TY - JOUR A1 - Macaulay, Euan A. A1 - Sobel, Edward A1 - Mikolaichuk, Alexander A1 - Landgraf, Angela A1 - Kohn, Barry A1 - Stuart, Finlay T1 - Thermochronologic insight into late Cenozoic deformation in the basement-cored Terskey Range, Kyrgyz Tien Shan JF - Tectonics N2 - Basement-cored ranges formed by reverse faulting within intracontinental mountain belts are often composed of poly-deformed lithologies. Geological data capable of constraining the timing, magnitude, and distribution of the most recent deformational phase are usually missing in such ranges. In this paper, we present new low temperature thermochronological and geological data from a transect through the basement-cored Terskey Range, located in the Kyrgyz Tien Shan. Using these data, we are able to investigate the range's late Cenozoic deformation for the first time. Displacements on reactivated faults are constrained and deformation of thermochronologically derived structural markers is assessed. These structural markers postdate the earlier deformational phases, providing the only record of Cenozoic deformation and of the reactivation of structures within the Terskey Range. Overall, these structural markers have a southern inclination, interpreted to reflect the decreasing inclination of the reverse fault bounding the Terskey Range. Our thermochronological data are also used to investigate spatial and temporal variations in the exhumation of the Terskey Range, identifying a three-stage Cenozoic exhumation history: (1) virtually no exhumation in the Paleogene, (2) increase to slightly higher exhumation rates at similar to 26-20Ma, and (3) significant increase in exhumation starting at similar to 10Ma. KW - Thermochronology KW - Basement-cored ranges KW - Tien Shan KW - Structural geology Y1 - 2013 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/tect.20040 SN - 0278-7407 VL - 32 IS - 3 SP - 487 EP - 500 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ballato, Paolo A1 - Landgraf, Angela A1 - Schildgen, Taylor F. A1 - Stockli, Daniel F. A1 - Fox, Matthew A1 - Ghassemi, Mohammad R. A1 - Kirby, Eric A1 - Strecker, Manfred T1 - The growth of a mountain belt forced by base-level fall: Tectonics and surface processes during the evolution of the Alborz Mountains, N Iran JF - Earth & planetary science letters N2 - The idea that climatically modulated erosion may impact orogenic processes has challenged geoscientists for decades. Although modeling studies and physical calculations have provided a solid theoretical basis supporting this interaction, to date, field-based work has produced inconclusive results. The central-western Alborz Mountains in the northern sectors of the Arabia-Eurasia collision zone constitute a promising area to explore these potential feedbacks. This region is characterized by asymmetric precipitation superimposed on an orogen with a history of spatiotemporal changes in exhumation rates, deformation patterns, and prolonged, km-scale base-level changes. Our analysis suggests that despite the existence of a strong climatic gradient at least since 17.5 Ma, the early orogenic evolution (from similar to 36 to 9-6 Ma) was characterized by decoupled orographic precipitation and tectonics. In particular, faster exhumation and sedimentation along the more arid southern orogenic flank point to a north-directed accretionary flux and underthrusting of Central Iran. Conversely, from 6 to 3 Ma, erosion rates along the northern orogenic flank became higher than those in the south, where they dropped to minimum values. This change occurred during a similar to 3-Myr-long, km-scale base-level lowering event in the Caspian Sea. We speculate that mass redistribution processes along the northern flank of the Alborz and presumably across all mountain belts adjacent to the South Caspian Basin and more stable areas of the Eurasian plate increased the sediment load in the basin and ultimately led to the underthrusting of the Caspian Basin beneath the Alborz Mountains. This underthrusting in turn triggered a new phase of northward orogenic expansion, transformed the wetter northern flank into a new pro-wedge, and led to the establishment of apparent steady-state conditions along the northern orogenic flank (i.e., rock uplift equal to erosion rates). Conversely, the southern mountain front became the retro-wedge and experienced limited tectonic activity. These observations overall raise the possibility that mass-distribution processes during a pronounced erosion phase driven by base-level changes may have contributed to the inferred regional plate-tectonic reorganization of the northern Arabia-Eurasia collision during the last similar to 5 Ma. (C) 2015 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. KW - orogenic processes KW - surface processes KW - base-level fall KW - erosion KW - rock uplift KW - knickpoints Y1 - 2015 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2015.05.051 SN - 0012-821X SN - 1385-013X VL - 425 SP - 204 EP - 218 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Donner, Stefanie A1 - Ghods, Abdolreza A1 - Krüer, Frank A1 - Rößler, Dirk A1 - Landgraf, Angela A1 - Ballato, Paolo T1 - The Ahar-Varzeghan Earthquake Doublet (M-w 6.4 and 6.2) of 11 August 2012: Regional Seismic Moment Tensors JF - Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America N2 - On 11 August 2012 an earthquake doublet (M-w 6.4 and 6.2) occurred near the city of Ahar, northwest Iran. Both events were only 6 km and 11 minutes apart, producing a surface rupture of about 12 km in length. Historical and modern seismicity has so far been sparse in this area. Spatially, the region represents a transitional zone between different tectonic domains, including compression in Iran, westward extrusion of the Anatolian plate, and thrusting beneath the Caucasus. In this study, we inverted the surface waveforms of the two mainshocks and 11 aftershocks (M-w >= 4.3) to obtain regional seismic moment tensors. The earthquakes analyzed can be grouped into pure strike slip (including the first mainshock) and oblique reverse mechanisms (including the second mainshock). The sequence provides information about faulting mechanisms at the spatial scale of the entire rock volume affected by the earthquake doublet, including coinciding deformation on minor faults (sub) parallel to the main fault and Riedel shears. It occurred on a so far unknown fault structure, which we call the Ahar fault. Alongside the seismological data, we used geological maps, satellite images, and digital elevation data to analyze the geomorphology of the region. Our analysis suggests that the adjacent North Tabriz fault, which accomodates up to 7 mm/yr of right-lateral strike-slip faulting, does not compensate the entire lateral shear strain, and that part of it is compensated farther north. Combined, our results suggest a temporally and spatially complex style of deformation (reverse and strike slip) overprinting older reverse deformation. Y1 - 2015 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1785/0120140042 SN - 0037-1106 SN - 1943-3573 VL - 105 IS - 2A SP - 791 EP - 807 PB - Seismological Society of America CY - Albany ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Arrowsmith, J. Ramon A1 - Crosby, Christopher J. A1 - Korzhenkov, Andrey M. A1 - Mamyrov, Ernest A1 - Povolotskaya, Irina A1 - Guralnik, Benny A1 - Landgraf, Angela T1 - Surface rupture of the 1911 Kebin (Chon-Kemin) earthquake, Northern Tien Shan, Kyrgyzstan JF - Seismicity, fault rupture and earthquake hazards in slowly deforming regions N2 - The 1911 Chon-Kemin (Kebin) earthquake culminated c. 30 years of remarkable earthquakes in the northern Tien Shan (Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan). Building on prior mapping of the event, we traced its rupture in the field and measured more than 50 offset landforms. Cumulative fault rupture length is >155-195 km along 13 fault patches comprising six sections. The patches are separated by changes of dip magnitude or dip direction, or by 4-10 km-wide stepovers. One <40 km section overlaps and is parallel to the main north-dipping rupture but is 7 km north and dips opposite (south). Both ends of the rupture are along mountain front thrust faults demonstrating late Quaternary activity. We computed the moment from each fault patch using the surface fault traces, dip inferred from the traces, 20 km seismogenic thickness, rigidity of 3.3 x 10(10) N m(-2) and dip slip converted from our observations of the largely reverse sense of motion vertical offsets. The discontinuous patches with c. 3-4 m average slip and peak slip of <14 m yield a seismic moment of 4.6 x 10(20) Nm (M-w 7.78) to 7.4 x 10(20) Nm (M-w 7.91). The majority of moment was released along the inner eastern rupture segments. This geological moment is lower by a factor of 1.5 from that determined from teleseismic data. Y1 - 2016 SN - 978-1-86239-745-3 SN - 978-1-86239-964-8 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1144/SP432.10 SN - 0305-8719 VL - 432 SP - 233 EP - 253 PB - The Geological Society CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Landgraf, Angela A1 - Dzhumabaeva, A. A1 - Abdrakhmatov, Kanatbek E. A1 - Strecker, Manfred A1 - Macaulay, E. A. A1 - Arrowsmith, J. Ramón A1 - Sudhaus, H. A1 - Preusser, F. A1 - Rugel, Georg A1 - Merchel, Silke T1 - Repeated large-magnitude earthquakes in a tectonically active, low-strain continental interior: The northern Tien Shan, Kyrgyzstan JF - Journal of geophysical research : Solid earth N2 - The northern Tien Shan of Kyrgyzstan and Kazakhstan has been affected by a series of major earthquakes in the late 19th and early 20th centuries. To assess the significance of such a pulse of strain release in a continental interior, it is important to analyze and quantify strain release over multiple time scales. We have undertaken paleoseismological investigations at two geomorphically distinct sites (Panfilovkoe and Rot Front) near the Kyrgyz capital Bishkek. Although located near the historic epicenters, both sites were not affected by these earthquakes. Trenching was accompanied by dating stratigraphy and offset surfaces using luminescence, radiocarbon, and Be-10 terrestrial cosmogenic nuclide methods. At Rot Front, trenching of a small scarp did not reveal evidence for surface rupture during the last 5000 years. The scarp rather resembles an extensive debris-flow lobe. At Panfilovkoe, we estimate a Late Pleistocene minimum slip rate of 0.2 +/- 0.1 mm/a, averaged over at least two, probably three earthquake cycles. Dip-slip reverse motion along segmented, moderately steep faults resulted in hanging wall collapse scarps during different events. The most recent earthquake occurred around 3.6 +/- 1.3 kyr ago (1 sigma), with dip-slip offsets between 1.2 and 1.4 m. We calculate a probabilistic paleomagnitude to be between 6.7 and 7.2, which is in agreement with regional data from the Kyrgyz range. The morphotectonic signals in the northern Tien Shan are a prime example of deformation in a tectonically active intracontinental mountain belt and as such can help understand the longer-term coevolution of topography and seismogenic processes in similar structural settings worldwide. Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JB012714 SN - 2169-9313 SN - 2169-9356 VL - 121 SP - 3888 EP - 3910 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Patyniak, Magda A1 - Landgraf, Angela A1 - Dzhumabaeva, Atyrgul A1 - Abdrakhmatov, Kanatbek E. A1 - Rosenwinkel, Swenja A1 - Korup, Oliver A1 - Preusser, Frank A1 - Fohlmeister, Jens Bernd A1 - Arrowsmith, J. Ramon A1 - Strecker, Manfred T1 - Paleoseismic Record of Three Holocene Earthquakes Rupturing the Issyk-Ata Fault near Bishkek, North Kyrgyzstan JF - Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America N2 - The northern edge of the western central Tien Shan range is bounded by the Issyk-Ata fault situated south of Bishkek, the capital of Kyrgyzstan. Contraction in this thick-skinned orogen occurs with low-strain accumulation and long earthquake recurrence intervals. In the nineteenth to twentieth centuries, a sequence of large earthquakes with magnitudes between 6.9 and 8 affected the northern Tien Shan but left nearly the entire extent of the Issyk-Ata fault unruptured. Here, the only known historic earthquake ruptured in A.D. 1885 (M6.9) along the western end of the Issyk-Ata fault. Because earthquakes in low-strain regions often tend to cluster in time and may promote failure along nearby structures, the earthquake history of the northern Tien Shan represents an exceptional structural setting for studying fault behavior affected by an intraplate earthquake sequence. We present a paleoseismological study from one site (Belek) along the Issyk-Ata fault located east of the A.D. 1885 epicentral area. Our analysis combines a range of tools, including photogrammetry, differential Global Positioning System, 3D visualization, and age modeling with different dating methods (infrared stimulated luminescence, radiocarbon, U-series) to improve the reliability of an event chronology for the trench stratigraphy and fault geometry. We were able to distinguish three different surfacerupturing paleoearthquakes; these affected the area before 10.5 +/- 1.1 cal ka B.P., at similar to 5.6 +/- 1.0 cal ka B.P., and at similar to 630 +/- 100 cal B.P., respectively. Associated paleomagnitudes for the last two earthquakes range between M6.7 and 7.4, with a cumulative slip rate of 0.7 +/- 0.32 mm/yr. We did not find evidence for the A.D. 1885 event at Belek. Our study yielded two main overall results: first, it extends the regional historic and paleoseismic record; second, the documented rupture events along the Issyk-Ata fault suggest that this fault was not affected in its entirety; instead, these events indicate segmented rupture behavior. Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1785/0120170083 SN - 0037-1106 SN - 1943-3573 VL - 107 SP - 2721 EP - 2737 PB - Seismological Society of America CY - Albany ER - TY - GEN A1 - Arnous, Ahmad A1 - Zeckra, Martin A1 - Venerdini, Agostina A1 - Alvarado, Patricia A1 - Arrowsmith, Ramón A1 - Guillemoteau, Julien A1 - Landgraf, Angela A1 - Gutiérrez, Adolfo Antonio A1 - Strecker, Manfred T1 - Neotectonic Activity in the Low-Strain Broken Foreland (Santa Bárbara System) of the North-Western Argentinean Andes (26°S) T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - Uplift in the broken Andean foreland of the Argentine Santa Bárbara System (SBS) is associated with the contractional reactivation of basement anisotropies, similar to those reported from the thick-skinned Cretaceous-Eocene Laramide province of North America. Fault scarps, deformed Quaternary deposits and landforms, disrupted drainage patterns, and medium-sized earthquakes within the SBS suggest that movement along these structures may be a recurring phenomenon, with yet to be defined repeat intervals and rupture lengths. In contrast to the Subandes thrust belt farther north, where eastward-migrating deformation has generated a well-defined thrust front, the SBS records spatiotemporally disparate deformation along structures that are only known to the first order. We present herein the results of geomorphic desktop analyses, structural field observations, and 2D electrical resistivity tomography and seismic-refraction tomography surveys and an interpretation of seismic reflection profiles across suspected fault scarps in the sedimentary basins adjacent to the Candelaria Range (CR) basement uplift, in the south-central part of the SBS. Our analysis in the CR piedmont areas reveals consistency between the results of near-surface electrical resistivity and seismic-refraction tomography surveys, the locations of prominent fault scarps, and structural geometries at greater depth imaged by seismic reflection data. We suggest that this deformation is driven by deep-seated blind thrusting beneath the CR and associated regional warping, while shortening involving Mesozoic and Cenozoic sedimentary strata in the adjacent basins was accommodated by layer-parallel folding and flexural-slip faults that cut through Quaternary landforms and deposits at the surface. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 1008 Y1 - 2020 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-480183 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 1008 SP - 1 EP - 25 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Arnous, Ahmad A1 - Zeckra, Martin A1 - Venerdini, Agostina A1 - Alvarado, Patricia A1 - Arrowsmith, Ramón A1 - Guillemoteau, Julien A1 - Landgraf, Angela A1 - Gutiérrez, Adolfo Antonio A1 - Strecker, Manfred T1 - Neotectonic Activity in the Low-Strain Broken Foreland (Santa Bárbara System) of the North-Western Argentinean Andes (26°S) JF - Lithosphere N2 - Uplift in the broken Andean foreland of the Argentine Santa Bárbara System (SBS) is associated with the contractional reactivation of basement anisotropies, similar to those reported from the thick-skinned Cretaceous-Eocene Laramide province of North America. Fault scarps, deformed Quaternary deposits and landforms, disrupted drainage patterns, and medium-sized earthquakes within the SBS suggest that movement along these structures may be a recurring phenomenon, with yet to be defined repeat intervals and rupture lengths. In contrast to the Subandes thrust belt farther north, where eastward-migrating deformation has generated a well-defined thrust front, the SBS records spatiotemporally disparate deformation along structures that are only known to the first order. We present herein the results of geomorphic desktop analyses, structural field observations, and 2D electrical resistivity tomography and seismic-refraction tomography surveys and an interpretation of seismic reflection profiles across suspected fault scarps in the sedimentary basins adjacent to the Candelaria Range (CR) basement uplift, in the south-central part of the SBS. Our analysis in the CR piedmont areas reveals consistency between the results of near-surface electrical resistivity and seismic-refraction tomography surveys, the locations of prominent fault scarps, and structural geometries at greater depth imaged by seismic reflection data. We suggest that this deformation is driven by deep-seated blind thrusting beneath the CR and associated regional warping, while shortening involving Mesozoic and Cenozoic sedimentary strata in the adjacent basins was accommodated by layer-parallel folding and flexural-slip faults that cut through Quaternary landforms and deposits at the surface. Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.2113/2020/8888588 SN - 1947-4253 SN - 1941-8264 VL - 2020 IS - 1 SP - 1 EP - 25 PB - GSA CY - Boulder, Colo. ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Abdrakhmatov, Kanatbek E. A1 - Walker, R. T. A1 - Campbell, G. E. A1 - Carr, A. S. A1 - Elliott, A. A1 - Hillemann, Christian A1 - Hollingsworth, J. A1 - Landgraf, Angela A1 - Mackenzie, D. A1 - Mukambayev, A. A1 - Rizza, M. A1 - Sloan, R. A. T1 - Multisegment rupture in the 11 July 1889 Chilik earthquake (M-w 8.0-8.3), Kazakh Tien Shan, interpreted from remote sensing, field survey, and paleoseismic trenching JF - Journal of geophysical research : Solid earth N2 - The 11 July 1889 Chilik earthquake (M-w 8.0-8.3) forms part of a remarkable sequence of large earthquakes in the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries in the northern Tien Shan. Despite its importance, the source of the 1889 earthquake remains unknown, though the macroseismic epicenter is sited in the Chilik valley, similar to 100 km southeast of Almaty, Kazakhstan (similar to 2 million population). Several short fault segments that have been inferred to have ruptured in 1889 are too short on their own to account for the estimated magnitude. In this paper we perform detailed surveying and trenching of the similar to 30 km long Saty fault, one of the previously inferred sources, and find that it was formed in a single earthquake within the last 700 years, involving surface slip of up to 10 m. The scarp-forming event, likely to be the 1889 earthquake, was the only surface-rupturing event for at least 5000 years and potentially for much longer. From satellite imagery we extend the mapped length of fresh scarps within the 1889 epicentral zone to a total of similar to 175 km, which we also suggest as candidate ruptures from the 1889 earthquake. The 175 km of rupture involves conjugate oblique left-lateral and right-lateral slip on three separate faults, with step overs of several kilometers between them. All three faults were essentially invisible in the Holocene geomorphology prior to the last slip. The recurrence interval between large earthquakes on any of these faults, and presumably on other faults of the Tien Shan, may be longer than the timescale over which the landscape is reset, providing a challenge for delineating sources of future hazard. Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JB012763 SN - 2169-9313 SN - 2169-9356 VL - 121 SP - 4615 EP - 4640 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Krüger, Frank A1 - Kulikova, Galina A1 - Landgraf, Angela T1 - Magnitudes for the historical 1885 (Belovodskoe), the 1887 (Verny) and the 1889 (Chilik) earthquakes in Central Asia determined from magnetogram recordings JF - Geophysical journal international N2 - Six large magnitude earthquakes in Central Asia which occurred at the end of the 19th century were recorded on early magnetographs in Great Britain. Scalar seismic moment estimates of the 1911 Chon-Kemin, the 1902 Atushi and the 1907 Karatag earthquakes in Central Asia were recently determined by historical seismogram modelling. For those events, we find agreement between moment magnitudes estimated from seismograms and from magnetograms. This supports the assumption of linear scaling of magnetogram amplitudes as function of M-0, which we then use to estimate the moment magnitudes for earlier large-magnitude events, that is, the 1885 Belovodskoe, 1887 Verny and 1889 Chilik earthquakes. The magnetometer data imply that the Chilik earthquake had M(W)7.9, slightly smaller than the Chon-Kemin event with M(W)8.0. The Verny earthquake, however, for which we estimate M(W)7.7, is likely larger than listed in catalogues (M7.3). Similarly, we find a larger magnitude M(W)7.6 (instead of the previous M6.9) for the Belovodskoe earthquake, but this remains uncertain due to measurement imprecision. KW - Earthquake source observations KW - Seismicity and tectonics KW - Intraplate processes Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggy377 SN - 0956-540X SN - 1365-246X VL - 215 IS - 3 SP - 1824 EP - 1840 PB - Oxford Univ. Press CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rosenwinkel, Swenja A1 - Korup, Oliver A1 - Landgraf, Angela A1 - Dzhumabaeva, Atyrgul T1 - Limits to lichenometry JF - Quaternary science reviews : the international multidisciplinary research and review journal N2 - Lichenometry is a straightforward and inexpensive method for dating Holocene rock surfaces. The rationale is that the diameter of the largest lichen scales with the age of the originally fresh rock surface that it colonised. The success of the method depends on finding the largest lichen diameters, a suitable lichen-growth model, and a robust calibration curve. Recent critique of the method motivates us to revisit the accuracy and uncertainties of lichenometry. Specifically, we test how well lichenometry is capable of resolving the ages of different lobes of large active rock glaciers in the Kyrgyz Tien Shan. We use a bootstrapped quantile regression to calibrate local growth curves of Xanthoria elegans, Aspicilia tianshanica, and Rhizocarpon geographicum, and report a nonlinear decrease in dating accuracy with increasing lichen diameter. A Bayesian type of an analysis of variance demonstrates that our calibration allows discriminating credibly between rock-glacier lobes of different ages despite the uncertainties tied to sample size and correctly identifying the largest lichen thalli. Our results also show that calibration error grows with lichen size, so that the separability of rock-glacier lobes of different ages decreases, while the tendency to assign coeval ages increases. The abundant young (<200 yr) specimen of fast-growing X elegans are in contrast with the fewer, slow-growing, but older (200-1500 yr) R. geographicum and A. tianshanica, and record either a regional reactivation of lobes in the past 200 years, or simply a censoring effect of lichen mortality during early phases of colonisation. The high variance of lichen sizes captures the activity of rock-glacier lobes, which is difficult to explain by regional climatic cooling or earthquake triggers alone. Therefore, we caution against inferring palaeoclimatic conditions from the topographic position of rock-glacier lobes. We conclude that lichenometry works better as a tool for establishing a relative, rather than an absolute, chronology of rock-glacier lobes in the northern Tien Shan. (C) 2015 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. KW - Lichenometry KW - Rock glacier KW - Absolute age dating KW - Kyrgyzstan KW - Tien Shan Y1 - 2015 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2015.10.031 SN - 0277-3791 VL - 129 SP - 229 EP - 238 PB - Elsevier CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rosenwinkel, Swenja A1 - Landgraf, Angela A1 - Schwanghart, Wolfgang A1 - Volkmer, Friedrich A1 - Dzhumabaeva, Atyrgul A1 - Merchel, Silke A1 - Rugel, Georg A1 - Preusser, Frank A1 - Korup, Oliver T1 - Late Pleistocene outburst floods from Issyk Kul, Kyrgyzstan? JF - Earth surface processes and landforms : the journal of the British Geomorphological Research Group KW - outburst flood KW - lake-level changes KW - Issyk Kul KW - Kyrgyzstan KW - cosmogenic nuclides Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/esp.4109 SN - 0197-9337 SN - 1096-9837 VL - 42 SP - 1535 EP - 1548 PB - Wiley CY - Hoboken ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Toke, Nathan A. A1 - Arrowsmith, J. Ramon A1 - Rymer, Michael J. A1 - Landgraf, Angela A1 - Haddad, David E. A1 - Busch, Melanie A1 - Coyan, Joshua A1 - Hannah, Alexander T1 - Late Holocene slip rate of the San Andreas fault and its accommodation by creep and moderate-magnitude earthquakes at Parkfield, California JF - Geology N2 - Investigation of a right-laterally offset channel at the Miller's Field paleoseismic site yields a late Holocene slip rate of 26.2 +6.4/-4.3 mm/yr (1 sigma) for the main trace of the San Andreas fault at Parkfield, California. This is the first well-documented geologic slip rate between the Carrizo and creeping sections of the San Andreas fault. This rate is lower than Holocene measurements along the Carrizo Plain and rates implied by far-field geodetic measurements (similar to 35 mm/yr). However, the rate is consistent with historical slip rates, measured to the northwest, along the creeping section of the San Andreas fault (<30 mm/yr). The paleoseismic exposures at the Miller's Field site reveal a pervasive fabric of clay shear bands, oriented clockwise oblique to the San Andreas fault strike and extending into the uppermost stratigraphy. This fabric is consistent with dextral aseismic creep and observations of surface slip from the 28 September 2004 M6 Parkfield earthquake. Together, this slip rate and deformation fabric suggest that the historically observed San Andreas fault slip behavior along the Parkfield section has persisted for at least a millennium, and that significant slip is accommodated by structures in a zone beyond the main San Andreas fault trace. Y1 - 2011 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1130/G31498.1 SN - 0091-7613 VL - 39 IS - 3 SP - 243 EP - 246 PB - American Institute of Physics CY - Boulder ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ghassemi, Mohammad R. A1 - Fattahi, Morteza A1 - Landgraf, Angela A1 - Ahmadi, Mehdi A1 - Ballato, Paolo A1 - Tabatabaei, Saeid H. T1 - Kinematic links between the Eastern Mosha Fault and the North Tehran Fault, Alborz range, northern Iran JF - Tectonophysics : international journal of geotectonics and the geology and physics of the interior of the earth N2 - Kinematic interaction of faults is an important issue for detailed seismic hazard assessments in seismically active regions. The Eastern Mosha Fault (EMF) and the North Tehran Fault (NTF) are two major active faults of the southern central Alborz mountains, located in proximity of Tehran (population similar to 9 million). We used field, geomorphological and paleoseismological data to explore the kinematic transition between the faults, and compare their short-term and long-term history of activity. We introduce the Niknamdeh segment of the NTF along which the strike-slip kinematics of EMF is transferred onto the NTF, and which is also responsible for the development of a pull-apart basin between the eastern segments of the NTF. The Ira trench site at the linkage zone between the two faults reveals the history of interaction between rock avalanches, active faulting and sag-pond development. The kinematic continuity between the EMF and NTF requires updating of seismic hazard models for the NTF, the most active fault adjacent to the Tehran Metropolis. Study of offsets of large-scale morphological features along the EMF, and comparison with estimated slip rates along the fault indicates that the EMF has started its left-lateral kinematics between 3.2 and 4.7 Ma. According to our paleoseismological data and the morphology of the nearby EMF and NTF, we suggest minimum and maximum values of about 1.8 and 3.0 mm/year for the left-lateral kinematics on the two faults in their linkage zone, averaged over Holocene time scales. Our study provides a partial interpretation, based on available data, for the fault activity in northeastern Tehran region, which may be completed with studies of other active faults of the region to evaluate a more realistic seismic hazard analysis for this heavily populated major city. (C) 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. KW - Mosha Fault KW - North Tehran Fault KW - Alborz range KW - Slip rate KW - Fault linkage and interaction KW - Paleoseismology Y1 - 2014 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tecto.2014.03.007 SN - 0040-1951 SN - 1879-3266 VL - 622 SP - 81 EP - 95 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Krüger, Frank A1 - Kulikova, Galina A1 - Landgraf, Angela T1 - Instrumental magnitude constraints for the 11 July 1889, Chilik earthquake JF - Seismicity, fault rupture and earthquake hazards in slowly deforming regions N2 - A series of large-magnitude earthquakes above 6.9 occurred in the northern Tien-Shan between 1885 and 1911. The Chilik earthquake of 11 July 1889, has been listed with a magnitude of 8.3, based on sparse macroseismic intensities, constrained by reported damage. Despite the existence of several juvenile fault scarps in the epicentral region, that are possibly associated with the 1889 earthquake, no through-going surface rupture having the dimensions expected for a magnitude 8.3 earthquake has been located - a puzzling dilemma. Could the magnitude have been overestimated? This would have major implications not only for the understanding of the earthquake series, but also for regional hazard estimates. Fortunately, a fragmentary record from an early Rebeur-Paschwitz seismometer exists for the Chilik event, recorded in Wilhelmshaven (Germany). To constrain the magnitude, we compare the late coda waves of this record with those of recent events from Central Asia, recorded on modern instruments in Germany and filtered with Rebeur-Paschwitz instrument characteristics. Additional constraints come from disturbances of historic magnetograms that exist from the Chilik and the 1911 Chon-Kemin earthquakes. Scaling of these historic records confirm a magnitude of about 8 for the 1889 Chilik earthquake, pointing towards a lower crustal contribution to the fault area. Y1 - 2017 SN - 978-1-86239-745-3 SN - 978-1-86239-964-8 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1144/SP432.8 SN - 0305-8719 VL - 432 SP - 41 EP - 72 PB - The Geological Society CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Landgraf, Angela A1 - Ballato, Paolo A1 - Strecker, Manfred A1 - Friedrich, Anke M. A1 - Tabatabaei, Saeid H. A1 - Shahpasandzadeh, Majid T1 - Fault-kinematic and geomorphic observations along the North Tehran Thrust and Mosha Fasham Fault, Alborz mountains Iran : implications for fault-system evolution and interaction in a changing tectonic regime N2 - Neighbouring faults can interact, potentially link up and grow, and consequently increase the seismic and related natural hazards in their vicinity. Despite evidence of Quaternary faulting, the kinematic relationships between the neighbouring Mosha Fasham Fault (MFF) and the North Tehran Thrust (NTT) and their temporal evolution in the Alborz mountains are not well understood. The ENE-striking NTT is a frontal thrust that delimits the Alborz mountains to the south with a 2000 m topographic front with respect to the proximal Tehran plain. However, no large instrumentally recorded earthquakes have been attributed to that fault. In contrast, the sigmoidally shaped MFF is a major strike-slip fault, located within the Alborz Mountains. Sinistral motion along the eastern part of the MFF is corroborated by microseismicity and fault kinematic analysis, which documents recent transtensional deformation associated with NNE-SSW oriented shortening. To better understand the activity of these faults on different timescales, we combined fault- kinematic analysis and geomorphic observations, to infer the kinematic history of these structures. Our fault kinematic study reveals an early dextral shear for the NTT and the central MFF, responsible for dextral strike-slip and oblique reverse faulting during NW-oriented shortening. This deformation regime was superseded by NE-oriented shortening, associated with sinistral-oblique thrusting along the NTT and the central-western MFF, sinistral strike-slip motion along subsidiary faults in the central MFF segment, and folding and tilting of Eocene to Miocene units in the MFF footwall. Continued thrusting along the NTT took place during the Quaternary. However, folding in the hanging wall and sinistral stream-offsets indicate a left-oblique component and Quaternary strike-slip reactivation of the eastern NTT- segment, close to its termination. This complex history of faulting under different stress directions has resulted in a composite landscape with inherited topographic signatures. Our study shows that the topography of the hanging wall of the NTT reflects a segmentation into sectors with semi-independent uplift histories. Areas of high topographic residuals and apparent high uplift underscore the fault kinematics. Combined, our data suggest an early mechanical linkage of the NTT and MFF fault systems during a former dextral transpressional stage, caused by NW-compression. During NE-oriented shortening, the NTT and MFF were reactivated and incorporated into a nascent transpressional duplex. The youngest manifestation of motion in this system is sinistral transtension. However, this deformation is not observed everywhere and has not yet resulted in topographic inversion. Y1 - 2009 UR - http://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/journal/10.1111/(ISSN)1365-246X U6 - https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-246X.2009.04089.x SN - 0956-540X ER - TY - THES A1 - Landgraf, Angela T1 - Fault interaction at different time- and length scales : the North Tehran thrust and Mosha-Fasham fault (Alborz mountains, Iran) T1 - Störungsinteraktion auf verschiedenen räumlichen und zeitlichen Skalen : die Nord-Teheran Überschiebung und die Mosha-Fasham Störung, Elburs Gebirge, Iran N2 - The seismically active Alborz mountains of northern Iran are an integral part of the Arabia-Eurasia collision. Linked strike-slip and thrust/reverse-fault systems in this mountain belt are characterized by slow loading rates, and large earthquakes are highly disparate in space and time. Similar to other intracontinental deformation zones such a pattern of tectonic activity is still insufficiently understood, because recurrence intervals between seismic events may be on the order of thousands of years, and are thus beyond the resolution of short term measurements based on GPS or instrumentally recorded seismicity. This study bridges the gap of deformation processes on different time scales. In particular, my investigation focuses on deformation on the Quaternary time scale, beyond present-day deformation rates, and it uses present-day and paleotectonic characteristics to model fault behavior. The study includes data based on structural and geomorphic mapping, faultkinematic analysis, DEM-based morphometry, and numerical fault-interaction modeling. In order to better understand the long- to short term behavior of such complex fault systems, I used geomorphic surfaces as strain markers and dated fluvial and alluvial surfaces using terrestrial cosmogenic nuclides (TCN, 10Be, 26Al, 36Cl) and optically stimulated luminescence (OSL). My investigation focuses on the seismically active Mosha-Fasham fault (MFF) and the seismically virtually inactive North Tehran Thrust (NTT), adjacent to the Tehran metropolitan area. Fault-kinematic data reveal an early mechanical linkage of the NTT and MFF during an earlier dextral transpressional stage, when the shortening direction was oriented northwest. This regime was superseded by Pliocene to Recent NE-oriented shortening, which caused thrusting and sinistral strike-slip faulting. In the course of this kinematic changeover, the NTT and MFF were reactivated and incorporated into a nascent transpressional duplex, which has significantly affected landscape evolution in this part of the range. Two of three distinctive features which characterize topography and relief in the study area can be directly related to their location inside the duplex array and are thus linked to interaction between eastern MFF and NTT, and between western MFF and Taleghan fault, respectively. To account for inferred inherited topography from the previous dextral-transpression regime, a new concept of tectonic landscape characterization has been used. Accordingly, I define simple landscapes as those environments, which have developed during the influence of a sustained tectonic regime. In contrast, composite landscapes contain topographic elements inherited from previous tectonic conditions that are inconsistent with the regional present-day stress field and kinematic style. Using numerical fault-interaction modeling with different tectonic boundary conditions, I calculated synoptic snapshots of artificial topography to compare it with the real topographic metrics. However, in the Alborz mountains, E-W faults are favorably oriented to accommodate the entire range of NW- to NE-directed compression. These faults show the highest total displacement which might indicate sustained faulting under changing boundary conditions. In contrast to the fault system within and at the flanks of the Alborz mountains, Quaternary deformation in the adjacent Tehran plain is characterized by oblique motion and thrust and strike-slip fault systems. In this morphotectonic province fault-propagation folding along major faults, limited strike-slip motion, and en-échelon arrays of second-order upper plate thrusts are typical. While the Tehran plain is characterized by young deformation phenomena, the majority of faulting took place in the early stages of the Quaternary and during late Pliocene time. TCN-dating, which was performed for the first time on geomorphic surfaces in the Tehran plain, revealed that the oldest two phases of alluviation (units A and B) must be older than late Pleistocene. While urban development in Tehran increasingly covers and obliterates the active fault traces, the present-day kinematic style, the vestiges of formerly undeformed Quaternary landforms, and paleo earthquake indicators from the last millennia attest to the threat that these faults and their related structures pose for the megacity. N2 - Das seismisch aktive Elburs Gebirge im Nordiran ist Bestandteil der Arabisch-Eurasischen Kollisionszone. Gekoppelte Blattverschiebungs- und Überschiebungssysteme dieses Gebirges zeichnen sich durch geringe Spannungsaufbauraten aus. Dementsprechend treten große Erdbeben räumlich und zeitlich weit verteilt voneinander auf und Wiederkehrperioden solcher Erdbeben können tausende von Jahren dauern und wurden noch nicht von kurzzeitigen Messmethoden, wie GPS oder instrumenteller Seismologie erfasst. Diese Arbeit überbrückt verschiedene Zeitskalen. Diese Studie beinhaltet insbesondere Auswertungen struktureller und geomorphologischer Kartierungen, störungskinematische Analysen, auf digitalen Höhenmodellen basierende Morphometrie und numerische Modellierung von Störungsinteraktion. Um das lang- und kurzfristige Verhalten solcher komplexen Schwächezonen besser zu verstehen, benutze ich geomorphologische Oberflächen als Deformationsmarker und datiere alluviale und fluviatile Oberflächen mittels kosmogener Nuklide (TCN, 10Be, 26Al, 36Cl) und optisch stimulierter Lumineszenz (OSL). Mein Untersuchungsgebiet umfasst die seismisch aktive Mosha-Fasham Störung (MFF) und die als seismisch quasi inaktiv geltende Nordteheranstörung (NTT), die sich in unmittelbarer Nähe zum Teheraner Ballungsgebiet befinden. Die Ergebnisse zeigen, dass sich das Deformationfeld mit der Zeit verändert hat. Die störungskinematischen Daten haben ergeben, dass NTT und MFF bereits seit einer früheren dextral-transpressionalen Phase unter NW-gerichteter Einengung mechanisch gekoppelt sind. Dieses System wurde von pliozäner und bis heute andauernder NE-gerichteter Einengung ersetzt, woraufhin sich Überschiebungen und linkslaterale Blattverschiebungen herausbildeten. Während dieses kinematischen Wechsels wurden NTT und MFF reaktiviert und in ein beginnendes transpressionales Duplexsystem eingebunden, welches die Landschaftentwicklung in diesem Teil des Gebirges signifikant beeinflusst hat. Zwei von drei ausgeprägten topographischen Besonderheiten des Untersuchungsgebietes können direkt mit deren Lage in der Duplexanordnung in Verbindung gebracht werden und spiegeln Interaktion zwischen den östlichen Segmenten von NTT und MFF, bzw., zwischen dem westlichen Segment der MFF und der parallelen Taleghan Schwächezone wider. Um diejenige Topographie auszuweisen, die möglicherweise aus der vorhergehenden Phase vererbt wurde, wurde ein neues Konzept tektonischer Landschaftscharakterisierung benutzt. Einfache Landschaften sind unter dem Einfluß gleichbleibender tektonischer Randbedingungen entstanden. Dagegen enthalten zusammengesetzte Landschaften vererbte Elemente vergangener tektonischer Randbedingungen, die mit dem heutigen Spannungsfeld und kinematischen Stil unvereinbar sind. Mittels numerischer Störungsinteraktionsmodellierungen teste ich verschiedene Randbedingungen und berechne synoptische Momentaufnahmen künstlicher Topographie um sie mit reellen topographischen Maßen zu vergleichen. Im Elburs Gebirge treten allerdings auch E-W streichende Schwächezonen auf, die so günstig orientiert sind, dass sie Verformung unter der gesamten Einengungsspanne von Nordwest nach Nordost zeigen. Diese weisen den höchsten totalen Versatz auf. Hier tritt das Grundgebirge zutage und wird versetzt, was, wie die Modellierungen vermuten lassen, auf langanhaltende Verformung unter sich ändernden Randbedingungen hinweisen kann. Quartäre Deformation in der benachbarten Teheran Ebene ist durch Schrägbewegungen, Überschiebungen und Blattverschiebungssyteme gekennzeichnet, die typischerweise in Auffaltungen entlang von Hauptstörungen, vereinzelten Blattverschiebungen und en-échelon Anordnungen untergeordneter oberflächlicher Überschiebungen resultieren. Junge Deformation tritt auf, die Hauptbewegungen fanden allerdings im frühen Quartär und wahrscheinlich späten Pliozän statt. TCN-Datierungen, die erstmalig an geomorphologischen Oberflächen in der Teheran Ebene durchgeführt wurden, ergeben dass die beiden älteren Sedimentationsphasen (Einheiten A und B) älter sind als spätes Pleistozän. Obwohl die urbane Entwicklung im Teheraner Ballungsraum die aktiven Störungslinien zunehmend verdeckt und ausradiert, zeugen der heutige kinematische Stil, die Überreste ehemals unverstellter Quartärer Landschaftsformen und Hinweise auf Paläoerdbeben während der letzten Jahrtausende von der Gefahr, die diese Schwächezonen für die Megastadt bedeuten. KW - Störungsinteraktion KW - Tektonische Geomorphologie KW - Kosmogene Nuklide KW - Elburs KW - Iran KW - Fault interaction KW - Tectonic geomorphology KW - Cosmogenic nuclides KW - Alborz KW - Iran Y1 - 2010 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-50800 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Haddad, David E. A1 - Zielke, Olaf A1 - Arrowsmith, J. Ramon A1 - Purvance, Matthew D. A1 - Haddad, Amanda G. A1 - Landgraf, Angela T1 - Estimating two-dimensional static stabilities and geomorphic settings of precariously balanced rocks from unconstrained digital photographs JF - Geosphere N2 - The need to accurately document the spatiotemporal distribution of earthquake-generated strong ground motions is essential for evaluating the seismic vulnerability of sites of critical infrastructure. Understanding the threshold for maximum earthquake-induced ground motions at such sites provides valuable information to seismologists, earthquake engineers, local agencies, and policymakers when determining ground motion hazards of seismically sensitive infrastructures. In this context, fragile geologic features such as precariously balanced rocks (PBRs) serve as negative evidence for earthquake-induced ground motions and provide important physical constraints on the upper limits of ground motions. The three-dimensional (3D) shape of a PBR is a critical factor in determining its static stability and thus susceptibility to toppling during strong ground shaking events. Furthermore, the geomorphic settings of PBRs provide important controls on PBR exhumation histories that are interpreted from surface exposure dating methods. In this paper, we present PBRslenderness, a MATLAB-based program that evaluates the two-dimensional (2D) static stabilities of PBRs from unconstrained digital photographs. The program's graphical user interface allows users to interactively digitize a PBR and calculates the 2D geometric parameters that define its static stability. A reproducibility study showed that our 2D calculations compare well against their counterparts that were computed in 3D (R-2 = 0.77-0.98 for 22 samples). A sensitivity study for single-user and multiuser digitization routines further confirmed the reproducibility of PBRslenderness estimates (coefficients of variation c(v) = 4.3%-6.5% for 100 runs; R-2 = 0.87-0.99 for 20 PBRs). We used PBRslenderness to analyze 261 PBRs in a low-seismicity setting to investigate the local geomorphic controls on PBR stability and preservation. PBRslenderness showed that a PBR's shape strongly controls its static stability and that there is no relationship between a PBR's stability and its geomorphic location in a drainage basin. However, the geomorphic settings of PBRs control their preservation potential by restricting their formation to hillslope gradients <40 degrees and the upper reaches of drainage basins. Such examples of our program's utility have led to its use in archival efforts of PBRs in southern California and Nevada, USA. Y1 - 2012 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1130/GES00788.1 SN - 1553-040X VL - 8 IS - 5 SP - 1042 EP - 1053 PB - American Institute of Physics CY - Boulder ER - TY - GEN A1 - Donner, Stefanie A1 - Rößler, Dirk A1 - Strecker, Manfred A1 - Landgraf, Angela A1 - Ballato, Paolo T1 - Erweiterte Momententensorinversion und ihre seismotektonische Anwendung : Elbursgebirge, Nordiran T1 - Extended moment tensor inversion and its seismotectonic application : Alborz Mountains, Northern Iran N2 - Der Elburs im Norden Irans ist ein durch die Konvergenz der Arabischen und Eurasischen Platte verursachtes doppelt konvergentes Gebirge. Das komplexe System von Blattverschiebungen und Überschiebungen sowie die Aufnahme der Deformation im Elburs ist noch nicht sehr gut verstanden. Eine neu zu entwicklende Methode zur Inversion von seismischen Momententensoren, die unterschiedliche Beobachtungen verschiedener Stationstypen kombiniert invertiert, soll die bisher hauptsächlich strukturelle/geomorphologische Datengrundlage um Momententensoren auch kleinerer Magnituden (M < 4.5) erweitern. Dies ist die notwendige Grundlage für detaillierte seismotektonische Studien, die wiederum die Basis für seismische Gefährdungsanalysen bilden. KW - Momententensor KW - Iran KW - Seismotektonik KW - moment tensor KW - Iran KW - seismotectonics Y1 - 2009 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-29308 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Donner, Stefanie A1 - Strecker, Manfred A1 - Rößler, Dirk A1 - Ghods, Abdolreza A1 - Krüger, Frank A1 - Landgraf, Angela A1 - Ballato, Paolo T1 - Earthquake source models for earthquakes in Northern Iran N2 - The complex system of strike-slip and thrust faults in the Alborz Mountains, Northern Iran, are not well understood yet. Mainly structural and geomorphic data are available so far. As a more extensive base for seismotectonic studies and seismic hazard analysis we plan to do a comprehensive seismic moment tensor study also from smaller magnitudes (M < 4.5) by developing a new algorithm. Here, we present first preliminary results. KW - Elburs KW - Iran KW - Momententensor KW - Seismotektonik KW - Alborz KW - Iran KW - moment tensor KW - seismotectonics Y1 - 2009 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-32581 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Landgraf, Angela A1 - Zielke, Olaf A1 - Arrowsmith, J. Ramón A1 - Ballato, Paolo A1 - Strecker, Manfred A1 - Schildgen, Taylor F. A1 - Friedrich, Anke M. A1 - Tabatabaei, Sayyed-Hassan T1 - Differentiating simple and composite tectonic landscapes using numerical fault slip modeling with an example from the south central Alborz Mountains, Iran JF - Journal of geophysical research : Earth surface N2 - The tectonically driven growth of mountains reflects the characteristics of the underlying fault systems and the applied tectonic forces. Over time, fault networks might be relatively static, but stress conditions could change and result in variations in fault slip orientation. Such a tectonic landscape would transition from a simple to a composite state: the topography of simple landscapes is correlated with a single set of tectonic boundary conditions, while composite landscapes contain inherited topography due to earlier deformation under different boundary conditions. We use fault interaction modeling to compare vertical displacement fields with topographic metrics to differentiate the two types of landscapes. By successively rotating the axis of maximum horizontal stress, we produce a suite of vertical displacement fields for comparison with real landscapes. We apply this model to a transpressional duplex in the south central Alborz Mountains of Iran, where NW oriented compression was superseded by neotectonic NE compression. The consistency between the modeled displacement field and real landforms indicates that the duplex topography is mostly compatible with the modern boundary conditions, but might include a small remnant from the earlier deformation phase. Our approach is applicable for various tectonic settings and represents an approach to identify the changing boundary conditions that produce composite landscapes. It may be particularly useful for identifying changes that occurred in regions where river profiles may no longer record a signal of the change or where the spatial pattern of uplift is complex. KW - fault interaction KW - landscape evolution KW - numerical modeling KW - Alborz Mountains KW - Iran Y1 - 2013 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/jgrf.20109 SN - 2169-9003 SN - 2169-9011 VL - 118 IS - 3 SP - 1792 EP - 1805 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Stein, Seth A1 - Liu, Mian A1 - Camelbeeck, Thierry A1 - Merino, Miguel A1 - Landgraf, Angela A1 - Hintersberger, Esther A1 - Kübler, Simon ED - Landgraf, Angelika ED - Kübler, Simon ED - Hintersberger, Esther ED - Stein, Seth T1 - Challenges in assessing seismic hazard in intraplate Europe JF - Seismicity, fault rupture and earthquake hazards in slowly deforming regions N2 - Intraplate seismicity is often characterized by episodic, clustered and migrating earthquakes and extended after-shock sequences. Can these observations - primarily from North America, China and Australia - usefully be applied to seismic hazard assessment for intraplate Europe? Existing assessments are based on instrumental and historical seismicity of the past c. 1000 years, as well as some data for active faults. This time span probably fails to capture typical large-event recurrence intervals of the order of tens of thousands of years. Palaeoseismology helps to lengthen the observation window, but preferentially produces data in regions suspected to be seismically active. Thus the expected maximum magnitudes of future earthquakes are fairly uncertain, possibly underestimated, and earthquakes are likely to occur in unexpected locations. These issues particularly arise in considering the hazards posed by low-probability events to both heavily populated areas and critical facilities. For example, are the variations in seismicity (and thus assumed seismic hazard) along the Rhine Graben a result of short sampling or are they real? In addition to a better assessment of hazards with new data and models, it is important to recognize and communicate uncertainties in hazard estimates. The more users know about how much confidence to place in hazard maps, the more effectively the maps can be used. Y1 - 2017 SN - 978-1-86239-745-3 SN - 978-1-86239-964-8 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1144/SP432.7 SN - 0305-8719 VL - 432 SP - 13 EP - 28 PB - The Geological Society CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ballato, Paolo A1 - Uba, Cornelius Eji A1 - Landgraf, Angela A1 - Strecker, Manfred A1 - Sudo, Masafumi A1 - Stockli, Daniel F. A1 - Friedrich, Anke M. A1 - Tabatabaei, Saeid H. T1 - Arabia-Eurasia continental collision insights from late Tertiary foreland-basin evolution in the Alborz Mountains, northern Iran JF - Geological Society of America bulletin N2 - A poorly understood lag time of 15-20 m.y. exists between the initial Arabia-Eurasia continental collision in late Eocene to early Oligocene time and the acceleration of tectonic and sedimentary processes across the collision zone in the early to late Miocene. The late Eocene to Miocene-Pliocene clastic and shallow-marine sedimentary rocks of the Kond, Eyvanekey, and Semnan Basins in the Alborz Mountains (northern Iran) offer the possibility to track the evolution of this orogen in the framework of collision processes. A transition from volcaniclastic submarine deposits to shallow-marine evaporites and terrestrial sediments occurred shortly after 36 Ma in association with reversals in sediment provenance, strata tilting, and erosional unroofing. These events followed the termination of subduction arc magmatism and marked a changeover from an extensional to a contractional regime in response to initiation of continental collision with the subduction of stretched Arabian lithosphere. This early stage of collision produced topographic relief associated with shallow foreland basins, suggesting that shortening and tectonic loading occurred at low rates. Starting from the early Miocene (17.5 Ma), flexural subsidence in response to foreland basin initiation occurred. Fast sediment accumulation rates and erosional unroofing trends point to acceleration of shortening by the early Miocene. We suggest that the lag time between the initiation of continental collision (36 Ma) and the acceleration of regional deformation (20-17.5 Ma) reflects a two-stage collision process, involving the "soft" collision of stretched lithosphere at first and "hard" collision following the arrival of unstretched Arabian continental litho sphere in the subduction zone. Y1 - 2011 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1130/B30091.1 SN - 0016-7606 VL - 123 IS - 1-2 SP - 106 EP - 131 PB - American Institute of Physics CY - Boulder ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Landgraf, Angela A1 - Kübler, Simon A1 - Hintersberger, Esther A1 - Stein, Seth T1 - Active tectonics, earthquakes and palaeoseismicity in slowly deforming continents JF - Seismicity, fault rupture and earthquake hazards in slowly deforming regions Y1 - 2016 SN - 978-1-86239-745-3 SN - 978-1-86239-964-8 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1144/SP432.13 SN - 0305-8719 VL - 432 IS - 1 SP - 1 EP - 12 PB - The Geological Society CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ballato, Paolo A1 - Stockli, Daniel F. A1 - Ghassemi, Mohammad R. A1 - Landgraf, Angela A1 - Strecker, Manfred A1 - Hassanzadeh, Jamshid A1 - Friedrich, Anke M. A1 - Tabatabaei, Saeid H. T1 - Accommodation of transpressional strain in the Arabia-Eurasia collision zone new constraints from (U-Th)/He thermochronology in the Alborz mountains, north Iran JF - Tectonics N2 - The Alborz range of N Iran provides key information on the spatiotemporal evolution and characteristics of the Arabia-Eurasia continental collision zone. The southwestern Alborz range constitutes a transpressional duplex, which accommodates oblique shortening between Central Iran and the South Caspian Basin. The duplex comprises NW-striking frontal ramps that are kinematically linked to inherited E-W-striking, right-stepping lateral to obliquely oriented ramps. New zircon and apatite (U-Th)/He data provide a high-resolution framework to unravel the evolution of collisional tectonics in this region. Our data record two pulses of fast cooling associated with SW-directed thrusting across the frontal ramps at similar to 18-14 and 9.5-7.5 Ma, resulting in the tectonic repetition of a fossil zircon partial retention zone and a cooling pattern with a half U-shaped geometry. Uniform cooling ages of similar to 7-6 Ma along the southernmost E-W striking oblique ramp and across its associated NW-striking frontal ramps suggests that the ramp was reactivated as a master throughgoing, N-dipping thrust. We interpret this major change in fault kinematics and deformation style to be related to a change in the shortening direction from NE to N/NNE. The reduction in the obliquity of thrusting may indicate the termination of strike-slip faulting (and possibly thrusting) across the Iranian Plateau, which could have been triggered by an increase in elevation. Furthermore, we suggest that similar to 7-6-m.y.-old S-directed thrusting predated inception of the westward motion of the South Caspian Basin. Citation: Ballato, P., D. F. Stockli, M. R. Ghassemi, A. Landgraf, M. R. Strecker, J. Hassanzadeh, A. Friedrich, and S. H. Tabatabaei (2012), Accommodation of transpressional strain in the Arabia-Eurasia collision zone: new constraints from (U-Th)/He thermochronology in the Alborz mountains. Y1 - 2013 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2012TC003159 SN - 0278-7407 VL - 32 IS - 1 SP - 1 EP - 18 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER -