TY - JOUR A1 - Streck, Charlotte T1 - Filling in for Governments? BT - the role of the private actors in the International Climate Regime JF - Journal for European Environmental & Planning Law N2 - The 2015 Paris Agreement on climate change abandons the Kyoto Protocol's paradigm of binding emissions targets and relies instead on countries' voluntary contributions. However, the Paris Agreement encourages not only governments but also sub-national governments, corporations and civil society to contribute to reaching ambitious climate goals. In a transition from the regulated architecture of the Kyoto Protocol to the open system of the Paris Agreement, the Agreement seeks to integrate non-state actors into the treaty-based climate regime. In 2014 the secretariat of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change Peru and France created the Non-State Actor Zone for Climate Action (and launched the Global Climate Action portal). In December 2019, this portal recorded more than twenty thousand climate-commitments of private and public non-state entities, making the non-state venues of international climate meetings decisively more exciting than the formal negotiation space. This level engagement and governments' response to it raises a flurry of questions in relation to the evolving nature of the climate regime and climate change governance, including the role of private actors as standard setters and the lack of accountability mechanisms for non-state actions. This paper takes these developments as occasion to discuss the changing role of private actors in the climate regime. KW - climate action KW - Paris Agreement KW - non-state actors KW - soft law KW - accountability KW - private governance Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1163/18760104-01701003 SN - 1613-7272 SN - 1876-0104 VL - 17 IS - 1 SP - 5 EP - 28 PB - Martinus Nijhoff Pub CY - Leiden ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Tardif-Becquet, Delphine A1 - Fluteau, Frédéric A1 - Donnadieu, Yannick A1 - Le Hir, Guillaume A1 - Ladant, Jean-Baptiste A1 - Sepulchre, Pierre A1 - Licht, Alexis A1 - Poblete, Fernando A1 - Dupont-Nivet, Guillaume T1 - The origin of Asian monsoons BT - a modelling perspective JF - Climate of the Past N2 - The Cenozoic inception and development of the Asian monsoons remain unclear and have generated much debate, as several hypotheses regarding circulation patterns at work in Asia during the Eocene have been proposed in the few last decades. These include (a) the existence of modern-like monsoons since the early Eocene; (b) that of a weak South Asian monsoon (SAM) and little to no East Asian monsoon (EAM); or (c) a prevalence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) migrations, also referred to as Indonesian-Australian monsoon (I-AM). As SAM and EAM are supposed to have been triggered or enhanced primarily by Asian palaeogeographic changes, their possible inception in the very dynamic Eocene palaeogeographic context remains an open question, both in the modelling and field-based communities. We investigate here Eocene Asian climate conditions using the IPSL-CM5A2 (Sepulchre et al., 2019) earth system model and revised palaeogeographies. Our Eocene climate simulation yields atmospheric circulation patterns in Asia substantially different from modern conditions. A large high-pressure area is simulated over the Tethys ocean, which generates intense low tropospheric winds blowing southward along the western flank of the proto-Himalayan-Tibetan plateau (HTP) system. This low-level wind system blocks, to latitudes lower than 10 degrees N, the migration of humid and warm air masses coming from the Indian Ocean. This strongly contrasts with the modern SAM, during which equatorial air masses reach a latitude of 20-25 degrees N over India and southeastern China. Another specific feature of our Eocene simulation is the widespread subsidence taking place over northern India in the midtroposphere (around 5000 m), preventing deep convective updraught that would transport water vapour up to the condensation level. Both processes lead to the onset of a broad arid region located over northern India and over the HTP. More humid regions of high seasonality in precipitation encircle this arid area, due to the prevalence of the Intertropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) migrations (or Indonesian-Australian monsoon, I-AM) rather than monsoons. Although the existence of this central arid region may partly result from the specifics of our simulation (model dependence and palaeogeographic uncertainties) and has yet to be confirmed by proxy records, most of the observational evidence for Eocene monsoons are located in the highly seasonal transition zone between the arid area and the more humid surroundings. We thus suggest that a zonal arid climate prevailed over Asia before the initiation of monsoons that most likely occurred following Eocene palaeogeographic changes. Our results also show that precipitation seasonality should be used with caution to infer the presence of a monsoonal circulation and that the collection of new data in this arid area is of paramount importance to allow the debate to move forward. KW - earth system model KW - early eocene KW - tibetan plateau KW - climate-change KW - oligocene climate KW - summer monsoon KW - global monsoon KW - ice sheet KW - part 1 KW - China Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/cp-16-847-2020 SN - 1814-9332 SN - 1814-9324 VL - 16 IS - 3 SP - 847 EP - 865 PB - Copernicus Publications CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Tofelde, Stefanie A1 - Bernhardt, Anne A1 - Guerit, Laure A1 - Romans, Brian W. T1 - Times Associated With Source-to-Sink Propagation of Environmental Signals During Landscape Transience JF - Frontiers in Earth Science N2 - Sediment archives in the terrestrial and marine realm are regularly analyzed to infer changes in climate, tectonic, or anthropogenic boundary conditions of the past. However, contradictory observations have been made regarding whether short period events are faithfully preserved in stratigraphic archives; for instance, in marine sediments offshore large river systems. On the one hand, short period events are hypothesized to be non-detectable in the signature of terrestrially derived sediments due to buffering during sediment transport along large river systems. On the other hand, several studies have detected signals of short period events in marine records offshore large river systems. We propose that this apparent discrepancy is related to the lack of a differentiation between different types of signals and the lack of distinction between river response times and signal propagation times. In this review, we (1) expand the definition of the term ‘signal’ and group signals in sub-categories related to hydraulic grain size characteristics, (2) clarify the different types of ‘times’ and suggest a precise and consistent terminology for future use, and (3) compile and discuss factors influencing the times of signal transfer along sediment routing systems and how those times vary with hydraulic grain size characteristics. Unraveling different types of signals and distinctive time periods related to signal propagation addresses the discrepancies mentioned above and allows a more comprehensive exploration of event preservation in stratigraphy – a prerequisite for reliable environmental reconstructions from terrestrially derived sedimentary records. KW - signal propagation KW - landscape transience KW - source-to-sink KW - stratigraphy KW - response time Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2021.628315 SN - 2296-6463 VL - 9 SP - 1 EP - 26 PB - Frontiers Media CY - Lausanne, Schweiz ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Tranter, Morgan Alan A1 - De Lucia, Marco A1 - Wolfgramm, Markus A1 - Kühn, Michael T1 - Barite scale formation and injectivity loss models for geothermal systems JF - Water N2 - Barite scales in geothermal installations are a highly unwanted effect of circulating deep saline fluids. They build up in the reservoir if supersaturated fluids are re-injected, leading to irreversible loss of injectivity. A model is presented for calculating the total expected barite precipitation. To determine the related injectivity decline over time, the spatial precipitation distribution in the subsurface near the injection well is assessed by modelling barite growth kinetics in a radially diverging Darcy flow domain. Flow and reservoir properties as well as fluid chemistry are chosen to represent reservoirs subject to geothermal exploration located in the North German Basin (NGB) and the Upper Rhine Graben (URG) in Germany. Fluids encountered at similar depths are hotter in the URG, while they are more saline in the NGB. The associated scaling amount normalised to flow rate is similar for both regions. The predicted injectivity decline after 10 years, on the other hand, is far greater for the NGB (64%) compared to the URG (24%), due to the temperature- and salinity-dependent precipitation rate. The systems in the NGB are at higher risk. Finally, a lightweight score is developed for approximating the injectivity loss using the Damkohler number, flow rate and total barite scaling potential. This formula can be easily applied to geothermal installations without running complex reactive transport simulations. KW - reactive transport KW - radial flow KW - geothermal energy KW - scaling KW - phreeqc KW - formation damage Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/w12113078 SN - 2073-4441 VL - 12 IS - 11 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Tronicke, Jens A1 - Allroggen, Niklas A1 - Biermann, Felix A1 - Fanselow, Florian A1 - Guillemoteau, Julien A1 - Krauskopf, Christof A1 - Lück, Erika T1 - Rapid multiscale analysis of near-surface geophysical anomaly maps BT - application to an archaeogeophysical data set JF - Geophysics N2 - In near- surface geophysics, ground-based mapping surveys are routinely used in a variety of applications including those from archaeology, civil engineering, hydrology, and soil science. The resulting geophysical anomaly maps of, for example, magnetic or electrical parameters are usually interpreted to laterally delineate subsurface structures such as those related to the remains of past human activities, subsurface utilities and other installations, hydrological properties, or different soil types. To ease the interpretation of such data sets, we have developed a multiscale processing, analysis, and visualization strategy. Our approach relies on a discrete redundant wavelet transform (RWT) implemented using cubic-spline filters and the a trous algorithm, which allows to efficiently compute a multiscale decomposition of 2D data using a series of 1D convolutions. The basic idea of the approach is presented using a synthetic test image, whereas our archaeogeophysical case study from northeast Germany demonstrates its potential to analyze and process rather typical geophysical anomaly maps including magnetic and topographic data. Our vertical-gradient magnetic data show amplitude variations over several orders of magnitude, complex anomaly patterns at various spatial scales, and typical noise patterns, whereas our topographic data show a distinct hill structure superimposed by a microtopographic stripe pattern and random noise. Our results demonstrate that the RWT approach is capable to successfully separate these components and that selected wavelet planes can be scaled and combined so that the reconstructed images allow for a detailed, multiscale structural interpretation also using integrated visualizations of magnetic and topographic data. Because our analysis approach is straightforward to implement without laborious parameter testing and tuning, computationally efficient, and easily adaptable to other geophysical data sets, we believe that it can help to rapidly analyze and interpret different geophysical mapping data collected to address a variety of near-surface applications from engineering practice and research. KW - archaeology KW - case history KW - near surface KW - magnetics KW - decomposition Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1190/GEO2019-0564.1 SN - 0016-8033 SN - 1942-2156 VL - 85 IS - 4 SP - B109 EP - B118 PB - Society of Exploration Geophysicists CY - Tulsa, Okla. ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Vogt-Vincent, Noam A1 - Lippold, Jörg A1 - Kaboth-Bahr, Stefanie A1 - Blaser, Patrick T1 - Ice-rafted debris as a source of non-conservative behaviour for the epsilon Nd palaeotracer BT - insights from a simple model JF - Geo-marine letters : an international journal of marine geology N2 - Neodymium isotopic composition (epsilon Nd) has enjoyed widespread use as a palaeotracer, principally because it behaves quasi-conservatively in the modern ocean. However, recent bottom water epsilon Nd reconstructions from the eastern North Atlantic are difficult to interpret under assumptions of conservative behaviour. The observation that this apparent departure from conservative behaviour increases with enhanced ice-rafted debris (IRD) fluxes has resulted in the suggestion that IRD leads to the overprinting of bottom water epsilon Nd through reversible scavenging. In this study, a simple water column model successfully reproduces epsilon Nd reconstructions from the eastern North Atlantic at the Last Glacial Maximum and Heinrich Stadial 1, and demonstrates that the changes in scavenging intensity required for good model-data fit is in good agreement with changes in the observed IRD flux. Although uncertainties in model parameters preclude a more definitive conclusion, the results indicate that the suggestion of IRD as a source of non-conservative behaviour in the epsilon Nd tracer is reasonable and that further research into the fundamental chemistry underlying the marine neodymium cycle is necessary to increase confidence in assumptions of conservative epsilon Nd behaviour in the past. KW - Neodymium isotopes KW - epsilon Nd KW - ice-rafted debris KW - IRD KW - last glacial KW - maximum KW - LGM KW - Heinrich event KW - Palaeoceanography KW - Paleoceanography KW - model KW - reversible scavenging KW - conservative KW - ocean circulation KW - atlantic KW - meridional overturning circulation KW - geochemical cycling Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s00367-020-00643-x SN - 0276-0460 SN - 1432-1157 VL - 40 IS - 3 SP - 325 EP - 340 PB - Springer CY - Berlin ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Volante, Silvia A1 - Pourteau, Amaury A1 - Collins, William J. A1 - Blereau, Eleanore A1 - Li, Zheng-Xiang A1 - Smit, Matthijs Arjen A1 - Evans, Noreen A1 - Nordsvan, Adam R. A1 - Spencer, Chris J. A1 - McDonald, Brad J. A1 - Li, Jiangyu A1 - Günter, Christina T1 - Multiple P-T-d-t paths reveal the evolution of the final Nuna assembly in northeast Australia JF - Journal of metamorphic geology N2 - The final assembly of the Mesoproterozoic supercontinent Nuna was marked by the collision of Laurentia and Australia at 1.60 Ga, which is recorded in the Georgetown Inlier of NE Australia. Here, we decipher the metamorphic evolution of this final Nuna collisional event using petrostructural analysis, major and trace element compositions of key minerals, thermodynamic modelling, and multi-method geochronology. The Georgetown Inlier is characterised by deformed and metamorphosed 1.70-1.62 Ga sedimentary and mafic rocks, which were intruded byc. 1.56 Ga old S-type granites. Garnet Lu-Hf and monazite U-Pb isotopic analyses distinguish two major metamorphic events (M1 atc. 1.60 Ga and M2 atc. 1.55 Ga), which allows at least two composite fabrics to be identified at the regional scale-c. 1.60 Ga S1 (consisting in fabrics S1a and S1b) andc. 1.55 Ga S2 (including fabrics S2a and S2b). Also, three tectono-metamorphic domains are distinguished: (a) the western domain, with S1 defined by low-P(LP) greenschist facies assemblages; (b) the central domain, where S1 fabric is preserved as medium-P(MP) amphibolite facies relicts, and locally as inclusion trails in garnet wrapped by the regionally dominant low-Pamphibolite facies S2 fabric; and (c) the eastern domain dominated by upper amphibolite to granulite facies S2 foliation. In the central domain, 1.60 GaMP-medium-T(MT) metamorphism (M1) developed within the staurolite-garnet stability field, with conditions ranging from 530-550 degrees C at 6-7 kbar (garnet cores) to 620-650 degrees C at 8-9 kbar (garnet rims), and it is associated with S1 fabric. The onset of 1.55 GaLP-high-T(HT) metamorphism (M2) is marked by replacement of staurolite by andalusite (M2a/D2a), which was subsequently pseudomorphed by sillimanite (M2b/D2b) where granite and migmatite are abundant.P-Tconditions ranged from 600 to 680 degrees C and 4-6 kbar for the M2b sillimanite stage. 1.60 Ga garnet relicts within the S2 foliation highlight the progressive obliteration of the S1 fabric by regional S2 in the central zone during peak M2 metamorphism. In the eastern migmatitic complex, partial melting of paragneiss and amphibolite occurred syn- to post-S2, at 730-770 degrees C and 6-8 kbar, and at 750-790 degrees C and 6 kbar, respectively. The pressure-temperature-deformation-time paths reconstructed for the Georgetown Inlier suggest ac. 1.60 Ga M1/D1 event recorded under greenschist facies conditions in the western domain and under medium-Pand medium-Tconditions in the central domain. This event was followed by the regional 1.56-1.54 Ga low-Pand high-Tphase (M2/D2), extensively recorded in the central and eastern domains. Decompression between these two metamorphic events is ascribed to an episode of exhumation. The two-stage evolution supports the previous hypothesis that the Georgetown Inlier preserves continental collisional and subsequent thermal perturbation associated with granite emplacement. KW - continental collision KW - Lu-Hf in garnet KW - petrostructural analysis KW - P-T-d-tpaths KW - supercontinent Nuna Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1111/jmg.12532 SN - 0263-4929 SN - 1525-1314 VL - 38 IS - 6 SP - 593 EP - 627 PB - Wiley-Blackwell CY - Oxford [u.a.] ER - TY - JOUR A1 - von Specht, Sebastian A1 - Cotton, Fabrice T1 - A link between machine learning and optimization in ground-motion model development BT - weighted mixed-effects regression with data-driven probabilistic earthquake classification JF - Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America N2 - The steady increase of ground-motion data not only allows new possibilities but also comes with new challenges in the development of ground-motion models (GMMs). Data classification techniques (e.g., cluster analysis) do not only produce deterministic classifications but also probabilistic classifications (e.g., probabilities for each datum to belong to a given class or cluster). One challenge is the integration of such continuous classification in regressions for GMM development such as the widely used mixed-effects model. We address this issue by introducing an extension of the mixed-effects model to incorporate data weighting. The parameter estimation of the mixed-effects model, that is, fixed-effects coefficients of the GMMs and the random-effects variances, are based on the weighted likelihood function, which also provides analytic uncertainty estimates. The data weighting permits for earthquake classification beyond the classical, expert-driven, binary classification based, for example, on event depth, distance to trench, style of faulting, and fault dip angle. We apply Angular Classification with Expectation-maximization, an algorithm to identify clusters of nodal planes from focal mechanisms to differentiate between, for example, interface- and intraslab-type events. Classification is continuous, that is, no event belongs completely to one class, which is taken into account in the ground-motion modeling. The theoretical framework described in this article allows for a fully automatic calibration of ground-motion models using large databases with automated classification and processing of earthquake and ground-motion data. As an example, we developed a GMM on the basis of the GMM by Montalva et al. (2017) with data from the strong-motion flat file of Bastias and Montalva (2016) with similar to 2400 records from 319 events in the Chilean subduction zone. Our GMM with the data-driven classification is comparable to the expert-classification-based model. Furthermore, the model shows temporal variations of the between-event residuals before and after large earthquakes in the region. Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1785/0120190133 SN - 0037-1106 SN - 1943-3573 VL - 110 IS - 6 SP - 2777 EP - 2800 PB - Seismological Society of America CY - Albany ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Voss, Katalyn A. A1 - Bookhagen, Bodo A1 - Sachse, Dirk A1 - Chadwick, Oliver A. T1 - Variation of deuterium excess in surface waters across a 5000-m elevation gradient in eastern Nepal JF - Journal of hydrology N2 - The strong elevation gradient of the Himalaya allows for investigation of altitude and orographic impacts on surface water delta O-18 and delta D stable isotope values. This study differentiates the time- and altitude-variable contributions of source waters to the Arun River in eastern Nepal. It provides isotope data along a 5000-m gradient collected from tributaries as well as groundwater, snow, and glacial-sourced surface waters and time-series data from April to October 2016. We find nonlinear trends in delta O-18 and delta D lapse rates with high-elevation lapse rates (4000-6000 masl) 5-7 times more negative than low-elevation lapse rates (1000-3000 masl). A distinct seasonal signal in delta O-18 and delta D lapse rates indicates time-variable source-water contributions from glacial and snow meltwater as well as precipitation transitions between the Indian Summer Monsoon and Winter Westerly Disturbances. Deuterium excess correlates with the extent of snowpack and tracks melt events during the Indian Summer Monsoon season. Our analysis identifies the influence of snow and glacial melt waters on river composition during low-flow conditions before the monsoon (April/May 2016) followed by a 5-week transition to the Indian Summer Monsoon-sourced rainfall around mid-June 2016. In the post-monsoon season, we find continued influence from glacial melt waters as well as ISM-sourced groundwater. KW - stable isotopes KW - Himalaya KW - glacier KW - snow KW - precipitation KW - seasonality Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2020.124802 SN - 0022-1694 SN - 1879-2707 VL - 586 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wang, Lei A1 - Dresen, Georg A1 - Rybacki, Erik A1 - Bonnelye, Audrey A1 - Bohnhoff, Marco T1 - Pressure-dependent bulk compressibility of a porous granular material modeled by improved contact mechanics and micromechanical approaches BT - effects of surface roughness of grains JF - Acta materialia N2 - The change of the mechanical properties of granular materials with pressure is an important topic associated with many industrial applications. In this paper we investigate the influence of hydrostatic pressure (P-e) on the effective bulk compressibility (C-eff) of a granular material by applying two modified theoretical approaches that are based on contact mechanics and micromechanics, respectively. For a granular material composed of rough grains, an extended contact model is developed to elucidate the effect of roughness of grain surfaces on bulk compressibility. At relatively low pressures, the model predicts that the decrease of bulk compressibility with pressure may be described by a power law with an exponent of -1/2 (i.e., C-eff proportional to P-e(1/2) ), but deviates at intermediate pressures. At elevated pressures beyond full contact, bulk compressibility remains almost unchanged, which may be roughly evaluated by continuum contact mechanics. As an alternative explanation of pressure-dependent bulk compressibility, we suggest a micromechanical model that accounts for effects of different types of pore space present in granular materials. Narrow and compliant inter-granular cracks are approximated by three-dimensional oblate spheroidal cracks with rough surfaces, whereas the equant and stiff pores surrounded by three and four neighboring grains are modeled as tubular pores with cross sections of three and four cusp-like corners, respectively. In this model, bulk compressibility is strongly reduced with increasing pressure by progressive closure of rough-walled cracks. At pressures exceeding crack closure pressure, deformation of the remaining equant pores is largely insensitive to pressure, with almost no further change in bulk compressibility. To validate these models, we performed hydrostatic compression tests on Bentheim sandstone (a granular rock consisting of quartz with high porosity) under a wide range of pressure. The relation between observed microstructures and measured pressure-dependent bulk compressibility is well explained by both suggested models. KW - Bulk compressibility KW - Granular materials KW - Roughness KW - Micromechanical model KW - Contact model Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.actamat.2020.01.063 SN - 1359-6454 SN - 1873-2453 VL - 188 SP - 259 EP - 272 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wang, Lei A1 - Kwiatek, Grzegorz A1 - Rybacki, Erik A1 - Bohnhoff, Marco A1 - Dresen, Georg T1 - Injection-induced seismic moment release and laboratory fault slip BT - implications for fluid-induced seismicity JF - Geophysical research letters N2 - Understanding the relation between injection-induced seismic moment release and operational parameters is crucial for early identification of possible seismic hazards associated with fluid-injection projects. We conducted laboratory fluid-injection experiments on permeable sandstone samples containing a critically stressed fault at different fluid pressurization rates. The observed fluid-induced fault deformation is dominantly aseismic. Fluid-induced stick-slip and fault creep reveal that total seismic moment release of acoustic emission (AE) events is related to total injected volume, independent of respective fault slip behavior. Seismic moment release rate of AE scales with measured fault slip velocity. For injection-induced fault slip in a homogeneous pressurized region, released moment shows a linear scaling with injected volume for stable slip (steady slip and fault creep), while we find a cubic relation for dynamic slip. Our results highlight that monitoring evolution of seismic moment release with injected volume in some cases may assist in discriminating between stable slip and unstable runaway ruptures. KW - induced seismicity KW - seismic moment release KW - fluid injection KW - stick slip KW - fault creep KW - acoustic emission Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL089576 SN - 0094-8276 SN - 1944-8007 VL - 47 IS - 22 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - GEN A1 - Wang, Wei-shi A1 - Oswald, Sascha A1 - Gräff, Thomas A1 - Lensing, Hermann-Josef A1 - Liu, Tie A1 - Strasser, Daniel A1 - Munz, Matthias T1 - Correction: Impact of river reconstruction on groundwater flow during bank filtration assessed by transient three-dimensional modelling of flow and heat transport. - Hydrogeology Journal. - Berlin: Springer. - 28 (2020) , S. 723. - https://doi.org/10.1007/s10040-019-02063-3 T2 - Hydrogeology journal : official journal of the International Association of Hydrogeologists T2 - Erratum: Impact de la reconstruction d’une rivière sur l’écoulement des eaux souterraines via la filtration sur berge évalué par un modèle tridimensionnel en régime transitoire de l’écoulement et du transport de chaleur. - Berlin: Springer. - 28 (2020) , S. 723. - https://doi.org/10.1007/s10040-019-02063-3 T2 - Erratum: Impacto de la restauración de un río en el flujo de agua subterránea durante la filtración en las márgenes, evaluado mediante la modelización tridimensional transitoria del flujo y el transporte de calor. - Berlin: Springer. - 28 (2020) , S. 723. - https://doi.org/10.1007/s10040-019-02063-3 Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s10040-020-02221-y SN - 1431-2174 SN - 1435-0157 VL - 28 IS - 7 SP - 2633 EP - 2634 PB - Springer CY - Berlin ; Heidelberg ; New York, NY ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Weatherill, Graeme A1 - Cotton, Fabrice T1 - A ground motion logic tree for seismic hazard analysis in the stable cratonic region of Europe BT - regionalisation, model selection and development of a scaled backbone approach JF - Bulletin of earthquake engineering : official publication of the European Association for Earthquake Engineering N2 - Regions of low seismicity present a particular challenge for probabilistic seismic hazard analysis when identifying suitable ground motion models (GMMs) and quantifying their epistemic uncertainty. The 2020 European Seismic Hazard Model adopts a scaled backbone approach to characterise this uncertainty for shallow seismicity in Europe, incorporating region-to-region source and attenuation variability based on European strong motion data. This approach, however, may not be suited to stable cratonic region of northeastern Europe (encompassing Finland, Sweden and the Baltic countries), where exploration of various global geophysical datasets reveals that its crustal properties are distinctly different from the rest of Europe, and are instead more closely represented by those of the Central and Eastern United States. Building upon the suite of models developed by the recent NGA East project, we construct a new scaled backbone ground motion model and calibrate its corresponding epistemic uncertainties. The resulting logic tree is shown to provide comparable hazard outcomes to the epistemic uncertainty modelling strategy adopted for the Eastern United States, despite the different approaches taken. Comparison with previous GMM selections for northeastern Europe, however, highlights key differences in short period accelerations resulting from new assumptions regarding the characteristics of the reference rock and its influence on site amplification. KW - ground motion models KW - stable craton KW - regionalisation KW - epistemic KW - uncertainty KW - Europe Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s10518-020-00940-x SN - 1570-761X SN - 1573-1456 VL - 18 IS - 14 SP - 6119 EP - 6148 PB - Springer Science + Business Media B.V. CY - Dordrecht ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Weatherill, Graeme A1 - Kotha, Sreeram Reddy A1 - Cotton, Fabrice T1 - Re-thinking site amplification in regional seismic risk assessment JF - Earthquake spectra : the professional journal of the Earthquake Engineering Research Institute N2 - Probabilistic assessment of seismic hazard and risk over a geographical region presents the modeler with challenges in the characterization of the site amplification that are not present in site-specific assessment. Using site-to-site residuals from a ground motion model fit to observations from the Japanese KiK-net database, correlations between measured local amplifications and mappable proxies such as topographic slope and geology are explored. These are used subsequently to develop empirical models describing amplification as a direct function of slope, conditional upon geological period. These correlations also demonstrate the limitations of inferring 30-m shearwave velocity from slope and applying them directly into ground motion models. Instead, they illustrate the feasibility of deriving spectral acceleration amplification factors directly from sets of observed records, which are calibrated to parameters that can be mapped uniformly on a regional scale. The result is a geologically calibrated amplification model that can be incorporated into national and regional seismic hazard and risk assessment, ensuring that the corresponding total aleatory variability reflects the predictive capability of the mapped site proxy. KW - earthquake hazard analysis KW - ground motion KW - seismic risk KW - site effects KW - regional mapping Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1177/8755293019899956 SN - 8755-2930 SN - 1944-8201 VL - 36 IS - 1_SUPPL SP - 274 EP - 297 PB - Sage Publishing CY - Thousand Oaks, CA ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Weiss, Jonathan R. A1 - Walters, Richard J. A1 - Morishita, Yu A1 - Wright, Tim J. A1 - Lazecky, Milan A1 - Wang, Hua A1 - Hussain, Ekbal A1 - Hooper, Andrew J. A1 - Elliott, John R. A1 - Rollins, Chris A1 - Yu, Chen A1 - Gonzalez, Pablo J. A1 - Spaans, Karsten A1 - Li, Zhenhong A1 - Parsons, Barry T1 - High-resolution surface velocities and strain for Anatolia from Sentinel-1 InSAR and GNSS data JF - Geophysical research letters N2 - Measurements of present-day surface deformation are essential for the assessment of long-term seismic hazard. The European Space Agency's Sentinel-1 satellites enable global, high-resolution observation of crustal motion from Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR). We have developed automated InSAR processing systems that exploit the first similar to 5 years of Sentinel-1 data to measure surface motions for the similar to 800,000-km(2) Anatolian region. Our new 3-D velocity and strain rate fields illuminate deformation patterns dominated by westward motion of Anatolia relative to Eurasia, localized strain accumulation along the North and East Anatolian Faults, and rapid vertical signals associated with anthropogenic activities and to a lesser extent extension across the grabens of western Anatolia. We show that automatically processed Sentinel-1 InSAR data can characterize details of the velocity and strain rate fields with high resolution and accuracy over large regions. These results are important for assessing the relationship between strain accumulation and release in earthquakes.
Plain Language Summary Satellite-based measurements of small rates of motion of the Earth's surface made at high spatial resolutions and over large areas are important for many geophysical applications including improving earthquake hazard models. We take advantage of recent advances in geodetic techniques in order to measure surface velocities and tectonic strain accumulation across the Anatolia region, including the highly seismogenic and often deadly North Anatolian Fault. We show that by combining Sentinel-1 Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) data with Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) measurements we can enhance our view of surface deformation associated with active tectonics, the earthquake cycle, and anthropogenic processes. Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2020GL087376 SN - 0094-8276 SN - 1944-8007 VL - 47 IS - 17 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wetzel, Maria A1 - Kempka, Thomas A1 - Kühn, Michael T1 - Hydraulic and mechanical impacts of pore space alterations within a sandstone quantified by a flow velocity-dependent precipitation approach JF - Materials N2 - Geochemical processes change the microstructure of rocks and thereby affect their physical behaviour at the macro scale. A micro-computer tomography (micro-CT) scan of a typical reservoir sandstone is used to numerically examine the impact of three spatial alteration patterns on pore morphology, permeability and elastic moduli by correlating precipitation with the local flow velocity magnitude. The results demonstrate that the location of mineral growth strongly affects the permeability decrease with variations by up to four orders in magnitude. Precipitation in regions of high flow velocities is characterised by a predominant clogging of pore throats and a drastic permeability reduction, which can be roughly described by the power law relation with an exponent of 20. A continuous alteration of the pore structure by uniform mineral growth reduces the permeability comparable to the power law with an exponent of four or the Kozeny-Carman relation. Preferential precipitation in regions of low flow velocities predominantly affects smaller throats and pores with a minor impact on the flow regime, where the permeability decrease is considerably below that calculated by the power law with an exponent of two. Despite their complete distinctive impact on hydraulics, the spatial precipitation patterns only slightly affect the increase in elastic rock properties with differences by up to 6.3% between the investigated scenarios. Hence, an adequate characterisation of the spatial precipitation pattern is crucial to quantify changes in hydraulic rock properties, whereas the present study shows that its impact on elastic rock parameters is limited. The calculated relations between porosity and permeability, as well as elastic moduli can be applied for upscaling micro-scale findings to reservoir-scale models to improve their predictive capabilities, what is of paramount importance for a sustainable utilisation of the geological subsurface. KW - Bentheim sandstone KW - digital rock physics KW - micro-CT KW - elastic properties KW - permeability KW - precipitation Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/ma13143100 SN - 1996-1944 VL - 13 IS - 14 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wieczorek, Mareike A1 - Herzschuh, Ulrike T1 - Compilation of relative pollen productivity (RPP) estimates and taxonomically harmonised RPP datasets for single continents and Northern Hemisphere extratropics JF - Earth system science data : ESSD N2 - Relative pollen productivity (RPP) estimates are fractionate values, often in relation to Poaceae, that allow vegetation cover to be estimated from pollen counts with the help of models. RPP estimates are especially used in the scientific community in Europe and China, with a few studies in North America. Here we present a comprehensive compilation of available northern hemispheric RPP studies and their results arising from 51 publications with 60 sites and 131 taxa. This compilation allows scientists to identify data gaps in need of further RPP analyses but can also aid them in finding an RPP set for their study region. We also present a taxonomically harmonised, unified RPP dataset for the Northern Hemisphere and subsets for North America (including Greenland), Europe (including arctic Russia), and China, which we generated from the available studies. The unified dataset gives the mean RPP for 55 harmonised taxa as well as fall speeds, which are necessary to reconstruct vegetation cover from pollen counts and RPP values. Data are openly available at https://doi.org/10.1594/PANGAEA.922661 (Wieczorek and Herzschuh, 2020). Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-3515-2020 SN - 1866-3508 SN - 1866-3516 VL - 12 IS - 4 SP - 3515 EP - 3528 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wietzke, Luzie M. A1 - Merz, Bruno A1 - Gerlitz, Lars A1 - Kreibich, Heidi A1 - Guse, Björn A1 - Castellarin, Attilio A1 - Vorogushyn, Sergiy T1 - Comparative analysis of scalar upper tail indicators JF - Hydrological sciences journal = Journal des sciences hydrologiques N2 - Different upper tail indicators exist to characterize heavy tail phenomena, but no comparative study has been carried out so far. We evaluate the shape parameter (GEV), obesity index, Gini index and upper tail ratio (UTR) against a novel benchmark of tail heaviness - the surprise factor. Sensitivity analyses to sample size and changes in scale-to-location ratio are carried out in bootstrap experiments. The UTR replicates the surprise factor best but is most uncertain and only comparable between records of similar length. For samples with symmetric Lorenz curves, shape parameter, obesity and Gini indices provide consistent indications. For asymmetric Lorenz curves, however, the first two tend to overestimate, whereas Gini index tends to underestimate tail heaviness. We suggest the use of a combination of shape parameter, obesity and Gini index to characterize tail heaviness. These indicators should be supported with calculation of the Lorenz asymmetry coefficients and interpreted with caution. KW - upper tail behaviour KW - heavy-tailed distributions KW - extremes KW - diagnostics KW - surprise Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1080/02626667.2020.1769104 SN - 0262-6667 SN - 2150-3435 VL - 65 IS - 10 SP - 1625 EP - 1639 PB - Routledge, Taylor & Francis Group CY - Abingdon ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wolf, Sabina A1 - Pham, My A1 - Matthews, Nathanial A1 - Bubeck, Philip T1 - Understanding the implementation gap BT - policy-makers’ perceptions of ecosystem-based adaptation in Central Vietnam JF - Climate & development N2 - In recent years, nature-based solutions are receiving increasing attention in the field of disaster risk reduction and climate change adaptation as inclusive, no regret approaches. Ecosystem-based adaptation (EbA) can mitigate the impacts of climate change, build resilience and tackle environmental degradation thereby supporting the targets set by the 2030 Agenda, the Paris Agreement and the Sendai Framework. Despite these benefits, EbA is still rarely implemented in practice. To better understand the barriers to implementation, this research examines policy-makers' perceptions of EbA, using an extended version of Protection Motivation Theory as an analytical framework. Through semi-structured interviews with policy-makers at regional and provincial level in Central Vietnam, it was found that EbA is generally considered a promising response option, mainly due to its multiple ecosystem-service benefits. The demand for EbA measures was largely driven by the perceived consequences of natural hazards and climate change. Insufficient perceived response efficacy and time-lags in effectiveness for disaster risk reduction were identified as key impediments for implementation. Pilot projects and capacity building on EbA are important means to overcome these perceptual barriers. This paper contributes to bridging the knowledge-gap on political decision-making regarding EbA and can, thereby, promote its mainstreaming into policy plans. KW - climate change KW - ecosystem-based adaptation KW - risk perception KW - protection KW - motivation theory KW - decision making Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1080/17565529.2020.1724068 SN - 1756-5529 SN - 1756-5537 VL - 13 IS - 1 SP - 81 EP - 94 PB - Taylor & Francis LTD CY - Abingdon ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zapata, Sebastian A1 - Sobel, Edward A1 - Del Papa, Cecilia A1 - Glodny, Johannes T1 - Upper Plate Controls on the Formation of Broken Foreland Basins in the Andean Retroarc Between 26°S and 28°S BT - From Cretaceous Rifting to Paleogene and Miocene Broken Foreland Basins JF - Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems N2 - Marked along-strike changes in stratigraphy, mountain belt morphology, basement exhumation, and deformation styles characterize the Andean retroarc; these changes have previously been related to spatiotemporal variations in the subduction angle. We modeled new apatite fission track and apatite (U-Th-Sm)/He data from nine ranges located between 26 degrees S and 28 degrees S. Using new and previously published data, we constructed a Cretaceous to Pliocene paleogeographic model that delineates a four-stage tectonic evolution: extensional tectonics during the Cretaceous (120-75 Ma), the formation of a broken foreland basin between 55 and 30 Ma, reheating due to burial beneath sedimentary rocks (18-13 Ma), and deformation, exhumation, and surface uplift during the Late Miocene and the Pliocene (13-3 Ma). Our model highlights how preexisting upper plate structures control the deformation patterns of broken foreland basins. Because retroarc deformation predates flat-slab subduction, we propose that slab anchoring may have been the precursor of Eocene-Oligocene compression in the Andean retroarc. Our model challenges models which consider broken foreland basins and retroarc deformation in the NW Argentinian Andes to be directly related to Miocene flat subduction. KW - Northern Sierras Pampeanas KW - Fission-track thermochronology KW - Middle Eocene deformation KW - Santa-Barbara system KW - flat-slab subduction KW - tectonic inversion KW - Apatite (U-TH)/HE KW - Puna Plateau KW - radiation-damage KW - length measurements Y1 - 2019 VL - 21 IS - 7 PB - John Wiley & Sons, Inc. CY - New Jersey ER -