TY - GEN A1 - Griscom, Bronson W. A1 - Busch, Jonah A1 - Cook-Patton, Susan C. A1 - Ellis, Peter W. A1 - Funk, Jason A1 - Leavitt, Sara M. A1 - Lomax, Guy A1 - Turner, Will R. A1 - Chapman, Melissa A1 - Streck, Charlotte T1 - National mitigation potential from natural climate solutions in the tropics T2 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - Better land stewardship is needed to achieve the Paris Agreement's temperature goal, particularly in the tropics, where greenhouse gas emissions from the destruction of ecosystems are largest, and where the potential for additional land carbon storage is greatest. As countries enhance their nationally determined contributions (NDCs) to the Paris Agreement, confusion persists about the potential contribution of better land stewardship to meeting the Agreement's goal to hold global warming below 2 degrees C. We assess cost-effective tropical country-level potential of natural climate solutions (NCS)-protection, improved management and restoration of ecosystems-to deliver climate mitigation linked with sustainable development goals (SDGs). We identify groups of countries with distinctive NCS portfolios, and we explore factors (governance, financial capacity) influencing the feasibility of unlocking national NCS potential. Cost-effective tropical NCS offers globally significant climate mitigation in the coming decades (6.56 Pg CO(2)e yr(-1) at less than 100 US$ per Mg CO(2)e). In half of the tropical countries, cost-effective NCS could mitigate over half of national emissions. In more than a quarter of tropical countries, cost-effective NCS potential is greater than national emissions. We identify countries where, with international financing and political will, NCS can cost-effectively deliver the majority of enhanced NDCs while transforming national economies and contributing to SDGs. This article is part of the theme issue 'Climate change and ecosystems: threats, opportunities and solutions'. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Wirtschafts- und Sozialwissenschaftliche Reihe - 195 KW - natural climate solutions KW - climate mitigation KW - protection KW - land management KW - restoration KW - Paris Agreement Y1 - 2020 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-513692 SN - 1867-5808 IS - 1794 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Griscom, Bronson W. A1 - Busch, Jonah A1 - Cook-Patton, Susan C. A1 - Ellis, Peter W. A1 - Funk, Jason A1 - Leavitt, Sara M. A1 - Lomax, Guy A1 - Turner, Will R. A1 - Chapman, Melissa A1 - Streck, Charlotte T1 - National mitigation potential from natural climate solutions in the tropics JF - Biological sciences N2 - Better land stewardship is needed to achieve the Paris Agreement's temperature goal, particularly in the tropics, where greenhouse gas emissions from the destruction of ecosystems are largest, and where the potential for additional land carbon storage is greatest. As countries enhance their nationally determined contributions (NDCs) to the Paris Agreement, confusion persists about the potential contribution of better land stewardship to meeting the Agreement's goal to hold global warming below 2 degrees C. We assess cost-effective tropical country-level potential of natural climate solutions (NCS)-protection, improved management and restoration of ecosystems-to deliver climate mitigation linked with sustainable development goals (SDGs). We identify groups of countries with distinctive NCS portfolios, and we explore factors (governance, financial capacity) influencing the feasibility of unlocking national NCS potential. Cost-effective tropical NCS offers globally significant climate mitigation in the coming decades (6.56 Pg CO(2)e yr(-1) at less than 100 US$ per Mg CO(2)e). In half of the tropical countries, cost-effective NCS could mitigate over half of national emissions. In more than a quarter of tropical countries, cost-effective NCS potential is greater than national emissions. We identify countries where, with international financing and political will, NCS can cost-effectively deliver the majority of enhanced NDCs while transforming national economies and contributing to SDGs. This article is part of the theme issue 'Climate change and ecosystems: threats, opportunities and solutions'. KW - natural climate solutions KW - climate mitigation KW - protection KW - land management KW - restoration KW - Paris Agreement Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2019.0126 SN - 0080-4622 SN - 0962-8436 SN - 1471-2970 VL - 375 IS - 1794 SP - 1 EP - 11 PB - The Royal Society Publishing CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Wolf, Sabina A1 - Pham, My A1 - Matthews, Nathanial A1 - Bubeck, Philip T1 - Understanding the implementation gap BT - policy-makers’ perceptions of ecosystem-based adaptation in Central Vietnam JF - Climate & development N2 - In recent years, nature-based solutions are receiving increasing attention in the field of disaster risk reduction and climate change adaptation as inclusive, no regret approaches. Ecosystem-based adaptation (EbA) can mitigate the impacts of climate change, build resilience and tackle environmental degradation thereby supporting the targets set by the 2030 Agenda, the Paris Agreement and the Sendai Framework. Despite these benefits, EbA is still rarely implemented in practice. To better understand the barriers to implementation, this research examines policy-makers' perceptions of EbA, using an extended version of Protection Motivation Theory as an analytical framework. Through semi-structured interviews with policy-makers at regional and provincial level in Central Vietnam, it was found that EbA is generally considered a promising response option, mainly due to its multiple ecosystem-service benefits. The demand for EbA measures was largely driven by the perceived consequences of natural hazards and climate change. Insufficient perceived response efficacy and time-lags in effectiveness for disaster risk reduction were identified as key impediments for implementation. Pilot projects and capacity building on EbA are important means to overcome these perceptual barriers. This paper contributes to bridging the knowledge-gap on political decision-making regarding EbA and can, thereby, promote its mainstreaming into policy plans. KW - climate change KW - ecosystem-based adaptation KW - risk perception KW - protection KW - motivation theory KW - decision making Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1080/17565529.2020.1724068 SN - 1756-5529 SN - 1756-5537 VL - 13 IS - 1 SP - 81 EP - 94 PB - Taylor & Francis LTD CY - Abingdon ER - TY - THES A1 - Ganschow, Constantin Alexander T1 - Die Konversion im Asylverfahren T2 - Acta Iuridica Universitatis Potsdamiensis N2 - Der Verfasser beschäftigt sich mit der Frage des Glaubensübertritts in einem Asylverfahren. Dabei nimmt er Zeitpunkt, Art und Umstände des Religionswechsels in den Blick. Ferner untersucht er, wie die sogenannte Konversion von den zuständigen Behörden und Gerichten zu behandeln und zu bewerten ist. Einführend gibt er einen Überblick zum völkerrechtlichen Schutz der Religions- und Weltanschauungsfreiheit sowie typischen Gefährdungslagen. Überdies befasst er sich mit den Rechtsgrundlagen des Asyl- und Flüchtlingsschutzrechts und stellt Verbindungen zum Flucht- und Verfolgungsgrund der Religion her. Schwerpunkt bildet die Untersuchung der Verfahrensstadien, in denen die Konversion relevant wird. Dabei berücksichtigt der Verfasser die nationale und europäische Rechtsprechung. Von besonderer Bedeutung sind die Ausführungen zum Zusammenspiel von staatlichen Ermittlungspflichten und Mitwirkungsgeboten von Asylantragstellenden, wobei den Besonderheiten des grund- und menschenrechtlichen Mehrebenensystems Rechnung getragen wird. Zentral sind ferner die Ausführungen zum Umgang mit Taufurkunden und sonstigen Bescheinigungen über die religiöse Überzeugung. Besonderes Gewicht liegt auf der verfassungsrechtlichen Stellung der Religionsgemeinschaften und der Frage, ob die Entscheidung einer Religionsgemeinschaft, ein neues Mitglied aufzunehmen, die Behörde im Asylverfahren bindet. Diesem Problem widmet sich der Verfasser unter Heranziehung der relevanten Literaturstimmen und einschlägigen Rechtsprechung. Der rechtswissenschaftliche Beitrag bietet den beteiligten Akteuren nicht nur eine Einführung in das Themengebiet des Glaubensübertritts im Asylverfahren, sondern gibt den Lesenden auch eine praxistaugliche Handlungsunterstützung rund um die wichtigsten Fragen einer Konversion im Asylverfahren an die Hand. Praktische Bezüge entstehen beispielsweise dadurch, dass wichtige Impulse und Empfehlungen für eine gleichermaßen moderne, rechtsstaatliche und grundrechtsorientierte Verfahrensführung entwickelt werden. N2 - This thesis addresses questions related to the conversion of faith during an asylum procedure. It explores how these conversions of faith are treated and assessed by the relevant authorities and courts, whereby the timing, nature and circumstances of the conversion is taken into account. The thesis begins with an overview of the fundamental human right of freedom of religion and belief and typical risks associated to this. In addition, the legal basis of asylum and refugee protection law is discussed and linked to religion as a reason for flight and persecution. Next, procedural stages which are affected by a conversion of faith are analysed in-depth. Here national and European case law is taken into account. Of particular importance is the interplay of the state's duty to inquire and the co-operation requirements of the asylum seeker, whereby special attention is placed on the multi-level governance of fundamental human rights. The handeling of baptismal certificates and other certificates of religious conviction is another important consideration. Particular emphasis is placed on the constitutional standing of the religious communities and the question of whether the decision of a religious community to accept a new member binds the authority in the asylum procedure. This problem is analysed with reference to current literature and relevant rulings. The jurisprudential thesis not only offers the reader an introduction to the topic of faith conversion during in the asylum procedure, but also practice oriented support around the most pressing questions of dealing with these conversions during an asylum procedure. Specific recommendations and impulses are presented to develop an equally modern, constitutional and fundamental rights-oriented procedural management. T3 - Acta Iuridica Universitatis Potsdamiensis - 7 KW - Anhörung KW - Asyl KW - Asylantrag KW - Asylgesetz KW - Asylrecht KW - Asylverfahren KW - Begleitung KW - Bescheinigung KW - Beweismittel KW - Ehrenamtliche KW - Ermittlungspflicht KW - Flucht KW - Flüchtling KW - Flüchtlingsschutz KW - Folgeantrag KW - Gemeinde KW - Glauben KW - Glaubensfreiheit KW - Glaubensprüfung KW - Glaubenswechsel KW - Mitwirkungspflicht KW - Nachfluchtgrund KW - Religiöse Verfolgung KW - Religion KW - Religionsfreiheit KW - Religionsgemeinschaft KW - Religions- und Weltanschauungsfreiheit KW - Religionswechsel KW - Sachverhaltsaufklärung KW - Sachverhaltsaufklärungspflicht KW - Selbstbestimmungsrecht KW - Selbstbestimmungsrecht der Religionsgemeinschaften KW - Sonderbeauftragte KW - Sonderbeauftragte für religiöse Verfolgung KW - Taufurkunde KW - Glaubensübertritt KW - Kirche KW - Konversion KW - Verfolgung KW - Verfolgungsgrund KW - asylum KW - asylum procedure KW - baptismal certificate KW - certificate of religious conviction KW - conversion KW - faith KW - flight KW - freedom of religion and belief KW - non-refoulement KW - post-flight activities KW - refugee KW - refugee law KW - refugee protection KW - religion KW - risk KW - persecution KW - protection Y1 - 2021 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-505819 SN - 978-3-86956-509-5 SN - 2199-9686 SN - 2199-9694 IS - 7 PB - Universitätsverlag Potsdam CY - Potsdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schuch, Felipe B. A1 - Stubbs, Brendon A1 - Meyer, Jacob A1 - Heissel, Andreas A1 - Zech, Philipp A1 - Vancampfort, Davy A1 - Rosenbaum, Simon A1 - Deenik, Jeroen A1 - Firth, Joseph A1 - Ward, Philip B. A1 - Carvalho, Andre F. A1 - Hiles, Sarah A. T1 - Physical activity protects from incident anxiety: A meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies JF - Depression and anxiety N2 - Background Prospective cohorts have suggested that physical activity (PA) can decrease the risk of incident anxiety. However, no meta-analysis has been conducted. Aims To examine the prospective relationship between PA and incident anxiety and explore potential moderators. Methods Searches were conducted on major databases from inception to October 10, 2018 for prospective studies (at least 1 year of follow-up) that calculated the odds ratio (OR) of incident anxiety in people with high PA against people with low PA. Methodological quality was assessed using the Newcastle-Ottawa Scale (NOS). A random-effects meta-analysis was conducted and heterogeneity was explored using subgroup and meta-regression analysis. Results Across 14 cohorts of 13 unique prospective studies (N = 75,831, median males = 50.1%) followed for 357,424 person-years, people with high self-reported PA (versus low PA) were at reduced odds of developing anxiety (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 0.74; 95% confidence level [95% CI] = 0.62, 0.88; crude OR = 0.80; 95% CI = 0.69, 0.92). High self-reported PA was protective against the emergence of agoraphobia (AOR = 0.42; 95% CI = 0.18, 0.98) and posttraumatic stress disorder (AOR = 0.57; 95% CI = 0.39, 0.85). The protective effects for anxiety were evident in Asia (AOR = 0.31; 95% CI = 0.10, 0.96) and Europe (AOR = 0.82; 95% CI = 0.69, 0.97); for children/adolescents (AOR = 0.52; 95% CI = 0.29, 0.90) and adults (AOR = 0.81; 95% CI = 0.69, 0.95). Results remained robust when adjusting for confounding factors. Overall study quality was moderate to high (mean NOS = 6.7 out of 9). Conclusion Evidence supports the notion that self-reported PA can confer protection against the emergence of anxiety regardless of demographic factors. In particular, higher PA levels protects from agoraphobia and posttraumatic disorder. KW - agoraphobia KW - anxiety KW - exercise KW - incidence KW - meta-analysis KW - panic KW - physical activity KW - posttraumatic stress disorder KW - protection Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/da.22915 SN - 1091-4269 SN - 1520-6394 VL - 36 IS - 9 SP - 846 EP - 858 PB - Wiley CY - Hoboken ER - TY - GEN A1 - Lenk, Stephan A1 - Rybski, Diego A1 - Heidrich, Oliver A1 - Dawson, Richard J. A1 - Kropp, Jürgen T1 - Costs of sea dikes BT - Regressions and uncertainty estimates T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - Failure to consider the costs of adaptation strategies can be seen by decision makers as a barrier to implementing coastal protection measures. In order to validate adaptation strategies to sea-level rise in the form of coastal protection, a consistent and repeatable assessment of the costs is necessary. This paper significantly extends current knowledge on cost estimates by developing - and implementing using real coastal dike data - probabilistic functions of dike costs. Data from Canada and the Netherlands are analysed and related to published studies from the US, UK, and Vietnam in order to provide a reproducible estimate of typical sea dike costs and their uncertainty. We plot the costs divided by dike length as a function of height and test four different regression models. Our analysis shows that a linear function without intercept is sufficient to model the costs, i.e. fixed costs and higher-order contributions such as that due to the volume of core fill material are less significant. We also characterise the spread around the regression models which represents an uncertainty stemming from factors beyond dike length and height. Drawing an analogy with project cost overruns, we employ log-normal distributions and calculate that the range between 3x and x/3 contains 95% of the data, where x represents the corresponding regression value. We compare our estimates with previously published unit costs for other countries. We note that the unit costs depend not only on the country and land use (urban/non-urban) of the sites where the dikes are being constructed but also on characteristics included in the costs, e.g. property acquisition, utility relocation, and project management. This paper gives decision makers an order of magnitude on the protection costs, which can help to remove potential barriers to develop-ing adaptation strategies. Although the focus of this research is sea dikes, our approach is applicable and transferable to other adaptation measures. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 638 KW - coastal flood damage KW - level rise KW - climate KW - infrastructure KW - protection KW - Netherlands KW - strategies KW - overruns KW - hazards KW - losses Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-418401 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 638 SP - 765 EP - 779 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Rodil, Iván F. A1 - Jaramillo, Eduardo A1 - Hubbard, David M. A1 - Dugan, Jenifer E. A1 - Melnick, Daniel A1 - Velasquez, Carlos T1 - Responses of dune plant communities to continental uplift from a major earthquake BT - sudden releases from coastal squeeze T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - Vegetated dunes are recognized as important natural barriers that shelter inland ecosystems and coastlines suffering daily erosive impacts of the sea and extreme events, such as tsunamis. However, societal responses to erosion and shoreline retreat often result in man-made coastal defence structures that cover part of the intertidal and upper shore zones causing coastal squeeze and habitat loss, especially for upper shore biota, such as dune plants. Coseismic uplift of up to 2.0 m on the Peninsula de Arauco (South central Chile, ca. 37.5 degrees S) caused by the 2010 Maule earthquake drastically modified the coastal landscape, including major increases in the width of uplifted beaches and the immediate conversion of mid to low sandy intertidal habitat to supralittoral sandy habitat above the reach of average tides and waves. To investigate the early stage responses in species richness, cover and across-shore distribution of the hitherto absent dune plants, we surveyed two formerly intertidal armoured sites and a nearby intertidal unarmoured site on a sandy beach located on the uplifted coast of Llico (Peninsula de Arauco) over two years. Almost 2 years after the 2010 earthquake, dune plants began to recruit, then rapidly grew and produced dune hummocks in the new upper beach habitats created by uplift at the three sites. Initial vegetation responses were very similar among sites. However, over the course of the study, the emerging vegetated dunes of the armoured sites suffered a slowdown in the development of the spatial distribution process, and remained impoverished in species richness and cover compared to the unarmoured site. Our results suggest that when released from the effects of coastal squeeze, vegetated dunes can recover without restoration actions. However, subsequent human activities and management of newly created beach and dune habitats can significantly alter the trajectory of vegetated dune development. Management that integrates the effects of natural and human induced disturbances, and promotes the development of dune vegetation as natural barriers can provide societal and conservation benefits in coastal ecosystems. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 516 KW - Chile earthquake KW - sandy-beach KW - New-Zealand KW - salt spray KW - vegetation KW - conservation KW - disturbance KW - protection KW - habitats KW - zonation Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-409629 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 516 ER -