TY - JOUR A1 - Agarwal, Ankit A1 - Maheswaran, Rathinasamy A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Khosa, R. T1 - Wavelet Spectrum and Self-Organizing Maps-Based Approach for Hydrologic Regionalization -a Case Study in the Western United States JF - Water Resources Management N2 - Hydrologic regionalization deals with the investigation of homogeneity in watersheds and provides a classification of watersheds for regional analysis. The classification thus obtained can be used as a basis for mapping data from gauged to ungauged sites and can improve extreme event prediction. This paper proposes a wavelet power spectrum (WPS) coupled with the self-organizing map method for clustering hydrologic catchments. The application of this technique is implemented for gauged catchments. As a test case study, monthly streamflow records observed at 117 selected catchments throughout the western United States from 1951 through 2002. Further, based on WPS of each station, catchments are classified into homogeneous clusters, which provides a representative WPS pattern for the streamflow stations in each cluster. KW - Wavelet power spectrum KW - Regionalization KW - Ungauged catchments KW - K-means technique KW - Self-organizing map Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s11269-016-1428-1 SN - 0920-4741 SN - 1573-1650 VL - 30 SP - 4399 EP - 4413 PB - Springer CY - Dordrecht ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Agarwal, Ankit A1 - Maheswaran, Rathinasamy A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Caesar, Levke A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Wavelet-based multiscale similarity measure for complex networks JF - The European physical journal : B, Condensed matter and complex systems N2 - In recent years, complex network analysis facilitated the identification of universal and unexpected patterns in complex climate systems. However, the analysis and representation of a multiscale complex relationship that exists in the global climate system are limited. A logical first step in addressing this issue is to construct multiple networks over different timescales. Therefore, we propose to apply the wavelet multiscale correlation (WMC) similarity measure, which is a combination of two state-of-the-art methods, viz. wavelet and Pearson’s correlation, for investigating multiscale processes through complex networks. Firstly we decompose the data over different timescales using the wavelet approach and subsequently construct a corresponding network by Pearson’s correlation. The proposed approach is illustrated and tested on two synthetics and one real-world example. The first synthetic case study shows the efficacy of the proposed approach to unravel scale-specific connections, which are often undiscovered at a single scale. The second synthetic case study illustrates that by dividing and constructing a separate network for each time window we can detect significant changes in the signal structure. The real-world example investigates the behavior of the global sea surface temperature (SST) network at different timescales. Intriguingly, we notice that spatial dependent structure in SST evolves temporally. Overall, the proposed measure has an immense potential to provide essential insights on understanding and extending complex multivariate process studies at multiple scales. KW - Statistical and Nonlinear Physics Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1140/epjb/e2018-90460-6 SN - 1434-6028 SN - 1434-6036 VL - 91 IS - 11 PB - Springer CY - New York ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Agarwal, Ankit A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Maheswaran, Rathinasamy A1 - Merz, Bruno A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Multi-scale event synchronization analysis for unravelling climate processes: a wavelet-based approach JF - Nonlinear processes in geophysics N2 - The temporal dynamics of climate processes are spread across different timescales and, as such, the study of these processes at only one selected timescale might not reveal the complete mechanisms and interactions within and between the (sub-) processes. To capture the non-linear interactions between climatic events, the method of event synchronization has found increasing attention recently. The main drawback with the present estimation of event synchronization is its restriction to analysing the time series at one reference timescale only. The study of event synchronization at multiple scales would be of great interest to comprehend the dynamics of the investigated climate processes. In this paper, the wavelet-based multi-scale event synchronization (MSES) method is proposed by combining the wavelet transform and event synchronization. Wavelets are used extensively to comprehend multi-scale processes and the dynamics of processes across various timescales. The proposed method allows the study of spatio-temporal patterns across different timescales. The method is tested on synthetic and real-world time series in order to check its replicability and applicability. The results indicate that MSES is able to capture relationships that exist between processes at different timescales. Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-24-599-2017 SN - 1023-5809 VL - 24 SP - 599 EP - 611 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Agarwal, Ankit A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Maheswaran, Rathinasamy A1 - Merz, Bruno A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Quantifying the roles of single stations within homogeneous regions using complex network analysis JF - Journal of hydrology N2 - Regionalization and pooling stations to form homogeneous regions or communities are essential for reliable parameter transfer, prediction in ungauged basins, and estimation of missing information. Over the years, several clustering methods have been proposed for regional analysis. Most of these methods are able to quantify the study region in terms of homogeneity but fail to provide microscopic information about the interaction between communities, as well as about each station within the communities. We propose a complex network-based approach to extract this valuable information and demonstrate the potential of our approach using a rainfall network constructed from the Indian gridded daily precipitation data. The communities were identified using the network-theoretical community detection algorithm for maximizing the modularity. Further, the grid points (nodes) were classified into universal roles according to their pattern of within- and between-community connections. The method thus yields zoomed-in details of individual rainfall grids within each community. KW - Complex network KW - Event synchronization KW - Rainfall network KW - Z-P approach Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2018.06.050 SN - 0022-1694 SN - 1879-2707 VL - 563 SP - 802 EP - 810 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - GEN A1 - Agarwal, Ankit A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Maheswaran, Rathinasamy A1 - Merz, Bruno A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Multi-scale event synchronization analysis for unravelling climate processes BT - a wavelet-based approach T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - The temporal dynamics of climate processes are spread across different timescales and, as such, the study of these processes at only one selected timescale might not reveal the complete mechanisms and interactions within and between the (sub-) processes. To capture the non-linear interactions between climatic events, the method of event synchronization has found increasing attention recently. The main drawback with the present estimation of event synchronization is its restriction to analysing the time series at one reference timescale only. The study of event synchronization at multiple scales would be of great interest to comprehend the dynamics of the investigated climate processes. In this paper, the wavelet-based multi-scale event synchronization (MSES) method is proposed by combining the wavelet transform and event synchronization. Wavelets are used extensively to comprehend multi-scale processes and the dynamics of processes across various timescales. The proposed method allows the study of spatio-temporal patterns across different timescales. The method is tested on synthetic and real-world time series in order to check its replicability and applicability. The results indicate that MSES is able to capture relationships that exist between processes at different timescales. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 661 KW - precipitation KW - phase KW - EEG KW - desynchronization KW - interdependences KW - coherence KW - networks KW - monsoon KW - models KW - time Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-418274 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 661 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Agarwal, Ankit A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Maheswaran, Rathinasamy A1 - Öztürk, Ugur A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Merz, Bruno T1 - Optimal design of hydrometric station networks based on complex network analysis JF - Hydrology and Earth System Sciences N2 - Hydrometric networks play a vital role in providing information for decision-making in water resource management. They should be set up optimally to provide as much information as possible that is as accurate as possible and, at the same time, be cost-effective. Although the design of hydrometric networks is a well-identified problem in hydrometeorology and has received considerable attention, there is still scope for further advancement. In this study, we use complex network analysis, defined as a collection of nodes interconnected by links, to propose a new measure that identifies critical nodes of station networks. The approach can support the design and redesign of hydrometric station networks. The science of complex networks is a relatively young field and has gained significant momentum over the last few years in different areas such as brain networks, social networks, technological networks, or climate networks. The identification of influential nodes in complex networks is an important field of research. We propose a new node-ranking measure – the weighted degree–betweenness (WDB) measure – to evaluate the importance of nodes in a network. It is compared to previously proposed measures used on synthetic sample networks and then applied to a real-world rain gauge network comprising 1229 stations across Germany to demonstrate its applicability. The proposed measure is evaluated using the decline rate of the network efficiency and the kriging error. The results suggest that WDB effectively quantifies the importance of rain gauges, although the benefits of the method need to be investigated in more detail. KW - identifying influential nodes KW - climate networks KW - rainfall KW - streamflow KW - synchronization KW - precipitation KW - classification KW - events Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-24-2235-2020 SN - 1027-5606 SN - 1607-7938 VL - 24 IS - 5 SP - 2235 EP - 2251 PB - Copernicus Publ. CY - Göttingen ER - TY - GEN A1 - Agarwal, Ankit A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Maheswaran, Rathinasamy A1 - Öztürk, Ugur A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Merz, Bruno T1 - Optimal design of hydrometric station networks based on complex network analysis T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - Hydrometric networks play a vital role in providing information for decision-making in water resource management. They should be set up optimally to provide as much information as possible that is as accurate as possible and, at the same time, be cost-effective. Although the design of hydrometric networks is a well-identified problem in hydrometeorology and has received considerable attention, there is still scope for further advancement. In this study, we use complex network analysis, defined as a collection of nodes interconnected by links, to propose a new measure that identifies critical nodes of station networks. The approach can support the design and redesign of hydrometric station networks. The science of complex networks is a relatively young field and has gained significant momentum over the last few years in different areas such as brain networks, social networks, technological networks, or climate networks. The identification of influential nodes in complex networks is an important field of research. We propose a new node-ranking measure – the weighted degree–betweenness (WDB) measure – to evaluate the importance of nodes in a network. It is compared to previously proposed measures used on synthetic sample networks and then applied to a real-world rain gauge network comprising 1229 stations across Germany to demonstrate its applicability. The proposed measure is evaluated using the decline rate of the network efficiency and the kriging error. The results suggest that WDB effectively quantifies the importance of rain gauges, although the benefits of the method need to be investigated in more detail. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 951 KW - identifying influential nodes KW - climate networks KW - rainfall KW - streamflow KW - synchronization KW - precipitation KW - classification KW - events Y1 - 2020 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-471006 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 951 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Allefeld, Carsten A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - An approach to multivariate phase synchronization analysis and its application to event-related potentials N2 - A method for the multivariate analysis of statistical phase synchronization phenomena in empirical data is presented. A first statistical approach is complemented by a stochastic dynamic model, to result in a data analysis algorithm which can in a specific sense be shown to be a generic multivariate statistical phase synchronization analysis. The method is applied to EEG data from a psychological experiment, obtaining results which indicate the relevance of this method in the context of cognitive science as well as in other fields Y1 - 2004 SN - 0218-1274 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Allefeld, Carsten A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Testing for phase synchronization N2 - We present different tests for phase synchronization which improve the procedures currently used in the literature. This is accomplished by using a two-sample test setup and by utilizing insights and methods from directional statistics and bootstrap theory. The tests differ in the generality of the situation in which they can be applied as well as in their complexity, including computational cost. A modification of the resampling technique of the bootstrap is introduced, making it possible to fully utilize data from time series Y1 - 2004 SN - 0218-1274 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Allefeld, Carsten A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Testing for phase synchronization N2 - We present different tests for phase synchronization which improve the procedures currently used in the literature. This is accomplished by using a two-samples test setup and by utilizing insights and methods from directional statistics and bootstrap theory. The tests differ in the generality of the situation in which they can be applied as well as in their complexity, including computational cost. A modification of the resampling technique of the bootstrap is introduced, making it possible to fully utilize data from time series. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - paper 071 Y1 - 2004 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-20091 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Allefeld, Carsten A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - An approach to multivariate phase synchronization analysis and its application to event-related potentials N2 - A method for the multivariate analysis of statistical phase synchronization phenomena in empirical data is presented. A first statistical approach is complemented by a stochastic dynamic model, to result in a data analysis algorithm which can in a specific sense be shown to be a generic multivariate statistical phase synchronization analysis. The method is applied to EEG data from a psychological experiment, obtaining results which indicate the relevance of this method in the context of cognitive science as well as in other fields. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - paper 069 Y1 - 2004 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-20106 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Anishchenko, Vadim S. A1 - Kopeikin, A. S. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Studying hyperbolicity in chaotic systems Y1 - 2000 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Anishchenko, Vadim S. A1 - Nikolaev, S A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Winding number locking on a two-dimensional torus : synchronization of quasiperiodic motions N2 - We propose a new autonomous dynamical system of dimension N=4 that demonstrates the regime of stable two- frequency motions and period-doubling bifurcations of a two-dimensional torus. It is shown that the period-doubling bifurcation of the two-dimensional torus is not followed by the resonance phenomenon, and the two-dimensional ergodic torus undergoes a period-doubling bifurcation. The interaction of two generators is also analyzed. The phenomenon of external and mutual synchronization of two-frequency oscillations is observed, for which winding number locking on a two- dimensional torus takes place Y1 - 2006 UR - http://pre.aps.org/ U6 - https://doi.org/10.1103/Physreve.73.056202 SN - 1539-3755 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Anishchenko, Vadim S. A1 - Vadivasova, T. E. A1 - Kopeikin, A. S. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Strelkova, G. I. T1 - Effect of noise on the relaxation to an invariant probability measure of nonhyperbolic chaotic attractors Y1 - 2001 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Anishchenko, Vadim S. A1 - Vadivasova, T. E. A1 - Kopeikin, A. S. A1 - Strelkova, G. I. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Spectral and correlation analysis of spiral chaos N2 - We study numerically the behavior of the autocorrelation function (ACF) and the power spectrum of spiral attractors without and in the presence of noise. It is shown that the ACF decays exponentially and has two different time scales. The rate of the ACF decrease is defined by the amplitude fluctuations on small time intervals, i.e., when tau < tau(cor), and by the effective diffusion coefficient of the instantantaneous phase on large time intervals. it is also demonstrated that the ACF in the Poincare map also decreases according to the exponential law exp(-lambda(+)k), where lambda(+) is the positive Lyapunov exponent. The obtained results are compared with the theory of fluctuations for the Van der Pol oscillator Y1 - 2003 SN - 0219-4775 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Anishchenko, Vadim S. A1 - Vadivasova, T. E. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Okrokvertskhov, G. A. A1 - Strelkova, G. I. T1 - Autocorrelation function and spectral linewidth of spiral chaos in a physical experiment N2 - We present results of physical experiments where we measure the autocorrelation function (ACF) and the spectral linewidth of the basic frequency of a spiral chaotic attractor in a generator with inertial nonlinearity both without and in the presence of external noise. It is shown that the ACF of spiral attractors decays according to an exponential law with a decrement which is defined by the phase diffusion coefficient. It is also established that the evolution of the instantaneous phase can be approximated by a Wiener random process Y1 - 2004 SN - 1063-651X ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Baltanás, J. P. A1 - Zaikin, Alexei A. A1 - Feudel, Fred A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Sanjuan, Miguel Angel Fernández T1 - Noise-induced effects in tracer dynamics Y1 - 2002 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Baptista, Murilo da Silva A1 - Bohn, Christiane A1 - Kliegl, Reinhold A1 - Engbert, Ralf A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Reconstruction of eye movements during blinks Y1 - 2008 UR - http://chaos.aip.org/ U6 - https://doi.org/10.1063/1.2890843 SN - 1054-1500 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Baptista, Murilo da Silva A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Chaotic channel N2 - This work combines the theory of chaotic synchronization with the theory of information in order to introduce the chaotic channel, an active medium formed by connected chaotic systems. This subset of a large chaotic net represents the path along which information flows. We show that the possible amount of information exchange between the transmitter, where information enters the net, and the receiver, the destination of the information, is proportional to the level of synchronization between these two special subsystems Y1 - 2005 SN - 1539-3755 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Baptista, Murilo da Silva A1 - Pereira, Tiago A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Upper bounds in phase synchronous weak coherent chaotic attractors N2 - An approach is presented for coupled chaotic systems with weak coherent motion, from which we estimate the upper bound value for the absolute phase difference in phase synchronous states. This approach shows that synchronicity in phase implies synchronicity in the time of events, a characteristic explored to derive an equation to detect phase synchronization, based on the absolute difference between the time of these events. We demonstrate the potential use of this approach for the phase coherent and the funnel attractor of the Rossler system, as well as for the spiking/bursting Rulkov map. Y1 - 2006 UR - http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/01672789 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physd.2006.02.007 SN - 0167-2789 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Baptista, Murilo da Silva A1 - Pereira, Tiago A1 - Sartorelli, J. C. A1 - Caldas, Ibere Luiz A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Non-transitive maps in phase synchronization N2 - Concepts from Ergodic Theory are used to describe the existence of special non-transitive maps in attractors of phase synchronous chaotic oscillators. In particular, it is shown that, for a class of phase-coherent oscillators, these special maps imply phase synchronization. We illustrate these ideas in the sinusoidally forced Chua's circuit and two coupled Rossler oscillators. Furthermore, these results are extended to other coupled chaotic systems. In addition, a phase for a chaotic attractor is defined from the tangent vector of the flow. Finally, it is discussed how these maps can be used for the real-time detection of phase synchronization in experimental systems. (c) 2005 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved Y1 - 2005 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Baptista, Murilo da Silva A1 - Zhou, Changsong A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Information transmission in phase synchronous chaotic arrays N2 - We show many versatile phase synchronous configurations that emerge in an array of coupled chaotic elements due to the presence of a periodic stimulus. Then, we explain the relevance of these configurations to the understanding of how information about such a. stimulus is transmitted from one side to the other in this array. The stimulus actively creates the ways to be transmitted, by making the chaotic elements to phase synchronize Y1 - 2006 UR - http://iopscience.iop.org/0256-307X/ U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/0256-307X/23/3/010 SN - 0256-307X ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Beim Graben, Peter A1 - Frisch, Stefan A1 - Fink, A. A1 - Saddy, Douglas A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Topographic voltage and coherence mapping of brain potentials by means of the symbolic resonance analysis N2 - We apply the recently developed symbolic resonance analysis to electroencephalographic measurements of event- related brain potentials (ERPs) in a language processing experiment by using a three-symbol static encoding with varying thresholds for analyzing the ERP epochs, followed by a spin-flip transformation as a nonlinear filter. We compute an estimator of the signal-to-noise ratio (SNR) for the symbolic dynamics measuring the coherence of threshold-crossing events. Hence, we utilize the inherent noise of the EEG for sweeping the underlying ERP components beyond the encoding thresholds. Plotting the SNR computed within the time window of a particular ERP component (the N400) against the encoding thresholds, we find different resonance curves for the experimental conditions. The maximal differences of the SNR lead to the estimation of optimal encoding thresholds. We show that topographic brain maps of the optimal threshold voltages and of their associated coherence differences are able to dissociate the underlying physiological processes, while corresponding maps gained from the customary voltage averaging technique are unable to do so Y1 - 2005 SN - 1539-3755 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Beim Graben, Peter A1 - Saddy, Douglas A1 - Schlesewsky, Matthias A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Symbolic dynamics of event-related brain potentials Y1 - 2000 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Belykh, Vladimir N. A1 - Osipov, Grigory V. A1 - Kuckländer, Nina A1 - Blasius, Bernd A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Automatic control of phase synchronization in coupled complex oscillators N2 - We present an automatic control method for phase locking of regular and chaotic non-identical oscillations, when all subsystems interact via feedback. This method is based on the well known principle of feedback control which takes place in nature and is successfully used in engineering. In contrast to unidirectional and bidirectional coupling, the approach presented here supposes the existence of a special controller, which allows to change the parameters of the controlled systems. First we discuss general principles of automatic phase synchronization (PS) for arbitrary coupled systems with a controller whose input is given by a special quadratic form of coordinates of the individual systems and its output is a result of the application of a linear differential operator. We demonstrate the effectiveness of our approach for controlled PS on several examples: (i) two coupled regular oscillators, (ii) coupled regular and chaotic oscillators, (iii) two coupled chaotic R"ossler oscillators, (iv) two coupled foodweb models, (v) coupled chaotic R"ossler and Lorenz oscillators, (vi) ensembles of locally coupled regular oscillators, (vii) ensembles of locally coupled chaotic oscillators, and (viii) ensembles of globally coupled chaotic oscillators. Y1 - 2005 UR - http://www.agnld.uni-potsdam.de/~bernd/papers/physica_D.pdf ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Bergner, Andre A1 - Frasca, M. A1 - Sciuto, G. A1 - Buscarino, A. A1 - Ngamga, Eulalie Joelle A1 - Fortuna, L. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Remote synchronization in star networks JF - Physical review : E, Statistical, nonlinear and soft matter physics N2 - We study phase synchronization in a network motif with a starlike structure in which the central node's (the hub's) frequency is strongly detuned against the other peripheral nodes. We find numerically and experimentally a regime of remote synchronization (RS), where the peripheral nodes form a phase synchronized cluster, while the hub remains free with its own dynamics and serves just as a transmitter for the other nodes. We explain the mechanism for this RS by the existence of a free amplitude and also show that systems with a fixed or constant amplitude, such as the classic Kuramoto phase oscillator, are not able to generate this phenomenon. Further, we derive an analytic expression which supports our explanation of the mechanism. Y1 - 2012 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1103/PhysRevE.85.026208 SN - 1539-3755 VL - 85 IS - 2 PB - American Physical Society CY - College Park ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Bittmann, Frank A1 - Gutschow, Stephan A1 - Luther, Sven A1 - Wessel, Niels A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - On the functional relationship between postural motor balance and performance at school N2 - In integrated medical considerations of the biological human system, both intellectual and motor performances in a similar manner are considered as a result of the function of the nervous system. Consequently, universal minimal dysfunctions of the central nervous system may lead to both intellectual and physical anomalies. Therefore, this study tests the hypothesis that there is a connection between the balance ability as a motor parameter and school success as an intellectual parameter. A postural measuring system based on the force-moment sensor technique was used to record the postural balance regulation of 773 children (circle divide 11 +/- 1 years). The school achievement of each child was determined by school grades. Data analysis was performed by linear as well as by nonlinear time series analyses. There are highly significant differences in balance regulation between good and poor pupils recognized by several linear and nonlinear parameters. Good pupils could be discriminated from pupils with bad results in learning to 80 %. The results support the hypothesis mentioned above. One possible explanation for the poor regulation of balance in bad learners could be a deficit in the neural maturity. In future, further developments will be targeted on higher discrimination levels, possibly in order to predict school success. On the other hand, the effects of special movement exercises on the neural development in childhood will be the focus in our further work Y1 - 2005 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Boccaletti, Stefano A1 - Hwang, Dong-Uk A1 - Chavez, Mario A1 - Amann, Andreas A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Pecora, Louis M. T1 - Synchronization in dynamical networks : evolution along commutative graphs N2 - Starting from an initial wiring of connections, we show that the synchronizability of a network can be significantly improved by evolving the graph along a time dependent connectivity matrix. We consider the case of connectivity matrices that commute at all times, and compare several approaches to engineer the corresponding commutative graphs. In particular, we show that synchronization in a dynamical network can be achieved even in the case in which each individual commutative graphs does not give rise to synchronized behavior Y1 - 2006 UR - http://pre.aps.org/ U6 - https://doi.org/10.1103/Physreve.74.016102 SN - 1539-3755 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Boccaletti, Stefano A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Osipov, Grigory V. T1 - The synchronization of chaotic systems Y1 - 2002 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Boccaletti, Stefano A1 - Valladares, D. L. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Synchronization of chaotic structurally nonequivalent systems Y1 - 2000 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Boers, Niklas A1 - Barbosa, Henrique M. J. A1 - Bookhagen, Bodo A1 - Marengo, Jose A. A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Propagation of Strong Rainfall Events from Southeastern South America to the Central Andes JF - Journal of climate N2 - Based on high-spatiotemporal-resolution data, the authors perform a climatological study of strong rainfall events propagating from southeastern South America to the eastern slopes of the central Andes during the monsoon season. These events account for up to 70% of total seasonal rainfall in these areas. They are of societal relevance because of associated natural hazards in the form of floods and landslides, and they form an intriguing climatic phenomenon, because they propagate against the direction of the low-level moisture flow from the tropics. The responsible synoptic mechanism is analyzed using suitable composites of the relevant atmospheric variables with high temporal resolution. The results suggest that the low-level inflow from the tropics, while important for maintaining sufficient moisture in the area of rainfall, does not initiate the formation of rainfall clusters. Instead, alternating low and high pressure anomalies in midlatitudes, which are associated with an eastward-moving Rossby wave train, in combination with the northwestern Argentinean low, create favorable pressure and wind conditions for frontogenesis and subsequent precipitation events propagating from southeastern South America toward the Bolivian Andes. KW - Cold air surges KW - Extreme events KW - Precipitation KW - Subtropical cyclones KW - Convective storms KW - Mesoscale systems Y1 - 2015 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-15-0137.1 SN - 0894-8755 SN - 1520-0442 VL - 28 IS - 19 SP - 7641 EP - 7658 PB - American Meteorological Soc. CY - Boston ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Boers, Niklas A1 - Bookhagen, Bodo A1 - Marengo, Jose A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - von Storch, Jin-Song A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Extreme Rainfall of the South American Monsoon System: A Dataset Comparison Using Complex Networks JF - Journal of climate N2 - In this study, the authors compare six different rainfall datasets for South America with a focus on their representation of extreme rainfall during the monsoon season (December February): the gauge-calibrated TRMM 3B42 V7 satellite product; the near-real-time TRMM 3B42 V7 RT, the GPCP 1 degrees daily (1DD) V1.2 satellite gauge combination product, the Interim ECMWF Re-Analysis (ERA-Interim) product; output of a high-spatial-resolution run of the ECHAM6 global circulation model; and output of the regional climate model Eta. For the latter three, this study can be understood as a model evaluation. In addition to statistical values of local rainfall distributions, the authors focus on the spatial characteristics of extreme rainfall covariability. Since traditional approaches based on principal component analysis are not applicable in the context of extreme events, they apply and further develop methods based on complex network theory. This way, the authors uncover substantial differences in extreme rainfall patterns between the different datasets: (i) The three model-derived datasets yield very different results than the satellite gauge combinations regarding the main climatological propagation pathways of extreme events as well as the main convergence zones of the monsoon system. (ii) Large discrepancies are found for the development of mesoscale convective systems in southeastern South America. (iii) Both TRMM datasets and ECHAM6 indicate a linkage of extreme rainfall events between the central Amazon basin and the eastern slopes of the central Andes, but this pattern is not reproduced by the remaining datasets. The authors' study suggests that none of the three model-derived datasets adequately captures extreme rainfall patterns in South America. Y1 - 2015 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00340.1 SN - 0894-8755 SN - 1520-0442 VL - 28 IS - 3 SP - 1031 EP - 1056 PB - American Meteorological Soc. CY - Boston ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Boers, Niklas A1 - Bookhagen, Bodo A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Spatiotemporal characteristics and synchronization of extreme rainfall in South America with focus on the Andes Mountain range JF - Climate dynamics : observational, theoretical and computational research on the climate system N2 - The South American Andes are frequently exposed to intense rainfall events with varying moisture sources and precipitation-forming processes. In this study, we assess the spatiotemporal characteristics and geographical origins of rainfall over the South American continent. Using high-spatiotemporal resolution satellite data (TRMM 3B42 V7), we define four different types of rainfall events based on their (1) high magnitude, (2) long temporal extent, (3) large spatial extent, and (4) high magnitude, long temporal and large spatial extent combined. In a first step, we analyze the spatiotemporal characteristics of these events over the entire South American continent and integrate their impact for the main Andean hydrologic catchments. Our results indicate that events of type 1 make the overall highest contributions to total seasonal rainfall (up to 50%). However, each consecutive episode of the infrequent events of type 4 still accounts for up to 20% of total seasonal rainfall in the subtropical Argentinean plains. In a second step, we employ complex network theory to unravel possibly non-linear and long-ranged climatic linkages for these four event types on the high-elevation Altiplano-Puna Plateau as well as in the main river catchments along the foothills of the Andes. Our results suggest that one to two particularly large squall lines per season, originating from northern Brazil, indirectly trigger large, long-lasting thunderstorms on the Altiplano Plateau. In general, we observe that extreme rainfall in the catchments north of approximately 20 degrees S typically originates from the Amazon Basin, while extreme rainfall at the eastern Andean foothills south of 20 degrees S and the Puna Plateau originates from southeastern South America. KW - Extreme rainfall KW - Synchronization KW - Complex networks KW - South American monsoon system Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-015-2601-6 SN - 0930-7575 SN - 1432-0894 VL - 46 SP - 601 EP - 617 PB - Springer CY - New York ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Boers, Niklas A1 - Goswami, Bedartha A1 - Rheinwalt, Aljoscha A1 - Bookhagen, Bodo A1 - Hoskins, Brian A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Complex networks reveal global pattern of extreme-rainfall teleconnections JF - Nature : the international weekly journal of science N2 - Climatic observables are often correlated across long spatial distances, and extreme events, such as heatwaves or floods, are typically assumed to be related to such teleconnections(1,2). Revealing atmospheric teleconnection patterns and understanding their underlying mechanisms is of great importance for weather forecasting in general and extreme-event prediction in particular(3,4), especially considering that the characteristics of extreme events have been suggested to change under ongoing anthropogenic climate change(5-8). Here we reveal the global coupling pattern of extreme-rainfall events by applying complex-network methodology to high-resolution satellite data and introducing a technique that corrects for multiple-comparison bias in functional networks. We find that the distance distribution of significant connections (P < 0.005) around the globe decays according to a power law up to distances of about 2,500 kilometres. For longer distances, the probability of significant connections is much higher than expected from the scaling of the power law. We attribute the shorter, power-law-distributed connections to regional weather systems. The longer, super-power-law-distributed connections form a global rainfall teleconnection pattern that is probably controlled by upper-level Rossby waves. We show that extreme-rainfall events in the monsoon systems of south-central Asia, east Asia and Africa are significantly synchronized. Moreover, we uncover concise links between south-central Asia and the European and North American extratropics, as well as the Southern Hemisphere extratropics. Analysis of the atmospheric conditions that lead to these teleconnections confirms Rossby waves as the physical mechanism underlying these global teleconnection patterns and emphasizes their crucial role in dynamical tropical-extratropical couplings. Our results provide insights into the function of Rossby waves in creating stable, global-scale dependencies of extreme-rainfall events, and into the potential predictability of associated natural hazards. Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-018-0872-x SN - 0028-0836 SN - 1476-4687 VL - 566 IS - 7744 SP - 373 EP - 377 PB - Nature Publ. Group CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Bove, I. A1 - Boccaletti, Stefano A1 - Bragard, Jean A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Mancini, H. T1 - Frequency entrainment of nonautonomous chaotic oscillators N2 - We give evidence of frequency entrainment of dominant peaks in the chaotic spectra of two coupled chaotic nonautonomous oscillators. At variance with the autonomous case, the phenomenon is here characterized by the vanishing of a previously positive Lyapunov exponent in the spectrum, which takes place for a broad range of the coupling strength parameter. Such a state is studied also for the case of chaotic oscillators with ill-defined phases due to the absence of a unique center of rotation. Different phase synchronization indicators are used to circumvent this difficulty Y1 - 2004 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Braun, Holger A1 - Ditlevsen, Peter D. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Mudelsee, Manfred T1 - Limitations of red noise in analysing Dansgaard-Oeschger events N2 - During the last glacial period, climate records from the North Atlantic region exhibit a pronounced spectral component corresponding to a period of about 1470 years, which has attracted much attention. This spectral peak is closely related to the recurrence pattern of Dansgaard-Oeschger (DO) events. In previous studies a red noise random process, more precisely a first-order autoregressive (AR1) process, was used to evaluate the statistical significance of this peak, with a reported significance of more than 99%. Here we use a simple mechanistic two-state model of DO events, which itself was derived from a much more sophisticated ocean-atmosphere model of intermediate complexity, to numerically evaluate the spectral properties of random (i.e., solely noise-driven) events. This way we find that the power spectral density of random DO events differs fundamentally from a simple red noise random process. These results question the applicability of linear spectral analysis for estimating the statistical significance of highly non-linear processes such as DO events. More precisely, to enhance our scientific understanding about the trigger of DO events, we must not consider simple "straw men" as, for example, the AR1 random process, but rather test against realistic alternative descriptions. Y1 - 2010 UR - http://www.clim-past.net/volumes_and_issues.html U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-6-85-2010 SN - 1814-9324 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Braun, Robert A1 - Feudel, Fred A1 - Gebogi, C. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Witt, Annette T1 - Tracer dynamics in a flow of driven vortices Y1 - 1999 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Breitenbach, Sebastian Franz Martin A1 - Rehfeld, Kira A1 - Goswami, Bedartha A1 - Baldini, James U. L. A1 - Ridley, H. E. A1 - Kennett, D. J. A1 - Prufer, K. M. A1 - Aquino, Valorie V. A1 - Asmerom, Yemane A1 - Polyak, V. J. A1 - Cheng, Hai A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Marwan, Norbert T1 - Constructing Proxy Records from Age models (COPRA) JF - Climate of the past : an interactive open access journal of the European Geosciences Union N2 - Reliable age models are fundamental for any palaeoclimate reconstruction. Available interpolation procedures between age control points are often inadequately reported, and very few translate age uncertainties to proxy uncertainties. Most available modeling algorithms do not allow incorporation of layer counted intervals to improve the confidence limits of the age model in question. We present a framework that allows detection and interactive handling of age reversals and hiatuses, depth-age modeling, and proxy-record reconstruction. Monte Carlo simulation and a translation procedure are used to assign a precise time scale to climate proxies and to translate dating uncertainties to uncertainties in the proxy values. The presented framework allows integration of incremental relative dating information to improve the final age model. The free software package COPRA1.0 facilitates easy interactive usage. Y1 - 2012 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-8-1765-2012 SN - 1814-9324 VL - 8 IS - 5 SP - 1765 EP - 1779 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Chen, Jin-Long A1 - Shiau, Yuo-Hsien A1 - Tseng, Yin-Jiun A1 - Chiu, Hung-Wen A1 - Hsiao, Tzu-Chien A1 - Wessel, Niels A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Chu, Woei-Chyn T1 - Concurrent sympathetic activation and vagal withdrawal in hyperthyroidism : evidence from detrended fluctuation analysis of heart rate variability N2 - Despite many previous Studies on the association between hyperthyroidism and the hyperadrenergic state, controversies still exist. Detrended fluctuation analysis (DFA) is a well recognized method in the nonlinear analysis of heart rate variability (HRV), and it has physiological significance related to the autonomic nervous system. In particular, an increased short-term scaling exponent alpha 1 calculated from DFA is associated with both increased sympathetic activity and decreased vagal activity. No study has investigated the DFA of HRV in hyperthyroidism. This study was designed to assess the sympathovagal balance in hyperthyroidism. We performed the DFA along with the linear analysis of HRV in 36 hyperthyroid Graves' disease patients (32 females and 4 males; age 30 +/- 1 years, means +/- SE) and 36 normal controls matched by sex, age and body mass index. Compared with the normal controls, the hyperthyroid patients revealed a significant increase (P < 0.001) in alpha 1 (hyperthyroid 1.28 +/- 0.04 versus control 0.91 +/- 0.02), long-term scaling exponent alpha 2 (1.05 +/- 0.02 versus 0.90 +/- 0.01), overall scaling exponent alpha (1.11 +/- 0.02 versus 0.89 +/- 0.01), low frequency power in normalized units (LF%) and the ratio of low frequency power to high frequency power (LF/HF); and a significant decrease (P < 0.001) in the standard deviation of the R-R intervals (SDNN) and high frequency power (HF). In conclusion, hyperthyroidism is characterized by concurrent sympathetic activation and vagal withdrawal. This sympathovagal imbalance state in hyperthyroidism helps to explain the higher prevalence of atrial fibrillation and exercise intolerance among hyperthyroid patients. Y1 - 2010 UR - http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/03784371 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.physa.2009.12.062 SN - 0378-4371 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Chen, Maoyin A1 - Shang, Yun A1 - Zhou, Changsong A1 - Wu, Ye A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Enhanced synchronizability in scale-free networks N2 - We introduce a modified dynamical optimization coupling scheme to enhance the synchronizability in the scale- free networks as well as to keep uniform and converging intensities during the transition to synchronization. Further, the size of networks that can be synchronizable exceeds by several orders of magnitude the size of unweighted networks. Y1 - 2009 UR - http://chaos.aip.org/ U6 - https://doi.org/10.1063/1.3062864 SN - 1054-1500 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ciemer, Catrin A1 - Boers, Niklas A1 - Hirota, Marina A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Müller-Hansen, Finn A1 - Oliveira, Rafael S. A1 - Winkelmann, Ricarda T1 - Higher resilience to climatic disturbances in tropical vegetation exposed to more variable rainfall JF - Nature geoscience N2 - With ongoing global warming, the amount and frequency of precipitation in the tropics is projected to change substantially. While it has been shown that tropical forests and savannahs are sustained within the same intermediate mean annual precipitation range, the mechanisms that lead to the resilience of these ecosystems are still not fully understood. In particular, the long-term impact of rainfall variability on resilience is as yet unclear. Here we present observational evidence that both tropical forest and savannah exposed to a higher rainfall variability-in particular on interannual scales-during their long-term past are overall more resilient against climatic disturbances. Based on precipitation and tree cover data in the Brazilian Amazon basin, we constructed potential landscapes that enable us to systematically measure the resilience of the different ecosystems. Additionally, we infer that shifts from forest to savannah due to decreasing precipitation in the future are more likely to occur in regions with a precursory lower rainfall variability. Long-term rainfall variability thus needs to be taken into account in resilience analyses and projections of vegetation response to climate change. Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1038/s41561-019-0312-z SN - 1752-0894 SN - 1752-0908 VL - 12 IS - 3 SP - 174 EP - 179 PB - Nature Publ. Group CY - New York ER - TY - GEN A1 - Ciemer, Catrin A1 - Rehm, Lars A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Donner, Reik Volker A1 - Winkelmann, Ricarda A1 - Boers, Niklas T1 - An early-warning indicator for Amazon droughts exclusively based on tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - Droughts in tropical South America have an imminent and severe impact on the Amazon rainforest and affect the livelihoods of millions of people. Extremely dry conditions in Amazonia have been previously linked to sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the adjacent tropical oceans. Although the sources and impacts of such droughts have been widely studied, establishing reliable multi-year lead statistical forecasts of their occurrence is still an ongoing challenge. Here, we further investigate the relationship between SST and rainfall anomalies using a complex network approach. We identify four ocean regions which exhibit the strongest overall SST correlations with central Amazon rainfall, including two particularly prominent regions in the northern and southern tropical Atlantic. Based on the time-dependent correlation between SST anomalies in these two regions alone, we establish a new early-warning method for droughts in the central Amazon basin and demonstrate its robustness in hindcasting past major drought events with lead-times up to 18 months. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 1207 KW - complex networks KW - droughts KW - prediction KW - Amazon rainforest Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-525863 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 9 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ciemer, Catrin A1 - Rehm, Lars A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Donner, Reik Volker A1 - Winkelmann, Ricarda A1 - Boers, Niklas T1 - An early-warning indicator for Amazon droughts exclusively based on tropical Atlantic sea surface temperatures JF - Environmental Research Letters N2 - Droughts in tropical South America have an imminent and severe impact on the Amazon rainforest and affect the livelihoods of millions of people. Extremely dry conditions in Amazonia have been previously linked to sea surface temperature (SST) anomalies in the adjacent tropical oceans. Although the sources and impacts of such droughts have been widely studied, establishing reliable multi-year lead statistical forecasts of their occurrence is still an ongoing challenge. Here, we further investigate the relationship between SST and rainfall anomalies using a complex network approach. We identify four ocean regions which exhibit the strongest overall SST correlations with central Amazon rainfall, including two particularly prominent regions in the northern and southern tropical Atlantic. Based on the time-dependent correlation between SST anomalies in these two regions alone, we establish a new early-warning method for droughts in the central Amazon basin and demonstrate its robustness in hindcasting past major drought events with lead-times up to 18 months. KW - complex networks KW - droughts KW - prediction KW - Amazon rainforest Y1 - 2019 VL - 15 IS - 9 PB - IOP - Institute of Physics Publishing CY - Bristol ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Dana, Syamal Kumar A1 - Blasius, Bernd A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Experimental evidence of anomalous phase synchronization in two diffusively coupled Chua oscillators N2 - We study the transition to phase synchronization in two diffusively coupled, nonidentical Chua oscillators. In the experiments, depending on the used parameterization, we observe several distinct routes to phase synchronization, including states of either in-phase, out-of-phase, or antiphase synchronization, which may be intersected by an intermediate desynchronization regime with large fluctuations of the frequency difference. Furthermore, we report the first experimental evidence of an anomalous transition to phase synchronization, which is characterized by an initial enlargement of the natural frequency difference with coupling strength. This results in a maximal frequency disorder at intermediate coupling levels, whereas usual phase synchronization via monotonic decrease in frequency difference sets in only for larger coupling values. All experimental results are supported by numerical simulations of two coupled Chua models Y1 - 2006 UR - http://ojps.aip.org/chaos/ U6 - https://doi.org/10.1063/1.2197168 SN - 1054-1500 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Donges, Jonathan Friedemann A1 - Donner, Reik Volker A1 - Rehfeld, Kira A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Trauth, Martin H. A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Identification of dynamical transitions in marine palaeoclimate records by recurrence network analysis JF - Nonlinear processes in geophysics N2 - The analysis of palaeoclimate time series is usually affected by severe methodological problems, resulting primarily from non-equidistant sampling and uncertain age models. As an alternative to existing methods of time series analysis, in this paper we argue that the statistical properties of recurrence networks - a recently developed approach - are promising candidates for characterising the system's nonlinear dynamics and quantifying structural changes in its reconstructed phase space as time evolves. In a first order approximation, the results of recurrence network analysis are invariant to changes in the age model and are not directly affected by non-equidistant sampling of the data. Specifically, we investigate the behaviour of recurrence network measures for both paradigmatic model systems with non-stationary parameters and four marine records of long-term palaeoclimate variations. We show that the obtained results are qualitatively robust under changes of the relevant parameters of our method, including detrending, size of the running window used for analysis, and embedding delay. We demonstrate that recurrence network analysis is able to detect relevant regime shifts in synthetic data as well as in problematic geoscientific time series. This suggests its application as a general exploratory tool of time series analysis complementing existing methods. Y1 - 2011 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/npg-18-545-2011 SN - 1023-5809 VL - 18 IS - 5 SP - 545 EP - 562 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Donges, Jonathan Friedemann A1 - Donner, Reik Volker A1 - Trauth, Martin H. A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Nonlinear detection of paleoclimate-variability transitions possibly related to human evolution JF - Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences of the United States of America N2 - Potential paleoclimatic driving mechanisms acting on human evolution present an open problem of cross-disciplinary scientific interest. The analysis of paleoclimate archives encoding the environmental variability in East Africa during the past 5 Ma has triggered an ongoing debate about possible candidate processes and evolutionary mechanisms. In this work, we apply a nonlinear statistical technique, recurrence network analysis, to three distinct marine records of terrigenous dust flux. Our method enables us to identify three epochs with transitions between qualitatively different types of environmental variability in North and East Africa during the (i) Middle Pliocene (3.35-3.15 Ma B. P.), (ii) Early Pleistocene (2.25-1.6 Ma B. P.), and (iii) Middle Pleistocene (1.1-0.7 Ma B. P.). A deeper examination of these transition periods reveals potential climatic drivers, including (i) large-scale changes in ocean currents due to a spatial shift of the Indonesian throughflow in combination with an intensification of Northern Hemisphere glaciation, (ii) a global reorganization of the atmospheric Walker circulation induced in the tropical Pacific and Indian Ocean, and (iii) shifts in the dominating temporal variability pattern of glacial activity during the Middle Pleistocene, respectively. A reexamination of the available fossil record demonstrates statistically significant coincidences between the detected transition periods and major steps in hominin evolution. This result suggests that the observed shifts between more regular and more erratic environmental variability may have acted as a trigger for rapid change in the development of humankind in Africa. KW - African climate KW - Plio-Pleistocene KW - climate-driven evolution KW - dynamical transitions KW - nonlinear time series analysis Y1 - 2011 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1117052108 SN - 0027-8424 VL - 108 IS - 51 SP - 20422 EP - 20427 PB - National Acad. of Sciences CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Donges, Jonathan Friedemann A1 - Zou, Yong A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Complex networks in climate dynamics : comparing linear and nonlinear network construction methods N2 - Complex network theory provides a powerful framework to statistically investigate the topology of local and non- local statistical interrelationships, i.e. teleconnections, in the climate system. Climate networks constructed from the same global climatological data set using the linear Pearson correlation coefficient or the nonlinear mutual information as a measure of dynamical similarity between regions, are compared systematically on local, mesoscopic and global topological scales. A high degree of similarity is observed on the local and mesoscopic topological scales for surface air temperature fields taken from AOGCM and reanalysis data sets. We find larger differences on the global scale, particularly in the betweenness centrality field. The global scale view on climate networks obtained using mutual information offers promising new perspectives for detecting network structures based on nonlinear physical processes in the climate system. Y1 - 2009 UR - http://www.springerlink.com/content/1951-6355 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1140/epjst/e2009-01098-2 SN - 1951-6355 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ebeling, Werner A1 - Molgedey, Lutz A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Schwarz, Udo T1 - Entropy, complexity, predictability, and data analysis of time series and letter sequences N2 - The structure of time series and letter sequences is investigated using the concepts of entropy and complexity. First conditional entropy and transinformation are introduced and several generalizations are discussed. Further several measures of complexity are introduced and discussed. The capability of these concepts to describe the structure of time series and letter sequences generated by nonlinear maps, data series from meteorology, astrophysics, cardiology, cognitive psychology and finance is investigated. The relation between the complexity and the predictability of informational strings is discussed. The relation between local order and the predictability of time series is investigated. Y1 - 2002 UR - http://www.pik-potsdam.de/~kropp/myown/book.html SN - 3-540-41324-3 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Engbert, Ralf A1 - Hainzl, Sebastian A1 - Zöller, Gert A1 - Kurths, Jürgen T1 - Testing for unstable periodic orbits to characterize spatiotemporal dynamics Y1 - 1998 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Engbert, Ralf A1 - Scheffczyk, Christian A1 - Krampe, Ralf-Thomas A1 - Kurths, Jürgen A1 - Kliegl, Reinhold T1 - Symbolic dynamics of bimanual production of polyrhythms N2 - We analyse time series from a study on bimanual rhythmic movements in which the speed of performance (the external control parameter) was experimentally manipulated. Using symbolic transformations as a visualization technique we observe qualitative changes in the dynamics of the timing patterns. Such phase transitions are quantitatively described by measures of complexity. Using these results we develop an advanced symbolic coding which enables us to detect important dynamical structures. Furthermore, our analysis raises new questions concerning the modelling of the underlying human cognitive-motor system. Y1 - 2002 SN - 3-540- 63481-9 ER -