TY  - JOUR
A1  - Gassmann, Shari-Estelle
A1  - Nunkoo, Robin
A1  - Tiberius, Victor
A1  - Kraus, Sascha
T1  - My home is your castle
BT  - forecasting the future of accommodation sharing
JF  - International journal of contemporary hospitality management
N2  - Purpose
This paper aims to formulate the most probable future scenario for the accommodation sharing sector within the next five to ten years. It addresses the following six thematic aspects: relevance, different forms of accommodation sharing, users, hosts, platforms, and finally, industry regulation.

Design/methodology/approach
This study identifies the most likely holistic future scenario by conducting a two-stage Delphi study involving 59 expert panelists. It addresses 33 projections for six thematic sections of the accommodation sharing industry: relevance, different forms of accommodation sharing, users, hosts, platforms, and finally, industry regulation.

Findings
The results indicate that the number of shared accommodations and users of home-sharing will increase. Moreover, the cost advantage is the predominant driver for users to engage in the accommodation sharing segment, and for the hosts, the generation of an extra income is the primary incentive. Finally, the regulation within this industry is expected to be more effective in the foreseeable future.

Practical implications
The results are critical, not only to advance our theoretical understanding and stimulate critical discussions on the long-term development of accommodation sharing but also to assist governments and policymakers who have an interest in developing and regulating this sector and developers seeking business opportunities.

Originality/value
While there is ample knowledge about the past and current development of accommodation sharing in tourism, little is understood about its potential future development and implications for consumers, the economy, and society. To date, no scientific research is available that develops scenarios about the future of accommodation sharing.
KW  - forecasting
KW  - Delphi
KW  - scenario
KW  - Airbnb
KW  - accommodation sharing
Y1  - 2021
U6  - https://doi.org/10.1108/IJCHM-06-2020-0596
SN  - 0959-6119
VL  - 33
IS  - 2
SP  - 467
EP  - 489
PB  - Emerald
CY  - Bingley
ER  -