TY - GEN A1 - Vioux, André A1 - Taubert, Andreas T1 - Ionic liquids 2014 and selected papers from ILMAT 2013 BT - Highlighting the ever-growing potential of Ionic Liquids T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 1055 KW - electrolytes KW - extraction KW - system Y1 - 2020 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-475062 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 1055 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Duy, Nguyen Le A1 - Heidbüchel, Ingo A1 - Meyer, Hanno A1 - Merz, Bruno A1 - Apel, Heiko T1 - What controls the stable isotope composition of precipitation in the Mekong Delta? BT - a model-based statistical approach T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - This study analyzes the influence of local and regional climatic factors on the stable isotopic composition of rainfall in the Vietnamese Mekong Delta (VMD) as part of the Asian monsoon region. It is based on 1.5 years of weekly rainfall samples. In the first step, the isotopic composition of the samples is analyzed by local meteoric water lines (LMWLs) and single-factor linear correlations. Additionally, the contribution of several regional and local factors is quantified by multiple linear regression (MLR) of all possible factor combinations and by relative importance analysis. This approach is novel for the interpretation of isotopic records and enables an objective quantification of the explained variance in isotopic records for individual factors. In this study, the local factors are extracted from local climate records, while the regional factors are derived from atmospheric backward trajectories of water particles. The regional factors, i.e., precipitation, temperature, relative humidity and the length of backward trajectories, are combined with equivalent local climatic parameters to explain the response variables delta O-18, delta H-2, and d-excess of precipitation at the station of measurement. The results indicate that (i) MLR can better explain the isotopic variation in precipitation (R-2 = 0.8) compared to single-factor linear regression (R-2 = 0.3); (ii) the isotopic variation in precipitation is controlled dominantly by regional moisture regimes (similar to 70 %) compared to local climatic conditions (similar to 30 %); (iii) the most important climatic parameter during the rainy season is the precipitation amount along the trajectories of air mass movement; (iv) the influence of local precipitation amount and temperature is not sig-nificant during the rainy season, unlike the regional precipitation amount effect; (v) secondary fractionation processes (e.g., sub-cloud evaporation) can be identified through the d-excess and take place mainly in the dry season, either locally for delta O-18 and delta H-2, or along the air mass trajectories for d-excess. The analysis shows that regional and local factors vary in importance over the seasons and that the source regions and transport pathways, and particularly the climatic conditions along the pathways, have a large influence on the isotopic composition of rainfall. Although the general results have been reported qualitatively in previous studies (proving the validity of the approach), the proposed method provides quantitative estimates of the controlling factors, both for the whole data set and for distinct seasons. Therefore, it is argued that the approach constitutes an advancement in the statistical analysis of isotopic records in rainfall that can supplement or precede more complex studies utilizing atmospheric models. Due to its relative simplicity, the method can be easily transferred to other regions, or extended with other factors. The results illustrate that the interpretation of the isotopic composition of precipitation as a recorder of local climatic conditions, as for example performed for paleorecords of water isotopes, may not be adequate in the southern part of the Indochinese Peninsula, and likely neither in other regions affected by monsoon processes. However, the presented approach could open a pathway towards better and seasonally differentiated reconstruction of paleoclimates based on isotopic records. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 927 KW - Asian summer monsoon KW - interannuel variability KW - climate controls KW - deuterium excess KW - oxygen isotopes KW - paleoclimate KW - water KW - system KW - trajectories KW - circulation Y1 - 2020 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-445743 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 927 SP - 1239 EP - 1262 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Ayzel, Georgy A1 - Heistermann, Maik A1 - Winterrath, Tanja T1 - Optical flow models as an open benchmark for radar-based precipitation nowcasting (rainymotion v0.1) T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - Quantitative precipitation nowcasting (QPN) has become an essential technique in various application contexts, such as early warning or urban sewage control. A common heuristic prediction approach is to track the motion of precipitation features from a sequence of weather radar images and then to displace the precipitation field to the imminent future (minutes to hours) based on that motion, assuming that the intensity of the features remains constant (“Lagrangian persistence”). In that context, “optical flow” has become one of the most popular tracking techniques. Yet the present landscape of computational QPN models still struggles with producing open software implementations. Focusing on this gap, we have developed and extensively benchmarked a stack of models based on different optical flow algorithms for the tracking step and a set of parsimonious extrapolation procedures based on image warping and advection. We demonstrate that these models provide skillful predictions comparable with or even superior to state-of-the-art operational software. Our software library (“rainymotion”) for precipitation nowcasting is written in the Python programming language and openly available at GitHub (https://github.com/hydrogo/rainymotion, Ayzel et al., 2019). That way, the library may serve as a tool for providing fast, free, and transparent solutions that could serve as a benchmark for further model development and hypothesis testing – a benchmark that is far more advanced than the conventional benchmark of Eulerian persistence commonly used in QPN verification experiments. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 709 KW - machine KW - system Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-429333 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 709 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ayzel, Georgy A1 - Heistermann, Maik A1 - Winterrath, Tanja T1 - Optical flow models as an open benchmark for radar-based precipitation nowcasting (rainymotion v0.1) JF - Geoscientific model development N2 - Quantitative precipitation nowcasting (QPN) has become an essential technique in various application contexts, such as early warning or urban sewage control. A common heuristic prediction approach is to track the motion of precipitation features from a sequence of weather radar images and then to displace the precipitation field to the imminent future (minutes to hours) based on that motion, assuming that the intensity of the features remains constant (“Lagrangian persistence”). In that context, “optical flow” has become one of the most popular tracking techniques. Yet the present landscape of computational QPN models still struggles with producing open software implementations. Focusing on this gap, we have developed and extensively benchmarked a stack of models based on different optical flow algorithms for the tracking step and a set of parsimonious extrapolation procedures based on image warping and advection. We demonstrate that these models provide skillful predictions comparable with or even superior to state-of-the-art operational software. Our software library (“rainymotion”) for precipitation nowcasting is written in the Python programming language and openly available at GitHub (https://github.com/hydrogo/rainymotion, Ayzel et al., 2019). That way, the library may serve as a tool for providing fast, free, and transparent solutions that could serve as a benchmark for further model development and hypothesis testing – a benchmark that is far more advanced than the conventional benchmark of Eulerian persistence commonly used in QPN verification experiments. KW - machine KW - system Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-1387-2019 SN - 1991-9603 SN - 1991-959X IS - 12 SP - 1387 EP - 1402 PB - Copernicus Publications CY - Göttingen ER - TY - GEN A1 - Güntner, Andreas A1 - Reich, Marvin A1 - Mikolaj, Michal A1 - Creutzfeldt, Benjamin A1 - Schroeder, Stephan A1 - Wziontek, Hartmut T1 - Landscape-scale water balance monitoring with an iGrav superconducting gravimeter in a field enclosure T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - In spite of the fundamental role of the landscape water balance for the Earth's water and energy cycles, monitoring the water balance and its components beyond the point scale is notoriously difficult due to the multitude of flow and storage processes and their spatial heterogeneity. Here, we present the first field deployment of an iGrav superconducting gravimeter (SG) in a minimized enclosure for long-term integrative monitoring of water storage changes. Results of the field SG on a grassland site under wet-temperate climate conditions were compared to data provided by a nearby SG located in the controlled environment of an observatory building. The field system proves to provide gravity time series that are similarly precise as those of the observatory SG. At the same time, the field SG is more sensitive to hydrological variations than the observatory SG. We demonstrate that the gravity variations observed by the field setup are almost independent of the depth below the terrain surface where water storage changes occur (contrary to SGs in buildings), and thus the field SG system directly observes the total water storage change, i.e., the water balance, in its surroundings in an integrative way. We provide a framework to single out the water balance components actual evapotranspiration and lateral subsurface discharge from the gravity time series on annual to daily timescales. With about 99 and 85% of the gravity signal due to local water storage changes originating within a radius of 4000 and 200m around the instrument, respectively, this setup paves the road towards gravimetry as a continuous hydrological field-monitoring technique at the landscape scale. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 663 KW - gravity measurements KW - local hydrology KW - storage changes KW - noise-levels KW - time KW - system KW - attraction KW - athmosphere KW - surface Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-419105 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 663 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Loritz, Ralf A1 - Hassler, Sibylle K. A1 - Jackisch, Conrad A1 - Allroggen, Niklas A1 - van Schaik, Loes A1 - Wienhöfer, Jan A1 - Zehe, Erwin T1 - Picturing and modeling catchments by representative hillslopes T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - This study explores the suitability of a single hillslope as a parsimonious representation of a catchment in a physically based model. We test this hypothesis by picturing two distinctly different catchments in perceptual models and translating these pictures into parametric setups of 2-D physically based hillslope models. The model parametrizations are based on a comprehensive field data set, expert knowledge and process-based reasoning. Evaluation against streamflow data highlights that both models predicted the annual pattern of streamflow generation as well as the hydrographs acceptably. However, a look beyond performance measures revealed deficiencies in streamflow simulations during the summer season and during individual rainfall-runoff events as well as a mismatch between observed and simulated soil water dynamics. Some of these shortcomings can be related to our perception of the systems and to the chosen hydrological model, while others point to limitations of the representative hillslope concept itself. Nevertheless, our results confirm that representative hillslope models are a suitable tool to assess the importance of different data sources as well as to challenge our perception of the dominant hydrological processes we want to represent therein. Consequently, these models are a promising step forward in the search for the optimal representation of catchments in physically based models. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 635 KW - soil-moisture dynamics KW - hydrologic-response simulation KW - rainfall-runoff response KW - preferential flow KW - subsurface stormflow KW - water-uptake KW - field-scale KW - transport KW - system KW - basin Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-419082 IS - 635 SP - 1225 EP - 1249 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Ziegler, Moritz O. A1 - Heidbach, Oliver A1 - Reinecker, John A1 - Przybycin, Anna M. A1 - Scheck-Wenderoth, Magdalena T1 - A multi-stage 3-D stress field modelling approach exemplified in the Bavarian Molasse Basin T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - The knowledge of the contemporary in situ stress state is a key issue for safe and sustainable subsurface engineering. However, information on the orientation and magnitudes of the stress state is limited and often not available for the areas of interest. Therefore 3-D geomechanical-numerical modelling is used to estimate the in situ stress state and the distance of faults from failure for application in subsurface engineering. The main challenge in this approach is to bridge the gap in scale between the widely scattered data used for calibration of the model and the high resolution in the target area required for the application. We present a multi-stage 3-D geomechanical-numerical approach which provides a state-of-the-art model of the stress field for a reservoir-scale area from widely scattered data records. Therefore, we first use a large-scale regional model which is calibrated by available stress data and provides the full 3-D stress tensor at discrete points in the entire model volume. The modelled stress state is used subsequently for the calibration of a smaller-scale model located within the large-scale model in an area without any observed stress data records. We exemplify this approach with two-stages for the area around Munich in the German Molasse Basin. As an example of application, we estimate the scalar values for slip tendency and fracture potential from the model results as measures for the criticality of fault reactivation in the reservoir-scale model. The modelling results show that variations due to uncertainties in the input data are mainly introduced by the uncertain material properties and missing S-Hmax magnitude estimates needed for a more reliable model calibration. This leads to the conclusion that at this stage the model's reliability depends only on the amount and quality of available stress information rather than on the modelling technique itself or on local details of the model geometry. Any improvements in modelling and increases in model reliability can only be achieved using more high-quality data for calibration. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 556 KW - in-situ stress KW - induced seismicity KW - geothermal-reservoirs KW - geomechanical model KW - fault reactivation KW - alpine foreland KW - map project KW - km depth KW - orientation KW - system Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-409806 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 556 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Langerwisch, F. A1 - Walz, Ariane A1 - Rammig, A. A1 - Tietjen, B. A1 - Thonicke, Kirsten A1 - Cramer, Wolfgang T1 - Climate change increases riverine carbon outgassing, while export to the ocean remains uncertain T2 - Postprints der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe N2 - Any regular interaction of land and river during flooding affects carbon pools within the terrestrial system, riverine carbon and carbon exported from the system. In the Amazon basin carbon fluxes are considerably influenced by annual flooding, during which terrigenous organic material is imported to the river. The Amazon basin therefore represents an excellent example of a tightly coupled terrestrial-riverine system. The processes of generation, conversion and transport of organic carbon in such a coupled terrigenous-riverine system strongly interact and are climate-sensitive, yet their functioning is rarely considered in Earth system models and their response to climate change is still largely unknown. To quantify regional and global carbon budgets and climate change effects on carbon pools and carbon fluxes, it is important to account for the coupling between the land, the river, the ocean and the atmosphere. We developed the RIVerine Carbon Model (RivCM), which is directly coupled to the well-established dynamic vegetation and hydrology model LPJmL, in order to account for this large-scale coupling. We evaluate RivCM with observational data and show that some of the values are reproduced quite well by the model, while we see large deviations for other variables. This is mainly caused by some simplifications we assumed. Our evaluation shows that it is possible to reproduce large-scale carbon transport across a river system but that this involves large uncertainties. Acknowledging these uncertainties, we estimate the potential changes in riverine carbon by applying RivCM for climate forcing from five climate models and three CO2 emission scenarios (Special Report on Emissions Scenarios, SRES). We find that climate change causes a doubling of riverine organic carbon in the southern and western basin while reducing it by 20% in the eastern and northern parts. In contrast, the amount of riverine inorganic carbon shows a 2- to 3-fold increase in the entire basin, independent of the SRES scenario. The export of carbon to the atmosphere increases as well, with an average of about 30 %. In contrast, changes in future export of organic carbon to the Atlantic Ocean depend on the SRES scenario and are projected to either decrease by about 8.9% (SRES A1B) or increase by about 9.1% (SRES A2). Such changes in the terrigenous-riverine system could have local and regional impacts on the carbon budget of the whole Amazon basin and parts of the Atlantic Ocean. Changes in riverine carbon could lead to a shift in the riverine nutrient supply and pH, while changes in the exported carbon to the ocean lead to changes in the supply of organic material that acts as a food source in the Atlantic. On larger scales the increased outgassing of CO2 could turn the Amazon basin from a sink of carbon to a considerable source. Therefore, we propose that the coupling of terrestrial and riverine carbon budgets should be included in subsequent analysis of the future regional carbon budget. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 526 KW - global vegetation model KW - Amazon-River KW - organic-matter KW - seed dispersal KW - Atlantic-Ocean KW - water-balance KW - forest KW - CO2 KW - wetlands KW - system Y1 - 2019 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-410177 SN - 1866-8372 IS - 526 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Frieler, Katja A1 - Levermann, Anders A1 - Elliott, J. A1 - Heinke, J. A1 - Arneth, A. A1 - Bierkens, M. F. P. A1 - Ciais, Philippe A1 - Clark, D. B. A1 - Deryng, D. A1 - Doell, P. A1 - Falloon, P. A1 - Fekete, B. A1 - Folberth, Christian A1 - Friend, A. D. A1 - Gellhorn, C. A1 - Gosling, S. N. A1 - Haddeland, I. A1 - Khabarov, N. A1 - Lomas, M. A1 - Masaki, Y. A1 - Nishina, K. A1 - Neumann, K. A1 - Oki, T. A1 - Pavlick, R. A1 - Ruane, A. C. A1 - Schmid, E. A1 - Schmitz, C. A1 - Stacke, T. A1 - Stehfest, E. A1 - Tang, Q. A1 - Wisser, D. A1 - Huber, V. A1 - Piontek, Franziska A1 - Warszawski, L. A1 - Schewe, Jacob A1 - Lotze-Campen, Hermann A1 - Schellnhuber, Hans Joachim T1 - A framework for the cross-sectoral integration of multi-model impact projections BT - land use decisions under climate impacts uncertainties T2 - Earth system dynamics N2 - Climate change and its impacts already pose considerable challenges for societies that will further increase with global warming (IPCC, 2014a, b). Uncertainties of the climatic response to greenhouse gas emissions include the potential passing of large-scale tipping points (e.g. Lenton et al., 2008; Levermann et al., 2012; Schellnhuber, 2010) and changes in extreme meteorological events (Field et al., 2012) with complex impacts on societies (Hallegatte et al., 2013). Thus climate change mitigation is considered a necessary societal response for avoiding uncontrollable impacts (Conference of the Parties, 2010). On the other hand, large-scale climate change mitigation itself implies fundamental changes in, for example, the global energy system. The associated challenges come on top of others that derive from equally important ethical imperatives like the fulfilment of increasing food demand that may draw on the same resources. For example, ensuring food security for a growing population may require an expansion of cropland, thereby reducing natural carbon sinks or the area available for bio-energy production. So far, available studies addressing this problem have relied on individual impact models, ignoring uncertainty in crop model and biome model projections. Here, we propose a probabilistic decision framework that allows for an evaluation of agricultural management and mitigation options in a multi-impact-model setting. Based on simulations generated within the Inter-Sectoral Impact Model Intercomparison Project (ISI-MIP), we outline how cross-sectorally consistent multi-model impact simulations could be used to generate the information required for robust decision making. Using an illustrative future land use pattern, we discuss the trade-off between potential gains in crop production and associated losses in natural carbon sinks in the new multiple crop-and biome-model setting. In addition, crop and water model simulations are combined to explore irrigation increases as one possible measure of agricultural intensification that could limit the expansion of cropland required in response to climate change and growing food demand. This example shows that current impact model uncertainties pose an important challenge to long-term mitigation planning and must not be ignored in long-term strategic decision making. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 457 KW - global food demand KW - water availability KW - elevated CO2 KW - future KW - carbon KW - system KW - productivity KW - agriculture KW - emissions KW - scarcity Y1 - 2018 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-407968 ER - TY - GEN A1 - Thiel, Kerstin A1 - Zehbe, Rolf A1 - Roeser, Jerômé A1 - Strauch, Peter A1 - Enthaler, Stephan A1 - Thomas, Arne T1 - A polymer analogous reaction for the formation of imidazolium and NHC based porous polymer networks N2 - A polymer analogous reaction was carried out to generate a porous polymeric network with N-heterocyclic carbenes (NHC) in the polymer backbone. Using a stepwise approach, first a polyimine network is formed by polymerization of the tetrafunctional amine tetrakis(4-aminophenyl)methane. This polyimine network is converted in the second step into polyimidazolium chloride and finally to a polyNHC network. Furthermore a porous Cu(II)-coordinated polyNHC network can be generated. Supercritical drying generates polymer networks with high permanent surface areas and porosities which can be applied for different catalytic reactions. The catalytic properties were demonstrated for example in the activation of CO2 or in the deoxygenation of sulfoxides to the corresponding sulfides. T3 - Zweitveröffentlichungen der Universität Potsdam : Mathematisch-Naturwissenschaftliche Reihe - 243 KW - covalent organic framework KW - n-heterocyclic carbenes KW - carbon-dioxide KW - intrinsic microporosity KW - heterogeneous catalysis KW - sulfoxides KW - reduction KW - complex KW - system KW - transformation Y1 - 2013 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus4-95118 SP - 1848 EP - 1856 ER - TY - THES A1 - Gause, Clemens T1 - Das System der Strategie : ein Vergleich zwischen Strategien biologischer Systeme und militärischen Strategien ; eine Modellentwicklung T1 - The system of strategy : a comparison between strategies of biological systems and military strategies ; a model development N2 - Das vorliegende Buch vergleicht Strategien biologischer Systeme mit militärischen Strategien. Die zentrale Fragestellung ist dabei darauf gerichtet, ob es neben systemischen Gemeinsamkeiten auch gemeinsame oder ähnliche Strukturmuster und ähnliche Prozessabläufe beispielsweise sowohl im biologischen Abwehrmechanismus des Immunsystems und bei Insektenstaaten als auch bei Prozessen im Militär gibt. Vor diesem Hintergrund klaffen in der Theorie der Strategie, speziell in den Militärwissenschaften Lücken, denn der Systemansatz wird nicht konsequent beachtet, wie in diesem Buch mehrfach nachgewiesen ist. Von einem allgemeinen Verständnis der Strategie als bewusstem planerischem Vorgehen ist Abstand zu nehmen. Ausgehend von der Methode der Analogie und des Vergleichs wird im theoretischen Teil dieses Buches die Allgemeine Systemtheorie erläutert. Dabei werden der Begriff der Strategie ebenso wie die Begriffe Struktur und Prozess und Ansätze aus der Kriegsphilosophie von Clausewitz untersucht. Den Ausgangspunkt und schließlich auch wieder den Endpunkt der Überlegungen bilden neben dem notwendigen weiten Verständnis von Strategie, vor allem der Begriff der Organisation, ihrer Umwelt und der in diesem Zusammenhang bestehenden Wechselwirkung. Sowohl die Wechselwirkung von Umwelt und System als auch ihre Abhängigkeit durch strukturelle Kopplung werden beschrieben. Das Zusammenspiel und die daraus entstehende Komplexität der fünf Komponenten der Wahrnehmung, der Information und der Führung im Zusammenhang der Komponenten von Raum und Zeit in einem sozialen System lassen die klassische Ziel-Mittel-Zweck-Beziehung Clausewitz´scher Strategiedefinition verkürzt erscheinen. Anhand eines kurzen Rekurses der Methoden der Sozialen Netzwerkanalyse (SNA) wird der breite und tiefgehende Analyserahmen der Messung und Transparenzerreichung in Organisationen vorgestellt. Die SNA wird als Ausprägung der Netzwerk- und Graphentheorie, in die Allgemeine Systemtheorie integriert. Sie bildet eine zukunftsweisende Methode der Untersuchung von Netzwerken wie etwa dem Internet (Facebook, Xing etc.). Der aufgezeigte Theorierahmen bildet dabei zugleich eine Methode für den Systemvergleich und kann als Vorgehensmodell künftiger Strategieentwicklung genutzt werden. Der anschließende Systemvergleich wird mit mehreren Beispielen durchgeführt. Ausgehend von der Zelle als Grundeinheit werden Strukturen und Prozesse des Immunsystems mit solchen in militärischen Strukturen, weil sie im Lauf der Evolution enorme Leistungen in Reaktion, Anpassung und Optimierung vollbracht haben. Der Vergleich geht der Frage nach, ob in diesen Bereichen der Strategie und Organisation systemische Grundregeln existieren. Das Beispiel der Wechselwirkung zwischen Parasit und Wirt zeigt, dass jeder Fortschritt und Sieg angesichts der Systemeinbettung von Strategie nur relativ wirken kann. Die Analogie zwischen Viren und Bakterien sowie die Entwicklung des Begriffs der sozialen Mimikry führen zu einem erweiterten Verständnis der Strategie von Terroristen in sozialen Systemen. Verdeutlicht wird das Grundschema des Täuschens und Eindringens in Systeme sowie die Beeinflussung und Umsteuerung von Prozessen und Strukturen in einem System durch Kommunikation und Implementation von Codes. Am Beispiel des Immunsystems und der Bildung verschiedener Kommunikations- und Steuerungsmechanismen von Zellsystemen sowie Beispielen von Schwarmbildung und der Organisation sozialer Insekten werden eine Vielzahl heuristischer Hinweise für neue Ansätze für die Organisation von Streitkräften und ihrer Steuerung gefunden. Neben der Erarbeitung eines grundlegenden Strategiebegriffs anhand von Wahrnehmung und Selektion als Grundprozess der Erzeugung von Strategie wird eine differenzierte Betrachtung von Begriffen wie Redundanz und Robustheit sowie eine relativierende Sichtweise von Risiko, Gefahr und Schaden gewonnen. Der Vergleich mit dem Immunsystems zeigt einfache Beispiele der Informationsspeicherung und -übertragung, die zudem Bypassfähigkeiten sowie dezentrale Eskalations- und Deeskalationsprinzipien veranschaulichen. Dies eröffnet in Analogie dieser Prinzipien einen weiten Raum Sicherheitsarchitekturen zu überdenken und neu zu strukturieren. Zudem kann die räumliche Ausbreitung von Information und Kräften als ein gemeinsames Grundproblem der Entwicklung und Wirksamkeit von Strategien sowohl in der Natur, als auch im Militär identifiziert werden. Die Betrachtung zeigt zudem wie Zellen mit fehlgeleiteten Prozessen und Strukturen umgehen. Die Analogie deutet auf das Erfordernis einer Veränderung im Umgang mit Fehlern und ihrer Rückführ- und Umkehrbarkeit im weitesten Sinne. Das Buch eröffnet überdies ein neues Verständnis von Staat, Gewaltenteilung und Institutionen in einem sozialen System. Die Ergebnisse sind auch auf andere Forschungsbereiche, Organisationen und unterschiedlichste soziale Systeme übertragbar. Es eröffnet sich ein breites Anwendungsspektrum für künftige strategische Untersuchungen. N2 - This book compares strategies of biological systems to military strategies. The central question is directed to whether there are systemic similarities, common or similar structures and similar patterns Processes, for example, both the biological defense mechanism Immune system and in insect societies as well as processes are in the military. KW - Strategie KW - System KW - Militär KW - Netzwerk KW - Biologie KW - strategy KW - system KW - military KW - network KW - biology Y1 - 2011 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-opus-50068 ER - TY - THES A1 - Topaj, Dmitri T1 - Synchronization transitions in complex systems N2 - Gegenstand dieser Arbeit ist die Untersuchung generischer Synchronisierungsphänomene in interagierenden komplexen Systemen. Diese Phänomene werden u.a. in gekoppelten deterministischen chaotischen Systemen beobachtet. Bei sehr schwachen Interaktionen zwischen individuellen Systemen kann ein Übergang zum schwach kohärenten Verhalten der Systeme stattfinden. In gekoppelten zeitkontinuierlichen chaotischen Systemen manifestiert sich dieser Übergang durch den Effekt der Phasensynchronisierung, in gekoppelten chaotischen zeitdiskreten Systemen durch den Effekt eines nichtverschwindenden makroskopischen Feldes. Der Übergang zur Kohärenz in einer Kette lokal gekoppelter Oszillatoren, beschrieben durch Phasengleichungen, wird im Bezug auf die Symmetrien des Systems untersucht. Es wird gezeigt, daß die durch die Symmetrien verursachte Reversibilität des Systems nichttriviale topologische Eigenschaften der Trajektorien bedingt, so daß das als dissipativ konstruierte System in einem ganzen Parameterbereich quasi-Hamiltonische Züge aufweist, d.h. das Phasenvolumen ist im Schnitt erhalten, und die Lyapunov-Exponenten sind paarweise symmetrisch. Der Übergang zur Kohärenz in einem Ensemble global gekoppelter chaotischer Abbildungen wird durch den Verlust der Stabilität des entkoppelten Zustandes beschrieben. Die entwickelte Methode besteht darin, die Selbstkonsistenz des makroskopischen Feldes aufzuheben, und das Ensemble in Analogie mit einem Verstärkerschaltkreis mit Rückkopplung durch eine komplexe lineare Übertragungssfunktion zu charakterisieren. Diese Theorie wird anschließend für einige theoretisch interessanten Fälle verallgemeinert. N2 - Subject of this work is the investigation of generic synchronization phenomena in interacting complex systems. These phenomena are observed, among all, in coupled deterministic chaotic systems. At very weak interactions between individual systems a transition to a weakly coherent behavior of the systems can take place. In coupled continuous time chaotic systems this transition manifests itself with the effect of phase synchronization, in coupled chaotic discrete time systems with the effect of non-vanishing macroscopic mean field. Transition to coherence in a chain of locally coupled oscillators described with phase equations is investigated with respect to the symmetries in the system. It is shown that the reversibility of the system caused by these symmetries results to non-trivial topological properties of trajectories so that the system constructed to be dissipative reveals in a whole parameter range quasi-Hamiltonian features, i.e. the phase volume is conserved on average and Lyapunov exponents come in symmetric pairs. Transition to coherence in an ensemble of globally coupled chaotic maps is described with the loss of stability of the disordered state. The method is to break the self-consistensy of the macroscopic field and to characterize the ensemble in analogy to an amplifier circuit with feedback with a complex linear transfer function. This theory is then generalized for several cases of theoretic interest. KW - Synchronisierung KW - komplex KW - System KW - komplexe Systeme KW - gekoppelt KW - chaotisch KW - Chaos KW - Interaktion KW - Übergang KW - P hasensynchronisierung KW - Phase KW - Feld KW - Effekt KW - synchronization KW - complex KW - system KW - complex systems KW - coupled KW - chaotic KW - chaos KW - interaction KW - transition KW - phase KW - phase synchronization KW - field KW - meanfield KW - o Y1 - 2001 U6 - http://nbn-resolving.de/urn/resolver.pl?urn:nbn:de:kobv:517-0000367 ER -