TY - CHAP A1 - Rudian, Sylvio Leo A1 - Haase, Jennifer A1 - Pinkwart, Niels T1 - Predicting creativity in online courses T2 - 2022 International Conference on Advanced Learning Technologies (ICALT) N2 - Many prediction tasks can be done based on users’ trace data. This paper explores divergent and convergent thinking as person-related attributes and predicts them based on features gathered in an online course. We use the logfile data of a short Moodle course, combined with an image test (IMT), the Alternate Uses Task (AUT), the Remote Associates Test (RAT), and creative self-efficacy (CSE). Our results show that originality and elaboration metrics can be predicted with an accuracy of ~.7 in cross-validation, whereby predicting fluency and RAT scores perform worst. CSE items can be predicted with an accuracy of ~.45. The best performing model is a Random Forest Tree, where the features were reduced using a Linear Discriminant Analysis in advance. The promising results can help to adjust online courses to the learners’ needs based on their creative performances. KW - prediction KW - online course KW - trace data KW - creativity Y1 - 2022 SN - 978-1-6654-9519-6 SN - 978-1-6654-9520-2 U6 - https://doi.org/10.1109/ICALT55010.2022.00056 SP - 164 EP - 168 PB - IEEE CY - Piscataway, NJ ER -