TY - JOUR A1 - Semke, Lisa-Marie A1 - Tiberius, Victor T1 - Corporate Foresight and Dynamic Capabilities BT - An Exploratory Study JF - Forecasting N2 - Firms engage in forecasting and foresight activities to predict the future or explore possible future states of the business environment in order to pre-empt and shape it (corporate foresight). Similarly, the dynamic capabilities approach addresses relevant firm capabilities to adapt to fast change in an environment that threatens a firm’s competitiveness and survival. However, despite these conceptual similarities, their relationship remains opaque. To close this gap, we conduct qualitative interviews with foresight experts as an exploratory study. Our results show that foresight and dynamic capabilities aim at an organizational renewal to meet future challenges. Foresight can be regarded as a specific activity that corresponds with the sensing process of dynamic capabilities. The experts disagree about the relationship between foresight and sensing and see no direct links with transformation. However, foresight can better inform post-sensing activities and, therefore, indirectly contribute to the adequate reconfiguration of the resource base, an increased innovativeness, and firm performance. KW - corporate foresight KW - dynamic capabilities KW - forecasting KW - Germany Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/forecast2020010 SN - 2571-9394 VL - 2 IS - 2 SP - 180 EP - 293 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Prommer, Lisa A1 - Tiberius, Victor A1 - Kraus, Sascha T1 - Exploring the future of startup leadership development JF - Journal of Business Venturing Insights N2 - Leadership development (LD) is a crucial success factor for startups to increase their human capital, survival rate, and overall performance. However, only a minority of young ventures actively engage in LD, and research rather focuses on large corporations and SMEs, which do not share the typical startup characteristics such as a rather young workforce, flat hierarchies, resource scarcity, and high time pressure. To overcome this practical and theoretical lack of knowledge, we engage in foresight and explore which leadership development techniques will be most relevant for startups within the next five to ten years. To formulate the most probable scenario, we conduct an international, two-stage Delphi study with 27 projections among industry experts. According to the expert panel, the majority of startups will engage in leadership development over the next decade. Most startups will aim to develop the leadership capabilities of their workforce as a whole and use external support. The most prominent prospective LD measures in startups include experiential learning methods, such as action learning, developmental job assignments, multi-rater feedback, as well as digital experiential learning programs, and developmental relationships such as coaching in digital one-to-one sessions. Self-managed learning will play a more important role than formal training. KW - startup KW - leadership development KW - Delphi study KW - forecasting KW - foresigh Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbvi.2020.e00200 SN - 2352-6734 VL - 14 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Gassmann, Shari-Estelle A1 - Nunkoo, Robin A1 - Tiberius, Victor A1 - Kraus, Sascha T1 - My home is your castle BT - forecasting the future of accommodation sharing JF - International journal of contemporary hospitality management N2 - Purpose This paper aims to formulate the most probable future scenario for the accommodation sharing sector within the next five to ten years. It addresses the following six thematic aspects: relevance, different forms of accommodation sharing, users, hosts, platforms, and finally, industry regulation. Design/methodology/approach This study identifies the most likely holistic future scenario by conducting a two-stage Delphi study involving 59 expert panelists. It addresses 33 projections for six thematic sections of the accommodation sharing industry: relevance, different forms of accommodation sharing, users, hosts, platforms, and finally, industry regulation. Findings The results indicate that the number of shared accommodations and users of home-sharing will increase. Moreover, the cost advantage is the predominant driver for users to engage in the accommodation sharing segment, and for the hosts, the generation of an extra income is the primary incentive. Finally, the regulation within this industry is expected to be more effective in the foreseeable future. Practical implications The results are critical, not only to advance our theoretical understanding and stimulate critical discussions on the long-term development of accommodation sharing but also to assist governments and policymakers who have an interest in developing and regulating this sector and developers seeking business opportunities. Originality/value While there is ample knowledge about the past and current development of accommodation sharing in tourism, little is understood about its potential future development and implications for consumers, the economy, and society. To date, no scientific research is available that develops scenarios about the future of accommodation sharing. KW - forecasting KW - Delphi KW - scenario KW - Airbnb KW - accommodation sharing Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1108/IJCHM-06-2020-0596 SN - 0959-6119 VL - 33 IS - 2 SP - 467 EP - 489 PB - Emerald CY - Bingley ER -