TY - JOUR A1 - Tiberius, Victor T1 - Scenarios in the strategy process BT - a framework of affordances and constraints JF - European Journal of Futures Research N2 - This paper challenges the solely rational view of the scenario technique as a strategy and foresight tool designed to cope with uncertainty by considering multiple possible future states. The paper employs an affordance-based view that allows for the identification and structuring of hidden, emergent attributes of the scenario technique beyond the intended ones. The suggested framework distinguishes between affordances (1) that are intended by the organization and relate to its goals, (2) that emergently generate organizational benefits, and (3) that do not relate to organizational but individual interests. Also, constraints in the use of scenarios are discussed. Affordance theory’s specific lens shows that the emergence of such attributes depends on the users’ specific intentions. KW - Affordances KW - Management KW - Organizations KW - Scenario planning KW - Strategic foresight Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1186/s40309-019-0160-5 SN - 2195-2248 SN - 2195-4194 VL - 7 PB - Springer CY - Heidelberg ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Tiberius, Victor A1 - Lisiecki, Laura T1 - Stock Price Forecast Accuracy and Recommendation Profitability of Financial Magazines JF - International Journal of Financial Studies N2 - In this study, we analyze the forecast accuracy and profitability of buy recommendations published in five major German financial magazines for private households based on fundamental analysis. The results show a high average forecast accuracy but with a very high standard deviation, which indicates poor forecast accuracy with regard to individual stocks. The recommendation profitability slightly exceeds the performance of the MSCI World index. Considering the involved risk, which is represented by a high standard deviation, the excess returns appear to be insufficient. KW - buy recommendations KW - financial magazines KW - forecast accuracy KW - MSCI World KW - recommendation profitability Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/ijfs7040058 SN - 2227-7072 IS - 4 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ET - 7 ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Tiberius, Victor A1 - Borning, Jenny A1 - Seeler, Sabrina T1 - Setting the table for meat consumers BT - an international Delphi study on in vitro meat JF - Science of Food N2 - The growing global demand for meat is being thwarted by shrinking agricultural areas, and opposes efforts to mitigate methane emissions and to improve public health. Cultured meat could contribute to solve these problems, but will such meat be marketable, competitive, and accepted? Using the Delphi method, this study explored the potential development of cultured meat by 2027. Despite the acknowledged urgency to develop sustainable meat alternatives, participants doubt that challenges regarding mass production, production costs, and consumer acceptance will be overcome by 2027. Considering the noticeable impacts of global warming, further research and development as well as a change in consumer perceptions is inevitable. Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1038/s41538-019-0041-0 SN - 2396-8370 VL - 3 PB - Springer Nature CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Tiberius, Victor T1 - Scenarios in the strategy process BT - A framework of affordances and constraints JF - European Journal of Futures Research N2 - This paper challenges the solely rational view of the scenario technique as a strategy and foresight tool designed to cope with uncertainty by considering multiple possible future states. The paper employs an affordance-based view that allows for the identification and structuring of hidden, emergent attributes of the scenario technique beyond the intended ones. The suggested framework distinguishes between affordances (1) that are intended by the organization and relate to its goals, (2) that emergently generate organizational benefits, and (3) that do not relate to organizational but individual interests. Also, constraints in the use of scenarios are discussed. Affordance theory’s specific lens shows that the emergence of such attributes depends on the users’ specific intentions. KW - Affordances KW - Management KW - Organizations KW - Scenario planning KW - Strategic foresight Y1 - 2019 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1186/s40309-019-0160-5 SN - 2195-4194 SN - 2195-2248 VL - 7 PB - Springer Open CY - London ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Höhne, Stefan A1 - Tiberius, Victor T1 - Powered by blockchain BT - forecasting blockchain use in the electricity market JF - International journal of energy sector management N2 - Purpose: The purpose of this study is to formulate the most probable future scenario for the use of blockchain technology within the next 5–10 years in the electricity sector based on today’s experts’ views. Design/methodology/approach: An international, two-stage Delphi study with 20 projections is used. Findings: According to the experts, blockchain applications will be primarily based on permissioned or consortium blockchains. Blockchain-based applications will integrate Internet of Things devices in the power grid, manage the e-mobility infrastructure, automate billing and direct payment and issue certificates regarding the origin of electricity. Blockchain solutions are expected to play an important big role in fostering peer-to-peer trading in microgrids, further democratizing and decentralizing the energy sector. New regulatory frameworks become necessary. Research limitations/implications: The Delphi study’s scope is rather broad than narrow and detailed. Further studies should focus on partial scenarios. Practical implications: Electricity market participants should build blockchain-based competences and collaborate in current pilot projects. Social implications: Blockchain technology will further decentralize the energy sector and probably reduce transaction costs. Originality/value: Despite the assumed importance of blockchain technology, no coherent foresight study on its use and implications exists yet. This study closes this research gap. KW - innovation KW - surveys KW - scenario analysis KW - blockchain technology KW - Delphi KW - method KW - digitization KW - electricity market Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1108/IJESM-10-2019-0002 SN - 1750-6220 SN - 1750-6239 VL - 14 IS - 6 SP - 1221 EP - 1238 PB - Emerald Group Publishing Limited CY - Bingley ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Tiberius, Victor A1 - Rietz, Meike A1 - Bouncken, Ricarda B. T1 - Performance analysis and science mapping of institutional entrepreneurship research JF - Administrative Sciences N2 - Institutional entrepreneurship comprises the activities of agents who disrupt existing social institutions or create new ones, often to enable diffusion, especially of radical innovations, in a market. The increased interest in institutional entrepreneurship has produced a large number of scholarly publications, especially in the last five years. As a consequence, the literature landscape is somewhat complex and scattered. We aim to compile a quantitative overview of the field within business and management research by conducting bibliometric performance analyses and science mappings. We identified the most productive and influential journals, authors, and articles with the highest impact. We found that institutional entrepreneurship has stronger ties to organization studies than to entrepreneurship research. Additionally, a large body of literature at the intersection of institutions and entrepreneurship does not refer to institutional entrepreneurship theory. The science mappings revealed a distinction between theoretical and conceptual research on one hand and applied and empirical research on the other hand. Research clusters reflect the structure–agency problem by focusing on the change agent’s goals and interests, strategies, and specific implementation mechanisms, as well as the relevance of public agents for existing institutions, and a more abstract process rather than agency view. KW - institutional entrepreneurship KW - entrepreneurship KW - institutional change KW - bibliometric analysis KW - science mapping KW - co-citation analysis KW - co-occurrence analysis KW - business KW - management Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3390/admsci10030069 VL - 10 IS - 3 PB - MDPI CY - Basel ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Balkenhol, Jasper A1 - Tiberius, Victor A1 - Cesinger, Beate T1 - Partizipative Leitbilderstellung und Mitarbeitermotivation BT - eine Action-Research-Studie in einem deutschen Startup JF - Zeitschrift für KMU und Entrepreneurship N2 - Unternehmensleitbilder sind zu einem beliebten strategischen Instrument geworden, dem eine motivationssteigernde Wirkung zugeschrieben wird. In KMU und Startups wird die Notwendigkeit von Leitbildern infrage gestellt, da entsprechende Inhalte in der persönlichen Führung vermittelt werden. Doch gerade die gemeinsame Erstellung eines Leitbilds kann dessen Akzeptanz sowie die Mitarbeitermotivation erhöhen. Entsprechend verfolgen wir einen explorativen Aktionsforschungsansatz und entwickelten in einem Workshop mit Mitarbeitern eines in Berlin ansässigen E-Commerce-Startups ein Leitbild. Eine Woche vor und nach dem Workshop wurde die Motivation der Mitarbeiter quantitativ mit Hinblick auf Engagement, Mitarbeiterzufriedenheit, Commitment und Kündigungsabsicht gemessen. Unsere Ergebnisse legen nahe, dass die gemeinsame Formulierung eines Leitbilds einen signifikanten positiven Effekt auf die Mitarbeitermotivation hat, insbesondere für Mitarbeiter mit einem niedrigen initialen Motivationsniveau. N2 - Mission statements have become a popular strategic tool, which increases employee motivation. In SMEs and start-ups, the necessity of mission statements is being questioned as their content can also be communicated by personal leadership. However, especially the participatory development of a mission statement can increase its acceptance and work motivation. Therefore, we pursue an explorative action research approach and developed a mission statement in a workshop with employees of a Berlin-based e-commerce startup. One week before and after the workshop, the employees’ motivation was assessed concerning engagement, satisfaction, commitment and intention to quit. Our results suggest that the participatory development of a mission statement leads to a signifi­cant positive effect on work motivation, especially for employees with a low level of motivation. Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.3790/zfke.68.3-4.127 SN - 1860-4633 SN - 1865-5114 VL - 68 IS - 3-4 SP - 127 EP - 148 PB - Duncker & Humblot CY - Berlin ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Filser, Matthias A1 - Tiberius, Victor A1 - Kraus, Sascha A1 - Spitzer, Jonathan A1 - Kailer, Norbert A1 - Bouncken, Ricarda B. T1 - Sharing economy BT - a bibliometric analysis of the state of research JF - International journal of entrepreneurial venturing N2 - The sharing economy has received increased attention in entrepreneurship research, resulting in a complex research landscape that is hard to overlook. Using a bibliometric analysis, we aim to further synthesise the field by: 1) summarising the most important definitions given by extant literature to capture the common understanding of the sharing economy; 2) identifying three thematic clusters based on the top 20 most cited publications; 3) conducting a citation analysis to show interdependencies between all authors; and 4) identifying the research methods used in the SE publications. Our results show: 1) many definitions with different emphases; 2) conceptualisation, collaborative consumption/ownership and the disruptive character of the sharing economy as three dominant research clusters; 3) a fairly even citation practice allowing for unbiased future research; and 4) that conceptual publications and quantitative as well as qualitative studies are fairly evenly published. KW - bibliometrics KW - business models KW - citation analysis KW - collaborative consumption KW - disruption KW - literature review KW - regulations KW - sharing economy Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1504/IJEV.2020.112234 SN - 1742-5360 SN - 1742-5379 VL - 12 IS - 6 SP - 665 EP - 665 PB - Inderscience Enterprises CY - Genève ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Tiberius, Victor A1 - Siglow, Caroline A1 - Sendra-García, Javier T1 - Scenarios in business and management BT - the current stock and research opportunities JF - Journal of business research N2 - The scenario technique is widely used to cope with uncertainties plan for alternate future situations. The extensive research led to a scattered literature landscape. To organize the field quantitatively, we conduct bibliometric performance analyses and a bibliographic coupling analysis. Results show an increased interest in scenario research since 2009 and clear distinctions between strategic and operational as well as methodological and applied research. Future research can be expected to further enhance the method towards robust decision making and to combine it with methods searching for most likely scenarios, such as prediction markets, crowdsourcing, and superforecasting. Additionally, cognitive and behavioral aspects of using the scenario technique might draw further attention. The scenario technique is expected to be applied across all industries and will probably play an increasing role in currently underrepresented business functions such as marketing and innovation. KW - scenario analysis KW - bibliographic coupling KW - bibliometric analysis Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jbusres.2020.08.037 SN - 0148-2963 SN - 1873-7978 VL - 121 SP - 235 EP - 242 PB - Elsevier CY - New York ER - TY - JOUR A1 - Kraus, Sascha A1 - Li, Hongbo A1 - Kang, Qi A1 - Westhead, Paul A1 - Tiberius, Victor T1 - The sharing economy BT - a bibliometric analysis of the state-of-the-art JF - International journal of entrepreneurial behavior & research N2 - Purpose Quantitative bibliometric approaches were used to statistically and objectively explore patterns in the sharing economy literature. Design/methodology/approach Journal (co-)citation analysis, author (co-)citation analysis, institution citation and co-operation analysis, keyword co-occurrence analysis, document (co-)citation analysis and burst detection analysis were conducted based on a bibliometric data set relating to sharing economy publications. Findings Sharing economy research is multi- and interdisciplinary. Journals focused upon products liability, organizing framework, profile characteristics, diverse economies, consumption system and everyday life themes. Authors focused upon profile characteristics, sharing economy organization, social connections, first principle and diverse economy themes. No institution dominated the research field. Keyword co-occurrence analysis identified organizing framework, tourism industry, consumer behavior, food waste, generous exchange and quality cue as research themes. Document co-citation analysis found research themes relating to the tourism industry, exploring public acceptability, agri-food system, commercial orientation, products liability and social connection. Most cited authors, institutions and documents are reported. Research limitations/implications The study did not exclusively focus on publications in top-tier journals. Future studies could run analyses relating to top-tier journals alone, and then run analyses relating to less renowned journals alone. To address the potential fuzzy results concern, reviews could focus on business and/or management research alone. Longitudinal reviews conducted over several points in time are warranted. Future reviews could combine qualitative and quantitative approaches. Originality/value We contribute by analyzing information relating to the population of all sharing economy articles. In addition, we contribute by employing several quantitative bibliometric approaches that enable the identification of trends relating to the themes and patterns in the growing literature. KW - bibliometric analysis KW - citations KW - co-citation analysis KW - co-occurrence KW - analysis KW - research themes KW - sharing economy Y1 - 2020 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1108/IJEBR-06-2020-0438 SN - 1355-2554 SN - 1758-6534 VL - 26 IS - 8 SP - 1769 EP - 1786 PB - Emerald Group Publishing Limited CY - Bingley ER -