TY - JOUR A1 - Fussmann, Gregor F. A1 - Weithoff, Guntram A1 - Yoshida, Takehito T1 - A direct, experimental test of resource versus consumer dependence : reply Y1 - 2007 UR - http://esapubs.org/esapubs/journals/ecology.htm U6 - https://doi.org/10.1890/06-1692 SN - 0012-9658 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Fussmann, Gregor F. A1 - Weithoff, Guntram A1 - Yoshida, Takehito T1 - A direct, experimental test of resource vs. consumer dependence N2 - The uptake of resources from the environment is a vital process for all organisms. Many experimental studies have revealed that the rate at which this process occurs depends critically on the resource concentration, a relationship called "functional response." However, whether the concentration of the consumer normally affects the functional response has been the subject of a long-standing, predominantly theoretical, debate in ecology. Here we present an experimental test between the alternative hypotheses that food uptake depends either only on the resource concentration or on both the resource and the consumer concentrations. In short-term laboratory experiments, we measured the uptake of radioactively labeled, unicellular green algae (Monoraphidium minutum, resource) by the rotifer Brachionus calyciflorus (a consumer) for varying combinations of resource and consumer concentrations. We found that the food uptake by Brachionus depended on the algal concentration with the relationship best described by a Holling type 3 functional response. We detected significant consumer effects on the functional response only at an extraordinarily high Brachionus density (similar to 125 rotifers/mL), which by far exceeds concentrations normally encountered in the field. We conclude that con sumer-dependent food uptake by planktonic rotifers is a phenomenon that can occur under extreme conditions, but probably plays a minor role in natural environments Y1 - 2005 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Fussmann, Gregor F. A1 - Blasius, Bernd T1 - Community response to enrichment is highly sensitive to model structure N2 - Biologists use mathematical functions to model, understand, and predict nature. For most biological processes, however, the exact analytical form is not known. This is also true for one of the most basic life processes, the uptake of food or resources. We show that the use of a number of nearly indistinguishable functions, which can serve as phenomenological descriptors of resource uptake, may lead to alarmingly different dynamical behaviour in a simple community model. More specifically, we demonstrate that the degree of resource enrichment needed to destabilize the community dynamics depends critically on the mathematical nature of the uptake function. Y1 - 2005 UR - http://www.agnld.uni-potsdam.de/~bernd/papers/BiolLett1.pdf ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Fussmann, Gregor F. A1 - Ellner, Stephen P. A1 - Shertzer, Kyle W. A1 - Hairston, Nelson G. T1 - Crossing the Hopf bifurcation in a live predator-prey system N2 - Population biologists have long been interested in the oscillations in population size displayed by many organisms in the field and Laboratory. A wide range of deterministic mathematical models predict that these fluctuations can be generated internally by nonlinear interactions among species and, if correct, would provide important insights for understanding and predicting the dynamics of interacting populations. We studied the dynamical behavior of a two- species aquatic Laboratory community encompassing the interactions between a demographically structured herbivore population, a primary producer, and a mineral resource, yet still amenable to description and parameterization using a mathematical model. The qualitative dynamical behavior of our experimental system, that is, cycles, equilibria, and extinction, is highly predictable by a simple nonlinear model. Y1 - 2000 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Ellner, Stephen P. A1 - Fussmann, Gregor F. T1 - Effects of successional dynamics on metapopulation persistence N2 - The classical (Levins) metapopulation scenario envisions a species persisting in a network of habitat patches through a balance between frequent local (within-patch) extinctions and recolonizations. Although this is the dominant paradigm for species in fragmented habitats, empirical support is limited and it has been argued that very restrictive conditions on migration rates are required: high enough for recolonization to balance extinctions, but low enough that local populations do not fluctuate in synchrony. Through simulation and analysis of a stochastic spatial model, we argue that the likelihood of persistence via the classical scenario is strongly affected by some basic properties of within- patch successional dynamics whose importance has not been emphasized in metapopulation theory: the distribution of successional stage durations, and whether patches are "refractory" versus immediately available for recolonization after an extinction has occurred. These properties are tied to the biological causes of extinction (e.g., demographic accident versus regular successional changes) and patch recovery (e.g., recolonization by a host species versus regeneration of an exhausted resource base). Our results indicate that metapopulation theory needs to incorporate the patch-dynamics perspective of a landscape in a dynamic mosaic of successional states, with particular attention to links between colonization-extinction processes and local succession. Y1 - 2003 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rosenbaum, Benjamin A1 - Raatz, Michael A1 - Weithoff, Guntram A1 - Fussmann, Gregor F. A1 - Gaedke, Ursula T1 - Estimating parameters from multiple time series of population dynamics using bayesian inference JF - Frontiers in ecology and evolution N2 - Empirical time series of interacting entities, e.g., species abundances, are highly useful to study ecological mechanisms. Mathematical models are valuable tools to further elucidate those mechanisms and underlying processes. However, obtaining an agreement between model predictions and experimental observations remains a demanding task. As models always abstract from reality one parameter often summarizes several properties. Parameter measurements are performed in additional experiments independent of the ones delivering the time series. Transferring these parameter values to different settings may result in incorrect parametrizations. On top of that, the properties of organisms and thus the respective parameter values may vary considerably. These issues limit the use of a priori model parametrizations. In this study, we present a method suited for a direct estimation of model parameters and their variability from experimental time series data. We combine numerical simulations of a continuous-time dynamical population model with Bayesian inference, using a hierarchical framework that allows for variability of individual parameters. The method is applied to a comprehensive set of time series from a laboratory predator-prey system that features both steady states and cyclic population dynamics. Our model predictions are able to reproduce both steady states and cyclic dynamics of the data. Additionally to the direct estimates of the parameter values, the Bayesian approach also provides their uncertainties. We found that fitting cyclic population dynamics, which contain more information on the process rates than steady states, yields more precise parameter estimates. We detected significant variability among parameters of different time series and identified the variation in the maximum growth rate of the prey as a source for the transition from steady states to cyclic dynamics. By lending more flexibility to the model, our approach facilitates parametrizations and shows more easily which patterns in time series can be explained also by simple models. Applying Bayesian inference and dynamical population models in conjunction may help to quantify the profound variability in organismal properties in nature. KW - Bayesian inference KW - chemostat experiments KW - ordinary differential equation KW - parameter estimation KW - population dynamics KW - predator prey KW - time series analysis KW - trait variability Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3389/fevo.2018.00234 SN - 2296-701X VL - 6 PB - Frontiers Research Foundation CY - Lausanne ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Fussmann, Gregor F. A1 - Ellner, Stephen P. A1 - Hairston, Nelson G. T1 - Evolution as a critical component of plankton dynamics N2 - Microevolution is typically ignored as a factor directly affecting on-going population dynamics. We show here that density-dependent natural selection has a direct and measurable effect on a planktonic predator-prey interaction. We kept populations of Brachionus calyciflorus, a monogonont rotifer that exhibits cyclical parthenogenesis, in continuous flow-through cultures (chemostats) for > 900 days. Initially, females frequently produced male offspring, especially at high population densities. We observed rapid evolution, however, towards low propensity to reproduce sexually, and by 750 days, reproduction had become entirely asexual. There was strong selection favouring asexual reproduction because, under the turbulent chemostat regime, males were unable to mate with females, produced no offspring, and so had zero fitness. In replicated chemostat experiments we found that this evolutionary process directly influenced the population dynamics. We observed very specific yet reproducible plankton dynamics that are explained well by a mathematical model that explicitly includes evolution. This model accounts for both asexual and sexual reproduction and treats the propensity to reproduce sexually as a quantitative trait under selection. We suggest that a similar amalgam of ecological and evolutionary mechanisms may drive the dynamics of rapidly reproducing organisms in the wild. Y1 - 2003 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Fussmann, Gregor F. A1 - Heber, Gerd T1 - Food web complexity and chaotic population dynamics N2 - In mathematical models, very simple communities consisting of three or more species frequently display chaotic dynamics which implies that long-term predictions of the population trajectories in time are impossible. Communities in the wild tend to be more complex, but evidence for chaotic dynamics from such communities is scarce. We used supercomputing power to test the hypothesis that chaotic dynamics become less frequent in model ecosystems when their complexity increases. We determined the dynamical stability of a universe of mathematical, nonlinear food web models with varying degrees of organizational complexity. We found that the frequency of unpredictable, chaotic dynamics increases with the number of trophic levels in a food web but decreases with the degree of complexity. Our results suggest that natural food webs possess architectural properties that may intrinsically lower the likelihood of chaotic community dynamics. Y1 - 2002 UR - http://www.blackwell-synergy.com/Journals/issuelist.asp?journal=ele ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Hairston, Nelson G. A1 - Fussmann, Gregor F. T1 - Lake ecosystems N2 - Lakes are discrete, largely isolated ecosystems in which the interplay between physical, biogeochemical and organismal processes can be studied, understood, and put to use in effective management. Y1 - 2002 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Blasius, Bernd A1 - Rudolf, Lars A1 - Weithoff, Guntram A1 - Gaedke, Ursula A1 - Fussmann, Gregor F. T1 - Long-term cyclic persistence in an experimental predator-prey system JF - Nature : the international weekly journal of science N2 - Predator-prey cycles rank among the most fundamental concepts in ecology, are predicted by the simplest ecological models and enable, theoretically, the indefinite persistence of predator and prey(1-4). However, it remains an open question for how long cyclic dynamics can be self-sustained in real communities. Field observations have been restricted to a few cycle periods(5-8) and experimental studies indicate that oscillations may be short-lived without external stabilizing factors(9-19). Here we performed microcosm experiments with a planktonic predator-prey system and repeatedly observed oscillatory time series of unprecedented length that persisted for up to around 50 cycles or approximately 300 predator generations. The dominant type of dynamics was characterized by regular, coherent oscillations with a nearly constant predator-prey phase difference. Despite constant experimental conditions, we also observed shorter episodes of irregular, non-coherent oscillations without any significant phase relationship. However, the predator-prey system showed a strong tendency to return to the dominant dynamical regime with a defined phase relationship. A mathematical model suggests that stochasticity is probably responsible for the reversible shift from coherent to non-coherent oscillations, a notion that was supported by experiments with external forcing by pulsed nutrient supply. Our findings empirically demonstrate the potential for infinite persistence of predator and prey populations in a cyclic dynamic regime that shows resilience in the presence of stochastic events. Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-019-1857-0 SN - 0028-0836 SN - 1476-4687 VL - 577 IS - 7789 SP - 226 EP - 230 PB - Nature Publ. Group CY - London ER -