TY - JOUR A1 - Kulikova, Galina A1 - Krüger, Frank T1 - Historical seismogram reproductions for the source parameters determination of the 1902, Atushi (Kashgar) earthquake JF - Journal of seismology N2 - The majority of original seismograms recorded at the very beginning of instrumental seismology (the early 1900s) did not survive till present. However, a number of books, bulletins, and catalogs were published including the seismogram reproductions of some, particularly interesting earthquakes. In case these reproductions contain the time and amplitude scales, they can be successfully analyzed the same way as the original records. Information about the Atushi (Kashgar) earthquake, which occurred on August 22, 1902, is very limited. We could not find any original seismograms for this earthquake, but 12 seismograms from 6 seismic stations were printed as example records in different books. These data in combination with macroseismic observations and different bulletins information published for this earthquake were used to determine the source parameters of the earthquake. The earthquake epicenter was relocated at 39.87A degrees N and 76.42A degrees E with the hypocenter depth of about 18 km. We could further determine magnitudes m (B) = 7.7 +/- 0.3, M (S) = 7.8 +/- 0.4, M (W) = 7.7 +/- 0.3 and the focal mechanism of the earthquake with strike/dip/rake - 260A degrees +/- 20/30A degrees +/- 10/90A degrees +/- 10. This study confirms that the earthquake likely had a smaller magnitude than previously reported (M8.3). The focal mechanism indicates dominant thrust faulting, which is in a good agreement with presumably responsible Tuotegongbaizi-Aerpaleike northward dipping thrust fault kinematic, described in previous studies. KW - Historical seismogram reproductions KW - Analogue seismic records KW - Seismic source parameters Y1 - 2017 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s10950-017-9683-z SN - 1383-4649 SN - 1573-157X VL - 21 SP - 1577 EP - 1597 PB - Springer CY - Dordrecht ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Krüger, Frank A1 - Kulikova, Galina A1 - Landgraf, Angela T1 - Instrumental magnitude constraints for the 11 July 1889, Chilik earthquake JF - Seismicity, fault rupture and earthquake hazards in slowly deforming regions N2 - A series of large-magnitude earthquakes above 6.9 occurred in the northern Tien-Shan between 1885 and 1911. The Chilik earthquake of 11 July 1889, has been listed with a magnitude of 8.3, based on sparse macroseismic intensities, constrained by reported damage. Despite the existence of several juvenile fault scarps in the epicentral region, that are possibly associated with the 1889 earthquake, no through-going surface rupture having the dimensions expected for a magnitude 8.3 earthquake has been located - a puzzling dilemma. Could the magnitude have been overestimated? This would have major implications not only for the understanding of the earthquake series, but also for regional hazard estimates. Fortunately, a fragmentary record from an early Rebeur-Paschwitz seismometer exists for the Chilik event, recorded in Wilhelmshaven (Germany). To constrain the magnitude, we compare the late coda waves of this record with those of recent events from Central Asia, recorded on modern instruments in Germany and filtered with Rebeur-Paschwitz instrument characteristics. Additional constraints come from disturbances of historic magnetograms that exist from the Chilik and the 1911 Chon-Kemin earthquakes. Scaling of these historic records confirm a magnitude of about 8 for the 1889 Chilik earthquake, pointing towards a lower crustal contribution to the fault area. Y1 - 2017 SN - 978-1-86239-745-3 SN - 978-1-86239-964-8 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1144/SP432.8 SN - 0305-8719 VL - 432 SP - 41 EP - 72 PB - The Geological Society CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ou, Qi A1 - Kulikova, Galina A1 - Yu, Jingxing A1 - Elliott, Austin A1 - Parsons, Bethany A1 - Walker, Richard T1 - Magnitude of the 1920 Haiyuan earthquake reestimated using seismological and geomorphological methods JF - Journal of geophysical research : Solid earth N2 - Reported magnitudes ranging between 7.8 and 8.7 highlight a confusion about the true size of the 1920 Haiyuan earthquake, the largest earthquake recorded in the northeast Tibetan Plateau. We compiled a global data set of previously unlooked-at historical seismograms and performed modern computational analyses on the digitized seismic records. We found the epicenter to be near Haiyuan town and obtained a moment magnitude of M-W=7.90.2. Following traditional approaches, we obtained m(B)=7.90.3 with data from 21 stations and M-S(20)=8.10.2 with data from three stations. Geomorphologically, we mapped the surface rupture and horizontal offsets on high-resolution Pleiades satellite and drone imagery that covered the entire western and middle sections of the 1920 Haiyuan earthquake rupture and compiled offsets reported on the eastern section from field measurements in the 1980s. Careful discrimination between single-event and cumulative offsets suggests average horizontal slips of 3.01.0m on the western section, 4.51.5m on the middle section, and 3.5 +/- 0.5m on the eastern section, indicating a total moment magnitude of M-W=7.8 +/- 0.1. Thus, the seismological and geomorphological results agree within the uncertainties, a weighted average giving a moment magnitude of M-W=7.9 +/- 0.2 for the 1920 Haiyuan earthquake. It is likely that earthquake magnitudes based on the historical M were systematically overestimated.
Plain Language Summary Earthquakes are the main mechanism by which elastic energy accumulating due to tectonic motion is released. As the earthquake magnitude scale is logarithmic, major earthquakes control the bulk of this energy budget and are often the most destructive, like the 1920 Haiyuan earthquake with similar to 230,000 casualties. However, major earthquakes tend to have recurrence periods of several hundred years, longer than our instrumental records. To obtain knowledge of historic major earthquakes, paleoseismologists measure geomorphic offsets and map surface ruptures left by past events and estimate the shaking intensity from historical writings. However, in the case of the Haiyuan earthquake, which happened in the late historic, early instrumental period, the magnitudes reported from these two communities differed significantly. In order to constrain the magnitude of this earthquake for seismic hazard assessment and to reconcile the differences between published magnitudes, we reestimated its magnitude from both newly compiled and digitized seismological records and modern satellite and drone imagery. The results show that the early seismological magnitudes were overestimated, which may affect historical magnitudes systematically. The 1920 Haiyuan earthquake was of a similar magnitude to the 2001 Kokoxili and 2008 Wenchuan earthquakes that also occurred in and around the Tibetan Plateau, instead of more than half a magnitude larger. Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JB019244 SN - 2169-9313 SN - 2169-9356 VL - 125 IS - 8 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Krüger, Frank A1 - Kulikova, Galina A1 - Landgraf, Angela T1 - Magnitudes for the historical 1885 (Belovodskoe), the 1887 (Verny) and the 1889 (Chilik) earthquakes in Central Asia determined from magnetogram recordings JF - Geophysical journal international N2 - Six large magnitude earthquakes in Central Asia which occurred at the end of the 19th century were recorded on early magnetographs in Great Britain. Scalar seismic moment estimates of the 1911 Chon-Kemin, the 1902 Atushi and the 1907 Karatag earthquakes in Central Asia were recently determined by historical seismogram modelling. For those events, we find agreement between moment magnitudes estimated from seismograms and from magnetograms. This supports the assumption of linear scaling of magnetogram amplitudes as function of M-0, which we then use to estimate the moment magnitudes for earlier large-magnitude events, that is, the 1885 Belovodskoe, 1887 Verny and 1889 Chilik earthquakes. The magnetometer data imply that the Chilik earthquake had M(W)7.9, slightly smaller than the Chon-Kemin event with M(W)8.0. The Verny earthquake, however, for which we estimate M(W)7.7, is likely larger than listed in catalogues (M7.3). Similarly, we find a larger magnitude M(W)7.6 (instead of the previous M6.9) for the Belovodskoe earthquake, but this remains uncertain due to measurement imprecision. KW - Earthquake source observations KW - Seismicity and tectonics KW - Intraplate processes Y1 - 2018 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggy377 SN - 0956-540X SN - 1365-246X VL - 215 IS - 3 SP - 1824 EP - 1840 PB - Oxford Univ. Press CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Kulikova, Galina A1 - Schurr, Bernd A1 - Krüger, Frank A1 - Brzoska, Elisabeth A1 - Heimann, Sebastian T1 - Source parameters of the Sarez-Pamir earthquake of 1911 February 18 JF - Geophysical journal international N2 - The Ms ∼ 7.7 Sarez-Pamir earthquake of 1911 February 18 is the largest instrumentally recorded earthquake in the Pamir region. It triggered one of the largest landslides of the past century, building a giant natural dam and forming Lake Sarez. As for many strong earthquakes from that time, information about source parameters of the Sarez-Pamir earthquake is limited due to the sparse observations. Here, we present the analysis of analogue seismic records of the Sarez-Pamir earthquake. We have collected, scanned and digitized 26 seismic records from 13 stations worldwide to relocate the epicentre and determine the event's depth (∼26 km) and magnitude (mB7.3 and Ms7.7). The unusually good quality of the digitized waveforms allowed their modelling, revealing an NE-striking sinistral strike-slip focal mechanism in accordance with regional tectonics. The shallow depth and magnitude (Mw7.3) of the earthquake were confirmed. Additionally, we investigated the possible contribution of the landslide to the waveforms and present an alternative source model assuming the landslide and earthquake occurred in close sequence. KW - Earthquake source observations KW - Seismicity and tectonics KW - Body waves KW - Theoretical seismology Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggw069 SN - 0956-540X SN - 1365-246X VL - 205 SP - 1086 EP - 1098 PB - Oxford Univ. Press CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Kulikova, Galina A1 - Krüger, Frank T1 - Source process of the 1911 M8.0 Chon-Kemin earthquake: investigation results by analogue seismic records JF - Geophysical journal international N2 - Several destructive earthquakes have occurred in Tien-Shan region at the beginning of 20th century. However, the detailed seismological characteristics, especially source parameters of those earthquakes are still poorly investigated. The Chon-Kemin earthquake is the strongest instrumentally recorded earthquake in the Tien-Shan region. This earthquake has produced an approximately 200 km long system of surface ruptures along Kemin-Chilik fault zone and killed about similar to 400 people. Several studies presented the different information on the earthquake epicentre location and magnitude, and two different focal mechanisms were also published. The reason for the limited knowledge of the source parameters for the Chon-Kemin earthquake is the complexity of old analogue records processing, digitization and analysis. In this study the data from 23 seismic stations worldwide were collected and digitized. The earthquake epicentre was relocated to 42.996NA degrees and 77.367EA degrees, the hypocentre depth is estimated between 10 and 20 km. The magnitude was recalculated to m(B) 8.05, M-s 7.94 and M-w 8.02. The focal mechanism, determined from amplitude ratios comparison of the observed and synthetic seismograms, was: str = 264A degrees, dip = 52A degrees, rake = 98A degrees. The apparent source time duration was between similar to 45 and similar to 70 s, the maximum slip occurred 25 s after the beginning of the rupture. Two subevents were clearly detected from the waveforms with the scalar moment ratio between them of about 1/3, the third subevent was also detected with less certainty. Taking into account surface rupture information, the fault geometry model with three patches was proposed. Based on scaling relations we conclude that the total rupture length was between similar to 260 and 300 km and a maximum rupture width could reach similar to 70 km. KW - Earthquake source observations KW - Seismicity and tectonics KW - Body waves KW - Theoretical seismology Y1 - 2015 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1093/gji/ggv091 SN - 0956-540X SN - 1365-246X VL - 201 IS - 3 SP - 1891 EP - 1911 PB - Oxford Univ. Press CY - Oxford ER -