TY  - JOUR
A1  - Höhne, Stefan
A1  - Tiberius, Victor
T1  - Powered by blockchain
BT  - forecasting blockchain use in the electricity market
JF  - International journal of energy sector management
N2  - Purpose: The purpose of this study is to formulate the most probable future scenario for the use of blockchain technology within the next 5–10 years in the electricity sector based on today’s experts’ views.
Design/methodology/approach: An international, two-stage Delphi study with 20 projections is used. 
Findings: According to the experts, blockchain applications will be primarily based on permissioned or consortium blockchains. Blockchain-based applications will integrate Internet of Things devices in the power grid, manage the e-mobility infrastructure, automate billing and direct payment and issue certificates regarding the origin of electricity. Blockchain solutions are expected to play an important big role in fostering peer-to-peer trading in microgrids, further democratizing and decentralizing the energy sector. New regulatory frameworks become necessary.
Research limitations/implications: The Delphi study’s scope is rather broad than narrow and detailed. Further studies should focus on partial scenarios. 
Practical implications: Electricity market participants should build blockchain-based competences and collaborate in current pilot projects. 
Social implications: Blockchain technology will further decentralize the energy sector and probably reduce transaction costs. Originality/value: Despite the assumed importance of blockchain technology, no coherent foresight study on its use and implications exists yet. This study closes this research gap.
KW  - innovation
KW  - surveys
KW  - scenario analysis
KW  - blockchain technology
KW  - Delphi
KW  - method
KW  - digitization
KW  - electricity market
Y1  - 2020
U6  - https://doi.org/10.1108/IJESM-10-2019-0002
SN  - 1750-6220
SN  - 1750-6239
VL  - 14
IS  - 6
SP  - 1221
EP  - 1238
PB  - Emerald Group Publishing Limited
CY  - Bingley
ER  - 
TY  - JOUR
A1  - Tiberius, Victor
A1  - Siglow, Caroline
A1  - Sendra-García, Javier
T1  - Scenarios in business and management
BT  - the current stock and research opportunities
JF  - Journal of business research
N2  - The scenario technique is widely used to cope with uncertainties plan for alternate future situations. The extensive research led to a scattered literature landscape. To organize the field quantitatively, we conduct bibliometric performance analyses and a bibliographic coupling analysis. Results show an increased interest in scenario research since 2009 and clear distinctions between strategic and operational as well as methodological and applied research. Future research can be expected to further enhance the method towards robust decision making and to combine it with methods searching for most likely scenarios, such as prediction markets, crowdsourcing, and superforecasting. Additionally, cognitive and behavioral aspects of using the scenario technique might draw further attention. The scenario technique is expected to be applied across all industries and will probably play an increasing role in currently underrepresented business functions such as marketing and innovation.
KW  - scenario analysis
KW  - bibliographic coupling
KW  - bibliometric analysis
Y1  - 2020
U6  - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2020.08.037
SN  - 0148-2963
SN  - 1873-7978
VL  - 121
SP  - 235
EP  - 242
PB  - Elsevier
CY  - New York
ER  -