TY - GEN A1 - Nüsken, Nikolas A1 - Reich, Sebastian A1 - Rozdeba, Paul J. T1 - State and parameter estimation from observed signal increments T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - The success of the ensemble Kalman filter has triggered a strong interest in expanding its scope beyond classical state estimation problems. In this paper, we focus on continuous-time data assimilation where the model and measurement errors are correlated and both states and parameters need to be identified. Such scenarios arise from noisy and partial observations of Lagrangian particles which move under a stochastic velocity field involving unknown parameters. We take an appropriate class of McKean–Vlasov equations as the starting point to derive ensemble Kalman–Bucy filter algorithms for combined state and parameter estimation. We demonstrate their performance through a series of increasingly complex multi-scale model systems. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 916 KW - parameter estimation KW - continuous-time data assimilation KW - ensemble Kalman filter KW - correlated noise KW - multi-scale diffusion processes Y1 - 2020 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-442609 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 916 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Nüsken, Nikolas A1 - Reich, Sebastian A1 - Rozdeba, Paul J. T1 - State and parameter estimation from observed signal increments JF - Entropy : an international and interdisciplinary journal of entropy and information studies N2 - The success of the ensemble Kalman filter has triggered a strong interest in expanding its scope beyond classical state estimation problems. In this paper, we focus on continuous-time data assimilation where the model and measurement errors are correlated and both states and parameters need to be identified. Such scenarios arise from noisy and partial observations of Lagrangian particles which move under a stochastic velocity field involving unknown parameters. We take an appropriate class of McKean-Vlasov equations as the starting point to derive ensemble Kalman-Bucy filter algorithms for combined state and parameter estimation. We demonstrate their performance through a series of increasingly complex multi-scale model systems. KW - parameter estimation KW - continuous-time data assimilation KW - ensemble Kalman filter KW - correlated noise KW - multi-scale diffusion processes Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/e21050505 SN - 1099-4300 VL - 21 IS - 5 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Mutothya, Nicholas Mwilu A1 - Xu, Yong A1 - Li, Yongge A1 - Metzler, Ralf A1 - Mutua, Nicholas Muthama T1 - First passage dynamics of stochastic motion in heterogeneous media driven by correlated white Gaussian and coloured non-Gaussian noises JF - Journal of physics. Complexity N2 - We study the first passage dynamics for a diffusing particle experiencing a spatially varying diffusion coefficient while driven by correlated additive Gaussian white noise and multiplicative coloured non-Gaussian noise. We consider three functional forms for position dependence of the diffusion coefficient: power-law, exponential, and logarithmic. The coloured non-Gaussian noise is distributed according to Tsallis' q-distribution. Tracks of the non-Markovian systems are numerically simulated by using the fourth-order Runge-Kutta algorithm and the first passage times (FPTs) are recorded. The FPT density is determined along with the mean FPT (MFPT). Effects of the noise intensity and self-correlation of the multiplicative noise, the intensity of the additive noise, the cross-correlation strength, and the non-extensivity parameter on the MFPT are discussed. KW - first passage KW - diffusion KW - non-Gaussian KW - correlated noise Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1088/2632-072X/ac35b5 SN - 2632-072X VL - 2 PB - IOP Publishing CY - Bristol ER -