TY - BOOK A1 - Abel, Markus A1 - Holschneider, Matthias T1 - Modellierung und Datenbankanalyse komplexer Systeme Teil 10 : Vorlesung 2009-07-09 N2 - Komplexe Systeme reichen von "harten", physikalischen, wie Klimaphysik, Turbulenz in Fluiden oder Plasmen bis zu so genannten "weichen", wie man sie in der Biologie, der Physik weicher Materie, Soziologie oder Ökonomie findet. Die Ausbildung von Verständnis zu einem solchen System beinhaltet eine Beschreibung in Form von Statistiken und schlussendlich mathematischen Gleichungen. Moderne Datenanalyse stellt eine große Menge von Werkzeugen zur Analyse von Komplexität auf verschiedenen Beschreibungsebenen bereit. In diesem Kurs werden statistische Methoden mit einem Schwerpunkt auf dynamischen Systemen diskutiert und eingeübt. Auf der methodischen Seite werden lineare und nichtlineare Ansätze behandelt, inklusive der Standard-Werkzeuge der deskriptiven und schlussfolgernden Statistik, Wavelet Analyse, Nichtparametrische Regression und der Schätzung nichtlinearer Maße wie fraktaler Dimensionen, Entropien und Komplexitätsmaßen. Auf der Modellierungsseite werden deterministische und stochastische Systeme, Chaos, Skalierung und das Entstehen von Komplexität durch Wechselwirkung diskutiert - sowohl für diskrete als auch für ausgedehnte Systeme. Die beiden Ansätze werden durch Systemanalyse jeweils passender Beispiele vereint. Y1 - 2009 UR - http://info.ub.uni-potsdam.de/multimedia/show_projekt.php?projekt_id=45 PB - Univ.-Bibl. CY - Potsdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Popp, Alexander A1 - Domptail, Stephanie A1 - Blaum, Niels A1 - Jeltsch, Florian T1 - Landuse experience does not qualify for adaptation to climate change N2 - The need to implement sustainable resource management regimes for semi-arid and arid rangelands is acute as non- adapted grazing strategies lead to irreversible environmental problems such as desertification and associated loss of economic support to society. In these sensitive ecosystems, traditional sectoral, disciplinary approaches will not work to attain sustainability: achieving a collective vision of how to attain sustainability requires interactive efforts among disciplines in a more integrated approach. Therefore, we developed an integrated ecological-economic approach that consists of an ecological and an economic module and combines relevant processes on either level. Parameters for both modules are adjusted for an arid dwarf shrub savannah in southern Namibia. The economic module is used to analyse decisions of different virtual farmer types on annual stocking rates depending on their knowledge how the ecosystem works and climatic conditions. We used a dynamic linear optimisation model to simulate farm economics and livestock dynamics. The ecological module is used to simulate the impact of the farmers' land-use decision, derived by the economic module, on ecosystem dynamics and resulting carrying capacity of the system for livestock. Vegetation dynamics, based on the concept of State-and-transition models, and forage productivity for both modules is derived by a small- scale and spatially explicit vegetation model. This mechanistic approach guarantees that data collected and processes estimated at smaller scales are included in our application. Simulation results of the ecological module were successfully compared to simulation results of the optimisation model for a time series of 30 years. We revealed that sustainable management of semi-arid and arid rangelands relies strongly on rangeland managers' understanding of ecological processes. Furthermore, our simulation results demonstrate that the projected lower annual rainfall due to climate change adds an additional layer of risk to these ecosystems that are already prone to land degradation. Y1 - 2009 UR - http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/03043800 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2008.11.015 SN - 0304-3800 ER - TY - THES A1 - Aziz-ud-Din, Aziz T1 - Molecular and physiological approaches towards growth-effecting genes in Arabidopsis thaliana (L.) Heynh. Y1 - 2010 CY - Potsdam ER - TY - THES A1 - Steinhauser, Marie-Caroline T1 - Optimisation and application of enzyme activity assays to characterise carbohydrate metabolism in the fruit of different tomato genotypes Y1 - 2009 CY - Potsdam ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Meyer, Jork A1 - Raudnitschka, Dorit A1 - Steinhauser, J. A1 - Jeltsch, Florian A1 - Brandl, Roland T1 - Biology and ecology of "Thallomys nigricauda" (Rodentia, Muridae) in the Thornveld savannah of South Africa Y1 - 2008 UR - http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/16165047 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.mambio.2006.11.002 SN - 1616-5047 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Moloney, Kirk A. A1 - Jeltsch, Florian T1 - Space matters : novel developments in plant ecology through spatial modelling Y1 - 2008 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ppees.2007.12.002 SN - 1433-8319 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Jeltsch, Florian A1 - Moloney, Kirk A. A1 - Schurr, Frank Martin A1 - Köchy, Martin A1 - Schwager, Monika T1 - The state of plant population modelling in light of environmental change N2 - Plant population modelling has been around since the 1970s, providing a valuable approach to understanding plant ecology from a mechanistic standpoint. It is surprising then that this area of research has not grown in prominence with respect to other approaches employed in modelling plant systems. In this review, we provide an analysis of the development and role of modelling in the field of plant population biology through an exploration of where it has been, where it is now and, in our opinion, where it should be headed. We focus, in particular, on the role plant population modelling could play in ecological forecasting, an urgent need given current rates of regional and global environmental change. We suggest that a critical element limiting the current application of plant population modelling in environmental research is the trade-off between the necessary resolution and detail required to accurately characterize ecological dynamics pitted against the goal of generality, particularly at broad spatial scales. In addition to suggestions how to overcome the current shortcoming of data on the process-level we discuss two emerging strategies that may offer a way to overcome the described limitation: (1) application of a modern approach to spatial scaling from local processes to broader levels of interaction and (2) plant functional-type modelling. Finally we outline what we believe to be needed in developing these approaches towards a 'science of forecasting'. Y1 - 2008 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ppees.2007.11.004 SN - 1433-8319 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Pfeifer, Marion A1 - Schatz, Bertrand A1 - Picó, F. Xavier A1 - Passalacqua, Nicodemo G. A1 - Fay, Michael F. A1 - Carey, Pete D. A1 - Jeltsch, Florian T1 - Phylogeography and genetic structure of the orchid "Himantoglossum hircinum" (L.) Spreng. across its European central-marginal gradient N2 - Aim This study aims to link demographic traits and post-glacial recolonization processes with genetic traits in Himantoglossum hircinum (L.) Spreng (Orchidaceae), and to test the implications of the central-marginal concept (CMC) in Europe. Location Twenty sites covering the entire European distribution range of this species. Methods We employed amplified fragment length polymorphism (AFLP) markers and performed a plastid microsatellite survey to assess genetic variation in 20 populations of H. hircinum located along central-marginal gradients. We measured demographic traits to assess population fitness along geographical gradients and to test for correlations between demographic traits and genetic diversity. We used genetic diversity indices and analyses of molecular variance (AMOVA) to test hypotheses of reduced genetic diversity and increased genetic differentiation and isolation from central to peripheral sites. We used Bayesian simulations to analyse genetic relationships among populations. Results Genetic diversity decreased significantly with increasing latitudinal and longitudinal distance from the distribution centre when excluding outlying populations. The AMOVA revealed significant genetic differentiation among populations (F-ST = 0.146) and an increase in genetic differentiation from the centre of the geographical range to the margins (except for the Atlantic group). Population fitness, expressed as the ratio N-R/N, decreased significantly with increasing latitudinal distance from the distribution centre. Flower production was lower in most eastern peripheral sites. The geographical distribution of microsatellite haplotypes suggests post-glacial range expansion along three major migratory pathways, as also supported by individual membership fractions in six ancestral genetic clusters (C1-C6). No correlations between genetic diversity (e.g. diversity indices, haplotype frequency) and population demographic traits were detected. Main conclusions Reduced genetic diversity and haplotype frequency in H. hircinum at marginal sites reflect historical range expansions. Spatial variation in demographic traits could not explain genetic diversity patterns. For those sites that did not fit into the CMC, the genetic pattern is probably masked by other factors directly affecting either demography or population genetic structure. These include post-glacial recolonization patterns and changes in habitat suitability due to climate change at the northern periphery. Our findings emphasize the importance of distinguishing historical effects from those caused by geographical variation in population demography of species when studying evolutionary and ecological processes at the range margins under global change. Y1 - 2009 UR - http://www3.interscience.wiley.com/journal/117963685/home U6 - https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1365-2699.2009.02168.x SN - 0305-0270 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Schmoll, Tim A1 - Schurr, Frank Martin A1 - Winkel, Wolfgang A1 - Epplen, Joerg T. A1 - Lubjuhn, Thomas T1 - Lifespan, lifetime reproductive performance and paternity loss of within-pair and extra-pair offspring in the coal tit "Periparus ater" N2 - The hypothesis that females of socially monogamous species obtain indirect benefits (good or compatible genes) from extra-pair mating behaviour has received enormous attention but much less generally accepted support. Here we ask whether selection for adult survival and fecundity or sexual selection contribute to indirect selection of the extra- pair mating behaviour in socially monogamous coal tits (Periparus ater). We tracked locally recruited individuals with known paternity status through their lives predicting that the extra-pair offspring (EPO) would outperform the within- pair offspring (WPO). No differences between the WPO and EPO recruits were detected in lifespan or age of first reproduction. However, the male WPO had a higher lifetime number of broods and higher lifetime number of social offspring compared with male EPO recruits, while no such differences were evident for female recruits. Male EPO recruits did not compensate for their lower social reproductive success by higher fertilization success within their social pair bonds. Thus, our results do not support the idea that enhanced adult survival, fecundity or within-pair fertilization success are manifestations of the genetic benefits of extra-pair matings. But we emphasize that a crucial fitness component, the extra-pair fertilization success of male recruits, has yet to be taken into account to fully appreciate the fitness consequences of extra-pair matings. Y1 - 2009 UR - http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2008.1116 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1098/rspb.2008.1116 SN - 1471-2954 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Blaum, Niels A1 - Seymour, Colleen A1 - Rossmanith, Eva A1 - Schwager, Monika A1 - Jeltsch, Florian T1 - Changes in arthropod diversity along a land use driven gradient of shrub cover in savanna rangelands : identifcation of suitable indicators N2 - Shrub encroachment linked to heavy grazing has dramatically changed savanna landscapes, and is a major form of rangeland degradation. Our understanding of how shrub encroachment affects arthropod communities is poor, however. Here, we investigate the effects of shrub encroachment on abundance and diversity of ground-dwelling (wingless) arthropods at varying levels of shrub cover in the southern Kalahari. We also ascertain if invertebrate assemblage composition changes with habitat structure and identify which aspects of habitat structure (e.g., grass cover, herbaceous plant cover, shrub density) correlate most strongly with these changes. Ant, scorpion and dung beetle abundance increased with shrub cover, whereas grasshoppers and solifuges declined. Spider and beetle abundance exhibited hump-shaped relationships with shrub cover. RTU richness within orders either mirrored abundances, or exhibited no trend. Shrub density was the habitat component most correlated with similarities between invertebrate assemblages. Ground-dwelling arthropods showed clear shifts in species assemblage composition at a similarity level of 65% according to shrub density. Changes in indicator species showed that within the Tenebrionidae (darkling beetles), certain species respond positively to shrub thickening, replacing other species within the Family. Small-bodied, wingless Scarabaeidae (dung beetles) tended to increase with increased shrub density and three species emerged as significant indicators of more thickened habitats, although this might be a response to greater dung availability, rather than habitat structure itself. We conclude that because ground- dwelling invertebrates showed such clear responses in species assemblage composition, they present excellent candidates for use as indicator species in further studies into bush encroachment. Y1 - 2009 UR - http://www.springerlink.com/content/100125 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1007/s10531-008-9498-x SN - 0960-3115 ER -