TY - JOUR A1 - Dirnitrov, Radoslav A1 - Hovi, Jon A1 - Sprinz, Detlef F. A1 - Saelen, Håkon A1 - Underdal, Arild T1 - Institutional and environmental effectiveness BT - will the Paris Agreement work? JF - Wiley interdisciplinary reviews : Climate change N2 - The 2015 Paris Agreement (PA) has been widely hailed as a diplomatic triumph and a breakthrough in global climate cooperation. However, it is commonly accepted that the PA's collective goal—keeping global warming “well below” 2°C above preindustrial levels—remains ambitious. Making matters even more challenging, in 2017, global CO2 emissions resumed growth after 3 years of near standstill. In 2018, this growth accelerated. It is therefore extremely important that the PA's institutional architecture meet expectations concerning its ability to induce member countries to promise and deliver emissions reductions. This study offers a review of the rapidly growing literature on the PA, to assess its strengths and weaknesses, its significance, and its prospects. We focus on evaluations of its institutional structure and its ability to induce member countries to implement policies. We frame the issues as a trilemma: the challenge of simultaneously satisfying all three main conditions for effectiveness—broad participation, deep commitments, and satisfactory compliance rates. Based on our review, we conclude that the key challenge for the PA will likely be to facilitate sufficiently fast ratcheting‐up of nationally determined contributions, while keeping compliance rates high. KW - ambition KW - climate change cooperation KW - compliance KW - Paris Agreement KW - participation Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.583 SN - 1757-7780 SN - 1757-7799 VL - 10 IS - 4 PB - Wiley CY - Hoboken ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Streck, Charlotte A1 - von Unger, Moritz A1 - Greiner, Sandra T1 - COP 25 BT - losing sight of (raising) ambition JF - Journal for European environmental & planning law N2 - The 25th session of the Conference of the Parties (COP-25) of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change (UNFCCC) became the longest COP on record - but yielded few results. It appears that four years after the adoption of the Paris Agreement, enthusiasm has waned and political bargaining and bean-counting have taken over. Countries, for even the slightest chance to keep temperatures 'well below' 2 degrees Celsius, must do much more than they have previously committed to and accelerate the shift towards a zero-carbon economy. However, the conference largely failed to heed the rallying cry of the Chilean presidency. The flagship decisions (grouped under the banner "Chile-Madrid Time for Action") neither produced new commitments - enhancing ambition or finance for developing countries - nor new rules that would nudge countries closer to the climate action targets needed. The leftover pieces from last year's negotiations of the "Paris Rulebook" were also not resolved, in particular the unfinished decisions on Article 6 on market- and non-market mechanisms. The procrastination shows that the new architecture of the Paris Agreement, while addressing several of the shortcomings of the Kyoto Protocol, suffers from its own weaknesses. The meager results of Madrid give reason to pause and reflect on the conditions that may hold countries back from fully embracing the Paris Agreement, but also to consider the future and nature of carbon markets and what is making the issue so difficult to resolve. KW - Paris Agreement KW - UNFCCC KW - COP-25 KW - carbon markets KW - Article 6 KW - ambition KW - non-state actors Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1163/18760104-01702003 SN - 1613-7272 SN - 1876-0104 VL - 17 IS - 2 SP - 136 EP - 160 PB - Brill CY - Leiden ER -