TY - JOUR A1 - Kamprath, Martin A1 - Mietzner, Dana T1 - The impact of sectoral changes on individual competences: A reflective scenario-based approach in the creative industries JF - Technological forecasting & social change N2 - Many foresight studies concentrate on technological foresight and its impact at the organizational level. However, often these studies overlook the soft factor of employee competences which is critical to adopting technological and organizational changes and to developing the necessary innovation capabilities. This study investigates the theoretical and methodological underdeveloped relationship between technological innovation and social initiated change and the impact on individual competences in a dynamic sector. The setting of our study is the turbulent creative industries as a whole, where creative and artistic expression merges with changing technological progress. In a scenario study we mainly conducted in 2010, we developed a scenario model for competences to combine individual competences with a scenario approach to investigate how competences are important to the sector shift or need to be enhanced in the future. We use primary qualitative data from expert interviews and workshops and secondary data from industry reports to identify thirty-seven influence factors. An influence matrix calculation and a cluster analysis are used to project three different scenarios presenting how future developments of the creative industries will influence the competences needed for creative occupations. Now, five years later, we reflect the accuracy of the developed scenarios via a comparison of today's situation with the situation in the scenarios. We discuss theoretical contributions for the foresight literature and practical implementations for the future of work in general, and in particular for the creative industries case. (C) 2015 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. KW - Creative industries KW - Creative economy KW - Digital KW - Convergence KW - Media KW - Entertainment KW - Scenario KW - Foresight KW - Futures studies KW - Technological impact KW - Competences KW - Skills KW - Work KW - Microfoundations KW - Human capital resource KW - Strategic human resources Y1 - 2015 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.techfore.2015.01.011 SN - 0040-1625 SN - 1873-5509 VL - 95 SP - 252 EP - 275 PB - Elsevier CY - New York ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Stefanakis, Nikolaos A1 - Abel, Markus A1 - Bergner, Andre T1 - Sound Synthesis Based on Ordinary Differential Equations JF - Computer music journal N2 - Ordinary differential equations (ODEs) have been studied for centuries as a means to model complex dynamical processes from the real world. Nevertheless, their application to sound synthesis has not yet been fully exploited. In this article we present a systematic approach to sound synthesis based on first-order complex and real ODEs. Using simple time-dependent and nonlinear terms, we illustrate the mapping between ODE coefficients and physically meaningful control parameters such as pitch, pitch bend, decay rate, and attack time. We reveal the connection between nonlinear coupling terms and frequency modulation, and we discuss the implications of this scheme in connection with nonlinear synthesis. The ability to excite a first-order complex ODE with an external input signal is also examined; stochastic or impulsive signals that are physically or synthetically produced can be presented as input to the system, offering additional synthesis possibilities, such as those found in excitation/filter synthesis and filter-based modal synthesis. Y1 - 2015 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1162/COMJ_a_00314 SN - 0148-9267 SN - 1531-5169 VL - 39 IS - 3 SP - 46 EP - 58 PB - MIT Press CY - Cambridge ER -