TY - JOUR A1 - Walter, J. A1 - Hamann, Göran A1 - Lück, Erika A1 - Klingenfuss, C. A1 - Zeitz, Jutta T1 - Stratigraphy and soil properties of fens: Geophysical case studies from northeastern Germany JF - Catena : an interdisciplinary journal of soil science, hydrology, geomorphology focusing on geoecology and landscape evolution N2 - The determination of the total carbon storage of peatlands is of high relevance in the context of climate-change mitigation efforts. This determination relies on data about stratigraphy and peat properties, which are conventionally collected by coring. Ground-penetrating radar (GPR) and electrical resistivity imaging (ERI) can support these point data by providing subsoil information in two-dimensional cross-sections. In this study, GPR and ERI were conducted at two groundwater-fed fen sites located in the temperate zone in north-east Germany. The fens of this region are embedded in low conductive glacial sand and are characterised by thick layers of gyttja, which can be either mineral or organic. The two study sites are representative of this region with respect to stratigraphy (total thickness, peat and gyttja types) and ecological conditions (pH-value, trophic condition). The aim of this study is to assess the suitability of GPR and ERI to detect stratigraphy and peat properties under these characteristic site conditions. Results show that GPR clearly detects the interfaces between (i) Carex and brown-moss peat, (ii) brown-moss peat and organic gyttja, (iii) organic- and mineral gyttja, and (iv) mineral gyttja and the parent material (glacial sand). These layers differ in bulk density and the related organic matter content. ERI, however, does not delineate these layers; rather it delineates regions of varying properties. At our base-rich site, pore fluid conductivity and cation.exchange capacity are the main factors that determine peat electrical conductivity (reverse of resistivity), whereas organic matter and water content are most influential at the more acidic site. Thus the correlation between peat properties and electrical conductivity are driven by site-specific conditions, which are mainly determined by the solute load in the groundwater at fens. When the total organic deposits exceed a thickness of 5 m, the depth of investigation by GPR is limited due to increasing attenuation. This is not a limiting factor for ERI, where the transition from organic deposits to glacial sand is visible at both sites. Due to these specific sensitivities, a combined application of GPR and ERI meets the demand for up-to-date information on carbon storage of peatlands, which is, moreover, very site-specific because of the inherent variety of ecological conditions and stratigraphy between peatlands in general and between fens and bogs in particular. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. KW - Fen stratigraphy KW - Peat properties KW - Gyttja KW - Ground penetrating radar KW - Electrical conductivity KW - Electrical resistivity imaging Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.catena.2016.02.028 SN - 0341-8162 SN - 1872-6887 VL - 142 SP - 112 EP - 125 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Salamat, Mona A1 - Zare, Mehdi A1 - Holschneider, Matthias A1 - Zöller, Gert T1 - Calculation of Confidence Intervals for the Maximum Magnitude of Earthquakes in Different Seismotectonic Zones of Iran JF - Pure and applied geophysics N2 - The problem of estimating the maximum possible earthquake magnitude m(max) has attracted growing attention in recent years. Due to sparse data, the role of uncertainties becomes crucial. In this work, we determine the uncertainties related to the maximum magnitude in terms of confidence intervals. Using an earthquake catalog of Iran, m(max) is estimated for different predefined levels of confidence in six seismotectonic zones. Assuming the doubly truncated Gutenberg-Richter distribution as a statistical model for earthquake magnitudes, confidence intervals for the maximum possible magnitude of earthquakes are calculated in each zone. While the lower limit of the confidence interval is the magnitude of the maximum observed event, the upper limit is calculated from the catalog and the statistical model. For this aim, we use the original catalog which no declustering methods applied on as well as a declustered version of the catalog. Based on the study by Holschneider et al. (Bull Seismol Soc Am 101(4): 1649-1659, 2011), the confidence interval for m(max) is frequently unbounded, especially if high levels of confidence are required. In this case, no information is gained from the data. Therefore, we elaborate for which settings finite confidence levels are obtained. In this work, Iran is divided into six seismotectonic zones, namely Alborz, Azerbaijan, Zagros, Makran, Kopet Dagh, Central Iran. Although calculations of the confidence interval in Central Iran and Zagros seismotectonic zones are relatively acceptable for meaningful levels of confidence, results in Kopet Dagh, Alborz, Azerbaijan and Makran are not that much promising. The results indicate that estimating mmax from an earthquake catalog for reasonable levels of confidence alone is almost impossible. KW - Maximum magnitude of earthquake KW - Level of confidence KW - Confidence interval Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s00024-016-1418-5 SN - 0033-4553 SN - 1420-9136 VL - 174 SP - 763 EP - 777 PB - Springer CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Budke, Alexandra A1 - Kuckuck, Miriam A1 - Wienecke, Maik ED - Budke, Alexandra ED - Kuckuck, Miriam T1 - Realisierungen der Politischen Bildung im Geographieunterricht BT - Ergebnisse einer Interviewstudie mit Geographielehrkräften JF - Politische Bildung im Geographieunterricht Y1 - 2016 SN - 978-3-515-11325-0 SN - 978-3-515-11321-2 SP - 155 EP - 165 PB - Steiner CY - Stuttgart ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Hundecha, Yeshewatesfa A1 - Sunyer, Maria A. A1 - Lawrence, Deborah A1 - Madsen, Henrik A1 - Willems, Patrick A1 - Bürger, Gerd A1 - Kriauciuniene, Jurate A1 - Loukas, Athanasios A1 - Martinkova, Marta A1 - Osuch, Marzena A1 - Vasiliades, Lampros A1 - von Christierson, Birgitte A1 - Vormoor, Klaus Josef A1 - Yuecel, Ismail T1 - Inter-comparison of statistical downscaling methods for projection of extreme flow indices across Europe JF - Journal of hydrology N2 - The effect of methods of statistical downscaling of daily precipitation on changes in extreme flow indices under a plausible future climate change scenario was investigated in 11 catchments selected from 9 countries in different parts of Europe. The catchments vary from 67 to 6171 km(2) in size and cover different climate zones. 15 regional climate model outputs and 8 different statistical downscaling methods, which are broadly categorized as change factor and bias correction based methods, were used for the comparative analyses. Different hydrological models were implemented in different catchments to simulate daily runoff. A set of flood indices were derived from daily flows and their changes have been evaluated by comparing their values derived from simulations corresponding to the current and future climate. Most of the implemented downscaling methods project an increase in the extreme flow indices in most of the catchments. The catchments where the extremes are expected to increase have a rainfall dominated flood regime. In these catchments, the downscaling methods also project an increase in the extreme precipitation in the seasons when the extreme flows occur. In catchments where the flooding is mainly caused by spring/summer snowmelt, the downscaling methods project a decrease in the extreme flows in three of the four catchments considered. A major portion of the variability in the projected changes in the extreme flow indices is attributable to the variability of the climate model ensemble, although the statistical downscaling methods contribute 35-60% of the total variance. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. KW - Flooding KW - Statistical downscaling KW - Regional climate models KW - Climate change KW - Europe Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.08.033 SN - 0022-1694 SN - 1879-2707 VL - 541 SP - 1273 EP - 1286 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Vormoor, Klaus Josef A1 - Lawrence, Deborah A1 - Schlichting, Lena A1 - Wilson, Donna A1 - Wong, Wai Kwok T1 - Evidence for changes in the magnitude and frequency of observed rainfall vs. snowmelt driven floods in Norway JF - Journal of hydrology N2 - There is increasing evidence for recent changes in the intensity and frequency of heavy precipitation and in the number of days with snow cover in many parts of Norway. The question arises as to whether these changes are also discernable with respect to their impacts on the magnitude and frequency of flooding and on the processes producing high flows. In this study, we tested up to 211 catchments for trends in peak flow discharge series by applying the Mann-Kendall test and Poisson regression for three different time periods (1962-2012, 1972-2012, 1982-2012). Field-significance was tested using a bootstrap approach. Over threshold discharge events were classified into rainfall vs. snowmelt dominated floods, based on a simple water balance approach utilizing a nationwide 1 x 1 km(2) gridded data set with daily observed rainfall and simulated snowmelt data. Results suggest that trends in flood frequency are more pronounced than trends in flood magnitude and are more spatially consistent with observed changes in the hydrometeorological drivers. Increasing flood frequencies in southern and western Norway are mainly due to positive trends in the frequency of rainfall dominated events, while decreasing flood frequencies in northern Norway are mainly the result of negative trends in the frequency of snowmelt dominated floods. Negative trends in flood magnitude are found more often than positive trends, and the regional patterns of significant trends reflect differences in the flood generating processes (FGPs). The results illustrate the benefit of distinguishing FGPs rather than simply applying seasonal analyses. The results further suggest that rainfall has generally gained an increasing importance for the generation of floods in Norway, while the role of snowmelt has been decreasing and the timing of snowmelt dominated floods has become earlier. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. KW - Peak flow trends KW - Peak-over-threshold KW - Flood generating processes KW - Rainfall floods KW - Snowmelt floods KW - Climate change Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2016.03.066 SN - 0022-1694 SN - 1879-2707 VL - 538 SP - 33 EP - 48 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Abdrakhmatov, Kanatbek E. A1 - Walker, R. T. A1 - Campbell, G. E. A1 - Carr, A. S. A1 - Elliott, A. A1 - Hillemann, Christian A1 - Hollingsworth, J. A1 - Landgraf, Angela A1 - Mackenzie, D. A1 - Mukambayev, A. A1 - Rizza, M. A1 - Sloan, R. A. T1 - Multisegment rupture in the 11 July 1889 Chilik earthquake (M-w 8.0-8.3), Kazakh Tien Shan, interpreted from remote sensing, field survey, and paleoseismic trenching JF - Journal of geophysical research : Solid earth N2 - The 11 July 1889 Chilik earthquake (M-w 8.0-8.3) forms part of a remarkable sequence of large earthquakes in the late nineteenth and early twentieth centuries in the northern Tien Shan. Despite its importance, the source of the 1889 earthquake remains unknown, though the macroseismic epicenter is sited in the Chilik valley, similar to 100 km southeast of Almaty, Kazakhstan (similar to 2 million population). Several short fault segments that have been inferred to have ruptured in 1889 are too short on their own to account for the estimated magnitude. In this paper we perform detailed surveying and trenching of the similar to 30 km long Saty fault, one of the previously inferred sources, and find that it was formed in a single earthquake within the last 700 years, involving surface slip of up to 10 m. The scarp-forming event, likely to be the 1889 earthquake, was the only surface-rupturing event for at least 5000 years and potentially for much longer. From satellite imagery we extend the mapped length of fresh scarps within the 1889 epicentral zone to a total of similar to 175 km, which we also suggest as candidate ruptures from the 1889 earthquake. The 175 km of rupture involves conjugate oblique left-lateral and right-lateral slip on three separate faults, with step overs of several kilometers between them. All three faults were essentially invisible in the Holocene geomorphology prior to the last slip. The recurrence interval between large earthquakes on any of these faults, and presumably on other faults of the Tien Shan, may be longer than the timescale over which the landscape is reset, providing a challenge for delineating sources of future hazard. Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1002/2015JB012763 SN - 2169-9313 SN - 2169-9356 VL - 121 SP - 4615 EP - 4640 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Kühn, Michael A1 - Altmannsberger, Charlotte A1 - Hens, Carmen T1 - Waiweras WarmwasserreservoirWelche Aussagekraft haben Modelle? JF - Grundwasser : Zeitschrift der Fachsektion Hydrogeologie in der Deutschen Gesellschaft für Geowissenschaften (FH-DGG) N2 - The warm water geothermal reservoir below the village of Waiwera in New Zealand has been known by the native Maori for centuries. Development by the European immigrants began in 1863. Until the year 1969, the warm water flowing from all drilled wells was artesian. Due to overproduction, water up to 50 A degrees C now needs to be pumped to surface. Further, between 1975 and 1976, all warm water seeps on the beach of Waiwera ran dry. Within the context of sustainable water management, hydrogeological models must be developed as part of a management plan. Approaches of varying complexity have been set-up and applied since the 1980s. However, none of the models directly provide all results required for optimal water management. Answers are given simply to parts of the questions, nonetheless improving resource management of the geothermal reservoir. KW - Groundwater KW - Geothermal water KW - Seawater intrusion KW - Simulation KW - Reservoir KW - Management Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s00767-016-0323-2 SN - 1430-483X SN - 1432-1165 VL - 21 SP - 107 EP - 117 PB - Springer CY - Heidelberg ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Tillner, Elena A1 - Langer, Maria A1 - Kempka, Thomas A1 - Kühn, Michael T1 - Fault damage zone volume and initial salinity distribution determine intensity of shallow aquifer salinisation in subsurface storage JF - Hydrology and earth system sciences : HESS N2 - Injection of fluids into deep saline aquifers causes a pore pressure increase in the storage formation, and thus displacement of resident brine. Via hydraulically conductive faults, brine may migrate upwards into shallower aquifers and lead to unwanted salinisation of potable groundwater resources. In the present study, we investigated different scenarios for a potential storage site in the Northeast German Basin using a three-dimensional (3-D) regional-scale model that includes four major fault zones. The focus was on assessing the impact of fault length and the effect of a secondary reservoir above the storage formation, as well as model boundary conditions and initial salinity distribution on the potential salinisation of shallow groundwater resources. We employed numerical simulations of brine injection as a representative fluid. Our simulation results demonstrate that the lateral model boundary settings and the effective fault damage zone volume have the greatest influence on pressure build-up and development within the reservoir, and thus intensity and duration of fluid flow through the faults. Higher vertical pressure gradients for short fault segments or a small effective fault damage zone volume result in the highest salinisation potential due to a larger vertical fault height affected by fluid displacement. Consequently, it has a strong impact on the degree of shallow aquifer salinisation, whether a gradient in salinity exists or the saltwater-freshwater interface lies below the fluid displacement depth in the faults. A small effective fault damage zone volume or low fault permeability further extend the duration of fluid flow, which can persist for several tens to hundreds of years, if the reservoir is laterally confined. Laterally open reservoir boundaries, large effective fault damage zone volumes and intermediate reservoirs significantly reduce vertical brine migration and the potential of freshwater salinisation because the origin depth of displaced brine is located only a few decametres below the shallow aquifer in maximum. The present study demonstrates that the existence of hydraulically conductive faults is not necessarily an exclusion criterion for potential injection sites, because salinisation of shallower aquifers strongly depends on initial salinity distribution, location of hydraulically conductive faults and their effective damage zone volumes as well as geological boundary conditions. Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-1049-2016 SN - 1027-5606 SN - 1607-7938 VL - 20 SP - 1049 EP - 1067 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Baes, Marzieh A1 - Gerya, Taras V. A1 - Sobolev, Stephan Vladimir T1 - 3-D thermo-mechanical modeling of plume-induced subduction initiation JF - Earth & planetary science letters N2 - Here, we study the 3-D subduction initiation process induced by the interaction between a hot thermochemical mantle plume and oceanic lithosphere using thermo-mechanical viscoplastic finite difference marker-in-cell models. Our numerical modeling results show that self-sustaining subduction is induced by plume-lithosphere interaction when the plume is sufficiently buoyant, the oceanic lithosphere is sufficiently old and the plate is weak enough to allow the buoyant plume to. pass through it. Subduction initiation occurs following penetration of the lithosphere by the hot plume and the downward displacement of broken, nearly circular segments of lithosphere (proto-slabs) as a result of partially molten plume rocks overriding the proto-slabs. Our experiments show four different deformation regimes in response to plume-lithosphere interaction: a) self-sustaining subduction initiation, in which subduction becomes self-sustaining; b) frozen subduction initiation, in which subduction stops at shallow depths; c) slab break-off, in which the subducting circular slab breaks off soon after formation; and d) plume underplating, in which the plume does not pass through the lithosphere and instead spreads beneath it (i.e., failed subduction initiation). These regimes depend on several parameters, such as the size, composition, and temperature of the plume, the brittle/plastic strength and age of the oceanic lithosphere, and the presence/absence of lithospheric heterogeneities. The results show that subduction initiates and becomes self-sustaining when the lithosphere is older than 10 Myr and the non dimensional ratio of the plume buoyancy force and lithospheric strength above the plume is higher than approximately 2. The outcomes of our numerical experiments are applicable for subduction initiation in the modern and Precambrian Earth and for the origin of plume-related corona structures on Venus. (C) 2016 Elsevier B.V. All rights reserved. KW - subduction initiation KW - mantle plume KW - oceanic lithosphere KW - numerical models Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.epsl.2016.08.023 SN - 0012-821X SN - 1385-013X VL - 453 SP - 193 EP - 203 PB - Elsevier CY - Amsterdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Obu, Jaroslav A1 - Lantuit, Hugues A1 - Fritz, Michael A1 - Pollard, Wayne H. A1 - Sachs, Torsten A1 - Guenther, Frank T1 - Relation between planimetric and volumetric measurements of permafrost coast erosion: a case study from Herschel Island, western Canadian Arctic JF - Polar research : a Norwegian journal of Polar research N2 - Ice-rich permafrost coasts often undergo rapid erosion, which results in land loss and release of considerable amounts of sediment, organic carbon and nutrients, impacting the near-shore ecosystems. Because of the lack of volumetric erosion data, Arctic coastal erosion studies typically report on planimetric erosion. Our aim is to explore the relationship between planimetric and volumetric coastal erosion measurements and to update the coastal erosion rates on Herschel Island in the Canadian Arctic. We used high-resolution digital elevation models to compute sediment release and compare volumetric data to planimetric estimations of coastline movements digitized from satellite imagery. Our results show that volumetric erosion is locally less variable and likely corresponds better with environmental forcing than planimetric erosion. Average sediment release volumes are in the same range as sediment release volumes calculated from coastline movements combined with cliff height. However, the differences between these estimates are significant for small coastal sections. We attribute the differences between planimetric and volumetric coastal erosion measurements to mass wasting, which is abundant along the coasts of Herschel Island. The average recorded coastline retreat on Herschel Island was 0.68m a(-1) for the period 2000-2011. Erosion rates increased by more than 50% in comparison with the period 1970-2000, which is in accordance with a recently observed increase along the Alaskan Beaufort Sea. The estimated annual sediment release was 28.2 m(3) m(-1) with resulting fluxes of 590 kg C m(-1) and 104 kg N m(-1). KW - Coastal erosion KW - LiDAR KW - carbon fluxes KW - mass wasting KW - landslides KW - digital elevation model Y1 - 2016 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3402/polar.v35.30313 SN - 0800-0395 SN - 1751-8369 VL - 35 SP - 57 EP - 99 PB - Co-Action Publ. CY - Jarfalla ER -