TY - JOUR A1 - Giarolla, Emanuel A1 - Veiga, Sandro F. A1 - Nobre, Paulo A1 - Silva, Manoel B. A1 - Capistrano, Vinicius B. A1 - Callegare, Andyara O. T1 - Sea surface height trends in the southern hemisphere oceans simulated by the Brazilian Earth System Model under RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 scenarios JF - Journal of southern hemisphere earth systems science N2 - The Brazilian Earth System Model (BESM-OA2.5), while simulating the historical period proposed by the fifth phase of the Coupled Model Intercomparison Project (CMIP5), detects an increasing trend in the sea surface height (SSH) on the southern hemisphere oceans relative to that of the pre-industrial era. The increasing trend is accentuated in the CMIP5 RCP4.5 and RCP8.5 future scenarios with higher concentrations of greenhouse gases in the atmosphere. This study sheds light on the sources of such trends in these regions. The results suggest an association with the thermal expansion of the oceans in the upper 700 m due to a gradual warming inflicted by those future scenarios. BESM-OA2.5 presents a surface height increase of 0.11 m in the historical period of 1850-2005. Concerning future projections, BESM-OA2.5 projects SSH increases of 0.14 and 0.23 m (relative to the historical 2005 value) for RCP4.5 and RCP8.5, respectively, by the end of 2100. These increases are predominantly in a band of latitude within 35-60 degrees S in the Atlantic and Indian oceans. The reproducibility of the trend signal detected in the BESM-OA2.5 simulations is confirmed by the results of three other CMIP5 models. KW - Brazilian Earth System Model KW - CMIP5 KW - IPCC AR5 scenarios KW - RCP4.5 KW - RCP8.5 KW - sea level trends KW - sea surface height KW - southern hemisphere oceans Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1071/ES19042 SN - 2206-5865 VL - 70 IS - 1 SP - 280 EP - 289 PB - CSIRO CY - Clayton ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Merz, Bruno A1 - Kuhlicke, Christian A1 - Kunz, Michael A1 - Pittore, Massimiliano A1 - Babeyko, Andrey A1 - Bresch, David N. A1 - Domeisen, Daniela I. A1 - Feser, Frauke A1 - Koszalka, Inga A1 - Kreibich, Heidi A1 - Pantillon, Florian A1 - Parolai, Stefano A1 - Pinto, Joaquim G. A1 - Punge, Heinz Jürgen A1 - Rivalta, Eleonora A1 - Schröter, Kai A1 - Strehlow, Karen A1 - Weisse, Ralf A1 - Wurpts, Andreas T1 - Impact forecasting to support emergency management of natural hazards JF - Reviews of geophysics N2 - Forecasting and early warning systems are important investments to protect lives, properties, and livelihood. While early warning systems are frequently used to predict the magnitude, location, and timing of potentially damaging events, these systems rarely provide impact estimates, such as the expected amount and distribution of physical damage, human consequences, disruption of services, or financial loss. Complementing early warning systems with impact forecasts has a twofold advantage: It would provide decision makers with richer information to take informed decisions about emergency measures and focus the attention of different disciplines on a common target. This would allow capitalizing on synergies between different disciplines and boosting the development of multihazard early warning systems. This review discusses the state of the art in impact forecasting for a wide range of natural hazards. We outline the added value of impact-based warnings compared to hazard forecasting for the emergency phase, indicate challenges and pitfalls, and synthesize the review results across hazard types most relevant for Europe. KW - impact forecasting KW - natural hazards KW - early warning Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2020RG000704 SN - 8755-1209 SN - 1944-9208 VL - 58 IS - 4 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Marcisz, Katarzyna A1 - Jassey, Vincent E. J. A1 - Kosakyan, Anush A1 - Krashevska, Valentyna A1 - Lahr, Daniel J. G. A1 - Lara, Enrique A1 - Lamentowicz, Lukasz A1 - Lamentowicz, Mariusz A1 - Macumber, Andrew A1 - Mazei, Yuri A1 - Mitchell, Edward A. D. A1 - Nasser, Nawaf A. A1 - Patterson, R. Timothy A1 - Roe, Helen M. A1 - Singer, David A1 - Tsyganov, Andrey N. A1 - Fournier, Bertrand T1 - Testate amoeba functional traits and their use in paleoecology JF - Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution N2 - This review provides a synthesis of current knowledge on the morphological and functional traits of testate amoebae, a polyphyletic group of protists commonly used as proxies of past hydrological changes in paleoecological investigations from peatland, lake sediment and soil archives. A trait-based approach to understanding testate amoebae ecology and paleoecology has gained in popularity in recent years, with research showing that morphological characteristics provide complementary information to the commonly used environmental inferences based on testate amoeba (morpho-)species data. We provide a broad overview of testate amoeba morphological and functional traits and trait-environment relationships in the context of ecology, evolution, genetics, biogeography, and paleoecology. As examples we report upon previous ecological and paleoecological studies that used trait-based approaches, and describe key testate amoebae traits that can be used to improve the interpretation of environmental studies. We also highlight knowledge gaps and speculate on potential future directions for the application of trait-based approaches in testate amoeba research. KW - protists KW - functional traits KW - morphological traits KW - ecology KW - peatlands KW - lakes KW - soils KW - trait-based approaches Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3389/fevo.2020.575966 SN - 2296-701X VL - 8 PB - Frontiers Media CY - Lausanne ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Barbolini, Natasha A1 - Woutersen, Amber A1 - Dupont-Nivet, Guillaume A1 - Silvestro, Daniele A1 - Tardif-Becquet, Delphine A1 - Coster, Pauline M. C. A1 - Meijer, Niels A1 - Chang, Cun A1 - Zhang, Hou-Xi A1 - Licht, Alexis A1 - Rydin, Catarina A1 - Koutsodendris, Andreas A1 - Han, Fang A1 - Rohrmann, Alexander A1 - Liu, Xiang-Jun A1 - Zhang, Y. A1 - Donnadieu, Yannick A1 - Fluteau, Frederic A1 - Ladant, Jean-Baptiste A1 - Le Hir, Guillaume A1 - Hoorn, M. Carina T1 - Cenozoic evolution of the steppe-desert biome in Central Asia JF - Science Advances N2 - The origins and development of the arid and highly seasonal steppe-desert biome in Central Asia, the largest of its kind in the world, remain largely unconstrained by existing records. It is unclear how Cenozoic climatic, geological, and biological forces, acting at diverse spatial and temporal scales, shaped Central Asian ecosystems through time. Our synthesis shows that the Central Asian steppe-desert has existed since at least Eocene times but experienced no less than two regime shifts, one at the Eocene-Oligocene Transition and one in the mid-Miocene. These shifts separated three successive "stable states," each characterized by unique floral and faunal structures. Past responses to disturbance in the Asian steppe-desert imply that modern ecosystems are unlikely to recover their present structures and diversity if forced into a new regime. This is of concern for Asian steppes today, which are being modified for human use and lost to desertification at unprecedented rates. Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abb8227 SN - 2375-2548 VL - 6 IS - 41 PB - American Association for the Advancement of Science CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Rajaonarison, Tahiry A. A1 - Stamps, D. Sarah A1 - Fishwick, Stewart A1 - Brune, Sascha A1 - Glerum, Anne A1 - Hu, Jiashun T1 - Numerical modeling of mantle flow beneath Madagascar to constrain upper mantle rheology beneath continental regions JF - Journal of geophysical research : Solid earth N2 - Over the past few decades, azimuthal seismic anisotropy measurements have been widely used proxy to study past and present-day deformation of the lithosphere and to characterize convection in the mantle. Beneath continental regions, distinguishing between shallow and deep sources of anisotropy remains difficult due to poor depth constraints of measurements and a lack of regional-scale geodynamic modeling. Here, we constrain the sources of seismic anisotropy beneath Madagascar where a complex pattern cannot be explained by a single process such as absolute plate motion, global mantle flow, or geology. We test the hypotheses that either Edge-Driven Convection (EDC) or mantle flow derived from mantle wind interactions with lithospheric topography is the dominant source of anisotropy beneath Madagascar. We, therefore, simulate two sets of mantle convection models using regional-scale 3-D computational modeling. We then calculate Lattice Preferred Orientation that develops along pathlines of the mantle flow models and use them to calculate synthetic splitting parameters. Comparison of predicted with observed seismic anisotropy shows a good fit in northern and southern Madagascar for the EDC model, but the mantle wind case only fits well in northern Madagascar. This result suggests the dominant control of the measured anisotropy may be from EDC, but the role of localized fossil anisotropy in narrow shear zones cannot be ruled out in southern Madagascar. Our results suggest that the asthenosphere beneath northern and southern Madagascar is dominated by dislocation creep. Dislocation creep rheology may be dominant in the upper asthenosphere beneath other regions of continental lithosphere. KW - seismic anisotropy KW - edge-driven convection KW - mantle flow modeling KW - lattice preferred orientations KW - lithosphere-mantle wind interactions KW - splitting parameters Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2019JB018560 SN - 2169-9313 SN - 2169-9356 VL - 125 IS - 2 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Tofelde, Stefanie A1 - Bernhardt, Anne A1 - Guerit, Laure A1 - Romans, Brian W. T1 - Times Associated With Source-to-Sink Propagation of Environmental Signals During Landscape Transience JF - Frontiers in Earth Science N2 - Sediment archives in the terrestrial and marine realm are regularly analyzed to infer changes in climate, tectonic, or anthropogenic boundary conditions of the past. However, contradictory observations have been made regarding whether short period events are faithfully preserved in stratigraphic archives; for instance, in marine sediments offshore large river systems. On the one hand, short period events are hypothesized to be non-detectable in the signature of terrestrially derived sediments due to buffering during sediment transport along large river systems. On the other hand, several studies have detected signals of short period events in marine records offshore large river systems. We propose that this apparent discrepancy is related to the lack of a differentiation between different types of signals and the lack of distinction between river response times and signal propagation times. In this review, we (1) expand the definition of the term ‘signal’ and group signals in sub-categories related to hydraulic grain size characteristics, (2) clarify the different types of ‘times’ and suggest a precise and consistent terminology for future use, and (3) compile and discuss factors influencing the times of signal transfer along sediment routing systems and how those times vary with hydraulic grain size characteristics. Unraveling different types of signals and distinctive time periods related to signal propagation addresses the discrepancies mentioned above and allows a more comprehensive exploration of event preservation in stratigraphy – a prerequisite for reliable environmental reconstructions from terrestrially derived sedimentary records. KW - signal propagation KW - landscape transience KW - source-to-sink KW - stratigraphy KW - response time Y1 - 2021 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2021.628315 SN - 2296-6463 VL - 9 SP - 1 EP - 26 PB - Frontiers Media CY - Lausanne, Schweiz ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zapata, Sebastian A1 - Sobel, Edward A1 - Del Papa, Cecilia A1 - Glodny, Johannes T1 - Upper Plate Controls on the Formation of Broken Foreland Basins in the Andean Retroarc Between 26°S and 28°S BT - From Cretaceous Rifting to Paleogene and Miocene Broken Foreland Basins JF - Geochemistry, Geophysics, Geosystems N2 - Marked along-strike changes in stratigraphy, mountain belt morphology, basement exhumation, and deformation styles characterize the Andean retroarc; these changes have previously been related to spatiotemporal variations in the subduction angle. We modeled new apatite fission track and apatite (U-Th-Sm)/He data from nine ranges located between 26 degrees S and 28 degrees S. Using new and previously published data, we constructed a Cretaceous to Pliocene paleogeographic model that delineates a four-stage tectonic evolution: extensional tectonics during the Cretaceous (120-75 Ma), the formation of a broken foreland basin between 55 and 30 Ma, reheating due to burial beneath sedimentary rocks (18-13 Ma), and deformation, exhumation, and surface uplift during the Late Miocene and the Pliocene (13-3 Ma). Our model highlights how preexisting upper plate structures control the deformation patterns of broken foreland basins. Because retroarc deformation predates flat-slab subduction, we propose that slab anchoring may have been the precursor of Eocene-Oligocene compression in the Andean retroarc. Our model challenges models which consider broken foreland basins and retroarc deformation in the NW Argentinian Andes to be directly related to Miocene flat subduction. KW - Northern Sierras Pampeanas KW - Fission-track thermochronology KW - Middle Eocene deformation KW - Santa-Barbara system KW - flat-slab subduction KW - tectonic inversion KW - Apatite (U-TH)/HE KW - Puna Plateau KW - radiation-damage KW - length measurements Y1 - 2019 VL - 21 IS - 7 PB - John Wiley & Sons, Inc. CY - New Jersey ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Lu, Yin A1 - Dewald, Nico A1 - Koutsodendris, Andreas A1 - Kaboth-Bahr, Stefanie A1 - Rösler, Wolfgang A1 - Fang, Xiaomin A1 - Pross, Jörg A1 - Appel, Erwin A1 - Friedrich, Oliver T1 - Sedimentological evidence for pronounced glacial-interglacial climate fluctuations in NE Tibet in the latest Pliocene to early Pleistocene JF - Paleoceanography and Paleoclimatology N2 - The intensification of Northern Hemisphere glaciation (iNHG) and uplift of the Tibetan Plateau have been argued to be among the main drivers of climate change in midlatitude Central Asia during the Pliocene/Pleistocene. While most proxy records that support this hypothesis are from regions outside the Tibetan Plateau (such as from the Chinese Loess Plateau), detailed paleoclimatic information for the plateau itself during that time has yet remained elusive. Here we present a temporally highly resolved (similar to 500 years) sedimentological record from the Qaidam Basin situated on the northeastern Tibetan Plateau that shows pronounced glacial-interglacial climate variability during the interval from 2.7 to 2.1 Ma. Glacial (interglacial) intervals are generally characterized by coarser (finer) grain size, minima (maxima) in organic matter content, and maxima (minima) in carbonate content. Comparison of our results with Earth's orbital parameters and proxy records from the Chinese Loess Plateau suggests that the observed climate fluctuations were mainly driven by changes in the Siberian High/East Asian winter monsoon system as a response to the iNHG. They are further proposed to be enhanced by the topography of the Tibetan Plateau and its impact on the position and intensity of the westerlies. KW - Western Qaidam Basin KW - grain-size distribution KW - lake Donggi Cona KW - Chinese loess KW - Central-Asia KW - transport processes KW - Qilian mountains KW - dust sources KW - plateau KW - record Y1 - 2020 VL - 35 IS - 5 PB - John Wiley & Sons, Inc. CY - New Jersey ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Smirnov, Artem G. A1 - Kronberg, Elena A. A1 - Daly, Patrick W. A1 - Aseev, Nikita A1 - Shprits, Yuri A1 - Kellerman, Adam C. T1 - Adiabatic Invariants Calculations for Cluster Mission: A Long-Term Product for Radiation Belts Studies JF - Journal of Geophysical Research: Space Physics N2 - The Cluster mission has produced a large data set of electron flux measurements in the Earth's magnetosphere since its launch in late 2000. Electron fluxes are measured using Research with Adaptive Particle Imaging Detector (RAPID)/Imaging Electron Spectrometer (IES) detector as a function of energy, pitch angle, spacecraft position, and time. However, no adiabatic invariants have been calculated for Cluster so far. In this paper we present a step-by-step guide to calculations of adiabatic invariants and conversion of the electron flux to phase space density (PSD) in these coordinates. The electron flux is measured in two RAPID/IES energy channels providing pitch angle distribution at energies 39.2-50.5 and 68.1-94.5 keV in nominal mode since 2004. A fitting method allows to expand the conversion of the differential fluxes to the range from 40 to 150 keV. Best data coverage for phase space density in adiabatic invariant coordinates can be obtained for values of second adiabatic invariant, K, similar to 10(2), and values of the first adiabatic invariant mu in the range approximate to 5-20 MeV/G. Furthermore, we describe the production of a new data product "LSTAR," equivalent to the third adiabatic invariant, available through the Cluster Science Archive for years 2001-2018 with 1-min resolution. The produced data set adds to the availability of observations in Earth's radiation belts region and can be used for long-term statistical purposes. KW - L-Asterisk KW - magnetosphere KW - electrons KW - model Y1 - 2019 VL - 125 IS - 2 PB - John Wiley & Sons, Inc. CY - New Jersey ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Zeeden, Christian A1 - Obreht, Igor A1 - Veres, Daniel A1 - Kaboth-Bahr, Stefanie A1 - Hošek, Jan A1 - Marković, Slobodan B. A1 - Bösken, Janina A1 - Lehmkuhl, Frank A1 - Rolf, Christian A1 - Hambach, Ulrich T1 - Smoothed millennial-scale palaeoclimatic reference data as unconventional comparison targets: Application to European loess records JF - Scientific Reports N2 - Millennial-scale palaeoclimate variability has been documented in various terrestrial and marine palaeoclimate proxy records throughout the Northern Hemisphere for the last glacial cycle. Its clear expression and rapid shifts between different states of climate (Greenland Interstadials and Stadials) represents a correlation tool beyond the resolution of e.g. luminescence dating, especially relevant for terrestrial deposits. Usually, comparison of terrestrial proxy datasets and the Greenland ice cores indicates a complex expression of millennial-scale climate variability as recorded in terrestrial geoarchives including loess. Loess is the most widespread terrestrial geoarchive of the Quaternary and especially widespread over Eurasia. However, loess often records a smoothed representation of millennial-scale variability without all fidelity when compared to the Greenland data, this being a relevant limiting feature in integrating loess with other palaeoclimate records. To better understand the loess proxy-response to millennial-scale climate variability, we simulate a proxy signal smoothing by natural processes through application of low-pass filters of delta O-18 data from Greenland, a high-resolution palaeoclimate reference record, alongside speleothem isotope records from the Black Sea-Mediterranean region. We show that low-pass filters represent rather simple models for better constraining the expression of millennial-scale climate variability in low sedimentation environments, and in sediments where proxy-response signals are most likely affected by natural smoothing (by e.g. bioturbation). Interestingly, smoothed datasets from Greenland and the Black Sea-Mediterranean region are most similar in the last similar to 15 ka and between similar to 50-30 ka. Between similar to 30-15 ka, roughly corresponding to the Last Glacial Maximum and the deglaciation, the records show dissimilarities, challenging the construction of robust correlative time-scales in this age range. From our analysis it becomes apparent that patterns of palaeoclimate signals in loess-palaeosol sequences often might be better explained by smoothed Greenland reference data than the original high-resolution Greenland dataset, or other reference data. This opens the possibility to better assess the temporal resolution and palaeoclimate potential of loess-palaeosol sequences in recording supra-regional climate patterns, as well as to securely integrate loess with other chronologically better-resolved palaeoclimate records. KW - last glacial period KW - Western Interior Basin KW - high-resolution record KW - Greenland ice cores KW - paleosol sequence KW - time-scale KW - Chinese loess KW - astronomical calibration KW - chronology (AICC2012) KW - Antarctic ice Y1 - 2020 VL - 10 IS - 1 PB - Springer Nature CY - Berlin ER -