TY - JOUR A1 - Ayzel, Georgy A1 - Heistermann, Maik A1 - Winterrath, Tanja T1 - Optical flow models as an open benchmark for radar-based precipitation nowcasting (rainymotion v0.1) JF - Geoscientific model development N2 - Quantitative precipitation nowcasting (QPN) has become an essential technique in various application contexts, such as early warning or urban sewage control. A common heuristic prediction approach is to track the motion of precipitation features from a sequence of weather radar images and then to displace the precipitation field to the imminent future (minutes to hours) based on that motion, assuming that the intensity of the features remains constant (“Lagrangian persistence”). In that context, “optical flow” has become one of the most popular tracking techniques. Yet the present landscape of computational QPN models still struggles with producing open software implementations. Focusing on this gap, we have developed and extensively benchmarked a stack of models based on different optical flow algorithms for the tracking step and a set of parsimonious extrapolation procedures based on image warping and advection. We demonstrate that these models provide skillful predictions comparable with or even superior to state-of-the-art operational software. Our software library (“rainymotion”) for precipitation nowcasting is written in the Python programming language and openly available at GitHub (https://github.com/hydrogo/rainymotion, Ayzel et al., 2019). That way, the library may serve as a tool for providing fast, free, and transparent solutions that could serve as a benchmark for further model development and hypothesis testing – a benchmark that is far more advanced than the conventional benchmark of Eulerian persistence commonly used in QPN verification experiments. KW - machine KW - system Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-1387-2019 SN - 1991-9603 SN - 1991-959X IS - 12 SP - 1387 EP - 1402 PB - Copernicus Publications CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ayzel, Georgy A1 - Izhitskiy, Alexander T1 - Climate Change Impact Assessment on Freshwater Inflow into the Small Aral Sea JF - Water N2 - During the last few decades, the rapid separation of the Small Aral Sea from the isolated basin has changed its hydrological and ecological conditions tremendously. In the present study, we developed and validated the hybrid model for the Syr Darya River basin based on a combination of state-of-the-art hydrological and machine learning models. Climate change impact on freshwater inflow into the Small Aral Sea for the projection period 2007-2099 has been quantified based on the developed hybrid model and bias corrected and downscaled meteorological projections simulated by four General Circulation Models (GCM) for each of three Representative Concentration Pathway scenarios (RCP). The developed hybrid model reliably simulates freshwater inflow for the historical period with a Nash-Sutcliffe efficiency of 0.72 and a Kling-Gupta efficiency of 0.77. Results of the climate change impact assessment showed that the freshwater inflow projections produced by different GCMs are misleading by providing contradictory results for the projection period. However, we identified that the relative runoff changes are expected to be more pronounced in the case of more aggressive RCP scenarios. The simulated projections of freshwater inflow provide a basis for further assessment of climate change impacts on hydrological and ecological conditions of the Small Aral Sea in the 21st Century. KW - Small Aral Sea KW - hydrology KW - climate change KW - modeling KW - machine learning Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/w11112377 SN - 2073-4441 VL - 11 IS - 11 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Barbosa, Luis Romero A1 - de Lira, Nicholas Borges A1 - Rabelo Coelho, Victor Hugo A1 - Bernard Passerat de Silans, Alain Marie A1 - Gadelha, Andre Nobrega A1 - Almeida, Cristiano das Neves T1 - Stability of Soil Moisture Patterns Retrieved at Different Temporal Resolutions in a Tropical Watershed JF - Revista brasileira de ciencias do solo N2 - Above and underground hydrological processes depend on soil moisture (SM) variability, driven by different environmental factors that seldom are well-monitored, leading to a misunderstanding of soil water temporal patterns. This study investigated the stability of the SM temporal dynamics to different monitoring temporal resolutions around the border between two soil types in a tropical watershed. Four locations were instrumented in a small-scale watershed (5.84 km(2)) within the tropical coast of Northeast Brazil, encompassing different soil types (Espodossolo Humiluvico or Carbic Podzol, and Argissolo Vermelho-Amarelo or Haplic Acrisol), land covers (Atlantic Forest, bush vegetation, and grassland) and topographies (flat and moderate slope). The SM was monitored at a temporal resolution of one hour along the 2013-2014 hydrological year and then resampled a resolutions of 6 h, 12 h, 1 day, 2 days, 4 days, 7 days, and 15 days. Descriptive statistics, temporal variability, time-stability ranking, and hierarchical clustering revealed uneven associations among SM time components. The results show that the time-invariant component ruled SM temporal variability over the time-varying parcel, either at high or low temporal resolutions. Time-steps longer than 2 days affected the mean statistical metrics of the SM time-variant parcel. Additionally, SM at downstream and upstream sites behaved differently, suggesting that the temporal mean was regulated by steady soil properties (slope, restrictive layer, and soil texture), whereas their temporal anomalies were driven by climate (rainfall) and hydrogeological (groundwater level) factors. Therefore, it is concluded that around the border between tropical soil types, the distinct behaviour of time-variant and time-invariant components of SM time series reflects different combinations of their soil properties. KW - soil moisture variability KW - time-domain reflectometry KW - temporal resolution KW - Carbic Podzol KW - Haplic Acrisol Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1590/18069657rbcs20180236 SN - 0100-0683 VL - 43 PB - Sociedade Brasileira de Ciencia do Solo CY - Vicosa ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Barendrecht, Marlies H. A1 - Viglione, Alberto A1 - Kreibich, Heidi A1 - Merz, Bruno A1 - Vorogushyn, Sergiy A1 - Blöschl, G. T1 - The Value of Empirical Data for Estimating the Parameters of a Sociohydrological Flood Risk Model JF - Water resources research N2 - In this paper, empirical data are used to estimate the parameters of a sociohydrological flood risk model. The proposed model, which describes the interactions between floods, settlement density, awareness, preparedness, and flood loss, is based on the literature. Data for the case study of Dresden, Germany, over a period of 200years, are used to estimate the model parameters through Bayesian inference. The credibility bounds of their estimates are small, even though the data are rather uncertain. A sensitivity analysis is performed to examine the value of the different data sources in estimating the model parameters. In general, the estimated parameters are less biased when using data at the end of the modeled period. Data about flood awareness are the most important to correctly estimate the parameters of this model and to correctly model the system dynamics. Using more data for other variables cannot compensate for the absence of awareness data. More generally, the absence of data mostly affects the estimation of the parameters that are directly related to the variable for which data are missing. This paper demonstrates that combining sociohydrological modeling and empirical data gives additional insights into the sociohydrological system, such as quantifying the forgetfulness of the society, which would otherwise not be easily achieved by sociohydrological models without data or by standard statistical analysis of empirical data. Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2018WR024128 SN - 0043-1397 SN - 1944-7973 VL - 55 IS - 2 SP - 1312 EP - 1336 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Baroni, Gabriele A1 - Schalge, Bernd A1 - Rakovec, Oldrich A1 - Kumar, Rohini A1 - Schüler, Lennart A1 - Samaniego, Luis A1 - Simmer, Clemens A1 - Attinger, Sabine T1 - A Comprehensive Distributed Hydrological Modeling Intercomparison to Support Process Representation and Data Collection Strategies JF - Water resources research N2 - The improvement of process representations in hydrological models is often only driven by the modelers' knowledge and data availability. We present a comprehensive comparison between two hydrological models of different complexity that is developed to support (1) the understanding of the differences between model structures and (2) the identification of the observations needed for model assessment and improvement. The comparison is conducted on both space and time and by aggregating the outputs at different spatiotemporal scales. In the present study, mHM, a process‐based hydrological model, and ParFlow‐CLM, an integrated subsurface‐surface hydrological model, are used. The models are applied in a mesoscale catchment in Germany. Both models agree in the simulated river discharge at the outlet and the surface soil moisture dynamics, lending their supports for some model applications (drought monitoring). Different model sensitivities are, however, found when comparing evapotranspiration and soil moisture at different soil depths. The analysis supports the need of observations within the catchment for model assessment, but it indicates that different strategies should be considered for the different variables. Evapotranspiration measurements are needed at daily resolution across several locations, while highly resolved spatially distributed observations with lower temporal frequency are required for soil moisture. Finally, the results show the impact of the shallow groundwater system simulated by ParFlow‐CLM and the need to account for the related soil moisture redistribution. Our comparison strategy can be applied to other models types and environmental conditions to strengthen the dialog between modelers and experimentalists for improving process representations in Earth system models. KW - hydrological models KW - assessments KW - monitoring strategies KW - improvements Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2018WR023941 SN - 0043-1397 SN - 1944-7973 VL - 55 IS - 2 SP - 990 EP - 1010 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Bielcik, Milos A1 - Aguilar-Trigueros, Carlos A. A1 - Lakovic, Milica A1 - Jeltsch, Florian A1 - Rillig, Matthias C. T1 - The role of active movement in fungal ecology and community assembly JF - Movement Ecology N2 - Movement ecology aims to provide common terminology and an integrative framework of movement research across all groups of organisms. Yet such work has focused on unitary organisms so far, and thus the important group of filamentous fungi has not been considered in this context. With the exception of spore dispersal, movement in filamentous fungi has not been integrated into the movement ecology field. At the same time, the field of fungal ecology has been advancing research on topics like informed growth, mycelial translocations, or fungal highways using its own terminology and frameworks, overlooking the theoretical developments within movement ecology. We provide a conceptual and terminological framework for interdisciplinary collaboration between these two disciplines, and show how both can benefit from closer links: We show how placing the knowledge from fungal biology and ecology into the framework of movement ecology can inspire both theoretical and empirical developments, eventually leading towards a better understanding of fungal ecology and community assembly. Conversely, by a greater focus on movement specificities of filamentous fungi, movement ecology stands to benefit from the challenge to evolve its concepts and terminology towards even greater universality. We show how our concept can be applied for other modular organisms (such as clonal plants and slime molds), and how this can lead towards comparative studies with the relationship between organismal movement and ecosystems in the focus. KW - Filamentous fungi KW - Microbial community KW - Active movement KW - Modular organisms KW - Interference competition KW - Fungal space searching algorithms KW - Fungal foraging KW - Fungal highways KW - Clonal plants KW - Slime molds Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1186/s40462-019-0180-6 SN - 2051-3933 VL - 7 IS - 1 PB - BMC CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Braga, Brennda A1 - Anchieta de Carvalho, Thayslan Renato A1 - Brosinsky, Arlena A1 - Förster, Saskia A1 - Medeiros, Pedro Henrique Augusto T1 - From waste to resource BT - Cost-benefit analysis of reservoir sediment reuse for soil fertilization in a semiarid catchment JF - The science of the total environment : an international journal for scientific research into the environment and its relationship with man N2 - Reservoir networks have been established worldwide to ensure water supply, but water availability is endangered quantitatively and qualitatively by sedimentation. Reuse of sediment silted in reservoirs as fertilizer has been proposed, thus transforming nutrient-enriched sediments from waste into resource. The aim of this study is to assess the potential of reusing sediment as a nutrient source for agriculture a semiarid basin in Brazil. where 1029 reservoirs were identified. Sedimentation was modelled for the entire reservoir network, accounting for 7 x 10(5) tons of y(-1)sediment deposition. Nutrients contents in reservoir sediments was analysed and com- pared to nutrients contents of agricultural soils in the catchment. The potential of reusing sediment as fertilizer was assessed for maize crops (Zea mays L) and the sediment mass required to fertilize the soil was computed considering that the crop nitrogen requirement would be fully provided by the sediment. Economic feasibility was analysed by comparing the costs of the proposed practice to those obtained if the area was fertilized by traditional means. Results showed that, where reservoirs fall dry frequently and sediments can be removed by excavation, soil fertilization with sediment presents lower costs than those observed for application of commercial chemical fertilizers. Compared to conventional fertilization, when using sediments with high nutrient content, 25% of costs could be saved, while when using sediments with low nutrient content costs are 9% higher. According to the local conditions, sediments with nitrogen content above 1.5 g kg(-1) are cost efficient as nitrogen source. However, physical and chemical analyses are recommended to define the sediment mass to be used and to identify any constraint to the application of the practice, like the high sodium adsorption ratio observed in one of the studied reservoirs, which can contribute to soil salinization. (C) 2019 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. KW - Reservoir sedimentation KW - Sediment reuse KW - Fertilizer KW - Agriculture KW - Semiarid KW - Cost-benefit analysis Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.03.083 SN - 0048-9697 SN - 1879-1026 VL - 670 SP - 158 EP - 169 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - GEN A1 - Braga, Brennda A1 - de Carvalho, Thayslan A1 - Brosinsky, Arlena A1 - Förster, Saskia A1 - Medeiros, Pedro Henrique Augusto T1 - Corrigendum to: From waste to resource: cost-benefit analysis of reservoir sediment reuse for soil fertilization in a semiarid catchment (The science of the total environment : an international journal for scientific research into the environment and its relationship with man. - 670 (2019), 20, S. 158 - 169) T2 - The science of the total environment : an international journal for scientific research into the environment and its relationship with man Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.133844 SN - 0048-9697 SN - 1879-1026 VL - 696 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Brell, Maximilian A1 - Segl, Karl A1 - Guanter, Luis A1 - Bookhagen, Bodo T1 - 3D hyperspectral point cloud generation BT - Fusing airborne laser scanning and hyperspectral imaging sensors for improved object-based information extraction JF - ISPRS journal of photogrammetry and remote sensing : official publication of the International Society for Photogrammetry and Remote Sensing N2 - Remote Sensing technologies allow to map biophysical, biochemical, and earth surface parameters of the land surface. Of especial interest for various applications in environmental and urban sciences is the combination of spectral and 3D elevation information. However, those two data streams are provided separately by different instruments, namely airborne laser scanner (ALS) for elevation and a hyperspectral imager (HSI) for high spectral resolution data. The fusion of ALS and HSI data can thus lead to a single data entity consistently featuring rich structural and spectral information. In this study, we present the application of fusing the first pulse return information from ALS data at a sub-decimeter spatial resolution with the lower-spatial resolution hyperspectral information available from the HSI into a hyperspectral point cloud (HSPC). During the processing, a plausible hyperspectral spectrum is assigned to every first-return ALS point. We show that the complementary implementation of spectral and 3D information at the point-cloud scale improves object-based classification and information extraction schemes. This improvements have great potential for numerous land cover mapping and environmental applications. KW - Lidar KW - Multispectral point cloud KW - Laser return intensity KW - Unmixing KW - Sharpening KW - Imaging spectroscopy KW - In-flight KW - Pixel level KW - Sensor fusion KW - Data fusion KW - Preprocessing KW - Point cloud segmentation KW - Semantic labeling Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isprsjprs.2019.01.022 SN - 0924-2716 SN - 1872-8235 VL - 149 SP - 200 EP - 214 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - CHAP A1 - Brendel, Nina ED - Chang, Chew-Hung ED - Kidman, Gillian ED - Wi, Andy T1 - (How) do students reflect on sustainability? BT - a model to diagnose and foster reflective thinking about sustainability T2 - Issues in Teaching and Learning of Education for Sustainability N2 - The ability to reflect is considered an essential element of Education for Sustainable Development (ESD) and a key competence for learners and educators in ESD (UNECE Strategy for ESD, 2012). In contrast to its high importance, little is known about how reflective thinking can be identified, influenced or increased in the classroom. Therefore, the objective of this study is to address this need by developing an empirical multi-stage model designed to help educators diagnose different levels of reflective thinking and to identify factors that influence students’ reflective thinking about sustainability. Based on a 4–8-week project with grade 10 and 11 students studying sustainability, reflective thinking performance using weblogs as reflective journals was analysed. In addition, qualitative semi-structured interviews were conducted with the teachers to comprehend the learning environment and the personal value they assigned to ESD in their geography class. To determine the levels of reflective thinking achieved by the students, the study built on the work of Dewey (1933) and pre-existing multi-stage models of reflective thinking (Bain, Ballantyne, & Packer, 1999; Chen, Wei, Wu, & Uden, 2009). Using a qualitative, iterative data analysis, the study adapted the stage models to be applicable in ESD and found great differences in the students’ reflection levels. Furthermore, the study identified eight factors that influence students’ reflective thinking about sustainability. The outcomes of this study may be valuable for educators in high school and higher education, who seek to diagnose their students’ reflective thinking performance and facilitate reflection about sustainability. Y1 - 2019 SN - 978-0-429-45043-3 U6 - https://doi.org/10.4324/9780429450433 SP - 117 EP - 126 PB - Routledge CY - Abingdon ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Bubeck, Philip A1 - Dillenardt, Lisa A1 - Alfieri, Lorenzo A1 - Feyen, Luc A1 - Thieken, Annegret A1 - Kellermann, Patric T1 - Global warming to increase flood risk on European railways JF - Climatic change : an interdisciplinary, intern. journal devoted to the description, causes and implications of climatic change N2 - For effective disaster risk management and adaptation planning, a good understanding of current and projected flood risk is required. Recent advances in quantifying flood risk at the regional and global scale have largely neglected critical infrastructure, or addressed this important sector with insufficient detail. Here, we present the first European-wide assessment of current and future flood risk to railway tracks for different global warming scenarios using an infrastructure-specific damage model. We find that the present risk, measured as expected annual damage, to railway networks in Europe is approx. (sic)581 million per year, with the highest risk relative to the length of the network in North Macedonia, Croatia, Norway, Portugal, and Germany. Based on an ensemble of climate projections for RCP8.5, we show that current risk to railway networks is projected to increase by 255% under a 1.5 degrees C, by 281% under a 2 degrees C, and by 310% under a 3 degrees C warming scenario. The largest increases in risk under a 3 degrees C scenario are projected for Slovakia, Austria, Slovenia, and Belgium. Our advances in the projection of flood risk to railway infrastructure are important given their criticality, and because losses to public infrastructure are usually not insured or even uninsurable in the private market. To cover the risk increase due to climate change, European member states would need to increase expenditure in transport by (sic)1.22 billion annually under a 3 degrees C warming scenario without further adaptation. Limiting global warming to the 1.5 degrees C goal of the Paris Agreement would result in avoided losses of (sic)317 million annually. Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s10584-019-02434-5 SN - 0165-0009 SN - 1573-1480 VL - 155 IS - 1 SP - 19 EP - 36 PB - Springer CY - Dordrecht ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Bürger, Gerd T1 - A seamless filter for daily to seasonal forecasts, with applications to Iran and Brazil JF - Quarterly Journal of the Royal Meteorological Society N2 - A digital filter is introduced which treats the problem of predictability versus time averaging in a continuous, seamless manner. This seamless filter (SF) is characterized by a unique smoothing rule that determines the strength of smoothing in dependence on lead time. The rule needs to be specified beforehand, either by expert knowledge or by user demand. As a result, skill curves are obtained that allow a predictability assessment across a whole range of time-scales, from daily to seasonal, in a uniform manner. The SF is applied to downscaled SEAS5 ensemble forecasts for two focus regions in or near the tropical belt, the river basins of the Karun in Iran and the Sao Francisco in Brazil. Both are characterized by strong seasonality and semi-aridity, so that predictability across various time-scales is in high demand. Among other things, it is found that from the start of the water year (autumn), areal precipitation is predictable with good skill for the Karun basin two and a half months ahead; for the Sao Francisco it is only one month, longer-term prediction skill is just above the critical level. KW - climate drift KW - ensemble prediction KW - seamless prediction KW - seasonal forecast skill Y1 - 2019 VL - 146 IS - 726 PB - WILEY-VCH CY - Weinheim ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Corti, Giacomo A1 - Cioni, Raffaello A1 - Franceschini, Zara A1 - Sani, Federico A1 - Scaillet, Stephane A1 - Molin, Paola A1 - Isola, Ilaria A1 - Mazzarini, Francesco A1 - Brune, Sascha A1 - Keir, Derek A1 - Erbello Doelesso, Asfaw A1 - Muluneh, Ameha A1 - Illsley-Kemp, Finnigan A1 - Glerum, Anne T1 - Aborted propagation of the Ethiopian rift caused by linkage with the Kenyan rift JF - Nature Communications N2 - Continental rift systems form by propagation of isolated rift segments that interact, and eventually evolve into continuous zones of deformation. This process impacts many aspects of rifting including rift morphology at breakup, and eventual ocean-ridge segmentation. Yet, rift segment growth and interaction remain enigmatic. Here we present geological data from the poorly documented Ririba rift (South Ethiopia) that reveals how two major sectors of the East African rift, the Kenyan and Ethiopian rifts, interact. We show that the Ririba rift formed from the southward propagation of the Ethiopian rift during the Pliocene but this propagation was short-lived and aborted close to the Pliocene-Pleistocene boundary. Seismicity data support the abandonment of laterally offset, overlapping tips of the Ethiopian and Kenyan rifts. Integration with new numerical models indicates that rift abandonment resulted from progressive focusing of the tectonic and magmatic activity into an oblique, throughgoing rift zone of near pure extension directly connecting the rift sectors. Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-019-09335-2 SN - 2041-1723 VL - 10 PB - Nature Publ. Group CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Didovets, Iulii A1 - Krysanova, Valentina A1 - Bürger, Gerd A1 - Snizhko, Sergiy A1 - Balabukh, Vira A1 - Bronstert, Axel T1 - Climate change impact on regional floods in the Carpathian region JF - Journal of hydrology : Regional studies N2 - Study region: Tisza and Prut catchments, originating on the slopes of the Carpathian mountains. Study focus: The study reported here investigates (i) climate change impacts on flood risk in the region, and (ii) uncertainty related to hydrological modelling, downscaling techniques and climate projections. The climate projections used in the study were derived from five GCMs, downscaled either dynamically with RCMs or with the statistical downscaling model XDS. The resulting climate change scenarios were applied to drive the eco-hydrological model SWIM, which was calibrated and validated for the catchments in advance using observed climate and hydrological data. The changes in the 30-year flood hazards and 98 and 95 percentiles of discharge were evaluated for the far future period (2071-2100) in comparison with the reference period (1981-2010). New hydrological insights for the region: The majority of model outputs under RCP 4.5 show a small to strong increase of the 30-year flood level in the Tisza ranging from 4.5% to 62%, and moderate increase in the Prut ranging from 11% to 22%. The impact results under RCP 8.5 are more uncertain with changes in both directions due to high uncertainties in GCM-RCM climate projections, downscaling methods and the low density of available climate stations. KW - Climate change impact KW - Floods KW - Hydrological modelling KW - SWIM KW - Tisza KW - Prut KW - Carpathians KW - Ukraine Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2019.01.002 SN - 2214-5818 VL - 22 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Erdal, Daniel A1 - Baroni, Gabriele A1 - Sánchez León, Eduardo Emilio A1 - Cirpka, Olaf A. T1 - The value of simplified models for spin up of complex models with an application to subsurface hydrology JF - Computers & geosciences : an international journal devoted to the publication of papers on all aspects of geocomputation and to the distribution of computer programs and test data sets ; an official journal of the International Association for Mathematical Geology N2 - Spinning up large-scale coupled surface-subsurface numerical models can be a time and resource consuming task. If an uninformed initial condition is chosen, the spin-up can easily require 20 years of repeated simulations on high-performance computing machines. In this paper we compare the classical approach of starting from a fixed shallow depth to groundwater (here 3 m) with three more informed approaches for the definition of initial conditions in the spin up. In the first of these three approaches, we start from a known-steady state groundwater table, calculated with a 2-D groundwater model and the yearly net recharge, and combine it with an unsaturated zone that assumes hydrostatic conditions. In the second approach, we start from the same groundwater table combined with vertical profiles in the unsaturated zone with uniform vertical flow identical to the groundwater recharge. In the third approach we calculate a dynamic steady state from a simplified subsurface model combining a transient 2-D groundwater model with a limited number of 1-D transient unsaturated zone columns on top. Results for spinning-up a 3-D Parflow-CLM model using the different initial conditions show that large gains can be made by considering states in groundwater and the vadose zone that are consistent, i.e. where groundwater recharge and the vertical flux in the vadose zone agree. By this, the spin-up time was reduced from about 10 years to about 3 years of simulated time. In the light of seasonal fluctuations of net recharge, using the transient approach showed more stable results. KW - Model spin-up KW - Groundwater-model KW - Unsaturated zone KW - 2.5-D model KW - Computation time Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cageo.2019.01.014 SN - 0098-3004 SN - 1873-7803 VL - 126 SP - 62 EP - 72 PB - Elsevier CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Fairey, Brenton J. A1 - Timmerman, Martin Jan A1 - Sudo, Masafumi A1 - Tsikos, Harilaos T1 - The role of hydrothermal activity in the formation of Karst-hosted manganese deposits of the Postmasburg Mn Field, Northern Cape Province, South Africa JF - Minerals N2 - The Postmasburg Manganese Field (PMF), Northern Cape Province, South Africa, once represented one of the largest sources of manganese ore worldwide. Two belts of manganese ore deposits have been distinguished in the PMF, namely the Western Belt of ferruginous manganese ores and the Eastern Belt of siliceous manganese ores. Prevailing models of ore formation in these two belts invoke karstification of manganese-rich dolomites and residual accumulation of manganese wad which later underwent diagenetic and low-grade metamorphic processes. For the most part, the role of hydrothermal processes and metasomatic alteration towards ore formation has not been adequately discussed. Here we report an abundance of common and some rare Al-, Na-, K- and Ba-bearing minerals, particularly aegirine, albite, microcline, banalsite, serandite-pectolite, paragonite and natrolite in Mn ores of the PMF, indicative of hydrothermal influence. Enrichments in Na, K and/or Ba in the ores are generally on a percentage level for most samples analysed through bulk-rock techniques. The presence of As-rich tokyoite also suggests the presence of As and V in the hydrothermal fluid. The fluid was likely oxidized and alkaline in nature, akin to a mature basinal brine. Various replacement textures, particularly of Na- and K- rich minerals by Ba-bearing phases, suggest sequential deposition of gangue as well as ore-minerals from the hydrothermal fluid, with Ba phases being deposited at a later stage. The stratigraphic variability of the studied ores and their deviation from the strict classification of ferruginous and siliceous ores in the literature, suggests that a re-evaluation of genetic models is warranted. New Ar-Ar ages for K-feldspars suggest a late Neoproterozoic timing for hydrothermal activity. This corroborates previous geochronological evidence for regional hydrothermal activity that affected Mn ores at the PMF but also, possibly, the high-grade Mn ores of the Kalahari Manganese Field to the north. A revised, all-encompassing model for the development of the manganese deposits of the PMF is then proposed, whereby the source of metals is attributed to underlying carbonate rocks beyond the Reivilo Formation of the Campbellrand Subgroup. The main process by which metals are primarily accumulated is attributed to karstification of the dolomitic substrate. The overlying Asbestos Hills Subgroup banded iron formation (BIF) is suggested as a potential source of alkali metals, which also provides a mechanism for leaching of these BIFs to form high-grade residual iron ore deposits. KW - manganese ore KW - Postmasburg manganese field KW - hydrothermal KW - karst KW - South Africa Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/min9070408 SN - 2075-163X VL - 9 IS - 7 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Fan, Xuanmei A1 - Scaringi, Gianvito A1 - Korup, Oliver A1 - West, A. Joshua A1 - van Westen, Cees J. A1 - Tanyas, Hakan A1 - Hovius, Niels A1 - Hales, Tristram C. A1 - Jibson, Randall W. A1 - Allstadt, Kate E. A1 - Zhang, Limin A1 - Evans, Stephen G. A1 - Xu, Chong A1 - Li, Gen A1 - Pei, Xiangjun A1 - Xu, Qiang A1 - Huang, Runqiu T1 - Earthquake-Induced Chains of Geologic Hazards BT - Patterns, Mechanisms, and Impacts JF - Reviews of geophysics N2 - Large earthquakes initiate chains of surface processes that last much longer than the brief moments of strong shaking. Most moderate‐ and large‐magnitude earthquakes trigger landslides, ranging from small failures in the soil cover to massive, devastating rock avalanches. Some landslides dam rivers and impound lakes, which can collapse days to centuries later, and flood mountain valleys for hundreds of kilometers downstream. Landslide deposits on slopes can remobilize during heavy rainfall and evolve into debris flows. Cracks and fractures can form and widen on mountain crests and flanks, promoting increased frequency of landslides that lasts for decades. More gradual impacts involve the flushing of excess debris downstream by rivers, which can generate bank erosion and floodplain accretion as well as channel avulsions that affect flooding frequency, settlements, ecosystems, and infrastructure. Ultimately, earthquake sequences and their geomorphic consequences alter mountain landscapes over both human and geologic time scales. Two recent events have attracted intense research into earthquake‐induced landslides and their consequences: the magnitude M 7.6 Chi‐Chi, Taiwan earthquake of 1999, and the M 7.9 Wenchuan, China earthquake of 2008. Using data and insights from these and several other earthquakes, we analyze how such events initiate processes that change mountain landscapes, highlight research gaps, and suggest pathways toward a more complete understanding of the seismic effects on the Earth's surface. KW - earthquake-induced landslides KW - debris flows KW - geohazards KW - landscape evolution KW - sediment cascade KW - continental earthquakes Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2018RG000626 SN - 8755-1209 SN - 1944-9208 VL - 57 IS - 2 SP - 421 EP - 503 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Fohlmeister, Jens Bernd A1 - Lechleitner, Franziska A. T1 - STAlagmite dating by radiocarbon (star) BT - a software tool for reliable and fast age depth modelling JF - Quaternary geochronology : the international research and review journal on advances in quaternary dating techniques N2 - Speleothems, secondary cave carbonates, are important tools for climate reconstruction, especially as they often can be very precisely dated with the UTh method. If the U-Th method fails, dating becomes difficult, and often results in abandonment of samples and study sites. Radiocarbon dating is the only other radiometric dating technique applicable to the last similar to 50 ka, but presents complexities related to temporal variability of the reservoir effect in speleothems. Thus, radiocarbon dating of speleothems is not straightforward, and there are currently no publicly available tools to define proper age-depth relationships with this method. Here, we present an improved version of a previously published radiocarbon based age-depth modelling approach (star, Lechleitner et al., 2016b), which is now made freely available. The software is easy to use and provides the possibility to obtain reliable age-depth relationships, without prior knowledge of reservoir effects and their variability. In addition, star is able to detect and handle growth stops and phases with different growth rates. We test star on artificially constructed data sets and illustrate steps to improve the model performance. Furthermore, we apply the new approach to published radiocarbon data of U-Th dated stalagmites. This offers the possibility to investigate the strengths and weaknesses of the new approach with respect to potentially significant long term trends in the radiocarbon reservoir effect, which might otherwise remain undetected. In summary, we have produced a valuable software, which easily enables to construct age-depth relationships on the basis of reservoir effect disturbed radiocarbon measurements. Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quageo.2019.02.008 SN - 1871-1014 SN - 1878-0350 VL - 51 SP - 120 EP - 129 PB - Elsevier CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Foster, William J. A1 - Heindel, Katrin A1 - Richoz, Sylvain A1 - Gliwa, Jana A1 - Lehrmann, Daniel J. A1 - Baud, Aymon A1 - Kolar-Jurkovsek, Tea A1 - Aljinovic, Dunja A1 - Jurkovsek, Bogdan A1 - Korn, Dieter A1 - Martindale, Rowan C. A1 - Peckmann, Jörn T1 - Suppressed competitive exclusion enabled the proliferation of Permian/Triassic boundary microbialites JF - The Depositional Record : the open access journal of the International Association of Sedimentologists N2 - During the earliest Triassic microbial mats flourished in the photic zones of marginal seas, generating widespread microbialites. It has been suggested that anoxic conditions in shallow marine environments, linked to the end-Permian mass extinction, limited mat-inhibiting metazoans allowing for this microbialite expansion. The presence of a diverse suite of proxies indicating oxygenated shallow sea-water conditions (metazoan fossils, biomarkers and redox proxies) from microbialite successions have, however, challenged the inference of anoxic conditions. Here, the distribution and faunal composition of Griesbachian microbialites from China, Iran, Turkey, Armenia, Slovenia and Hungary are investigated to determine the factors that allowed microbialite-forming microbial mats to flourish following the end-Permian crisis. The results presented here show that Neotethyan microbial buildups record a unique faunal association due to the presence of keratose sponges, while the Palaeotethyan buildups have a higher proportion of molluscs and the foraminifera Earlandia. The distribution of the faunal components within the microbial fabrics suggests that, except for the keratose sponges and some microconchids, most of the metazoans were transported into the microbial framework via wave currents. The presence of both microbialites and metazoan associations were limited to oxygenated settings, suggesting that a factor other than anoxia resulted in a relaxation of ecological constraints following the mass extinction event. It is inferred that the end-Permian mass extinction event decreased the diversity and abundance of metazoans to the point of significantly reducing competition, allowing photosynthesis-based microbial mats to flourish in shallow water settings and resulting in the formation of widespread microbialites. KW - Competitive exclusion KW - Permian KW - Triassic KW - mass extinction KW - microbialites KW - palaeoecology Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/dep2.97 SN - 2055-4877 VL - 6 IS - 1 SP - 62 EP - 74 PB - Wiley CY - Hoboken ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Freymark, Jessica A1 - Bott, Judith A1 - Cacace, Mauro A1 - Ziegler, Moritz 0. A1 - Scheck-Wenderoth, Magdalena T1 - Influence of the Main Border Faults on the 3D Hydraulic Field of the Central Upper Rhine Graben JF - Geofluids N2 - The Upper Rhine Graben (URG) is an active rift with a high geothermal potential. Despite being a well-studied area, the three-dimensional interaction of the main controlling factors of the thermal and hydraulic regime is still not fully understood. Therefore, we have used a data-based 3D structural model of the lithological configuration of the central URG for some conceptual numerical experiments of 3D coupled simulations of fluid and heat transport. To assess the influence of the main faults bordering the graben on the hydraulic and the deep thermal field, we carried out a sensitivity analysis on fault width and permeability. Depending on the assigned width and permeability of the main border faults, fluid velocity and temperatures are affected only in the direct proximity of the respective border faults. Hence, the hydraulic characteristics of these major faults do not significantly influence the graben-wide groundwater flow patterns. Instead, the different scenarios tested provide a consistent image of the main characteristics of fluid and heat transport as they have in common: (1) a topography-driven basin-wide fluid flow perpendicular to the rift axis from the graben shoulders to the rift center, (2) a N/NE-directed flow parallel to the rift axis in the center of the rift and, (3) a pronounced upflow of hot fluids along the rift central axis, where the streams from both sides of the rift merge. This upflow axis is predicted to occur predominantly in the center of the URG (northern and southern model area) and shifted towards the eastern boundary fault (central model area). Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1155/2019/7520714 SN - 1468-8115 SN - 1468-8123 PB - Wiley-Hindawi CY - London ER -