TY - JOUR A1 - Miller, Jeff A1 - Ulrich, Rolf A1 - Schwarz, Wolfgang T1 - Why jackknifing yields good latency estimates N2 - We compared individual-participant and jackknife-based methods for scoring the onset latencies of event-related potential (ERP) components using a diffusion process as a model for an ERP. We studied "ramp-like" components in which the true ERP increases or decreases monotonically, except for noise. If the growth rates of such components vary across participants, the jackknife-based measure can easily have only 10%-20% as much error variance as the traditional method, and this advantage is magnified with more participants. We also studied boolean AND-shaped or "bump-like" components. Jackknifing generally yielded smaller error variances with these components too, especially when the component's peak amplitude varied across participants, but less so if the component's peak latency varied. These results help illuminate the reasons for the superiority of jackknife-based onset latency measures over traditional measures in recent simulations. Y1 - 2009 UR - http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/cgi-bin/issn?DESCRIPTOR=PRINTISSN&VALUE=0048-5772 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-8986.2008.00761.x SN - 0048-5772 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Miller, Jeff A1 - Schwarz, Wolfgang T1 - Implications of Individual Differences in On-Average Null Effects JF - Journal of experimental psychology : General N2 - Most psychological models are intended to describe processes that operate within each individual. In many research areas, however, models are tested by looking at results averaged across many individuals, despite the fact that such averaged results may give a misleading picture of what is true for each one. We consider this conundrum with respect to the interpretation of on-average null effects. Specifically, even though an experimental manipulation might have no effect on average across individuals, it might still have demonstrable effects-albeit in opposite directions-for many or all of the individuals tested. We discuss several examples of research questions for which it would be theoretically crucial to determine whether manipulations really have no effect at the individual level, and we present a method of testing for individual-level effects. KW - null effects KW - individual differences KW - hypothesis testing KW - psychological models Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1037/xge0000367 SN - 0096-3445 SN - 1939-2222 VL - 147 IS - 3 SP - 377 EP - 397 PB - American Psychological Association CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schwarz, Wolfgang A1 - Miller, Jeff T1 - GSDT: An Integrative Model of Visual Search JF - Journal of experimental psychology : Human perception and performance N2 - We present a new quantitative process model (GSDT) of visual search that seeks to integrate various processing mechanisms suggested by previous studies within a single, coherent conceptual frame. It incorporates and combines 4 distinct model components: guidance (G), a serial (S) item inspection process, diffusion (D) modeling of individual item inspections, and a strategic termination (T) rule. For this model, we derive explicit closed-form results for response probability and mean search time (reaction time [RT]) as a function of display size and target presence/absence. The fit of the model is compared in detail to data from 4 visual search experiments in which the effects of target/distractor discriminability and of target prevalence on performance (present/absent display size functions for mean RT and error rate) are studied. We describe how GSDT accounts for various detailed features of our results such as the probabilities of hits and correct rejections and their mean RTs; we also apply the model to explain further aspects of the data, such as RT variance and mean miss RT. KW - visual search KW - signal prevalence KW - strategic termination KW - diffusion model KW - display size effect Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1037/xhp0000247 SN - 0096-1523 SN - 1939-1277 VL - 42 SP - 1654 EP - 1671 PB - American Psychological Association CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Miller, Jeff A1 - Schwarz, Wolfgang T1 - Dissociations between reaction times and temporal order judgments : a diffusion model approach N2 - A diffusion model for simple reaction time (RT) and temporal order judgment (TOJ) tasks was developed to account for a commonly observed dissociation between these 2 tasks: Most stimulus manipulations (e.g., intensity) have larger effects in RT tasks than in TOJ tasks. The model assumes that a detection criterion determines the level of sensory evidence needed to conclude that a stimulus has been presented. Analysis of the performance that would be achieved with different possible criterion settings revealed that performance was optimal with a lower criterion setting for the TOJ task than for the RT task. In addition, the model predicts that effects of stimulus manipulations should increase with the size of the detection criterion. Thus, the model suggests that commonly observed dissociations between RT and TOJ tasks may simply be due to performance optimization in the face of conflicting task demands Y1 - 2006 UR - http://www.apa.org/pubs/journals/xhp/ U6 - https://doi.org/10.1037/0096-1523.32.2.394 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Miller, Jeff A1 - Schwarz, Wolfgang T1 - Delta plots for conflict tasks BT - an activation-suppression race model JF - Psychonomic bulletin & review : a journal of the Psychonomic Society N2 - We describe a mathematically simple yet precise model of activation suppression that can explain the negative-going delta plots often observed in standard Simon tasks. The model postulates a race between the identification of the relevant stimulus attribute and the suppression of irrelevant location-based activation, with the irrelevant activation only having an effect if the irrelevant activation is still present at the moment when central processing of the relevant attribute starts. The model can be fitted by maximum likelihood to observed distributions of RTs in congruent and incongruent trials, and it provides good fits to two previously-reported data sets with plausible parameter values. R and MATLAB software for use with the model is provided. KW - Delta plots KW - RT models KW - Simon effect KW - Activation suppression model Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3758/s13423-021-01900-5 SN - 1069-9384 SN - 1531-5320 VL - 28 IS - 6 SP - 1776 EP - 1795 PB - Springer CY - New York ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Miller, Jeff A1 - Schwarz, Wolfgang T1 - Aggregate and individual replication probability within an explicit model of the research process JF - Psychological methods N2 - We study a model of the research process in which the true effect size, the replication jitter due to changes in experimental procedure, and the statistical error of effect size measurement are all normally distributed random variables. Within this model, we analyze the probability of successfully replicating an initial experimental result by obtaining either a statistically significant result in the same direction or any effect in that direction. We analyze both the probability of successfully replicating a particular experimental effect (i.e., the individual replication probability) and the average probability of successful replication across different studies within some research context (i.e., the aggregate replication probability), and we identify the conditions under which the latter can be approximated using the formulas of Killeen (2005a, 2007). We show how both of these probabilities depend on parameters of the research context that would rarely be known in practice. In addition, we show that the statistical uncertainty associated with the size of an initial observed effect would often prevent accurate estimation of the desired individual replication probability even if these research context parameters were known exactly. We conclude that accurate estimates of replication probability are generally unattainable. KW - probability of replication KW - posterior statistical power KW - Bayesian inference KW - random-effects model KW - statistical estimation Y1 - 2011 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1037/a0023347 SN - 1082-989X VL - 16 IS - 3 SP - 337 EP - 360 PB - American Psychological Association CY - Washington ER -