TY  - JOUR
A1  - Gassmann, Shari-Estelle
A1  - Nunkoo, Robin
A1  - Tiberius, Victor
A1  - Kraus, Sascha
T1  - My home is your castle
BT  - forecasting the future of accommodation sharing
JF  - International journal of contemporary hospitality management
N2  - Purpose
This paper aims to formulate the most probable future scenario for the accommodation sharing sector within the next five to ten years. It addresses the following six thematic aspects: relevance, different forms of accommodation sharing, users, hosts, platforms, and finally, industry regulation.

Design/methodology/approach
This study identifies the most likely holistic future scenario by conducting a two-stage Delphi study involving 59 expert panelists. It addresses 33 projections for six thematic sections of the accommodation sharing industry: relevance, different forms of accommodation sharing, users, hosts, platforms, and finally, industry regulation.

Findings
The results indicate that the number of shared accommodations and users of home-sharing will increase. Moreover, the cost advantage is the predominant driver for users to engage in the accommodation sharing segment, and for the hosts, the generation of an extra income is the primary incentive. Finally, the regulation within this industry is expected to be more effective in the foreseeable future.

Practical implications
The results are critical, not only to advance our theoretical understanding and stimulate critical discussions on the long-term development of accommodation sharing but also to assist governments and policymakers who have an interest in developing and regulating this sector and developers seeking business opportunities.

Originality/value
While there is ample knowledge about the past and current development of accommodation sharing in tourism, little is understood about its potential future development and implications for consumers, the economy, and society. To date, no scientific research is available that develops scenarios about the future of accommodation sharing.
KW  - forecasting
KW  - Delphi
KW  - scenario
KW  - Airbnb
KW  - accommodation sharing
Y1  - 2021
U6  - https://doi.org/10.1108/IJCHM-06-2020-0596
SN  - 0959-6119
VL  - 33
IS  - 2
SP  - 467
EP  - 489
PB  - Emerald
CY  - Bingley
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Höhne, Stefan
A1  - Tiberius, Victor
T1  - Powered by blockchain
BT  - forecasting blockchain use in the electricity market
JF  - International journal of energy sector management
N2  - Purpose: The purpose of this study is to formulate the most probable future scenario for the use of blockchain technology within the next 5–10 years in the electricity sector based on today’s experts’ views.
Design/methodology/approach: An international, two-stage Delphi study with 20 projections is used. 
Findings: According to the experts, blockchain applications will be primarily based on permissioned or consortium blockchains. Blockchain-based applications will integrate Internet of Things devices in the power grid, manage the e-mobility infrastructure, automate billing and direct payment and issue certificates regarding the origin of electricity. Blockchain solutions are expected to play an important big role in fostering peer-to-peer trading in microgrids, further democratizing and decentralizing the energy sector. New regulatory frameworks become necessary.
Research limitations/implications: The Delphi study’s scope is rather broad than narrow and detailed. Further studies should focus on partial scenarios. 
Practical implications: Electricity market participants should build blockchain-based competences and collaborate in current pilot projects. 
Social implications: Blockchain technology will further decentralize the energy sector and probably reduce transaction costs. Originality/value: Despite the assumed importance of blockchain technology, no coherent foresight study on its use and implications exists yet. This study closes this research gap.
KW  - innovation
KW  - surveys
KW  - scenario analysis
KW  - blockchain technology
KW  - Delphi
KW  - method
KW  - digitization
KW  - electricity market
Y1  - 2020
U6  - https://doi.org/10.1108/IJESM-10-2019-0002
SN  - 1750-6220
SN  - 1750-6239
VL  - 14
IS  - 6
SP  - 1221
EP  - 1238
PB  - Emerald Group Publishing Limited
CY  - Bingley
ER  -