TY  - JOUR
A1  - Huber, Robert
A1  - Rigling, Andreas
A1  - Bebi, Peter
A1  - Brand, Fridolin Simon
A1  - Briner, Simon
A1  - Buttler, Alexandre
A1  - Elkin, Che
A1  - Gillet, Francois
A1  - Gret-Regamey, Adrienne
A1  - Hirschi, Christian
A1  - Lischke, Heike
A1  - Scholz, Roland Werner
A1  - Seidl, Roman
A1  - Spiegelberger, Thomas
A1  - Walz, Ariane
A1  - Zimmermann, Willi
A1  - Bugmann, Harald
T1  - Sustainable land use in Mountain Regions under global change synthesis across scales and disciplines
JF  - Ecology and society : a journal of integrative science for resilience and sustainability
N2  - Mountain regions provide essential ecosystem goods and services (EGS) for both mountain dwellers and people living outside these areas. Global change endangers the capacity of mountain ecosystems to provide key services. The Mountland project focused on three case study regions in the Swiss Alps and aimed to propose land-use practices and alternative policy solutions to ensure the provision of key EGS under climate and land-use changes. We summarized and synthesized the results of the project and provide insights into the ecological, socioeconomic, and political processes relevant for analyzing global change impacts on a European mountain region. In Mountland, an integrative approach was applied, combining methods from economics and the political and natural sciences to analyze ecosystem functioning from a holistic human-environment system perspective. In general, surveys, experiments, and model results revealed that climate and socioeconomic changes are likely to increase the vulnerability of the EGS analyzed. We regard the following key characteristics of coupled human-environment systems as central to our case study areas in mountain regions: thresholds, heterogeneity, trade-offs, and feedback. Our results suggest that the institutional framework should be strengthened in a way that better addresses these characteristics, allowing for (1) more integrative approaches, (2) a more network-oriented management and steering of political processes that integrate local stakeholders, and (3) enhanced capacity building to decrease the identified vulnerability as central elements in the policy process. Further, to maintain and support the future provision of EGS in mountain regions, policy making should also focus on project-oriented, cross-sectoral policies and spatial planning as a coordination instrument for land use in general.
KW  - adaptive management
KW  - climate change
KW  - ecosystem services
KW  - experiments
KW  - interdisciplinary research
KW  - land-use change
KW  - modeling
KW  - transdisciplinary research
Y1  - 2013
U6  - https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-05499-180336
SN  - 1708-3087
VL  - 18
IS  - 3
PB  - Resilience Alliance
CY  - Wolfville
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Walz, Ariane
A1  - Braendle, J. M.
A1  - Lang, D. J.
A1  - Brand, Fridolin Simon
A1  - Briner, Simon
A1  - Elkin, C.
A1  - Hirschi, C.
A1  - Huber, R.
A1  - Lischke, H.
A1  - Schmatz, D. R.
T1  - Experience from downscaling IPCC-SRES scenarios to specific national-level focus scenarios for ecosystem service management
JF  - Technological forecasting & social change
N2  - Scenario analysis is a widely used approach to incorporate uncertainties in global change research. In the context of regional ecosystem service and landscape management where global IPCC climate simulations and their downscaled derivates are applied, it can be useful to work with regional sodo-economic scenarios that are coherent with the global IPCC scenarios. The consistency with the original source scenarios, transparency and reproducibility of the methods used as well as the internal consistency of the derived scenarios are important methodological prerequisites for coherently downscaling pre-existing source scenarios. In contrast to well-established systematic-qualitative scenario techniques, we employ here a formal technique of scenario construction which combines expert judgement with a quantitative, indicator-based selection algorithm in order to deduce a formally consistent set of focus scenario. In our case study, these focus scenarios reflect the potential development pathways of major national-level drivers for ecosystem service management in Swiss mountain regions. The integration of an extra impact factor ("Global Trends") directly referring to the four principle SRES scenario families, helped us to formally internalise base assumptions of IPCC SRES scenarios to regional scenarios that address a different thematic focus (ecosystem service management), spatial level (national) and time horizon (2050). Compared to the well-established systematic-qualitative approach, we find strong similarities between the two methods, including the susceptibility to personal judgement which is only partly reduced by the formal method. However, the formalised scenario approach conveys four clear advantages, (1) the better documentation of the process, (2) its reproducibility, (3) the openness in terms of the number and directions of the finally selected set of scenarios, and (4) its analytical power. (C) 2013 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved.
KW  - Nested scenarios
KW  - Formalised scenario analysis
KW  - Regional ecosystem service management
KW  - Downscaling socio-economic scenarios
KW  - IPCC
Y1  - 2014
U6  - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2013.08.014
SN  - 0040-1625
SN  - 1873-5509
VL  - 86
SP  - 21
EP  - 32
PB  - Elsevier
CY  - New York
ER  -