TY - THES A1 - Aichner, Bernhard T1 - Aquatic macrophyte-derived biomarkers as palaeolimnological proxies on the Tibetan Plateau T1 - Biomarker von Wasserpflanzen als Klimaindikatoren auf dem tibetischen Hochplateau N2 - The Tibetan Plateau is the largest elevated landmass in the world and profoundly influences atmospheric circulation patterns such as the Asian monsoon system. Therefore this area has been increasingly in focus of palaeoenvironmental studies. This thesis evaluates the applicability of organic biomarkers for palaeolimnological purposes on the Tibetan Plateau with a focus on aquatic macrophyte-derived biomarkers. Submerged aquatic macrophytes have to be considered to significantly influence the sediment organic matter due to their high abundance in many Tibetan lakes. They can show highly 13C-enriched biomass because of their carbon metabolism and it is therefore crucial for the interpretation of δ13C values in sediment cores to understand to which extent aquatic macrophytes contribute to the isotopic signal of the sediments in Tibetan lakes and in which way variations can be explained in a palaeolimnological context. Additionally, the high abundance of macrophytes makes them interesting as potential recorders of lake water δD. Hydrogen isotope analysis of biomarkers is a rapidly evolving field to reconstruct past hydrological conditions and therefore of special relevance on the Tibetan Plateau due to the direct linkage between variations of monsoon intensity and changes in regional precipitation / evaporation balances. A set of surface sediment and aquatic macrophyte samples from the central and eastern Tibetan Plateau was analysed for composition as well as carbon and hydrogen isotopes of n-alkanes. It was shown how variable δ13C values of bulk organic matter and leaf lipids can be in submerged macrophytes even of a single species and how strongly these parameters are affected by them in corresponding sediments. The estimated contribution of the macrophytes by means of a binary isotopic model was calculated to be up to 60% (mean: 40%) to total organic carbon and up to 100% (mean: 66%) to mid-chain n-alkanes. Hydrogen isotopes of n-alkanes turned out to record δD of meteoric water of the summer precipitation. The apparent enrichment factor between water and n-alkanes was in range of previously reported ones (≈-130‰) at the most humid sites, but smaller (average: -86‰) at sites with a negative moisture budget. This indicates an influence of evaporation and evapotranspiration on δD of source water for aquatic and terrestrial plants. The offset between δD of mid- and long-chain n-alkanes was close to zero in most of the samples, suggesting that lake water as well as soil and leaf water are affected to a similar extent by those effects. To apply biomarkers in a palaeolimnological context, the aliphatic biomarker fraction of a sediment core from Lake Koucha (34.0° N; 97.2° E; eastern Tibetan Plateau) was analysed for concentrations, δ13C and δD values of compounds. Before ca. 8 cal ka BP, the lake was dominated by aquatic macrophyte-derived mid-chain n-alkanes, while after 6 cal ka BP high concentrations of a C20 highly branched isoprenoid compound indicate a predominance of phytoplankton. Those two principally different states of the lake were linked by a transition period with high abundances of microbial biomarkers. δ13C values were relatively constant for long-chain n-alkanes, while mid-chain n-alkanes showed variations between -23.5 to -12.6‰. Highest values were observed for the assumed period of maximum macrophyte growth during the late glacial and for the phytoplankton maximum during the middle and late Holocene. Therefore, the enriched values were interpreted to be caused by carbon limitation which in turn was induced by high macrophyte and primary productivity, respectively. Hydrogen isotope signatures of mid-chain n-alkanes have been shown to be able to track a previously deduced episode of reduced moisture availability between ca. 10 and 7 cal ka BP, indicated by a 20‰ shift towards higher δD values. Indications for cooler episodes at 6.0, 3.1 and 1.8 cal ka BP were gained from drops of biomarker concentrations, especially microbial-derived hopanoids, and from coincidental shifts towards lower δ13C values. Those episodes correspond well with cool events reported from other locations on the Tibetan Plateau as well as in the Northern Hemisphere. To conclude, the study of recent sediments and plants improved the understanding of factors affecting the composition and isotopic signatures of aliphatic biomarkers in sediments. Concentrations and isotopic signatures of the biomarkers in Lake Koucha could be interpreted in a palaeolimnological context and contribute to the knowledge about the history of the lake. Aquatic macrophyte-derived mid-chain n-alkanes were especially useful, due to their high abundance in many Tibetan Lakes and their ability to record major changes of lake productivity and palaeo-hydrological conditions. Therefore, they have the potential to contribute to a fuller understanding of past climate variability in this key region for atmospheric circulation systems. N2 - Das tibetische Hochplateau ist die größte gehobene Landmasse der Erde und beeinflusst maßgeblich atmosphärische Zirkulationsmuster wie den Asiatischen Monsun. Um die Auswirkungen zukünftiger Schwankungen der Monsundynamik auf das regionale Klima besser einschätzen zu können, ist es wichtig, ein fundiertes Verständnis vergangener Klimaänderungen zu entwickeln. Daher ist das Tibetplateau in den letzten Jahren mehr und mehr in den Fokus paläoklimatischer Studien gerückt. Die große Anzahl an Seen in der Region bietet ein unerschöpfliches Klimaarchiv und viele Studien haben sich bereits mit Seesedimenten zur Klimarekonstruktion befasst. Dabei wurde in erster Linie auf biologische, sedimentologische und geochemische Parameter zurückgegriffen, wohingegen organische Biomarker bisher recht selten benutzt wurden. Die vorliegende Arbeit untersucht die Anwendbarkeit dieser potentiellen Klimaindikatoren auf dem Tibetplateau. Hierbei wurde ein Schwerpunkt auf die Analyse kutikularer Blattwachse von Wasserpflanzen gelegt, da diese wegen ihres starken Auftretens in tibetischen Seen einen erheblichen Beitrag zur organischen Substanz im Sediment leisten. Um den Einfluss von Wasserpflanzen auf das Sediment über einen weiten klimatischen Gradienten zu untersuchen, wurden Oberflächensedimente und Wasserpflanzen vom zentralen und östlichen Tibetplateau auf ihre Biomarkerzusammensetzung sowie auf ihre Kohlen- und Wasserstoffisotopensignatur untersucht. Dadurch wurde das Verständnis über beeinflussende Faktoren auf diese Parameter in Sedimenten vertieft. In einem Sedimentbohrkern des Koucha-Sees (östliches Tibetplateau) konnten diese Parameter dann im Hinblick auf Änderungen der Produktivität im See sowie der hydrologischen und klimatischen Bedingungen der letzten 15000 Jahre interpretiert werden. Es zeigte sich, dass der See bis 8000 Jahre vor Heute stark mit Wasserpflanzen bewachsen war, während die letzten 6000 Jahre Algen dominierten. Mit Hilfe von Wasserstoffisotopen wurden eine Zunahme des Monsuns und steigende Niederschläge zwischen 15000 und 10000 Jahren vor Heute sowie eine relativ trockene Periode zwischen 10000 und 7000 Jahren vor Heute rekonstruiert. Durch Kombination von Biomarkerkonzentrationen sowie deren Kohlenstoffisotopensignal wurden außerdem kurzzeitige Kälteperioden um ca. 6000, 3100 und 1800 Jahren vor Heute nachgewiesen, die vorher bereits in anderen Klimaarchiven in Tibet sowie auf der nördlichen Hemisphäre belegt wurden. Mit Hilfe von organischen Biomarkern konnte so ein detailliertes Bild über die Entwicklung des Koucha-Sees seit dem letzten Glazial gewonnen werden. Organische Biomarker haben sich somit als geeignet erwiesen, einen Beitrag zur Klimarekonstruktion auf dem Tibetplateau zu leisten. KW - Biomarker KW - Isotope KW - Tibet KW - Paläolimnologie KW - Klima KW - Wasserpflanzen KW - biomarker KW - isotopes KW - Tibetan Plateau KW - palaeolimnology KW - climate KW - macrophytes Y1 - 2009 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-42095 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Aichner, Bernhard A1 - Makhmudov, Zafar A1 - Rajabov, Iljomjon A1 - Zhang, Qiong A1 - Pausata, Francesco Salvatore R. A1 - Werner, Martin A1 - Heinecke, Liv A1 - Kuessner, Marie L. A1 - Feakins, Sarah J. A1 - Sachse, Dirk A1 - Mischke, Steffen T1 - Hydroclimate in the Pamirs Was Driven by Changes in Precipitation-Evaporation Seasonality Since theLast Glacial Period JF - Geophysical research letters N2 - The Central Asian Pamir Mountains (Pamirs) are a high-altitude region sensitive to climatic change, with only few paleoclimatic records available. To examine the glacial-interglacial hydrological changes in the region, we analyzed the geochemical parameters of a 31-kyr record from Lake Karakul and performed a set of experiments with climate models to interpret the results. delta D values of terrestrial biomarkers showed insolation-driven trends reflecting major shifts of water vapor sources. For aquatic biomarkers, positive delta D shifts driven by changes in precipitation seasonality were observed at ca. 31-30, 28-26, and 17-14 kyr BP. Multiproxy paleoecological data and modelling results suggest that increased water availability, induced by decreased summer evaporation, triggered higher lake levels during those episodes, possibly synchronous to northern hemispheric rapid climate events. We conclude that seasonal changes in precipitation-evaporation balance significantly influenced the hydrological state of a large waterbody such as Lake Karakul, while annual precipitation amount and inflows remained fairly constant. KW - climate KW - biomarker KW - geochemistry KW - modelling KW - paleoclimate KW - hydrology Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2019GL085202 SN - 0094-8276 SN - 1944-8007 VL - 46 IS - 23 SP - 13972 EP - 13983 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - THES A1 - Barsch, Andreas T1 - Zum Einfluss von Witterung und Klima auf den Landschaftszustand und die Landschaftsentwicklung im Uvs-Nuur-Becken (NW-Mongolei) N2 - Im Landschaftszustand und in der Landschaftsentwicklung kommen funktionale Beziehungen zwischen dem naturbedingten Energie-, Wasser- und Stoffhaushalt einerseits und den Auswirkungen der Landnutzung andererseits zum Ausdruck. Gegenwärtig verändert der globale Anstieg der bodennahen Temperaturen vielerorts den landschaftlichen Energie-, Wasser- und Stoffhaushalt, wobei besonders in Trockengebieten zu erwarten ist, dass dieser Trend in Verbindung mit einer unangepassten Landnutzung das Regenerationsvermögen der Vegetation einschränkt und zur Zerstörung der Bodendecke führt. Für die Mongolei und für benachbarte Gebiete Asiens sind in Szenarien zur globalen Erwärmung hohe Werte des Temperaturanstiegs prognostiziert worden. Eine globale Einschätzung der anthropogen induzierten Bodendegradation hat diese Region als stark oder extrem stark betroffen eingestuft. Vor diesem Hintergrund wurde im Uvs-Nuur-Becken, das im Nordwesten der Mongolei und damit in einer der trockensten Regionen des Landes gelegen ist, untersucht, wie sich der globale Temperaturanstieg auf der lokalen und regionalen Ebene widerspiegelt und wie der Landschaftshaushalt dabei verändert wird. Die Auswirkungen des sommerlichen Witterungsverlaufes auf den Landschaftszustand sind 1997 bis 1999 an einem Transsekt erfasst worden, das sich zwischen dem Kharkhiraa-Gebirge am Westrand des Beckens und dem See Uvs Nuur im Beckeninneren von den Polsterfluren und Matten der alpinen Stufe über die Gebirgswaldsteppe, die Trockensteppe bis zur Halbwüste erstreckt. An neun Messpunkten wurden witterungsklimatische Daten in Verbindung mit Merkmalen der Vegetation, des Bodens und der Bodenfeuchte aufgenommen. Die im Sommer 1998 gewonnenen Messwerte wurden mit Hilfe einer Clusteranalyse gebündelt und verdichtet. Auf dieser Grundlage konnten landschaftliche Zustandsformen inhaltlich gekennzeichnet, zeitlich eingeordnet und durch Zeit-Verhaltens-Modelle (Stacks) abgebildet werden. Aus den Zeit-Verhaltens-Modellen wird ersichtlich, dass man Zustandsformen, in denen die Hitze und die Trockenheit des Sommers 1998 besonders stark zum Ausdruck kommen, an allen Messpunkten beobachten kann, nimmt man die Station auf dem fast 3.000 m hohen Gipfel des Khukh Uul sowie die grundwasserbeeinflusste Station in unmittelbarer Seenähe aus. In ihrer extremen Form sind Trockenperioden jedoch nur im Beckeninneren und am Fuß der Randgebirge, also in der Halbwüste, in der Trockensteppe und in der Wiesensteppe aufgetreten. Im Bergwald sowie im Bereich der alpinen Matten und Polsterfluren fehlen sie. Am stärksten sind die grundwasserfreien Bereiche der Halbwüste von der Hitze und Niederschlagsarmut des Sommers 1998 betroffen. An vier Fünfteln der Tage des Beobachtungszeitraumes herrscht an diesem Messpunkt extreme Trockenheit. Es fällt entweder gar kein Niederschlag oder nur so wenig, dass der seit dem Frühjahr erschöpfte Bodenwasservorrat nicht aufgefüllt wird. Das Verhältnis zwischen Niederschlag und potenzieller Verdunstung liegt hier bei 1:12. In der Halbwüste zeichnet sich eine fortschreitende Desertifikation ab, zumal hier eine nichtangepasste Weidenutzung dominiert, in der Ziegen eine immer größere Rolle spielen. Dies gilt insbesondere für Bereiche in Siedlungsnähe. Örtlich ist auch der Bestand der Trockensteppe gefährdet, die sich an die Halbwüste zum Beckenrand hin anschließt. Hier ist nicht nur die Viehdichte am höchsten, sondern hier werden auch die meisten unbefestigten Fahrwege wild angelegt und die Bodendecke damit zerstört. Dies kann im Endeffekt zu einem Übergreifen von Prozessen der Desertifikation führen. Aus methodischer Sicht zeigt sich, dass die Kennzeichnung landschaftlicher Zustandsformen durch Zeit-Verhaltens-Modelle die Ermittlung der Auswirkungen von Witterung und Klima auf den Landschaftszustand erleichtert, da sie deren Aussage konzentriert. Zur Interpretation der Ergebnisse ist jedoch ein Rückgriff auf die beschreibende Darstellung der Messwerte notwendig. Die im westlichen Uvs-Nuur-Becken und seinen Randgebirgen angewandte Verfahrensweise ermöglicht es, globale Aussagen zur globalen Erwärmung der Kontinente regional oder lokal zu überprüfen und zu untersetzen." N2 - Landscape condition and landscape development express the functional relations between energy balance, water balance and material balance on the one hand and on the other hand they reflect the effects of land use. At present the global increase of near-surface air temperature changes the energy balance, water balance and material balance in many places. Especially in arid regions this trend and an inappropriate land use restrict the regeneration ability of vegetation and lead to the degradation of soil cover. Different scenarios for global warming prognosticate high values of increasing air temperature in Mongolia and its adjacent regions in Asia. A global estimation of anthropogenicly induced soil degradation classifies this region as strongly or extremely strong affected. Against this background a research was carried out in the Uvs Nuur Basin, placed in the northwest of Mongolia and therefore in one of the most arid regions of this country. The object of investigation was the reflection of the global increase of air temperature on a local and regional level and the resulting changes of landscape balance. From 1997 to 1999 the effects of changes in summer weather on the landscape condition were measured on a transect from the Kharkhiraa mountains at the western margin of the basin up to the lake Uvs at the centre of the basin. The transect included alpine mat, mountain steppe, dry steppe and semi desert. Climatic data was collected at 9 transect stations, in addition with characteristics of vegetation, soil and soil moisture. The data of summer 1998 was bundled and consolidated with a cluster analysis. On this basis forms of landscape condition could be evaluated in content, arranged chronologically and characterised by time performance models (stacks). The time performance models prove that forms of landscape condition marking the heat and the drought of summer 1998 can be found at every station of the transect except of the one on the summit of Khukh Uul at almost 3.000 m above sea level and another groundwater-influenced station at the bank of lake Uvs. However, extremely dry periods occur only from the centre of the basin up to the foothills, thus in the semi desert, the dry steppe and the short grass steppe. They do not occur in the mountain forest and in the alpine mat. Areas in the semi desert are most affected by drought and lack of precipitation during the summer 1998. Four fifths of the days in the measurement period are extremely droughty days. Either there is no precipitation at all or it is insufficient to fill up the soil water storage exhausted since spring-time. The relation of precipitation and potential evaporation averages out here at 1:12. A progressive desertification becomes apparent in the semi desert, particularly determined by an inappropriate land use in conjunction with an increasing goat-rearing in the area around the settlements. Partially this trend even affects the dry steppe in adjacency to the semi desert toward the margin of the basin. These areas are characterised not only by the highest stocking rate but also by the largest number of unofficial dirt roads thus leading to the denudation of the soil cover and finally to the spreading of desertification processes. From the methodical point of view it is obvious that the characterisation by time performance models facilitates the determination of weather and climate influence on landscape condition by summarising their information. However, the interpretation of the results has to be accomplished by a describing analysis of the measured data. The procedure applied in the western Uvs Nuur Basin and its adjacent mountains provides the opportunity to examine and substantiate the reports on global warming at regional or local level. KW - Mongolei; Uvs-Nuur-Becken KW - Witterung KW - Klima KW - Landschaftshaushalt KW - Energie- KW - Wasser- und Stoffhaushalt KW - multivariate Statistik KW - Clusteranalyse KW - landsch KW - Mongolia KW - Uvs Nuur Basin KW - weather KW - climate KW - landscape balance KW - energy balance KW - water balance KW - material balance KW - multivariate statistics KW - cluster analy Y1 - 2003 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-0001184 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Boers, Niklas A1 - Goswami, Bedartha A1 - Ghil, Michael T1 - A complete representation of uncertainties in layer-counted paleoclimatic archives T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - Accurate time series representation of paleoclimatic proxy records is challenging because such records involve dating errors in addition to proxy measurement errors. Rigorous attention is rarely given to age uncertainties in paleoclimatic research, although the latter can severely bias the results of proxy record analysis. Here, we introduce a Bayesian approach to represent layer-counted proxy records - such as ice cores, sediments, corals, or tree rings - as sequences of probability distributions on absolute, error-free time axes. The method accounts for both proxy measurement errors and uncertainties arising from layer-counting-based dating of the records. An application to oxygen isotope ratios from the North Greenland Ice Core Project (NGRIP) record reveals that the counting errors, although seemingly small, lead to substantial uncertainties in the final representation of the oxygen isotope ratios. In particular, for the older parts of the NGRIP record, our results show that the total uncertainty originating from dating errors has been seriously underestimated. Our method is next applied to deriving the overall uncertainties of the Suigetsu radiocarbon comparison curve, which was recently obtained from varved sediment cores at Lake Suigetsu, Japan. This curve provides the only terrestrial radiocarbon comparison for the time interval 12.5-52.8 kyr BP. The uncertainties derived here can be readily employed to obtain complete error estimates for arbitrary radiometrically dated proxy records of this recent part of the last glacial interval. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 641 KW - Greenland ice-core KW - late-glacial chronology KW - high-resolution record KW - Lake Suigetsu KW - proxy records KW - age models KW - climate KW - events KW - Japan KW - period Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-418030 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 641 ER - TY - THES A1 - Bookhagen, Bodo T1 - Late quaternary climate changes and landscape evolution in the Northwest Himalaya : geomorphologic processes in the Indian Summer Monsoon Domain N2 - The India-Eurasia continental collision zone provides a spectacular example of active mountain building and climatic forcing. In order to quantify the critically important process of mass removal, I analyzed spatial and temporal precipitation patterns of the oscillating monsoon system and their geomorphic imprints. I processed passive microwave satellite data to derive high-resolution rainfall estimates for the last decade and identified an abnormal monsoon year in 2002. During this year, precipitation migrated far into the Sutlej Valley in the northwestern part of the Himalaya and reached regions behind orographic barriers that are normally arid. There, sediment flux, mean basin denudation rates, and channel-forming processes such as erosion by debris-flows increased significantly. Similarly, during the late Pleistocene and early Holocene, solar forcing increased the strength of the Indian summer monsoon for several millennia and presumably lead to analogous precipitation distribution as were observed during 2002. However, the persistent humid conditions in the steep, high-elevation parts of the Sutlej River resulted in deep-seated landsliding. Landslides were exceptionally large, mainly due to two processes that I infer for this time: At the onset of the intensified monsoon at 9.7 ka BP heavy rainfall and high river discharge removed material stored along the river, and lowered the baselevel. Second, enhanced discharge, sediment flux, and increased pore-water pressures along the hillslopes eventually lead to exceptionally large landslides that have not been observed in other periods. The excess sediments that were removed from the upstream parts of the Sutlej Valley were rapidly deposited in the low-gradient sectors of the lower Sutlej River. Timing of downcutting correlates with centennial-long weaker monsoon periods that were characterized by lower rainfall. I explain this relationship by taking sediment flux and rainfall dynamics into account: High sediment flux derived from the upstream parts of the Sutlej River during strong monsoon phases prevents fluvial incision due to oversaturation the fluvial sediment-transport capacity. In contrast, weaker monsoons result in a lower sediment flux that allows incision in the low-elevation parts of the Sutlej River. N2 - Die Indisch-Eurasische Kontinentalkollision ist ein beeindruckendes Beispiel für weitreichenden, tektonisch kontrollierten klimatischen Einfluss. Um den Einfluss von klimatisch bedingter Erosion auf die Orogenese zu testen, habe ich erosive Oberflächenprozesse, Monsunvariationen und fluviatilen Massentransfer auf verschiedenen Zeitscheiben analysiert. Um genaue Niederschläge auf einem grossen Raum zu quantifizieren, habe ich durch Wettersatelliten aufgezeichnete passive Mikrowellendaten für die letzten zehn Jahre untersucht. Erstaunlicherweise variiert der Niederschlag nur wenig von Jahr zu Jahr und ein Großteil des Regens wird durch orographische Effekte gesteuert. Im Jahre 2002 allerdings, habe ich ein abnormal starkes Monsunjahr feststellen können. Zu dieser Zeit ist der Monsunniederschlag weiter in das Gebirge vorgedrungen und hat viele Massenbewegungen wie z.B. Schuttströme und Muren ausgelöst. Dabei verdoppelten sich die Erosionsraten im Einzugsgebiet. Ich zeige anhand von Satellitenbildern, aufgenommen vor und nach dem Monsun, dass sich hierbei vor allen Dingen kleine, neue Flußläufe entwickeln. In höher gelegenen, normalerweise trockenen Gebieten findet man auch Überreste von enormen Bergstürzen und dahinter aufgestauten Seen. Datierungen dieser geomorphologischen Phänomene zeigen, dass sie nur in zwei Phasen während der letzten 30.000 Jahre auftreten: Im späten Pleistozän vor rund 27.000 Jahren und im frühen Holozän vor 8000 Jahre. Diese Zeiten sind durch einen starken Monsun, der durch die Insolation kontrolliert wird, gekennzeichnet. Analog zur Niederschlagsverteilung im Jahre 2002 ist der Monsun aber nicht nur für ein Jahr, sondern mehrere hundert oder tausend Jahre lang kontinuierlich in die heute ariden Gebiete vorgedrungen. Der erhöhte Porenwasserdruck und die erstarkten Flüsse lösten dann durch laterale Unterschneidung große Bergstürze aus, die zu keiner anderen Zeit beobachtet wurden. Die temporären Becken in den Hochlagen, die durch Bergstürze entstanden sind, entstehen in Feuchtphasen und werden in schwächeren Monsunphasen von Flüssen abgetragen und verdeutlicht die komplexe Beziehung zwischen Klima und Massentransfer verdeutlicht. ---- Anmerkung: Der Autor wurde 2005 mit dem 7. Publikationspreis des Leibniz-Kollegs Potsdam für Nachwuchswissenschaftler/innen in Naturwissenschaften ausgezeichnet. T2 - Late quaternary climate changes and landscape evolution in the Northwest Himalaya : geomorphologic processes in the Indian Summer Monsoon Domain KW - Monsun KW - Himalaja KW - Klima KW - Indien KW - Bergstürze KW - Geomorphologie KW - Asian monsoon KW - Himalaya KW - climate KW - landslides KW - geomorphology Y1 - 2004 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-0001956 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Bürger, Gerd T1 - A counterexample to decomposing climate shifts and trends by weather types JF - International Journal of Climatology N2 - The literature contains a sizable number of publications where weather types are used to decompose climate shifts or trends into contributions of frequency and mean of those types. They are all based on the product rule, that is, a transformation of a product of sums into a sum of products, the latter providing the decomposition. While there is nothing to argue about the transformation itself, its interpretation as a climate shift or trend decomposition is bound to fail. While the case of a climate shift may be viewed as an incomplete description of a more complex behaviour, trend decomposition indeed produces bogus trends, as demonstrated by a synthetic counterexample with well-defined trends in type frequency and mean. Consequently, decompositions based on that transformation, be it for climate shifts or trends, must not be used. KW - analysis KW - climate KW - statistical methods Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/joc.5519 SN - 0899-8418 SN - 1097-0088 VL - 38 IS - 9 SP - 3732 EP - 3735 PB - Wiley CY - Hoboken ER - TY - THES A1 - Dahlke, Sandro T1 - Rapid climate changes in the arctic region of Svalbard T1 - Aktuelle Klimaänderungen in der Svalbard-Region BT - processes, implications and representativeness for the broader Arctic BT - Prozesse, Auswirkungen und Repräsentativität für die Arktis N2 - Over the last decades, the Arctic regions of the earth have warmed at a rate 2–3 times faster than the global average– a phenomenon called Arctic Amplification. A complex, non-linear interplay of physical processes and unique pecularities in the Arctic climate system is responsible for this, but the relative role of individual processes remains to be debated. This thesis focuses on the climate change and related processes on Svalbard, an archipelago in the North Atlantic sector of the Arctic, which is shown to be a "hotspot" for the amplified recent warming during winter. In this highly dynamical region, both oceanic and atmospheric large-scale transports of heat and moisture interfere with spatially inhomogenous surface conditions, and the corresponding energy exchange strongly shapes the atmospheric boundary layer. In the first part, Pan-Svalbard gradients in the surface air temperature (SAT) and sea ice extent (SIE) in the fjords are quantified and characterized. This analysis is based on observational data from meteorological stations, operational sea ice charts, and hydrographic observations from the adjacent ocean, which cover the 1980–2016 period. It is revealed that typical estimates of SIE during late winter range from 40–50% (80–90%) in the western (eastern) parts of Svalbard. However, strong SAT warming during winter of the order of 2–3K per decade dictates excessive ice loss, leaving fjords in the western parts essentially ice-free in recent winters. It is further demostrated that warm water currents on the west coast of Svalbard, as well as meridional winds contribute to regional differences in the SIE evolution. In particular, the proximity to warm water masses of the West Spitsbergen Current can explain 20–37% of SIE variability in fjords on west Svalbard, while meridional winds and associated ice drift may regionally explain 20–50% of SIE variability in the north and northeast. Strong SAT warming has overruled these impacts in recent years, though. In the next part of the analysis, the contribution of large-scale atmospheric circulation changes to the Svalbard temperature development over the last 20 years is investigated. A study employing kinematic air-back trajectories for Ny-Ålesund reveals a shift in the source regions of lower-troposheric air over time for both the winter and the summer season. In winter, air in the recent decade is more often of lower-latitude Atlantic origin, and less frequent of Arctic origin. This affects heat- and moisture advection towards Svalbard, potentially manipulating clouds and longwave downward radiation in that region. A closer investigation indicates that this shift during winter is associated with a strengthened Ural blocking high and Icelandic low, and contributes about 25% to the observed winter warming on Svalbard over the last 20 years. Conversely, circulation changes during summer include a strengthened Greenland blocking high which leads to more frequent cold air advection from the central Arctic towards Svalbard, and less frequent air mass origins in the lower latitudes of the North Atlantic. Hence, circulation changes during winter are shown to have an amplifying effect on the recent warming on Svalbard, while summer circulation changes tend to mask warming. An observational case study using upper air soundings from the AWIPEV research station in Ny-Ålesund during May–June 2017 underlines that such circulation changes during summer are associated with tropospheric anomalies in temperature, humidity and boundary layer height. In the last part of the analysis, the regional representativeness of the above described changes around Svalbard for the broader Arctic is investigated. Therefore, the terms in the diagnostic temperature equation in the Arctic-wide lower troposphere are examined for the Era-Interim atmospheric reanalysis product. Significant positive trends in diabatic heating rates, consistent with latent heat transfer to the atmosphere over regions of increasing ice melt, are found for all seasons over the Barents/Kara Seas, and in individual months in the vicinity of Svalbard. The above introduced warm (cold) advection trends during winter (summer) on Svalbard are successfully reproduced. Regarding winter, they are regionally confined to the Barents Sea and Fram Strait, between 70°–80°N, resembling a unique feature in the whole Arctic. Summer cold advection trends are confined to the area between eastern Greenland and Franz Josef Land, enclosing Svalbard. N2 - Die Arktis hast sich über die letzten Jahrzehnte etwa 2–3 mal so schnell erwärmt wie die globale Mitteltemperatur der Erde, wofür der Begriff Arktische Verstärkung geprägt wurde. Eine komplexe Kaskade nichtlinear miteinander interagierender Prozesse und lokaler Bedingungen ist für das Auftreten dieses Phänomens verantwortlich, jedoch bleibt ein wissenschaftlicher Konsens zur Quantifizierung einzelner beteiligter Prozesse noch aus. Diese Arbeit befasst sich mit den Klimaänderungen und assoziierten Prozessen in der Svalbard-Region, einem arktischen Archipel im Nordatlantik. Svalbard kann als Brennpunkt der arktischen Veränderungen bezeichnet werden, vor allem während des Winters. In dieser ausgesprochen dynamischen Region interagieren die Energieflüsse durch großskalige atmosphärische und ozeanische Wärme- und Feuchtetransporte mit der heteorogenen Oberfläche, die sich aus Eis-, Wasser-, oder Landflächen zusammensetzt. Die daraus resultierenden horizontalen und vertikalen Energieflüsse stehen in engem Zusammenhang mit der Beschaffenheit der atmosphärischen Grenzschicht. Im ersten Teil dieser Arbeit werden laterale Unterschiede in der Oberflächentemperatur (SAT), sowie der Meereisbedeckung (SIE) in den Fjorden und Sunden des Archipels quantifiziert und klassifiziert. Dies geschieht auf der Grundlage von meteorologischen Stationsmessdaten und operationellen Eisbedeckungskarten der Jahe 1980–2016. Es zeigt sich, dass prozentuale Eisbedeckungen im Osten des Studiengebietes typischerweise 80–90% im Winter erreichen, während diese Werte in Fjorden der Westküste mit 40–50% deutlich niedriger liegen. Allerdings bedingt eine starke, winterliche SAT Erwärmung von 2–3K pro Jahrzehnt signifikante SIE Abwärtstrends, sodass die Fjorde im Westen von Svalbard in den jüngeren Wintern üblicherweise eisfrei waren. Im Weiteren wird gezeigt dass die warmen Ozeanströmungen nahe der Westküste, sowie spezielle Windkonstellationen, einen signifikanten regionalen Einfluss auf die langzeitliche Entwicklung der Meereisbedeckung ausüben. So kann Variabilität in der Temperatur des Westspitzbergenstroms etwa 20–37% der zwischenjährlichen SIE Variabilität in den Fjorden der Westküste erklären. Die meridionale Atmosphärenströmung nordwestlich von Spitzbergen, die hochkorelliert mit Eisdrift ist, kann andererseits –regional abhängig– etwa 20–50% der SIE-Variablität in den nördlichen und nordöstlichen Fjorden erklären. Durch den starken temperaturbedingten Eisrückgang in der gesamten Region sind diese Einflüsse zuletzt jedoch stark abgeschwächt. Im Folgenden wird der Beitrag von Zirkulationsänderungen zur Temperaturentwicklung Svalbards während der letzten 20 Jahre untersucht. Die Analyse basiert auf den Quellregionen troposphärischer Luftmassen, die sich aus kinematischen FLEXTRA-Rückwärtstrajektorien ergeben. Für den Winter zeigt sich, dass sich diese zuletzt immer häufiger in sub-arktische Gebiete über dem Nordatlantik verlagert hatten, und seltener in der hohen Arktis lagen. Dies moduliert Warmluft-, und Feuchtetransporte in Richtung Spitzbergen, und beeinflusst potentiell Wolkencharakteristiken und assoziierte Strahlungsprozesse. Nähere Untersuchen zeigen dass ein zuletzt stärker ausgeprägtes Uralhoch und Islandtief dafür verantwortlich sind, und dass dies einen Beitrag von etwa 25% zur jüngsten Wintererwärmung auf Spitzbergen hat. Sommertrajektorien offenbaren eine gegensätzliche Entwicklung, mit häufigerer Anströmung aus der Zentralarktis, welche mit Kaltluftadvektion einhergeht, auf Kosten von seltenerer Anströmung aus dem Süden. Dies liegt in einem während der letzten 10 Jahre stark ausgeprägten Grönlandhoch begründet. Eine Fallstudie anhand von Radiosondendaten vom Frühsommer 2017 untermauert die Ergebnisse und zeigt darüber hinaus, dass derartige Zirkulationsänderungen mit ausgeprägten Anomalien von troposphärischen Temperaturen,Feuchtigkeit, und der Grenzschichthöhe in Ny-Ålesund einher geht. Interessanterweise tragen Zirkulationsänderungen im Winter also verstärkend zur Erwärmung auf Svalbard bei, während jene im Sommer einer stärkeren Erwärmung entgegenwirken. In einem letzten Analyseschritt wird die regionale Repräsentativität der Region für die weitere Arktis erörtert. Die Analyse von Era-Interim Reanalysedaten untermauert hierbei zunächst die advektiven Temperaturänderungen in Sommer und Winter in der Region um Svalbard. Der Trend zu verstärkt positiver winterlicher Temperaturadvektion ist einzigartig in der Arktis und beschränkt sich auf die Regionen zwischen Barentssee, Spitzbergen und der nördlichen Framstraße. Die sommerliche erhöhte Kaltluftadvektion findet sich in einem weiten Gebiet zwischen der Ostküste Grönlands und Franz-Josef-Land, welches Svalbard einschließt. Ein diabatischer Erwärmungstrend, der mit aufwärts gerichteten latenten Energieflüssen und Eisrückgang konsistent ist, findet sich in allen Jahreszeiten über der Barents/Karasee wieder, und erstreckt sich in einzelnen Monaten bis nach Svalbard. KW - arctic KW - climate KW - Svalbard KW - meteorology KW - climatology KW - atmosphere KW - Arktis KW - Klima KW - Svalbard KW - Meteorologie KW - Klimatologie KW - Atmosphäre Y1 - 2020 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-445542 ER - TY - THES A1 - Demory, François T1 - Paleomagnetic dating of climatic events in Late Quaternary sediments of Lake Baikal (Siberia) N2 - Der Baikalsee ist ein ideales Klimaarchiv für die Mitte Eurasiens. In dieser Arbeit wurde gesteinsmagnetische und paleomagnetische Analysen an hemipelagischen Sequenzen von vier Lokationen analysiert. Die Kerne erreichen ein Alter von maximal 300 ky. In Kombination mit TEM, XRD, XRF und geochemischen Analysen zeigt die gesteinsmagnetische Studie, dass detritischer Magnetit das magnetische Signal der glazialen Sedimente dominiert. Die magnetischen Signale der interglazialen Sedimente wurden durch diagenetische Prozesse verändert. Mittels HIRM können Hämatit und Goethit quantifiziert werden. Diese Methode eignet sich, den detritischen Eintrag in den Baikalsee abzuschätzen. Relative Paleointensitäten des Erdmagnetfeldes ergaben reproduizerbare Muster, welche in Korrelation mit gutdatierten Referenzproben die Ableitung eines alternativen Altersmodells für die Datierung der Baikalsedimente ermöglichten. Bei Anwendung des paleomagnetischen Altersmodells beobachtet man, dass die Abkühlung im Baikalgebiet und im Oberflächenwasser des Nordatlantiks wie sie aus den δ18 O-Werten planktonischer Foraminiferen abgeleitet werden kann, zeitgleich ist. Wird das aus benthischen δ18 O-Werten abgeleitete Altermdodell auf den Baikalsee angewandt, ergibt sich eine deutliche Zeitverschiebung. Das benthische Altersmodell repräsentiert die globale Veränderung des Eisvolumens, welche später als die Vänderung der Oberflächenwassertemperatur auftritt. Die Kompilation paleomagnetischer Kurven ergab eine neue relative Paleointensitätskurve “Baikal 200”. Mittels Korngrössenanalyse des Detritus konnten drei Faziestypen mit unterschiedlicher Sedimentationsdynamik unterschieden werden: 1) Glaziale Peroiden werden durch hohe Tongehalte infolge von Windeintrag und durch grobe Sandfraktion mittels Transport durch lokale Winde über das Eis charakterisiert. Dieser Faziestyp deutet auf arides Klima. 2) Während der Glazial/Interglazial-Übergänge steigt die Siltfraktion an. Dies deutet auf erhöhte Feuchtigkeit und damit verbunden erhöhte Sedimentdynamik. Windtransport und in den Schnee der Eisdecke eingetragener Staub sind die vorherrschenden Prozesse, welche den Silt in hemipelagischer Position zur Ablagerung bringen. 3) Während des klimatischen Optimum des Eeemian werden Grösse und Quantität des Silts minimal, was auf eine geschlossene Vegetationsdecke im Hinterland deutet. N2 - Lake Baikal provides an excellent climatic archive for Central Eurasia as global climatic variations are continuously depicted in its sediments. We performed continuous rock magnetic and paleomagnetic analyses on hemipelagic sequences retrieved from 4 underwater highs reaching back 300 ka. The rock magnetic study combined with TEM, XRD, XRF and geochemical analyses evidenced that a magnetite of detrital origin dominates the magnetic signal in glacial sediments whereas interglacial sediments are affected by early diagenesis. HIRM roughly quantifies the hematite and goethite contributions and remains the best proxy for estimating the detrital input in Lake Baikal. Relative paleointensity records of the earth′s magnetic field show a reproducible pattern, which allows for correlation with well-dated reference curves and thus provides an alternative age model for Lake Baikal sediments. Using the paleomagnetic age model we observed that cooling in the Lake Baikal region and cooling of the sea surface water in the North Atlantic, as recorded in planktonic foraminifera δ18 O, are coeval. On the other hand, benthic δ18 O curves record mainly the global ice volume change, which occurs later than the sea surface temperature change. This proves that a dating bias results from an age model based on the correlation of Lake Baikal sedimentary records with benthic δ18 O curves. The compilation of paleomagnetic curves provides a new relative paleointensity curve, “Baikal 200”. With a laser-assisted grain size analysis of the detrital input, three facies types, reflecting different sedimentary dynamics can be distinguished. (1) Glacial periods are characterised by a high clay content mostly due to wind activity and by occurrence of a coarse fraction (sand) transported over the ice by local winds. This fraction gives evidence for aridity in the hinterland. (2) At glacial/interglacial transitions, the quantity of silt increases as the moisture increases, reflecting increased sedimentary dynamics. Wind transport and snow trapping are the dominant process bringing silt to a hemipelagic site (3) During the climatic optimum of the Eemian, the silt size and quantity are minimal due to blanketing of the detrital sources by the vegetal cover. T2 - Paleomagnetic dating of climatic events in Late Quaternary sediments of Lake Baikal (Siberia) KW - Paleomagnetismus KW - Klima KW - Sedimentationsdynamik KW - diagenetische Prozesse KW - Paleomagnetism KW - climate KW - sedimentary dynamics KW - diagenesis Y1 - 2004 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-0001720 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Egholm, David L. A1 - Andersen, Jane Lund A1 - Faurschou Knudsen, Mads A1 - Jansen, John D. A1 - Nielsen, S. B. T1 - The periglacial engine of mountain erosion BT - Part 2: Modelling large-scale landscape evolution T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - There is growing recognition of strong periglacial control on bedrock erosion in mountain landscapes, including the shaping of low-relief surfaces at high elevations (summit flats). But, as yet, the hypothesis that frost action was crucial to the assumed Late Cenozoic rise in erosion rates remains compelling and untested. Here we present a landscape evolution model incorporating two key periglacial processes - regolith production via frost cracking and sediment transport via frost creep - which together are harnessed to variations in temperature and the evolving thickness of sediment cover. Our computational experiments time-integrate the contribution of frost action to shaping mountain topography over million-year timescales, with the primary and highly reproducible outcome being the development of flattish or gently convex summit flats. A simple scaling of temperature to marine delta O-18 records spanning the past 14 Myr indicates that the highest summit flats in mid-to high-latitude mountains may have formed via frost action prior to the Quaternary. We suggest that deep cooling in the Quaternary accelerated mechanical weathering globally by significantly expanding the area subject to frost. Further, the inclusion of subglacial erosion alongside periglacial processes in our computational experiments points to alpine glaciers increasing the long-term efficiency of frost-driven erosion by steepening hillslopes. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 552 KW - situ produced BE-10 KW - glacial erosion KW - southern Alps KW - New-Zealand KW - rates KW - climate KW - sediment KW - surfaces KW - uplift KW - AL-26 Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-409718 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 552 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Feldmann, Johannes A1 - Levermann, Anders T1 - From cyclic ice streaming to Heinrich-like events BT - the grow-and-surge instability in the Parallel Ice Sheet Model T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - Here we report on a cyclic, physical ice-discharge instability in the Parallel Ice Sheet Model, simulating the flow of a three-dimensional, inherently buttressed ice-sheet-shelf system which periodically surges on a millennial timescale. The thermomechanically coupled model on 1 km horizontal resolution includes an enthalpy-based formulation of the thermodynamics, a nonlinear stress-balance-based sliding law and a very simple subglacial hydrology. The simulated unforced surging is characterized by rapid ice streaming through a bed trough, resulting in abrupt discharge of ice across the grounding line which is eventually calved into the ocean. We visualize the central feedbacks that dominate the subsequent phases of ice buildup, surge and stabilization which emerge from the interaction between ice dynamics, thermodynamics and the subglacial till layer. Results from the variation of surface mass balance and basal roughness suggest that ice sheets of medium thickness may be more susceptible to surging than relatively thin or thick ones for which the surge feedback loop is damped. We also investigate the influence of different basal sliding laws (ranging from purely plastic to nonlinear to linear) on possible surging. The presented mechanisms underlying our simulations of self-maintained, periodic ice growth and destabilization may play a role in large-scale ice-sheet surging, such as the surging of the Laurentide Ice Sheet, which is associated with Heinrich events, and ice-stream shutdown and reactivation, such as observed in the Siple Coast region of West Antarctica. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 652 KW - grounding-line migration KW - last glacial period KW - West Antarctica KW - North Atlantic KW - numerical simulations KW - iceberg discharges KW - creep stability KW - basal mechanics KW - climate KW - ocean Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-418777 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 652 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Forte, Adam M. A1 - Whipple, Kelin X. A1 - Bookhagen, Bodo A1 - Rossi, Matthew W. T1 - Decoupling of modern shortening rates, climate, and topography in the Caucasus JF - Earth & planetary science letters N2 - The Greater and Lesser Caucasus mountains and their associated foreland basins contain similar rock types, experience a similar two-fold, along-strike variation in mean annual precipitation, and were affected by extreme base-level drops of the neighboring Caspian Sea. However, the two Caucasus ranges are characterized by decidedly different tectonic regimes and rates of deformation that are subject to moderate (less than an order of magnitude) gradients in climate, and thus allow for a unique opportunity to isolate the effects of climate and tectonics in the evolution of topography within active orogens. There is an apparent disconnect between modern climate, shortening rates, and topography of both the Greater Caucasus and Lesser Caucasus which exhibit remarkably similar topography along-strike despite the gradients in forcing. By combining multiple datasets, we examine plausible causes for this disconnect by presenting a detailed analysis of the topography of both ranges utilizing established relationships between catchment-mean erosion rates and topography (local relief, hillslope gradients, and channel steepness) and combining it with a synthesis of previously published low-temperature thermochronologic data. Modern climate of the Caucasus region is assessed through an analysis of remotely-sensed data (TRMM and MODIS) and historical streamflow data. Because along-strike variation in either erosional efficiency or thickness of accreted material fail to explain our observations, we suggest that the topography of both the western Lesser and Greater Caucasus are partially supported by different geodynamic forces. In the western Lesser Caucasus, high relief portions of the landscape likely reflect uplift related to ongoing mantle lithosphere delamination beneath the neighboring East Anatolian Plateau. In the Greater Caucasus, maintenance of high topography in the western portion of the range despite extremely low (<2-4 mm/y) modern convergence rates may be related to dynamic topography from detachment of the north-directed Greater Caucasus slab or to a recent slowing of convergence rates. Large-scale spatial gradients in climate are not reflected in the topography of the Caucasus and do not seem to exert any significant control on the tectonics or structure of either range. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. KW - tectonics KW - erosion KW - climate KW - dynamic topography KW - orogenic processes Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2016.06.013 SN - 0012-821X SN - 1385-013X VL - 449 SP - 282 EP - 294 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Fuhr, Harald ED - Kleinwächter, Kai T1 - Klimawandel und Entwicklungspolitik JF - Klimapolitik International N2 - Der Autor diskutiert die Chancen und Risiken bei der Einbindung des Südens in die internationale Klimapolitik. Lange Zeit hatten die Entwicklungsländer am wenigsten zum Klimawandel beigetragen, wären aber am stärksten von ihm betroffen. Mittlerweile jedoch tragen diese Länder in erheblichem Maße selbst zum Klimawandel bei. Allerdings setzen deren Regierungen auf Zeit. Sie erwarten Ressourcentransfers. Dies verstärkt auch alte Probleme des ‚Rent-Seeking‘. KW - Klimapolitik KW - Klima KW - Durban 2011 KW - Klimakonferenz KW - NGO KW - Entwicklungspolitik KW - climate policy KW - climate KW - Climate Change Conference KW - development policy Y1 - 2012 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-81301 SN - 1868-6222 SN - 1868-6230 SP - 31 EP - 40 PB - Universitätsverlag Potsdam CY - Potsdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ganguli, Poulomi A1 - Paprotny, Dominik A1 - Hasan, Mehedi A1 - Güntner, Andreas A1 - Merz, Bruno T1 - Projected changes in compound flood hazard from riverine and coastal floods in northwestern Europe JF - Earth's future N2 - Compound flooding in coastal regions, that is, the simultaneous or successive occurrence of high sea levels and high river flows, is expected to increase in a warmer world. To date, however, there is no robust evidence on projected changes in compound flooding for northwestern Europe. We combine projected storm surges and river floods with probabilistic, localized relative sea-level rise (SLR) scenarios to assess the future compound flood hazard over northwestern coastal Europe in the high (RCP8.5) emission scenario. We use high-resolution, dynamically downscaled regional climate models (RCM) to drive a storm surge model and a hydrological model, and analyze the joint occurrence of high coastal water levels and associated river peaks in a multivariate copula-based approach. The RCM-forced multimodel mean reasonably represents the observed spatial pattern of the dependence strength between annual maxima surge and peak river discharge, although substantial discrepancies exist between observed and simulated dependence strength. All models overestimate the dependence strength, possibly due to limitations in model parameterizations. This bias affects compound flood hazard estimates and requires further investigation. While our results suggest decreasing compound flood hazard over the majority of sites by 2050s (2040-2069) compared to the reference period (1985-2005), an increase in projected compound flood hazard is limited to around 34% of the sites. Further, we show the substantial role of SLR, a driver of compound floods, which has frequently been neglected. Our findings highlight the need to be aware of the limitations of the current generation of Earth system models in simulating coastal compound floods. KW - compound flood KW - storm surge KW - river floods KW - sea level rise KW - climate KW - change KW - Europe Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2020EF001752 SN - 2328-4277 VL - 8 IS - 11 PB - Wiley-Blackwell CY - Hoboken, NJ ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Gold, Anna A1 - Gronewold, Ulfert A1 - Salterio, Steven E. T1 - Error management in audit firms: error climate, type, and originator JF - The accounting review : a journal of the American Accounting Association KW - error discovery KW - working paper review KW - error reporting KW - error management KW - climate KW - audit quality Y1 - 2014 U6 - https://doi.org/10.2308/accr-50592 SN - 0001-4826 SN - 1558-7967 VL - 89 IS - 1 SP - 303 EP - 330 PB - American Accounting Association CY - Sarasota ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Han, Fang A1 - Rydin, Catarina A1 - Bolinder, Kristina A1 - Dupont-Nivet, Guillaume A1 - Abels, Hemmo A. A1 - Koutsodendris, Andreas A1 - Zhang, Kexin A1 - Hoorn, Carina T1 - Steppe development on the Northern Tibetan Plateau inferred from Paleogene ephedroid pollen JF - Grana N2 - Steppe vegetation represents a key marker of past Asian aridification and is associated with monsoonal intensification. Little is, however, known about the origin of this pre-Oligocene vegetation, its specific composition and how it changed over time and responded to climatic variations. Here, we describe the morphological characters of Ephedraceae pollen in Eocene strata of the Xining Basin and compare the pollen composition with the palynological composition of Late Cretaceous and Paleocene deposits of the Xining Basin and the Quaternary deposits of the Qaidam Basin. We find that the Late Cretaceous steppe was dominated by Gnetaceaepollenites; in the transition from the Cretaceous to the Paleocene, Gnetaceaepollenites became extinct and Ephedripites subgenus Ephedripites dominated the flora with rare occurrences of Ephedripites subgen. Distachyapites; the middle to late Eocene presents a strong increase of Ephedripites subgen. Distachyapites; and the Quaternary/Recent is marked by a significantly lower diversity of Ephedraceae (and Nitrariaceae) compared to the Eocene. In the modern landscape of China, only a fraction of the Paleogene species diversity of Ephedraceae remains and we propose that these alterations in Ephedreaceae composition occurred in response to the climatic changes at least since the Eocene. In particular, the strong Eocene monsoons that enhanced the continental aridification may have played an important role in the evolution of Ephedripites subgen. Distachyapites triggering an evolutionary shift to wind-pollination in this group. Conceivably, the Ephedraceae/Nitrariaceae dominated steppe ended during the Eocene/Oligocene climatic cooling and aridification, which favoured other plant taxa. KW - pollen morphology KW - Eocene KW - climate KW - Ephedripites KW - Distachyapites KW - Gnetaceaepollenites KW - monsoon Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1080/00173134.2015.1120343 SN - 0017-3134 SN - 1651-2049 VL - 55 SP - 71 EP - 100 PB - Springer CY - Oslo ER - TY - THES A1 - Hanschmann, Raffael Tino T1 - Stalling the engine? EU climate politics after the ‘Great Recession’ T1 - Den Motor abgewürgt? EU-Klimapolitik nach der Großen Rezession BT - investigating the impact of economic shocks on EU climate policy-making in three case studies BT - eine Untersuchung des Einflusses von Wirtschaftskrisen auf Prozesse in der EU-Klimapolitik in drei Fallstudien N2 - This dissertation investigates the impact of the economic and fiscal crisis starting in 2008 on EU climate policy-making. While the overall number of adopted greenhouse gas emission reduction policies declined in the crisis aftermath, EU lawmakers decided to introduce new or tighten existing regulations in some important policy domains. Existing knowledge about the crisis impact on EU legislative decision-making cannot explain these inconsistencies. In response, this study develops an actor-centred conceptual framework based on rational choice institutionalism that provides a micro-level link to explain how economic crises translate into altered policy-making patterns. The core theoretical argument draws on redistributive conflicts, arguing that tensions between ‘beneficiaries’ and ‘losers’ of a regulatory initiative intensify during economic crises and spill over to the policy domain. To test this hypothesis and using social network analysis, this study analyses policy processes in three case studies: The introduction of carbon dioxide emission limits for passenger cars, the expansion of the EU Emissions Trading System to aviation, and the introduction of a regulatory framework for biofuels. The key finding is that an economic shock causes EU policy domains to polarise politically, resulting in intensified conflict and more difficult decision-making. The results also show that this process of political polarisation roots in the industry that is the subject of the regulation, and that intergovernmental bargaining among member states becomes more important, but also more difficult in times of crisis. N2 - Diese Dissertation untersucht den Einfluss der in 2008 beginnenden globalen Wirtschaftskrise auf die Prozesse der EU-Klimapolitik. Während die Zahl der verabschiedeten Gesetze zur Treibhausgasreduktion nach Krisenausbruch insgesamt sank, entschieden die EU-Gesetzgeber, in mehreren wichtigen Politikfeldern neue Regulierungen einzuführen oder existierende zu verschärfen. Bestehendes Wissen zum Einfluss der Krise auf EU-Gesetzgebungsprozesse kann diese Inkonsistenzen nicht erklären. Daher entwickelt diese Arbeit ein auf Rational-Choice-Institutionalismus basierendes konzeptionelles Gerüst, das auf der Mikro-Ebene eine kausale Verbindung zwischen Wirtschaftskrise und veränderten Politikprozessen herstellt. Das zentrale theoretische Argument beruht auf Verteilungskonflikten innerhalb der regulierten Wirtschaftsbranchen: Die Spannung zwischen „Nutznießern“ und „Verlierern“ einer geplanten Regulierung intensiviert sich in Krisenzeiten und setzt sich im politischen Raum fort. Diese Hypothese wird an drei Fallstudien mittels sozialer Netzwerkanalyse getestet. Die drei Fallstudien untersuchen politische Entscheidungsprozesse in den folgenden EU-Politikfeldern: Kohlenstoffdioxid-Emissionsgrenzen für PKW, die Ausweitung des Emissionshandels auf Flugverkehr und die Einführung eines Regulierungsrahmens für Biokraftstoffe. Die wichtigste Erkenntnis der Untersuchung ist, dass makroökonomische Schocks eine Polarisierung der politischen Interessen innerhalb eines Politikfeldes auslösen, dadurch Konflikte intensivieren und letztlich Entscheidungsfindungen erschweren. Die Ergebnisse zeigen zudem, dass dieser Polarisierungsprozess in der regulierten Wirtschaftsbranche wurzelt. Außerdem werden Verhandlungen zwischen den Regierungen der Mitgliedsstaaten in Krisenzeiten wichtiger, aber auch schwieriger.  KW - EU KW - European Union KW - policy-making KW - network analysis KW - policy preferences KW - economic crisis KW - crisis KW - climate KW - climate change KW - climate policy KW - climate politics KW - environmental policy KW - EU KW - Europäische Union KW - Politikgestaltung KW - Netzwerkanalyse KW - Politikpräferenzen KW - Wirtschaftskrise KW - Krise KW - Klima KW - Klimawandel KW - Klimapolitik KW - Umweltpolitik Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-440441 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Harnisch, Astrid A1 - Wienges, Sebastian ED - Kleinwächter, Kai T1 - Wie Klimaschutz finanzieren? BT - Zur Rolle privater und öffentlicher Finanzströme JF - Klimapolitik International N2 - Zur Finanzierung von Klimaschutz müssen öffentliche Mittel gezielt eingesetzt werden. Dies beinhaltet auch die Rahmenbedingungen für private Finanzströme signifikant zu verbessern. Anhand einer Problemanalyse bestimmen die Autoren Eckdaten für diese Hebelwirkung. Öffentliche Anschubfinanzierung kann somit die Grundlage für private Investitionen sein. Dies wird exemplarisch an der Internationalen Klimaschutzinitiative des Bundesumweltministeriums diskutiert. KW - Klimapolitik KW - Klima KW - Durban 2011 KW - Klimakonferenz KW - NGO KW - Entwicklungspolitik KW - climate policy KW - climate KW - Climate Change Conference KW - development policy Y1 - 2012 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-81328 SN - 1868-6222 SN - 1868-6230 SP - 50 EP - 58 PB - Universitätsverlag Potsdam CY - Potsdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Haug, Constanze A1 - Berkhout, Frans ED - Kleinwächter, Kai T1 - Abschied von KyotoPlus? BT - Die EU und das Trauma von Kopenhagen JF - Klimapolitik International N2 - Die Ergebnisse des Klimagipfels von Kopenhagen sind eine bittere Enttäuschung für die EU. Ihr ist es nicht gelungen, ihren Führungsambitionen beim globalen Klimaschutz gerecht zu werden und die Konferenz zur Weichenstellung für ein rechtsverbindliches Klimaabkommen nach 2012 zu nutzen. Damit steht die Union vor grundlegenden strategischen Fragen zum Kurs ihrer Klimapolitik. KW - Klimapolitik KW - Klima KW - Durban 2011 KW - Klimakonferenz KW - NGO KW - Entwicklungspolitik KW - climate policy KW - climate KW - Climate Change Conference KW - development policy Y1 - 2012 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-81355 SN - 1868-6222 SN - 1868-6230 SP - 73 EP - 81 PB - Universitätsverlag Potsdam CY - Potsdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Heidarzadeh, Ghasem A1 - Ballato, Paolo A1 - Hassanzadeh, Jamshid A1 - Ghassemi, Mohammad R. A1 - Strecker, Manfred T1 - Lake overspill and onset of fluvial incision in the Iranian Plateau: Insights from the Mianeh Basin JF - Earth & planetary science letters N2 - Orogenic plateaus represent a prime example of the interplay between surface processes, climate, and tectonics. This kind of an interplay is thought to be responsible for the formation, preservation, and, ultimately, the destruction of a typical elevated, low-internal relief plateau landscape. Here, we document the timing of intermontane basin filling associated with the formation of a low-relief plateau morphology, followed by basin opening and plateau-flank incision in the northwestern Iranian Plateau of the Arabia Eurasia collision zone. Our new U-Pb zircon ages from intercalated volcanic ashes in exposed plateau basin-fill sediments from the most external plateau basin (Mianeh Basin) document that the basin was internally drained at least between similar to 7 and 4 Ma, and that from similar to 5 to 4 Ma it was characterized by an similar to 2-km-high and similar to 0.5-km-deep lake (Mianeh paleolake), most likely as a result of wetter climatic conditions. At the same time, the eastern margin of the Mianeh Basin (and, therefore, of the Iranian Plateau) experienced limited tectonic activity, as documented by onlapping sediments and smoothed topography. The combination of high lake level and subdued topography at the plateau margin led to lake overspill, which resulted in the cutting of an similar to 1-km-deep bedrock gorge (Amardos) by the Qezel-Owzan River (QOR) beginning at similar to 4 Ma. This was associated with the incision of the plateau landscape and the establishment of fluvial connectivity with the Caspian Sea. Overall, our study emphasizes the interplay between surface and tectonic processes in forming, maintaining, and destroying orogenic plateau morphology, the transitional nature of orogenic plateau landscapes on timescales of 10(6) yr, and, finally, the role played by overspilling in integrating endorheic basins. (C) 2017 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. KW - Iranian Plateau KW - basin evolution KW - overspill KW - incision KW - geomorphic analysis KW - climate Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2017.04.019 SN - 0012-821X SN - 1385-013X VL - 469 SP - 135 EP - 147 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Hentschel, Karl-Martin ED - Kleinwächter, Kai T1 - Klimapolitik am Ende? BT - Nach Durban wird es höchste Zeit für einen Strategiewechsel JF - Klimapolitik International KW - Klimapolitik KW - Klima KW - Durban 2011 KW - Klimakonferenz KW - NGO KW - Entwicklungspolitik KW - climate policy KW - climate KW - Climate Change Conference KW - development policy Y1 - 2012 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-81299 SN - 1868-6222 SN - 1868-6230 SP - 21 EP - 30 PB - Universitätsverlag Potsdam CY - Potsdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Hierro, Rodrigo A1 - Burgos Fonseca, Y. A1 - Ramezani Ziarani, Maryam A1 - Llamedo, P. A1 - Schmidt, Torsten A1 - de la Torre, Alejandro A1 - Alexander, P. T1 - On the behavior of rainfall maxima at the eastern Andes JF - Atmospheric Research N2 - In this study, we detect high percentile rainfall events in the eastern central Andes, based on Tropical Rainfall Measuring Mission (TRMM) with a spatial resolution of 0.25 × 0.25°, a temporal resolution of 3 h, and for the duration from 2001 to 2018. We identify three areas with high mean accumulated rainfall and analyze their atmospheric behaviour and rainfall characteristics with specific focus on extreme events. Extreme events are defined by events above the 95th percentile of their daily mean accumulated rainfall. Austral summer (DJF) is the period of the year presenting the most frequent extreme events over these three regions. Daily statistics show that the spatial maxima, as well as their associated extreme events, are produced during the night. For the considered period, ERA-Interim reanalysis data, provided by the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) with 0.75° x0.75° spatial and 6-hourly temporal resolutions, were used for the analysis of the meso- and synoptic-scale atmospheric patterns. Night- and day-time differences indicate a nocturnal overload of northerly and northeasterly low-level humidity flows arriving from tropical South America. Under these conditions, cooling descending air from the mountains may find unstable air at the surface, giving place to the development of strong local convection. Another possible mechanism is presented here: a forced ascent of the low-level flow due to the mountains, disrupting the atmospheric stratification and generating vertical displacement of air trajectories. A Principal Component Analysis (PCA) in T-mode is applied to day- and night-time data during the maximum and extreme events. The results show strong correlation areas over each subregion under study during night-time, whereas during day-time no defined patterns are found. This confirms the observed nocturnal behavior of rainfall within these three hotspots. KW - South-America KW - rainy-season KW - part I KW - precipitation KW - TRMM KW - climate KW - summer KW - circulation KW - monsoon KW - systems Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2019.104792 SN - 0169-8095 VL - 234 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam [u.a.] ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Horton, Benjamin P. A1 - Khan, Nicole S. A1 - Cahill, Niamh A1 - Lee, Janice S. H. A1 - Shaw, Timothy A. A1 - Garner, Andra J. A1 - Kemp, Andrew C. A1 - Engelhart, Simon E. A1 - Rahmstorf, Stefan T1 - Estimating global mean sea-level rise and its uncertainties by 2100 and 2300 from an expert survey JF - npj Climate and Atmospheric Science N2 - Sea-level rise projections and knowledge of their uncertainties are vital to make informed mitigation and adaptation decisions. To elicit projections from members of the scientific community regarding future global mean sea-level (GMSL) rise, we repeated a survey originally conducted five years ago. Under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 2.6, 106 experts projected a likely (central 66% probability) GMSL rise of 0.30-0.65 m by 2100, and 0.54-2.15 m by 2300, relative to 1986-2005. Under RCP 8.5, the same experts projected a likely GMSL rise of 0.63-1.32 m by 2100, and 1.67-5.61 m by 2300. Expert projections for 2100 are similar to those from the original survey, although the projection for 2300 has extended tails and is higher than the original survey. Experts give a likelihood of 42% (original survey) and 45% (current survey) that under the high-emissions scenario GMSL rise will exceed the upper bound (0.98 m) of the likely range estimated by the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which is considered to have an exceedance likelihood of 17%. Responses to open-ended questions suggest that the increases in upper-end estimates and uncertainties arose from recent influential studies about the impact of marine ice cliff instability on the meltwater contribution to GMSL rise from the Antarctic Ice Sheet. KW - projections KW - Greenland KW - consequences KW - climate Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-020-0121-5 SN - 2397-3722 VL - 3 IS - 1 SP - 1 EP - 8 PB - Springer Nature CY - London ER - TY - GEN A1 - Horton, Benjamin P. A1 - Khan, Nicole S. A1 - Cahill, Niamh A1 - Lee, Janice S. H. A1 - Shaw, Timothy A. A1 - Garner, Andra J. A1 - Kemp, Andrew C. A1 - Engelhart, Simon E. A1 - Rahmstorf, Stefan T1 - Estimating global mean sea-level rise and its uncertainties by 2100 and 2300 from an expert survey T2 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - Sea-level rise projections and knowledge of their uncertainties are vital to make informed mitigation and adaptation decisions. To elicit projections from members of the scientific community regarding future global mean sea-level (GMSL) rise, we repeated a survey originally conducted five years ago. Under Representative Concentration Pathway (RCP) 2.6, 106 experts projected a likely (central 66% probability) GMSL rise of 0.30-0.65 m by 2100, and 0.54-2.15 m by 2300, relative to 1986-2005. Under RCP 8.5, the same experts projected a likely GMSL rise of 0.63-1.32 m by 2100, and 1.67-5.61 m by 2300. Expert projections for 2100 are similar to those from the original survey, although the projection for 2300 has extended tails and is higher than the original survey. Experts give a likelihood of 42% (original survey) and 45% (current survey) that under the high-emissions scenario GMSL rise will exceed the upper bound (0.98 m) of the likely range estimated by the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, which is considered to have an exceedance likelihood of 17%. Responses to open-ended questions suggest that the increases in upper-end estimates and uncertainties arose from recent influential studies about the impact of marine ice cliff instability on the meltwater contribution to GMSL rise from the Antarctic Ice Sheet. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 1437 KW - projections KW - Greenland KW - consequences KW - climate Y1 - 2020 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-516788 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 1 ER - TY - THES A1 - Jiménez Álvaro, Eliana T1 - Análisis neotectónico y lito-tefroestratigráfico de los grandes movimientos en masa asociados al fallamiento activo de la cuenca intermontana Quito-Guayllabamba, Ecuador T1 - Neotectonic and litho-tephrostratigraphic analysis of large mass movements associated with active faulting in the Quito-Guayllabamba intermontane basin, Ecuador T1 - Neotektonische und litho-tephrostratigraphische Auswertung der großen Massenbewegungen im Zusammenhang mit dem aktiven Verwerfungen im intermontanen Quito-Guayllabamba-Becken, Ecuador N2 - Within the Quito-Guayllabamba intermontane basin of Ecuador, five unusually large colluvial deposits of ancient landslides have been identified and analyzed in this study. The voluminous rotational MM-5 Guayllabamba landslide is the largest one, with a volume of 1183 million m3. The mega debris-avalanches MM-1 Conocoto, MM-3 Oyacoto, and MM-4 San Francisco were originally triggered by an initial rupture that was associated with a rotational landslide, the corresponding deposits have volumes between 399 to 317 million m3. Finally, the deposit with the smallest volume, the MM-2 Batán rotational landslide and debris fall, has a volume of 8,7 million m3. In this thesis, a detailed study of these large mass movements was carried out using neotectonic and litho-tephrostratigraphic methods to understand the geological and geomorphological boundary conditions that might have been relevant for triggering such mass movements. The neotectonic part of the study was based on the qualitative and quantitative geomorphic analysis of these large mass-movement deposits through the structural characterization of anticlines located east of the Quito sub-basin and their collapsed flanks that constitute the break-off areas. This part of the analysis was furthermore supported by the application of different morphometric indices to reveal tectonically forced landscape evolution processes that may have aided mass-movement generation. The litho-tephrostratigraphic part of the study was based on the analysis of petrographic, geochemical, and geochronological characteristics of soil horizons and intercalated volcanic ashes with the aim to constrain the timing of individual mass-movement events and their potential correlation. The results were integrated into chronostratigraphic schemes using break-off surfaces, cross-cutting and superposition relationships of landslide deposits and subsequently deposited strata to understand the mass movements in the tectonic and temporal context of the intermontane basin setting, as well as to identify the triggering mechanisms for each event. The MM-5 Guayllabamba mass movement is the result of the collapse of the southwestern slope of the Mojanda volcano and was triggered by the interaction of geologic and morphologic conditions approximately 0,81 Ma. The first debris-avalanche episode of the MM-3 Oyacoto and MM-4 San Francisco mass movements could be related to both geological and morphological conditions, given the highly fractured rocks and uplift of the Bellavista-Catequilla anticline that was subsequently incised at the foot of the slope by fluvial erosion. This first episode of collapse most likely occurred around 0,8 Ma. The MM-2 Batán mass movement was possibly also facilitated by a combination of geological and morphological conditions, most likely associated with a reduction in the lithostatic stresses affecting the Chiche and Machángara formations and an increase of shear stresses during lateral fluvial scouring processes at the flanks of the source areas. This points to a linked process between river erosion and uplift processes associated with the evolution of the El Batán-La Bota anticline that could have occurred between 0,5 and 0,25 Ma. The voluminous MM-1 Conocoto debris avalanche, as well as the second debris avalanche episode that generated the MM-3 Oyacoto and MM-4 San Francisco mass movements, were caused by the gravitational collapse of the Mojanda and Cangahua formations that are characterized by the intercalation of volcanic ashes. The failure of the eastern flank of the anticlines probably was associated with increased available humidity related to regional Holocene climatic variations. The results of paleosol chronology combined with regional chronostratigraphic and paleoclimate data suggests that these debris avalanches were triggered between 5 and 4 ka. Active tectonics has shaped the morphological features of the Quito-Guayllabamba intermontane basin. The triggering of mass movements in this environment is associated with failure of Pleistocene lithologies (lake sediments, alluvial and volcanic deposits) subjected to ongoing deformation processes, seismic activity, and superposed episodes of climate variability. The Metropolitan District of Quito is an integral part of this complex environment and the geological, climatic, and topographic conditions that continue to influence the urban geographic space within this intermontane basin. The city of Quito comprises the area with the largest urban consolidation including the sub-basins of Quito and San Antonio, with a population of 2,872 million inhabitants, reflecting the importance of studying the inherent geological and climatic hazards that this region is confronted with. N2 - Innerhalb des intermontanen Beckens von Quito-Guayllabamba in Ecuador wurden fünf ungewöhnlich große alte Erdrutschablagerungen identifiziert und in dieser Studie analysiert. Die voluminöse, mit einer Rotationsbewegung verbundene Ablagerung MM-5 von Guayllabamba ist mit einem Volumen von 1183 Mio. m3 die größte dieser Massenbewegungsablagerungen. Die Megaschuttlawinen MM-1 von Conocoto, MM-3 Oyacoto und MM-4 von San Francisco wurden ursprünglich durch eine Ruptur an den oberen Hängen ausgelöst, die ebenfalls mit Rotationsbewegungen verbunden waren, die entsprechenden Ablagerungen haben ein Volumen zwischen 399 und 317 Mio. m3. Die kleinste Ablagerung, die Ablagerung MM-2 von Batán, hat ein Volumen von 8,7 Mio. m3. In dieser Arbeit wurde eine detaillierte Untersuchung dieser großen Massenbewegungen mit neotektonischen, litho-tephrostratigraphischen und geomorphologischen Methoden durchgeführt, um die geologischen und geomorphologischen Randbedingungen zu verstehen, die für die Auslösung solcher Massenbewegungen relevant gewesen sein könnten. Der neotektonische Teil der Studie basierte auf der qualitativen und quantitativen geomorphologischen Analyse dieser voluminösen Ablagerungen über eine strukturelle Charakterisierung der Antiklinalen und ihrer kollabierten Flanken östlich des Quito-Subbbeckens, die Abrisszonen bilden. Dieser Teil der Analyse wurde durch die Anwendung verschiedener morphometrischer Indizes unterstützt, um tektonisch bedingte Landschaftsentwicklungsprozesse aufzuzeigen, welche die Entstehung der Massenbewegungen begünstigt haben könnten. Der litho-tephrostratigraphische Teil der Studie basierte auf der Analyse petrographischer, geochemischer und geochronologischer Merkmale von Paläo-Bodenhorizonten und zwischengeschalteten vulkanischen Aschen mit dem Ziel, die Chronologie einzelner Massenbewegungsereignisse zunächst einzugrenzen und Ablagerungen eventuell miteinander zu korrelieren. Die Ergebnisse wurden in chronostratigraphische Schemata integriert, die Abrisskanten, Aufschlüsse und stratigraphische Überlappungsbeziehungen von Erdrutschablagerungen und später abgelagerten Schichten verwenden, um die Massenbewegungen im tektonischen und zeitlichen Kontext der intermontanen, sowie die Auslösemechanismen der einzelnen Ereignisse zu identifizieren. Die Massenbewegung MM-5 von Guayllabamba ist das Ergebnis des Kollapses des Südwesthangs des Vulkans Mojanda und wurde durch das Zusammenspiel geologischer und morphologischer Bedingungen vor etwa 0,81 Ma ausgelöst. Die erste Schuttlawinen-Episode MM-3 Oyacoto und MM-4 San Francisco könnte sowohl mit den geologischen als auch mit den morphologischen Bedingungen zusammenhängen, da das Gestein stark zerklüftet ist und die Bellavista-Catequilla-Antiklinale angehoben wurde, die anschließend am Fuß des Hanges durch fluviale Erosion eingeschnitten wurde. Höchstwahrscheinlich ereignete sich diese erste Massenbewegungsphase um 0,8 Ma. Die Massenbewegung der Ablagerung von MM-2 Batán wurde möglicherweise auch durch eine Kombination von geologischen und morphologischen Bedingungen begünstigt, die vermutlich mit einer Verringerung des lithostatischen Druckes in den Formationen Chiche und Machángara sowie einer Zunahme der Scherspannungen im Zuge der seitlichen fluvialen Kolkprozesse an den Flanken der Abrissregionen verbunden waren. Dies deutet auf einen verknüpften Prozess zwischen fluvialer Erosion und Hebungsprozessen im Zusammenhang mit der Entwicklung der El Batán-La Bota-Antiklinale hin, der zwischen 0,5 und 0,25 Ma stattgefunden haben könnte. Die voluminöse Schuttlawine MM-1 von Conocoto sowie die zweite Schuttlawine, welche die Ablagerungen von MM-3 Oyacoto und MM-4 San Francisco generierte, wurden durch den gravitativen Kollaps der Mojanda- und Cangahua-Formationen ausgelöst, der durch die zwischengeschalteten vulkanischen Aschen begünstigt wurde. Das Versagen der Bergflanken war möglicherweise auch begünstigt durch die Zunahme der verfügbaren Feuchtigkeit und des erhöhten Porendruckes im Zusammenhang mit regionalen klimatischen Schwankungen während des Holozäns. Die Ergebnisse der Chronologie der Paläoböden in Verbindung mit regionalen chronostratigraphischen und paläoklimatischen Daten legen nahe, dass diese Schuttlawinen zwischen 5 und 4 ka ausgelöst wurden. Die aktive Tektonik hat die morphologischen Merkmale des intermontanen Quito-Guayllabamba-Beckens fundamental geprägt. Die Auslösung von Massenbewegungen in diesem Gebiet steht im Zusammenhang mit Verwerfungen in den pleistozänen Ablagerungen (lakustrische Sedimente, alluviale und vulkanische Ablagerungen), die laufenden Deformationsprozessen, seismischer Aktivität sowie überlagerten Episoden klimatischer Variabilität ausgesetzt sind. Der Stadtbezirk Quito ist ein integraler Bestandteil dieser komplexen Region und der geologischen, klimatischen und topografischen Bedingungen, die den städtischen Siedlungsraum in diesem intermontanen Becken weiterhin beeinflussen werden. Die Stadt Quito umfasst das Gebiet mit der größten urbanen Konsolidierung, einschließlich der Teileinzugsgebiete von Quito und San Antonio, mit einer Bevölkerung von 2,872 Millionen Einwohnern, was die Bedeutung der Untersuchung der inhärenten geologischen und klimatischen Gefahren widerspiegelt, mit denen diese Region konfrontiert ist. N2 - Dentro de la cuenca intermontana de Quito-Guay llabamba de Ecuador, se han identificado y analizado en este estudio, cinco depósitos coluviales inusualmente grandes de antiguos deslizamientos. El gran deslizamiento rotacional MM-5 Guayllabamba es el más extenso, con un volumen de 1183 millones de m3. Las mega avalanchas de escombros MM-1 Conocoto, MM-3 Oyacoto, y MM-4 San Francisco fueron desencadenadas originalmente por una ruptura inicial que estuvo asociada a un deslizamiento rotacional, los depósitos correspondientes tienen volúmenes entre 399 a 317 millones de m3. Finalmente, el depósito de menor volumen, el deslizamiento rotacional y caída de detritos MM-2 Batán, tiene un volumen de 8,7 millones de m3. En esta tesis, se realizó un estudio detallado de estos grandes movimientos en masa utilizando métodos neotectónicos y lito-tefrostratigráficos para comprender las condiciones geológicas y geomorfológicas de contorno que podrían ser relevantes para desencadenar estos movimientos en masa. La parte neotectónica del estudio se basó en el análisis geomorfológico cualitativo y cuantitativo de estos grandes depósitos de movimientos en masa, a través de la caracterización estructural de anticlinales ubicados al este de la subcuenca de Quito y sus flancos colapsados que constituyen las áreas de ruptura. Esta parte del análisis fue además apoyada por la aplicación de diferentes índices morfométricos para revelar procesos de evolución del paisaje forzados tectónicamente que pueden haber contribuido a la generación de movimientos en masa. La parte lito-tefrostratigráfica del estudio se basó en el análisis de las características petrográficas, geoquímicas y geocronológicas de los horizontes del suelo y de las cenizas volcánicas intercaladas, con el objetivo de restringir la cronología de los eventos individuales de movimientos en masa y su posible de correlación. Los resultados se integraron en esquemas cronoestratigráficos utilizando superficies de ruptura, relaciones transversales y de superposición de depósitos de deslizamiento y estratos posteriores para comprender los movimientos en masa en el contexto tectónico y temporal del entorno de la cuenca intermontana, así como para identificar los mecanismos desencadenantes de cada evento. El movimiento en masa MM-5 Guayllabamba es el resultado del colapso de la ladera suroeste del volcán Mojanda y fue desencadenado por la interacción de condiciones geológicas y morfológicas hace aproximadamente 0,81 Ma. El primer episodio de avalancha de escombros de los movimientos en masa MM-3 Oyacoto y MM-4 San Francisco podría estar relacionado con condiciones tanto geológicas como morfológicas, dadas las rocas altamente fracturadas y el levantamiento del anticlinal Bellavista-Catequilla que posteriormente fue inciso al pie de la ladera por la erosión fluvial. Este primer episodio de colapso probablemente ocurrió alrededor de los 0,8 Ma. El movimiento en masa MM-2 Batán posiblemente también fue desencadenado por una combinación de condiciones geológicas y morfológicas, asociadas a una reducción de los esfuerzos litostáticos que afectaron a las formaciones Chiche y Machángara y a un aumento de los esfuerzos de cizalla durante procesos de socavación fluvial lateral en los flancos de las áreas de origen. Esto apunta a un proceso vinculado entre la erosión fluvial y los procesos de levantamiento asociados a la evolución del anticlinal El Batán-La Bota que podría haber ocurrido entre 0,5 y 0,25 Ma. La voluminosa avalancha de escombros MM-1 Conocoto, así como el segundo episodio de avalancha de escombros que generó los movimientos en masa MM-3 Oyacoto y MM-4 San Francisco, fueron provocados por el colapso gravitacional de las formaciones Mojanda y Cangahua que se caracterizan por la intercalación de cenizas volcánicas. La falla del flanco oriental de los anticlinales probablemente estuvo asociada al incremento de la humedad disponible relacionada con las variaciones climáticas regionales del Holoceno. Los resultados de la cronología de los paleosuelos combinados con los datos cronoestratigráficos y paleoclimáticos regionales sugieren que estas avalanchas de escombros se desencadenaron entre 5 y 4 ka. La tectónica activa ha modelado los rasgos morfológicos de la cuenca intermontana Quito-Guayllabamba. El desencadenamiento de movimientos en masa en este ambiente está asociado a rupturas en litologías del Pleistoceno (sedimentos lacustres, depósitos aluviales y volcánicos) sometidas a procesos de deformación, actividad sísmica y episodios superpuestos de variabilidad climática. El Distrito Metropolitano de Quito es parte integral de este complejo entorno y de las condiciones geológicas, climáticas y topográficas que continúan influyendo en el espacio geográfico urbano dentro de esta cuenca intermontana. La ciudad de Quito comprende el área de mayor consolidación urbana incluyendo las subcuencas de Quito y San Antonio, con una población de 2,872 millones de habitantes, lo que refleja la importancia del estudio de las amenazas geológicas y climáticas inherentes a esta región. KW - große Massenbewegungen KW - intermontane Becken KW - aktive Verwerfungen KW - Auslösemechanismus KW - Klima KW - large mass movements KW - intermontane basin KW - active faulting KW - trigger mechanism KW - climate KW - grandes movimientos en masa KW - cuenca intermontana KW - fallamiento activo KW - mecanismos de disparo KW - clima Y1 - 2023 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-622209 ER - TY - THES A1 - John, Cédric Michaël T1 - Miocene climate as recorded on slope carbonates : examples from Malta (Central Mediterranean) and Northeastern Australia (Marion Plateau, ODP LEG 194) N2 - Im Rahmen dieser Doktorarbeit wurden die Hangkarbonate von zwei miozänen heterozoischen Karbonatsystemen näher untersucht: die Malta Inselgruppe (zentrales Mittelmeer) und das Marion Plateau (Nordost Australien, ODP Leg 194). Die Auswirkungen der mittelmiozänen Abkühlung (Mi3), die auf 13.6 Ma datiert wird und starken Einfluß auf die Sauerstoffisotopenkurve hatte, in den oben genannten Flachwassersystemen stellten das Ziel dieser Arbeit dar. Dieses Abkühlungsereignis beeinflußte außerdem sehr stark die ozeanographischen und klimatischen Muster, die im weiteren Verlauf zum modernen Eishausklima führten. So steht insbesondere die Vereisung von Ostantarktika mit diesem Ereignis in Verbindung. Diese Arbeit untersucht den Einfluß dieses Ereignisses auf Flachwassersysteme, um vorliegende Untersuchungen in Tiefwassersystemen zu ergänzen und so zum globalen Verständnis des miozänen Klimawechsels beizutragen. Die Profile auf der Maltainselgruppe wurden mit Hilfe von Kohlenstoff- und Sauerstoffisotopen Auswertungen im Gesamtgestein, Gesamtgesteinmineralogie, Tonmineralanalyse und organischer Geochemie untersucht. Durch einen Wechsel von karbonatischeren zu tonigeren Sedimenten beeinflußte das mittelmiozäne Abkühlungsereignis die Sedimentation in diesem Gebiet sehr stark. Weiterhin wurde beobachtet, daß jede Phase der antarktischen Vereisung, nicht nur das mittelmiozäne Hauptereignis, zu einem erhöhten terrigenen Eintrag in den Hangsedimenten der Maltainselgruppe führte. Akkumulationsraten zeigen, daß dieser erhöhte terrigene Eintrag den einzelnen Vereisungsperioden zusammenhängt und die karbonatischen Sedimente durch tonreiche Sedimente “verunreinigt” wurden. Das daraufhin entwickelte Modell erklärt diesen erhöhten terrigenen Eintrag mit einer nordwärtigen Verlagerung der innertropischen Konvergenzzone durch die Bildung von kalten, dichten Luftmassen, die zu verstärkten Niederschlägen in Nordafrika führten. Diese verstärkten Niederschläge (oder verstärkter afrikanischer Monsun) beeinflußten die kontinentale Verwitterung und den Eintrag, mit der Folge, daß verstärkt terrigene Sedimente im Bereich der Hangsedimente der Maltainselgruppe abgelagert wurden. Die tonreichen Intervalle weisen Ähnlichkeiten zu sapropelischen Ablagerungen auf, was mit Hilfe der Spektral analyse des Karbonatgehalts und der geochemischen Analyse des organischen Materials gezeigt wurde. Auf dem Marion Plateau wurden die Sauerstoff- und Kohlenstoffisotopenkurven anhand von Foraminiferen der Gattung Cibicidoides spp. rekonstruiert. Der Karbonatgehalt wurde mit Hilfe einer chemischen Methode (Coulometer) ermittelt. Genauso wie die Sedimente der Maltainselgruppe beeinflußte das mittelmiozäne Abkühlungsereignis (Mi3) auch die Sedimente auf dem Marion Plateau. So kam es bei 13,8 Ma, in etwa zur Zeit der Vereisung von Ostantarktika, zu einem Abfall der Karbonatakkumulationsraten. Weiterhin traten Änderungen in der Zusammensetzung der Sedimente auf, so nehmen neritische Karbonatfragmente ab, der planktische Foraminiferengehalt nimmt zu und es wurden verstärkt Quarz und Glaukonit abgelagert. Ein überraschendes Ergebnis ist die Tatsache, daß der große N12-N14 Meeresspiegelabfall um 11,5 Ma die Akkumulationsraten der Karbonate auf dem Hang nicht beeinflußte. Dieses Ergebnis ist umso erstaunlicher, da Karbonatplattformen normalerweise sehr sensitiv auf Meeresspiegeländerungen reagieren. Der Grund, warum sich die Karbonatakkumulationsraten schon um 13,6 Ma (Mi3) und nicht erst um 11,5 Ma (N12-N14) verringerten, liegt in der Tatsache, daß die ozeanischen Strömungen die Karbonatsedimentation auf dem Hang des Marion Plateau schon im Miozän kontrollierten. Das mittelmiozäne Ereignis (Mi3) erhöhte die Stärke diese Strömungen und als eine Ursache wurde die Karbonatakkumulation auf den Hängen reduziert. Die Amplitude des N12-N14 Meeresspiegelabfalls liegt bei 90 m unter der Berücksichtigung der Sauerstoffisotopendaten aus der Tiefsee und Berechnungen des Meeresspiegels anhand des “coastal onlaps”, die während Leg 194 gemacht wurden. Die Isotopendaten dieser Arbeit weisen hingegen auf einen verringerten Meeresspiegelabfall von 70 m hin. Als allgemeine Schlußfolgerung kann gesagt werden, daß der mittelmiozäne Klimaumschwung die Karbonatsysteme zumindest an den beiden untersuchten Lokalitäten beeinflußt hat. Allerdings waren die Auswirkungen sehr von den unterschiedlichen lokalen Gegebenheiten abhängig. Insbesondere wirkten sich die Anwesenheit einer Landmasse (Malta) und die Abwesenheit einer Barriere vor den Einflüssen des offenen Ozeans (Marion Plateau) stark auf die Ablagerung der Karbonate aus. N2 - This study investigated the slope carbonates of two Miocene carbonate systems: the Maltese Islands (in the Central Mediterranean) and the Marion Plateau (Northeastern Australia, drilled during ODP Leg 194). The aim of the study was to trace the impact of the Miocene cooling steps (events Mi1-Mi6) in these carbonate systems, especially the Mi3 event, which took place around 13.6 Ma and deeply impacted the marine oxygen isotope record. This event also profoundly impacted oceanographic and climatic patterns, eventually leading to the establishment of the modern ice-house world. In particular, East Antarctica became ice covered at that period. The rational behind the present study was to investigate the impact that this event had on shallow water systems in order to complement the deep-sea record and hence acquire a more global perspective on Miocene climate change. The Maltese Islands were investigated for trends in bulk-rock carbon and oxygen isotopes, as well as bulk-rock mineralogy, clay minerals analysis and organic geochemisty. Results showed that the mid Miocene cooling event deeply impacted sedimentation at that location by changing sedimentation from carbonate to clay-rich sediments. Moreover, it was discovered that each phase of Antarctic glaciation, not just the major mid Miocene event, resulted in higher terrigenous input on Malta. Mass accumulation rates revealed that this was linked to increased runoff during periods when Antarctica was glaciated, and thus that the carbonate sediments were “diluted” by clay-rich sediments. The model subsequently developed to explain this implies feedback from Antarctic glaciations creating cold, dense air masses that push the ITCZ Northward, thus increasing precipitation on the North African subcontinent. Increased precipitation (or stronger African monsoon) accelerated continental weathering and runoff, thus bringing more terrigenous sediment to the paleo-location of the slope sediments of Malta. Spectral analysis of carbonate content and organic matter geochemical analysis furthermore suggest that the clay-rich intervals are similar to sapropelic deposits. On the Marion Plateau, trends in oxygen and carbon isotopes were obtained by measuring Cibicidoides spp foraminifers. Moreover, carbonate content was reconstructed using a chemical method (coulometer). Results show that the mid Miocene cooling step profoundly affected this system: a major drop in accumulation rates of carbonates occurs precisely at 13.8 Ma, around the time of the East Antarctic ice sheet formation. Moreover, sedimentation changes occurred at that time, carbonate fragments coming from neritic environments becoming less abundant, planktonic foraminifer content increasing and quartz and reworked glauconite being deposited. Conversely, a surprising result is that the major N12-N14 sea-level fall occurring around 11.5 Ma did not impact the accumulation of carbonates on the slope. This was unexpected since carbonate platform are very sensitive to sea-level changes. The model developed to explain that mass accumulation rates of carbonates diminished around 13.6 Ma (Mi3 Event) instead of 11.5 Ma (N12-N14 event), suggests that oceanic currents were controlling slope carbonate deposition on the Marion Plateau prior to the mid-Miocene, and that the mid Miocene event considerably increase their strength, hence reducing the amount of carbonate being deposited on slope sites. Moreover, by combining results from deep-sea oxygen isotopes with sea-level estimates based on coastal onlaps made during Leg 194, we constrain the amplitude of the N12-N14 sea-level fall to 90 meters. When integrating isotopic results from this study, this amplitude is lowered to 70 meters. A general conclusion of this work is that the mid Miocene climatic shift did impact carbonate systems, at least at the two locations studied. However, the nature of this response was highly dependant on the regional settings, in particular the presence of land mass (Malta) and the absence of a barrier to shelter from the effects of open ocean (Marion Plateau). KW - mittleres Miozän KW - Klima KW - Sauerstoffisotope KW - Kohlenstoffisotope KW - Kontinentalrand KW - Tonmineralien KW - Karbonate KW - Malta KW - Mittelmeer KW - Australien KW - ODP Leg 194 KW - middle Miocene KW - climate KW - oxygen isotopes KW - carbon isotopes KW - continental margins KW - clay mineral KW - carbonate systems KW - Malta KW - Meditteranean sea KW - Australia Y1 - 2003 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-0000820 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Juang, Linda P. A1 - Schachner, Maja A1 - Aral, Tuğçe A1 - Schwarzenthal, Miriam A1 - Kunyu, David Khisoni A1 - Löhmannsröben, Hanna T1 - Effects of a brief self-affirmation writing intervention among 7(th) graders in Germany BT - testing for variations by heritage group, discrimination experiences and classroom diversity climate JF - Social psychology of education : an international journal N2 - We tested whether a brief self-affirmation writing intervention protected against identity-threats (i.e., stereotyping and discrimination) for adolescents' school-related adjustment. The longitudinal study followed 639 adolescents in Germany (65% of immigrant descent, 50% female, M-age = 12.35 years, SDage = .69) from 7(th) grade (pre-intervention at T1, five to six months post-intervention at T2) to the end of 8(th) grade (one-year follow-up at T3). We tested for direct and moderated (by heritage group, discrimination, classroom cultural diversity climate) effects using regression and latent change models. The self-affirmation intervention did not promote grades or math competence. However, in the short-term and for adolescents of immigrant descent, the intervention prevented a downward trajectory in mastery reactions to academic challenges for those experiencing greater discrimination. Further, it protected against a decline in behavioral school engagement for those in positive classroom cultural diversity climates. In the long-term and for all adolescents, the intervention lessened an upward trajectory in disruptive behavior. Overall, the self-affirmation intervention benefited some aspects of school-related adjustment for adolescents of immigrant and non-immigrant descent. The intervention context is important, with classroom cultural diversity climate acting as a psychological affordance enhancing affirmation effects. Our study supports the ongoing call for theorizing and empirically testing student and context heterogeneity to better understand for whom and under which conditions this intervention may work. KW - Brief self-affirmation writing intervention KW - Adolescents of immigrant KW - descent KW - School-related adjustment KW - Classroom cultural diversity KW - climate KW - Germany Y1 - 2023 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s11218-023-09789-9 SN - 1381-2890 SN - 1573-1928 PB - Springer CY - Dordrecht ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Kalkuhl, Matthias A1 - Schwerhoff, Gregor A1 - Waha, Katharina T1 - Land tenure, climate and risk management JF - Ecological economics N2 - We analyze to what extent climate conditions affect the prevalence of sharecropping as a form of traditional land tenure. We investigate how sharecropping tenure is related to climate risk and how it interacts with fertilizer use and livestock ownership that both influence production risk. We first develop a stylized theoretical model to illustrate the role of climate for land tenure and production. Our empirical analysis is based on more than 9000 households with considerable heterogeneity in climate conditions across several African countries. We find that farmers in areas with low precipitation are more likely to be sharecroppers. We further find evidence for risk management interaction effects as sharecropping farmers are less likely to own livestock and more likely to use fertilizer. In economies where formal kinds of insurance are unavailable, sharecropping thus functions as a form of insurance and reduces the need for potentially costly risk management strategies. KW - traditional land tenure KW - climate KW - risk management KW - agriculture KW - Africa KW - sharecropping Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2019.106573 SN - 0921-8009 SN - 1873-6106 VL - 171 PB - Elsevier Science CY - Amsterdam [u.a.] ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Kaya, Mustafa Yücel A1 - Dupont-Nivet, Guillaume A1 - Proust, Jean‐Noël A1 - Roperch, Pierrick A1 - Bougeois, Laurie A1 - Meijer, Niels A1 - Frieling, Joost A1 - Fioroni, Chiara A1 - Altiner, Sevinç Özkan A1 - Vardar, Ezgi A1 - Barbolini, Natasha A1 - Stoica, Marius A1 - Aminov, Jovid A1 - Mamtimin, Mehmut A1 - Zhaojie, Guo T1 - Paleogene evolution and demise of the proto-Paratethys Sea in Central Asia (Tarim and Tajik basins) BT - Role of intensified tectonic activity at ca. 41 Ma JF - Basin research N2 - The proto-Paratethys Sea covered a vast area extending from the Mediterranean Tethys to the Tarim Basin in western China during Cretaceous and early Paleogene. Climate modelling and proxy studies suggest that Asian aridification has been governed by westerly moisture modulated by fluctuations of the proto-Paratethys Sea. Transgressive and regressive episodes of the proto-Paratethys Sea have been previously recognized but their timing, extent and depositional environments remain poorly constrained. This hampers understanding of their driving mechanisms (tectonic and/or eustatic) and their contribution to Asian aridification. Here, we present a new chronostratigraphic framework based on biostratigraphy and magnetostratigraphy as well as a detailed palaeoenvironmental analysis for the Paleogene proto-Paratethys Sea incursions in the Tajik and Tarim basins. This enables us to identify the major drivers of marine fluctuations and their potential consequences on Asian aridification. A major regional restriction event, marked by the exceptionally thick (<= 400 m) shelf evaporites is assigned a Danian-Selandian age (ca. 63-59 Ma) in the Aertashi Formation. This is followed by the largest recorded proto-Paratethys Sea incursion with a transgression estimated as early Thanetian (ca. 59-57 Ma) and a regression within the Ypresian (ca. 53-52 Ma), both within the Qimugen Formation. The transgression of the next incursion in the Kalatar and Wulagen formations is now constrained as early Lutetian (ca. 47-46 Ma), whereas its regression in the Bashibulake Formation is constrained as late Lutetian (ca. 41 Ma) and is associated with a drastic increase in both tectonic subsidence and basin infilling. The age of the final and least pronounced sea incursion restricted to the westernmost margin of the Tarim Basin is assigned as Bartonian-Priabonian (ca. 39.7-36.7 Ma). We interpret the long-term westward retreat of the proto-Paratethys Sea starting at ca. 41 Ma to be associated with far-field tectonic effects of the Indo-Asia collision and Pamir/Tibetan plateau uplift. Short-term eustatic sea level transgressions are superimposed on this long-term regression and seem coeval with the transgression events in the other northern Peri-Tethyan sedimentary provinces for the 1st and 2nd sea incursions. However, the 3rd sea incursion is interpreted as related to tectonism. The transgressive and regressive intervals of the proto-Paratethys Sea correlate well with the reported humid and arid phases, respectively in the Qaidam and Xining basins, thus demonstrating the role of the proto-Paratethys Sea as an important moisture source for the Asian interior and its regression as a contributor to Asian aridification. KW - aridification KW - Asia KW - biostratigraphy KW - climate KW - magnetostratigraphy KW - microfossil KW - Paleogene KW - Pamir KW - proto-Paratethys KW - regression KW - Tajik Basin KW - Tarim Basin KW - tectonism KW - westerlies Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1111/bre.12330 SN - 0950-091X SN - 1365-2117 VL - 31 IS - 3 SP - 461 EP - 486 PB - Wiley CY - Hoboken ER - TY - GEN A1 - Kellermann, Patric A1 - Schönberger, Christine A1 - Thieken, Annegret T1 - Large-scale application of the flood damage model RAilway Infrastructure Loss (RAIL) T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - Experience has shown that river floods can significantly hamper the reliability of railway networks and cause extensive structural damage and disruption. As a result, the national railway operator in Austria had to cope with financial losses of more than EUR 100 million due to flooding in recent years. Comprehensive information on potential flood risk hot spots as well as on expected flood damage in Austria is therefore needed for strategic flood risk management. In view of this, the flood damage model RAIL (RAilway Infrastructure Loss) was applied to estimate (1) the expected structural flood damage and (2) the resulting repair costs of railway infrastructure due to a 30-, 100- and 300-year flood in the Austrian Mur River catchment. The results were then used to calculate the expected annual damage of the railway subnetwork and subsequently analysed in terms of their sensitivity to key model assumptions. Additionally, the impact of risk aversion on the estimates was investigated, and the overall results were briefly discussed against the background of climate change and possibly resulting changes in flood risk. The findings indicate that the RAIL model is capable of supporting decision-making in risk management by providing comprehensive risk information on the catchment level. It is furthermore demonstrated that an increased risk aversion of the railway operator has a marked influence on flood damage estimates for the study area and, hence, should be considered with regard to the development of risk management strategies. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 555 KW - climate KW - Europe KW - projections KW - events Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-411915 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 555 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Kleinwächter, Kai ED - Kleinwächter, Kai T1 - Einleitung JF - Klimapolitik International KW - Klimapolitik KW - Klima KW - Durban 2011 KW - Klimakonferenz KW - NGO KW - Entwicklungspolitik KW - climate policy KW - climate KW - Climate Change Conference KW - development policy Y1 - 2012 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-81267 SN - 1868-6222 SN - 1868-6230 SP - 9 EP - 10 PB - Universitätsverlag Potsdam CY - Potsdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Krämer, Raimund A1 - Kleinwächter, Kai ED - Kleinwächter, Kai T1 - Brandenburg ist klimapolitisch gut aufgestellt! BT - Interview mit der Ministerin für Umwelt, Gesundheit und Verbraucherschutz des Landes Brandenburg, Anita Tack JF - Klimapolitik International KW - Klimapolitik KW - Klima KW - Durban 2011 KW - Klimakonferenz KW - NGO KW - Entwicklungspolitik KW - climate policy KW - climate KW - Climate Change Conference KW - development policy Y1 - 2012 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-81285 SN - 1868-6222 SN - 1868-6230 SP - 11 EP - 20 PB - Universitätsverlag Potsdam CY - Potsdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Lauterbach, Stefan A1 - Witt, Roman A1 - Plessen, Birgit A1 - Dulski, Peter A1 - Prasad, Sushma A1 - Mingram, Jens A1 - Gleixner, Gerd A1 - Hettler-Riedel, Sabine A1 - Stebich, Martina A1 - Schnetger, Bernhard A1 - Schwalb, Antje A1 - Schwarz, Anja T1 - Climatic imprint of the mid-latitude Westerlies in the Central Tian Shan of Kyrgyzstan and teleconnections to North Atlantic climate variability during the last 6000 years JF - The Holocene : an interdisciplinary journal focusing on recent environmental change N2 - In general, a moderate drying trend is observed in mid-latitude arid Central Asia since the Mid-Holocene, attributed to the progressively weakening influence of the mid-latitude Westerlies on regional climate. However, as the spatio-temporal pattern of this development and the underlying climatic mechanisms are yet not fully understood, new high-resolution paleoclimate records from this region are needed. Within this study, a sediment core from Lake Son Kol (Central Kyrgyzstan) was investigated using sedimentological, (bio) geochemical, isotopic, and palynological analyses, aiming at reconstructing regional climate development during the last 6000 years. Biogeochemical data, mainly reflecting summer moisture conditions, indicate predominantly wet conditions until 4950 cal. yr BP, succeeded by a pronounced dry interval between 4950 and 3900 cal. yr BP. In the following, a return to wet conditions and a subsequent moderate drying trend until present times are observed. This is consistent with other regional paleoclimate records and likely reflects the gradual Late Holocene diminishment of the amount of summer moisture provided by the mid-latitude Westerlies. However, climate impact of the Westerlies was apparently not only restricted to the summer season but also significant during winter as indicated by recurrent episodes of enhanced allochthonous input through snowmelt, occurring before 6000 cal. yr BP and at 5100-4350, 3450-2850, and 1900-1500 cal. yr BP. The distinct similar to 1500year periodicity of these episodes of increased winter precipitation in Central Kyrgyzstan resembles similar cyclicities observed in paleoclimate records around the North Atlantic, likely indicating a hemispheric-scale climatic teleconnection and an impact of North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) variability in Central Asia. KW - Central Asia KW - climate KW - Holocene KW - lake sediments KW - mid-latitude Westerlies KW - NAO Y1 - 2014 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1177/0959683614534741 SN - 0959-6836 SN - 1477-0911 VL - 24 IS - 8 SP - 970 EP - 984 PB - Sage Publ. CY - London ER - TY - GEN A1 - Lauterbach, Stefan A1 - Witt, Roman A1 - Plessen, Birgit A1 - Dulski, Peter A1 - Prasad, Sushma A1 - Mingram, Jens A1 - Gleixner, Gerd A1 - Hettler-Riedel, Sabine A1 - Stebich, Martina A1 - Schnetger, Bernhard A1 - Schwalb, Antje A1 - Schwarz, Anja T1 - Climatic imprint of the mid-latitude Westerlies in the Central Tian Shan of Kyrgyzstan and teleconnections to North Atlantic climate variability during the last 6000 years N2 - In general, a moderate drying trend is observed in mid-latitude arid Central Asia since the Mid-Holocene, attributed to the progressively weakening influence of the mid-latitude Westerlies on regional climate. However, as the spatio-temporal pattern of this development and the underlying climatic mechanisms are yet not fully understood, new high-resolution paleoclimate records from this region are needed. Within this study, a sediment core from Lake Son Kol (Central Kyrgyzstan) was investigated using sedimentological, (bio) geochemical, isotopic, and palynological analyses, aiming at reconstructing regional climate development during the last 6000 years. Biogeochemical data, mainly reflecting summer moisture conditions, indicate predominantly wet conditions until 4950 cal. yr BP, succeeded by a pronounced dry interval between 4950 and 3900 cal. yr BP. In the following, a return to wet conditions and a subsequent moderate drying trend until present times are observed. This is consistent with other regional paleoclimate records and likely reflects the gradual Late Holocene diminishment of the amount of summer moisture provided by the mid-latitude Westerlies. However, climate impact of the Westerlies was apparently not only restricted to the summer season but also significant during winter as indicated by recurrent episodes of enhanced allochthonous input through snowmelt, occurring before 6000 cal. yr BP and at 5100-4350, 3450-2850, and 1900-1500 cal. yr BP. The distinct similar to 1500year periodicity of these episodes of increased winter precipitation in Central Kyrgyzstan resembles similar cyclicities observed in paleoclimate records around the North Atlantic, likely indicating a hemispheric-scale climatic teleconnection and an impact of North Atlantic Oscillation (NAO) variability in Central Asia. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 408 KW - Central Asia KW - climate KW - Holocene KW - lake sediments KW - mid-latitude Westerlies KW - NAO Y1 - 2017 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-404085 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Lederer, Markus ED - Kleinwächter, Kai T1 - Klimapolitik zwischen Kyoto und Cancún JF - Klimapolitik International N2 - In diesem einleitenden Beitrag des Themenschwerpunktes wird der Hintergrund der internationalen Klimaverhandlungen erläutert und die Ergebnisse des Kopenhagen-Akkords vorgestellt. Angesichts des Scheiterns der Kopenhagener Konferenz muss die zeitnahe Schließung eines rechtlich bindenden, globalen Klimaabkommens als unwahrscheinlich gelten. Die Klimapolitik wird zukünftig verstärkt auf nationalstaatlicher und transnationaler Ebene erfolgen. KW - Klimapolitik KW - Klima KW - Durban 2011 KW - Klimakonferenz KW - NGO KW - Entwicklungspolitik KW - climate policy KW - climate KW - Climate Change Conference KW - development policy Y1 - 2012 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-81364 SN - 1868-6222 SN - 1868-6230 SP - 83 EP - 92 PB - Universitätsverlag Potsdam CY - Potsdam ER - TY - GEN A1 - Lenk, Stephan A1 - Rybski, Diego A1 - Heidrich, Oliver A1 - Dawson, Richard J. A1 - Kropp, Jürgen T1 - Costs of sea dikes BT - Regressions and uncertainty estimates T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - Failure to consider the costs of adaptation strategies can be seen by decision makers as a barrier to implementing coastal protection measures. In order to validate adaptation strategies to sea-level rise in the form of coastal protection, a consistent and repeatable assessment of the costs is necessary. This paper significantly extends current knowledge on cost estimates by developing - and implementing using real coastal dike data - probabilistic functions of dike costs. Data from Canada and the Netherlands are analysed and related to published studies from the US, UK, and Vietnam in order to provide a reproducible estimate of typical sea dike costs and their uncertainty. We plot the costs divided by dike length as a function of height and test four different regression models. Our analysis shows that a linear function without intercept is sufficient to model the costs, i.e. fixed costs and higher-order contributions such as that due to the volume of core fill material are less significant. We also characterise the spread around the regression models which represents an uncertainty stemming from factors beyond dike length and height. Drawing an analogy with project cost overruns, we employ log-normal distributions and calculate that the range between 3x and x/3 contains 95% of the data, where x represents the corresponding regression value. We compare our estimates with previously published unit costs for other countries. We note that the unit costs depend not only on the country and land use (urban/non-urban) of the sites where the dikes are being constructed but also on characteristics included in the costs, e.g. property acquisition, utility relocation, and project management. This paper gives decision makers an order of magnitude on the protection costs, which can help to remove potential barriers to develop-ing adaptation strategies. Although the focus of this research is sea dikes, our approach is applicable and transferable to other adaptation measures. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 638 KW - coastal flood damage KW - level rise KW - climate KW - infrastructure KW - protection KW - Netherlands KW - strategies KW - overruns KW - hazards KW - losses Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-418401 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 638 SP - 765 EP - 779 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Licht, Alexis A1 - Dupont-Nivet, Guillaume A1 - Pullen, Alex A1 - Kapp, Paul A1 - Abels, Hemmo A. A1 - Lai, Zulong A1 - Guo, ZhaoJie A1 - Abell, Jordan A1 - Giesler, Dominique T1 - Resilience of the Asian atmospheric circulation shown by paleogene dust provenance T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - The onset of modern central Asian atmospheric circulation is traditionally linked to the interplay of surface uplift of the Mongolian and Tibetan-Himalayan orogens, retreat of the Paratethys sea from central Asia and Cenozoic global cooling. Although the role of these players has not yet been unravelled, the vast dust deposits of central China support the presence of arid conditions and modern atmospheric pathways for the last 25 million years (Myr). Here, we present provenance data from older (42-33 Myr) dust deposits, at a time when the Tibetan Plateau was less developed, the Paratethys sea still present in central Asia and atmospheric pCO(2) much higher. Our results show that dust sources and near-surface atmospheric circulation have changed little since at least 42 Myr. Our findings indicate that the locus of central Asian high pressures and concurrent aridity is a resilient feature only modulated by mountain building, global cooling and sea retreat. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 1114 KW - Chinese Loess Plateau KW - last glacial maximum KW - Tibetan Plateau KW - Yellow-River KW - climate KW - basin KW - evolution KW - ardification KW - monsoons KW - desert Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-436381 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 1114 ER - TY - RPRT A1 - Ludolph, Lars A1 - Šedová, Barbora T1 - Global food prices, local weather and migration in Sub-Saharan Africa T2 - CEPA Discussion Papers N2 - In this paper, we study the effect of exogenous global crop price changes on migration from agricultural and non-agricultural households in Sub-Saharan Africa. We show that, similar to the effect of positive local weather shocks, the effect of a locally-relevant global crop price increase on household out-migration depends on the initial household wealth. Higher international producer prices relax the budget constraint of poor agricultural households and facilitate migration. The order of magnitude of a standardized price effect is approx. one third of the standardized effect of a local weather shock. Unlike positive weather shocks, which mostly facilitate internal rural-urban migration, positive income shocks through rising producer prices only increase migration to neighboring African countries, likely due to the simultaneous decrease in real income in nearby urban areas. Finally, we show that while higher producer prices induce conflict, conflict does not play a role for the household decision to send a member as a labor migrant. T3 - CEPA Discussion Papers - 26 KW - labour migration KW - food prices KW - climate KW - Africa Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-494946 SN - 2628-653X IS - 26 ER - TY - THES A1 - Macaulay, Euan Angus T1 - The orogenic evolution of the Central Kyrgyz Tien Shan T1 - Haben die letzten kaenozoischen klimatischen Verӓnderungen zu erhӧhten Abtragungen im kirgisischen Tien Shan geführt? N2 - Intra-continental mountain belts typically form as a result of tectonic forces associated with distant plate collisions. In general, each mountain belt has a distinctive morphology and orogenic evolution that is highly dependent on the unique distribution and geometries of inherited structures and other crustal weaknesses. In this thesis, I have investigated the complex and irregular Cenozoic orogenic evolution of the Central Kyrgyz Tien Shan in Central Asia, which is presently one of the most active intra-continental mountain belts in the world. This work involved combining a broad array of datasets, including thermochronologic, magnetostratigraphic, sediment provenance and stable isotope data, to identify and date various changes in tectonic deformation, climate and surface processes. Many of these changes are linked and can ultimately be related to regional-scale processes that altered the orogenic evolution of the Central Kyrgyz Tien Shan. The Central Kyrgyz Tien Shan contains a sub-parallel series of structures that were reactivated in the late Cenozoic in response to the tectonic forces associated with the distant India-Eurasia collision. Over time, slip on the various reactivated structures created the succession of mountain ranges and intermontane basins which characterises the modern morphology of the region. In this thesis, new quantitative constraints on the exhumation histories of several mountain ranges have been obtained by using low temperature thermochronological data from 95 samples (zircon (U-Th)/He, apatite fission track and (U-Th)/He). Time-temperature histories derived by modelling the thermochronologic data of individual samples identify at least two stages of Cenozoic cooling in most of the region’s mountain ranges: (1) initially low cooling rates (<1°C/Myr) during the tectonic quiescent period and (2) increased cooling in the late Cenozoic, which occurred diachronously and with variable magnitude in different ranges. This second cooling stage is interpreted to represent increased erosion caused by active deformation, and in many of the sampled mountain ranges, provides the first available constraints on the timing of late Cenozoic deformation. New constraints on the timing of deformation have also been derived from the sedimentary record of intermontane basins. In the intermontane Issyk Kul basin, new magnetostratigraphic data from two sedimentary sections suggests that deposition of the first Cenozoic syn-tectonic sediments commenced at ~26 Ma. Zircon U-Pb provenance data, paleocurrent and conglomerate clast analysis reveals that these sediments were sourced from the Terskey Range to the south of the basin, suggesting that the onset of the late Cenozoic deformation occurred >26 Ma in that particular range. Elsewhere, growth strata relationships are used to identify syn-tecotnic deposition and constrain the timing of nearby deformation. Collectively, these new constraints obtained from thermochronologic and sedimentary data have allowed me to infer the spatiotemporal distribution of deformation in a transect through the Central Kyrgyz Tien Shan, and determine the order in which mountain ranges started deforming. These data suggest that deformation began in a few widely-spaced mountain ranges in the late Oligocene and early Miocene. Typically, these earlier mountain ranges are bounded on at least one side by a reactivated structure, which probably corresponds to the frictionally weakest and most suitably orientated inherited structures for accommodating the roughly north-south directed horizontal crustal shortening of the late Cenozoic. Moreover, tectonically-induced rock uplift in the Terskey Range, following the reactivation of the bounding structure before 26 Ma, likely caused significant surface uplift across the range, which in turn lead to enhanced orographic precipitation. These wetter conditions have been inferred from stable isotope data collected in the two magnetostratigraphically-dated sections in the Issyk Kul basin. Subsequently, in the late Miocene (~12‒5 Ma), more mountain ranges and inherited structures appear to have started actively deforming. Importantly, the onset of deformation at these locations in the late Miocene coincides with an increase in exhumation of ranges that had started deforming earlier in the late Oligocene‒early Miocene. Based on this observation, I have suggested that there must have been an overall increase in the rate of horizontal crustal shortening across the Central Kyrgyz Tien Shan, which likely relates to regional tectonic changes that affected much of Central Asia. Many of the mountain ranges that started deforming in the late Miocene were associated with out-of-sequence tectonic reactivation and initiation, which lead to the partitioning of larger intermontane basins. Moreover, within most of the intermontane basins in the Central Kyrgyz Tien Shan, this inferred late Miocene increase in horizontal crustal shortening occurs roughly at the same time as an increase in sedimentation rates and a significant change sediment composition. Therefore, I have suggested that the overall magnitude of deformational processes increased in the late Miocene, promoting more flexural subsidence in the intermontane basins of the Central Kyrgyz Tien Shan. N2 - Intrakontinentale Gebirge sind typischerweise das Ergebnis tektonischer Kräfte, die auf entfernte Plattenkollisionen beruhen. Im Allgemeinen hat jedes Gebirge sein charakteristisches morphologisches Erscheinungsbild und seine eigene und einzigartige Entstehungsgeschichte, die zum Großteil von der Verteilung und der Geometrie vorgeprägter Strukturen und anderer Schwächzonen innerhalb der Erdkruste abhängt. In der vorliegenden Arbeit habe ich die komplexe känozoische Gebirgsbildung des zentral-kirgisischen Tian Shan Gebirges, eines der weltweit aktivsten intrakontinentalen Gebirge, untersucht. Diese Arbeit kombiniert verschiedenste Datensätze, darunter thermochronologische und magnetostratigraphische Daten, Sedimentprovenienzen und stabile Isotopenzusammensetzungen, um Änderungen der tektonischen Deformationsprozesse sowie Klima- und Oberflächenveränderungen zu erkennen und gegebenenfalls zu datieren. Viele dieser Veränderungen sind eng miteinander verknüpft und können letztendlich auf regionale Prozesse zurückgeführt werden, die die Entwicklung des zentral-kirgisischen Tian Shan beeinflussen. Das Tian Shan Gebirge besteht aus einer subparallelen Folge einzelner Gebirgsrücken und deren Strukturen, welche im späten Känozoikum als Reaktion auf die entfernt stattfindende Indo-Eurasische Kollision reaktiviert wurden. Im Laufe der Zeit haben Deformation und Versatz entlang dieser reaktivierten Strukturen eine Abfolge von individuellen Gebirgszügen und dazwischen liegenden Sedimentbecken geschaffen deren Morphologie prägend für die heutige Region ist. In dieser Arbeit wurden neue quantitative Altersbestimmungen zur Exhumationsgeschichte mehrerer Gebirgszüge durch thermochronologische Auswertungen an 95 Gesteinsproben durchgeführt (ZHe, AFT und AHe). Die aus Modellierungen einzelner thermochronologischer Datensätze gewonnenen Temperaturgeschichten lassen für die meisten untersuchten Gebirgszüge mindestens zwei Abschnitte känozoischer Abkühlung erkennen: (1) anfänglich niedrige Abkühlungsraten (<1°C/Myr) während einer tektonische Ruhephase und (2) stärkere Abkühlung im späten Känozoikum, die in den verschiedenen Gebirgsketten diachron und mit unterschiedlicher Intensität einsetzt. Diese zweite Abkühlungsphase kann durch einen Anstieg der Erosionsraten durch aktive Deformation interpretiert werden und stellt für viele der untersuchten Gebirgszüge die erste verfügbare Alterabschätzung spätkänozoischer Deformation dar. Neue Deformationsalter wurden weiterhin aus den Sedimenten intermontaner Becken gewonnen. Im intermontanen Issyk Kul Becken lassen neue magnetostratigraphische Daten zweier Sedimentabschnitte vermuten, dass die Ablagerung der ersten syntektonischen Sedimente im Känozoikum um ca. 26 Ma begann. Weiterhin zeigen Zirkon-Provenienzen, Paläoströmungsrichtungen sowie Klastenanalysen konglomeratischer Sedimente, dass diese Sedimente aus der Terskey Range südlich des Beckens stammen, was vermuten lässt, dass der Beginn der spätkänozoischen Deformation in diesem Teil des Gebirgszuges älter als 26 Ma ist. In anderen Bereichen wurden sedimentäre Wachstumsstrukturen zur Identifikation syntektonischer Ablagerung herangezogen, um somit den Zeitpunkt nahe gelegener Deformation zu bestimmen. Zusammengenommen haben meine Beobachtungen und Auswertungen ermöglicht, die räumlichen und zeitlichen Deformationsmuster quer durch das zentral-kirgisischen Tian Shan Gebirge zu erschließen um eine zeitliche Abfolge in der Entstehung und Entwicklung einzelner Gebirgszüge zu entwickeln. Meine Daten lassen vermuten, dass die Deformation in einigen wenigen, weit auseinander liegenden Bergketten im Spätoligozän bis Frühmiozän begann. Typischerweise sind diese frühen Gebirgsketten auf mindestens einer Seite an eine reaktivierte Struktur gebunden. Diese sind die wahrscheinlich schwächsten oder am besten orientierten Strukturen, um die annähernd Nord-Süd gerichtete Einengung im späten Känozoikum aufzunehmen. Darüber hinaus ist es sehr wahrscheinlich, dass die tektonische Gesteinshebung innerhalb der Terskey Range, entlang reaktivierter Störungen vor 26 Ma, eine signifikante Topographiezunahme zur Folge hatte. Dies führte höchstwahrscheinlich zur Ausbildung einer orographischen Barriere und der damit verbundenen Verstärkung der Regenfälle im Becken nördlich des Rückens. Diese Bedingungen konnten mithilfe stabiler Isotopenzusammensetzungen entlang der zwei magnetostratigraphisch datierten Sedimentprofile im Issyk Kul Becken nachgewiesen werden. Während des späten Miozäns (~12‒5 Ma) begann zeitnah die aktive Deformation und Heraushebung mehrerer neuer Gebirgsrücken. Wichtig dabei erscheint, dass der Zeitpunkt dieser spätmiozänen Deformation mit einem Exhumationsschub derer Gebirgszüge zusammenfällt, die schon viel früher (Spätoligozän bis Frühmiozän) mit der Deformation begannen. Aufgrund dieser Beobachtungen habe ich vorgeschlagen, dass es einen generellen Anstieg der Einengungsraten im Tian Shan gegeben haben muss, welcher auf regionale tektonische Veränderungen zurückzuführen ist die große Teile Zentralasiens betrafen. Viele der Gebirgsrücken, die initial im späten Miozän herausgehoben wurden, sind durch unsystematische, tektonische Prozesse der Reaktivierung und Initialisierung von Strukturen (out-of-sequence) entstanden, die zur Teilung vormals großer, zusammenhängender Sedimentbecken führte. Darüber hinaus weisen die meisten intermontanen Becken im zentral-kirgisischen Tian Shan, in etwa zur Zeit der beobachteten, verstärkten Einengung im Spätmiozän, ebenfalls erhöhte Sedimentationsraten und eine signifikante Änderung der Sedimentzusammensetzung. Daher vermute ich, dass die allgemeine Intensität der Deformation im Spätmiozän zunahm, was eine tektonische Absenkung (flexural subsidence) in den intermontane Becken des zentral-kirgisischen Tian Shan Gebirges zur Folge hatte. KW - orogenic evolution KW - thermochronology KW - Tien Shan KW - tectonics KW - climate Y1 - 2013 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-68985 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Margirier, Audrey A1 - Braun, Jean A1 - Gautheron, Cecile A1 - Carcaillet, Julien A1 - Schwartz, Stephane A1 - Jamme, Rosella Pinna A1 - Stanley, Jessica T1 - Climate control on Early Cenozoic denudation of the Namibian margin as deduced from new thermochronological constraints JF - Earth & planetary science letters N2 - The processes that control long term landscape evolution in continental interiors and, in particular, along passive margins such as in southern Africa, are still the subject of much debate (e.g. Braun, 2018). Although today the Namibian margin is characterized by an arid climate, it has experienced climatic fluctuations during the Cenozoic and, yet, to date no study has documented the potential role of climate on its erosion history. In western Namibia, the Brandberg Massif, an erosional remnant or inselberg, provides a good opportunity to document the Cenozoic denudation history of the margin using the relationship between rock cooling or exhumation ages and their elevation. Here we provide new apatite (UThSm)/He dates on the Brandberg Inselberg that range from 151 +/- 12 to 30 +/- 2 Ma. Combined with existing apatite fission track data, they yield new constraints on the denudation history of the margin. These data document two main cooling phases since continental break-up 130 Myr ago, a rapid one (similar to 10 degrees C/Myr) following break-up and a slower one (similar to 12 degrees C/Myr) between 65 and 35 Ma. We interpret them respectively to be related to escarpment erosion following rifting and continental break-up and as a phase of enhanced denudation during the Early Eocene Climatic Optimum. We propose that during the Early Eocene Climatic Optimum chemical weathering was important and contributed significantly to the denudation of the Namibian margin and the formation of a pediplain around the Brandberg and enhanced valley incision within the massif. Additionally, aridification of the region since 35 Ma has resulted in negligible denudation rates since that time. (C) 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. KW - climate KW - Early Eocene Climatic Optimum KW - apatite (U-Th-Sm)/He thermochronology KW - denudation KW - weathering KW - Namibian passive margin Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2019.115779 SN - 0012-821X SN - 1385-013X VL - 527 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - GEN A1 - Molnos, Sonja A1 - Mamdouh, Tarek A1 - Petri, Stefan A1 - Nocke, Thomas A1 - Weinkauf, Tino A1 - Coumou, Dim T1 - A network-based detection scheme for the jet stream core T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - The polar and subtropical jet streams are strong upper-level winds with a crucial influence on weather throughout the Northern Hemisphere midlatitudes. In particular, the polar jet is located between cold arctic air to the north and warmer subtropical air to the south. Strongly meandering states therefore often lead to extreme surface weather. Some algorithms exist which can detect the 2-D (latitude and longitude) jets' core around the hemisphere, but all of them use a minimal threshold to determine the subtropical and polar jet stream. This is particularly problematic for the polar jet stream, whose wind velocities can change rapidly from very weak to very high values and vice versa. We develop a network-based scheme using Dijkstra's shortest-path algorithm to detect the polar and subtropical jet stream core. This algorithm not only considers the commonly used wind strength for core detection but also takes wind direction and climatological latitudinal position into account. Furthermore, it distinguishes between polar and subtropical jet, and between separate and merged jet states. The parameter values of the detection scheme are optimized using simulated annealing and a skill function that accounts for the zonal-mean jet stream position (Rikus, 2015). After the successful optimization process, we apply our scheme to reanalysis data covering 1979-2015 and calculate seasonal-mean probabilistic maps and trends in wind strength and position of jet streams. We present longitudinally defined probability distributions of the positions for both jets for all on the Northern Hemisphere seasons. This shows that winter is characterized by two well-separated jets over Europe and Asia (ca. 20 degrees W to 140 degrees E). In contrast, summer normally has a single merged jet over the western hemisphere but can have both merged and separated jet states in the eastern hemisphere. With this algorithm it is possible to investigate the position of the jets' cores around the hemisphere and it is therefore very suitable to analyze jet stream patterns in observations and models, enabling more advanced model-validation. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 625 KW - Southern-Hemisphere KW - variability KW - weather KW - driven KW - amplification KW - circulation KW - reanalysis KW - extremes KW - climate KW - summer Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-419099 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 625 SP - 75 EP - 89 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Müller, Melanie ED - Kleinwächter, Kai T1 - Die Zivilgesellschaft in der internationalen Klimapolitik BT - Zwischen Kooperation und Instrumentalisierung JF - Klimapolitik International N2 - Die Zivilgesellschaft hat dazu beigetragen, dass die Klimakonferenz in Kopenhagen zu einem Medienereignis wurde. Fernab großer Demonstrationen haben Nichtregierungsorganisationen (NRO) seit Jahren einen guten Zugang zu den internationalen Klimaverhandlungen. Am Beispiel von Chile wird gezeigt, wie Nichtregierungsorganisationen durch professionellen Lobbyismus ihre Positionen in politische Prozesse einspeisen. Sie befinden sich in einem Spannungsfeld von Kooperation und Instrumentalisierung durch politische Entscheidungsträger. KW - Klimapolitik KW - Klima KW - Durban 2011 KW - Klimakonferenz KW - NGO KW - Entwicklungspolitik KW - climate policy KW - climate KW - Climate Change Conference KW - development policy Y1 - 2012 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-81331 SN - 1868-6222 SN - 1868-6230 SP - 59 EP - 66 PB - Universitätsverlag Potsdam CY - Potsdam ER - TY - GEN A1 - Münch, Thomas A1 - Kipfstuhl, Sepp A1 - Freitag, Johannes A1 - Meyer, Hanno A1 - Laepple, Thomas T1 - Constraints on post-depositional isotope modifications in East Antarctic firn from analysing temporal changes of isotope profiles T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - The isotopic composition of water in ice sheets is extensively used to infer past climate changes. In low-accumulation regions their interpretation is, however, challenged by poorly constrained effects that may influence the initial isotope signal during and after deposition of the snow. This is reflected in snow-pit isotope data from Kohnen Station, Antarctica, which exhibit a seasonal cycle but also strong interannual variations that contradict local temperature observations. These inconsistencies persist even after averaging many profiles and are thus not explained by local stratigraphic noise. Previous studies have suggested that post-depositional processes may significantly influence the isotopic composition of East Antarctic firn. Here, we investigate the importance of post-depositional processes within the open-porous firn (greater than or similar to 10 cm depth) at Kohnen Station by separating spatial from temporal variability. To this end, we analyse 22 isotope profiles obtained from two snow trenches and examine the temporal isotope modifications by comparing the new data with published trench data extracted 2 years earlier. The initial isotope profiles undergo changes over time due to downward advection, firn diffusion and densification in magnitudes consistent with independent estimates. Beyond that, we find further modifications of the original isotope record to be unlikely or small in magnitude (<< 1 parts per thousand RMSD). These results show that the discrepancy between local temperatures and isotopes most likely originates from spatially coherent processes prior to or during deposition, such as precipitation intermittency or systematic isotope modifications acting on drifting or loose surface snow. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 662 KW - Dronning Maud Land KW - near-surface snow KW - Ice core records KW - Kohnen Station KW - stable isotopes KW - water isotopes KW - polar firn KW - climate KW - diffusion KW - precipitation Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-418763 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 662 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Pauly, Maren A1 - Helle, Gerhard A1 - Miramont, Cécile A1 - Büntgen, Ulf A1 - Treydte, Kerstin A1 - Reinig, Frederick A1 - Guibal, Frédéric A1 - Sivan, Olivier A1 - Heinrich, Ingo A1 - Riedel, Frank A1 - Kromer, Bernd A1 - Balanzategui, Daniel A1 - Wacker, Lukas A1 - Sookdeo, Adam Sookdeo A1 - Brauer, Achim T1 - Subfossil trees suggest enhanced Mediterranean hydroclimate variability at the onset of the Younger Dryas T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - Nearly 13,000 years ago, the warming trend into the Holocene was sharply interrupted by a reversal to near glacial conditions. Climatic causes and ecological consequences of the Younger Dryas (YD) have been extensively studied, however proxy archives from the Mediterranean basin capturing this period are scarce and do not provide annual resolution. Here, we report a hydroclimatic reconstruction from stable isotopes (delta O-18, delta C-13) in subfossil pines from southern France. Growing before and during the transition period into the YD (12 900-12 600 cal BP), the trees provide an annually resolved, continuous sequence of atmospheric change. Isotopic signature of tree sourcewater (delta O-18(sw)) and estimates of relative air humidity were reconstructed as a proxy for variations in air mass origin and precipitation regime. We find a distinct increase in inter-annual variability of sourcewater isotopes (delta O-18(sw)), with three major downturn phases of increasing magnitude beginning at 12 740 cal BP. The observed variation most likely results from an amplified intensity of North Atlantic (low delta O-18(sw)) versus Mediterranean (high delta O-18(sw)) precipitation. This marked pattern of climate variability is not seen in records from higher latitudes and is likely a consequence of atmospheric circulation oscillations at the margin of the southward moving polar front. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 1135 KW - annually laminated sediments KW - lake Meerfelder Maar KW - isotopic composition KW - oxygen isotope KW - climate KW - cellulose KW - radiocarbon KW - temperature KW - record KW - model Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-459169 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 1135 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Prahl, Boris F. A1 - Rybski, Diego A1 - Burghoff, Olaf A1 - Kropp, Jürgen T1 - Comparison of storm damage functions and their performance T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - Winter storms are the most costly natural hazard for European residential property. We compare four distinct storm damage functions with respect to their forecast accuracy and variability, with particular regard to the most severe winter storms. The analysis focuses on daily loss estimates under differing spatial aggregation, ranging from district to country level. We discuss the broad and heavily skewed distribution of insured losses posing difficulties for both the calibration and the evaluation of damage functions. From theoretical considerations, we provide a synthesis between the frequently discussed cubic wind–damage relationship and recent studies that report much steeper damage functions for European winter storms. The performance of the storm loss models is evaluated for two sources of wind gust data, direct observations by the German Weather Service and ERA-Interim reanalysis data. While the choice of gust data has little impact on the evaluation of German storm loss, spatially resolved coefficients of variation reveal dependence between model and data choice. The comparison shows that the probabilistic models by Heneka et al. (2006) and Prahl et al. (2012) both provide accurate loss predictions for moderate to extreme losses, with generally small coefficients of variation. We favour the latter model in terms of model applicability. Application of the versatile deterministic model by Klawa and Ulbrich (2003) should be restricted to extreme loss, for which it shows the least bias and errors comparable to the probabilistic model by Prahl et al. (2012). T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 492 KW - integrated kinetic-energy KW - residential structures KW - risk-assessment KW - wind speeds KW - data series KW - model KW - buildings KW - climate KW - losses KW - homogenization Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-408119 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 492 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rohrmann, Alexander A1 - Heermance, Richard A1 - Kapp, Paul A1 - Cai, Fulong T1 - Wind as the primary driver of erosion in the Qaidam Basin, China JF - Earth & planetary science letters N2 - Deserts are a major source of loess and may undergo substantial wind-erosion as evidenced by yardang fields, deflation pans, and wind-scoured bedrock landscapes. However, there are few quantitative estimates of bedrock removal by wind abrasion and deflation. Here, we report wind-erosion rates in the western Qaidam Basin in central China based on measurements of cosmogenic Be-10 in exhumed Miocene sedimentary bedrock. Sedimentary bedrock erosion rates range from 0.05 to 0.4 mm/yr, although the majority of measurements cluster at 0.125 +/- 0.05 mm/yr. These results, combined with previous work, indicate that strong winds, hyper-aridity, exposure of friable Neogene strata, and ongoing rock deformation and uplift in the western Qaidam Basin have created an environment where wind, instead of water, is the dominant agent of erosion and sediment transport. Its geographic location (upwind) combined with volumetric estimates suggest that the Qaidam Basin is a major source (up to 50%) of dust to the Chinese Loess Plateau to the east. The cosmogenically derived wind erosion rates are within the range of erosion rates determined from glacial and fluvial dominated landscapes worldwide, exemplifying the effectiveness of wind to erode and transport significant quantities of bedrock. KW - wind KW - cosmogenic nuclide-dating KW - earth surface processes KW - Chinese Loess Plateau KW - climate KW - Asia Y1 - 2013 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2013.03.011 SN - 0012-821X VL - 374 SP - 1 EP - 10 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Röttgen, Norbert ED - Kleinwächter, Kai T1 - Regierungserklärung zu den Ergebnissen der Klimakonferenz in Durban BT - Bundesminister für Umwelt, Naturschutz und Reaktorsicherheit, Dr. Norbert Röttgen, am 16. Dezember 2011 (Auszüge) JF - Klimapolitik International KW - Klimapolitik KW - Klima KW - Durban 2011 KW - Klimakonferenz KW - NGO KW - Entwicklungspolitik KW - climate policy KW - climate KW - Climate Change Conference KW - development policy Y1 - 2012 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-81376 SN - 1868-6222 SN - 1868-6230 SP - 93 EP - 100 PB - Universitätsverlag Potsdam CY - Potsdam ER - TY - GEN A1 - Schewe, Jacob A1 - Levermann, Anders T1 - Non-linear intensification of Sahel rainfall as a possible dynamic response to future warming T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - Projections of the response of Sahel rainfall to future global warming diverge significantly. Meanwhile, paleoclimatic records suggest that Sahel rainfall is capable of abrupt transitions in response to gradual forcing. Here we present climate modeling evidence for the possibility of an abrupt intensification of Sahel rainfall under future climate change. Analyzing 30 coupled global climate model simulations, we identify seven models where central Sahel rainfall increases by 40 to 300% over the 21st century, owing to a northward expansion of the West African monsoon domain. Rainfall in these models is non-linearly related to sea surface temperature (SST) in the tropical Atlantic and Mediterranean moisture source regions, intensifying abruptly beyond a certain SST warming level. We argue that this behavior is consistent with a self-amplifying dynamic-thermodynamical feedback, implying that the gradual increase in oceanic moisture availability under warming could trigger a sudden intensification of monsoon rainfall far inland of today's core monsoon region. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 630 KW - moisture-advection feedback KW - abrupt monsoon transitions KW - West African monsoon KW - CMIP5 KW - Holocene KW - climate KW - ocean KW - jet Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-419114 IS - 630 SP - 495 EP - 505 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schröder, Miriam ED - Kleinwächter, Kai T1 - China und Indien BT - Die neuen Spieler am Tisch JF - Klimapolitik International N2 - Der Artikel analysiert die neue Rolle aufsteigender Schwellenländer in den internationalen Klimaverhandlungen am Beispiel Chinas und Indiens. Die Ablehnung verbindlicher Reduktionsziele für Treibhausgase wurde in Kopenhagen als Blockadepolitik beider Länder gewertet. China und Indien können sich in ihrer Position behaupten, da ihr gestiegenes Gewicht in der multipolaren Weltordnung und die Untätigkeit führender Industrieländer ihre Verhandlungsposition stärkt. Die Autorin diskutiert Kooperationsmöglichkeiten auf subnationaler Ebene, die die Blockadeposition nationaler Regierungen umgehen können. KW - Klimapolitik KW - Klima KW - Durban 2011 KW - Klimakonferenz KW - NGO KW - Entwicklungspolitik KW - climate policy KW - climate KW - Climate Change Conference KW - development policy Y1 - 2012 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-81311 SN - 1868-6222 SN - 1868-6230 SP - 41 EP - 49 PB - Universitätsverlag Potsdam CY - Potsdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schunz, Simon ED - Kleinwächter, Kai T1 - Gescheiterte Klimapolitik? BT - Weltpolitik nach Kopenhagen JF - Klimapolitik International N2 - Der Kopenhagener Klimagipfel 2009 ist mit Spannung erwartet worden. Erreicht wurde lediglich ein Minimalkonsens. Der Autor liefert eine akteurszentrierte Deutung des Kopenhagener Abkommens und stellt die Frage nach dem Präzedenzcharakter der Verhandlungen: Handelte es sich um ein einmaliges Versagen multilateraler Diplomatie oder um einen Vorgeschmack auf die weltpolitische Routine des 21. Jahrhunderts? KW - Klimapolitik KW - Klima KW - Durban 2011 KW - Klimakonferenz KW - NGO KW - Entwicklungspolitik KW - climate policy KW - climate KW - Climate Change Conference KW - development policy Y1 - 2012 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-81347 SN - 1868-6222 SN - 1868-6230 SP - 67 EP - 72 PB - Universitätsverlag Potsdam CY - Potsdam ER - TY - GEN A1 - Seibert, Mathias A1 - Merz, Bruno A1 - Apel, Heiko T1 - Seasonal forecasting of hydrological drought in the Limpopo Basin BT - a comparison of statistical methods T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - The Limpopo Basin in southern Africa is prone to droughts which affect the livelihood of millions of people in South Africa, Botswana, Zimbabwe and Mozambique. Seasonal drought early warning is thus vital for the whole region. In this study, the predictability of hydrological droughts during the main runoff period from December to May is assessed using statistical approaches. Three methods (multiple linear models, artificial neural networks, random forest regression trees) are compared in terms of their ability to forecast streamflow with up to 12 months of lead time. The following four main findings result from the study. 1. There are stations in the basin at which standardised streamflow is predictable with lead times up to 12 months. The results show high inter-station differences of forecast skill but reach a coefficient of determination as high as 0.73 (cross validated). 2. A large range of potential predictors is considered in this study, comprising well-established climate indices, customised teleconnection indices derived from sea surface temperatures and antecedent streamflow as a proxy of catchment conditions. El Nino and customised indices, representing sea surface temperature in the Atlantic and Indian oceans, prove to be important teleconnection predictors for the region. Antecedent streamflow is a strong predictor in small catchments (with median 42% explained variance), whereas teleconnections exert a stronger influence in large catchments. 3. Multiple linear models show the best forecast skill in this study and the greatest robustness compared to artificial neural networks and random forest regression trees, despite their capabilities to represent nonlinear relationships. 4. Employed in early warning, the models can be used to forecast a specific drought level. Even if the coefficient of determination is low, the forecast models have a skill better than a climatological forecast, which is shown by analysis of receiver operating characteristics (ROCs). Seasonal statistical forecasts in the Limpopo show promising results, and thus it is recommended to employ them as complementary to existing forecasts in order to strengthen preparedness for droughts. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 626 KW - sea-surface temperature KW - southern Africa KW - neural-network KW - summer rainfall KW - Atlantic-Ocean KW - river-basin KW - predictability KW - variability KW - prediction KW - climate Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-418442 IS - 626 SP - 1611 EP - 1629 ER -