TY - JOUR A1 - Grigoli, Francesco A1 - Cesca, Simone A1 - Rinaldi, Antonio Pio A1 - Manconi, Andrea A1 - Lopez-Comino, José Ángel A1 - Clinton, John F. A1 - Westaway, Rob A1 - Cauzzi, Carlo A1 - Dahm, Torsten A1 - Wiemer, Stefan T1 - The November 2017 M-w 5.5 Pohang earthquake BT - a possible case of induced seismicity in South Korea JF - Science N2 - The moment magnitude (M-w) 5.5 earthquake that struck South Korea in November 2017 was one of the largest and most damaging events in that country over the past century. Its proximity to an enhanced geothermal system site, where high-pressure hydraulic injection had been performed during the previous 2 years, raises the possibility that this earthquake was anthropogenic. We have combined seismological and geodetic analyses to characterize the mainshock and its largest aftershocks, constrain the geometry of this seismic sequence, and shed light on its causal factors. According to our analysis, it seems plausible that the occurrence of this earthquake was influenced by the aforementioned industrial activities. Finally, we found that the earthquake transferred static stress to larger nearby faults, potentially increasing the seismic hazard in the area. Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1126/science.aat2010 SN - 0036-8075 SN - 1095-9203 VL - 360 IS - 6392 SP - 1003 EP - 1006 PB - American Assoc. for the Advancement of Science CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Cesca, Simone A1 - Grigoli, Francesco A1 - Heimann, Sebastian A1 - Dahm, Torsten A1 - Kriegerowski, Marius A1 - Sobiesiak, M. A1 - Tassara, C. A1 - Olcay, M. T1 - The M-w 8.1 2014 Iquique, Chile, seismic sequence: a tale of foreshocks and aftershocks JF - Geophysical journal international N2 - The 2014 April 1, M-w 8.1 Iquique (Chile) earthquake struck in the Northern Chile seismic gap. With a rupture length of less than 200 km, it left unbroken large segments of the former gap. Early studies were able to model the main rupture features but results are ambiguous with respect to the role of aseismic slip and left open questions on the remaining hazard at the Northern Chile gap. A striking observation of the 2014 earthquake has been its extensive preparation phase, with more than 1300 events with magnitude above M-L 3, occurring during the 15 months preceding the main shock. Increasing seismicity rates and observed peak magnitudes accompanied the last three weeks before the main shock. Thanks to the large data sets of regional recordings, we assess the precursor activity, compare foreshocks and aftershocks and model rupture preparation and rupture effects. To tackle inversion challenges for moderate events with an asymmetric network geometry, we use full waveforms techniques to locate events, map the seismicity rate and derive source parameters, obtaining moment tensors for more than 300 events (magnitudes M-w 4.0-8.1) in the period 2013 January 1-2014 April 30. This unique data set of fore- and aftershocks is investigated to distinguish rupture process models and models of strain and stress rotation during an earthquake. Results indicate that the spatial distributions of foreshocks delineated the shallower part of the rupture areas of the main shock and its largest aftershock, well matching the spatial extension of the aftershocks cloud. Most moment tensors correspond to almost pure double couple thrust mechanisms, consistent with the slab orientation. Whereas no significant differences are observed among thrust mechanisms in different areas, nor among thrust foreshocks and aftershocks, the early aftershock sequence is characterized by the presence of normal fault mechanisms, striking parallel to the trench but dipping westward. These events likely occurred in the shallow wedge structure close to the slab interface and are consequence of the increased extensional stress in this region after the largest events. The overall stress inversion result suggests a minor stress rotation after the main shock, but a significant release of the deviatoric stress. The temporal change in the distribution of focal mechanisms can also be explained in terms of the spatial heterogeneity of the stress field: under such interpretation, the potential of a large megathrust earthquake breaking a larger segment offshore Northern Chile remains high. KW - Earthquake source observations KW - South America Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggv544 SN - 0956-540X SN - 1365-246X VL - 204 SP - 1766 EP - 1780 PB - Oxford Univ. Press CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - del Fresno, Carmen A1 - Dominguez Cerdena, Itahiza A1 - Cesca, Simone A1 - Buforn, Elisa T1 - The 8 October 2011 Earthquake at El Hierro (M-w 4.0): Focal Mechanisms of the Mainshock and Its Foreshocks JF - Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America N2 - We have studied the focal mechanism of an M-w 4.0 earthquake that occurred on 8 October 2011 in the southwest of El Hierro (Canary Islands), the largest shock of the swarm that preceded the submarine eruption of El Hierro 2011-2012. The joint focal mechanism solution of 34 foreshocks has also been obtained. The results for the mainshock are consistent with a pure double-couple mechanism of a strike-slip motion with a reverse component and a focal depth of 12-13 km. The stress pattern obtained from the focal mechanism indicates horizontal compression in a north-northwest-south-southeast direction, parallel to the southern ridge of the island, and a quasi-horizontal extension in an east-west direction. Similar stress pattern is derived from the joint solution of the foreshocks. The occurrence of this family of earthquakes at the moment of the maximum strain rate of the pre-eruptive swarm suggests that their rupture process is related to tectonic stress, which led to the eruption only two days later, 5 km away from the mainshock epicenter. Y1 - 2015 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1785/0120140151 SN - 0037-1106 SN - 1943-3573 VL - 105 IS - 1 SP - 330 EP - 340 PB - Seismological Society of America CY - Albany ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Cesca, Simone A1 - Grigoli, Francesco A1 - Heimann, Sebastian A1 - Gonzalez, Alvaro A1 - Buforn, Elisa A1 - Maghsoudi, Samira A1 - Blanch, Estefania A1 - Dahm, Torsten T1 - The 2013 September-October seismic sequence offshore Spain: a case of seismicity triggered by gas injection? JF - Geophysical journal international N2 - A spatially localized seismic sequence originated few tens of kilometres offshore the Mediterranean coast of Spain, close to the Ebro river delta, starting on 2013 September 5, and lasting at least until 2013 October. The sequence culminated in a maximal moment magnitude M-w 4.3 earthquake, on 2013 October 1. The most relevant seismogenic feature in the area is the Fosa de Amposta fault system, which includes different strands mapped at different distances to the coast, with a general NE-SW orientation, roughly parallel to the coastline. However, no significant known historical seismicity has involved this fault system in the past. The epicentral region is also located near the offshore platform of the Castor project, where gas is conducted through a pipeline from mainland and where it was recently injected in a depleted oil reservoir, at about 2 km depth. We analyse the temporal evolution of the seismic sequence and use full waveform techniques to derive absolute and relative locations, estimate depths and focal mechanisms for the largest events in the sequence (with magnitude mbLg larger than 3), and compare them to a previous event (2012 April 8, mbLg 3.3) taking place in the same region prior to the gas injection. Moment tensor inversion results show that the overall seismicity in this sequence is characterized by oblique mechanisms with a normal fault component, with a 30A degrees low-dip angle plane oriented NNE-SSW and a subvertical plane oriented NW-SE. The combined analysis of hypocentral location and focal mechanisms could indicate that the seismic sequence corresponds to rupture processes along shallow low-dip surfaces, which could have been triggered by the gas injection in the reservoir, and excludes the activation of the Amposta fault, as its known orientation is inconsistent with focal mechanism results. An alternative scenario includes the iterated triggering of a system of steep faults oriented NW-SE, which were identified by prior marine seismics investigations. KW - Earthquake dynamics KW - Earthquake source observations Y1 - 2014 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggu172 SN - 0956-540X SN - 1365-246X VL - 198 IS - 2 SP - 941 EP - 953 PB - Oxford Univ. Press CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Passarelli, Luigi A1 - Rivalta, Eleonora A1 - Cesca, Simone A1 - Aoki, Yosuke T1 - Stress changes, focal mechanisms, and earthquake scaling laws for the 2000 dike at Miyakejima (Japan) JF - Journal of geophysical research : Solid earth N2 - Faulting processes in volcanic areas result from a complex interaction of pressurized fluid-filled cracks and conduits with the host rock and local and regional tectonic setting. Often, volcanic seismicity is difficult to decipher in terms of the physical processes involved, and there is a need for models relating the mechanics of volcanic sources to observations. Here we use focal mechanism data of the energetic swarm induced by the 2000 dike intrusion at Miyakejima (Izu Archipelago, Japan), to study the relation between the 3-D dike-induced stresses and the characteristics of the seismicity. We perform a clustering analysis on the focal mechanism (FM) solutions and relate them to the dike stress field and to the scaling relationships of the earthquakes. We find that the strike and rake angles of the FMs are strongly correlated and cluster on bands in a strike-rake plot. We suggest that this is consistent with optimally oriented faults according to the expected pattern of Coulomb stress changes. We calculate the frequency-size distribution of the clustered sets finding that focal mechanisms with a large strike-slip component are consistent with the Gutenberg-Richter relation with a b value of about 1. Conversely, events with large normal faulting components deviate from the Gutenberg-Richter distribution with a marked roll-off on its right-hand tail, suggesting a lack of large-magnitude events (M-w>5.5). This may result from the interplay of the limited thickness and lower rock strength of the layer of rock above the dike, where normal faulting is expected, and lower stress levels linked to the faulting style and low confining pressure. KW - dike intrusion KW - dike-induced stresses KW - dike-induced seismicity KW - Miyakejima intrusion KW - Gutenberg-Richter relationship Y1 - 2015 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/2014JB011504 SN - 2169-9313 SN - 2169-9356 VL - 120 IS - 6 SP - 4130 EP - 4145 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Cesca, Simone A1 - Braun, Thomas A1 - Maccaferri, Francesco A1 - Passarelli, Luigi A1 - Rivalta, Eleonora A1 - Dahm, Torsten T1 - Source modelling of the M5-6 Emilia-Romagna, Italy, earthquakes (2012 May 20-29) JF - Geophysical journal international N2 - On 2012 May 20 and 29, two damaging earthquakes with magnitudes M-w 6.1 and 5.9, respectively, struck the Emilia-Romagna region in the sedimentary Po Plain, Northern Italy, causing 26 fatalities, significant damage to historical buildings and substantial impact to the economy of the region. The earthquake sequence included four more aftershocks with M-w, >= 5.0, all at shallow depths (about 7-9 km), with similar WNW-ESE striking reverse mechanism. The timeline of the sequence suggests significant static stress interaction between the largest events. We perform here a detailed source inversion, first adopting a point source approximation and considering pure double couple and full moment tensor source models. We compare different extended source inversion approaches for the two largest events, and find that the rupture occurred in both cases along a subhorizontal plane, dipping towards SSW Directivity is well detected for the May 20 main shock, indicating that the rupture propagated unilaterally towards SE. Based on the focal mechanism solution, we further estimate the co-seismic static stress change induced by the May 20 event. By using the rate-and-state model and a Poissonian earthquake occurrence, we infer that the second largest event of May 29 was induced with a probability in the range 0.2-0.4. This suggests that the segment of fault was already prone to rupture. Finally, we estimate peak ground accelerations for the two main events as occurred separately or simultaneously. For the scenario involving hypothetical rupture areas of both main events, we estimate M-w = 6.3 and an increase of ground acceleration by 50 per cent. The approach we propose may help to quantify rapidly which regions are invested by a significant increase of the hazard, bearing the potential for large aftershocks or even a second main shock. KW - Earthquake dynamics KW - Earthquake source observations Y1 - 2013 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggt069 SN - 0956-540X VL - 193 IS - 3 SP - 1658 EP - 1672 PB - Oxford Univ. Press CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Valenzuela-Malebran, Carla A1 - Cesca, Simone A1 - Lopez-Comino, José Ángel A1 - Zeckra, Martin A1 - Krüger, F. A1 - Dahm, Torsten T1 - Source mechanisms and rupture processes of the Jujuy seismic nest, Chile-Argentina border JF - Journal of South American earth sciences N2 - The Altiplano-Puna plateau, in Central Andes, is the second-largest continental plateau on Earth, extending between 22 degrees and 27 degrees S at an average altitude of 4400 m. The Puna plateau has been formed in consequence of the subduction of the oceanic Nazca Plate beneath the continental South American plate, which has an average crustal thickness of 50 km at this location. A large seismicity cluster, the Jujuy cluster, is observed at depth of 150-250 km beneath the central region of the Puna plateau. The cluster is seismically very active, with hundreds of earthquakes reported and a peak magnitude MW 6.6 on 25th August 2006. The cluster is situated in one of three band of intermediate-depth focus seismicity, which extend parallel to the trench roughly North to South. It has been hypothesized that the Jujuy cluster could be a seismic nest, a compact seismogenic region characterized by a high stationary activity relative to its surroundings. In this study, we collected more than 40 years of data from different catalogs and proof that the cluster meets the three conditions of a seismic nest. Compared to other known intermediate depth nests at Hindu Kush (Afganisthan) or Bucaramanga (Colombia), the Jujuy nest presents an outstanding seismicity rate, with more than 100 M4+ earthquakes per year. We additionally performed a detailed analysis of the rupture process of some of the largest earthquakes in the nest, by means of moment tensor inversion and directivity analysis. We focused on the time period 2017-2018, where the seismic monitoring was the most extended. Our results show that earthquakes in the nest take place within the eastward subducting oceanic plate, but rupture along sub-horizontal planes dipping westward. We suggest that seismicity at Jujuy nest is controlled by dehydration processes, which are also responsible for the generation of fluids ascending to the crust beneath the Puna volcanic region. We use the rupture plane and nest geometry to provide a constraint to maximal expected magnitude, which we estimate as MW -6.7. KW - Seismic nest KW - Intermediate-deep earthquakes KW - Cluster analysis moment KW - tensor inversion KW - directivity analysis Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jsames.2022.103887 SN - 0895-9811 SN - 1873-0647 VL - 117 PB - Elsevier CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Karamzadeh, Nasim Toularoud A1 - Kühn, Daniela A1 - Kriegerowski, Marius A1 - López-Comino, José Ángel A1 - Cesca, Simone A1 - Dahm, Torsten T1 - Small-aperture array as a tool to monitor fluid injection- and extraction-induced microseismicity BT - applications and recommendations JF - Acta Geophysica N2 - The monitoring of microseismicity during temporary human activities such as fluid injections for hydrofracturing, hydrothermal stimulations or wastewater disposal is a difficult task. The seismic stations often cannot be installed on hard rock, and at quiet places, noise is strongly increased during the operation itself and the installation of sensors in deep wells is costly and often not feasible. The combination of small-aperture seismic arrays with shallow borehole sensors offers a solution. We tested this monitoring approach at two different sites: (1) accompanying a fracking experiment in sedimentary shale at 4km depth and (2) above a gas field under depletion. The small-aperture arrays were planned according to theoretical wavenumber studies combined with simulations considering the local noise conditions. We compared array recordings with recordings available from shallow borehole sensors and give examples of detection and location performance. Although the high-frequency noise on the 50-m-deep borehole sensors was smaller compared to the surface noise before the injection experiment, the signals were highly contaminated during injection by the pumping activities. Therefore, a set of three small-aperture arrays at different azimuths was more suited to detect small events, since noise recorded on these arrays is uncorrelated with each other. Further, we developed recommendations for the adaptation of the monitoring concept to other sites experiencing induced seismicity. KW - Microseismic monitoring KW - Induced seismicity KW - Array seismology KW - Shallow borehole sensors Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s11600-018-0231-1 SN - 1895-6572 SN - 1895-7455 VL - 67 IS - 1 SP - 311 EP - 326 PB - Springer CY - Cham ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Cesca, Simone A1 - Sen, Ali Tolga A1 - Dahm, Torsten T1 - Seismicity monitoring by cluster analysis of moment tensors JF - Geophysical journal international N2 - We suggest a new clustering approach to classify focal mechanisms from large moment tensor catalogues, with the purpose of automatically identify families of earthquakes with similar source geometry, recognize the orientation of most active faults, and detect temporal variations of the rupture processes. The approach differs in comparison to waveform similarity methods since clusters are detected even if they occur in large spatial distances. This approach is particularly helpful to analyse large moment tensor catalogues, as in microseismicity applications, where a manual analysis and classification is not feasible. A flexible algorithm is here proposed: it can handle different metrics, norms, and focal mechanism representations. In particular, the method can handle full moment tensor or constrained source model catalogues, for which different metrics are suggested. The method can account for variable uncertainties of different moment tensor components. We verify the method with synthetic catalogues. An application to real data from mining induced seismicity illustrates possible applications of the method and demonstrate the cluster detection and event classification performance with different moment tensor catalogues. Results proof that main earthquake source types occur on spatially separated faults, and that temporal changes in the number and characterization of focal mechanism clusters are detected. We suggest that moment tensor clustering can help assessing time dependent hazard in mines. KW - Persistence KW - memory KW - correlations KW - clustering KW - Earthquake source observations Y1 - 2014 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggt492 SN - 0956-540X SN - 1365-246X VL - 196 IS - 3 SP - 1813 EP - 1826 PB - Oxford Univ. Press CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Heimann, Sebastian A1 - Gonzalez, Alvaro A1 - Wang, Rongjiang A1 - Cesca, Simone A1 - Dahm, Torsten T1 - Seismic characterization of the Chelyabinsk Meteor's terminal explosion JF - Seismological research letters Y1 - 2013 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1785/0220130042 SN - 0895-0695 VL - 84 IS - 6 SP - 1021 EP - 1025 PB - Seismological Society of America CY - Albany ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Pro, C. A1 - Buforn, Elisa A1 - Cesca, Simone A1 - Sanz de Galdeano, C. A1 - Udias, A. T1 - Rupture process of the Lorca (southeast Spain) 11 May 2011 (M (w)=5.1) earthquake JF - Journal of seismology N2 - On 11 May 2011, a M (w) = 5.1 earthquake shook the town of Lorca (SE Spain) causing a disproportionately large damage for its magnitude. In order to contribute to knowledge of the behavior of the active faults present in the region and define the parameters which control their motion, we made a detailed study of the rupture process of this earthquake from inversion of body waves at regional and teleseismic distances. Ground motion displacements obtained in this way are in agreement with near-field strong motion data and GPS observations recorded in Lorca. We have obtained a partly bilateral rupture propagating to WSW (238A degrees, 54A degrees, 59A degrees) with 27 cm of maximum slip and shallow focus (4 km). The fault plane orientation corresponds to that of the Cejo de los Enamorados Fault located NE of the Lorca town and parallel to the Alhama de Murcia Fault. The distribution of slip on the fault plane can explain the lack of any observed surface rupture as we found that the rupture started at 4-km depth along a plane dipping at 54A degrees, with motion propagating upward to stop at 1.5 km below the surface. The strong motion and GPS data recorded near the epicenter are in agreement with the maximum slip on the fault. Directivity effects and the extreme shallowness of the rupture could explain the considerable damage that the earthquake caused in the town of Lorca. KW - Seismic slip distribution KW - Directivity KW - Ground motion and GPS Y1 - 2014 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s10950-014-9421-8 SN - 1383-4649 SN - 1573-157X VL - 18 IS - 3 SP - 481 EP - 495 PB - Springer CY - Dordrecht ER - TY - JOUR A1 - López-Comino, José Ángel A1 - Cesca, Simone A1 - Niemz, Peter A1 - Dahm, Torsten A1 - Zang, Arno T1 - Rupture directivity in 3D inferred from acoustic emissions events in a mine-scale hydraulic fracturing experiment JF - Frontiers in Earth Science N2 - Rupture directivity, implying a predominant earthquake rupture propagation direction, is typically inferred upon the identification of 2D azimuthal patterns of seismic observations for weak to large earthquakes using surface-monitoring networks. However, the recent increase of 3D monitoring networks deployed in the shallow subsurface and underground laboratories toward the monitoring of microseismicity allows to extend the directivity analysis to 3D modeling, beyond the usual range of magnitudes. The high-quality full waveforms recorded for the largest, decimeter-scale acoustic emission (AE) events during a meter-scale hydraulic fracturing experiment in granites at similar to 410 m depth allow us to resolve the apparent durations observed at each AE sensor to analyze 3D-directivity effects. Unilateral and (asymmetric) bilateral ruptures are then characterized by the introduction of a parameter kappa, representing the angle between the directivity vector and the station vector. While the cloud of AE activity indicates the planes of the hydrofractures, the resolved directivity vectors show off-plane orientations, indicating that rupture planes of microfractures on a scale of centimeters have different geometries. Our results reveal a general alignment of the rupture directivity with the orientation of the minimum horizontal stress, implying that not only the slip direction but also the fracture growth produced by the fluid injections is controlled by the local stress conditions. KW - directivity KW - earthquake source KW - induced seismicity KW - hydraulic KW - fracturing KW - acoustic emissions Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2021.670757 SN - 2296-6463 VL - 9 PB - Frontiers Media CY - Lausanne ER - TY - GEN A1 - Dahm, Torsten A1 - Becker, Dirk A1 - Bischoff, Monika A1 - Cesca, Simone A1 - Dost, B. A1 - Fritschen, R. A1 - Hainzl, Sebastian A1 - Klose, C. D. A1 - Kuhn, D. A1 - Lasocki, S. A1 - Meier, Thomas A1 - Ohrnberger, Matthias A1 - Rivalta, Eleonora A1 - Wegler, Ulrich A1 - Husen, Stephan T1 - Recommendation for the discrimination of human-related and natural seismicity T2 - Journal of seismology N2 - Various techniques are utilized by the seismological community, extractive industries, energy and geoengineering companies to identify earthquake nucleation processes in close proximity to engineering operation points. These operations may comprise fluid extraction or injections, artificial water reservoir impoundments, open pit and deep mining, deep geothermal power generations or carbon sequestration. In this letter to the editor, we outline several lines of investigation that we suggest to follow to address the discrimination problem between natural seismicity and seismic events induced or triggered by geoengineering activities. These suggestions have been developed by a group of experts during several meetings and workshops, and we feel that their publication as a summary report is helpful for the geoscientific community. Specific investigation procedures and discrimination approaches, on which our recommendations are based, are also published in this Special Issue (SI) of Journal of Seismology. KW - Triggered seismicity KW - Induced seismicity Y1 - 2013 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s10950-012-9295-6 SN - 1383-4649 VL - 17 IS - 1 SP - 197 EP - 202 PB - Springer CY - Dordrecht ER - TY - INPR A1 - Cesca, Simone A1 - Dost, Bernard A1 - Oth, Adrien T1 - Preface to the special issue "Triggered and induced seismicity: probabilities and discrimination" T2 - Journal of seismology Y1 - 2013 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s10950-012-9338-z SN - 1383-4649 VL - 17 IS - 1 SP - 1 EP - 4 PB - Springer CY - Dordrecht ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Cesca, Simone A1 - Heimann, Sebastian A1 - Kriegerowski, Marius A1 - Saul, Joachim A1 - Dahm, Torsten T1 - Moment tensor inversion for nuclear explosions BT - what can we learn from the 6 January and 9 September 2016 Nuclear Tests, North Korea? JF - Seismological research letters N2 - Two nuclear explosions were carried out by the Democratic People’s Republic of North Korea in January and September 2016. Epicenters were located close to those of the 2006, 2009, and 2013 previous explosions. We perform a seismological analysis of the 2016 events combining the analysis of full waveforms at regional distances and seismic array beams at teleseismic distances. We estimate the most relevant source parameters, such as source depth, moment release, and full moment tensor (MT). The best MT solution can be decomposed into an isotropic source, directly related with the explosion and an additional deviatoric term, likely due to near‐source interactions with topographic and/or underground facilities features. We additionally perform an accurate resolution test to assess source parameters uncertainties and trade‐offs. This analysis sheds light on source parameters inconsistencies among studies on previous shallow explosive sources. The resolution of the true MT is hindered by strong source parameters trade‐offs, so that a broad range of well‐fitting MT solutions can be found, spanning from a dominant positive isotropic term to a dominant negative vertical compensated linear vector dipole. The true mechanism can be discriminated by additionally modeling first‐motion polarities at seismic arrays at teleseismic distances. A comparative assessment of the 2016 explosion with earlier nuclear tests documents similar vertical waveforms but a significant increase of amplitude for the 2016 explosions, which proves that the 9 September 2016 was the largest nuclear explosion ever performed in North Korea with a magnitude Mw 4.9 and a shallow depth of less than 2 km, although there are no proofs of a fusion explosion. Modeling transversal component waveforms suggests variable size and orientation of the double‐couple components of the 2009, 2013, and 2016 sources. Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1785/0220160139 SN - 0895-0695 SN - 1938-2057 VL - 88 IS - 2A SP - 300 EP - 310 PB - Seismological Society of America CY - Albany ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Maghsoudi, Samira A1 - Cesca, Simone A1 - Hainzl, Sebastian A1 - Dahm, Torsten A1 - Zöller, Gert A1 - Kaiser, Diethelm T1 - Maximum Magnitude of Completeness in a Salt Mine JF - Bulletin of the Seismological Society of America N2 - In this study, we analyze acoustic emission (AE) data recorded at the Morsleben salt mine, Germany, to assess the catalog completeness, which plays an important role in any seismicity analysis. We introduce the new concept of a magnitude completeness interval consisting of a maximum magnitude of completeness (M-c(max)) in addition to the well-known minimum magnitude of completeness. This is required to describe the completeness of the catalog, both for the smallest events (for which the detection performance may be low) and for the largest ones (which may be missed because of sensors saturation). We suggest a method to compute the maximum magnitude of completeness and calculate it for a spatial grid based on (1) the prior estimation of saturation magnitude at each sensor, (2) the correction of the detection probability function at each sensor, including a drop in the detection performance when it saturates, and (3) the combination of detection probabilities of all sensors to obtain the network detection performance. The method is tested using about 130,000 AE events recorded in a period of five weeks, with sources confined within a small depth interval, and an example of the spatial distribution of M-c(max) is derived. The comparison between the spatial distribution of M-c(max) and of the maximum possible magnitude (M-max), which is here derived using a recently introduced Bayesian approach, indicates that M-max exceeds M-c(max) in some parts of the mine. This suggests that some large and important events may be missed in the catalog, which could lead to a bias in the hazard evaluation. Y1 - 2015 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1785/0120140039 SN - 0037-1106 SN - 1943-3573 VL - 105 IS - 3 SP - 1491 EP - 1501 PB - Seismological Society of America CY - Albany ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Cesca, Simone A1 - Sugan, Monica A1 - Rudzinski, Lukasz A1 - Vajedian, Sanaz A1 - Niemz, Peter A1 - Plank, Simon A1 - Petersen, Gesa A1 - Deng, Zhiguo A1 - Rivalta, Eleonora A1 - Vuan, Alessandro A1 - Linares, Milton Percy Plasencia A1 - Heimann, Sebastian A1 - Dahm, Torsten T1 - Massive earthquake swarm driven by magmatic intrusion at the Bransfield Strait, Antarctica JF - Communications earth and environment N2 - An earthquake swarm affected the Bransfield Strait, Antarctica, a unique rift basin in transition from intra-arc rifting to ocean spreading. The swarm, counting similar to 85,000 volcano-tectonic earthquakes since August 2020, is located close to the Orca submarine volcano, previously considered inactive. Simultaneously, geodetic data reported up to similar to 11 cm north-westward displacement over King George Island. We use a broad variety of geophysical data and methods to reveal the complex migration of seismicity, accompanying the intrusion of 0.26-0.56 km(3) of magma. Strike-slip earthquakes mark the intrusion at depth, while shallower normal faulting the similar to 20 km long lateral growth of a dike. Seismicity abruptly decreased after a Mw 6.0 earthquake, suggesting the magmatic dike lost pressure with the slipping of a large fault. A seafloor eruption is likely, but not confirmed by sea surface temperature anomalies. The unrest documents episodic magmatic intrusion in the Bransfield Strait, providing unique insights into active continental rifting. Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1038/s43247-022-00418-5 SN - 2662-4435 VL - 3 IS - 1 PB - Springer Nature CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Niemz, Peter A1 - Dahm, Torsten A1 - Milkereit, Claus A1 - Cesca, Simone A1 - Petersen, Gesa Maria A1 - Zang, Arno T1 - Insights into hydraulic fracture growth gained from a joint analysis of seismometer-derived tilt signals and scoustic emissions JF - Journal of geophysical research : Solid earth N2 - Hydraulic fracturing is performed to enhance rock permeability, for example, in the frame of geothermal energy production or shale gas exploitation, and can potentially trigger induced seismicity. The tracking of increased permeabilities and the fracturing extent is often based on the microseismic event distribution within the stimulated rock volume, but it is debated whether the microseismic activity adequately depicts the fracture formation. We are able to record tilt signals that appear as long-period transients (<180 s) on two broadband seismometers installed close (17-72 m) to newly formed, meter-scale hydraulic fractures. With this observation, we can overcome the limitations of the microseismic monitoring alone and verify the fracture mapping. Our analysis for the first time combines a catalog of previously analyzed acoustic emissions ([AEs] durations of 20 ms), indirectly mapping the fractures, with unique tilt signals, that provide independent, direct insights into the deformation of the rock. The analysis allows to identify different phases of the fracturing process including the (re)opening, growth, and aftergrowth of fractures. Further, it helps to differentiate between the formation of complex fracture networks and single macrofractures, and it validates the AE fracture mapping. Our findings contribute to a better understanding of the fracturing processes, which may help to reduce fluid-injection-induced seismicity and validate efficient fracture formation.
Plain Language Summary Hydraulic fracturing (HF) describes the opening of fractures in rocks by injecting fluids under high pressure. The new fractures not only can facilitate the extraction of shale gas but can also be used to heat up water in the subsurface in enhanced geothermal systems, a corner stone of renewable energy production. The fracture formation is inherently accompanied by small, nonfelt earthquakes (microseismic events). Occasionally, larger events felt by the population can be induced by the subsurface operations. Avoiding such events is important for the acceptance of HF operations and requires a detailed knowledge about the fracture formation. We jointly analyze two very different data sets recorded during mine-scale HF experiments: (a) the tilting of the ground caused by the opening of the fractures, as recorded by broadband seismometers-usually deployed for earthquake monitoring-installed close to the experiments and (b) a catalog of acoustic emissions, seismic signals of few milliseconds emitted by tiny cracks around the forming hydraulic fracture. The novel joint analysis allows to characterize the fracturing processes in greater detail, contributing to the understanding of the physical processes, which may help to understand fluid-injection-induced seismicity and validate the formation of hydraulic fractures. KW - hydraulic fracturing KW - fracture growth KW - tilt KW - acoustic emissions KW - injections KW - broadband seismometer Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2021JB023057 SN - 2169-9313 SN - 2169-9356 VL - 126 IS - 12 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Jamalreyhani, Mohammadreza A1 - Rezapour, Mehdi A1 - Cesca, Simone A1 - Dahm, Torsten A1 - Heimann, Sebastian A1 - Sudhaus, Henriette A1 - Isken, Marius Paul T1 - Insight into the 2017-2019 Lurestan arc seismic sequence (Zagros, Iran); complex earthquake interaction in the basement and sediments JF - Geophysical journal international N2 - Despite its high-seismogenic potential, the details of the seismogenic processes of Zagros Simply Folded Belt (SFB) remains debated. Three large earthquakes (M-w 7.3, 5.9 and 6.3) struck in the Lurestan arc of the Zagros SFB in 2017 and 2018. The sequence was recorded by seismic stations at regional, and teleseismic distances. Coseismic surface displacements, measured by Sentinel-1A/B satellites, provide additional data and a unique opportunity to study these earthquakes in detail. Here, we complement previous studies of the coseismic slip distribution of the 12 November 2017 M-w 7.3 Ezgeleh earthquake by a detailed analysis of its aftershocks, and we analysed the rupture process of the two interrelated earthquakes (25 August 2018 M-w 5.9 Tazehabad and the 25 November 2018 M-w 6.3 Sarpol-e Zahab earthquakes). We model the surface displacements obtained from Interferometric Synthetic Aperture Radar (InSAR) measurements and seismic records. We conduct non-linear probabilistic optimizations based on joint InSAR and seismic data to obtain finite-fault rupture of these earthquakes. The Lurestan arc earthquakes were followed by a sustained aftershock activity, with 133 aftershocks exceeding M-n 4.0 until 30 December 2019. We rely on the permanent seismic networks of Iran and Iraq to relocate similar to 700 M-n 3 + events and estimate moment tensor solutions for 85 aftershocks down to M-w 4.0. The 2017 Ezgeleh earthquake has been considered to activate a low-angle (similar to 17 degrees) dextral-thrust fault at the depth of 10-20 km. However, most of its aftershocks have shallow centroid depths (8-12 km). The joint interpretation of finite source models, moment tensor and hypocentral location indicate that the 2018 Tazehabad and Sarpol-e Zahab earthquakes ruptured different strike-slip structures, providing evidence for the activation of the sinistral and dextral strike-slip faults, respectively. The deformation in the Lurestan arc is seismically accommodated by a complex fault system involving both thrust and strike-slip faults. Knowledge about the deformation characteristics is important for the understanding of crustal shortening, faulting and hazard and risk assessment in this region. KW - Joint Inversion KW - Waveform inversion KW - Earthquake source observations KW - Seismicity and tectonics Y1 - 2022 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggac057 SN - 0956-540X SN - 1365-246X VL - 230 IS - 1 SP - 114 EP - 130 PB - Oxford Univ. Press CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Maghsoudi, Samira A1 - Cesca, Simone A1 - Hainzl, Sebastian A1 - Kaiser, Diethelm A1 - Becker, Dirk A1 - Dahm, Torsten T1 - Improving the estimation of detection probability and magnitude of completeness in strongly heterogeneous media, an application to acoustic emission (AE) JF - Geophysical journal international N2 - Reliable estimations of magnitude of completeness (M-c) are essential for a correct interpretation of seismic catalogues. The spatial distribution of M-c may be strongly variable and difficult to assess in mining environments, owing to the presence of galleries, cavities, fractured regions, porous media and different mineralogical bodies, as well as in consequence of inhomogeneous spatial distribution of the seismicity. We apply a 3-D modification of the probabilistic magnitude of completeness (PMC) method, which relies on the analysis of network detection capabilities. In our approach, the probability to detect an event depends on its magnitude, source receiver Euclidian distance and source receiver direction. The suggested method is proposed for study of the spatial distribution of the magnitude of completeness in a mining environment and here is applied to a 2-months acoustic emission (AE) data set recorded at the Morsleben salt mine, Germany. The dense seismic network and the large data set, which includes more than one million events, enable a detailed testing of the method. This method is proposed specifically for strongly heterogeneous media. Besides, it can also be used for specific network installations, with sensors with a sensitivity, dependent on the direction of the incoming wave (e.g. some piezoelectric sensors). In absence of strong heterogeneities, the standards PMC approach should be used. We show that the PMC estimations in mines strongly depend on the source receiver direction, and cannot be correctly accounted using a standard PMC approach. However, results can be improved, when adopting the proposed 3-D modification of the PMC method. Our analysis of one central horizontal and vertical section yields a magnitude of completeness of about M-c approximate to 1 (AE magnitude) at the centre of the network, which increases up to M-c approximate to 4 at further distances outside the network; the best detection performance is estimated for a NNE-SSE elongated region, which corresponds to the strike direction of the low-attenuating salt body. Our approach provides us with small-scale details about the capability of sensors to detect an earthquake, which can be linked to the presence of heterogeneities in specific directions. Reduced detection performance in presence of strong structural heterogeneities (cavities) is confirmed by synthetic waveform modelling in heterogeneous media. KW - Seismic attenuation KW - Statistical seismology Y1 - 2013 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggt049 SN - 0956-540X VL - 193 IS - 3 SP - 1556 EP - 1569 PB - Oxford Univ. Press CY - Oxford ER -