein verbessertes Wissen zur Prognose von Hangrutschungen N2 - Landslides are frequent natural hazards in rugged terrain, when the resisting frictional force of the surface of rupture yields to the gravitational force. These forces are functions of geological and morphological factors, such as angle of internal friction, local slope gradient or curvature, which remain static over hundreds of years; whereas more dynamic triggering events, such as rainfall and earthquakes, compromise the force balance by temporarily reducing resisting forces or adding transient loads. This thesis investigates landslide distribution and orientation due to landslide triggers (e.g. rainfall) at different scales (6-4∙10^5 km^2) and aims to link rainfall movement with the landslide distribution. It additionally explores the local impacts of the extreme rainstorms on landsliding and the role of precursory stability conditions that could be induced by an earlier trigger, such as an earthquake. Extreme rainfall is a common landslide trigger. Although several studies assessed rainfall intensity and duration to study the distribution of thus triggered landslides, only a few case studies quantified spatial rainfall patterns (i.e. orographic effect). Quantifying the regional trajectories of extreme rainfall could aid predicting landslide prone regions in Japan. To this end, I combined a non-linear correlation metric, namely event synchronization, and radial statistics to assess the general pattern of extreme rainfall tracks over distances of hundreds of kilometers using satellite based rainfall estimates. Results showed that, although the increase in rainfall intensity and duration positively correlates with landslide occurrence, the trajectories of typhoons and frontal storms were insufficient to explain landslide distribution in Japan. Extreme rainfall trajectories inclined northwestwards and were concentrated along some certain locations, such as coastlines of southern Japan, which was unnoticed in the landslide distribution of about 5000 rainfall-triggered landslides. These landslides seemed to respond to the mean annual rainfall rates. Above mentioned findings suggest further investigation on a more local scale to better understand the mechanistic response of landscape to extreme rainfall in terms of landslides. On May 2016 intense rainfall struck southern Germany triggering high waters and landslides. The highest damage was reported at the Braunsbach, which is located on the tributary-mouth fan formed by the Orlacher Bach. Orlacher Bach is a ~3 km long creek that drains a catchment of about ~6 km^2. I visited this catchment in June 2016 and mapped 48 landslides along the creek. Such high landslide activity was not reported in the nearby catchments within ~3300 km^2, despite similar rainfall intensity and duration based on weather radar estimates. My hypothesis was that several landslides were triggered by rainfall-triggered flash floods that undercut hillslope toes along the Orlacher Bach. I found that morphometric features such as slope and curvature play an important role in landslide distribution on this micro scale study site (<10 km^2). In addition, the high number of landslides along the Orlacher Bach could also be boosted by accumulated damages on hillslopes due karst weathering over longer time scales. Precursory damages on hillslopes could also be induced by past triggering events that effect landscape evolution, but this interaction is hard to assess independently from the latest trigger. For example, an earthquake might influence the evolution of a landscape decades long, besides its direct impacts, such as landslides that follow the earthquake. Here I studied the consequences of the 2016 Kumamoto Earthquake (MW 7.1) that triggered some 1500 landslides in an area of ~4000 km^2 in central Kyushu, Japan. Topography, i.e. local slope and curvature, both amplified and attenuated seismic waves, thus controlling the failure mechanism of those landslides (e.g. progressive). I found that topography fails in explaining the distribution and the preferred orientation of the landslides after the earthquake; instead the landslides were concentrated around the northeast of the rupture area and faced mostly normal to the rupture plane. This preferred location of the landslides was dominated mainly by the directivity effect of the strike-slip earthquake, which is the propagation of wave energy along the fault in the rupture direction; whereas amplitude variations of the seismic radiation altered the preferred orientation. I suspect that the earthquake directivity and the asymmetry of seismic radiation damaged hillslopes at those preferred locations increasing landslide susceptibility. Hence a future weak triggering event, e.g. scattered rainfall, could further trigger landslides at those damaged hillslopes. N2 - Hangrutschungen treten häufig in steilem Gelände auf, wenn die Erdanziehungskraft die Scherkräfte an der Oberfläche übersteigt. Diese Kräfte beinhalten geologische und geomorphologische Faktoren wie den Reibungswinkel oder die Neigung und Krümmung von Hängen, die über Jahrhunderte statisch bleiben können. Dynamische Ereignisse wie Regenfälle und Erdbeben können hingegen das Kräftegleichgewicht beeinträchtigen, indem sie Widerstandskräfte vorübergehend reduzieren oder Lasten temporär hinzufügen. Diese Arbeit untersucht die Verteilung und Orientierung von Hangrutschungen in Abhängigkeit von Auslösern (z.B. Niederschlag) auf verschiedenen Skalenebenen (6-4∙10^5 km^2) und verknüpft die Bewegung des Niederschlagssystems mit der Hangrutschungsverteilung. Zudem werden lokale Auswirkungen von extremen Gewittern auf Hangrutschungen untersucht, sowie vorausgehende Stabilitätsbedingungen, die durch ein früheres Ereignis, beispielsweise ein Erdbeben, verändert werden können. Extremer Niederschlag ist ein weithin bekannter Auslöser für Hangrutschungen. Obwohl mehrere Studien die Verteilung von Hangrutschungen mit der Niederschlagsintensität und -dauer verglichen haben, beachteten nur wenige Fallstudien das räumliche Bewegungsmuster des Niederschlags, i.e. den orographischen Effekt. Eine solche Quantifizierung könnte die Vorhersage von hangrutschungsgefährdete Regionen in Japan verbessern. Hierfür habe ich ein nicht-lineares Korrelationsmaß (event synchronization) auf regionale Sturmbahnen in Japan angewendet, um deren räumliche Verteilung durch satellitengestützen Regenschätzungen nachzuvollziehen. Die durchgeführten Untersuchungen zeigten, dass sich die Verteilung von Hangrutschungen nur unzureichend mit den Zugbahnen von Taifunen und Sturmtiefen erklären lässt. Die Stabilität von Hängen scheint mehr durch mittlere Jahresniederschlagsmengen beeinflusst zu werden. Erzielte Ergebnisse zeigen, dass weitere Untersuchungen auf lokaler Ebene nötig sind, um die unmittelbare Auswirkungen von Extremniederschlägen auf Hangstabilität und -rutschungen besser zu verstehen. Im Mai 2016 kam es in Süddeutschland zu einem heftigen Gewitter, das Hochwasser und Hangrutschungen ausgelöst hat. Der höchste Schaden wurde in Braunsbach, dessen Zentrum sich am Zufluss des Orlacher Bachs befindet, gemeldet. Der Orlacher Bach ist ~3 lang und hat ein Einzugsgebiet von etwa ~6 km^2. Ich habe dieses Einzugsgebiet im Juni 2016 besucht und 48 Hangrutschungen entlang des Baches kartiert. Ich vermutete, dass mehrere Hangrutschungen durch Sturzfluten ausgelöst wurden, welche die Hänge entlang des Orlacher Baches unterspülten. Ich stellte fest, dass morphometrische Merkmale wie die lokale Hangneigung und -krümmung eine wichtige Rolle bei der Hangrutschungsverteilung auf dieser Mikroskala spielen (<10 km^2). Darüber hinaus könnte die hohe Anzahl von Hangrutschungen am Orlacher Bach auch durch Karstverwitterung über längere Zeiträume verstärkt werden. Zahlreiche in der Vergangenheit liegende Ereignisse können die Stabilität eines Hanges beeinflussen. Der Einfluss solcher Ereignisse ist nur sehr schwer unabhängig voneinander abschätzbar. Beispielseise könnte ein Erdbeben die Entwicklung einer Landschaft über Jahrzehnte hin beeinflussen. Hier erforsche ich die Folgen des Kumamoto-Erdbebens 2016 (MW 7.1) das im Zentrum von Kyushu, Japan, ca. 1500 Hangrutschungen in einem Gebiet von ~4000 km^2 ausgelöst hat. Die Topographie (Hangneigung und -krümmung) verstärkte schwächte seismische Wellen gleichermaßen ab, wodurch der Auslösemechanismus dieser Hangrutschungen (z.B. progressiv) gesteuert wird. Ich konnte belegen, dass die Topographie die Verteilung und die bevorzugte Ausrichtung der Hangrutsche nach dem Erdbeben nicht erklären kann; stattdessen waren die Hangrutschungen um den Nordosten des Bruchgebiets herum konzentriert und standen meist senkrecht zur Bruchfläche. Diese bevorzugte Lage der Erdrutsche wurde hauptsächlich durch den Richtwirkungseffekt des Blattverschiebung-Erdbebens dominiert. Bei diesem handelt es sich um die Ausbreitung der Wellenenergie entlang des Bruches in Bruchrichtung, während Amplitudenvariationen der seismischen Strahlung die bevorzugte Orientierung ändern. Ich vermute, dass die Richtwirkung des Erdbebens und die Asymmetrie der seismischen Strahlung die Hangneigung an diesen bevorzugten Stellen schädigten und die Anfälligkeit für Hangrutschungen erhöhten. Daher könnte ein zukünftiges schwaches Ereignis wie z.B. ein unbedeutender Niederschlag an diesen beschädigten Hängen weitere Hangrutschungen auslösen. KW - landslides KW - complex networks KW - event synchronization KW - typhoons KW - Kumamoto earthquake KW - Braunsbach flash flood KW - Hangrutschungen KW - komplexes Netzwerk KW - Synchronisation von Ereignissen KW - Taifune KW - Kumamoto Erdbeben KW - Braunsbach Sturzflut Y1 - 2018 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-426439 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Özkan, Ayşegül A1 - Fikri, Figen Beken A1 - Kırkıcı, Bilal A1 - Kliegl, Reinhold A1 - Acartürk, Cengiz T1 - Eye movement control in Turkish sentence reading JF - Quarterly journal of experimental psychology : QJEP / EPS, Experimental Psychology Society N2 - Reading requires the assembly of cognitive processes across a wide spectrum from low-level visual perception to high-level discourse comprehension. One approach of unravelling the dynamics associated with these processes is to determine how eye movements are influenced by the characteristics of the text, in particular which features of the words within the perceptual span maximise the information intake due to foveal, spillover, parafoveal, and predictive processing. One way to test the generalisability of current proposals of such distributed processing is to examine them across different languages. For Turkish, an agglutinative language with a shallow orthography-phonology mapping, we replicate the well-known canonical main effects of frequency and predictability of the fixated word as well as effects of incoming saccade amplitude and fixation location within the word on single-fixation durations with data from 35 adults reading 120 nine-word sentences. Evidence for previously reported effects of the characteristics of neighbouring words and interactions was mixed. There was no evidence for the expected Turkish-specific morphological effect of the number of inflectional suffixes on single-fixation durations. To control for word-selection bias associated with single-fixation durations, we also tested effects on word skipping, single-fixation, and multiple-fixation cases with a base-line category logit model, assuming an increase of difficulty for an increase in the number of fixations. With this model, significant effects of word characteristics and number of inflectional suffixes of foveal word on probabilities of the number of fixations were observed, while the effects of the characteristics of neighbouring words and interactions were mixed. KW - Eye movements KW - reading KW - Turkish Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1177/1747021820963310 SN - 1747-0218 SN - 1747-0226 VL - 74 IS - 2 SP - 377 EP - 397 PB - Sage Publ. CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Özer, Aydan A1 - Scheffler, Christiane T1 - Affinity to host population stimulates physical growth in adult offspring of Turkish migrants in Germany JF - Journal of biological and clinical anthropology JF - Anthropologischer Anzeiger ; Mitteilungsorgan der Gesellschaft für Anthropologie N2 - Because of political conflicts and climate change, migration will be increased worldwide and integration in host societies is a challenge also for migrants. We hypothesize that migrants, who take up the challenge in a new social environment are taller than migrants who do not pose this challenge. We analyze by a questionnaire possible social, nutritional and ethnic influencing factors to body height (BH) of adult offspring of Turkish migrants (n = 82, 39 males) aged from 18 to 34 years (mean age 24.6 years). The results of multiple regression (downward selection) show that the more a male adult offspring of Turkish migrants feels like belonging to the Turkish culture, the smaller he is (95% CI, -3.79, -0.323). Further, the more a male adult offspring of Turkish migrants feels like belonging to the German culture, the taller he is (95% CI, -0.152, 1.738). We discussed it comparable to primates taking up their challenge in dominance, where as a result their body size increase is associated with higher IGF-1 level. IGF-1 is associated with emotional belonging and has a fundamental role in the regulation of metabolism and growth of the human body. With all pilot characteristics of our study results show that the successful challenge of integration in a new society is strongly associated with the emotional integration and identification in the sense of a personal sense of belonging to society. We discuss taller BH as a signal of social growth adjustment. In this sense, a secular trend of BH adaptation of migrants to hosts is a sign of integration. KW - height of Turkish migrants KW - social identification KW - strategic growth adjustments Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1127/anthranz/2018/0825 SN - 0003-5548 VL - 74 IS - 5 SP - 359 EP - 364 PB - Schweizerbart CY - Stuttgart ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Özdemir, Paker Doğu A1 - Kurban, Caroline Fell A1 - Pekkan, Zelha Tunç T1 - MOOC-Based Online Instruction BT - A Case Study in Teacher Education JF - EMOOCs 2021 N2 - If taking a flipped learning approach, MOOC content can be used for online pre-class instruction. After which students can put the knowledge they gained from the MOOC into practice either synchronously or asynchronously. This study examined one such, asynchronous, course in teacher education. The course ran with 40 students over 13 weeks from February to May 2020. A case study approach was followed using mixed methods to assess the efficacy of the course. Quantitative data was gathered on achievement of learning outcomes, online engagement, and satisfaction. Qualitative data was gathered via student interviews from which a thematic analysis was undertaken. From a combined analysis of the data, three themes emerged as pertinent to course efficacy: quality and quantity of communication and collaboration; suitability of the MOOC; and significance for career development. Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-516900 SN - 978-3-86956-512-5 VL - 2021 SP - 17 EP - 33 PB - Universitätsverlag Potsdam CY - Potsdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Özcan, Orkan A1 - Bookhagen, Bodo A1 - Musaoglu, Nebiye T1 - Impact of the Ataturk Dam Lake on Agro-Meteorological Aspects of the Southeastern Anatolia Region, Turkey JF - Journal of the Indian Society of Remote Sensing N2 - In this study, the spatial and temporal impacts of the Ataturk Dam on agro-meteorological aspects of the Southeastern Anatolia region have been investigated. Change detection and environmental impacts due to water-reserve changes in Ataturk Dam Lake have been determined and evaluated using multi-temporal Landsat satellite imageries and meteorological datasets within a period of 1984-2011. These time series have been evaluated for three time periods. Dam construction period constitutes the first part of the study. Land cover/use changes especially on agricultural fields under the Ataturk Dam Lake and its vicinity have been identified between the periods of 1984-1992. The second period comprises the 10-year period after the completion of filling up the reservoir in 1992. At this period, Landsat and meteorological time-series analyses are examined to assess the impact of the Ataturk Dam Lake on selected irrigated agricultural areas. For the last 9-year period from 2002 to 2011, the relationships between seasonal water-reserve changes and irrigated plains under changing climatic factors primarily driving vegetation activity (monthly, seasonal, and annual fluctuations of rainfall rate, air temperature, humidity) on the watershed have been investigated using a 30-year meteorological time series. The results showed that approximately 368 km(2) of agricultural fields have been affected because of inundation due to the Ataturk Dam Lake. However, irrigated agricultural fields have been increased by 56.3% of the total area (1552 of 2756 km(2)) on Harran Plain within the period of 1984-2011. KW - Ataturk Dam Lake KW - Harran Plain KW - Landsat time-series KW - Tasseled Cap transformation KW - Disturbance index Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s12524-017-0703-9 SN - 0255-660X SN - 0974-3006 VL - 46 IS - 3 SP - 471 EP - 481 PB - Springer CY - New York ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Öner, Ibrahim Halil A1 - Querebillo, Christine Joy A1 - David, Christin A1 - Gernert, Ulrich A1 - Walter, Carsten A1 - Driess, Matthias A1 - Leimkühler, Silke A1 - Ly, Khoa Hoang A1 - Weidinger, Inez M. T1 - High electromagnetic field enhancement of TiO2 nanotube electrodes JF - Angewandte Chemie : a journal of the Gesellschaft Deutscher Chemiker ; International edition N2 - We present the fabrication of TiO2 nanotube electrodes with high biocompatibility and extraordinary spectroscopic properties. Intense surface-enhanced resonance Raman signals of the heme unit of the redox enzyme Cytochromeb(5) were observed upon covalent immobilization of the protein matrix on the TiO2 surface, revealing overall preserved structural integrity and redox behavior. The enhancement factor could be rationally controlled by varying the electrode annealing temperature, reaching a record maximum value of over 70 at 475 degrees C. For the first time, such high values are reported for non-directly surface-interacting probes, for which the involvement of charge-transfer processes in signal amplification can be excluded. The origin of the surface enhancement is exclusively attributed to enhanced localized electric fields resulting from the specific optical properties of the nanotubular geometry of the electrode. KW - electromagnetic field enhancement KW - photonic crystals KW - spectro-electrochemistry KW - surface-enhanced Raman spectroscopy KW - TiO2 nanotubes Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/anie.201802597 SN - 1433-7851 SN - 1521-3773 VL - 57 IS - 24 SP - 7225 EP - 7229 PB - Wiley-VCH CY - Weinheim ER - TY - THES A1 - Önel, Hakan T1 - Electron acceleration in a flare plasma via coronal circuits T1 - Elektronenbeschleunigung im Flareplasma modelliert mit koronalen Schaltkreisen N2 - The Sun is a star, which due to its proximity has a tremendous influence on Earth. Since its very first days mankind tried to "understand the Sun", and especially in the 20th century science has uncovered many of the Sun's secrets by using high resolution observations and describing the Sun by means of models. As an active star the Sun's activity, as expressed in its magnetic cycle, is closely related to the sunspot numbers. Flares play a special role, because they release large energies on very short time scales. They are correlated with enhanced electromagnetic emissions all over the spectrum. Furthermore, flares are sources of energetic particles. Hard X-ray observations (e.g., by NASA's RHESSI spacecraft) reveal that a large fraction of the energy released during a flare is transferred into the kinetic energy of electrons. However the mechanism that accelerates a large number of electrons to high energies (beyond 20 keV) within fractions of a second is not understood yet. The thesis at hand presents a model for the generation of energetic electrons during flares that explains the electron acceleration based on real parameters obtained by real ground and space based observations. According to this model photospheric plasma flows build up electric potentials in the active regions in the photosphere. Usually these electric potentials are associated with electric currents closed within the photosphere. However as a result of magnetic reconnection, a magnetic connection between the regions of different magnetic polarity on the photosphere can establish through the corona. Due to the significantly higher electric conductivity in the corona, the photospheric electric power supply can be closed via the corona. Subsequently a high electric current is formed, which leads to the generation of hard X-ray radiation in the dense chromosphere. The previously described idea is modelled and investigated by means of electric circuits. For this the microscopic plasma parameters, the magnetic field geometry and hard X-ray observations are used to obtain parameters for modelling macroscopic electric components, such as electric resistors, which are connected with each other. This model demonstrates that such a coronal electric current is correlated with large scale electric fields, which can accelerate the electrons quickly up to relativistic energies. The results of these calculations are encouraging. The electron fluxes predicted by the model are in agreement with the electron fluxes deduced from the measured photon fluxes. Additionally the model developed in this thesis proposes a new way to understand the observed double footpoint hard X-ray sources. N2 - Die Sonne ist ein Stern, der aufgrund seiner räumlichen Nähe einen großen Einfluss auf die Erde hat. Seit jeher hat die Menschheit versucht die "Sonne zu verstehen" und besonders im 20. Jahrhundert gelang es der Wissenschaft viele der offenen Fragen mittels Beobachtungen zu beantworten und mit Modellen zu beschreiben. Die Sonne ist ein aktiver Stern, dessen Aktivität sich in seinem magnetischen Zyklus ausdrückt, welcher in enger Verbindung zu den Sonnenfleckenzahlen steht. Flares spielen dabei eine besondere Rolle, da sie hohe Energien auf kurzen Zeitskalen freisetzen. Sie werden begleitet von erhöhter Strahlungsemission über das gesamte Spektrum hinweg und setzen darüber hinaus auch energetische Teilchen frei. Beobachtungen von harter Röntgenstrahlung (z.B. mit der RHESSI Raumsonde der NASA) zeigen, dass ein großer Teil der freigesetzten Energie in die kinetische Energie von Elektronen transferiert wird. Allerdings ist nach wie vor nicht verstanden, wie die Beschleunigung der vielen Elektronen auf hohe Energien (jenseits von 20 keV) in Bruchteilen einer Sekunde erfolgt. Die vorliegende Arbeit präsentiert ein Model für die Erzeugung von energetischen Elektronen während solarer Flares, das auf mit realen Beobachtungen gewonnenen Parametern basiert. Danach bauen photosphärische Plasmaströmungen elektrische Spannungen in den aktiven Regionen der Photosphäre auf. Für gewöhnlich sind diese Potentiale mit elektrischen Strömen verbunden, die innerhalb der Photosphäre geschlossen sind. Allerdings kann infolge von magnetischer Rekonnektion eine magnetische Verbindung in der Korona aufgebaut werden, die die Regionen von magnetisch unterschiedlicher Polarität miteinander verbindet. Wegen der deutlich höheren koronalen elektrischen Leitfähigkeit, kann darauf die photosphärische Spannungsquelle über die Korona geschlossen werden. Das auf diese Weise generierte elektrische Feld führt nachfolgend zur Erzeugung eines hohen elektrischen Stromes, der in der dichten Chromosphäre harte Röntgenstrahlung generiert. Die zuvor erläuterte Idee wird mit elektrischen Schaltkreisen modelliert und untersucht. Dafür werden die mikroskopischen Plasmaparameter, die Geometrie des Magnetfeldes und Beobachtungen der harten Röntgenstrahlung verwendet, um makroskopische elektronische Komponenten, wie z.B. elektrische Widerstände zu modellieren und miteinander zu verbinden. Es wird gezeigt, dass der auftretende koronale Strom mit hohen elektrischen Feldern verbunden ist, welche Elektronen schnell auf hohe relativistische Energien beschleunigen können. Die Ergebnisse dieser Berechnungen sind ermutigend. Die vorhergesagten Elektronenflüsse stehen im Einklang mit aus gemessenen Photonenflüssen gewonnenen Elektronenflüssen. Zudem liefert das Model einen neuen Ansatz für das Verständnis der harten Röntgendoppelquellen in den Fußpunkten. KW - Elektronenbeschleunigung KW - Flarephysik KW - koronale Stromsysteme KW - electron acceleration KW - physics of flares KW - coronal currents Y1 - 2008 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-29035 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Öhberg, P. A1 - Surkov, E. L. A1 - Tittonen, I. A1 - Stenholm, Stig A1 - Wilkens, Martin A1 - Shlyapnikov, G. V. T1 - Low-energy elementary excitations of a trapped Bose-condensed gas N2 - We develop a method of finding analytical sotutions of the Bogolyubov-de Gennes equations for the excitations of a Bose condensate in the Thomas-Fermi regime in harmonic traps of any asymmetry and introduce a classification of eigenstates. In the case of cylindrical symmetry we emphasize the presence of an accidental degeneracy in the excitation spectrum at certain values of the projection of orbital angular momentum on the symmetry axis and discuss possible consequences of the degeneracy in the context of new signatures of Bose- Einstein condensation Y1 - 1997 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ó Corráin, Ailbhe T1 - On the ‘after perfect’ in Irish and Hiberno-English JF - The Celtic Englishes IV : the interface between English and the Celtic languages ; proceedings of the fourth international colloquium on the "Celtic Englishes" held at the University of Potsdam in Golm (Germany) from 22-26 September 2004 N2 - Content: 1. Introduction 2. Early Examples of the AFP in Hiberno-English 3. Assessments of the Evidence 4. Attempts to Explain the Early HE Construction 5. Distribution and Function of the AFP in EMI and HE 5.1. The AFP with the Future Tense in Irish 5.2. The AFP with the Secondary Future or Conditional 5.3. The AFP with the Subjunctive 5.5. Functions of the AFP in Early Modern Irish and HE 6. The Restriction of the AFP to the Recent Perfect 7. Conclusions Y1 - 2006 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-40971 SP - 152 EP - 172 PB - Universitätsverlag Potsdam CY - Potsdam ER - TY - CHAP A1 - Ó Béarra, Feargal T1 - Late Modern Irish and the Dynamics of Language Change and Language Death N2 - Contents: Definition of Late Modern Irish Lexical and Syntactic Equivalence The Official Languages Act and the Translation Industry Dynamics of Language Change and Language Death Lack of Exposure and Critical Mass Y1 - 2007 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-19331 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Çabuk, Uğur A1 - Ünlü, Ercan Selçuk T1 - A combined de novo assembly approach increases the quality of prokaryotic draft genomes JF - Folia microbiologica : international journal for general, environmental and applied microbiology, and immunology N2 - Next-generation sequencing methods provide comprehensive data for the analysis of structural and functional analysis of the genome. The draft genomes with low contig number and high N50 value can give insight into the structure of the genome as well as provide information on the annotation of the genome. In this study, we designed a pipeline that can be used to assemble prokaryotic draft genomes with low number of contigs and high N50 value. We aimed to use combination of two de novo assembly tools (SPAdes and IDBA-Hybrid) and evaluate the impact of this approach on the quality metrics of the assemblies. The followed pipeline was tested with the raw sequence data with short reads (< 300) for a total of 10 species from four different genera. To obtain the final draft genomes, we firstly assembled the sequences using SPAdes to find closely related organism using the extracted 16 s rRNA from it. IDBA-Hybrid assembler was used to obtain the second assembly data using the closely related organism genome. SPAdes assembler tool was implemented using the second assembly, produced by IDBA-hybrid as a hint. The results were evaluated using QUAST and BUSCO. The pipeline was successful for the reduction of the contig numbers and increasing the N50 statistical values in the draft genome assemblies while preserving the coverage of the draft genomes. KW - De novo assembly KW - Prokaryotes KW - Bacteria KW - NGS KW - Short reads KW - Draft genome Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s12223-022-00980-7 SN - 0015-5632 SN - 1874-9356 VL - 67 SP - 801 EP - 810 PB - Springer CY - Dordrecht ER - TY - BOOK A1 - Åslund, Anders T1 - The political economy of systemic transformation and institution-building T3 - Diskussionsbeitrag / Europäisches Institut für internationale Wirtschaftsbeziehungen, Potsdam Y1 - 1997 SN - 1430-5445 VL - 40 PB - Univ. CY - Potsdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ángel Puig-Samper, Miguel ED - Ette, Ottmar ED - Knobloch, Eberhard T1 - Humboldt and his geographical album of New Spain JF - HiN : Alexander von Humboldt im Netz ; International Review for Humboldtian Studies N2 - During his trip to New Spain in 1803, Alexander von Humboldt visited large tracts of New Spanish territory, which includes modern Mexico and part of the United States. This trip provided the data for his geographical Atlas of the region, as well as information about the ancient Mexican cultures that he would later include in the general Atlas and in other major works, such as Vues des Cordillères. Likewise, Humboldt’s Political Essay on the Kingdom of New Spain displayed a comprehensive physical, natural, economic, and social description of Mexico in the colonial period, which will also be analysed. With these works, Humboldt presented a new geographical and cultural image of New Spain to the European audiences. In addition to this, his work made important contributions to cartographic knowledge. N2 - Alexander von Humboldt en su viaje a Nueva España en 1803 tuvo la oportunidad de viajar por gran parte del territorio novohispano, que incluye Mexico y parte de del actual territorio de Estados Unidos. Este viaje le permitió preparar un Atlas geográfico de la región, además de obtener información sobre las antiguas culturas mexicanas que luego plasmará en el Atlas general del viaje y en algunas de sus principales obras como Vues des Cordillères. Asimismo, Humboldt hizo una excelente descripción física, natural, económica y social de México en la época colonial en su Ensayo político sobre el Reino de la Nueva España que también será analizado. Con estas obras Humboldt logró ofrecer una nueva imagen del territorio novohispano y sus riquezas al mundo europeo, así como un conocimiento cartográfico de gran importancia. N2 - Alexander von Humboldt, lors de son voyage en Nouvelle-Espagne en 1803, a eu l’occasion de parcourir une grande partie du territoire de la Nouvelle-Espagne, qui comprend le Mexique et une partie du territoire actuel des États-Unis. Ce voyage lui a permis de préparer un Atlas géographique de la région, ainsi que d’obtenir des informations sur les anciennes cultures mexicaines qu'il inclura plus tard dans l’Atlas général du voyage et dans certaines de ses œuvres principales comme Vues des Cordillères. Humboldt a également donné une excellente description physique, naturelle, économique et sociale du Mexique à l’époque coloniale dans son Essai Politique sur le Royaume de la Nouvelle Espagne, qui sera également analysé. Avec ces travaux, Humboldt a réussi à offrir au monde européen une nouvelle image du Nouveau territoire espagnol et de ses richesses, de même qu’une connaissance cartographique de grande importance. KW - New Spain KW - Mexico KW - geographical album Y1 - 2022 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-592335 SN - 2568-3543 SN - 1617-5239 VL - XXIII IS - 45 SP - 29 EP - 71 PB - Universitätsverlag Potsdam CY - Potsdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - ´Cwiek-Kupczynska, Hanna A1 - Altmann, Thomas A1 - Arend, Daniel A1 - Arnaud, Elizabeth A1 - Chen, Dijun A1 - Cornut, Guillaume A1 - Fiorani, Fabio A1 - Frohmberg, Wojciech A1 - Junker, Astrid A1 - Klukas, Christian A1 - Lange, Matthias A1 - Mazurek, Cezary A1 - Nafissi, Anahita A1 - Neveu, Pascal A1 - van Oeveren, Jan A1 - Pommier, Cyril A1 - Poorter, Hendrik A1 - Rocca-Serra, Philippe A1 - Sansone, Susanna-Assunta A1 - Scholz, Uwe A1 - van Schriek, Marco A1 - Seren, Ümit A1 - Usadel, Bjorn A1 - Weise, Stephan A1 - Kersey, Paul A1 - Krajewski, Pawel T1 - Measures for interoperability of phenotypic data: minimum information requirements and formatting JF - Plant Methods N2 - Background: Plant phenotypic data shrouds a wealth of information which, when accurately analysed and linked to other data types, brings to light the knowledge about the mechanisms of life. As phenotyping is a field of research comprising manifold, diverse and time-consuming experiments, the findings can be fostered by reusing and combining existing datasets. Their correct interpretation, and thus replicability, comparability and interoperability, is possible provided that the collected observations are equipped with an adequate set of metadata. So far there have been no common standards governing phenotypic data description, which hampered data exchange and reuse. Results: In this paper we propose the guidelines for proper handling of the information about plant phenotyping experiments, in terms of both the recommended content of the description and its formatting. We provide a document called "Minimum Information About a Plant Phenotyping Experiment", which specifies what information about each experiment should be given, and a Phenotyping Configuration for the ISA-Tab format, which allows to practically organise this information within a dataset. We provide examples of ISA-Tab-formatted phenotypic data, and a general description of a few systems where the recommendations have been implemented. Conclusions: Acceptance of the rules described in this paper by the plant phenotyping community will help to achieve findable, accessible, interoperable and reusable data. KW - Data standardisation and formatting KW - Experimental metadata KW - Minimum information recommendations KW - Plant phenotyping KW - Experiment description Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1186/s13007-016-0144-4 SN - 1746-4811 VL - 12 PB - BioMed Central CY - London ER - TY - THES A1 - Züllich, Gunda T1 - Migration and development in Senegal : a system dynamics analysis of the feedback relationships N2 - This thesis investigates the reciprocal relationship between migration and development in Senegal. Therewith, it contributes to the debate as to whether migration in developing countries enhances or rather impedes the development process. Even though extensive and controversial discussions can be found in the scientific literature regarding the impact of migration on development, research has scarcely examined the feedback relationships between migration and development. Science however agrees with both the fact that migration affects development as well as that the level of development in a country determines migration behaviour. Thus, both variables are neither dependent nor independent, but endogenous variables influencing each other and producing behavioural pattern that cannot be investigated using a static and unidirectional approach. On account of this, the thesis studies the feedback mechanisms existing between migration and development and the behavioural pattern generated by the high interdependence in order to be able to draw conclusions concerning the impact of changes in migration behaviour on the development process. To explore these research questions, the study applies the computer simulation method ‘System Dynamics’ and amplifies the simulation model for national development planning called ‘Threshold 21’ (T21), representing development processes endogenously and integrating economic, social and environmental aspects, using a structure that portrays the reasons and consequences of migration. The model has been customised to Senegal, being an appropriate representative of the theoretical interesting universe of cases. The comparison of the model generated scenarios - in which the intensity of emigration, the loss and gain of education, the remittances or the level of dependence changes - facilitates the analysis. The present study produces two important results. The first outcome is the development of an integrative framework representing migration and development in an endogenous way and incorporating several aspects of different theories. This model can be used as a starting point for further discussions and improvements and it is a fairly relevant and useful result against the background that migration is not integrated into most of the development planning tools despite its significant impact. The second outcome is the gained insights concerning the feedback relations between migration and development and the impact of changes in migration on development. To give two examples: It could be found that migration impacts development positively, indicated by HDI, but that the dominant behaviour of migration and development is a counteracting behaviour. That means that an increase in emigration leads to an improvement in development, while this in turn causes a decline in emigration, counterbalancing the initial increase. Another insight concerns the discovery that migration causes a decline in education in the short term, but leads to an increase in the long term, after approximately 25 years - a typical worse-before-better behaviour. From these and further observations, important policy implications can be derived for the sending and receiving countries. Hence, by overcoming the unidirectional perspective, this study contributes to an improved understanding of the highly complex relationship between migration and development and their feedback relations. N2 - Die vorliegende Arbeit untersucht das wechselseitige Verhältnis zwischen Migration und Entwicklung im Senegal. Damit soll ein Beitrag zu der Debatte geleistet werden, ob Migration in Entwicklungsländern den Entwicklungsprozess eher fördert oder verhindert. Während die Frage nach der Auswirkung von Migration auf Entwicklung in der Literatur ausgiebig und kontrovers diskutiert wird, hat sich die Forschung bisher kaum den Rückkopplungen zwischen Migration und Entwicklung gewidmet, obwohl sich die Wissenschaft sowohl darüber einig ist, dass Migration den Entwicklungsprozess beeinflusst, als auch, dass der Entwicklungsstand eines Land das Migrationsverhalten bestimmt. Folglich sind beide Variablen weder abhängig, noch unabhängige, sondern endogene Variablen, die sich gegenseitig beeinflussen und damit Verhaltensweisen produzieren, deren Erforschung ein statischer, unidirektionaler Ansatz nicht gerecht wird. Deswegen fragt diese Arbeit nach den Rückwirkungsmechanismen, die zwischen Migration und Entwicklung existieren, und nach den Verhaltensweisen, die durch die hohe Interdependenz entstehen, um daraus Rückschlüsse auf die Frage ziehen zu können, welchen Einfluss Änderungen im Migrationsverhalten auf den Entwicklungsprozess haben. Um diese Forschungsfragen zu untersuchen wurde die Computersimulationsmethode System Dynamics genutzt und das Simulationsmodell zur nationalen Entwicklungsplanung, das ‚Threshold 21’ (T21), das die Entwicklungsprozesse endogen darstellt und soziale, ökonomische sowie ökologische Aspekte miteinander verknüpft, um eine Struktur erweitert, welche die Gründe und Konsequenzen von Migration abbildet. Dies wurde an den Senegal, ein angemessener Repräsentant der theoretisch interessanten Grundgesamtheit, angepasst. Der Vergleich der mit dem Modell generierten Szenarien, in denen die Intensität der Abwanderung, des Bildungsverlustes, des Bildungsgewinns, der Geldüberweisungen, oder der Abhängigkeit verändert wurden, ermöglichte die Analyse. Die Studie bringt zwei wichtige Ergebnisse hervor. Erstens entwickelt sie ein umfangreiches Modell, das Migration und Entwicklung endogen erklärt und verschiedene theoretische Ansatzpunkte enthält. Dies kann sowohl als Grundlage für weitere Diskussion und Verbesserungen genutzt werden, ist aber vor allem vor dem Hintergrund, dass Migration in den meisten Modellen zur Entwicklungsplanung trotz des relevanten Einflusses nicht integriert ist, ein wichtiges und nützliches Resultat. Zweitens konnte die Analyse des Verhaltens des Modells wichtige Erkenntnisse bezüglich der Rückwirkungsmechanismen zwischen Migration und Entwicklung und der Wirkung von Veränderungen in Migration auf Entwicklung erzielen. Um zwei Beispiele zu nennen, wurde herausgearbeitet, dass Migration sich positiv auf Entwicklung, gemessen am Human Development Index (HDI), auswirkt, dass es sich aber generell um ein sich ausgleichendes Verhalten handelt, da die positiven Einflüsse auf Entwicklung ihrerseits Migration verringern, wodurch die positiven Einflüsse wieder abnehmen. Ebenso konnte festgestellt werden, dass Migration für das Bildungsniveau zunächst eine Verschlechterung, später aber, nach ca. 25 Jahren, eine Verbesserung nach sich zieht. Aus diesen und weiteren Beobachtungen können wichtige Politikempfehlungen für die Sende- und Empfängerländer von Migration abgeleitet werden. Durch das Überwinden der unidirektionalen Betrachtungsweise trägt diese Arbeit somit zu einem besseren Verständnis des hoch komplexen und von Rückwirkungsmechanismen geprägten Verhältnisses zwischen Migration und Entwicklung bei. KW - Internationale Migration KW - Nachhaltige Entwicklung KW - Senegal KW - System Dynamics KW - Modellierung KW - International Migration KW - Sustainable Development KW - Senegal KW - System Dynamics KW - Modelling Y1 - 2011 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-57836 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zülicke, Lutz A1 - Zuhrt, Christian A1 - Chapuisat, Xavier A1 - Saint-Espés, Cécile T1 - Internal dynamics of simple floppy molecules Y1 - 1994 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zülicke, Lutz A1 - Ragnetti, Francesca A1 - Neumann, Rainer A1 - Zuhrt, Christian T1 - Ionized Van-der-Waals systems : structure and interactions JF - Technical Report / Institute of Physical and Theoretical Chemistry, Potsdam Y1 - 1996 VL - 1996, 01 PB - Univ. CY - Potsdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zülicke, Lutz A1 - Ragnetti, Francesca A1 - Neumann, Rainer T1 - Ionized Van-der-Waals systems : structure and interactions Y1 - 1997 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zühlke, Martin A1 - Zenichowski, Karl A1 - Riebe, Daniel A1 - Beitz, Toralf A1 - Löhmannsröben, Hans-Gerd T1 - Subambient pressure electrospray ionization ion mobility spectrometry JF - International journal for ion mobility spectrometry : official publication of the International Society for Ion Mobility Spectrometry N2 - The pressure dependence of sheath gas assisted electrospray ionization (ESI) was investigated based on two complementary experimental setups, namely an ESI-ion mobility (IM) spectrometer and an ESI capillary - Faraday plate setup housed in an optically accessible vacuum chamber. The ESI-IM spectrometer is capable of working in the pressure range between 300 and 1000 mbar. Another aim was the assessment of the analytical capabilities of a subambient pressure ESI-IM spectrometer. The pressure dependence of ESI was characterized by imaging the electrospray and recording current-voltage (I-U) curves. Qualitatively different behavior was observed in both setups. While the current rises continuously with the voltage in the capillary-plate setup, a sharp increase of the current was measured in the IM spectrometer above a pressure-dependent threshold voltage. The different character can be attributed to the detection of different species in both experiments. In the capillary-plate experiment, a multitude of charged species are detected while only desolvated ions attribute to the IM spectrometer signal. This finding demonstrates the utility of IM spectrometry for the characterization of ESI, since in contrast to the capillary-plate setup, the release of ions from the electrospray droplets can be observed. The I-U curves change significantly with pressure. An important result is the reduction of the maximum current with decreasing pressure. The connected loss of ionization efficiency can be compensated by a more efficient transfer of ions in the IM spectrometer at increased E/N. Thus, similar limits of detection could be obtained at 500 mbar and 1 bar. KW - Ion mobility spectrometry KW - Electrospray ionization KW - Subambient pressure KW - Imaging Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s12127-017-0215-x SN - 1435-6163 SN - 1865-4584 VL - 20 SP - 47 EP - 56 PB - Springer CY - Heidelberg ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zühlke, Martin A1 - Sass, Stephan A1 - Riebe, Daniel A1 - Beitz, Toralf A1 - Löhmannsröben, Hans-Gerd T1 - Real-Time Reaction Monitoring of an Organic Multistep Reaction by Electrospray Ionization-Ion Mobility Spectrometry JF - ChemPlusChem N2 - The capability of electrospray ionization (ESI)-ion mobility (IM) spectrometry for reaction monitoring is assessed both as a stand-alone real-time technique and in combination with HPLC. A three-step chemical reaction, consisting of a Williamson ether synthesis followed by a hydrogenation and an N-alkylation step, is chosen for demonstration. Intermediates and products are determined with a drift time to mass-per-charge correlation. Addition of an HPLC column to the setup increases the separation power and allows the determination of further species. Monitoring of the intensities of the various species over the reaction time allows the detection of the end of reaction, determination of the rate-limiting step, observation of the system response in discontinuous processes, and optimization of the mass ratios of the starting materials. However, charge competition in ESI influences the quantitative detection of substances in the reaction mixture. Therefore, two different methods are investigated, which allow the quantification and investigation of reaction kinetics. The first method is based on the pre-separation of the compounds on an HPLC column and their subsequent individual detection in the ESI-IM spectrometer. The second method involves an extended calibration procedure, which considers charge competition effects and facilitates nearly real-time quantification. KW - electrospray ionization KW - HPLC KW - ion mobility spectrometry KW - reaction mechanisms KW - reaction monitoring Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/cplu.201700296 SN - 2192-6506 VL - 82 SP - 1266 EP - 1273 PB - Wiley-VCH CY - Weinheim ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zühlke, Martin A1 - Riebe, Daniel A1 - Beitz, Toralf A1 - Löhmannsröben, Hans-Gerd A1 - Zenichowski, Karl A1 - Diener, Marc A1 - Linscheid, Michael W. T1 - An electrospray ionization-ion mobility spectrometer as detector for high-performance liquid chromatography JF - European journal of mass spectrometry N2 - The application of electrospray ionization (ESI) ion mobility (IM) spectrometry on the detection end of a high-performance liquid chromatograph has been a subject of study for some time. So far, this method has been limited to low flow rates or has required splitting of the liquid flow. This work presents a novel concept of an ESI source facilitating the stable operation of the spectrometer at flow rates between 10 mu L min(-1) and 1500 mu L min(-1) without flow splitting, advancing the T-cylinder design developed by Kurnin and co-workers. Flow rates eight times faster than previously reported were achieved because of a more efficient dispersion of the liquid at increased electrospray voltages combined with nebulization by a sheath gas. Imaging revealed the spray operation to be in a rotationally symmetric multijet-mode. The novel ESI-IM spectrometer tolerates high water contents (<= 90%) and electrolyte concentrations up to 10 mM, meeting another condition required of high-performance liquid chromatography (HPLC) detectors. Limits of detection of 50 nM for promazine in the positive mode and 1 mu M for 1,3-dinitrobenzene in the negative mode were established. Three mixtures of reduced complexity (five surfactants, four neuroleptics, and two isomers) were separated in the millisecond regime in stand-alone operation of the spectrometer. Separations of two more complex mixtures (five neuroleptics and 13 pesticides) demonstrate the application of the spectrometer as an HPLC detector. The examples illustrate the advantages of the spectrometer over the established diode array detector, in terms of additional IM separation of substances not fully separated in the retention time domain as well as identification of substances based on their characteristic IMs. KW - ESI KW - IMS KW - HPLC KW - spray imaging KW - neuroleptics KW - pesticides KW - surfactants Y1 - 2015 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1255/ejms.1367 SN - 1469-0667 SN - 1751-6838 VL - 21 IS - 3 SP - 391 EP - 402 PB - WeltTrends CY - Sussex ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zühlke, Martin A1 - Riebe, Daniel A1 - Beitz, Toralf A1 - Löhmannsröben, Hans-Gerd A1 - Andreotti, Sandro A1 - Reinert, Knut A1 - Zenichowski, Karl A1 - Diener, Marc T1 - High-performance liquid chromatography with electrospray ionization ion mobility spectrometry: Characterization, data management, and applications JF - Journal of separation science N2 - The combination of high-performance liquid chromatography and electrospray ionization ion mobility spectrometry facilitates the two-dimensional separation of complex mixtures in the retention and drift time plane. The ion mobility spectrometer presented here was optimized for flow rates customarily used in high-performance liquid chromatography between 100 and 1500 mu L/min. The characterization of the system with respect to such parameters as the peak capacity of each time dimension and of the 2D spectrum was carried out based on a separation of a pesticide mixture containing 24 substances. While the total ion current chromatogram is coarsely resolved, exhibiting coelutions for a number of compounds, all substances can be separately detected in the 2D plane due to the orthogonality of the separations in retention and drift dimensions. Another major advantage of the ion mobility detector is the identification of substances based on their characteristic mobilities. Electrospray ionization allows the detection of substances lacking a chromophore. As an example, the separation of a mixture of 18 amino acids is presented. A software built upon the free mass spectrometry package OpenMS was developed for processing the extensive 2D data. The different processing steps are implemented as separate modules which can be arranged in a graphic workflow facilitating automated processing of data. KW - Amino acids KW - Electrospray ionization KW - Ion mobility spectrometry KW - Pesticides KW - Two-dimensional separations Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/jssc.201600749 SN - 1615-9306 SN - 1615-9314 VL - 39 SP - 4756 EP - 4764 PB - Wiley-VCH CY - Weinheim ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zühlke, Martin A1 - Meiling, Till Thomas A1 - Roder, Phillip A1 - Riebe, Daniel A1 - Beitz, Toralf A1 - Bald, Ilko A1 - Löhmannsröben, Hans-Gerd A1 - Janßen, Traute A1 - Erhard, Marcel A1 - Repp, Alexander T1 - Photodynamic inactivation of E. coli bacteria via carbon nanodots JF - ACS omega / American Chemical Society N2 - The increasing development of antibiotic resistance in bacteria has been a major problem for years, both in human and veterinary medicine. Prophylactic measures, such as the use of vaccines, are of great importance in reducing the use of antibiotics in livestock. These vaccines are mainly produced based on formaldehyde inactivation. However, the latter damages the recognition elements of the bacterial proteins and thus could reduce the immune response in the animal. An alternative inactivation method developed in this work is based on gentle photodynamic inactivation using carbon nanodots (CNDs) at excitation wavelengths λex > 290 nm. The photodynamic inactivation was characterized on the nonvirulent laboratory strain Escherichia coli K12 using synthesized CNDs. For a gentle inactivation, the CNDs must be absorbed into the cytoplasm of the E. coli cell. Thus, the inactivation through photoinduced formation of reactive oxygen species only takes place inside the bacterium, which means that the outer membrane is neither damaged nor altered. The loading of the CNDs into E. coli was examined using fluorescence microscopy. Complete loading of the bacterial cells could be achieved in less than 10 min. These studies revealed a reversible uptake process allowing the recovery and reuse of the CNDs after irradiation and before the administration of the vaccine. The success of photodynamic inactivation was verified by viability assays on agar. In a homemade flow photoreactor, the fastest successful irradiation of the bacteria could be carried out in 34 s. Therefore, the photodynamic inactivation based on CNDs is very effective. The membrane integrity of the bacteria after irradiation was verified by slide agglutination and atomic force microscopy. The method developed for the laboratory strain E. coli K12 could then be successfully applied to the important avian pathogens Bordetella avium and Ornithobacterium rhinotracheale to aid the development of novel vaccines. KW - Bacteria KW - Genetics KW - Fluorescence KW - Photodynamics KW - Irradiation Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1021/acsomega.1c01700 SN - 2470-1343 VL - 6 IS - 37 SP - 23742 EP - 23749 PB - ACS Publications CY - Washington, DC ER - TY - GEN A1 - Zühlke, Martin A1 - Meiling, Till Thomas A1 - Roder, Phillip A1 - Riebe, Daniel A1 - Beitz, Toralf A1 - Bald, Ilko A1 - Löhmannsröben, Hans-Gerd A1 - Janßen, Traute A1 - Erhard, Marcel A1 - Repp, Alexander T1 - Photodynamic Inactivation of E. coli Bacteria via Carbon Nanodots T2 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - The increasing development of antibiotic resistance in bacteria has been a major problem for years, both in human and veterinary medicine. Prophylactic measures, such as the use of vaccines, are of great importance in reducing the use of antibiotics in livestock. These vaccines are mainly produced based on formaldehyde inactivation. However, the latter damages the recognition elements of the bacterial proteins and thus could reduce the immune response in the animal. An alternative inactivation method developed in this work is based on gentle photodynamic inactivation using carbon nanodots (CNDs) at excitation wavelengths λex > 290 nm. The photodynamic inactivation was characterized on the nonvirulent laboratory strain Escherichia coli K12 using synthesized CNDs. For a gentle inactivation, the CNDs must be absorbed into the cytoplasm of the E. coli cell. Thus, the inactivation through photoinduced formation of reactive oxygen species only takes place inside the bacterium, which means that the outer membrane is neither damaged nor altered. The loading of the CNDs into E. coli was examined using fluorescence microscopy. Complete loading of the bacterial cells could be achieved in less than 10 min. These studies revealed a reversible uptake process allowing the recovery and reuse of the CNDs after irradiation and before the administration of the vaccine. The success of photodynamic inactivation was verified by viability assays on agar. In a homemade flow photoreactor, the fastest successful irradiation of the bacteria could be carried out in 34 s. Therefore, the photodynamic inactivation based on CNDs is very effective. The membrane integrity of the bacteria after irradiation was verified by slide agglutination and atomic force microscopy. The method developed for the laboratory strain E. coli K12 could then be successfully applied to the important avian pathogens Bordetella avium and Ornithobacterium rhinotracheale to aid the development of novel vaccines. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 1220 KW - Bacteria KW - Genetics KW - Fluorescence KW - Photodynamics KW - Irradiation Y1 - 2022 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-538425 SN - 1866-8372 SP - 23742 EP - 23749 PB - Universität Potsdam CY - Potsdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zöller, Gert A1 - Ullah, Shahid A1 - Bindi, Dino A1 - Parolai, Stefano A1 - Mikhailova, Natalya T1 - The largest expected earthquake magnitudes in Central Asia BT - statistical inference from an earthquake catalogue with uncertain magnitudes JF - Seismicity, fault rupture and earthquake hazards in slowly deforming regions N2 - The knowledge of the largest expected earthquake magnitude in a region is one of the key issues in probabilistic seismic hazard calculations and the estimation of worst-case scenarios. Earthquake catalogues are the most informative source of information for the inference of earthquake magnitudes. We analysed the earthquake catalogue for Central Asia with respect to the largest expected magnitudes m(T) in a pre-defined time horizon T-f using a recently developed statistical methodology, extended by the explicit probabilistic consideration of magnitude errors. For this aim, we assumed broad error distributions for historical events, whereas the magnitudes of recently recorded instrumental earthquakes had smaller errors. The results indicate high probabilities for the occurrence of large events (M >= 8), even in short time intervals of a few decades. The expected magnitudes relative to the assumed maximum possible magnitude are generally higher for intermediate-depth earthquakes (51-300 km) than for shallow events (0-50 km). For long future time horizons, for example, a few hundred years, earthquakes with M >= 8.5 have to be taken into account, although, apart from the 1889 Chilik earthquake, it is probable that no such event occurred during the observation period of the catalogue. Y1 - 2017 SN - 978-1-86239-745-3 SN - 978-1-86239-964-8 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1144/SP432.3 SN - 0305-8719 VL - 432 SP - 29 EP - 40 PB - The Geological Society CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zöller, Gert A1 - Holschneider, Matthias A1 - Hainzl, Sebastian A1 - Zhuang, Jiancang T1 - The largest expected earthquake magnitudes in Japan: The statistical perspective JF - Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America N2 - Earthquake catalogs are probably the most informative data source about spatiotemporal seismicity evolution. The catalog quality in one of the most active seismogenic zones in the world, Japan, is excellent, although changes in quality arising, for example, from an evolving network are clearly present. Here, we seek the best estimate for the largest expected earthquake in a given future time interval from a combination of historic and instrumental earthquake catalogs. We extend the technique introduced by Zoller et al. (2013) to estimate the maximum magnitude in a time window of length T-f for earthquake catalogs with varying level of completeness. In particular, we consider the case in which two types of catalogs are available: a historic catalog and an instrumental catalog. This leads to competing interests with respect to the estimation of the two parameters from the Gutenberg-Richter law, the b-value and the event rate lambda above a given lower-magnitude threshold (the a-value). The b-value is estimated most precisely from the frequently occurring small earthquakes; however, the tendency of small events to cluster in aftershocks, swarms, etc. violates the assumption of a Poisson process that is used for the estimation of lambda. We suggest addressing conflict by estimating b solely from instrumental seismicity and using large magnitude events from historic catalogs for the earthquake rate estimation. Applying the method to Japan, there is a probability of about 20% that the maximum expected magnitude during any future time interval of length T-f = 30 years is m >= 9.0. Studies of different subregions in Japan indicates high probabilities for M 8 earthquakes along the Tohoku arc and relatively low probabilities in the Tokai, Tonankai, and Nankai region. Finally, for scenarios related to long-time horizons and high-confidence levels, the maximum expected magnitude will be around 10. Y1 - 2014 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1785/0120130103 SN - 0037-1106 SN - 1943-3573 VL - 104 IS - 2 SP - 769 EP - 779 PB - Seismological Society of America CY - Albany ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zöller, Gert A1 - Holschneider, Matthias A1 - Hainzl, Sebastian T1 - The Maximum Earthquake Magnitude in a Time Horizon: Theory and Case Studies JF - Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America N2 - We show how the maximum magnitude within a predefined future time horizon may be estimated from an earthquake catalog within the context of Gutenberg-Richter statistics. The aim is to carry out a rigorous uncertainty assessment, and calculate precise confidence intervals based on an imposed level of confidence a. In detail, we present a model for the estimation of the maximum magnitude to occur in a time interval T-f in the future, given a complete earthquake catalog for a time period T in the past and, if available, paleoseismic events. For this goal, we solely assume that earthquakes follow a stationary Poisson process in time with unknown productivity Lambda and obey the Gutenberg-Richter law in magnitude domain with unknown b-value. The random variables. and b are estimated by means of Bayes theorem with noninformative prior distributions. Results based on synthetic catalogs and on retrospective calculations of historic catalogs from the highly active area of Japan and the low-seismicity, but high-risk region lower Rhine embayment (LRE) in Germany indicate that the estimated magnitudes are close to the true values. Finally, we discuss whether the techniques can be extended to meet the safety requirements for critical facilities such as nuclear power plants. For this aim, the maximum magnitude for all times has to be considered. In agreement with earlier work, we find that this parameter is not a useful quantity from the viewpoint of statistical inference. Y1 - 2013 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1785/0120120013 SN - 0037-1106 VL - 103 IS - 2A SP - 860 EP - 875 PB - Seismological Society of America CY - Albany ER - TY - GEN A1 - Zöller, Gert A1 - Holschneider, Matthias T1 - Reply to “Comment on ‘The Maximum Possible and the Maximum Expected Earthquake Magnitude for Production‐Induced Earthquakes at the Gas Field in Groningen, The Netherlands’ by Gert Zöller and Matthias Holschneider” by Mathias Raschke T2 - Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1785/0120170131 SN - 0037-1106 SN - 1943-3573 VL - 108 IS - 2 SP - 1029 EP - 1030 PB - Seismological Society of America CY - Albany ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zöller, Gert A1 - Holschneider, Matthias T1 - Induced seismicity: What is the size of the largest expected earthquake? JF - The bulletin of the Seismological Society of America N2 - The injection of fluids is a well-known origin for the triggering of earthquake sequences. The growing number of projects related to enhanced geothermal systems, fracking, and others has led to the question, which maximum earthquake magnitude can be expected as a consequence of fluid injection? This question is addressed from the perspective of statistical analysis. Using basic empirical laws of earthquake statistics, we estimate the magnitude M-T of the maximum expected earthquake in a predefined future time window T-f. A case study of the fluid injection site at Paradox Valley, Colorado, demonstrates that the magnitude m 4.3 of the largest observed earthquake on 27 May 2000 lies very well within the expectation from past seismicity without adjusting any parameters. Vice versa, for a given maximum tolerable earthquake at an injection site, we can constrain the corresponding amount of injected fluids that must not be exceeded within predefined confidence bounds. Y1 - 2014 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1785/0120140195 SN - 0037-1106 SN - 1943-3573 VL - 104 IS - 6 SP - 3153 EP - 3158 PB - Seismological Society of America CY - Albany ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zöller, Gert A1 - Holschneider, Matthias T1 - The Maximum Possible and the Maximum Expected Earthquake Magnitude for Production-Induced Earthquakes at the Gas Field in Groningen, The Netherlands JF - Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America N2 - The Groningen gas field serves as a natural laboratory for production-induced earthquakes, because no earthquakes were observed before the beginning of gas production. Increasing gas production rates resulted in growing earthquake activity and eventually in the occurrence of the 2012M(w) 3.6 Huizinge earthquake. At least since this event, a detailed seismic hazard and risk assessment including estimation of the maximum earthquake magnitude is considered to be necessary to decide on the future gas production. In this short note, we first apply state-of-the-art methods of mathematical statistics to derive confidence intervals for the maximum possible earthquake magnitude m(max). Second, we calculate the maximum expected magnitude M-T in the time between 2016 and 2024 for three assumed gas-production scenarios. Using broadly accepted physical assumptions and 90% confidence level, we suggest a value of m(max) 4.4, whereas M-T varies between 3.9 and 4.3, depending on the production scenario. Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1785/0120160220 SN - 0037-1106 SN - 1943-3573 VL - 106 SP - 2917 EP - 2921 PB - Seismological Society of America CY - Albany ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zöller, Gert A1 - Holschneider, Matthias T1 - The Earthquake History in a Fault Zone Tells Us Almost Nothing about m(max) JF - Seismological research letters N2 - In the present study, we summarize and evaluate the endeavors from recent years to estimate the maximum possible earthquake magnitude m(max) from observed data. In particular, we use basic and physically motivated assumptions to identify best cases and worst cases in terms of lowest and highest degree of uncertainty of m(max). In a general framework, we demonstrate that earthquake data and earthquake proxy data recorded in a fault zone provide almost no information about m(max) unless reliable and homogeneous data of a long time interval, including several earthquakes with magnitude close to m(max), are available. Even if detailed earthquake information from some centuries including historic and paleoearthquakes are given, only very few, namely the largest events, will contribute at all to the estimation of m(max), and this results in unacceptably high uncertainties. As a consequence, estimators of m(max) in a fault zone, which are based solely on earthquake-related information from this region, have to be dismissed. Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1785/0220150176 SN - 0895-0695 SN - 1938-2057 VL - 87 SP - 132 EP - 137 PB - Seismological Society of America CY - Albany ER -