TY - JOUR A1 - Ballato, Paolo A1 - Stockli, Daniel F. A1 - Ghassemi, Mohammad R. A1 - Landgraf, Angela A1 - Strecker, Manfred A1 - Hassanzadeh, Jamshid A1 - Friedrich, Anke M. A1 - Tabatabaei, Saeid H. T1 - Accommodation of transpressional strain in the Arabia-Eurasia collision zone new constraints from (U-Th)/He thermochronology in the Alborz mountains, north Iran JF - Tectonics N2 - The Alborz range of N Iran provides key information on the spatiotemporal evolution and characteristics of the Arabia-Eurasia continental collision zone. The southwestern Alborz range constitutes a transpressional duplex, which accommodates oblique shortening between Central Iran and the South Caspian Basin. The duplex comprises NW-striking frontal ramps that are kinematically linked to inherited E-W-striking, right-stepping lateral to obliquely oriented ramps. New zircon and apatite (U-Th)/He data provide a high-resolution framework to unravel the evolution of collisional tectonics in this region. Our data record two pulses of fast cooling associated with SW-directed thrusting across the frontal ramps at similar to 18-14 and 9.5-7.5 Ma, resulting in the tectonic repetition of a fossil zircon partial retention zone and a cooling pattern with a half U-shaped geometry. Uniform cooling ages of similar to 7-6 Ma along the southernmost E-W striking oblique ramp and across its associated NW-striking frontal ramps suggests that the ramp was reactivated as a master throughgoing, N-dipping thrust. We interpret this major change in fault kinematics and deformation style to be related to a change in the shortening direction from NE to N/NNE. The reduction in the obliquity of thrusting may indicate the termination of strike-slip faulting (and possibly thrusting) across the Iranian Plateau, which could have been triggered by an increase in elevation. Furthermore, we suggest that similar to 7-6-m.y.-old S-directed thrusting predated inception of the westward motion of the South Caspian Basin. Citation: Ballato, P., D. F. Stockli, M. R. Ghassemi, A. Landgraf, M. R. Strecker, J. Hassanzadeh, A. Friedrich, and S. H. Tabatabaei (2012), Accommodation of transpressional strain in the Arabia-Eurasia collision zone: new constraints from (U-Th)/He thermochronology in the Alborz mountains. Y1 - 2013 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1029/2012TC003159 SN - 0278-7407 VL - 32 IS - 1 SP - 1 EP - 18 PB - American Geophysical Union CY - Washington ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Cammerer, H. A1 - Thieken, Annegret A1 - Lammel, J. T1 - Adaptability and transferability of flood loss functions in residential areas JF - Natural hazards and earth system sciences N2 - Flood loss modeling is an important component within flood risk assessments. Traditionally, stage-damage functions are used for the estimation of direct monetary damage to buildings. Although it is known that such functions are governed by large uncertainties, they are commonly applied - even in different geographical regions - without further validation, mainly due to the lack of real damage data. Until now, little research has been done to investigate the applicability and transferability of such damage models to other regions. In this study, the last severe flood event in the Austrian Lech Valley in 2005 was simulated to test the performance of various damage functions from different geographical regions in Central Europe for the residential sector. In addition to common stage-damage curves, new functions were derived from empirical flood loss data collected in the aftermath of recent flood events in neighboring Germany. Furthermore, a multi-parameter flood loss model for the residential sector was adapted to the study area and also evaluated with official damage data. The analysis reveals that flood loss functions derived from related and more similar regions perform considerably better than those from more heterogeneous data sets of different regions and flood events. While former loss functions estimate the observed damage well, the latter overestimate the reported loss clearly. To illustrate the effect of model choice on the resulting uncertainty of damage estimates, the current flood risk for residential areas was calculated. In the case of extreme events like the 300 yr flood, for example, the range of losses to residential buildings between the highest and the lowest estimates amounts to a factor of 18, in contrast to properly validated models with a factor of 2.3. Even if the risk analysis is only performed for residential areas, our results reveal evidently that a carefree model transfer in other geographical regions might be critical. Therefore, we conclude that loss models should at least be selected or derived from related regions with similar flood and building characteristics, as far as no model validation is possible. To further increase the general reliability of flood loss assessment in the future, more loss data and more comprehensive loss data for model development and validation are needed. Y1 - 2013 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-13-3063-2013 SN - 1561-8633 VL - 13 IS - 11 SP - 3063 EP - 3081 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - THES A1 - Teply, Julia T1 - Analysis of cellular reprogramming in response to mycorrhizal signals Y1 - 2013 CY - Potsdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Bürger, Gerd A1 - Sobie, S. R. A1 - Cannon, A. J. A1 - Werner, A. T. A1 - Murdock, T. Q. T1 - Downscaling extremes an intercomparison of multiple methods for future climate JF - Journal of climate N2 - This study follows up on a previous downscaling intercomparison for present climate. Using a larger set of eight methods the authors downscale atmospheric fields representing present (1981-2000) and future (2046-65) conditions, as simulated by six global climate models following three emission scenarios. Local extremes were studied at 20 locations in British Columbia as measured by the same set of 27 indices, ClimDEX, as in the precursor study. Present and future simulations give 2 x 3 x 6 x 8 x 20 x 27 = 155 520 index climatologies whose analysis in terms of mean change and variation is the purpose of this study. The mean change generally reinforces what is to be expected in a warmer climate: that extreme cold events become less frequent and extreme warm events become more frequent, and that there are signs of more frequent precipitation extremes. There is considerable variation, however, about this tendency, caused by the influence of scenario, climate model, downscaling method, and location. This is analyzed using standard statistical techniques such as analysis of variance and multidimensional scaling, along with an assessment of the influence of each modeling component on the overall variation of the simulated change. It is found that downscaling generally has the strongest influence, followed by climate model; location and scenario have only a minor influence. The influence of downscaling could be traced back in part to various issues related to the methods, such as the quality of simulated variability or the dependence on predictors. Using only methods validated in the precursor study considerably reduced the influence of downscaling, underpinning the general need for method verification. Y1 - 2013 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-12-00249.1 SN - 0894-8755 VL - 26 IS - 10 SP - 3429 EP - 3449 PB - American Meteorological Soc. CY - Boston ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Meier, Sarah T1 - Housing market integration of migrants moroccans in Spain JF - Tijdschrift voor economische en sociale geografie = Journal of economic and social geography N2 - Moroccans are the largest group of immigrants in Spain. Once they arrive at the new place, one of their first necessities is to access shelter. Focusing on the south-eastern region of Murcia in Spain and combining quantitative and qualitative data, I explore the process of housing market integration of Moroccan migrants. Special attention is paid to the dynamics of this process and the role that the interaction between the supply side and the foreign demand of accommodation plays. Thereby, I will emphasise how an unfavourable structure of the housing market, along with behaviour of local private landlords on the supply side leads to considerable problems concerning the housing market integration of migrants in Spain. Thus, this paper aims to give a more accurate interpretation of the dynamics influencing the housing outcomes of migrants in the studied area. KW - Integration KW - housing KW - Spain KW - Moroccans KW - housing careers KW - immigration Y1 - 2013 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1111/tesg.12006 SN - 0040-747X VL - 104 IS - 3 SP - 308 EP - 321 PB - Wiley-Blackwell CY - Hoboken ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Cherubini, Yvonne A1 - Cacace, Mauro A1 - Blöcher, Guido A1 - Scheck-Wenderoth, Magdalena T1 - Impact of single inclined faults on the fluid flow and heat transport - results from 3-D finite element simulations JF - Environmental earth sciences N2 - The impact of inclined faults on the hydrothermal field is assessed by adding simplified structural settings to synthetic models. This study is innovative in carrying out numerical simulations because it integrates the real 3-D nature of flow influenced by a fault in a porous medium, thereby providing a useful tool for complex geothermal modelling. The 3-D simulations for the coupled fluid flow and heat transport processes are based on the finite element method. In the model, one geological layer is dissected by a dipping fault. Sensitivity analyses are conducted to quantify the effects of the fault's transmissivity on the fluid flow and thermal field. Different fault models are compared with a model where no fault is present to evaluate the effect of varying fault transmissivity. The results show that faults have a significant impact on the hydrothermal field. Varying either the fault zone width or the fault permeability will result in relevant differences in the pressure, velocity and temperature field. A linear relationship between fault zone width and fluid velocity is found, indicating that velocities increase with decreasing widths. The faults act as preferential pathways for advective heat transport in case of highly transmissive faults, whereas almost no fluid may be transported through poorly transmissive faults. KW - Hydrothermal field KW - 3-D numerical simulations KW - Inclined faults KW - Fault zone KW - Coupled fluid flow and heat transport KW - Finite elements Y1 - 2013 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s12665-012-2212-z SN - 1866-6280 SN - 1866-6299 VL - 70 IS - 8 SP - 3603 EP - 3618 PB - Springer CY - New York ER - TY - BOOK A1 - Uhlenwinkel, Anke T1 - On the Importance of using appropriate concepts and theories Y1 - 2013 SN - 978-3-86956-234-6 ER - TY - INPR A1 - Mischke, Steffen A1 - Wünnemann, Bernd A1 - Appel, Erwin T1 - Proxies for quaternary monsoon reconstruction on the tibetan plateau T2 - Quaternary international : the journal of the International Union for Quaternary Research Y1 - 2013 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.quaint.2013.10.001 SN - 1040-6182 VL - 313 SP - 1 EP - 2 PB - Elsevier CY - Oxford ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Dobler, C. A1 - Bürger, Gerd A1 - Stötter, J. T1 - Simulating future precipitation extremes in a complex Alpine catchment JF - Natural hazards and earth system sciences N2 - The objectives of the present investigation are (i) to study the effects of climate change on precipitation extremes and (ii) to assess the uncertainty in the climate projections. The investigation is performed on the Lech catchment, located in the Northern Limestone Alps. In order to estimate the uncertainty in the climate projections, two statistical downscaling models as well as a number of global and regional climate models were considered. The downscaling models applied are the Expanded Downscaling (XDS) technique and the Long Ashton Research Station Weather Generator (LARS-WG). The XDS model, which is driven by analyzed or simulated large-scale synoptic fields, has been calibrated using ECMWF-interim reanalysis data and local station data. LARS-WG is controlled through stochastic parameters representing local precipitation variability, which are calibrated from station data only. Changes in precipitation mean and variability as simulated by climate models were then used to perturb the parameters of LARS-WG in order to generate climate change scenarios. In our study we use climate simulations based on the A1B emission scenario. The results show that both downscaling models perform well in reproducing observed precipitation extremes. In general, the results demonstrate that the projections are highly variable. The choice of both the GCM and the downscaling method are found to be essential sources of uncertainty. For spring and autumn, a slight tendency toward an increase in the intensity of future precipitation extremes is obtained, as a number of simulations show statistically significant increases in the intensity of 90th and 99th percentiles of precipitation on wet days as well as the 5- and 20-yr return values. Y1 - 2013 U6 - https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-13-263-2013 SN - 1561-8633 VL - 13 IS - 2 SP - 263 EP - 277 PB - Copernicus CY - Göttingen ER - TY - THES A1 - Vorpahl, Peter T1 - Spatiotemporal dynamics of shallow translational landslides in tropical montane forests Y1 - 2013 CY - Potsdam ER -