TY  - JOUR
A1  - Cammerer, Holger
A1  - Thieken, Annegret
T1  - Historical development and future outlook of the flood damage potential of residential areas in the Alpine Lech Valley (Austria) between 1971 and 2030
JF  - Regional environmental change
N2  - In the recent past, the Alpine Lech valley (Austria) experienced three damaging flood events within 6 years despite the various structural flood protection measures in place. For an improved flood risk management, the analysis of flood damage potentials is a crucial component. Since the expansion of built-up areas and their associated values is seen as one of the main drivers of rising flood losses, the goal of this study is to analyze the spatial development of the assets at risk, particularly of residential areas, due to land use changes over a historic period (since 1971) and up to possible shifts in future (until 2030). The analysis revealed that the alpine study area was faced to remarkable land use changes like urbanization and the decline of agriculturally used grassland areas. Although the major agglomeration of residential areas inside the flood plains took place before 1971, a steady growth of values at risk can still be observed until now. Even for the future, the trend is ongoing, but depends very much on the assumed land use scenario and the underlying land use policy. Between 1971 and 2006, the annual growth rate of the damage potential of residential areas amounted to 1.1 % ('constant values,' i.e., asset values at constant prices of reference year 2006) or 3.0 % ('adjusted values,' i.e., asset values adjusted by GDP increase at constant prices of reference year 2006) for three flood scenarios. For the projected time span between 2006 and 2030, a further annual increase by 1.0 % ('constant values') or even 4.2 % ('adjusted values') may be possible when the most extreme urbanization scenario 'Overall Growth' is considered. Although socio-economic development is regarded as the main driver for increasing flood losses, our analysis shows that settlement development does not preferably take place within flood prone areas.
KW  - Asset estimation
KW  - Flood damage potential
KW  - Land use change
KW  - Mountain basins
KW  - Temporal variability
Y1  - 2013
U6  - https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-013-0407-9
SN  - 1436-3798
VL  - 13
IS  - 5
SP  - 999
EP  - 1012
PB  - Springer
CY  - Heidelberg
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Cammerer, Holger
A1  - Thieken, Annegret
A1  - Verburg, Peter H.
T1  - Spatio-temporal dynamics in the flood exposure due to land use changes in the Alpine Lech Valley in Tyrol (Austria)
JF  - Natural hazards : journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards
N2  - Flood risk is expected to increase in many regions of the world in the next decades with rising flood losses as a consequence. First and foremost, it can be attributed to the expansion of settlement and industrial areas into flood plains and the resulting accumulation of assets. For a future-oriented and a more robust flood risk management, it is therefore of importance not only to estimate potential impacts of climate change on the flood hazard, but also to analyze the spatio-temporal dynamics of flood exposure due to land use changes. In this study, carried out in the Alpine Lech Valley in Tyrol (Austria), various land use scenarios until 2030 were developed by means of a spatially explicit land use model, national spatial planning scenarios and current spatial policies. The combination of the simulated land use patterns with different inundation scenarios enabled us to derive statements about possible future changes in flood-exposed built-up areas. The results indicate that the potential assets at risk depend very much on the selected socioeconomic scenario. The important conditions affecting the potential assets at risk that differ between the scenarios are the demand for new built-up areas as well as on the types of conversions allowed to provide the necessary areas at certain locations. The range of potential changes in flood-exposed residential areas varies from no further change in the most moderate scenario 'Overall Risk' to 119 % increase in the most extreme scenario 'Overall Growth' (under current spatial policy) and 159 % increase when disregarding current building restrictions.
KW  - Flood risk
KW  - Land use change
KW  - Spatial policy
KW  - Socioeconomic scenarios
KW  - Mountain basins
Y1  - 2013
U6  - https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-012-0280-8
SN  - 0921-030X
VL  - 68
IS  - 3
SP  - 1243
EP  - 1270
PB  - Springer
CY  - New York
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Bouwer, Laurens M.
A1  - Papyrakis, Elissaios
A1  - Poussin, Jennifer
A1  - Pfurtscheller, Clemens
A1  - Thieken, Annegret
T1  - The costing of measures for natural hazard mitigation in Europe
JF  - Natural hazards review
N2  - The literature on the costing of mitigation measures for reducing impacts of natural hazards is rather fragmented. This paper provides a concise overview of the current state of knowledge in Europe on the costing of mitigation measures for the reduction of natural hazard risks (droughts, floods, storms and induced coastal hazards as well as alpine hazards) and identifies knowledge gaps and related research recommendations. Furthermore, it provides a taxonomy of related mitigation options, classifying them into nine categories: (1) management plans, land-use planning, and climate adaptation; (2) hazard modification; (3) infrastructure; (4) mitigation measures (stricto sensu); (5) communication in advance of events; (6) monitoring and early warning systems; (7) emergency response and evacuation; (8) financial incentives; and (9) risk transfer (including insurance). It is found that the costing of mitigation measures in European and in other countries has almost exclusively focused on estimating direct costs. A cost assessment framework that addresses a range of costs, possibly informed by multiple stakeholders, would provide more accurate estimates and could provide better guidance to decision makers. (C) 2014 American Society of Civil Engineers.
KW  - Natural hazards
KW  - Mitigation
KW  - Costs
KW  - Adaptation
KW  - Risk reduction
KW  - Floods
KW  - Droughts
KW  - Coastal hazards
KW  - Alpine hazards
Y1  - 2014
U6  - https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000133
SN  - 1527-6988
SN  - 1527-6996
VL  - 15
IS  - 4
PB  - American Society of Civil Engineers
CY  - Reston
ER  - 
TY  - INPR
A1  - Kreibich, Heidi
A1  - van den Bergh, Jeroen C. J. M.
A1  - Bouwer, Laurens M.
A1  - Bubeck, Philip
A1  - Ciavola, Paolo
A1  - Green, Colin
A1  - Hallegatte, Stephane
A1  - Logar, Ivana
A1  - Meyer, Volker
A1  - Schwarze, Reimund
A1  - Thieken, Annegret
T1  - Costing natural hazards
T2  - Nature climate change
Y1  - 2014
SN  - 1758-678X
SN  - 1758-6798
VL  - 4
IS  - 5
SP  - 303
EP  - 306
PB  - Nature Publ. Group
CY  - London
ER  - 
TY  - INPR
A1  - Thieken, Annegret
A1  - Mariani, S.
A1  - Longfield, S.
A1  - Vanneuville, W.
T1  - Preface: Flood resilient communities - managing the consequences of flooding
T2  - Natural hazards and earth system sciences
Y1  - 2014
U6  - https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-14-33-2014
SN  - 1561-8633
VL  - 14
IS  - 1
SP  - 33
EP  - 39
PB  - Copernicus
CY  - Göttingen
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Uhlemann, Steffi
A1  - Thieken, Annegret
A1  - Merz, Bruno
T1  - A quality assessment framework for natural hazard event documentation: application to trans-basin flood reports in Germany
JF  - Natural hazards and earth system sciences
Y1  - 2014
U6  - https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-14-189-2014
SN  - 1561-8633
VL  - 14
IS  - 2
SP  - 189
EP  - 208
PB  - Copernicus
CY  - Göttingen
ER  - 
TY  - BOOK
A1  - Thieken, Annegret
A1  - Bessel, Tina
A1  - Callsen, Ines
A1  - Falter, Daniela
A1  - Hasan, Issa
A1  - Kienzler, Sarah
A1  - Kox, Thomas
A1  - Kreibich, Heidi
A1  - Kuhlicke, Christian
A1  - Kunz, Michael
A1  - Matthias, Max
A1  - Meyer, Volker
A1  - Mühr, Bernhard
A1  - Müller, Meike
A1  - Otto, Antje
A1  - Pech, Ina
A1  - Petrow, Theresia
A1  - Pisi, Sebastian
A1  - Rother, Karl-Heinz
A1  - Schröter, Kai
T1  - Das Hochwasser im Juni 2013
BT  - Bewährungsprobe für das Hochwasserrisikomanagement in Deutschland
T3  - Schriftenreihe des DKKV ; 53
Y1  - 2015
SN  - 978-3-933181-62-6
PB  - Deutsches Komitee Katastrophenvorsorge
CY  - Bonn
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Thieken, Annegret
T1  - Danksagung
JF  - Das Hochwasser im Juni 2013 :  Bewährungsprobe für das Hochwasserrisikomanagement in Deutschland
Y1  - 2015
SN  - 978-3-933181-62-6
SP  - 11
EP  - 11
PB  - Deutsches Komitee Katastrophenvorsorge
CY  - Bonn
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Kienzler, Sarah
A1  - Pech, Ina
A1  - Thieken, Annegret
T1  - Risikowahrnehmung, Risikokommunikation und Entwicklung der Eigenversorg von Betroffenen
JF  - Das Hochwasser im Juni 2013 :  Bewährungsprobe für das Hochwasserrisikomanagement in Deutschland
Y1  - 2015
SN  - 978-3-933181-62-6
SP  - 99
EP  - 110
PB  - Deutsches Komitee Katastrophenvorsorge
CY  - Bonn
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Schröder, Kai
A1  - Hasan, Issa
A1  - Falter, Daniela
A1  - Thieken, Annegret
T1  - Schutz und Entlastung von hochwassergefährdeten Gebieten
JF  - Das Hochwasser im Juni 2013 :  Bewährungsprobe für das Hochwasserrisikomanagement in Deutschland
Y1  - 2015
SN  - 978-3-933181-62-6
SP  - 76
EP  - 91
PB  - Deutsches Komitee Katastrophenvorsorge
CY  - Bonn
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Petrow, Theresia
A1  - Hasan, Issa
A1  - Otto, Antje
A1  - Thieken, Annegret
T1  - Entwicklungen in der Gesetzgebung zm Hochwasserrisikomanagment
JF  - Das Hochwasser im Juni 2013 :  Bewährungsprobe für das Hochwasserrisikomanagement in Deutschland
Y1  - 2015
SN  - 978-3-933181-62-6
SP  - 47
EP  - 51
PB  - Deutsches Komitee Katastrophenvorsorge
CY  - Bonn
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Kienzler, Sarah
A1  - Falter, Daniela
A1  - Thieken, Annegret
T1  - Zusammenwirken von staatlicher und privater Vorsorge
BT  - Fallstudie Mulde
JF  - Das Hochwasser im Juni 2013 :  Bewährungsprobe für das Hochwasserrisikomanagement in Deutschland
Y1  - 2015
SN  - 978-3-933181-62-6
SP  - 110
EP  - 120
PB  - Deutsches Komitee Katastrophenvorsorge
CY  - Bonn
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Thieken, Annegret
A1  - Pisi, Sebastian
T1  - Entwicklungn der technischen Systeme und der Organisaton in der Warnkette seit 2002
JF  - Das Hochwasser im Juni 2013 :  Bewährungsprobe für das Hochwasserrisikomanagement in Deutschland
Y1  - 2015
SN  - 978-3-933181-62-6
SP  - 123
EP  - 132
PB  - Deutsches Komitee Katastrophenvorsorge
CY  - Bonn
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Müller, Meike
A1  - Bessel, Tina
A1  - Pisi, Sebastian
A1  - Kreibich, Heidi
A1  - Thieken, Annegret
T1  - Auswirkungen und Schäden
JF  - Das Hochwasser im Juni 2013 :  Bewährungsprobe für das Hochwasserrisikomanagement in Deutschland
Y1  - 2015
SN  - 978-3-933181-62-6
SP  - 31
EP  - 45
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Thieken, Annegret
T1  - Konzepte zur Umsetzung von Hochwasservorsorge und Risikomanagement
JF  - Das Hochwasser im Juni 2013 :  Bewährungsprobe für das Hochwasserrisikomanagement in Deutschland
Y1  - 2015
SN  - 978-3-933181-62-6
SP  - 51
EP  - 65
PB  - Deutsches Komitee Katastrophenvorsorge
CY  - Bonn
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Petrow, Theresia
A1  - Thieken, Annegret
T1  - Entwicklunge in der Flächenvorsorge
JF  - Das Hochwasser im Juni 2013 :  Bewährungsprobe für das Hochwasserrisikomanagement in Deutschland
Y1  - 2015
SN  - 978-3-933181-62-6
SP  - 92
EP  - 99
PB  - Deutsches Komitee Katastrophenvorsorge
CY  - Bonn
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Thieken, Annegret
T1  - Einleitung
JF  - Das Hochwasser im Juni 2013 :  Bewährungsprobe für das Hochwasserrisikomanagement in Deutschland
Y1  - 2015
SN  - 978-3-933181-62-6
SP  - 13
EP  - 17
PB  - Deutsches Komitee Katastrophenvorsorge
CY  - Bonn
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Thieken, Annegret
A1  - Otto, Antje
A1  - Pisi, Sebastian
A1  - Petrow, Theresia
A1  - Kreibich, Heidi
A1  - Kuhlicke, Christian
A1  - Schröter, Kai
A1  - Kienzler, Sarah
A1  - Müller, Meike
T1  - Schlussfolgerungen und Empfehlungen
JF  - Das Hochwasser im Juni 2013 :  Bewährungsprobe für das Hochwasserrisikomanagement in Deutschland
Y1  - 2015
SN  - 978-3-933181-62-6
SP  - 184
EP  - 196
PB  - Deutsches Komitee Katastrophenvorsorge
CY  - Bonn
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Pech, Ina
A1  - Kreibich, Heidi
A1  - Thieken, Annegret
T1  - Warnung und Reaktion aus Sicht von Betroffenen
JF  - Das Hochwasser im Juni 2013 :  Bewährungsprobe für das Hochwasserrisikomanagement in Deutschland
Y1  - 2015
SN  - 978-3-933181-62-6
SP  - 138
EP  - 142
PB  - Deutsches Komitee Katastrophenvorsorge
CY  - Bonn
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Thieken, Annegret
A1  - Pisi, Sebastian
T1  - Vorhersagen und Warnungen im Mai / Juni 2013
JF  - Das Hochwasser im Juni 2013 :  Bewährungsprobe für das Hochwasserrisikomanagement in Deutschland
Y1  - 2015
SN  - 978-3-933181-62-6
SP  - 132
EP  - 137
PB  - Deutsches Komitee Katastrophenvorsorge
CY  - Bonn
ER  -