TY - JOUR A1 - Cao, Xianyong A1 - Tian, Fang A1 - Telford, Richard J. A1 - Ni, Jian A1 - Xu, Qinghai A1 - Chen, Fahu A1 - Liu, Xingqi A1 - Stebich, Martina A1 - Zhao, Yan A1 - Herzschuh, Ulrike T1 - Impacts of the spatial extent of pollen-climate calibration-set on the absolute values, range and trends of reconstructed Holocene precipitation JF - Quaternary science reviews : the international multidisciplinary research and review journal N2 - Pollen-based quantitative reconstructions of past climate variables is a standard palaeoclimatic approach. Despite knowing that the spatial extent of the calibration-set affects the reconstruction result, guidance is lacking as to how to determine a suitable spatial extent of the pollen-climate calibration-set. In this study, past mean annual precipitation (P-ann) during the Holocene (since 11.5 cal ka BP) is reconstructed repeatedly for pollen records from Qinghai Lake (36.7 degrees N, 100.5 degrees E; north-east Tibetan Plateau), Gonghai Lake (38.9 degrees N, 112.2 degrees E; north China) and Sihailongwan Lake (42.3 degrees N, 126.6 degrees E; north-east China) using calibration-sets of varying spatial extents extracted from the modern pollen dataset of China and Mongolia (2559 sampling sites and 168 pollen taxa in total). Results indicate that the spatial extent of the calibration-set has a strong impact on model performance, analogue quality and reconstruction diagnostics (absolute value, range, trend, optimum). Generally, these effects are stronger with the modern analogue technique (MAT) than with weighted averaging partial least squares (WA-PLS). With respect to fossil spectra from northern China, the spatial extent of calibration-sets should be restricted to radii between ca. 1000 and 1500 km because small-scale calibration-sets (<800 km radius) will likely fail to include enough spatial variation in the modern pollen assemblages to reflect the temporal range shifts during the Holocene, while too broad a scale calibration-set (>1500 km radius) will include taxa with very different pollen-climate relationships. (C) 2017 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. KW - Analogue quality KW - Statistical significance KW - Cross-validation KW - Holocene KW - Climate reconstruction KW - WA-PLS KW - MAT Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quascirev.2017.10.030 SN - 0277-3791 VL - 178 SP - 37 EP - 53 PB - Elsevier CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Menzel, Philip A1 - Gaye, Birgit A1 - Mishra, Praveen Kumar A1 - Anoop, Ambili A1 - Basavaiah, Nathani A1 - Marwan, Norbert A1 - Plessen, Birgit A1 - Prasad, Sushma A1 - Riedel, Nils A1 - Stebich, Martina A1 - Wiesner, Martin G. T1 - Linking Holocene drying trends from Lonar Lake in monsoonal central India to North Atlantic cooling events JF - Palaeogeography, palaeoclimatology, palaeoecology : an international journal for the geo-sciences N2 - We present the results of biogeochemical and mineralogical analyses on a sediment core that covers the Holocene sedimentation history of the climatically sensitive, closed, saline, and alkaline Lonar Lake in the core monsoon zone in central India. We compare our results of C/N ratios, stable carbon and nitrogen isotopes, grain-size, as well as amino acid derived degradation proxies with climatically sensitive proxies of other records from South Asia and the North Atlantic region. The comparison reveals some more or less contemporaneous climate shifts. At Lonar Lake, a general long term climate transition from wet conditions during the early Holocene to drier conditions during the late Holocene, delineating the insolation curve, can be reconstructed. In addition to the previously identified periods of prolonged drought during 4.6-3.9 and 2.0-0.6 cal ka that have been attributed to temperature changes in the Indo Pacific Warm Pool, several additional phases of shorter term climate alteration superimposed upon the general climate trend can be identified. These correlate with cold phases in the North Atlantic region. The most pronounced climate deteriorations indicated by our data occurred during 62-5.2,4.6-3.9, and 2.0-0.6 cal ka BP. The strong dry phase between 4.6 and 3.9 cal ka BP at Lonar Lake corroborates the hypothesis that severe climate deterioration contributed to the decline of the Indus Civilisation about 3.9 ka BP. (C) 2014 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. KW - Lake sediment KW - Indian monsoon KW - Holocene KW - Climate reconstruction KW - Stable carbon isotope KW - Amino acid Y1 - 2014 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.palaeo.2014.05.044 SN - 0031-0182 SN - 1872-616X VL - 410 SP - 164 EP - 178 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER -