TY  - JOUR
A1  - König, Hannes Jochen
A1  - Uthes, Sandra
A1  - Schuler, Johannes
A1  - Zhen, Lin
A1  - Purushothaman, Seema
A1  - Suarma, Utia
A1  - Sghaier, Mongi
A1  - Makokha, Stella
A1  - Helming, Katharina
A1  - Sieber, Stefan
A1  - Chen, Le
A1  - Brouwer, Floor
A1  - Morris, Jake
A1  - Wiggering, Hubert
T1  - Regional impact assessment of land use scenarios in developing countries using the FoPIA approach - findings from five case studies
JF  - Journal of environmental management
N2  - The impact of land use changes on sustainable development is of increasing interest in many regions of the world. This study aimed to test the transferability of the Framework for Participatory Impact Assessment (FoPIA), which was originally developed in the European context, to developing countries, in which lack of data often prevents the use of data-driven impact assessment methods. The core aspect of FoPIA is the stakeholder-based assessment of alternative land use scenarios. Scenario impacts on regional sustainability are assessed by using a set of nine regional land use functions (LUFs), which equally cover the economic, social and environmental dimensions of sustainability. The cases analysed in this study include (1) the alternative spatial planning policies around the Merapi volcano and surrounding areas of Yogyakarta City, Indonesia; (2) the large-scale afforestation of agricultural areas to reduce soil erosion in Guyuan, China; (3) the expansion of soil and water conservation measures in the Oum Zessar watershed, Tunisia; (4) the agricultural intensification and the potential for organic agriculture in Bijapur, India; and (5) the land degradation and land conflicts resulting from land division and privatisation in Narok, Kenya. All five regions are characterised by population growth, partially combined with considerable economic development, environmental degradation problems and social conflicts. Implications of the regional scenario impacts as well as methodological aspects are discussed. Overall, FoPIA proved to be a useful tool for diagnosing regional human-environment interactions and for supporting the communication and social learning process among different stakeholder groups.
KW  - (Ex-ante) impact assessment
KW  - Land use change
KW  - Scenario study
KW  - Sustainable development
KW  - Stakeholder participation
KW  - Developing countries
KW  - Indicators
Y1  - 2013
U6  - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2012.10.021
SN  - 0301-4797
SN  - 1095-8630
VL  - 127
SP  - S56
EP  - S64
PB  - Elsevier
CY  - London
ER  -